SUPPüY I and demand THE Only Source of Value. À Discussion of the Money Question —BY— WIÜÜIAM H. BERRY, | I Chester, Pa. i I Sint^le Copies, i ç cents ; two for 2Ç cents, postpaid, i Lots of loo for free distribution, at cost. COPYRI(3HT, i8()8. MOKMNG RHPUBLICAN PRINT. CHESTER, PA. rafUbrary j SUPPLY and DElWAflD THE Only Source of Value. A Discussion of the Money Question —BY— WlüüIñiVI H. BERRY, Chester, Pa. Single Copies, ^ cents; two for 2^ cents, postpaid. Lots of 100 for free distribution, at cost. COPYRIGHT, 1898. MORNING REPUBLICAN PRINT, CHESTER, PA. Ë> 5^3 Introduction. During tliêiâSt Presidential campaign I handed to a friend a work on " Bimetalism " by Wharton Barker, with a request that he read it carefully. Some weeks afterward I asked him what he thought of it. He answered with a smile that " life was too short " for him to read a book like that. I knew that he was straining every nerve to make a living and to pay the interest on a mortgage which, if foreclosed, would absorb every shred of his property and rob him of the hard earned savings of a lifetime, and I hoped to show him the cause of his trouble and the remedy for it. He voted against independent Bimetalism, as I believe, in ignorance of the facts in the controversy. I have centered this discussion upon what seem to me to be the critical points in the cas'e, and have made it as brief as possible, though I trust not too brief for clearness, in the hope that ray friend and other victims of the present system may find time to read it. The argument endeavors to show that a short supply of money has increased its value and reduced the price or debt- paying power of property and products. This insolvency of property deters men from producing it and enforces idleness, thus causing an irreparable loss to those who can least afford it. In the struggle to maintain prices trusts and combines are formed, strikes, lockouts, riots and bloodshed ensue, and an intensifying alignment of our people into "classes " results. Free competition in th-i production of money will remedy this evil by giving to every man who wants to work a chance to do so, and the free and independent coinage of silver at i6 to I with gold in the United States, is a just, safe and patriotic method of effecting this result. The facts which have compelled me to the conclusions reached, are set forth in the tables appended. They are taken from the latest publications (Feb. 1898) of the United States Treasury, and from no other source. They are therefore reli¬ able. The facts as to the fall in prices as shown in Table I are confirmed in the experience of every citizen. I have arranged the statistical facts as to the Production, Coinage and Movement of Gold and Silver so as to emphasize the points of my argument- I believe that this set of tables will be found of great value to students of the question. Whatever of original thought may be expressed in this book, together with the compilation of the rest, I dedicate to the cause of humanity May God speed the right. WIUDIAM H. BERRY. CONTENTS. CHAPTKR I VALUE. Intrinsic Value—What Is Value?—Supply and Demand—The Source of Value—Utility is not Value—Demand—Demand Resisted— Value may rise Indefluitely—Fall in Value Limited by cost of Pro- duetlon—Skill and Advantage In Production—Automatic Regulation of Values—Artificial Control of Values by Trusts—All Trusts and Combines Condemned—Improved Methods of Production—The Value of Labor. 1-6 CHAPTER II. A MEASURE OF VALUE. What Is It to Measure Value?—An Average Standard—A Com¬ modity Standard—Stability Required—Methods of Regulating the Standard—Labor not a Suitable Standard—Labor: Its Value and Debt-paying Power—Units Established by Law. - . - 7-10 CHAPTER III. THE AMERICAN DOLLAR OUR STANDARD. The Demand for Dollars—The Supply of Dollars—The Produc¬ tion of Dollars—The Dollar the Standard—Value and Price Contrast¬ ed—Per capita Circulation not a Test of Value—Oae Dollar as good as another—Discrimination destroys Parity. - - - 11-15 CHAPTER IV. SUBSTITUTES. Gold and Silver Coin Insufficient—Substitutes for Dollars—Bank Notes—Character and Cost of Producing Substitutes—Substitutes Unreliable—Not Enough of Dollars—Enormous use of Substitutes— The Limit of Substitution—A Difference in Substitutes. - 16-20 CHAPTER V. THE VALUE OF GOLD AND SILVER. Recapitulation—The Value of Gold—The Value of Silver Prior to 1873—Parity under Free Coinage—Foreign Exchange as Aflfectlng Parity—Dlffei-ent Coinage Ratios as Affecting Parity—Theory of Bi- metalism—Experience of Blmetallsm—Importance of this Country ? fo\ IV CONTENTS. in the Past—Importance of thi-» Country Now—No Reason for De¬ monetizing Silver in 1873—Demand for and Supply of Gold—Tiie Present Value of Silver—Silver at par with other Commodities — The Effect of Free Coinage of Silver. ... - 21-80 CHAPTER VI. THE TEST QUESTION. The Arithmetic of Facts—Production of ßilver—Present Produ t all Consumed—Increased Production—Probable Supply of Silver— The Demand for Jlooey—The Immediate Demand for Silver—The Current Demand for Money—Demand Unlimiied—Our Debts Abroad —Our Present Needs—What of the Future?—Hon. A. J. Bdfour on Standards—Trusts and Combines born of Falling Prices—Tiie Present Inquiry. -, 31-41 CHAPTER VII. THE EFFECT OF FALLING PKICES. Government vs. Private Regulation—Senator Hoar and Shylock— The Owners of fixed debts in Go'd—The Agents of these gold Own¬ ers—Officials who are hired—European Cereal Consumers-Europe vs. United States—Our Doss their Gain—Loss to Farmers—Wheat and Sliver—Prices have not fallen in silver using Countries—Mexican vs. American—Disadvantage of Americans—England's use of Aihe i- can silver in India—Who wants Bimetalism?—Standard of Pros¬ perity. 42-51 CHAPTER VIII. OBJECTIONS ANSWERED. 50-cent Dollars—Building Associations, etc.—Parity as Measured in Property—Maintaining Parity of Silver with Gold Money—Dis¬ crimination (Legal)—The Law—Discrimination in Defiance of Law— A False Pretense—The Pledge of Government—Why not Change the Ratio?—There has been mere Silver Coined since 1873 than Before— We want "Honest Money"—We want "Sound Money". 52 59 inNTZDEX: TO -A-T'.PEITIDIX:. TABbE I.—Prices of Leading Articles Produced and Matiufactured in the United States as given in the Statistical Abstract of the United States for 1S97. published in February, 1Ö98. .... I TABLE IL—Movement of Silver Coin and Bullion. ... II TABLE III.—Gold and Silver Coined in France Converted at per 25 francs. II TABLE IV,—Production, Coinage and Relative Value of Gold and Silver in the world since 1792. . . . . . .Ill TABLE V.—Production and Coinage of Gold and Silver in the United States IV CHAPTER I. Value. Intrinsic Valne What is Valae?—Supply and Demand—The Source of Value—ITtility is not Value—Demand—Demand Resisted—Value may rise indefiuitely—Fail in value limited by cost of Froduc tlon—Skill and Advantage in Production—Automatic Regulation of Values—Artlflcial ContrpI of Values by Trusts—All Trusts and Combines Condemned—Improved Methods of Production—The value of I.abor. A confased and often erroneous conception of the phe¬ nomena of value is current in the minds of many intelligent men, and since clear thinking on fundamental principles is necessary to an intelligent conclusion we propose - to discuss- this question briefly, first : The persistent chatter of the newsp'apers, and other would- be teachers, about the " Intrinsic Value " of a gold dollar, and the universal habit of comparing all' other values to that of gold leads many to suppose that the value of gold is inherent and cannot change, and in order to- free our minds of this error let us first enquire What is Value ? We answer that the value of an article is what it will bring in the open market, or in other words, its " purchasing power" or " power in exchange," and thus understood it is not and cannot be " intrinsic " or inherent in gold or in any other substance. As the altitude of a balloon is fixed at a point where the- force of gravity is balanced by the buoyancy of the atmos¬ phere, so the value of everything in the world is fixed by the- contending forces of Supply and Demand and at a point where these forces balance each other,- The fooljishness of referring to the ' ' intrinsic ' ' height of a balloon is at once apparent, and to speak of the " intrinsic " ■2 VALUE. value of anything is equally absurd. Value refers to the po¬ sition of a thing andSIŒto any quality it may possess. The Source of Value. Value, or "Power in Exchange" is not only fixed or regulated by the contention of Supply and Demand, but it is actually created by it, and does not and cannot exist in the absence of it. Utility is not Value. It is an error to suppose that because of certain intrinsic qualities an object is useful or desirab'e, and is therefore valu¬ able.' Nothing could be more misleading. As an illustration, take the air we breathe. Its intrinsic qualities render it use¬ ful, desirable and even necessar> to every human being, and yet it is absolutely valueless. One cannot get anything in ex¬ change for a bushel or for a ton of it. Here, then, is the spec¬ tacle of an exceedingly useful thing entirely without value. While on the other hand there are some things that one might mention which are quite valuable and are not only useless but are positively harmful and destructive in their effects. The victims of the alcohol or opium habit will give anything they possess on earth in exchange for these drugs, while it is clearly seen that they are rapidly destroying those who use them. And so we see value where there is no utility, as well as utility where there is no value. " Demand The qualities, inherent or otherwise, (they may be and often are purely imaginary) in an object, tend to make it de¬ sirable and to create a demand for it, and it is important to notice that, the more uses to which an article can be put, and the more imperative the necessities which these uses supply, the greater and the more imperative will be the demand for it. But however broad and imperative the demand may be, there will be no value whatever unless the demand is resisted by a short supply, and the contention is set up between tho^e who Jiave it and those who want it. The life-sustaining qualities VALTO. J of air, for whicli there is no substitute, render it absolutely necessary to every man and an imperative demand arises from every quarter, and yet it h^s no value because the demand is not resisted. The supply is everywhere abundant. Demand Resisted. Take the case of water, and for the same reasons the de¬ mand is universal and imperative, but in certain sections the supply is limited, and the demand is resisted to a degree that gives tise to value, and water is "sold" or exchanged for other things. Values May Rise Indefinitely. As the resistance of short supply in the presence of im¬ perative demand increases, the value (of water for instance) rises until in many places it is considerable, while to the fam¬ ishing survivor of shipwreck or the bewildered traveler in an arid desert it may become infinite, Any ciTcumstance, providential or man-made, which af¬ fects the supply whilf the demand remains the same will af¬ fect the value of anything, and any circumstance that affects the demand while the supply remains the same will affect the value with equal certainty. The rise in values due to a short supply is not controlled or limited by the effoi t or sacrifice necessary to produce or distribute the article valued (cost of production.) It is-easy to conceive that one might be willing to give all his earthly possessions for a quart of water which may have cost its owner nothing. The Fall in Values is Limited by the cost of production. In the presence of a constant de¬ mand an over-supply of an article would reduce its value to nothing (as in the case of air) or, if labor or sacrifice were re¬ quired in its production, to a point where its producers would cease to find a profit, at which point production would neces¬ sarily cease until the supply was reduced and the value raised. 