■/ m ij^'.JS'W..- tuns ■a. ..^ ': Cornell University Library HG 529.T24 The silver question, an address . 3 1924 013 816 982 New York State College of Agriculture At Cornell University Ithaca, N. Y. Library THE SILVER QUESTION. AN ADDRESS -BY- ROBERT S. TAYLOR, ■LIVERED AT FORT WAYNE, IND., AUGUST 6, 1896, BEFORE THE SOLDIERS' SONS AND CITIZENS' REPUBLICAN CLUB. LIBRARY lople* of thlsaddreu can be obtained by asking for them from the Corresponding 8e«' Elwin M. Hulse, Box 200S, Fort Wayne, Ind. JAN 20 1946 DEFT. OF Cornell University Library The original of tiiis book is in tine Cornell University Library. There are no known copyright restrictions in the United States on the use of the text. http://www.archive.org/details/cu31924013816982 THE SILVER QUESTION. Although I am a republican and speak to-night to a republican club the subject which I shall discuss is a mat- ter of business rather than politics, and of business which concerns us all ex- actly alike under whatever party flag we have been accustomed to match. The Republican platform adopted at St. Louis contains this declaration on the subject of money: The Republican party Is unreservedly for sound money. It caused the enactment of the law providing for the resumption of specie payments In 1879; since then every dollar has been as good as gold. We are unalterably opposed to every meas- ure calculated to debase our currency or Im- pair the credit of our country. We are there- fore opposed to the free coinage of silver except by international agreement with the leading commercial nations of the world, which we pledge ourselves to promote, and until such agreement can be obtained, the existing gold standard must be preserved. All our silver and paper currency must be maintained at parity with gold, and we favor all measures designed to maintain in- violably the obligations of the United States and all our money, whether coin or paper, at the present standard, the standard of the most enlightened nations of the earth. A convention assembled at Chicago in the name of the democratic party adopted a platform which contains this on the subject of money: We demand the free and unlimited coinage of both gold and silver at the present legal ratio of 16 to 1, without waiting for the aid or consent of any other nation. We demand that the standard silver dollar shall be a full legal tender, equally with gold, for all debts, public and private, and we favor such legis- lation as will prevent for the future the demonetization of any kind of legal tender money by private contract. The platform of the populist party adopted at its convention at St. Louis echoes the same demand. I prefer Silver dollars 430,000,000 ^^ ' °^^^!! "^^f' ^^'' ^^ "^^^'"^ Silver fractional. .' 75,000,000 «'«™<^«^'^ 9old. The silver dollars have Treasury Notes— green- tl^e same proportion of alloy. Our legal backs 346,000,000 unit and standard of value is a gold Treasury . Notes — coin dollar contamlng 25 8-10 grains of Nattnal-BanknotesV.::: l^'ZS ^'^''^^'^ '''^^ ^^^ """^ ^^^^^ ^'''-'' . ^_ which is declared by law to be equal $1,773,000,000 to the gold dollar in value and is equal Of the silver dollars $342,000,000 are to it in legal tender power, contains represented by silver certificates and of ^12% grains of standard silver. If you the gold $42,000,000 are represented by divide the latter of these numbers by gold certificates, both of which circu- the former you will get a quotient of late in place of the coin. In statin:; 15.988+. That is, the silver dollar is the amount of money we have it would fifteen and nine hundred ana ninety- be inaccurate to include both, and so I eight thousandths times as heavy as omit the certificates. This gives us as the gold dollar. That figure is so close a classification of our total currency $1,- to 16 that in our common speech we 072,000,000 in coin and $701,000,000 in call it 16, and we say that one silver paper. The gold coin, silver dollars, dollar is sixteen times as heavy as one and U. S. treasury notes, amounting to gold dollar. That Is what we mean by $1,472,000,000 are all legal tender in 16 to 1. unlimited amounts: the fractional sil- It Is impossible for the government ver is legal tender for amounts not ex- to coin gold and silver without fixing THE ISSUE. the weight and fineness of each kind of coin; and this, as I have shown, estab- lishes a ratio of weight, which is called the coinage ratio, or legal ratio. We did not always have a coinage ratio of 16 to 1. Under our first coinage law the ratio was 15 to 1; that is, 15 ounces of silver were tal^en to equal in value 1 ounce of gold. In France, and a num- ber of other European countries the coinage ratio is 15% to 1. There is also a market ratio, or, as it is sometimes called, a commercial ratio. This depends on the relative values of the two metals in the market; that is, on the rate at which one can be ex- changed for the other in the form of bullion. At the present time silver is very cheap. You can exchange one ounce of gold for about 31 ounces of silver. You would express that rela- tion by saying that silver is 31 to 1. Copper is cheaper still. You can get about 3,000 ounces of copper for 1 ounce of gold. Hence you would say that copper is 3,000 to 1. The legal, or coinage ratio being fixed by law, remains until changed by law. But the market ratio varies. It has been found impossible to keep the two ratios the same for any length of time. As will be seen later, many at- tempts have been made to conform the legal ratio to the market ratio, but however exactly they may coincide at the start the fluctuations of the market soon separate them. All the silver dollars we have were coined on government account; that is, the government bought the silver bul- lion in the market and coined the dol- lars in its mints as its own. The coin- age of our present stock of silver dol- lars began in 1878. Silver was then wortli on the market about 18 to 1. It has been falling gradually since that time, with occasional fluctuations, un- til it is now worth, as I said, only 31 to 1. It being the policy of the govern- ment to keep all the money in circula- tion equal in value, it is manifest that the continued fall in the price of silver, and the continued accumulation of sil- ver dollars were 'making that task more and more difficult and dangerous. 4^nfor the frac- tional silver coins of 14.82 to 1, while the market ratio was 15.83 to 1. In that situation a pound of silver was worth more as bullion than as fraction- al coin, and there was therefore no in- ducement to export the coin. And we did not export it. It remained in cir- culation until the suspension of all specie payments after the beginning of the civil war. THE SILVER DOLLAR. In the meantime the silver dollar had a curious history. As I have said, by the act of 1792 the silver dollar was made the unit of value and legal ten- der to unlimited amount. But for all that It would not stay in circulation. And 'the reason was this: It contained a little less silver than the Spanish dollar. We had at that time a considerable trade with the West Indies where the Spanish dollars abounded. The dif- ference between the two dollars was not so great but that our silver dollars were readily talcen in the West Indies. • There was therefore something to be made by exporting our silver dollars to that country and bringing back Spanish dollars to be re-coined at our mint. And so our mints were kept busy at the public expense coining dol- lars for the benefit of the money brok- ers. To stop this unprofitable business President Madison, in 1806, ordered that no more silver dollars should be coined. And no more were coined for thirty years. This would have ended the exportation of silver except for the fact which I have stated that the frac- tional coin had the same value propor- tionally as the dollar. It was only when that was reduced in 1853, as just detailed, that we were able to keep our fractional coin at home. And so it happened that up to 1853— a period of sixty-one years after the sil- ver dollar was made the unit of value, less than four million of them were coined in the United States, all'told, and of them almost none were in circu- lation. Within the same period $231,- 000,000 in gold had been coined, of which an abundant supply remained in circulation. Although we started out on a coinage ratio adjusted to the mar- ket ratio as closely as we could make it the change in the market ratio soon drove out our gold. In 1834 we changed the ratio in order to coax the gold back. . It came, and then the silver went out. We couldn't even keep our silver dimes until we reduced the silver in them. And during all this time the variations of the market ratio at a yearly average never exceeded a point and a quarter between extremes. The highest price of silver between 1792 and 1853 was 15 to 1 and the lowest 16.25 to 1. And yet there are men who think -o;- wno say, rather, for It seems to me impossi- ble that those men think at all— that' we could have free coiuage at 16 to 1 16 THE SILVER QUESTION. with a market ratio of 31 to 1, and keep both metals In circulation. THE SYSTEM Of 1853. The law of 1853 gave us practically the English system of 1816. That law, as I have told you, gave the English people gold coin as unlimited legal len- der with silver as legal tender for foj'ly shillings. The law of 1853 gave tlie people of the United States gold coin as full legal tender, and silver for legal tender for five dollars and in both cases the real value of the silver coins was made less than their nominal value to keep them from being exported or melt- ed down for bullion. So far the two systems were exactly the same. There was only this difference. There was on our statute book authority to coin full legal tender dollars. But that statute was a dead letter. There were no dollars — or next to none, in circula- tion, under it, and no incentive to make more at that time because silver was not worth as much as dollars as it was as bullion. So that,' for all practical purposes the law 01-1853 introduced in this country the English system of 1816. And that lasfeS until the suspen- sion of specie paymeiits at the breaking out of "the war. I have kept the promise I made you awhile ago in two particulars; I have taxed your patience pretty heavily, as I forewarned you I would, but I have proved the truth of Gresham's law by the world's experience for a hundred years. History teaches no more cer- tain lesson; the law of gravitation is no more inexorable in its operation. The circulation of gold and silver on the Chicago plan is impossible. It is silver monometallism in disguise. BRYAN TO THE FORE. There is only one imaginable sem- blance of an answer to this argument. It is that the opening of the mints to the free coinage of silver would make such a demand for it that the price would rise to parity with gold at 1(' to 1. Mr. Bryan was in such a liurry to get that claim to the front that on the day of his nomination he seat the fol- lowing telegram to the New Yorlf World: Chicago, July 10. To the Editor of the World: The restoration of silver to its ancient place by the side of gold will, in my Judg- ment, restore the parity between both kinds of money and thus permit a general return of prosperity. The World, which did such effective work In behalf of an income tax, will find a still larger field of usefulness in supporting the gold and silver coinage of the Constitution. W. J. BRYAN. Is there any reasonable foundation for such a judgment? I grant that the first tendency of free coinage in the United States would be to :idvanee the price of silver. But to what extent would that tendency be effective? An increase of price would tend to in- crease production. Only the high grade silver mines are being worked now. Hundreds that are now idle would start into activity upon even a small in- crease in the price of silver. This in- creased production would tend to check the advance in price. Besides this, an opportunity to sell silver here at more than Its market value would tend to draw it hither from all other countries. The world's total stock of silver coin is estimated at four thousand million dollars, to say nothing of bullion and plate. A high price here would start vast quantities of it toward our shores. And it would c(ftne and keep coming as long as the^rice here was substan- tially above the market elsewhere. In short, before we could bring silver to a parity with gold in the United States we would have to lift up the price of all the silver in the world to that level. And this against the increased produc- tion of all the mines in the world, turn- ing out no one knows how much mor^ than ever before. What do you think of the man who thinks he knows that that can be done? And what shall we say of the prudence and solid sagacity of a man who, the day of his nomination for the great oflSce of President of the United States tosses off such a prediction as careless- ly as though he were guessing at the weight of a Nebraska steer? THE CONSEQUElSrCES. 