before The Interstate Commerce Commission DOCKET No. 3400. IN RE INVESTIGATION OF PROPOSED ADVANCES IN RATES BY CARRIERS IN OFFICIAL CLASSIFICATION TERRITORY. verbatim report of testimony OF Mr. DANIEL WILLARD, President, THE BALTIMORE AND OHIO RAILROAD COMPANY, AT j ' WASHINGTON, D. C., OCTOBER 13th, 1910. before The Interstate Commerce Commission DOCKET No. 3400. IN RE INVESTIGATION OF PROPOSED ADVANCES IN RATES BY CARRIERS IN OFFICIAL CLASSIFICATION TERRITORY. verbatim report of testimony OF Mr, DANIEL WILLARD, President, THE BALTIMORE AND OHIO RAILROAD COMPANY, AT WASHINGTON, D. C., OCTOBER 13th, 1910. INTRODUCTION. Early in July, 1910, the railroads situated in that portion of the United States, lying north of the Potomac and Ohio Rivers and east of the Mississippi River, filed with the Interstate Commerce Com¬ mission tariffs to become effective August 1st, 1910, which advanced certain rates within that territory. The Interstate Commerce Commission thereupon instituted an investigation into the reason¬ ableness of the proposed advanced rates. Pending this investigation the railroads, which had filed the rates, voluntarily postponed the dates on which they were to become effective, pending the decision of the Interstate Commerce Commission on this proceeding. On September 7th, 8th, 9th, 10th, 12th, 13th, 14th and 15th, evidence was offered by the railroads in support of the proposed rates before Examiners Brown and Hillyer, representing the Interstate Commerce Commission, in New York. This evidence consisted of: First.—Testimony by the accounting officers of the rail¬ roads involved, which showed that the additional revenue to be obtained under the proposed advance in rates, would not be sufficient to offset the additional expense of the railroads, due to recent increases in wages of employes, cost of material and in fact nearly everything the railroads use. Second.—Testimony by the traffic officials of the railroads, explaining the reasons why it had been decided to advance the particular rates in question. At the conclusion of the hearings in New York, counsel for the railroads stated that they desired to present to the Interstate Com¬ merce Commission, in person, through the presidents of the railroads, the reasons which, in their opinion, necessitated an advance in rates. In accordance with this request the Interstate Commerce Com¬ mission, all members of which were present, heard the testimony of Mr. James McCrea, President of the Permsylvania Railroad Com¬ pany; Mr. Daniel Willard, President of the Baltimore & Ohio Rail¬ road Company; Mr. W. C. Brown, President of the New York Central & Hudson River Railroad Company, and Mr. J. C. Stuart, Vice- President of the Erie Railroad Company, in Washington, D. C., October 12th, 13th, 14th and 15th, 1910. Washington, D. C., October 13, 1910. 10 O'clock A. M. Met pursuant to adjournment. The Chairman: Gentlemen, you may proceed. Whom will you call next? Mr. Bond : Mr. Daniel Willard. DANIEL WILLARD was called as a witness on behalf of the defendants, and, being first duly sworn, testified as follows : Direct Examination. Mr. Bond: Mr. Willard, you are President of the Balti¬ more & Ohio Railroad Company and of the companies forming its system? Mr. Willard: I am. Mr. Bond: How long have you occupied that position? Mr. Willard: Since the 15th of January last. the needs and conditions of the baltimore and ohio system. Mr. Bond: When you came to the system on the 15th of January, Mr. Willard, I presume you had occasion to study the needs and condition of the system? Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. Bond : First as to the needs of additional capital, what did you find and what steps were taken? Mr. Willard: I found that it was necessary to arrange at once for necessary funds to pay for equipment already ordered, and also for the purpose of carrying on work such as additional tracks, yards, and so forth, that had to be started shortly after I came with the property; and in order to do that it was necessary to raise a large sum of money —in fact, $50,000,000. Mr. Bond: What was done in that regard? Mr. Willard: The first thing that was done, the Company arranged for a short time loan of $10,000,000 to 6 apply on requirements that were immediately pressing. After that it was considered desirable to make arrange¬ ments on a larger scale to take care of payments for equip¬ ment ordered and to carry out a program that was under consideration, and of course various plans were discussed and various means for raising the money were considered, and finally it was thought best to sell, if possible, the Com¬ pany's debenture bonds, convertible into stock, and negotiations were entered into with that in mind; but about that time the market conditions became more or less un¬ settled, and before we could reach a conclussion on any one basis, conditions would change, and finally it became apparent that in order to negotiate a loan of that character we would have to pay a rate of interest that we thought the Baltimore & Ohio Company would not be justified in