S S-'OJ "5-]/^.^ A \ r \ A2021 DEFRESSED AF.EAS - A BLIND ALLEY OF RELIEF by John N. Webb and Malcolm Brown Division of Research Work Projects Administration lOOM v There are scores of American communities in which relief has Become the most important single source of income,, Loosely speaking, relief has replaced the major industry of these comimui- ities; more accurately, the decline or collapse of the major industry has created an economic vacuum which relief has had to fill. Imperceptibly, the meaning of relief has changed in these communities0 The temporary carry-over-during-hard-tirnes meaning has ceased to have any significance; the community frame¬ work has come to depend so largely upon relief income that reduction or removal of this source promises to Bring swift collapse of the whole structure,, In these communities relief has entered a Blind alley from which neither retreat nor egress seems possible at the present time. To some persons, this change in relief from a temporary to a semi-permanent function in the economy of depressed areas v/ill appear as a sad comment,cry on social progress. To others, it will seem no more than a confirmation of the prediction that govern¬ ment coddling leads inevitably to the moral collapse of the needy,, But to relief officials, and to an increasing number of critical observers, the extraordinary role of public assistance in many of our communities is a social problem of the first magnitude, a A2021 - 2 ~ problem for which as yet there appears to be no solution. Known under a variety of names, such as "depressed areas," "stranded towns," "black spots," "ghost towns," and "problem areas," a few of the afflicted communities have received some public attention in recent years. The predicament of the Pennsylvania anthracite coal field, for example, is generally well known. Familiar, too, are the special problems faced by New Castle, Pennsylvania, whose obsolete strip-mills would normally be idle; or of eastern Oklahoma; the origin of the Joads; or of the worked-out copper country on Lake Superior, For obvious reasons, however, the vocal elements in the depressed areas incline toward reticence about their real plight, so that the existence of dozens of depressed areas is still not general_y known. Nor is the full scope of the depressed area problem always fully realized even where public attention has been directed to the outward manifestations, Spotting the De-pressed Areas. Identification of all of the depressed areas in the country is a slow and difficult process because the data on which identification turns are too few; or they are lacking in comparability from area to area; or are out of date. The returns of the 1940 Census will go far toward removing these handicaps. Meanwhile, judging from the existing and none-too-ade¬ quate da.ta available, such as can be derived from the incidence of un¬ employment and relief, industrial trends, and local surveys, there are some 50 distinct, economically homogeneous, depressed areas. These areas include more than 500 counties, and they are distributed over o3 states. It should be noted here that the effect of the A2021 - 3 - National Defense Frogram could not "be taken into account at the time these areas were identified*, It is already clear that some important revisions will "be necessary as soon as the effects of defense activity can he measured# Depressed agricultural areas are the most important single group within the total,, accounting for about 40 percent of the depressed area population. Included here are such well-known problem areas as the Appalachian and Ozarks Highlands, the Great Flains, and the Great Lakes cut-over area. Except for its fringes, however, a fourth familiar agricultural area, the cotton South, is largely excluded by the experimental criteria used, Both unem¬ ployment and relief data for this particular area are markedly inadequate reflections of the situation existing throughout the 1930'so Extractive-industry communities contributed 30 percent of the affected areas. Foremost in this group were eight separate coal fields, scattered from Pennsylvania to Colorado. In addition, there were three metal-mining communities and two oil fields; and there were five separate lumber regions as widely separated as the Gulf Shore and Puget Sound. Surprisingly enough, a part of the remainder of the affected populations is dependent upon the trade and service indus¬ tries. Several of these areas are resort centers; for example, Key West, Florida, More important, though, are the trade and service centers for depressed or derelict hinterlands; for example, Cairo, Illinois. But the largest single element in the 30 percent remaining after A2021 - 4 - agriculture and the extractive industries are taken into account is manufacturing. Among the dozen or more manufacturing centers are those specializing in steel, textiles, tobacco, or clay products. In the aggregate, the identified areas contained a popula¬ tion of 13,000,000 persons, about one-tenth of the total population reported in 1940. In 1935 these areas accounted for nearly one-fifth of the United States total relief load, roughly twice their proportion¬ ate share on a population base. In November 1937 these areas reported 1,340,000 out of the total of 7,800,000 unemployed workers; that is, about 17 percent of the unemployed were concentrated among less than 10 percent of the population. The most striking characteristic of these areas, and the one by which they may be most easily identified, given adequate data, is excessively persistent unemployment. Superficially, depressed areas appear to be simply the places where the depression struck hardest and lasted longest. It would be a mistake, however, to accept too readily this simple distinction. Actually, depressed areas are pockets of unemployment created over a considerable