17 And mind you, it will not sufBce to raise the price of silver part way to parity— to 25, or 20, or 18 to 1. I have shown you that it talies only a fraction of a point in variation between the coinage ratio and the market ratio to drive out the dearer metal. The price of silver must come to 1,6 plump, or within a minute fraction of it, to keep both metals in circulation. Mr. Bryan's prediction is a rash and unfounded conjecture. THE CONSEQUENCES. Let us consider now in the light of these facts what we have good right to believe will be the certain consequences of the adoption of the Chicago plan. The first consequence will be a tremen- dous shrinkage in the volume of money in the United States. We have now about $1,773,000,000 of money, all told. About $567,t)00,000 of that is gold. This gold will not circulate with free silver worth only half as much as it is. It would become a commodity to be bought and sold just as it was when the greenbacks drove it out of circulation during the war. And this change would have to take place suddenly. It will be as impossible to come to it gradually as to go over Niagara with- out a plunge. The moment that it is known for sure that the change is com- ing there will be a scramble for the gold. Indeed, the scramble is liable to begin at any time from the mere appre- hension of the change. And to take the gold out of use as money means a shrinkage of $567,000,000 in our cur- rency—practically one-third of the whole. Free silverists sometimes attempt to parry these facts with the statement that there is no gold in circulation now, that the banks have it all cornered. It is quite true that most of the gold is held by banks, and trust companies, and monied corporations of various kinds, although there is more or less of it scattered over the country. A man can get it upon request in reason- able amount by asking for it at any time. But it is held, wherever it is, as money. It is part of the reserve which banks and other institutions hold. If that reserve were not held in gold it would have to be held in some other form of money. Tlie.gold which they hold is part of the aggregate money stock. It is counted in the per capita supply of $21.15 which the U. S. Treas- ury department reports for July 1, 1896. The moment it becomes un- available as money the total stock will be reduced that much, and the per capita supply will be only about $14. That is what I mean by a stringency— a sudden contraction of the total sup- ply. No thoughtful man will suppose that such an event could occur without a financial crisis of unparalleled severity. To measure the destruction of credit, business and values that would attend it is beyond human foresight. But we can foresee that amid the crash and the chaos there would be two sets of men looking indifferently on, Itke Nero at burning Rome, and making money out of the general dis- aster. They would he the silver mine owners, pocketing two dollars for one, and the gold owners reaping a harvest from the premium on gold. And to considerable extent they would be the same men. No one knows what the premium on gold would be. It reached a hundred and fifty per cent, during the war. If it reached only fifty it would put a profit of nearly $300,000,000 in legal tender money into the coffers of the men who held the gold. The second consequence would be but a continuation of the first— t/ie per- manent estahUshment of silver mono- metallism. I say permanent, because that condition would be as permanent as the law which created it. But does any one believe that we would be con- tent to stay there; to take a place per- manently with China, India and South America, as a silver standard nation? I referred a moment ago to the idiot- ic raving of the Chicago platform about English domination over our money af- fairs—the silliest stuff ever put in a political platform. It says: "Gold monometallism is a British policy, and its adoption has brought other na- 18 THE SILVER QUESTION. tions into financial servitude to Lon- don." England does hold a large part of the trade of the world with an iron grasp; but what are the nations which are subject to her? Are they gold stand- ard Germany, Norway, Sweden, Den- inark, United States? No, indeed; they are the silver standard nations— China, India, South America. If we want a place among the commercial slaves of Great Britain the way to get it is to adopt the silver standard; if we want to be her rival we must arm ourselves with the same weapons she uses— gold and silver. The doughty warriors who met at Chicago are not only spoiling for a fight with England, but propose to make It with a bass-wood club and give her the gun. THE BAD FAITH OF IT. My last and greatest objection to free coinage on the Chicago plan is that it would be a breach of public -faith. As before, I cannot content myself with the mere statement of this propo- sition; I must prove it. And to do that I must go back again to history. I must trace the steps by which we have come to the place where we are now, and show how and why it is that free silver coinage at 16 to 1 would be a vio- lation of good faith on the part of the government. And for this I invoke again your considerate patience, for I can not make it either short or enter- taining. RECENT LEGISLATION. I have already sketched the course of legislation in the United States on the subject of coinage and ratios from 1792 to 1853. The next important law was that of Feb. 12, 1873. This statute has been the subject of more misrepresenta- tion than ever befel any other legisla- tive act. It was a law covering many matters relative to the mints and coin- age; it was intended, in fact, as a re- vision of all pre-existing laws on that subject. It contained five or six sec- tions relating to the coinage of gold and silver. The substance of them was about as follows: The gold dollar, with- out change in weight or fineness, was made in terms the unit of value; the other gold coins were continued without change, and all gold coin remained legal tender without limit, as before. The fractional silver coins were chang- ed slightly in weight to make them con- form exactly in value to corresponding coins of the patin Union, and they were declared to be legal tender for five dol- lars, as in the law of 1853. The coin- age of the full legal tender dollar of 1792 was suspended, and the trade dol- lar substituted. This coin contained 378 grains of pure silver besides the al- loy (420 grains standard), being 6% grains more than the old silver dollar. The old dollar of 371% grains of fine silver (412% grains standard), was then worth three per cent, more than a gold • dollar, and so would not circulate as money. Much less would the more val- uable trade dollar circulate. And it was not intended for that purpose. It was made expressly for foreign trade— espe- cially with China, and to compete with the Mexican dollar in that trade. Nev- . ertheless, it was included with the frac- tional coins as legal tender for five dol- lars. Apart from the extra value of the trade dollar this statute gave us, as matter of law, the English gold stand- ard composite legal tender system which we had for all practical purposes under the law of 1853, as I have pointed out. So that the change in our system of which the free silverists complain so bitterly, really took place in 1853, in- stead of 1873. THE "CRIME OF '78." But the misrepresentations respecting this statute of which I spoke a moment ago relate not so much to its terms as to the manner of its passage. It has been dinned into the ears of the people for years that the law of 1873 was pass- ed by irregular and clandestine meth- ods, and by procurement of English emissaries. There is no practical im- portance in the question, because the present situation and the facts which give character to it and which deter- mine what we can do and what it is our duty and interest to do are all the same, no matter how the law was pass- ed. But such things naturally afCect THE CHARGE IS FALSE. 19 men's feelings. I would resent the in- terference of English agents in our na- tional legislation with indignation. And I would have an unfriendly predisposi- tion toward a law passed by any sort of dark-lantern methods. The free sil- verites realize th's and so keep up no end of clamor over the "crime of '73." They have put it in the Chicago plat- fai-m, and I suppose we may expect to hear it from now to November. THE CHARGE IS FALSE. The answer to all this is that there Is no truth In it. The legislative his- tory of the bill from its introduction to its passage is matter of record, and demonstrates the regularity, fairness, and openness of the proceedings be- yond possibility of doubt, and by your leave I will put aside the main line of my thought for a bit to give you a sketch of this history. The bill was drawn up in the Treasury department, in the office of the Comp- troller of the Currency, and was trans- mitted to the Senate by the Secretary of the Treasury, April 25, 1870, with a let- ter and report from the Comptroller of the Currency, explaining it in detail. It was introduced in the Senate TDy John Sherman April 28, 1870. See. 14 of the bill provided for tlie coinage in gold of twenty, ten, five, two and a half, three and one dollar pieces, the one dol- lar coin to be the unit of value, and all of them to be legal tender in all pay- ments. Section 15 provided for the coinage in silver of half dollars, quarter dollars and dimes, to be legal tender for all sums less than one dollar. Sec. 17 provided for the coinage of nickels and copper cents, to be legal tender to the amount of fifteen cents. Sec. 18 provided that no coins of gold or silver should thereafter be issued ex- cept as in that act provided. The bill was taken up in the Senate Jan. 9, 1871, read in full, debated dur- ing that day and the next, and passed by a vote of 36 to la It then went to the House and was re- ferred to the Committee on Coinage, Weights and Measures, and printed as It had passed the Senate. On Feb. 25, 1871, a substitute