paying for a long term arrangement. At last it was decided that the Company had better sell its three years secured notes at 43^ per cent, on the best basis they could obtain, and they were sold on practically a five per cent, basis— something a fraction less than that, perhaps, and they become due in June, 1913. Commissioner Prouty: For what amount? Mr. Willard: $40,000,000. The issue of $50,000,000 was authorized, $10,000,000 being reserved to take up the $10,000,000 of short notes maturing next March. Mr. Bond: What was the result of the operations for the fiscal year 1910? Mr. Willard: As shown by the annual reports, the property during the last fiscal year was able to pay its fixed charges, taxes, a four per cent, dividend on its first pre¬ ferred stock, to which it is entitled, on a noncumulative basis, and six per cent, on its common stock. It also spent about $415,000 on the property, which expenditures were not included in the operating expenses, but went into better¬ ments, and it also showed a surplus, carried to profit and loss, of $4,815,000, which of itself was also spent on the property or is in process of being spent. Mr. Bond: How do the gross earnings for 1910 compare with the previous gross earnings of the system? 7 Mr. Willard: They are the largest in the system's history. Mr. Bond: In making those gross earnings, I gather from your statement there is additional capital expenditure particularly for equipment in use on the system? Mr. Willard: Yes sir. Mr. Bond: Amounting to some $10,000,000? Mr. Willard: The Company ordered last year some 10,000 cars and 225 locomotives, I think. Most of those locomotives, in fact all of them, were used more or less of the time in that fiscal year, and some of the cars. Mr. Bond: What fiscal year was the next largest in gross earnings? Mr. Willard: 1907. Mr. Bond : What was the result in that year? Mr. Willard: That year the road met its fixed require¬ ments, paid its six per cent, dividend, spent a million and a quarter in extraordinary expenditures, such as we spent the $415,000 the last year for, and carried a surplus to profit and loss of $6,900,000. Mr. Bond: What happened the next year, 1908? Mr. Willard: It failed to earn its dividend by about $1,000,000. Commissioner Prouty: What is the amount of the common stock? Mr. Willard: $152,000,000 of common. Mr. Bond: In 1909, how was it? Mr. Willard: In 1909 it paid—I will have to refer to some figures. It earned a small surplus. In 1909 it paid six per cent, as formerly on its common stock and showed a surplus of $1,800,000. Mr. Bond: There is already evidence in the case in regard to the increase in wages which became effective April 1, 1910, and also as to some other increased expenses, particularly taxes. Can you say, taking the results of 1910 —of course by way of estimate—what would have been those results had the increase of expenses existed through the year 1910 that we know must exist through the fiscal year 1911. 8 Mr. Willard: Yes. We made estimates on that and I have some memoranda which I think I had better refer to, perhaps. The increase in our pay roll, if it had gone through the entire year—of course we only had the effect of it for three months—but if it had gone through the entire year it would have been $1,635,000, as we estimate, more than it was. If we had had the interest payments for the entire year that we did have for the latter months of the year, because of increased capital, some of which has been and all of which will be spent, our interest payments would have been increased $1,900,000; depreciation charges, which we will have to assume this year because of additional equipment, would amount to $360,000; and, from the nearest estimate, our taxes will be increased this year $222,000. That aggregates $4,144,000, and our surplus this last year was $4,357,000, thus reducing the surplus to $213,000 on account of those particular items. Commissioner Clements: How did the net of 1909 and 1910 compare? Mr. Willard: In 1909 there was a small surplus, $1,800,000. In 1910 the surplus was $4,315,000. Commissioner Clements: I spoke of net earnings as compared with gross earnings. You stated what the gross was in 1909 as compared with 1910, and my question now simply goes to the net. Mr. Willard: I think I can give that. The net income in 1909—the gross income before any deductions were made whatever, $29,000,000; and in 1910 it was $31,000,000. Commissioner Clements : That is the gross? Mr. Willard : That is the gross income after operations. Mr. Bond : The gross net income? Mr. Willard: Yes, the gross-net income. The gross income was $90,000,000, including outside operations, and on the same basis in the former year it was $77,000,000. There is a very large increase in the gross, something over $12,000,000 increase in gross, and about $2,000,000 increase in net. Mr. Frank Lyon: Mr. Willard, what were those ñgures for 1909? 