period of time by the progressive contraction of the economic base upon which the community rests. A brief review of more important factors in the development of depressed areas should make this point clear. How They Develop. To begin with, depressed areas have a local economy which is disintegrating. The most important cause is usually a basic segment of industry which, after a long history of increasing difficulty, received its fatal stroke from the depression. By the middle of the 1930's the economy upon which the depressed A2021 - 5 - communities formerly rested had in most cases undergone such severe deterioration that it could scarcely he restored hy national recovery to "normal" predepression levels. Since 1930 these communities have had to carry not only the average burden imposed hy cyclical decline generally, hut in addition, the specific and chronic burden of their own ailing industry. Depletion and erosion of soil, loss of markets, technological obsolescence, and the emigration of industry are examples of the chronic difficulties faced by these communities entirely aside from the nation-wide depression. Such difficulties are by no means new on the American scene. During the past 100 years many an American community has seen its economy destroyed by the shifting patterns of economic interrelations. But in the past such communities could usually recoup their fortunes by shifting with the long-term trends into an expanding industry. New Bedford, Massachusetts, for example, shifted from whaling to textile; South Bend, Indiana turned its wagon industry to manufacturing automobiles. In Oklahoma, Tulsa's nearby oil wells ran dry years ago, but Tulsa continues as an oil-' financing and supply center. It might even be said that constant readaptation to changing conditions is the rule to which depressed areas are the exception. In these communities the process of re- adaptation has somehow gone awry. No community waits until its old economic base is gone before seeking a new one. The community records of most depressed areas show a conscious, organized effort to bring in new industries long before the decline of the basic industry has reached a critical A2021 - 6 - stage. But for a variety of reasons, these efforts come to nothing; the much sought-after industry decides to locate elsewhere despite the offers of subsidies in the form of tax rebates, guarantees against labor difficulties, free land, and local stock subscriptions. Only the runaway garment manufacturer, the high pressure promoter, and the crack-pot inventor are likely to take advantage of the perennial "land a new industry" campaigns that are so characteristic of depressed areas. With little or nothing to show for their efforts to attract new industries, but with a fatal optimism about the future of their community, the fortunes--of the typical depressed area remained tied to a single and declining basic industry. As the depression deepened, the chances of escaping eventual collapse became less and less probable. Investors who failed to be persuaded by the "land a new industry" campaigns of the prosperous 1920's were not likely to come to the rescue during the 1930's • t But this predicament, too, is not one that is restricted to the depression of the thirties. Scores of American communities have, in the century past, outlived one function without being able to develop another. Frior to the recent decade, however, the surplus populations of such communities moved on to areas of expand¬ ing activity. Many a ghost town in the western gold fields remains today a mute reminder of the prosperity of the 1880's. When the diggings ran out, the population simply decamped to the last man. Between 1890 and 1930 some 45 less-favored Kentucky counties ex¬ ported pupulation so rapidly and continuously that they not only A2021 - 7 - balanced their extraordinary fecundity, but actually decreased the gross papulation size. Even as late as the 1920's half the popula¬ tion of numerous central Georgia counties were able to move on to greener fields when the boll weevil upset the cotton economy. Since 1929, however, this self-healing remedy of migra¬ tion has failed. The general disappearance of job opportunities has not only checked the successful transfer of surplus workers from declining areas but has often reversed the flow. As a result, redundant workers for the first considerable period of time find themselves stranded in large numbers within areas where opportunity is gone, and apparently gone for good. The preliminary returns from the 1940 Census place special emphasis upon population losses in the Great Plains States under the impact of drought, mechanization, and increasing farm size. But such responsiveness to economic adversity has become the ex¬ ception rather than the rule. Among the 50-odd areas tentatively identified as depressed areas, less than a dozen lost population during the decade; in the remainder, migration ran a losing race against natural population increase. Several of the areas actually' showed a marked increase above the expected rise from natural causes suggesting a flow to, rather than away from, areas of con¬ tracting economic opportunity. In all, the 50-odd areas gained 700,000 persons during the decade, an increase of 5.7 percent against 7,0 percent for the country as a whole. The Necessity of Relief. The noose has been drawn tight. The depressed communities have neither been able to revive their A2021 - 8 - basic activity nor to supplement it. Nor have they been able to export their surplus workers to their more prosperous neighbors. And thus, with the normal means of readjustment denied them, one- third, one-half, and sometimes two-thirds of the people were forced to depend on relief as their principal means of livelihood. After some years now they are .still on relief, and barring some