was reported by the Commjjtee, which was ordered printed. In the substitute these changes were made: In Section 14 the words, "and these coins cthe gold coins) shall be a le- gal tender in all payments," were changed to "which coins shall be a le- gal tender in all payments at their de- nominational value." And in Sec. 15 the words, "that the silver coins issued in accordance with the above sectioti shall be a legal tender in any one pay- ment of debt for all sums less than o»ie dollar," were changed to read, "which coins shall be a legal tender at their denominational value for any amount not exceeding five dollars in any one payment." The 51st Congress closed without further action on the bill. In the next Congress, on March 9, 1871, the substitute bill just referred to was introduced as a new bill in the House by William D. Kelley, and re- ferred to the Committee on Coinage. On Jan. 9, 1872, the Committee reported the bill without amendment and a rec- ommendation that it pass. It was then taken up and debated for two days. Upon the suggestion of Mr. Garfield it was re-committed to the Committee for the reason, as he said, that it involved a considerable increase in salaries. On Feb. 9 following the bill was re- ported back from the Committee, read a first and second time, re-eommltted to the Committee, and ordered printed. On Feb. 13, it was reported to the House again, ordered printed as correct- ed by the Committee and made a special order for the second Tuesday of March following and from day to day until disposed of. On April 9 following it was taken up on third reading and debated until the adjournment for the day. The leading .speech was made by Mr. Hooper of Mas- sachusetts, who said among other things: Section ' 14 declares what the gold coins shall be, and their respective weights, and malies them a legal tender in all payments at their nominal value, when not below the standard weight and limit of tolerance pre- scribedT and at a valuation proportioned to their actual weight when below the stand- ard weight and tolcranca. Tbsa fu the sec- 20 THE SILVER QUESTION. tion is a re-enactment of existing iaws. In addition, it declares the gold dollar of twenty- floe and eight-tenths grains of stan&ttrd gold to be the unit of value, gold practically having been in tills country for many years the standard of value, as it is legally in Great Britain and most of the European countries. The silver dollar which hy law is now the legally declared unit of value, does not bear a con-ect relative proportion to the gold dollar. Being worth intrinsically about one dollar and three cents in gold it cannot circu- late concurrently with the gold coins. Mr, Potter, of New York, said: Then, in the next place, this bill provides for the making of changes in the legal ten- der coin of tlie country, and for substituting as legal tender coins of only one metal in- stead as heretofore of two. I thinlc myself this would be a wise provision, and that legal tender coins, except subsidiary coins, should be of gold alone. In the course of the debate some flings were made at the greenbacks which stirred up Saml. J. Randall to this vigorous protest: Now, I will go with the gentleman from , New York for a resumption of specie pay- ments whenever he is ready; but the idea of his getting up here and describing, as he does, our currency as rags I tell him is be- neath his intellect, beneath his position in this house. It is beneath his Americanism. Sir, our greenbacks are not rags. I am in favor of this bill, after an examination of its provisions, because I believe the 'former mint laws were confused, and I believe that this codification of the laws will make them plain and the execution simple. On May 27, 1872, the bill passed the House by a vote of 110 to 13. It then went to the Senate and on May 29, 1872, was referred to the Committee on Fi- nance. On December 16, 1872, it was report- ed back with amendments and ordered printed. On Jan. 7, 1873, further amendments were reported by the Com- mittee and the original bill ordered re- printed with the amendments. On Jan. 17, 1873, the bill was again taken up, debated and passed. The amendments which had been made by the Senate were non-concurred in by the House; a committee of con- ference was appointed which reconciled the differences; the report of the com- mittee was concurred in without a di- vision in either body, and the bill was approved Feb. 12, 1873. It has been said, I believe, that the law was changed at the last minute and some advantage taken of an un- suspecting Congress in that way. I can not take time to follow the amend- ments In detail, but a brief reference to them will dispose of that claim. As I have shown, Sec. 14 of the original bill fixed the weight and value of the gold coins, made them legal tender--dri all payments and made the gold dollar the unit of value. Some changes were, made in the wording of this section, but no change was made in its sub- stance at any time. Sec. 15 of the orig- inal bill provided for the coinage of sil- ver halves, quarters, and dimes. But not dollars, and made silver coin legal ten- er to the limit of one dollar. This was amended by the House Committee in its first report to raise the limit to five dollars, and was in that form when the bill was re-introduced March 9, 1871, at the beginning of the 42d Congress. As reported by the House committee Feb. 13, 1872, the section on silver coins —Sec. 16— provided for the coinage of dollars, halves, quarters and dimes, the weight of the, dollar to be S8k grains standard and the others in proportion. The weight of the pre-existing silver dollar was 412% grains standard. This was worth more than a gold dollar and hence it could not be kept in circula- tion. The reduction to 384 grains made the intrinsic value of the silver dollar less than that of the gold dollars and proportional to that of the fractional currency. On this point Congressman W. D. Kelley said during the debate on the bill as thus amended: But, sir, I again call the attention of the House to the fact that the gentlemen who oppose this bill insist upon maintaining a silver dollar worth three and a half cents more than the gold dollar, and worth seven cents more than the half dollar, and that, so long as these provisions remain, you can not keep silver coin in the country. Certain bullion dealers of New York are making from fifty thousand to one hundred and fifty thousand dollars a year out of yd^ir govern- ment. Mr. Hooper said: Section sixteen re-enacts the provlslon4 of existing laws defining the silver coins WISDOM OF THE LAW. 21 and theit weights respectively, except In re- lation to the silver dollar, which Is reduced In weight from four hundred and twelve and a half to three hundred and eighty-four grains; thus making it a subsidiary coin in harmony with the silver coins of less de- nomination, to secure its co-ncurrent circu- lation with them. The silver dollar of tour hundred and twelve and a half grains, by reason of its bullion or intrinsic value being greater than Its nominal value, has long ceased to be a coin of circulation, and Is melted by manufacturers of silverware. The five dollar legal tender limit was retained in this amendment and through all subsequent changes. In this form the bill passed the House, and went to the Senate. In the Senate the bill as reported by the Committee Jan. 7, 1873, provided for the coinage of trade dollars weigh- ing 420 grains standard, instead of the subsidiary dollar of S84 grains standard, thus amending the bill as it had passed the House. This was done because the trade dollar was considered desirable for the China tra.de, and for the partic- ular convenience of the people of Cali- fornia. And in tliis form the bill passed and became a law. To sum up the whole matter the law made these changes in our gold and silver coinage: 1. It made the gold dollar the unit of value. 2. It discontinued the coinage of the old legal tender silver dollar of 412% grains standard. 3. And limited the legal tender func- tion of silver to five dollars. ■ 4. And so established in place of the former double standard the composite legal tender gold standard. These broad changes were in the bill when it was intro- duced, and remained in it from beginning to end. There was no provision in it at any time for continuing the coinage of tlie old legal tender dollar. Such is the history of the coinage bill of 1873. It was before Congress for a longer Time, considered and reported oii more frequently and printed oftener than one bill in ten that becomes a law. It is true that the provisions af- fecting the gold and silver coins were not the ones which attracted most at- teutioB. The numerous debates on the bill were mostly over other matters in it. The last one was chiefly about the American eagle. As the bill came from the Senate Committee after its last reference it knocked that old bird off from his perch on the half {ind quarter pieces. But his friends rallied in force and he roosts there still; and long may he roost. But the only reason why the question of units and standards was not dis- cussed more fully was that there was no difference of opinion about it — not even enough to provoke debate. There was no general discussion of the sub- ject in the press and among the peo- ple because there was no public inter- est in it. I kno* that some Senators and Representatives have said since that they, did not know what was in the bill when it passed. But the history of the proceedings on the records of the two Houses shows that every such Senator or Representative was either seeking to dodge responsibility by his statement,. or was guilty of some inat- tention to business in his place in Con- gress. Th&t the latter should happen to the extent of omitting to take no- tice of the sections of the bill affecting the coinage would not be strange nor particularly disgraceful. The bill was one relating to the operations of the mint. It had the endorsement of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Treasury Department. There ' were Committees whose business it was to look after it, and they did look after it. That it should not excite the particular interest and attention of every mem- ber of Congress was entirely naturaL But it was not put through in the dark, nor by crooked ways and means. On the contrary, it was an open and straightforward piece of legislation, as honestly and fairly introduced, consid- ered and passed as any law that ever received the President's signature. WISDOM OF THE LAW. The question of the wisdom of the law of 1873 opens a wide field of dis- cussion — one impossible to occupy with- in the limits of this address. It opens the whole subject of the comparative advantages of the single and the double 22 THE SILVER QUESTION. standard systems. I can do little more towards the discussion of it than to state the general situation in 1873. As I have told you, the first pure double standard 'system ever set up by law intentionally and by deliberate choice was our own in 1792. France followed in 1803. In 1816 England set up her single gold standard system which I have described. So that when the law of 1873 was Introduced in Con- gress the two systems had been on trial in three of the leading nations of the world for more than fifty years. The essential feature of the English system Is to take one metal as a stand- ard and coin it without limitation and then, in order to keep both metals in circulation, coin the other in lim- ited quantities, and at. a ratio which will keep