4 VALUE. Skill and Advantage in Production. Under the stimulus of demand for a new article, or the enlarged use of an old one, the value may rise so far above the cost of production as to enable persons without skill and with crude implements and unfavorably located to engage in its production, but as soon as the demand is fully met the value will begin to fall and those who are producing under the greatest disadvantage will be first compelled to cease and each in turn until finally only those of consummate skill and perfect equipment can continue. In the struggle for existence as between these (the fittest) the value may temporarily fall below the cost of production, but ultimately enough and only enough of producers will sur¬ vive to supply the demand at a reasonable profit. Automatic Regulation of Values. The foregoing, briefly stated, are the universal laws of commerce, and may be depended upon through all time to govern and regulate all the phenomena of value. The cost of production will mark the lowest permanent range of values, and competition, if left free, will be a guarantee against con¬ tinued extortion. Artificial Control of Values by means of trusts and combines is in the nature of a con¬ spiracy and works an inj ustice to all producers outside of the pool. Such effort can only be successful on the assumption that the producers who combine to restrict production will also conspire to deter others from entering their field with new capital and equipment. This is done by temporarily lower¬ ing prices when the new enterprise is started, thus forcing it . to cease or sell out to the combine. When the competition is destroyed, prices may be again advanced. The manipulators of certain trusts or combines which are incorporated and whose stocks are listed in the market, are able by speculative trading in their own stock, to make money for themselves whilé selling their product at less than cost. 6ome of the most notorious combines of the present are YALUE. 5 able by controlling the raw materials and the means of tr:iiis- portation to so discriminate against their competitors as to make their business unprofitaijle. All Trusts and Combines Condemned. Nothing is more certain than that all such combinations ate prejudicial to the general welfare, because in the nature of the case they restrict production and encourage ,or enforce idleness, and if practiced by all would result in the ultimate stagnation of all enterprise. Improved Methods of Production. The cost of producing anything includes all the materials of every kind that are used in its construction as well as all th eeffort, time and sacrifice that are involved in its creation and distribution to the point of consumption or ultimate stor¬ age, and since civilized man is progressive and is continually adding to his experience and improving the direction and char¬ acter of his eSorts, as well as the tools and appliances with which he works, a corresponding reduction in the cost of pro- -ducing commodities, as measured in human toil, occurs. In order to encourage the improveifaent of methods and machinery of production the government justly gives to those who make the improvements an exclusive privilege to use them for a period of years (17 in this country), after which it is thr(?wn open to the public and in competition all may inherit the benefits of the march of improvement. Under fair economic conditions this should and would re¬ sult in a constant increase in the rewards of toil, and the value of labor would constantly rise as measured in any and all of its products. The Value of Labor is just as certainly due to the law of supply and demand as are other values, but since every laborer is a consumer and can furnish a demand for the product of his own toil, or its equivalent in the product of his neighbor, there cannot pos¬ sibly be an over-supply of labor if the opportunitj' to labor 6 VALUE, and to exchange products is not restricted, and therefore the statement that the value of labor should constantly rise as compared to the value of its products is certainly true, and that the value of all products as compared to labor should con¬ stantly fall is equally true. If there be a product to which the improved methods and skill in production has not been and cannot be applied, and the demand for which continues, its value will range above that of its fellows and tend to keep pace with the value of labor, but such instances are extremely rare if, indeed, any exist, so that we have every reason to expect that the wages of the laborer will continually rise as measured by his pro¬ ducts and in proportion to his increased ability with improved tools to produce them. CHAPTER II. A rieasure of Value. What Is it to mrasiir)* Value?—An Av<>ra;;e Standard—A Commodity Standard—Stability Required-Methods of Regulating the Stand¬ ard—liUbor not a suitable Standard—Labor : lis value and debt- paying Power—Units Established by Law. In the' exigencies of commerce it becomes necessary to have some means of comparing or measuring values, just as in the mechanic arts it becomes necessary to compare weights and extensions, and as we establish the "pound", which is the force with which a certain quantity of metal is attracted toward the earth under certain conditions, and the '' yard ", which is the length of a pendulum which will vibrate in a cer¬ tain length of time under certain conditions, as the basis of our physical comparisons or as " units ' ' in the terms of which our statements of weight and extension may be expressed and our records kept, so also must we establish a unit of value in the terms of which our records of value may be made and kept. What is It to Measure Value? In measuring or re.cording the value of an article we do not undertake to say how far above or below the cost of pro¬ duction it may be, but our purpose is to state its position as related or compared to other things, and in order to do this we mnst by common consent select or create a certain thing as a standard and state that the thing to be located or valued is above or below the staudard as the case may be. An Average Standard. . It is urged by some that a line should be drawn striking an average of the values of all the leading articles of commerce and that our records should refer to this and our units be based upon it, and there is no doubt that a fairly just measure could be thus obtained ; but we think that the difficulty of artificially fixing and regulating such a standard would be greater than the advantäge gained, for the necessity of a circulating medium 8 A MÖASURE OF VALUE. to be used as money and represent the unit quantity of average commodity would still remain, and unless redemption on de¬ mand was provided this form of currency would " fluctuate " in value under the stress of supply and demand the same as any other kind of money. A Commodity Standard. We think that the present method of selecting or creating a tangible commodity to which all other commodities shall re¬ fer for comparison will be found most satisfactory, for the reason that it would be produced by labor under free compe¬ tition and if the value rose, production would be stimulated and the rise checked ; if it fell, the cost of production would check producers who were poorly equipped and restore equi¬ librium. Stability Required. The standard however established should be as stable as possible, and the difficulty of creating a just standard is not small ; in fact it is impossible, and we must be content with a reasonable approach to exact justice. The difficulty grows out-of the fact we haVe stated, that whatever we may create or select as our standard will itself be subject to a varying influence of supply und demand and will rise and fall in value. Slight and temporary changes iti the value of the standard, like the element of friction in mechanics, may and in the na¬ ture of the case must be endured. Methods of Regulating the Standard. To regulate the standard and prevent a wide and perma¬ nent divergence from the average of values two methods are proposed : First, the artificial control of the supply by the creating authority ; and second, the automatic regulation of the supply by free competition in production under the gen¬ eral laws of trade. The first contemplates a comparatively costless creation like paper money produced by the creating authority as its judgment may dictate. We think this method quite possible, but not the best for reasons that will appear as we proceed. A MEASURE OF VALUE. Labor not a Suitable Standard. It is contended by some that labor or " humán toil" is the only true measure of value, and if the concrete result of toil is meant, such as a ton of iron or a yard of cloth, we will not dissent, but nothing is more certain than the impossibility of establishing a just standard directly from labor, such as a •'day's work" or a "month's service". No two persons will give the same result from the same hours of service. Differences in capacity make it impossible, and differences in disposition as to industry make it unlikely, even if possible. If, however, we take a given amount of commodity of stand¬ ard perfection, such as a ton of iron, then he of the greater capacity and industry will justly reap a corresponding reward in its production, so that at the last analysis the commodity standard finally and justly rests on labor. But again, one of the prime uses of a standard unit of value is to keep a record of debts to be paid in future, and if a debt was made payable twenty-five years from dale, in, say " looo- hours of service", the march of improvement in skill and appliances would give to the creditor at the end of ilie time a- larger return than was his due, for the service " due him is the service of a period twenty-five years ]'ast, which was less valuable than is the service of the present. The creditor is entitled to the increment in the efficiency of his own efforts during that time, but not to that of his debtor. The commodity standard gives to the creditor his just due, and to both debtor and creditor the just reward of their efforts to improve the effectiveness of their labor, and also discriminates justly in favor of the able and industrious workman. Labor : Its Value and Debt-paying Power. We digress a little from the line of our argument at this' point to expose a sophistry that has misled many persons im considering this question. It is affirmed thit the wage«-- of labor as stated in money, " are as high now as ever they were, and that the mone> earned will buy twice as much as formerly and therefore the wages of labor have been doubled and lo A U'EASUfeE OE VAttTK. without stopping to investigate âtid test" the first part of this questionable statement, but admitting for the sake of argument that the whole statement is true, we call attention to the fact^ that although the value of labor as measured in its products may have increased twofold, its debt-paying power has not in¬ creased at all, and the d'ebt-o\Vning class has been able to reap all the benefits of the march of improvement at the expense of the laborer who, at the last analysis, must pay all the debts and interest charges, and with twice as mUch of the fruit of his toil as was contemplated in the contract. This of course is not true of diebts of recent Contraction, but as the great body of our debt is of several years' standing" it is generally speaking true, and will be true entirely if the present condition continues. Units Established by Law. In every civilized country the various units of mteasnre- ment are of necessity established by law, and with sole regard' fo the convenience of its own people. The unit of weight in this country î's authoritatively fixed' and called a ' ' pound ' ', and is carefully defined as the force of gravity upon' a certain quantity of mtetal under certain in-- femal and external conditions. The unit of value in this country is the American dollar.