OOCUM6.N (* ROOM Reprinted from Social, Forces Vol. 13, No. 4, May, 1935 APR 14 1941 THE CONTRIBUTION OF RESEARCH TO RURAL T- RELIEF PROBLEMS * S.vo (UU O. ') Py / j^7v DWIGHT SANDERSON Federal Emergency Relief Administration THE Census of Unemployment Relief Cases made by the Federal Emer¬ gency Relief Administration in Oc¬ tober, 1933, revealed 1,154,960 rural fami¬ lies receiving relief, or 36 per cent of the total relief load. By July, 1934, this had grown to approximately 1,500,000 fami¬ lies, rural counties in the drought areas having the highest relief rate in the country. Inasmuch as over most of the United States there had been no well developed rural social work prior to the advent of the emergency relief administrations, and con¬ sequently almost no trained workers, there were no means of obtaining information concerning the problems of rural relief as was possible in cities through established urban agencies. Furthermore, almost no data existed as to the extent or nature of rural relief in previous years, beyond the barest facts of number and cost of cases in the reports of state welfare departments. Obviously, for the intelligent administra¬ tion of so large an undertaking, some basic facts with regard to the characteristics of the clients and their needs are highly de¬ sirable. This suggests an important dif¬ ference in the type of research feasible un¬ der an emergency administration and in a permanent bureau of the government. Thus the research of the U. S. Children's Bureau is published primarily for the in¬ formation and education of the public, but the research of an emergency administra¬ * This paper was read before a joint session of the Section on Social Statistics of the American Socio¬ logical Society and the American Statistical Associ¬ ation at the annual meeting in Chicago, December, 1934- tion is chiefly to inform its own adminis¬ trators; it is like the intelligence service of an army. Rapid but accurate research concerning so large a relief population over so wide an area met three major difficulties: (1) the inadequate records due to the untrained and inexperienced personnel in rural county offices; (2.) the extensive area to be covered; and (3) the dispersion of the population, involving high transportation costs for enumerators. The first rural study undertook to meas¬ ure the differences between relief families and their non-relief neighbors as of Octo¬ ber, 1933. A total of 17,700 usable sched¬ ules was obtained from 47 counties in 19 states. The schedule covered household composition, history of occupation, and data on the economic status of the house¬ hold. Among the significant facts thus far revealed by the study is that only 37 per cent1 of rural families receiving relief operated farms, the proportion varying from 10 per cent in the Corn Belt to 58 per cent in the Spring Wheat Area, the per¬ centage being 16 points, or nearly one- third less than that of the general popula¬ tion as reported by the last census. The proportion of farm owners receiv¬ ing relief was smaller than that reported by the 1930 Census, but the proportion of croppers on relief in the South ranged from approximately one and one-half to three and one-half times as great as their pro¬ portion in the census, and the proportion of other tenants was also larger. Further¬ more, it was the operators of the smaller 1 Preliminary figure. 483 RESEARCH AND RURAL RELIEF PROBLEMS farms who were on relief. In three of the most important agricultural areas, farmers on relief held properties only one-half as large as those of neighboring non-relief farmers. Rural relief households aver¬ aged about one person larger in size than neighboring non-relief households. The number of dependents per gainful worker was nearly twice as great in relief house¬ holds as in non-relief households of cor¬ responding size. Obviously most of the rural relief households were those which were previously marginal families. The second study was of relief turnover for the six months of November i, 1933 to April 30, 1934. It included all cases in 49 counties in zi states and involved a total of approximately 99,000 schedules. The data were gathered by family inter¬ views and included household composi¬ tion, employment status, and record of last employment for all persons 16 years of age and over, and reasons for opening or closing cases. Among the significant points on which the study throws light, the following may be mentioned. 1. The extent to which the rural relief families coming on and going off relief between November 1953 and April 1934 were simi¬ lar to -those enumerated in the October 19)3 .Relief Census, particularly in regard to the over-representatiao of larger fami¬ lies and of children under 16. l. The relative influence of loss of CWA jobs, crop situations, etc., in bringing chese families onto the relief rolls, and of such factors as CWA, private industry and ad¬ ministration rulings in taking them off the relief rolls. 3. The extent to which these rural counties attempted to differentiate between unem¬ ployment relief and other forms of relief, as shown by the proportions of families on "unemployment" relief which con¬ tained no gainful workers. 4. The extent of urban-rural differences as shown by the rate of opened and closed cases. An analysis of the rural regions showing high relief rates with regard to climate, soil, and other factors, revealed several areas in which the need for relief, although precipitated by the depression, is not a temporary matter, but is based on factors that give it a semi-permanent or long¬ time character. Six such areas were studied: the Appalachian and Ozark High¬ lands, the Cotton Area of the Old South, the Western Cotton Area, the Lake State Cut-Over, the Short-Grass Winter Wheat, and the Short-Grass Spring Wheat Areas. The first three areas are the most impor¬ tant, as they included 40 per cent of the rural relief cases of the United States in October, 1933. The study of them was undertaken with special reference to re¬ habilitation. Data on the basic economic resources of the county, the reasons for receiving relief, the type of aid, if any, probably required in the future, and the qualification of the head of the household for rehabilitation in fanning or in other employment, family composition, eco¬ nomic status, occupation, etc., were gathered. The study covered 65 counties in Z3 states. The statistical data were gathered from the case records in the county relief offices and from the case workers, and a rather thorough quantita¬ tive and qualitative description of the agricultural and economic resources, the history and methods of relief administra¬ tion, and the programs of rehabilitation being used or proposed was made. The results of this study are now being tabulated. They are of especial useful¬ ness to the administration in indicating the following sorts of data: i. The extent to which the rural relief cases reside in the open country, as contrasted with villages and small towns, a. The usual occupations of these persons, par¬ ticularly the proportions of farm operators and farm laborers, the total proportion usually engaged in agriculture, etc. SOCIAL FORCES 484 3. The extent to which the heads of the relief households must be adjudged incapable of self-support, due largely to the propor¬ tion of aged persons among them, and the extent to which this varied between the Negro and the white groups. 