the money value of the coins above the market value of the metal m them. The standard, might be either gold or silver. In the discussions which preceded the passage of the law of 1816 some of the ablest thinkers in England advocated the use of silver as the standard, eminent among whom was John Locke. Gold wa« chosen, partly, perhaps, because it was preferred by those in control, nota- bly Lord Liverpool, but principally, I think, because there was more gold than silver on hand at the time, just as our government in 1792 adopted the silver dollar as the unit of value be- cause the people had it already. xne French system did not work as well in practice as the English system. As I have pointed out, the fluctuation of the market ratio between the metals upset the balance of the system and made it impossible to keep both metals In circulation. The discovery of gold in California in 1848 and in Australia in 1851 put a new complexion on the money question. The world's prodjic- tion of gold from 1851 to 1870, inclu- eive, reached the incomprehensible fig- ure of $2,596,000,000. It was more than the whole stock in existence in 1850. This enormous expansion of gold pro- duction was a serious menace to the stability of the ratio between the two metals. No one could tell what would come next. ,0f all nations England was best prepared to meet such changes. Her single gold standard ibade her comparatively indifCerent to fluctua- tions in the commercial ratio. But on the continenl^ there was great anxiety for, the future. The formation of the Latin Union in 1865 was a defensive measure for the protection of the money of the nations who joined it. By agree- ing to a common system with a com- mon coinage ratio, and that each mem- ber of the Union should receive the coins of the others at par they fortified themselves to some extent against the operation of Gresham's law. As among themselves there could be no tempta- tion to export or import one kind of money in preference to the other, just as there is no such temptation as be- tween the States of our Union. This ex- periment was undertaken with some misgiving at the time. Although Bel- gium, Switzerland and Italy had adopt- ed the French system some years be- fore, they all favored the adoption of the single gold standard as the basis of the Union. The influence of France, however, prevailed, and the double standard was retained. Two years later, in 1867, the French government called a monetary conference at which the leading European nations and the United States were represented. The result of its deliberations, was an , ex- pression of judgment in favor of the single gold standard, but it was rec- ommended that until all were ready to move in unison the double standard of the Latin Union should remain. In the following year a commercial convention representing one hundred and nineteen German cities endorsed the conclusions of the Paris conference and urged the immediate adoption of a uniform monetary system for the em- pire, based on the single gold standard. In 1871 the German Parliament resolv- ed to adopt that system and passed the laws necessary to inaugurate the change. This, then, was the situation in 1871. Fifty-five years of experience had left the English government satisfied with bar gold standard; Germany was la the IKTERNATlONAL BIMETALLISM. 23 act of adopting It; and all Europe was apparently on the eve of following her example. There were some able think- ers and economists on the other side, but the prevailing judgment of the com- mercial world was in favor of the gold standard. To adopt it was no immedi- ate inconvenience to us. It was a mere continuation by law of what we had had in fact for twenty years— since 1853. Germany was going to the tre- mendous sacrifice of substituting gold for silver; we had no substitution to make, not a penny of expense to incur. Now, when we take all these facts in- to account, and in the light of them put ourselves back into the shoes of a mem- ber of Congress from '71 to '73, it is plain that the law of 1873, so far from being a crime against light and knowl- edge, was an expression of the wisest and soundest judgment which it was possible to form at that time. Since then the discussion of the subject has gone on more actively than before, with some gain, I believe, on the side of bi- metallism. But that Is not to be af- firmed too confidently. While the bi- metallists appear to have the best of the argument the drift of events Is rather the other way. In 1874 the Scan- dinavian Union, formed by Denmark, Sweden and Norway, adopted the gold standard composite legal tender sys- tem. The same system came into force In Germany in 1873, although she still retains a considerable amount of IfuU legal tender silver. It was this practi- cal consolidation of all Northern Eu- rope upon the gold standard that com- pelled the Latin Union in 1875 to sus- pend the free coinage of silver. It was either to do that or have their gold taken from them by their gold stand- ard neighbors. At the present moment the nations of Europe which favor the double stand- ard are doing Just as we are— holding fast to the silver they have, keeping it good by limiting its coinage and look- ing for an opportunity to promote inter- national bimetallism. No nation in the world that uses gold is coining silver freely, and nowhere outside of the Uni- ted States Is it proposed to do bo ex- cept upon the basis of International agreement INTEKNATIONAI, BIMETALLISM. It will be convenient to explain here my remark made a while ago to the effect that I consider international bi- metallism a better monetary scheme than the gold standard composite legal tender. If all the nations In the world would unite on the plan of the Latin Union, agreeing to give free coinage to gold and silver at a prescribed ratio, and to receive one another's coins at their treasuries, custom houses and banks, it seems to me that there would be no room for the operation of Gresham's law. The relative value of gold and silver being the 'same in all countries, there would be, as Sir Isaac Newton said In 1717, no temptation to export or import one metal rather than the other. I do not suppose, indieed, that In order to accomplish this result It would be necessary to take the whole world Into the combination. But It would have to be large enough to con- trol the bulk of the world's commerce. Of course this Is only a theoretical scheme so far. It has never been tried. But there seems every reason to be- lieve that it would work and give to so- ciety the benefit of the free use of both metals as money. The prospect of its early adoption is not fiattering; never- theless it is to this as the only possible way of attaining their object that the practical and real bimetalllsts of the world are looking. It is to this that the Republican platform refers in the state- ment that it is opposed to the free coin- age of silver "except by international agreement with the leading commer- cial nations of the world, which we pledge ourselves to promote." And It is to this that the Chicago platform refers as though it were a mere question of courage whether to adopt free silver in- dependently and alone, or hold on to the gold and silver we have until we can form some such international union. In the same sense we may say that it is a mere question of courage whether to go over Niagara in a tub or go round by the wagon road. It Is no exhibitioa Of courage to figbt a{;alnBt tbe )awB ot ^ THE SILVER Question. nature. Could all the men that were in the Chicago convention keep the Mis- sissippi river from running down to the Gulf of Mexico? Would they prove their courage by saying that tbey proposed to do It? Can the Populist party lift this side of the Atlantic ^ocean an inch higher than the other?" It is not En- gland that the free silv^i-ists are fight- ing against; it is the lawb of nature, as irresistible in their operation as the flow of the Mississippi,' or the forces that hold the ocean to its level. OUK MOEE RECENT, LEGISLATION. As I have told you, when the law of 1873 was passed the silver in a silver dollar was worth three per cent, more than a gold dollar, so tha-t there was no object in coining the .silver dollar to use as money, and nobodyJost anything by dropping it out of the Jaw. But the situation began to , change very soon. The world's production o4 silver which had been averaging about $50,000,000 per annum for two years prior to 1870, took a sudden jump in 1874 and '75 to $100,000,000 per annum,, largely from the output of the bonanz^,|mines in Ne- vada. The general movepient toward the gold standard also, ^nded to de- press the price of silver, a^pd by 1875 it was down to 16.59 to 1. ^hen the min- ing interests and the cheap money theo- rists became clamorous for immediate free coi&age at the old ratio. Mr. Bland (the same whom the Chicago conven- tion didn't nominate for the Presiden- cy), Introduced a bill for that purpose into the House Nov. 5, 1877. But that was an unwise proposal. We were then just preparing for the re- sumption of specie payment, having had only paper money in use from the beginning of the war. The act passed Jan. 14, 1875, fixed Jan. 1, 1879, as the day when the Treasury would begin to pay United States notes in coin. It was necessary to accumulate coin for that purpose. We were bound to know that we could not keep gold in circula- tion against free silver coined at 16 to 1, but worth less in the market, as it was at that time. If the bill had passed in that form we would have been com- pelled to resume specie payment, If we could have done it at all, on a silver basis. THE BLAND-ALLISON BILL. Mr. Bland's bill passed the House, but was amended in the Senate on mo- tion of Mr. Allison to provide for the coinage by the government from silver purchased in the market of not less than two nor more than four million dol- lars per month. The bill also restored the unlimited legal tender function of the silver dollar. ' In that form it passed Feb. 28, 1878. From the standpoint of a bimetallist I hold that this was a wise law. It was a safe experiment if not pushed too far, ;and kept the matter within the control of Congress to be dealt with as future developments should indicate. : THE SHERMAN BILL. But the free silyerists were not satis- fied. The price,,of silver did not ad- vance. They said: "Two millions a month does not ^ake a sufficient mar- ket; make it freej'and the price will go up." And this s sentiment was so strong in Congress that the passage of a free silver bill was imminent. Then, as a compromise, the Sherman bill was passed, July 14, 1890. It provided for the purchase by the government in the market of 4,500,000 ounces of silver per month, to be paid for by treasury notes redeemable in gold or silver coin, such notes to be legal tender for all debts, public and private. It directed the coinage of $2,000,000 per month of the silver so purchased for a year, and after that of as much as should be necessary to provide for the notes issued in pur- chase of the silver. The quantity of silver named in the bill-^,500,000 ounces per month, was supposed to be substantially equal to the output of the silver mines of the United States. The act repealed so much, and only so much of the Bland bill as required the pur- chase and coinage of from two to four million dollars per month. Under this law treasury notes to the amount of $155,000,000 were issued for the pur- chase of 108,000,000 ounces of silver. These are called "coin notes," and $129,000,000 are in