9 Mr. Willard: The figures for 1909, as shown here, are $77,000,000. They will not agree exactly with the figures shown in the annual report. Mr. Lyon: It is $72,000,000 as reported to the Com¬ mission. Mr. Willard: This statement is made up for the entire system and it includes outside earnings, which I had put in for purposes of comparison, this being a statement I had made up for my own information. Mr. Lyon: The figures we got from the Baltimore & Ohio for 1910, show $90,000,000. Mr. Willard: The difference is because I have included in this for comparison the outside earnings before mentioned. Mr. Bond: You have included outside operations too? Mr. Lyon: Yes. Mr. Willard: The figures in the report show $88,000,000. Mr. Bond : Then on the estimate which you have made there would practically be very little surplus for the year 1911? Mr. Willard: If we can judge the year we have just entered upon by the past, making the best applications we can of changed figures, it would appear that as the result of this year's operation we will have about $200,000 surplus if we pay the six per cent, dividend, as of course we expect to do. Commissioner Lane: That is not figuring on any increase of business? Mr. Willard: Not taking that into account. The increase in business, however, is a problematical question just now. The first three months of this present fiscal year our earnings show an increase of $1,800,000 over the same three months last year, and our expenses are $2,100,000 greater, so there is an actual less net of about $300,000. With that in mind, it is somewhat difficult to determine just what effect it may have through the entire year. It seemed perhaps better to judge by last year's figures, although that is a matter of opinion of course. Commissioner Lane: The increase in your gross was $12,000,000 last year? 10 Mr. Willard: It was substantially 112,000,000 increase in gross. May I have our annual report? Mr. Bond: Yes, here it is. Mr. Willard: $12,488,000, and the net earnings from operations were $3,300,000. some elements of railroad credit. Mr. Bond: Mr. Willard, before going into a little more detail as to the application of the surplus earnings of the Bal¬ timore & Ohio System, I should like to get you to state what is in your view the importance of the surplus earnings as affecting the credit of the Baltimore & Ohio and its ability to get additional capital. If you will, give us your experience and views on what constitutes the basis of that credit? Mr. Willard: I think, to reply to that question, it is necessary to consider the elements that make credit for a railroad, and particularly for the Baltimore & Ohio Railroad, and that is a matter it has been necessary for me to con¬ sider with some considerable care in the last few months, because of our own pressing necessities. In discussing the matter with bankers I have asked them the question—what in their minds, were some of the essential elements of credit, what things did they consider specifically, when clients of theirs came to them and asked their opinion about the relative merits of certain investments. Perhaps this sums it up as well as anything—that they considered, of course, the history of the company, whatever it might be, railroad or industrial; that they considered the relative volume of the bonded indebtedness and the amount of stock outstanding; and it seems to me that there is a well defined opinion that the relation of the stock to the total capital probably ought not to be less than 40 per cent, and preferably more than that; and I judge, from the laws that have been passed in some states—and inferentially from the requirements of the Federal Corporation tax law—that a proportion of one-half funded debt and one-half stock is looked upon as desirable, as a proper and fair adjustment of those two kinds of securities. I was told that in consider¬ ing the value of a bond, of course the amount of stock with relation to the bonded indebtedness and the stock dividend 11 paid would be elements to be considered; that those who invested in railroad.bonds were usually people who desired a maximum security and were willing to accept a minimum return. Those who contemplated investing in railroad stock or in the stock of any industrial organization were willing to accept the greater hazard because of the increased return that they would expect to receive; but that the value which they would place upon a share of stock would be governed not only by its volume, its relative volume as com¬ pared with the funded debt, but particularly by the surplus that the company showed above its actual dividend require¬ ments, and also the disposition of such surplus. I asked what relation if any, they believed should exist between the volume of the payments on stock and the surplus that should be earned above it, to bring about a safe condition, and I found that opinions varied considerably. As developed here yesterday in Mr. McCrea's testimony, it would appear that it has been the practice of the Pennsylvania Railroad Company to put substantially a dollar of surplus in that property per dollar paid in dividends, and of course the Pennsylvania Railroad itself is the best evidence of the result of that policy. It has been