4. The extent to which "broken families," chiefly women with young dependent children, are found. 5. The extent to which the recent urban-rural migrations have caused variations in re¬ lief rates. 6. The extent of insufficient schooling of the heads of relief households, and the pas¬ sible implications of this factor for a re¬ habilitation program. As a sequel of the first survey of rural relief and non-relief families, the same counties were studied in June, 1934, as of May, to determine the distribution of rural relief households by residence, the prob¬ able re-employment prospects and the probable trend of relief during the summer, the resources available for the rehabilita¬ tion of farm families, and the prospects for rehabilitating village families on the land. Experience with this survey led to the conclusion that, if such a study could be conducted over a large enough sample of representative counties and the results could be quickly assembled and reported, it would be of considerable practical value and that a repetition of such a study in the same counties two or three times a year would give an intimate picture of the changes and trends in the rural relief situation not otherwise obtainable. From experience with this and previous studies, it appears that the most important basic problem is to obtain a valid sample of the counties of the United States. The county was taken as the unit, for it was the only one for which uniform statistical data could be obtained either from the census or from relief statistics. The whole proce¬ dure has been described in a recent article2 * A. R. Mangus. Sampling in the field of rural relief. Journal Amirican Statistical Association. De¬ cember, 1934. by the analyst who had charge of the sampling. It seemed evident that, if all counties in the whole country were taken as a universe, the heterogeneity of the as¬ pects would be so great as to make a sampling process fruitless. The country was therefore divided into areas within which there was sufficient socio-economic homogeneity to use given factors as a basis for sampling: The East Cotton Belt, the West Cotton Belt, the Corn Belt, the Hay- Dairy Region of the Northeast, the Self- sufficing Farming Area of the Appala¬ chian-Highlands, the Wheat Growing Region, the Lake States Cut-Over Region, the Range Region, and the Pacific Coast. The criteria used are the percentage of land in the major agircultural products, in some instances the proportion of farm products consumed on the farm (the self- sufficing farm area), or the percentage of land in farms (the range area). The Pacific Coast Area, however, is merely a geographic region. The regions defined include about 70 per cent of the counties and of the rural population of the United States, the chief omission being the At¬ lantic and Gulf Coast counties and Florida. In selecting the sample the procedure used was to select counties which were repre¬ sentative of the area for a combination of certain independent variables, such as per capita land value, residence (i.e., farm, rural, village, or city), tenancy, and the geographical distribution of the units. This was done on the assumption that if one set of facts is related to a second set, then a sample representative of the one set will at the same time be representative of the other. For the purposes of the survey proposed it was decided that a 7^ per cent sample was the largest practicable for field ad¬ ministration within the time and resources available, but the sampling scheme used was such that it might readily be adjusted 485 RESEARCH AND RURAL RELIEF PROBLEMS to allow the selection of almost any size sample desired. The representativeness of the sample was shown to be high not only with respect to the variables which were directly con¬ trolled in selecting the sample, but also with respect to several related variables, such as per cent of all rural negro families, per cent of all rural farm and non-farm families and per cent of all gainful work¬ ers in agriculture who are wage workers. The crucial question was whether the sample selected upon the basis of these rural population factors would also be representative of the rural relief popula¬ tion, the basic assumption of the proce¬ dure. This could not be fully tested due to lack of information, but the October 1933 Relief Census gave the total rural re¬ lief load, and the total Negro rural relief load by counties, which made it possible to test the representativeness of the sample as to these factors. This was done and it was shown that the counties selected were as representative in these respects as for the independent variables previously men¬ tioned. It is appreciated that no one sample will be valid for all purposes, but it is felt that an important beginning has been made in establishing a method whereby a sampling of statistical data for the counties of the United States, valid both from logical and statistical reasoning, and having applica¬ tions in many fields of rural social research, can be had. By this method about 140 counties were selected in 33 states and a survey has just been made as of October 1934, along the lines of the survey of last May. This seeks to determine the place of residence and usual occupation of the heads of rural relief households; to obtain a picture of the r61e of the Rural Rehabilitation Pro¬ gram; to obtain an estimate of the number of rural cases which will require relief in February next; and to discover any tend¬ ency for open-country relief families to move into villages and towns or vice versa. Research cannot of itself determine poli¬ cies, but it may obtain the facts which will reveal the need for certain policies or programs, and may measure their prod¬ ucts through accurate description of the changes in the amount, kind, and reasons for relief in representative localities.