use now. REPEAL OF PUECHASING CLAUSE OF THE SHERMAN LAW. 25 This experiment was a failure. In- stead of going up the price of silver went down. In the summer of 1893 the mints of India were closed ts the free coinage of silver, followed by a silver panic and great fall in price. By that time we had over 350,000,000 sil- ver dollars in the treasury and the gold reserve had run down to less than $100,- 000,000. The greenbacks and coin notes issued for the purchase of silver, all redeemable on demand, amounted to nearly $500,000,000. It was clear that we could not go on in that direction veny long without coming to a point at which the XJ. S. Treasury would have nothing to pay with but silver. And as the only thing that upheld silver was the credit of the government that meant silver monometallism at once. REPEAL OF PURCHASING CLAUSE OF THE SHERMAN LAW. In this critical situation Congress met in special session Aug. 7, 1893, and on Nov. 1, 1893, an act was passed re- pealing so much of the Sherman law as required the purchase of 4,500,000 ounces of silver per month. It will be observed that the Bland-Allison law of 1878 and the Sherman law of 1890, are both still in force except as to those parts of them relating to the purchase of specified amounts of silver. That part of the Bland-Allison law which made the silver dollar legal tender in unlimited amount is still In force. And that part of the Sherman law which re- lates to the coinage of the silver pur- chased under it is still in force, and by authority of it the coinage of sliver dollars is still going on at the mints, but in comparatively small amounts. For the fiscal year just closed the num- ber coined was 7,500,822. THE GOVERNMENT'^ PLKDGKS. It Is SO long since I mentioned it that you may have forgotten that we are now considering what I have stated to be the greatest of all objections to free coinage on the Chicago plan, viz. : that • it would be a breach of public faith. All that I have said since that state- ment contributes to the proof , of it. The act of 1890 (the Sherman law) contains these words, after the pro- visions authorizing the purchase and coinage of silver and issue of treasury notes to pay for it. " I^ being the es- tablished policy of the United States to maintain the two metals on a parity with each other upon the present legal ratio or such ratio as may be provided by law." And the act of Nov. 1, 1893, contains the following: "And it is hereby de- clared to be the policy of the United States to continue the use of both gold and silver as standard money, and to coin both gold and silver into money of equal intrinsic and interchangea- ble value, such equality to be secured through international agreement, or by such safeguards of legislation as will insure the maintenance of the parity in value of the coins of the two metals and the equal power of every dollar in the markets at all times and in the payment of debts." Did you ever stop to think why it is that silver dollars and gold dollars cir- culate upon an equality among us, not- withstanding the silver dollar is in- trinsically worth only about half as much as the gold dollar? I have shown you the reason. It is because the govern- ment has promised that the silver dollar shall be kept as good as the gold dollar. I have read, you the promise, and I have traced for you the course of events which led to it. Let me recap- itulate them briefly. In the beginning the government gave us the double standard. It was the intention of the law that the silver should be as good as the gold. It proved not to be, and the gold left us. In 1834 Congress changed the ratio in order to bring back the gold, and it came. Then the' silver left us. In 1853 a special ratio "was adopted for frac- tional silver vyhich over-valued the coins. Then they stayed with us. In 1873 Congress made gold the legal standard of valtie. That part of that law has never been repealed. In 1878 the unlimited, Ifgal tender function. of the silver dollar •was restored and pro- 28 THE SILVER QUESTION. vision made for coining it under limi- tations. But gold was still the legal standard and it was implied on the face of the law that the silver dollar was to be as good as gold. The law of 1890 provided for still larger use of silver. In the face of the conditions then ex- isting it was pertinent to ask, Is the United States going to abandon the . gold standard and go to silver? The law answered the question. It said, "No, these silver dollars shall be as good as gold." And when in 1893^ the minds of men were full of distrust, the law said again the faith of the govern- ment was pledged to keep all the money of the people— gold, silver an?e and trust. The government has not always been able to keep its promise to the letter. In its life-or-death struggle with rebel- inon, it gave us its notes for money and asked us to trust it awhile. Those notes were not always as good as gold, but it made them so as soon as it could. So that even the greenback money con- stitutes no exception to my statement that it has always been the purpose of the law to keep all the money of the people as good as gold. The sacredness of a promise is not to be measured by the number or the form of its words, but by its meaning and the sense In which it is proposed and ac- cepted. The promise of the government that the money wblcb It issues shall be kept good is an engagement with all the people and every one of them. It is a promise to every depositor in a sav- ings bank that his money shall not rot in the bank, but that he shall take out as good as he put in. It is a promise to every working man who takes stock in a building and loan association that the association shall pay his matured shares in money as good as it received from him. It is a promise to every child in the land that its dead father's life insurance shall be paid in money as good as that which his living hand paid to the company. And this covenant, so vast, so beyond all statement in the interests that hang on it, the free silverists propose to break as though it were a rostten reed. They do not say so, any more than they say that they propose to banish gold from circulation, but the thing which they propose to do will do it as certain- ly as it will banish the gold. It is no part of the free silver pro- gram that the value of the silver coins shall be guaranteed by the govern- ment. It would be an impossible pro- posal If It were. It is practicable for a government to guarantee a limited amount of silver and keep its guaranty good. The United States is doing it to- day, and so is France, and all the other nations of the Latin Union, and several European powers besides. But an un- limited guaranty of the value of all the silver in the world, or all that anybody and everybody should bring to the mints would be a preposterous and ab- surd undertaking. It would be impossi- ble to inspire confidence in such a guar- anty. 8o that free silver coinage is of necessity a flat repudiation of the govern- ment's promise to keep the silver dollars good. The moment that step is taken the silver dollar must stand on its merits and it will be worth what the silver in it is worth, and no more. EVERYTHING WILL BEST ON SILVER. Gold and silver being each and equal- ly legal tender for all obligations, when gold retires from circulation every- thing will be lawfully payable in silver. If you take greenbacks to the United States Treasury you will get silver; if THE FREE SILVER BICYCLE. 27 you take bank notes to the bank for redemption you will get silver. The value of paper is measured by the value of the money in which it is redeemed. So that, once on a silver basis, the value of all our money will be measured by the value of the silver dollar, and that will be worth the silver in it, and not a grain more. Now we can see the full meaning of the free coinage scheme. First, It will take away from us nearly one-third of our money by driving gold out of circulation, and then destroy half the value of the remainder by placing it on a silver basis. THE FBEE SILVER BICYLE. One of the jokes which free silver cartoonists are fond of illustrating is to picture a gold standard rider wab- bling about on a one-wheeled bicycle labeled "Gold," while the free silverist is riding serenely by on a two-wheeled "safety," one wheel labeled "Gold" and the other "Silver." But the real joke is on the artist. He ought to picture the free silverist on a bicycle with nothing to hold its two wheels lo- gether — two sepai-ate wheels, each run- ning independently of the other. And a little way down the road he should show the rider with nothing left but his silver wheel, while his gold wheel is running away in the distance. The guarantee of the government Is what holds the two wheels together, and the only financial "safety" which there is in the market is the one we are riding now, and which the republi- can party pledges itself to keep and keep in good order. The point of this illustration is to emphasize the state- ment I made some time ago, that the free silver cohorts march under a false banner. Their pretence to be bimetal- lists is a fraudulent one. To deal fairly with the people they ought to say, "We do not want any gold money; we do not expect to have any; we intend to place the country on a silver basis." HONEST MONEY. Our free silver friends take great um- brage at the phrase "honest money" and say, "Is not silver as honest as gold?" Certainly; all nature is honest except when man puts a lie in her mouth. This Bubject was all threshed over In this country eighteen years ago. I remember taking a greenback from my pocket in the course of a speech in the campaign of 1878, as I now take this silver dollar, and arguing in this fash- ion. "This old greenback is an honest note; it says, 'the United States will pay the bearer Five Dollars;' that is an honest promise; it was made to be kept, it can be kept, and it will be kept. But your new fangled greenback will be a dishonest note from Its birth; it will say, 'This Is Five Dollars;' or, if it con- tains a promise it will be one impossi- ble to keep and not intended to be kept. It will be dishonest money from the start." I say the same thing of this silver dol- lar. It is an honest coin. It says to you, "I am a dollar, not because the sil- ver in me is worth a dollar, but be- cause I bring with me the guarantee of the United States that I shall be kept as good as gold." The free coinage sil- ver dollar will say, with the effrontery of Satan, "Nobody vouches for me; I am what I am, and I am a dollar." Ani that will be a lie, for it will be only fifty cents. Will that be honest money? NOT NEW. Things like this have been done be- fore. In bygone ages it was a common resource of kings who had wrung all the money they could out of the people by ta.iation to debase the currency, to issue coins of light weight or loaded with cheap alloys, and compel the pub- lic to take them at face value. But these things are recorded in the annals of the past among the crimes of tyrants- crimes perpetrated against weak, ig- norant and helpless people. It will as- tonish the muse of history to write down that at this age of the world a free and intelligent people deliberately re- surrected this old instrument of plun- der in order to defraud themselves. AND FOR WHAT? Why should we take such a step? Some one says "to make money plen- tier." But how will free silver give us more money? Its first effect will be, as I have pointed out, to take away near- ly one-third of what we have by driving 28 THE