- CHAPTER m. The American Dollar our Standard. The Demand for Dollars—The Supply of Dollars—The Produetl«m of Dollars—The Dollar the Standard—Value and Price Contrast» ed—Per capita Circulation not a Test of Value—One Dollar as Oood as Another—Discrimination Destroys Parity. The unit of value in this country was created and fixed iin 1792, and was called, a "Dollar"., Its.value or purchasing Ipower was fixed by the Law of Supply and Demand,, as are all ■other values. The Demand for Dollars •grows out of the fact that they are made by law a legal tender for; all debts public and private in this country. Because of thi^ quality they perform all the functions of money in i the fip^d of commerce and are in universal, imperative and' ,per-. ipetual demand. The Supply df Dollars »was left open to competitive production under the law which iprovided for the free and unlimited coinage of silver on private account at the rate of 371)^ grains of pure silver to the dollar. • The law distinctlyjstated that the dollar or unit should consist of 371^^ grains of pure silver and has never beerr chanted in this particular. It also provided for the free coin¬ age of gold into multiples of the dollar at the rate of 24% grains of ppre gold to the dollar. The amount of gold in a dolLr has been changed twice since, and the fr.ee coi nage, of silver was suspended in ,187^.. The Production of Dollars. The production of one or the other of thesé Commodities is the only way in which an individual has ever been permit¬ ted to manufacture money, and since 1873 it has only been- ipossible by producing gold ; but the government from time to .time has exercised its constitutional right to " coin money " THE AMERICAN HOETAR of other substances such as nickel and copper, and to print it on paper. In i86r, $60,000,000 of paper money was issued, "which was a full legal tender redeemable in coin, and many millions more of partial legal tender quality has been issued since. Under the Constitution the States are restrained from making anything but gold and silver a legal tender, so that the only source of legal tender paper money is ihe general government. National" Bank notes are issued under the super¬ vision of the general government and are receivable for public dues, but are not a legal tender as between individuals. It must be carefully noted that neither gold or silver or paper is or can be " money " until it is stamped by the gov¬ ernment into a "dollar" or some fraction or multiple of a dollar, and we repeat with all possible emphasis that the value of a dollar is due simply and only to the fact that the laws of this country give it the exclusive power to pay debts public and private in this country and thereby creates an imperative demand for it which is resisted by a more or less limited sup¬ ply, and hence it has value. If the supply of dollars is in¬ creased or diminished in the presence of a fixed demand by any means whatever, the value or purchasing power will fall or rise in response, and if the demand should vary in the pres¬ ence of a fixed supply a like result would follow. The Dollar the Standard. I Let us clearly understand then that it is the "dollar", considered as a manufactured commodity, and not the raw ma¬ terial of which it may be made that is our standard of value, and that the demand for ' ' dollars ' ' and not the demand for the materials of which they are made gives value to our money. We now have some $500,00(^,000 of silver dollars which are as valuable as our gold coins, and yet the silver in them is worth less than half as much as the dollar. The gold in our coins is of course worth as much as the coin because gold may .be coined into money free of charge to the holder. The state¬ ment that our silver dollars are " redeemable " in gold dollars ;and are therefore as valuable is not true. The law states, and the official declarations of the Secretary of the Treasury also, «ÖTTR STANDARD. iTial " silver dollars are standard coins and are not redeem¬ able We will discuss the value of gold and silver bullion later. Value and Price Contrasted. It is necessary to make a broad distinction between the value and the debt-paying power of a dollar or anything else. The debt-paying power of a dollar is áxed by law and is tirely independent of the number inexistence, the demand for them or for the material of which they are made, and it can¬ not change as long as the government that makes it i.s in force ; but its value or "purchasing power" will depend upon the number of dollars ofifced in exchange as compared to the de¬ mand for them. The value of a commodity is its purchasing power as com¬ pared to all other commodities ; its "price" is its value as compared to money alone. The price of a commodity is there¬ fore its debt-paying power, and it is quite clear that a com¬ modity might maintain its "value" and lose its debt-paying power, and vice versa. This is in fact always the case when the value of money, changes. If the value of money rise, or its power to purchase commodities increase, the power of com- tnodities to pay debts must decrease in the same proportion ; nnd if the power of money to purchase decreases the debt-- pa3dng power of property mast increase. This is the most important consideratioa in the money ■question and will be discussed later. Per Capita Circulation is not an index of the value of money in any sense, for it sim¬ ply shows the possible supply and does not indicate the de¬ mand. It is clear that as an individual may require more money at one time than at another, so the community may also. The per capita supply of horses in Chicago was prac¬ tically the same the day before the great fire as it was during the conflagration, and yet the demand for horses became so great that their value rose enormously in a single day, and Jthe fact that the value of horses rose is proof conclusive that 14 THE AMERICAN IXJELAK there were too few horses in the city ; and if it appears that the value or purchasing power of a dollar is rising it is proof conclusive that there are too few dollars, even though at the same time it may be true that there are twice as mzny dollars per capita in circulation as formerly. One Dollar as Good as Another. So long as the service th^t dollars of different materials will perform for their owners is identical, their value will re¬ main the same ; but if for any reason dollars of one kind be¬ come more desirable than those of another and the supply is not increased, they will become more valuable. The demand for dollars as we have seen is due entirely toi ihe fact that the fiat of this government has made them the instruments with which debts may be paid in this country., just as post Ige staihp- are in demind because they are the in- strumcfnts witli which postal -ervice may be secured. Men need "dolíate" with which to pay debts, either prospective, of immediate contraction, as in effecting current exchanges, or for deferred payments,, and/pr npplherpurpose. One may wish to make a ring or other ornament of gold, but ¡he does not need a " dollar" forthat purpose,; a piece of gold that has never been in the mint will do as well, and if he has a "dollar" and decides to make a ring of it he will in so doing destroy the dollar the moment h^ effaces the government stamp, and cannot compel his creditor 11 receive it He may wish to make a silver spoon, but he does not need a " dollar " for that purpose ; other silver will do as well, and if he use a dollar for the purp>ose he will destroy the dollar and cannot conrpeî his creditor to receive it. although the labor upon it may have trebled or quadrupled its cost. A man may wish to purchase goods or to pay a debt (settle a balance]» in a foreign country., but he does not need ^'dollars" for this purpose. American dollars are not money outside of our own boundaries. ■ It is irue, that our dollars of different kinds () aper as well as coin) are received at par with each, other in limited quantities by our foreign neighbors, but it is i nly because the}^ can be returned to ns at par. Their debt-; pay i g power in this country and this alone, gives them value OUR S-TANUARI). T5 ÎU other coiinlries. Tliere is no international money, nor can there be, for there is no irternaticnal government to create it, and if one wishes to settle a balance In a foreign country he must purchase the money of that country with his pr perty or his American money. For a|l the pirrposes of mon^-y, therefore, any American dollar of full legal tender quality, is as good as any other Amefican dollar of the same legal quality, and one would be foolish to give more of his property tor one than for the other If one wanted gold of silver for any purpose it might be more convenient to buy dollars made of either mt-tal than to seek for other bullion, but this demand would not be for " dollars," but for the metal of which the dollars were made- This dis- tmction is important and should not be forgotten. Discrimination Destroys Parity. The first $60,000,000 of paper money issued during the war was full legal tender money and would do anyfhing for its owner thfat any other money would do, and although the government was no more able to redeem it in coin on demand than it was to redeem its other issues, it remained at par with Coin all through the war. The subsequent issues of paper money paid the soldiers and all other debts b tween individuals, but would not pay -duties on imports or interest on the public debt. These cjbli- gâtions being payable only in coin or in demand notes of the first issue, a special