the policy of the Baltimore & Ohio, since its reorganization covering that entire period, as its records show, that for every dollar paid in dividends 50 cents has gone back into the property. Certainly that is not too much, and our condition would be better and we would better serve our patrons if we had been able to follow a more liberal policy. I was told by bankers that they look upon the application of 50 cents, or we will say, one-third of the surplus earned, to the property for betterments and keeping it up to date, as about the minimum that should be used in that way. railroad stocks as an investment. Commissioner Prouty: Your common stock is $152,- 000,000? - Mr. Willard: Yes. Commissioner Prouty: $1,500,000 would be equivalent to one per cent, on that stock? 12 Mr. Willard; Yes. Commissioner Prouty: Would the financial condition of your Company be stronger if you paid a regular dividend of five per cent, to your stockholders, with a surplus of $4,500,000, or if you paid a dividend of 6 per cent, to your stockholders with a surplus of $3,500,000? Mr. Willard: I think it would be stronger as it is. I could not imagine that a railroad stock today paying less than six per cent., would have any attractiveness to any investor. Commissioner Prouty: It would have attractiveness to investors who wanted to invest their money in a perfectly safe security, if they wanted that security to be perfectly safe. ]\Ir. Willard: I do not think that opinion would be justified. Commissioner Prouty: Would it not be justified if you were to pay him five per cent., and if you had a safe surplus of 3 per cent, more? Mr. Willard: I do not think it would be attractive. It would not be attractive to me. Commissioner Prouty: I presume not to you, for you would expect to make more than five per cent, out of your money. Mr. Willard: I would want to, but not only that. I do not believe a man would invest his money at five per cent, and assume all the risk of loss, when he could get four per cent, with surety. Commissioner Prouty: Just what is the risk of loss in the case of the Baltimore & Ohio paying a regular dividend of five per cent, year after year and having a safe surplus year after year of $4,500,000? Mr. Willard: I think that can best be answered by the results of 1907. In that year the road earned $8,000,000 surplus, which was equal to double its dividend payment of 6 per cent., and the following year fell short of earning even six per cent. 13 Commissioner Prouty: I am not talking about surplus that you make in the most prosperous year you have, nor surplus you make in the poorest year you have. I am asking about the safe surplus of $4,500,000 and a dividend of five per cent. Mr. Willard: You ask my opinion? Commissioner Prouty: Yes. Mr. Willard: I do not think that would make an attractive investment. I think there has come about two very important changes with reference to railroad stock within the last few years. I wbuld like to give my views on that if you care to have them. Some years ago, in fact until quite recently, railroad stocks, in addition to having an investment value, were supposed to have a speculative value—not in the offensive sense in which the word "speculation" is sometimes used, but people who invest in stocks in any undertaking feel there is always the possibility of large returns because of good busi¬ ness conditions, and distributions of various characters that might be made. I can well imagine that a man would be willing to take a chance of loss and accept a regular dividend of five or six per cent, if he felt that the history of the Com¬ pany was such that there would probably be other distri¬ butions that, over a period of years, might make his average return eight or ten per cent., as I think was shown over a period in connection with the Pennsylvania. That specu¬ lative element in railroad stocks has now been removed. If it has not already been removed, it is being removed as fast as the machinery for doing it can be perfected. Commissioner Prouty: If you are allowed to advance your rates to make up for advanced interest charges, you substitute, in place of the speculative feature, the feature of certainty. Mr. Willard: That is exactly what I consider the strongest argument for advancing rates at this time, be¬ cause you have taken away the speculative element or value in a share of railroad stock, which has not been taken away in other industrial stocks, and you must substitute something in its stead, and the only thing possible is a greater element of security. 