SILVER QUESTION. the gold out of circulation. How shall we supply the place of it? The United States mints as they now stand are not capable of coining more than 40,000,000 silver dollars per annum, if they were to do nothing else. At that rate it would take more than twelve years to coin silver enough to take the place of the gold which we would drive out in thirty days. Of course we could build more mints, but what would we do in the meantime— in the two, or three, or more years which must elapse between the election of Mr. Bryan and the time when we would have supplied the place of the gold with coined silver? We would have to issue some kind of paper, or else suffer from a prolonged con- traction of the currency. And if it is to be paper money, why go to silver for it? We can provide it now in any one of several ways, fend have it as good as gold instead of as good as silver. PRICES. It is said that free silver will raise prices. How can it in any useful, bene- ficial sense? Will it make people eat more food, buy more clothes, furniture, books, or railroad tickets? Will it make work so plentiful that labor will be scarce and in demand? These are the things that raise prices normally and healthfully. By cutting a dollar in two halves, and calling each half a dollar you can raise prices in the sense that you will state values in larger num- bers. In the same sense you can double the productiveness of your farms by passing a law that thirty pounds of wheat shall be a bushel. An increase of prices caused by diminishing the value of the money is fictitious, not real; it is a mere increase in figures, not in facts. Think what it would cost to effect such a change. It would have to reach everything alike. All price lists would have to be revised — wages, farm prod- ucts, manufactures, freights, railroad .fares, everything. What a fight that would make. It would be a period of universal disorganization, a general scramble, every one for himself and the devil for the last one. What quarrels it would breed between em- ployers and employes, what strikes, lockouts, boycotts, and turmoils. And when we were through with it, what would we have gained? More dollars and smaller ones. A day's work would buy no more than it does now; a bushel of wheat would exchange for no more than it does now. DEBTS. It is said, however, that it would be easier to pay old debts; that the free silver dollar, although worth only half as much as the present dollar, and' capable of buying only half as much, would be a dollar by law and would pay a dollar on a mortgage as well as tlie present dollar. This is the main argument of the free silverists and it is addressed with special assiduity to a class of men who are in a distressed situation and to whom it comes with much seductive force. The farmer who is in debt is just now traveling a hard road. The prices of all the things which he produces for sale have gone all to pieces. This does not hurt him so seri- ously if he owes no debts. His acres will produce his food as they always did. And while his surplus produces less cash than formerly that cash buys proportionally more things. His bur- dens have been increased' somewhat, like those of all the rest of us, by the altered manners and customs of llie times. We and our families all want more things than we dreamed of a generation ago. But the farmer who is not in debt, and is content to live with something like old-time economy can enjoy all his old-time comfort and independertce. A great many farmers, however, are in debt, and their case is one which deserves all the considera- tion we can give it. WOULD IT BE EIGHT? The first question to speak of in re- spect to the easy way of paying dcV>ts which the free silverists profess to offer the farmer is, Would it be right? Nothing can be made right by law which is not right in fact. An honest man can not afford to vote to change the law so as to enable him to do a thing under color of law which he could not conscientiously do aside from the law. Let me put an illustra- THE CREDITORS— WHO ARE THEY ? 29 tion. The Mexican dollar has, I wilj say, the same amount of silver in it as our silver dollar. You can buy them, I will say, for fifty cents apiece. Now suppose you owed a debt to a neighbor who was a simple-minded, credulous person, and you had it in your power to" buy a bag of Mexican dollars and pay him with them, dollar for dollar. Could' you do it as an honest man? Much less could you take him by the throat and force him to take his debt in Mexican dollars. How then can you vote for a law to compel him to take his pay in Mexicanized United States dollars? THE CREDITORS — WHO ABB THEY? Of course there can be no debtor without a creditor, and whatever the debtor may make by paying his debt in debased money the creditor must lose. And it is worth while to ask. Who are the creditors that are to stand this loss? Those mostly talked about in this dis- cussion are holders of mortgages on Western farms, and they, it is assumed, are monied corporations and capitalists of the Bast. We forget the millions of unreported, unrecorded debts between neighbor and neighbor, debts to mer- chants for goods sold, to manufactur- ers for machinery purchased, to ad- ministrators and guardians, to women for their little Investments of savings" of estate money, the sum total of which, if we could find it out, would far exceed the mortgages, that fill so much larger a place in our thoughts. But they would all be subject to the same sweeping horizontal cut, all pay- able in the same debased dollars. And if we think a minute we shall see that the larger part of the mort- gage debts to Eastern lenders are in reality debts to Individuals, many of whom are ourselves and our neighbors. Nine-tenths of the loans are from trust funds. Nearly all life insurance, for example, is now done on the mutual plan. The company collects the pre- miums, invests the money, and re- turns it to the beneficiaries under the policies, less the expenses of the busi- ness.. So that the real creditor in a mortgage to a life insurance company Js not the great company about wbich^ we think and talk, but the women and children who are to receive the noney. And these are a great multitude. I have taken the pains to obtain from some of the ablest life insurance sta- tisticians in the country the facts in reference to the magnitude of the busi- ness. Speaking in round numbers, there #re 8,000,000 life insurance poli- cies in force in the United States at this time, covering $5,600,000,000 of in- surance. The total invested assets are reported at $1,142,000,000, of which 35 per cent., or $400,000,000, are in bonds and mortgages, and 40 per cent., or $456,000,000 is in State, municipal and railroad bonds. This includes only the regular or "level" premium insurance companies, not the co-operative or fra- ternal societies conducted on the as- sessment plan, which really are to be included in this statement. For while they do not accumulate and Invest funds, like the regular companies, the assessments which their members have been paying in years past take the place of premiums and entitle their families to the death benefits just as though the certificate of membership were a regular policy. The only dif- ference is that, instead of collecting and investing their insurance fund these societies let it remain in the hands of the members until it is need- ed. The number of policies held in these societies is estimated at 1,850,000, and the aggregate amount covered by them at $5,500,000,000. So that we have a grand total of ten million poli- cies in force covering ten billion dol- lars of insurance. It is impossible to tell how many per- sons are interested in this insurance. It is not uncommon for one man to hold several policies. If we suppose the average to be two it will give us 5,000,- 000 as the number of lives insured. If we suppose the number of persons in the families of these policy-holders to average three, we shall have a total of fifteen million women and children for whom their husbands and fathers are and have been making provision In the form of life insurance by payment of good money from month to month. And 80 THE SILVER QUESTIOK. these women and children are the creditors under the $400,000,000 of mortgages that are to be paid off in fifty-cent dollars under the free silver program. SAVINGS BANK DEPOSITS. The savings banks of the United States holds $1,800,000,000 belonging to 4,800,000 deiMJsitors— an averagrf of 371 dollars for each depositor. The bulli of this money has been saved out of earn- ings in small sums — from ten cents up, and put in the bank for a rainy day- all in good money. Here are nearly five million more creditors t6 be wrong- ed by forcing them to take damaged money for good. BUILDING AND LOAN ASSOCIATIONS. There are reported 6,000 building and loan associations in the United States, Into which their members have paid $500,000,000 in dues, all in good money, but to be paid back in inferior money If the free silver scheme goes through. There are nearly two million more cred- itors to be wronged by forcing them to take damaged money for good. THE PEOPEBTr LOSS. Every debt now owing is property. If we change the law so as to compel the creditor to receive money of less value than that in which it is now pay- able we destroy that much of its value. To take away half the value of our money, by putting it on a silver basis will itself be a great destruction of property, but it will be a small matter compared with the loss of property which will be caused by making all debts payable in depreciated money. Let me illustrate: Here is a man who has insured his life for $2,000 for the beneUt of his family. The free silver policy goes into effect and the man dies. The widow receives the $2,000. We are promised that with free silver prices will go up. That is the induce- ment held out to farmers, and the high- er the better, so they are told. Suppose they have doubled. The widow's $2,000 will only go as far in keeping the wolf from the door as $1,000 goes now. Has not half of the value of that policy been destroyed? And the game would hap- pen to all kinds of Investments upon which people are relying for support in the Iiour of need. Those I have men- tioned are but samples. These are all proijerty, and the most sacred kind of property— the product of thrift, frugal- ity and affection; the reliance of age, infirmity and helpless childhood. Don't accuse me of trying to make an oratori- cal display over these things. I am talking hard facts. I am utterly una- ble to state them with adequate em- phasis. No figure of speech, no simile of fire, flood, pestilence, earthquake, or war will help us to any sufficient con- ception of the destruction of property which will follow the sudden and vio- lent- change in the value of money which the free silverists propose. Do you not see now a deeper meaning tlian I couid express to you by mere statement in that solemn promise of the Government that the equal value of all money which it has given to the people shall be maintained? It was like the promise of God when He set His bow in the sky that seed time and harvest shall not fail. And if govern- ments are ordained of Him to cari-y out His purposes among men, it was the promise of the highest authority which He has placed on earth to make and keep promises. How any God-fearing man can cast his vote to break th&t promise is a question for every voter to take home to his conscience for serious consideration. THE AFTER EFFECT. You cannot