as yet unforeseen development, they will continue to depend on relief within the predictable future. It might seem that the eventual dependence of these areas on relief as the principal source of income was so clearly foreshadowed by the state of their local economies at the beginning of the depression that steps would have been taken to cushion the final -shock. Actually, however, the important distinctions between these areas with their disintegrating industries, and areas where distress was almost solely the result of the cyclical downswing was not realized until after a great deal of unnecessary damage was done, In fact, it may be questioned whether the distinction is fully realized today when there is talk of a solution in terms of national defense activity. For a period of four years at the start of the depression the depressed areas were left to struggle with their problems as best they could, like most communities, they attempted to feed the unemployed out of funds raised locally and voluntarily; but these attempts were more futile and the amounts raised even more meager; and certainly the results were far more disastrous. A2021 — 9 — The conditions of the depressed areas during this early depression period were utterly fantastic.. . First the banks had failed; many of the depressed areas had lost every bank long before March 19?-?. Next came foreclosures and evictions; so many homes were repossessed and torn down to avoid taxes and to raise cash at salvage sales that, ironically enough, most of the depressed areas have been and still are suffering from acute housing short¬ ages. Then the whole local tax structure collapsed. The grocers, the butchers, who in extending credit to old customers really provided an early and involuntary form of outdoor relief, failed by the hundreds and either departed or Joined the ranks of the needy. Empty stores with gaping windows lined the main streets. Again and again in early congressional hearings on relief legislation conditions in some of these areas were cited to show how unrealistic it was to expect localities to care for their needy citizens: children unable to attend school for want of shoes, families reduced to one poor meal a day, dispossessed households living in packing bo^-es and foraging the community dumps for food. Slowly, inexorably, whole communities sank into complete bankruptcy. It is difficult to think what might have happened in these areas had not Federal assistance finally arrived in the form of the Federal Emergency Relief Administration and, for these areas \ particularly, the Civil Works Administration, But outside assistance came to these areas on the same basis as to all others, with the A2021 - 10 - strong emphasis on the temporary and emergency nature of the assist¬ ance to the able-bodied unemployed, who presumably would soon return to self-supoort. It was in this way that relief came to take over the major burden of support in these areas, and having taken up the burden, finds no way to lay it down again. However temporary relief may be in other places, it has nothing of the temporary in it so far as depressed areas are concerned. It was a one-way street along which relief traveled into these areas and the end of the street is closed. Two Depressed Areas. In order to give a more definite content to this general discussion of relief in depressed areas, two specific instances may be cited. The first, an agricultural community in the Oklahoma Ozarks, and the second, the southern Illinois coal field. Latimer County. Oklahoma. Latimer County, Oklahoma is about 150 miles southeast of Oklahoma City, and one county removed from the Arkansas line. Back in 1910 the county supported 11,300 •oeoole either on farms or in a few scattered coal iainos3 By 1920 the population had increased to 13,900. After 1920 the small coal mining industry was paralyzed by competition vi th oil. At the same time, soil erosion began to t^ke a heavy toll of the land's productivity, and large fa.rms began to absorb the smaller acreages. For 15 years the peoole waited for oil drilling crews to bring in a pool under their cornfields, but the strike never came. Population began to decline; between 1920 and 1930 population decreased 20 percent. A2021 - 11 - During the first years of the depression many of the emigrants returned and population rose rapidly until 1933. Al¬ though out—migration was resumed after 1933, the population in 1940 was still 10 percent above that of 1930, The relief figures speak eloauently of economic conditions in Latimer County? In 1933, 49 percent of the population received relief. In 1935, the figure had risen to 69 percent. In 1940, the county's WPA employment was, relative to the population, three and one-half times as large as the average for the country as a whole, and there was a long list of persons waiting assignment. In 1940, two-thirds of the population received Federal Surplus Commodity grant s. The Oklahoma State Planning Board has classified the entire county as "generally submauginal for crops, necessitating the retirement of land from cultivation." The county has grown so poor that it can scarcely support a town any longer; and its farm villages are gradually dissolving and merging into the over¬ crowded countryside. With the population movement in approximate equilibrium, with a soil low in prodtictivity, with its one industrial prospect - mining - of little account, the continued existence of Latimer County's people depends upon relief income. Nor is it possible to see how this county can benefit from the current rise in activity brought about by the Defense Program. A2021 - 12 - The Southern Illinois Coal Field. The second, example of a depressed area is provided by Franklin, Saline, and Williamson Counties in the heart of the southern Illinois coal field, the most important coal-producing