and imperative demand for these forms of money was created which enabled their owners to demand a premium for them. This is the only reason for the premium on coin during the war, for there never was a moment during the war when there was a shadow of a doubt as to the solvency of the North. The complete success of the Southern arms would not have affected it, for their secession would npt have led to the repu» diation of a single dollar of our national debt Discriraination alone was the cause of it and a frightful injustice was by this rrieans perpetrated upon the soldiers and every other citizen of this country which haS'never beirn popu¬ larly understood, but it "S not 01 í purpose to discuss it here ; it is simply mentioned to show how the law by discriminating in favor of one kind of dollars made them more valuable than another kind of dollars. CHAPTER IV. Substitutes. Clold and Silver Coin InNnflicient—Snbstitntcs for Dollar«—Banfc Note«—Character and Cost of Prodncing^ Substitute»—Substitute» ITnreliable—Not Enongrh of Dollars—Enormous I se Of Snbsti» tutes—The Eimit of Substitution—A Dilference in Substitutes. Gold and Silver Coin insufficient. There has never been a time since the adoption of the " dollar " as the standard of value in the United States when there has been enough of silver and gold presented for coinage to supply the people with a sufficient number of dollars with which to conduct their business. If all the gold and silver that has been coined in all the mints in the world since the United States mint w is established had come into and re¬ mained in this country to be coined into dollars we should not have had enough to meet the necessities of our people. All the nations of the world use silver and gold as money, but if the money-using people of the world were confined to the use of such money to the exclusion of all other forms or substitutes, the demand would be so great as to raise its value or purchasing power far above its prestnt position. Substitutes for Dollars. It is not only true that the demand for dollars has been sufficient to keep paper dollars of full legal tender power at par with coin, but numerous "substitutes for dollars" in various forms have been resorted to to supply the necessities of trade. Bank Notes. Treasury notes, checks, drafts, clearing house certificat^ and numerous other credit instruments pass fVom hand to hand, and while none of them are money in the true sense of the term but are rather promises to pay money, by pi ribrming the principal functions'of money, they are in. demand and as SUBSTITUTTES. long as the faith of the local public-in the solvency of those- who utter them is maintained, they remain at par with real money and to the extent to which they are able to perform the work of money they relieve the demand for money and thus reduce its value. Horses were for many years the principal source of power for local transportation and locomotion, and the value of horses was fixed by the available supply as meas¬ ured against the demand. Electricity and the bicycle have recently entered the field as substitutes for horses, performing some of the services for which horses were used as well or better than the horse itself. This relieved the demand for horses and their value declined. A recent statement of Comp troller Eckles declares that 90 per cent, of our business trans¬ actions are effected with these substitutes for money and only 10 per cent, with actual money, and still the supply of money has been so short that its value or purchasing power has doubled in the last twenty-five years. Character and Cost of Producing Substitutes. The production of electric railways and bicycles involves the expenditure of labor and sacrifice, and while their intro¬ duction as a substitute for horses has worked a hardship to the owners and producers of horses labor has been largely em¬ ployed in this new field, and great benefits have been derived by those engaged therein—benefits which equal or surpass the evils suffered by the horse producers, and the great body of the people who are engaged in neither of these pursuits are benefited by the general advance of improvement and the vol¬ ume of business created. The production of Bank Notes and other substitutes for money costs practically nothing in labor and sacrifice. No one is employed in their manufacture and none are benefited by their issue except the few favored ones who are permitted to issue them as with a breath. These are able to collect in¬ terest upon most if not all of them while the general public is' compelled to pay for their use. 48 SttBSTTTXnïlS. Substitutes Unreliable. No storm, epidemic, or other disturbance can drive tlie trolley or the bicycle out of existence ; they are as real or more real and substantial than the horse they substitute. The credit instruments which are used for money arc fictitious, unsubstantial and fugitive, in the hour of financial storm and business distuibance. In the hour in which they are most needed they are least available. At the first breath of panic they fade into nothingness and leave our business stranded. Not Enough of Dollars. If we consider all of our paper money of every kind and all our subsidiary coin as true money, there is not enough of it with all the standard gold and silver coins to represent the savings of our people. Comptroller Eckles recently stated that OUT people had on deposit in the various banks and sav¬ ings institutions 5,000,000,000 of dollars, while at the same time the total volume of money of all kinds in the country •outside of the treasury was $1,400,000,000 (it is now $1,600,- 000,000^ This is a remarkable fact since it shows that the 'titleto every dollar is vested in at least three difíerent persons. ïf we conclttde that nothing but standard gold and silver coins are money and all our paper money a debt, payable in -money, then the title to everj' dollar in this country is vested ■in at least five diflerent persons ; or if as some assert, nothing but gold coin is money, then is every single dollar owned in fee simple b3' at least ten different pecóle.* Enormous Use of Substitutes. Again, The law requires certain National banks to hold a reserve in their vaults of 25 per cent, of their deposits in ♦There is somethirig " rotten " in this system, and it must be corrected. The right of any one to lend a dollar and collect rent or interest for it. is as clear as the right to lend a horse or a house, a«d is based £rst. apon the assumption that his labor and sacrifice have been given m producing it or in its purchase from the pi-oducer ; and second, •that while the borrower uses it and pays rent for it the owner <îeni« to use H. And there is no more warrant for aliowing a man to sell or loan a " dollar " that docs not exist than there is for allowing him to sell or rent a house that does ,10t exist ; and it is clear from the above that in one way and another, at least three doilafs have been sold or rented to our people for every dollar in existence. The method by which this " Aim flam " or " bunco " game is worked is " another story " upon which we may write in future. SUBSTITUTES. I?' lawful money. This is simply prudence based upon expe¬ rience in the past, and if the other banks and savings institu¬ tions were equally prudent, $1,250,000,000 would be thus impounded, leaviug only $150,000,000, about $2.00 per capita with which to effect our exchanges. When we consider that vast sums in the aggregate are represented in call obligations among our people which do not appear in our bank records, this becomes an astounding revelation of the scarcity of real money and of the extent to which subs^tutes have been in¬ jected into our financial system. The Limit of Substitution. If we conclude that many of the substitutes for money are more convenient and therefore more desirable than the money itself, we must bear in mind that there is a distinct limit to the extent to which substitutes may be used. It is clear that they cannot be safely held as reserves in our redemp¬ tion funds which are kept to insure the prompt payment of current demands, since they are themselves evidences of debt, and if 25 per cent, of our call obligations in ultimate money is necessary for this purpose, then is the limit obviously reached and long since passed in this countrj'. A Difference in Substitutes. The convenience of a substitute is not the only thing to be considered and we wish to point out what seems to us a most important distinction between different kinds of substi¬ tutes. The silver (or gold) certificates are substitutes which possess all the elements of convenience, yet each and every dollar of them represents directly a commodity dollar which has the cost of production behind it and which is out of use while the certificate circulates, so that, it maybe justly said that Labor has been employed to its full value in the produc¬ tion of this substitute. A bank note, however, while equally convenient and per¬ haps equally safe, has no cost of production behind it, for the commodity dollar which it is supposed to represent is still in circulation, having been loaned to the goverment at interest and paid out to the public for services rendered. ■20 SaJBSTlTUTES. When a silver or gold certificate is issued thére is a guar¬ antee that some one has actually made the sacrifice necessary to produce the commodity represented and is entitled to credit from the country, to the extent of that sacrifice, the actual -commodity being surrendered. When a bank note is issued no such guarantee is given. On the contrary we are simply assured that some one has loaned the government an equivalent sum of money, in order to possess which he must indeed be presumed to have made an equivalent sacrifice, but which he does not surrender to disuse, but keeps in circulation at interest, so that the bank note is a clear gratuity to the bank which issues it and employs no labor in its production. As between these two forms of substitutes, as long as there is a surplus of idle workmen in the country, and natural resources from which the money commodities may be pro¬ duced, it ought not to be difficult for a workingman competing with idleness to choose. Nor is the distinction much less marked as between our other government issues of paper money and the National Bank notes. For while it is true that no labor is employed to produce a greenback, yet every one that is in circulation is a guarantee that some one has rendered an equivalent service to the government and that the benefit of that service (the per¬ petuation of the Union) was reaped by all the people, while the service rendered to start a bank note into circulation was rendered to the bank and for its sole benefit. To choose between these two forms of substitutes for money is an im¬ pending duty upon every citizen, and it ought to be easily [performed. CHAPTER V. The Value of Gold and Silver, Recapltnlatlon—The Value of Gol being in excess of the supply of either metal and constituting the principal demand for both, maintained them at a substantial parity because a short supply of one and a tendency to rise in value would transfer the entire money demand