destroy property without producing distress. The millions of people who are to be made poorer by bad money will have to economize. And when millions of people skfmp trade shrinks. The annihilation of val- ues which must attend a drop to the silver basis will reach on through yeai's in its .after effects. The hardest ques- tion tliat confronts society to-day is how to find more employment for hu- man hands. There is one way and only one to solve it; and that is, to find some means to enable people to constime more things. To impoverish them by a financial revolution will compel them to consume less. WILL IT WORK? SI I am considering now the argument tliat free silver will help the farmer pay his del>ts. I have been trying to show wliat that proposal means. It means that the public faith is to be violated; that wrong is to be done to millions of innocent people; that bil- lions of dollars worth of property is to be destroyed, and the means of the people to buy and consume diminished for years to come, and that when at last the farmer comes to pay his debts in dollars of diminished value he will do an act under color and compulsion of law, which, if done outside the law he would himself pronounce to be dishon- est. WILL IT WORK? Whatever a farmer may think of the right and wrong of the business it is hardly imaginable- that he will vote for free silver in order to pay his debts in little dollars unless he has good rea- son to believe that the plan will work. It will take time to do it. We must elect a President and Congress, chajige the law, make the new money, get it into circulation, force up prices, raise the stuff and sell it. In the meantime what about the debt.s? AVhat good will it do a man to be entitled by la w to i)ay a dollar with fifty cents' worth of silver if he hasn't got tlie silver? I have given you the reasons wHy we cannot expect to go from the gold basis to a silver basis by any smooth and easy transi- tion. It must be by a slump, a jump,. a crash. In the midst of that crash, with factories closed, business suspend- ed, everything in cimos, and no set- tled value for anything, where would the farmer find a high-priced market for his products? He would be like a man who has torn down his old house before he has the material to build a new one. He would be camping in the woods, shelterless from the storm. Would his creditors wait on him under those circumstances? Either the farm- ers are paying their interest and princi- pal as it matures with reasonable promptness now, or the lenders are tol- erably lenient, for there are not very many forecl»sures in the courts. But wften tUe farmers s^rve notice o» tjjeir creditors that they inteqd to pay in de- preciated money it must be expected that the creditors will proceed to take the land wherever they can get it with- out delay. THE DEPRESSION OF AaKICULTURB. There is nothing the matter with agri- culture except that'prices of farm prod- ucts are low and have brought down with them the price of land. The rea- son why is no mystery. Machinery and competition have done it, as they have in the case of all other prices. With steamships carrying wheat a thousand miles for scarcely more than the farmer can haul it to market, all parts of the world are alilte to the Eu- ropean consumer. He can get his sup- plies from one quarter of the globe as well as another. With increasing areas under cultivation in all countries, every element of cost reduced by machinery, and all the world competing, how could the pi'ice of wheat keep up ? More than this, the electric car and bicycle are taking the place of horses at such a rate that they are scarcely worth as much as cows, and the prices of oats and com suffer in consequence. That Jiurts the price of wheat. Again and further, the growing variety of our modern food supply affects the price of the great staple. With oatmeal, cheap- meat, cheap sugar, and cheap fruits, man no longer lives by bread alone. All these things count Free silverists sometimes point to the fact tliat wheat and silver have pre- served a degree of parallelism in their price changes as evidence that silver is steadier in value than gold. The true inf ei'ence is the other way. It is rso cer- tain that under the influence of' the myriad causes tending to that end the price of wheat has fallen that the fact that silver has in some measure kept pace with it is evidence that silver has fallen. TlIE APPRECIATION OF GOLD, Our free silver friends claim that the fall in prices is all due to the apprecia- tion of gold. "Nothing has fallen," they say, "gold has risen." Let us consider that question. It is undoubtedly true 82 THE SILVER QUESTION. that no form of property In the world is absolutely unchangeable in value. And this fact makes some kinds of change very difficult to detect. It has recently been discovered that a change of rela- tive level between the Gulf of Mexico and the land at the mouth of the Mis- sissippi River, amqunting to about a foot, has taken place within a few years. Either the gulf has risen, or the land has gone down; but which? And so of gold. Has it gone up, or have other things come down? What we need is some third standard of reference — something which we can safely say has not changed, or which has changed least of all things, with which we can compare gold on one side and other things on the other. There is such a third standard to which I shall refer in a moment. In discussing values we usually look first at the conditions of supply and de- mand. So far as these can be relied on they do not indicate an appreciation in the value of gold. I have prepared a table showing the world's production of that metal for the present century, ar- ranged in decades, and with the totals for the first half and the last half of the century added up separately. The pro- duction for the present decade is esti- mated from the known production since 1890, which has averaged $163,- 000,000 per annum. 1801-1810 $118,152,000 1811-1820 76,063,000 1821-1830 94,479,000 1831-1840 134,841,000 1841-1850 363,928,000 Total forthe half century. $787,463,000 1851-1860 $1,332,981,000 1861-1870 1,263,015,000 1871-1880 1,150,814,000 1881-1890 1,060,052,000 1891-2000, partly estimated 1,630,000,000 Total for the half cen- tui-y $6,436,865,000 As will be seen, the production for the fifty years just closing, is over eight times that of the preceding fif- ty. It would seem as though, so far as ■production has anything to do with it, that gold ought to be getting cheaper instead of dearer. On the other side it is to be said, however, and quite truly, that within the last fifty years there has been a vast expansion of business throughout the world and so an in- creased use for gold as money. It Is hard to measure this increase, but if the business were transacted at the present time by the same methods which were in use during the first half of the centuiy, perhaps we would need eight times as much money to do it with. But that is not the case. More than ninety per cent, of the business of this country is transacted by checks; notes, drafts, credits and clearing house settlements without the use or handling of any money of any kind, either coin or paper. And it is measurably so throughout the world wherever the largest volumes of business are done. Hence the argument based on the in- creased amount of business to be pro- vided for is fairly met by the fact of the increased facilities for doing it. It is to be borne in mind, also, that this six billions of gold produced within fifty years has not been used up, as the wheat and cotton produced within the same time have been, but is on hand to- day less the small natural diminution by loss and wear. , There is one cause in operation tend- ing distinctly to enhance the value of gold as compm-ed with silver; and that is the recent drift toward the gold standard throughout the world. And possibly that tendency may be effectual in slight degree to enhance the value of gold as compared with other things. But upon the whole, all the facts relat- ing to production, use and demand taken together, fail to afford any ground for belief that the general fall in prices is due in any substantial degree to an appreciation in the value of gold. THE WAGES STANDARD. I said a moment ago that there waiJ a third standard by means of which we could get some light on the ques- tion whether gold has risen or other things fallen. If it takes a man a day to make a chair, he ought to receive as THE WAGES STAKDARD. 33 wages the money necessary to buy a chair— neglecting for this illustration the profits of the middle man. If, by the introduction of machinery, his labor is made so much more efficient that he can make two chairs a day, he ought to receive as wages the money necessary to buy two chairs. Now this does not mean that he ouglit to re- ceive twice as much money as before, but that he ought to receive the chairs at half the price he paid before. The only absolutely just measure of a man's wages is his proportionate share of the product of the labor of all. If a million men co-operating in all the pursuits of life, produce a certain aggregate amount of food, clothing, furniture, books and houses, each man is en- titled, upon an average, to one mill- ionth part of the whole. Of c6urse, I do not mean that the product of labor ought to be divided equally per capita. Each man's share ought to be propor- tional to his effective contribution to the general aggregate of work done. But that gives the average man an equal share in the result. If then by organization and machinery this mill- ion men make' their labor so much more effective that the aggregate product of it is twice as much food, clothing, fur- niture, books and houses as were pro- duced before, each man ought still to have, on an average, one millionth part of the whole. And that would give liim twice as many things. And to give him this it is not necessary to increase his wages in money. It accomplishes the same end to decrease the money price of the things. That is exactly what has been going on before our eyes for twenty-five years and more, and is going on still. The . decreasing price of commodities repre- sents the increasing efficiency of labor, the money standard remaining un- changed. We assume in all our trans- actions that money is an unchangeable thing. I borrow a thousand dollars for ten years upon the assumption that at the end of that time a thousand dollars will represent the same value that I' borrowed. And it will represent the same value if it represents the same amount of human labor; otherwise not. All property except land and its natur.il appurtenances are the product of labor. The real unit of value is a day's work. As long as the money value of a day's work remains unchanged, the money itself is unchanged. A rise In the world round value of gold would mean a fall in the world round rate of wages. That tliis has not taken place is the highest possible evidence that gold has not risen in value. Other things have fallen and are continually falling be- cause they represent less and less hu- man labor. This must be so and mr.st continue, or society ca,n not exist. .-Vs the countless army of machines invade one occupation after another what are the displaced workmen to do? As the efficiency of labor increases where shall it find its market? It must find one somewhere or else more and more persons must go unemiJloyed. .'