center west of the Appalachians. Up to the turn of the century, these counties comprised a poor and sparsely-settled farm area. In 1902, large-scale development of coal production began; for two decades thereafter the area rode the crest of a long, spectacular boom accompanied by a raoid influx of population. Trouble began in 1923, when petroleum and non-union coal began cutting large slices from the southern Illinois market. In the middle of the 1920's a wave of mine abandonment swept across the field; immediately thereafter, the surviving operators initiated a broad program of mechanization to reduce costs. The effect of mechanization on operating efficiency, that is, man-day output, was a steady rise so that by 1938 productivity was double that of 1923, although total output had been cut to one-half. In 1940 the mines v-'ere emoloying one miner for every four employed in 1923. Local attempts to solve the tremendous problem of labor displacement followed the usual pattern of depressed areas. A "back-to-the-land" movement was much talked about ?s a "common sense" approach to unemployment, desoite two obvious difficulties; land was both poor and scarce; and the displaced miner with his highly specialized training is not readily transferable to agri¬ culture, which among other things reauires capital from the start. The much more logical shift was the one the miners worked out for themselves. Jerry-built mines, aptly called "gopher holes," were A2021 - IS - sunk along the outcrop, and from this technically primitive pursuit a meager income was derived. Few communities have campaigned more ardently for outside industries. Up to the summer of 1940, however, these campaigns had netted absolutely nothing. Migration, the much-vaunted "safety valve" of the nineteenth century, failed to do much more than offset natural increase. In 1920, the three counties had 156,000 population; in 1930, 150,000; and in 1940, 140,000. Over the 20-year period popula¬ tion declined 10 percent, while employment in the mines declined by 7? percent. Many of the young workers have left, but many more should go. Three-fifths of all workers under 25 years were un¬ employed. early in 1939, and. 38 percent of all workers under 25 years had never had a job. A more tragic waste of manpower can hardly be imagined. For the older worker, migration is less easy of accomplish¬ ment, and more doubtful of recommendation. Family responsibilities, Personal possessions, and a specialized occupation tend, to hold the displaced miner where he is. Bad as it is, the local situation is known; friends, the church, relief officials, and tradesmen have been as helpful as possible. The risk of starting over again in a strange community seems too great as long as any hope remains that local conditions will improve. And hope dies hard in an area not yet a generation remo\*ed from.a period of marked-prosperity* It is not surprising then to find the relief load rising steadily in these counties from the time Federal, assistance was A2021 _ 14 ~ available. In 1933, these counties reported 23 percent of tbeir population receiving assistance; in 1934, the figure was 30 percent; in 1935, 33 percent; in 1936, 36 percent; in 1937, 38 percent; and in 1938, 54 percent» With the beginning of unemployment compensation in 1939, there was a decline to 50 percent. Tour months ago the three counties had a WFA load four times the national average for counties of their size. The money put into circulation by the public assistance programs has come to play an increasingly decisive role in holding these communities together, Up to 1933, when Federal aid began, the mine payrolls were virtually the only primary source of income, within the coal field. By 19385 public assistance had not only taken care of far more workers than were employed in the mines, but was also paying into the community a sum nearly equal to the annual payrolls of the mines. It is not an exaggeration, then, to say that the three counties now have two industries instead of one; but the second industry is relief. The Future Prosrect. It is much easier to discuss the problem of depressed areas and their dependence on relief than it is to predict what their future course may be. There seems to be only one assertion that can be made without qualification. In the immediate future, relief will remain the prop that shores-up their uncertain foundations. To remove this prop is almost certain to bring down the whole community structure. But this is, of course, a very discouraging prospect. Assistance that becomes an end rather than a means has serious A2021 - 15 - implications. It implies permanent adjustment of living standards and outlook to levels that are not easy to contemplate. However adjustable human beings may be to temporary adversity, it would be a serious mistake to think that fundamental changes will not follow in time. And here is the dilemma of relief. It must be continued and yet its continuance will eventually defeat its purpose. The one more hopeful prospect is that some of these areas will be revived by defense activities. Insofar as this revival is linked to the emergency defense period, it carries the threat of another, and probably final, shock at its termination. But far too many of these areas are outside the probable scope of defense operations, and here the problem will grow more serious despite a rise in employment for the country as a whole. Perhaps the one constructive recommendation that can be made is that serious attention should be directed now toward re¬ habilitating or depopulating these areas while the general economic situation is favorable. The great danger today is that these areas will be forgotten as the national income rises, only to be remembered again when the tide has turned and an opportunity for rehabilitative measures has been foregone.