from it to the other and prevent a separation. Money, like everything else, flows from one country to au'dher in obedience to varying demand. Even gold itself is alternating above and ! below par as indicated by the rate of exchange, if the demand for money is greater in Germany than in France, French coins of given weight as well as bul¬ lion, would flow to Germany to be coined into German coins 26,000,000 1840 to 1873. '* * " 111,861,000 48,000,000 25 THE VALUE OF GOLD AND SILVER. varying from 2.6 times as much silver as gold to 2.3 times hs much gold as silver, and yet the parity was maintained within the limits pointed out. Importance of this Country in the Past. The importance of the United States as contributing to that result is significant, and we wish to emphasize it here, for during the period from 1840 to 1S73, when the production of gold was enormously in excess of any recorded precedent and frequently four times as great as that of silver, the United States had '^' overvalued gold^' or had established a higher mint rate for it than that of Europe, and the burden of main¬ taining Its value fell first upon this country, for while the annual output increased from $33,393,000 to $132,513,000, or mearly fourfold in four years, and Germany, Austria and Bel¬ gium, at the behest of the money lenders, completely, and Holland and Portugal, partially demonetized it, the United •States absorbed the entire output of the mines in California and elsewbere in this country from 1847 to 1865, and imported some millions from abroad, thus maintaining its value within the limits of the difference inooinqige ratio plus the cost of Transpoitation. Only a few times during the entire period did the value of silvernrise to a point that would check its flow to the European mints, and then only for brief periods. The 'United State« coined $62,6i4,49í2 of gold in 1851, $56,846,187 in Í852, and $83,395,530 in 1861, while in 1895, (forty years laater), we coined but $ü9,616,357, ^896 but $47.053,060. importance of this Country Now. This was an exhibition of the demand for money in the United States as compared to that of the world, and if any ihave doubts as to the ability of *iiiis country to remoaetize -silver and maintain its parity at 16 to i with gold, let him rremember this experience in which our country was but an infant-(23,000,000) among the nalioas, and the disproportion, in (dte production of the two metals infinitdy greater than it is now, and greater than it is ever likely to be again, and per¬ haps his appreciation of the present importance of this country in determining the financial policies of the world will expand THÇ VAtÜK Olf GOLD AND SILVER. 27 to a ■reali^ation of the fact that with 75,000,0. 0 of people whose appreicatioii of the value of money is second to none on earth, and with our relative numerical and financial import¬ ance many times as great as in the former strujigle, we can dic¬ tate the gold price of our silver product to the world, as we then dictated the silver price of our gold product, The United States was then one of the greatest and is now the greatest money using country in the world, and when in 1873 we ceased the coinage of standard silver money and the coinage of "Trade Dollars" was substituted, the" pace was set for the world and in a few years all the civilized nations had followed suit. No Reason for Demonetizing Silver in 1873. No intelligent reason has ever been given for this change, but lest any suppose that a serious change in the relative sup¬ ply of silver or gold had occurred to induce it, we append the following table showing he world's production by years : GOLD. SILVER, Coining Value. Commercial Value. 1870—j 5129,614,000 155.663,000 $57.173.000 1871 — 115.577.00. 81,864,000 83.958,000 1872— 115.577.000 • 81,864,000 83,706,000 1873— 96,200,000 81,800,000 82,120,800 1874— 90 750,000 71,000,000 70.674,000 1875— 97,500,000 80,000,000 77,578,000 1876— 103,700,000 87,600,000 78,322,600 1877— 113.947.000 81,040,700 75,278,600 1878— 119,092,000 94,882,200 ?<4,540,000 1879— 108,778,800 96,172,600 83.532,700 No change either in quantity or value is here disclosed that could warrant such legislation, but it was done and the entire demand of thè civilized world for money fell upon and Was restricted to gold. The production of gold had fallen from $123,000,000 in 1863 to $96,000,000 in 1873, while the per capita demand for money had increased with the march of civil¬ ization and the inevitable result was a rise in the value of money. An enormous increase in the use of substitutes and an abnormal inflation of credits has served to check this rise 128 THE VALUE OF GOLD AND SILVER. and modify its consequences, but the limit of the safe use of •credits and substitutes has been reached and long since passed and still the vtilue of money has risen lo > per cent. Demand for and Supply of Gold. The demand for gold in the money channel has been in excess of the supply and since gold may be converted into money without cost its value has risen with the value of money. The production of gold in the twenty jears from 1853 to 1873 was $2,559,253,000, or $410,495,600 more than was pro duced in the twenty years following from 1873 to 1893 ($2,- 168,757,400), showing a decreased supply meeting an increased demand, so that an increased value was inevitable. In short, its value has become so great that it can be, and is now being mined in the most inhospitable and inaccessible regions of the world and in nearby districts, from ores so poor that notwith¬ standing the enormous improvements in methods they could not be worked with proht at its normal value. Under the stimulus of this abnormal demand the production rose in 1891-2 to the highest figure reached in the fifties, and is now far in excess of it and still the value is rising. The Present Value of SHver like that of gold is fixed by the value of the money into which it may be freely coined. The production of silver since 1873 has been normal and has increased in about the same propor¬ tion as that of gold. The demand for it has consisted of that used in the arts, and for the coinage of civilized na¬ tions, an'd the unlimited coinage of Mexico, China and untä very recently India and Japan. The demand for money in these countries whose mints are still open to coinage on private account, which is compar¬ atively small on account of thek semi-civilized and unpro¬ ductive condition, U fully met by the silver supply, and there .'-ihas been no rise in its value. As we descend in the scale of civilization the demand for ; -money as well as for all other modern conveniences decreases • until in savage districts it ceases altogether, and a string oJ beads or a glittering toy will buy more of their vrude producl| THE VAEUE OE GOLD AND SILVER. 29 fhan will a bag of money. China with her three hundred and sixty millions of inhabitants has but $2.08 per capita of money and has all she wants. Vast districts in the Empire have none at all and n\ake their few exchanges by direct barter, The penetration of English civilization into India is eflfecting a change in that country and a growing demand for money is apparent. They now have $3.33 per capita, and since the Indian mints were, closed to silver the value of their -money has risen considerably. The Central American States have $3.66 and Mexico has S8.41, while in the heart of Africa they have none and want none. India and China with 656,003,000 of people have ,700,- 000,000, while the United States with but 72,000,000 has an «quai sum, and our money is twice as valuable as is theirs. If the movement which is now on foot to place this vast popu¬ lation with the rest of the world on a gold basis, should suc¬ ceed and compel them to use only gold for money, the de-truc- Aion of their presen^ stock and their growing demand for future tsupply will raise the value of money beyond anything we have imagined possible. The value of money, however, in these countries has not arisen because the demand is fully met by the supply of silver, .and the value of silver has not risen because the supply has been equal to all the demands upon it. Silver at par with other Commodities. The value of silver has not fallen materially because the cost of production has been a check upon producers ; very jmany of the miners have been compelled to cease operations .and only those most favorably located and best equipped can continue. Much of the silver that is now produced is a by¬ product of copper or gold mines. The demand for copper has "been greatly stimulated by thé applications of electricity, and many of the copper ores carry a heavy percentage of silver. Tf //lis supply continues aud the demand for silver decreases greatly as by the substitution of gold or paper in the money use, silver may fall much lower than it now is, but as long as it must be mined directly t,he cost of production will prevent its fall much farther than it now is. fflE V\LÜE OE ÔOLÎ) A^fO SÏEVEK. The fact as shown by Table I that silver bnllion has maiil- tained its place with other commodities and has lost none of its purchasing power, is proof conclusive to any fair mind that no injustice would flow from its remonetization. The Effect of Free Coinage of Silver. If the United States mints are opened to silver at i6 to i, the value of 371^ grains of silver will rise to the value of an American dollar and stay there as long as the mints are open. The value of any and every American dollar of fulblegal tender quality will be equal and stay equal to every other American dollar. The value of silver will be and remain at par with gold until the demand for American money is fully met by the supply of silver. If the demand for European money is in excess of the de¬ mand for American money, gold will flow to Europe since gold is the cheapest commodity that can be convested into European money. If the demand for American money is met by silver and the demand for European money cannot be met by the present stock of American coin ($750,000,0.^0), plus the annu il output of the mines of the world ($240,000,000) estimate for 1897, the value of European money will rise above the value of American money and gold will go to a premium as measured in our money. In any event the increased supply of European money coming from all the gold instead of a part of it, and the in¬ creased supply of American money coming from all the silver instead of a part of the gold, will decrease the value of both, and a rising scale of prices will ensue all over the civilized world. In those countries which now are fully supplied with money from silver the total loss of supply through its diver¬ sion to the American mints and the probable diminution of their present stock by its conversion into American money will experience a rapid if not an instantaneous rise in the value of their money and a corresponding fall in their prices The final tendency of which joint influences will be to restore the par of exchange and pârtially at least the scale of prices as they existed throughout the world prior to 1873. CHAPTER VI. The Test Question. 