\nd when we come to the point tliat only half of the people can find euiplojniont, what will the other half do? There is but one answer to these questions. As the efficiency of labor increases the marlcet must grow hy increased consumption of the products of labor. We must all use more things, and more, and more and more. Ancf how can we do that unless they .grow cheaper, and cheaper, and cheaper? This is the answer that God Almighty is giving us as he unrolls the scroll of time in our sight. The efficiency of labor is increasing day by day; prices are falling day by day; we are using more things day by day. And we must go on in that way or society will go to pieces. We cannot stop the march of events; we cannot suppress Invention; we can not keep the machines out of the world. And we ought not to want to. That is the way onward and up- war. That is the way to distribute the largest number of blessings among the largest number of people. As '"things fall, men rise." You will understand, of course, that in these remarks I am taking a very broad view of the subject. When we come to consider the price of a particu- lar thing at a particular time and place 84 • THE SILVER QUESTION. these general influences are subject to be modified by many particular cir- cumstances. Thus, while machinery has made chairs generally very cheap, it has not made walnut chairs very cheap, because walnut timber is scarce. While clothes generally are cheap, seal- skin coats are not cheap because the Canucks have killed off the seals. The American farmer is at this time the suf- ferer from a combination of special cir- cumstances of the kind referred to. The era of railroad extension has passed its climax in this" country, but has not reached it in the tardily mov- ing quarters of the earth. The use of machinery and Improved methods of cultivation are showing their effect ev- erywhere. Old Egypt, a country which we have been accustomed to think of only as a page of history— a mummy land, comes to the front this year, it is said, with 1,500,000 bales of cotton— one-eighth of a sufficiency to supply the whole world. That hurts not only the cotton farmer of the South, but the wheat farmer of the North as well. For in the face of such prices as confront him, the cotton farmer must change his methods; he must take to raising his own food. He is doing so now to a greater extent than ever before. An- other unfavorable circumstance affect- ing the farmer is that the things which he has to sell are peculiarly sensitive to adverse conditions. They are perish- able, costly to transport, and tiie mar- ket for them is inelastic. When the world has food enough it has no use for any more. A surplus damages the price of the whole more injuriously than any other kind of surplus. More- over, the farmer is unable to do any- thing for his own protection. In other crafts men unite for self defense. Workingmen organize to maintain their wages; manufacturers combine to hold up their prices; but the farmer has to take things as they come. And so at this particular juncture, with every- thing in the world seeming to be con- spiring against him, the Suez Canal, the North Sea Canal, the new ocean freighters, the expanding railroad sys- tems of foreign lands, the universal in- troduction of machinery, the electric car, the bicycle, and the swarrai.ig in- to his business of millions of competi- tors all round the world, all of wh'.ch h« has to meet with a millstone of debt hanging about his neck, it is no wonder that the American "armer is in a state of mind bordering on despera- tion. It was not always so. Twenty-five years ago he was the happiest of men — if he had known it. He was the first in the field under the new dispensation. He was the first to use the seed drill and the harvester. He was the first to have a railroad from his barn door to the sea. He was farming lands of virgin fertility which cost him little— in the far West nothing, and which grew In value while he slept. He did not stop to think— why should he— that these conditions could not last forever. He accustomed himself and his family to modes of life easy enough to main- tain at the time and contracted debts easy enough to pay as things were. But things have changed. His turn will come again. The world depends on him for subsistence as it, always has. He can never be counted out. And while in the round of econ- omic changes continually going on he may be pinched for a time; it cannot be for always, nor in our own country for long. The population of the United States increases yearly; its acres of land do not. They are practically all occupied. Their productiveness has passed its maximum. The time is coming— it is bound to come — when it will be all he can do to feed his neigh- bors, and there will be no surplus to export. I thought eight years ago that we would reach that point before this. I missed it in that expectation, but, as I still believe, only as to the time; not as to the fact. The time may be long yet to an embarrassed debtor, but it will be short in the history of the age. I know it is not much comfort to say all this. Men in distress want relief now. And the free silver orator who offers it in his hand, who tells the tarm- ers that nothing is necessary but ten lines of legislation to give them plenty THE KETUHN OP CONFlUKNCE. SS Of money to pay their debts Is the man who has the easy part in this cam- paign. Mine is a more thankless taslc. To prick so shining a bubble, to ilaah such alluring hopes, to expose the iftter Impossibility of so inviting a seiieme Is a tluty to bo performed; not a yh-MS- ure to be enjoyed. It is I, not these Don Quixotes who have enlisted to fight England, whoso appeal is truly to your courage, your patriotism, your in- tegrity. The noblest courage is the courage to do right. The truest piitriot- Ism is that which holds alike in i.'stima- tion the Just rights of all. the abiding welfare of all, and the sacred honor of the government. THE RETURN OF CONFIDENCE. While I have no such glittering prom- ises to offer as those '■ liich are sown broadcast by our free silver friends, I have that which seems to me to be bet- ter. It is the assurance of "tlie return of natural and wholesome business ac- tivity as soon as we know for sure that the faith of the government Is to be kept and the value of our money pre- served. For years the free silver move- ment has been an Impending threat to all business. The relations of parties to it have been such that no decisive settlement of It was possible until now. But now it is with our reach. A defeat of the Chicago ticket that will speak a Judgment of condemnation against the free silver scheme so clear and emphat- ic that It cannot be misunderstood will be a signal of emancipation. I do not say that the conditions will be perfect for the highest development of our re- sources. But the first condition — the condition without which all else is vain— the possession of sound money, will be achieved. Confidence will bs restored. Millions of dollars now lying Idle will seek employment In useful channels. With seventy millions of people within our own borders to be fed, clothed and housed, with the most perfect Industrial and social organiza- tion in the world, with railroads thread- ing every part of the land, with shops built and machinery in place, there is nothing wanting to our reasonable hap- piness and prosperity but that we shall go to work cheerfully and hopefully and use the fruits of our labor wLsely and economically. All of that we can do and will do as soon as we get our feet on the solid foundation of restored credit and general contlden*e. In the blessings of this awakened activity ev- ery home and every farm will par- ticipate. By the natural and healthful expansion of trade it will increase con- sumption, enlarge the market and stim- ulate prices wherever they are ab- normally low. That it will at once solve all the diffloullies that face us it would be foolish to pretend. But it will be a step toward that end by the only road that leads to It. I feel to the full the force of that pitiful, blind, despairing argument that comes at the end of the silver discus- sion and nearly all other political dis- cussions from thousands of men who know not what else to say that "there's something wrong." Yes, there is some- thing wrong, and a great deal that is wrong. Wo founded this government on-the declaration that all men are born equal and equally entitled to life, liberty and the pursuit of liappiness. But we have not lived up to it. We have let that equality be turned into inequality. We have not seen to it that the law shall secure to every man his equal and just opportunity. We have let the shrewd over-reach the simple and the strong bear down the weak. The land is full to-day of organized bands of men who differ from the brigand bands of old only In their methods of plunder. Millions are ac- cumulated in hands that never earned them. The genius of the Inventor and the skill of the artisan, which have made labor so otKcient that its burdens ought to be abridged and its rewards multiplied, have their first fruits con- fiscated by the sharp and the smart. We passed a law six years ago intend- ed to thwart the rapacity of trusts and combines. It has been effectual only to repress strikes. Those who suffer most from these wrongs do not know how to remedy them. They listen to pleasing tales from demagogues who are as unworthy THE SILVER QUESTION. as the plutocrats. They strike blindly at corporations, and employers, and the rich with blows that react on them- selves. The great parties that hold in their hands the power and have in theii: ranlis the men wlio could doll with these questions do nothing. We are all guilty and our punishment will come as surely as justice lives. This very free silver movement is one of o'.ir warnings. It has behind it many forces. Some of them rest on mere selfish greed which time will expose and which we can afford to despise. Some of them rest on innocent delu- sions which we can regard with com- passion and without grave apprehen- sion. But under and behind all is the ominous growl of discontent. The so- cialist supports it. Tlie anarchist sup- ports it. It seems to all the unreason- ing, sullen, dissatisfied elements of society to furnish an opportunity to fitrilie a blow at the rioli and the pros- perous. And we' shall be altogether wanting in the dischai'ge of our duties If we are content merely to put down what some are pleased to call the "free silver craze." The country must be rescued from its imniincnt danger. Th«;| honor of its government must be vin dicated, and the purity of its life blood-j, the money of its business, must be pre| served. Tliat is our first duty. Bufj next will come the duty to give oui] thoughts and our energies as wo liavij never given them before, to tlie greatci;] work of bringing our laws and oui- in-j stitutions up to the level of our profesj siona, and under and by means of then" securing to the simple and the wealj and the poor that protection against the oppressions of the crafty and tlie strond which will alone give every man equal opportunity, according to the gifts with which his Maker has endowed him, td enjoy Ills equal right to life, liberty and the pui-suit of happiness. I hope and 1' believe that this deep lesson of thie; campaign of 1896 will not be lost on us If it shall be so then we shall have an- other illustration following many in tlie world of the wonderful ways iBJ whicli the wrath of man is made tcj pral:ie God. Bryan, and Altgeld, and] Tillman will have served their day and generation well, though not as they in-; tended. ■''^^M l^M liSSS '■^^- -'--^'S.