'Ttae Arlttametlc of Faets—Production of Silver—Present Product all Consnmed—Increased Production—Probable Supply of Silver— Tbe Demand for Money—Ttae Immediate Demand for Silver—Ttae Current Demand for Money—Demand Unlimited—Our Debts Abroad—Our Present BTeeds—Wtaat of ttae FutnreT—Hon. A. J. Balfour on Standards—Trusts and Combines born of Falling Prices-Ttae Present Inquiry. The test question in the minds of those who think it mecessary thst gold should not go to a premium, is as to whether the United States can furnish a demand for money that will absorb the world's surplus product of sil ver and still maintain the value of our money at par with the gold monéy ■of Europe. The Arithmetic of Facts as.sures us that we can and we now review it as a conclusion to this part of our argument. Production of Silver. The annual product of silv^ in the world has remained about the same for the last four years. For the last two years it has been as follows j 1895. ««96. World's product, , $216,292,500 $213,463,700 TJ"ited States, ... , 72,051.000 76,069,000 Mexico, .... 60,719,000 59017,600 Soliida, .... 28,444,400 Î9,393,900 ■Chile, .... "6,505,900 6,505,900 Peru, . . . - . 4,089,500 2,914,300 "Columbia, . . . 2,182,400 2,182,400 Central American States, . 2,000,000 2,000,000 North and South America, . ^75,992,200 168,<83,175 From this we learn that four-fifths of the entire product .comes from this hemisphere, three-fifths from the United States and Mexico, and one-third of it from the United States alone. ■J2 „I -.5' thí: test question. •■•vTlî.e total production in the United States for the last fouf years, i®93-94-95 and '96 was $289,696,000 Of this sum we coined $ 46,791,202 Exported . . . 138,924,761 Consumed in arts . . ' 103,980,037 $289,696,000 The world's production in the same period was $854,000,000 Of this the world Coined, $326,000,000 Recoined, 70,000,000 Net coinage, *Used in the Arts, United States, $103,000.000 $456,000,000 India, Russia, France, England, Italy, Other Nations, 140,000,000 40.000,000 25,000,000 20,000,000 12,000,000 20,000,000 $360,000,000 $816,000,000 To be accounted for $38,000,000 Statistics as to China are not at hand, but judging by the exports of England to China it is probable that she imported as much as $50,000,000 more than she coined in the period, and if so, it shows that the entire product has been consumed. Present Product all Consumed. The latest report of the director of the mint does not show that any considerable stock of silver bullion has accumu¬ lated anywhere in the world, and we therefore conclude that the experience of the last four years, in which the production of silver has been greater, and its opportunity for free conver sion into money less, than in any similar period of the world's history, has demonstrated that the demand for it is persistent and to a degree imperative. *.No reliable statistics are obtainable as to the amount of silver consumed in the arts m foreign countries and our own are not complete, but the net i nports are given and the coinage for each year, and the amount above given is the difference between the net imports and the coinage. THE TEST QUESTION. 33' Increased Production. Under an increased value it is certain that some of these- demands would be decreased, just how much no one can tell,, but we will assume as a basis for our calculation that under a value double that of the present only bue-half of this demand would persist, and that the remainder ($100,000,000) of the- present production would come to the United States mint. Under an increased value it is certain that the production would be stimulated, but to what extent no one can say ; but the greatest recorded increase in the production of gold under a similar stimulus was,5o,per cent, in five years. We think it altogether probable that this ratio would be equaled by sil¬ ver, and so vye assume that the production would rise to $300,- 000,000.. per year> and that $?oo,ooo,ooo of it would come to- our mints. ' Probable Supply of Silver. We consider this the largest quantity that could ever come in a single year, for as the volume of money was in¬ creased its value would be decreased and ultimately, to the present bullion value of silver (cost of production), at which time its production would have shrunk to its present propor¬ tions. The coined silver of Europe could not flow to us, for it is now worth 3 per cent, more in gold than it would be then, nor could the manufactured silver come to the mint for it is also more valuable than our coin , so that with as much certainty as we can predict anything with regard to either gold or sil¬ ver, we can say that the supply cannot be expected to exceed $200,000,000 per year, and may not reach half that sum. This would be eight times as much as was coined under the Bland Act. The-quantity of Mexican or Indian money that can be spared from their present circulation would be comparatively small, but large or small it could come but once, and then only in exchange'for our products. With this estimate of the possible supply of silver we now consider 34 THE TEST QUESTION, The Demand for Money which is to absoib the silver product, and it may be summed «P as follows ^ By the last statement of the Treasury department (July 31, 1897), we have outstanding $346,000,000 of greenbacks and $230,000,000 of National Bank notes. The greenbacks are objected to by our gold standard friends ostensibly because ibey are redeemable in gold and cannot be maintained at par without forcing the government to borrow gold with which to redeem them cjn demand. We think, however, that the real reasons why the small percentage of the gold men who really understand the ques¬ tion want them retired are, First, that they are a legal tender for all debts between individuals and cannot be discriminated against by gold payment clauses in private contracts ; second, that they are not redeemable,in gold, but in coin at the option of the government ; and third, that their retirement with bonds will furnish a permanent investment for the banks and make room for more bank notes which will be under the con¬ trol of the banks. We with other bimetalists object to the bank notes as being a special privilege to a favored class, and therefore let us retire both of these objectionable forms of substitutes and create an immediate ánd imperative demand for silver which will restore its parity with gold. We can thus make róóqt for $576,0001,000 of silver without affecting the present volume of our currency or its purchasing power in the least. This demand can be made immediate and imperative to the extent of the cash in the treasury ($250,000,- 000) and the volume of bank notes ($230i,ocki,0O0), and this being three times as great as the possible immediate supply the value of silver will immediately rise to a par with gold at 16 te I. Agaid; we have been told that under-free coinage of-silver our gold would immediátéfy lea^e Us. This is, of course, a -mere conjecture withóút a single fact or argument to sustain it, but if it does leávé us altogether of in part the volume of our money Would be decreased and its value increased in pro¬ portion, so. that gold would fall kelow ;par. .(This is among THE TEST ÔHKSTIOH. 35 tíie most foolish of the fool statements of the gold standard advocates). If we admit however that our gold will leave us and flow to Europe, which is possible in the course of ex¬ change, it would make room for $7oo,ooo',ooo of silver with¬ out increasing our stóck ' of money at all or decreasing its value in the least. On the contrary, if our $700,000^0, to¬ gether with the annual output, ($240,000,000) of gold should flow to Europe it would inevitably increase the suppl)' and decrease the value of European money, and our money would go to a premium unless our stock was proportionately in¬ creased. It is therefore probable that more than $1,009,000,- 000 of silver would be required to replace the gold and keep our money from rising above that of Europe. Again. The Comptroller of the Currency reports that our people have on deposit in our banks and savings institu¬ tions $5,000,000,000, and the law requires certain of the Na¬ tional banks to hold 25 per cent, of their deposits in reserve. If all the banks were required to do the same, and common prudence would seem to indicate that they should be, $1,250,- 000,000 would be thus impounded as against $850,000,000 which .is now so held, making room for $400,000,000 without increasing the circulation and simply furnishing a safe basis for our present bank deposits. t The Immediate Demand for Silver. From the ^regoing it is clear that $2,0 0,000,000 of sil¬ ver can be absorbed without affecting the value of our money as measured in gold, but it is also clear that the predicted flow of $700,000,000. of gold to Europe and its replacement with that amount of silver in this country would add that much to the world's stock and tl;nd to a general increase of prices. The parity of the metals once restored it is likely that European countries would reopen their mints to silver, but presuming that they do not do so, and that the burden of maintaining the parity of silver will rest entirely upon the United States, we now consider The Current Demand for Money in this country as compared to that of Europe, for it is to be remenibered that while we must absorl) all the silver. Eut ope 35 THE TEST QUESTION. ^i7tst absorb all the f;old, and as the production of the two metals is now about equal the difficulty is not so great as it would seem, and not nearly as great as that of maintaining the parity of gold in the fifties, when there was more than twice as much gold as silver produced and our comparative importance far less than now^ Demand Unlimited. "What is the demand for money in the United States? It comes from seventy millions of the most industrious, enter¬ prising, wealth-producing and comfort-consuming people oh the earth, equal in number and double in consuming power to England, Ireland, Scotland, Wales, Spain, Belgium, Holland, Portugal and Switeerland combined. This vast army of work¬ ers inhabit a territory that stretches from the Atlantic to the Pacific Ocean, and includes three million square miles of the most productive land in the world. In point of development the vast resources of thiscountry are practically untouched, although of the 1,400,000,000 tons of freight per loo miles, we carry 800,000,000, or 57 percent., and notwithstanding the loss we have sustained through the gold standard, our total wealth is $§4,00 ,000,000, or 36 per cent, greater than that erf Great Britain. Our manufactures in 1888 were $7,200,000,000, or 75 percent ¿greater than those of the United Riugdom, ©ur agricultural products are $3,800,000,000 mere than - double those of Great Britain, and $500,000,000 more than those of Russia 1 $306 400,000 CR. ^ 73.568,200 31,948,449 27.037,901 Total, Balance against us, $314,760,000 Í134.590,550 180.169,450 Thus we see that in two years we have Europe to the extent of $207,769,845, of over $314.760,00 gone in debt to $100,000,000 per THE TEST QUESTION. 39 year, to balance which interest-bearing obligations of one kind or another have been sold in Europe. We need therefore f 100,000,000 per year with which to pay our interest charges to Europe before any can be had for the development of our own resources. If we add to this an equal, sum per year to apply on the principal we can see a demand that will absorb all the silver we can hope to get during the next century. Our Present Needs. Again. If the last generation found a legitîmaté use for the $5,000,000,000 of foreign money which it borrowed, and the marvellous growth of the wealth-producing enterprises which it was used to capitalize and develop is proof that they did, w^at shall we say of the,present and future needs of our people? Will they be less? Impossible J , Will they be i;reater ? Undoubtedly, and many fold. There is no dissent from this conclusion, for evei}, the most radicfd goldites admit it in their strenuous contention for "strengthened credit." Hon Thomas B. Reed, in all his public utterances during the last campaign, insisted that we should " maintain our credit " so as to " invite foreign capital to come to us for investment," and we submit it to the candid judgment of patriotic Ameri¬ cans if these facts do not prove that our demand for money is in excess of the possible supply from silver. And also ask them to consider whether it would not have been better for us in the past to have employed our army of idle and hopeless working people in producing this money from our silver mines, than to have followed the advice of Mr, Reed and borrowed it from abroad ? This home industry " would have employed every idle man in the United States at remunerative wages, without ad ding one iota t© the stock of manufactured goods competing in the markets oí our country or the world. The money we Jborrowed would have remaiáed in "Europe to maintain the price of commodities there, the debts of the world would have been reduced., the " trámp"''and~ the "anarchist" would iiave been unknown in this fair ^nhd, and the star of hope would have shed its blessed lustre, in the homes and hearts of the poor. The paët is gone. 40 THE TEST fiSÛESTÏCW^ But What of the Future ? That oar.money must increase in quantity, as we incfeáSC our store of property, or a fall in price, or debt-paying power ensue, is as certain as that God reigns or that $ Hanna fepured a $eat in the feoate., Money is one of the modern agencies in the production of property or commodity wealth. If one desires to build ä house or manufacture any other product he must, in the advanced stage of our civilization whére the division of labor is so great, take money^ which is imperishable and of fixed debt- paying power, and exchange it for a commodity which is not only perishable, but certain to vary in debt-paying power with the rise and fall of the value of money. If, therefore, the supply of money is not increased so as to prevent its rise in value, no man can safely undertake to produce or improve property. Speculative enterprises, which depend upon spo¬ radic development from local causes, alone can thrive under such conditions. Hon. A. J. Etaffour on Standards. The Right Honorable A.J. Balfour, of Manchester, Eng¬ land, said in a speech on October 27, 1892 ; "Of all conceivable systems of currency, that system is assuredly the worst, which gives you a standard steadily ap¬ preciating, and which by that very fact throws a burden upon every man of enterprise, upon every man who desires to pro¬ mote the agricultural or industrial resources of the country, and benefits no human being whatever, but the owner of fixed debts in gold." • No truer words were ever spoken, and in the new century that is about to dawn the world will go forward in the produc¬ tion and improvement of property, just in proportion to the speed with which we increase our stock of money. The im¬ proved methods of production, communication and transpor¬ tation, which are but the concrete results of increased skill and intelligence, have multiplied our productive capacity many fold, and unless the production of money is proportionally multiplied some of our people must of necessity remain idle THE TEST QUESTION. all the time, or all of us a part of the time, or else a continued loss of the debt-paying power,of ^property and-a constant ^àïn in the power and burden of debts result, Trustsand Combines born of Falling Prices. The limitation of the production of money to gold in the last twenty-five years has resulted in a short supply followed by its rise in value, aud a corresponding loss in the price or debt-paying power of property, to resist which " trusts " and combinations of capital invested in productive enterprises have been formed, and, employers,.pinched by the increasing bur¬ dens of falling prices have reduced or endeavored to reduce wages, to resist which Labor Unions and Federations of Workmen have been formed, strikes, lockouts, riots and blood¬ shed have ensued from the clash of contending efforts, all aiming at the- last analysis to maintain prices 'by restricting production, through voluntary or enforced idleness • . The God-given and constittitionally guaranteed rights of meii to buy and sell in the most advantagëou's markets have been-denied by law to merchants and producers-and the in¬ dustrious and ambitious laborer, with the brawn and muscle of youth as the only means of providing for his helpless and decrepit age, is restrained from using it by the threats of his fellows and compelled to see it perish, with his hopes as the hours pass by, and all in well-meant but fruitless endeavors to maintain prices while adjusting ourselves to the short supply of money from the single gold source. The Present .Inquiry. Shall the selfish outcry of the owners of '' fixed debts in gold" deter us from applying the remedy to the root of the evil ? Shall the slavish fear of " depreciating " their money induce us to continue the suicidal policy of destroying the debt-paying power of all other property, together with the hopes and aspirations of our people ? We answer No! a thous¬ and times NO ! and as long as the God of heaven gives us breath we will protest against the present system. CHAPTER Vn. The Effect of Falling Prices. Vwernment vs. Prlvnte Regnlatlon—Senator Hoar and Sbylock— The-Owners of flxed debts In Gold—The Agents of these gold Own¬ ers—Offlctals who are hired—Enropean Cereal Consnmers-Europe vs. Enited States—Onr Eoss their Oaln—Eoss to Farmers—Wheat wnd 'Silver—Prices have not fallen in Silver-nslng Countries— Mexican vs. American—Disadvantage of Americans—England's 'use of American silver in India—Who wants Bimetalism ?—Stand- ^ grains of standard si ver, and that to re¬ store to its coinage such silver coins as a legal tender in payment of such bonds, principal and Interest, is not in violation of the public faith nor in derogation of the rights of the public creditor." Secretary of the Treasury Sherman; in 1878, in his report stated that he would redeem United States notes in gold or silver, but expressly " reserving the legal option of the government" to pay in either. The Act of July 14, 1890, (Sherman Act) declared that the Secretary maj' redeem "in gold or silver coin at his discretion, it being the established policy of the United States to maintain the two metals upon a parity with each other upon the present ratio or upon such ratio as may be established by law." Discrimination in Defiance of Law. And yet, in spite of all these clearly stated laws Secretary of the Treasury Foster, under President Harrison, on October 14th, 1891, surrendered the option of the government to pay in silver and began the senseless policy of paying gold when gold was demanded, thus transferring the option from the debtor to the creditor and making it possible to throw the entire demand for money fropi the less to the more desirable coin, which under normal conditions of money supply would be certain to destroy the parity. The Cleveland administration pursued the same policy even when it required an increase of $263.000,000 in the pub¬ lic debt to do so, and the present administration follows this precedent to its only legitimate conclusion and declares that these silver dollars are not dollars at all, but are simply prom¬ ises to pay dollars, and Secretary Gage is now trying to induce Congress to make provision for redeeming them in guld We chargf» that in the , presence of the solemn pledge of the government to maintain the parity, this persis^tent effort to destroy the parity is little less than, treasonable, and thank. God that the United States Senate as now constituted will prevent its consummation, A False Pretense. We perfectly understand that the pretense of those who are actively pushing this plan is that gold redemption is neces¬ sary in order to keep the faith of the government and maintain 56 OBJECTIONS ANSWERED. tbe parity ; and to fix this idea in the public mind they have not hesitated to falsely assert that the past and present parity of our silver dollars was due to the fact that they were ulti¬ mately redeemable in gold. We charge that this is false, and that certain men in high positions in the government who have the confidence of many citizens, are talking and acting as if it were true while know¬ ing it to be false, and are purposely trying to deceive the people. If 500,000,000 of silver dollars, the material in which is worth but half that sum, have maintained their parity with gold in spile of the persistent effort to discredit them, and without the support of gold or other redemption, then is every visible or invisible support of the gold fallacy removed, and the contention of those established who assert that any dollar of full legal tender quality will remain at par with any other dollar of the same quality. Nor can it be shown that any number of dollars having the cost of producing 412}^ grains of silver behind them can ever reduce the value of a dollar below an equitable relation to other property. The Hedge of Government to maintain parity can only be kept by the government stand¬ ing reàdy to receive either silver or gold as its debtors of every class mäy choose to pay it; and to compel its creditors and all other creditors who live under its flag to do the sàme. No other nation on earth attempts to maintain the parity of its money in any other way, and if this way fail, it cannot be done at all except by the surrender of all that'was Val hable in the purchase of our revolutionary struggle. The Declaration of Independence, to sustain which the choicest blood on earth was shed, and The Constitution of the United States, the Magna Charta of human liberty, have each for their foundation stone the purpose to " Establish Justice," and if any policy whatever shall thwart this purpose it must he abandoned. OBJECTIONS ANSWERED. 57 The ultimate question then is not whether we will main¬ tain parity, but whether we will surrender governmental pre¬ rogatives and our people to the mercy of Shylocks. Why not Change the Ratio ? Many think the ratio should be raised to a point nearer the present commercial ratio and there are several reasons why it should not. ist. The stock of gold and silver in the world to-day is about equal at i6 to i, and the present rate of production is at a ratio of less than 14 to i. If these facts indicate any¬ thing they show that the present ratio should be lowered instead of raised. 2d The French ratio is 15^^ to i and if an agreement should be made between France and this country it would be best to establish the French ratio for both, since our present coinage could be then recoined at 15}^ to i without loss, while the French coinage could not be changed to 16 to i without loss. 3d. Assuming (what we do not admit) that free coinage will not restore parity at 16 to i, we hold that no human being can predict how much if any it will fall short of it, and that thererore no other ratio can be intelligently selected until the true conditions of supply and demand are established under free coinage at its old ratio, and until this is done the question of a change cannot be entertained. 4th. If the value of money should ultimately fall to the present bullion value of silver only justice would be done, and nothing but good would follow, for the purchasing power of 4I2}4 grains of silver is practically the same to-day as it was in 1873, and the cost of production is a guarantee against a further decline. There has been more Silver Coined since 1873 than Before. The point sought to be made by those who urge this ob¬ jection is, that the coinage of silver since 1873 having been enormously greater than before, and the price continuing to fall is proof that the cause of its fall in price is not to be 58 OBJECTIONS ANSWERED. charged to demonetization. In support of this, the fact is cited that in eighty-one years, from 1792 to .1873, only 8,000,000 silver dollars were coined, and in twenty years, from 1873 to 1893, nearly $500,000,000 were coined under the Bland Act. This statement is true, but as they well know who make it, it refers only to the United States mint, and ignores the fact that while the United States mint was coining 8,000,000 silver dollars it also coined 136,000,000 of small coins, and the French mint coined 1,053,000,000 in the same period, to say , nothing of other European countries , so that any fair state¬ ment of the facts will show that in each period the demand was about equal to the supply, and the value remained stable. The price of silver fell as did the price of everything else, foi the reason that the supply of gold plus $500,000,000 of silver was not sufficient to meet the demand for money and the value of tnotiey rose destroying the price or debt-paying power of all property. We want " Honest Money Yes, and so say we all. Our contention is for an honest dollar, but we shall insist that a dollar which has increased and is increasing in purchasing power is not an honest dollar, but on the contrary, is of all thieves the most detestable, for it not only deprives his victim of his wealth but paralyzes his efforts to earn more. We want a dollar that will be subject to as free competition in its production as are the other forms of material wealth it is used to measure, and which, will thus be kept at par with them by the automatic operation of the laws of trade and render an honest account to posterity of the obligations we incur for them to pay. We want "Sound Money". Yes, and so do we. Our differences are not so much as to what we want, as to what we have and are to have. We deny that our currency is or can be ' ' sound ' ' when it is shown that every dollar of it has been sold and resold until a vast volume of credits and substitutes have become an absolute necessity in our business. A vast balloon swayed and dis¬ torted by every passing breeze, and in constant danger of col¬ lapse. So much so that the dignity and honor of this country objections answered. 59 cannot be asserted as against even an effete power like Spain without danger of precipitating a panic. As we write (March •14th, 1898) the Phila. Ledger afiBrms that the uncertainty as to a war with Spain growing out of the ' ' Maine ' ' disaster has destroyed the value of stocks to the extent of many mil¬ lions, as follows : " Since the.l5th of February sixteen of the most active stocks have deciiuéd 18% @2614. Sugar has fallen 17!4 perceut., Burlington 15%, Consolidated Gas 18%, St. Paul 10, Rock Island 11, Lonisviiie 14, Manhattan 22, Metropolitan 26J4, New York Central 10%, and Northwest 14%." and that while nearly every one of the properties represented are earning more than they have beeti for years on account, as Mr. Depew says, of the recent movement of wheat to Europe. We want " sound money " " commodity money ", with the cost of production back of it, and in sufficient quantitiés to place our business on at least a semblance of a cash basis, nor will we be deterred from our purpose to secure it by the selfish or senseless cry of those who wish to thrive by issuing a lot of " wild cat " bank paper substitutes, instead of allowing our working people to produce the honest, stable and reliable inoney we need. We propose to open the production of real money to a wider and more adequate field of competition, and enable the producing masses to coin their powers op brain and 'muscle into the debt-paying instrument of the nation, in¬ stead of allowing it to perish in idleness, and discharge their obligations to the debt-owning classes, at least to the full extent of their power and willingness to produce, and thus to free themselves and posterity from a perpetual slavery to a moneyed aristocracy, built upon a series of debts that are ever increasing. in short, to enter upon a debt-paying instead of, a debt-creating era. The End. l'AELE PRICESaf LEADING ARTICLES PRODUCED and MANUFACTURED in Ute UNITED STATES as given in the STATISTICAL ABSTRACT of the UNITED STATES for mi, published in Feb. 1898. PRODUCT. 1 1873 1883 ¡ 1893 1 1896 1 1897 Cents Cents 1 1 Cents 1 1 Cents 1 Cotton Middling, per lb 20.14 11.88 8.56 7.93 1 7.40 Standard Sheeting, per yd.i 13.31 8.32 5.90 5.45 Standard Drillings, per yd i 14.13 7.11 5.72 5.48 Bleached Shirtings, pdr yd 19.41 12.93 9.75 9.50 Standard Prints, per yd 11.37 6.00 5.25 4.66 64x64 Print Cloths, per yd s... 6.69 3.60 3.30 2.60 Wool, washed) Ohio Fleece, per lb 63.00 40. 24. 19. 29. Wheat, No. 2, Red Winter, per bus 131.00 117.5 73.9 78.1 95.4 Corn, No. 2, mixed, per bds 63.5 65.1 49.9 34.0 31.9 Oats, No. 2, mixed, per btis.... 50. 42.9 35.9 . 23.3 23.2 Lard, Prime Contract, per lb 9.2 9.82 10.34 4.67 4.42 Beef, Extra Mess, per bbl 1150.00 1284.00 817.00 751.00 771.00 Pork, Mess, per bbl 1400.00 1659.00 1835.00 895.00 885.00 Tallow, Prime, per lo 8.00 7.88 5.44 3.44 3.31 Sugar, Standard A, per lb 11.6 8.14 4.72 4.41 4.38 Goal, White Ash, Anthracite, per ton 427.00 454.00 390.00 350.00 350.00 Coal; Cumberland, Bituminous, per tön 484.00 290.00 240.00 228.00 180.00 Iron, No. 1, Foundry Pig, per ton 4275.00 2238.00 1452.00 1295.00 1210.00 Iron Ore, Gray Forge, Lake, per tön 3580. 1904.00 1177.00 1039.00 903.00 Iron Bar, Best Refined 8643.00 5030.00 3808.00 3136.00 2940.00 Iron Rails, Standard 7667.00 Steel Rails, Standard 3775.00 2812.00 2800.00 1958.00 Nails, cut, per keg 490.00 306.00 144.00 232.00 147.00 feaiierbeck's Average of 45 articles 111. 82. 68. 58. 50. Silver Bullion, 412^ grains,«(one dollar) 100.04 85.8 60.3 52.2 46.80 A-PPENDIX. II Table II.—MOVEMENT of SILVER COIN and BULLION. 'Ù Net Exports Net Exports Gross Importsl Iross Exports Net Imports cw u from the from into from into India. > United States Mexico. Great Britain 1 Great Britain. 1879 738,775 - 21,835,872 52,494269 53,561,156 19,323,407 1880 1,227,980 22,388,576 33,087,441 34,360,804 38,298,391 1881 6,297,477 19,567,144 33,585,673 34,084,878 18,943,610 1882 8,743,263 17,337,024 44,980.695 43,630,382 26,177,337 1883 9,464,203 30,103,064 46,076,032 45,369,630 36,402,525 1884 11,456,481 34,008,568 46,881,403 48,598,733 31,170,935 1885 17,203,006 34,314,384 45,908,639 47,946,155 35,215,819 1886 11,660,912 30,384,496 36,360,73], 35,154,131 56,483,655 1887 9,036,313 34,097,976 37,853,295 37,994,732 34,823,511 1888 7,632,278 31,502,096 30,240,139 37,060,480 44,911,970 1889 12,034,403 39,405,560 44,700,749 51,907,607 44,998,963 1890 8,545,455 41,847,008 50,541,810 52,866,658 53,229,174 1891 1 • 2,745,365 1 20,912,328 I 63,663,246 64,993,889 67,147,619 1892 5,035,828 49,250,763 60,222,938 68,495,988 42,738,068 1893 ] 7,653,813 51,769,745 72,912,463 68,219,827 60,934,726 1894 31,041,359 47,320,215 65,431,903 60,979,318 65,177,677 1895 27,631,789 56,781,075 60,428,333 52,209,705 30,381,745 1896 33,262,258 44,919,693 76,043209 74,182,191 31,179,988 1897 - 32,636,835 27,740,012 '''Impoited. Table 111.—GOLD and SILVER COINED in FRANCE CON- VERTED at £1 per 25 francs. Period of Ave years. ^ Gold average per annum. | Silver average per annum. 1806-1810 1 £1,201,136 £1,884,737 1811-1815 3,299,503 5,208,029 1816-1820 - 1,951,604 993,111 1821-1825 465,748 3,526,432 1826-1830 293,976 5,032,004 1831-1835 826,149 6,576,120 1836-1840 589,857 3,048,189 1841-1845 159,326 3,033,286 1846-1850 1,294,337 4,311,276 1851-1855 12,669,263 1,431,755 1856-1860 21,605,465 666,651 1861-1865 7,667,357 175,088 1866-1870 -, 9,546,561 3,402,020 1871-1875 2,475,213 2,742,776 Total Gold Total Silver 1803-1875 £322,993,410 £217,640,234 Keduced to United States money 11,563,288,104 11,053,378,732 III APPENDIX. TABEE IV—PEODUCIION, COINAGE 050i05a505o^cicntnc770T^c;^d^tncn>i»»^i^ti^^hi»-coto K a5cn4^ccts5H*o«oo-Ja5cnrf!kCotN5MOCD(5o--305cnrf».coM»-'Oíc>oo^a>cnhí».cci>íi-»ooo-^a>cn)í».cotoMO © iso © © CT o © © © © © © © o © © © © © © © © © © © © CO 2 • 00- j <0 to ^ s op o g o 2 © o © © © © ® p o © © © © © ►Cfc. 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Ô ce © O © C O M M M M to © © © © -<1 © -3 © 00 © OO ©ppp M io M w OO 4Ï». l. CT M 4^ O C CT ce M © © O en © © io to © o O o en CT © Mp to © 00 to Vq © © CT 00 CT © © p p © © to Vi Vq CO ^ © M 4^ © <3 p © © © 00 CT © © © © © © © CO 4^ 00 © p p "hU CO CT -3 © © CT CT p 00 Vi, H-» CT Ca -3 4^ © M 00 to p © '-3 to to CO © 4!»^ -3 © © CT © !©©©©< '©©©©< © © ^ 00 M © -3 © -3 © M 4i. -3 © 4^ © M © CT 45». CO M © © -3 M © © CT CJt M © -3 © © © to cc M p p p to 4i. oc P CT 00 © o: p CT ^ © © p p CO p © CT CO © M 00 © © c g © © © © o © © © o ® © © © © The Economic Balance between the VALUE or purchasing power of Money, and the PRICE or debt paying power of property, must be maintained or the normal development of the race can not proceed. Under the present system of individ¬ ual ownership and competitive effort, if the production of money is restricted, WAR, with all its devastation, FLOODS that sweep our garnered treasures in chaos to the sea, HURRICANES that wreck on every hand, together with the all consum¬ ing tongues of FIRE that obliterate a city in an hour, all become the providential friends of the idle masses, for they create a void which their perishing energies may be employed to fill. With a short supply of money all can¬ not work without destroying the price of existing wealth, and the poorly equipped are forced into idleness. In recent years ENFORCED IDLENESS has caused a loss of potential wealth, equi valent to that of the Chicago fire in every passing month, all borne by those who can least afford it, and all because of the insatiate greed of a i few, and the ignorance of the many as to the facts and principles in our system of currency. THE AUTHOR.