14 Commissioner Prouty: That is to say, it is necessary for the public to understand that the supervising of stock will allow the railroads to advance their rates when that is necessary in order to enable them to earn a certain amount of money? Mr. Willard: I think that is the only way railroad stocks can be made attractive at a fair rate of interest. Commissioner Prouty; If the public were persuaded of that fact it would not be necessary to have as wide a margin in the future as in the past? If the public were persuaded of that fact, would not a five per cent, stock with a three per cent, surplus, make a stock attractive? Mr. Willard: It might under that condition, and there is another element which I think should also be considered, that is due to recent changes. Previous to the last two or three years it was the custom of well managed, conserva¬ tively managed railroads, to include in their operating expenses very many of those items that, are now paid out of surplus. When the roads were doing that they were making those expenditures, such as I have in mind, out of what is now shown as surplus, but they were not then showing that money as surplus. If we were keeping our accounts now on exactly the same basis that we did two or three years ago, I should say your conclusion was right, but the surplus the roads show today in a sense is fallacious. I can under¬ stand the reason for the desire to have the accounts kept as they are now kept. At the same time, much of that money that is now shown as a surplus really ought to go back into the property to take care of obsolescence and depreciation, and so forth, if the property is to be maintained. That is why I make the statement that I could not quite agree with you about the size of the surplus. Mr. Bond: Of course that leads in any case to the uncertainty of the volume of traffic? Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. Bond: And in really hard times it would not be possible, from a commercial standpoint, to advance rates to make up for earnings. Mr. Willard: It did not seem to be possible in the last period of depression; at any rate, it was not done. 15 the latitude of uncertainty as to earnings. Commissioner Prouty: Upon that point, as you see the situation in this country east of the Mississippi River and north of the Potomac and Ohio Rivers, what is the latitude of uncertainty as to gross earnings? Of course there will be years when they are not as great and there will be years when they are greater, but as you forecast the future, what are the limits within which you think those earnings may be varied? Is there any probability that the Baltimore & Ohio will ever accept, for a continued period, earnings which are less from the same mileage than $90,000,000? Mr. Willard: I wish I might feel sure of that. Commissioner Prouty: I want to know just how you do feel about it, if possible, and just what your reasons are. Mr. Willard: Of course I am not.able to look far into the future and I only undertake to look ahead during, we will say, the next 12 months. It is necessary in a way to make our estimates for 12 months ahead. If you ask my opinion as to that period, I should say that as I view the matter the commercial conditions today all promise pros¬ perity—the large crops of corn and wheat, the large promise of cotton; and conditions as I have seen them along the Balti¬ more & Ohio Line all favor a period of prosperity. I have wondered why it is that the business generally is not better than it is, although with us I must say that it is practically up to our limits to handle at the present time. But I find that there is more or less feeling of uncertainty among men engaged in large affairs, shippers of coal, and in the manu¬ facturing concerns. The only reason I can find for that feeling is the element of uncertainty associated with the political situation at this time. One thing more I would like to say, with all respect to the Commission—certainly with no desire to be under¬ stood in any sense other than that—that I believe in railroad matters today there is not any single thing that is having such an influence upon railroad credit or upon the feeling of railroad managers, as the effect that this decision 16 may possibly have. In that connection, perhaps I should explain myself a little more fully. It was shown, I believe, yesterday, that the result of the increases asked for, should they be granted in full, would only amount to some $35,000,000, and when considered in connection with the magnitude of the undertaking, that certainly is not a very large sum. But I believe it is true that investors generally look with great interest for the decision in this case, not so much because of the money involved, but as an indication of what may transpire under the changed order of affairs. I happened to be in Berlin and in London a short time this summer, and while there I met men who have much to do with the furnishing of money to the Baltimore & Ohio Railroad. I found in every instance the thing that they wanted to know about first, was what would be the outcome of this new condition of affairs. Of course I was only able to say that I felt the case of the railroads was good, and if they succeeded in presenting it in its full force and showed that the proposed rates were justified, they would probably get them; and if they could not show they were justified, they probably would not get them. This thought, however, was all the time evident, that that was a matter which was in their minds, and until that was disposed of in some manner, things waited. There is a feeling of hesitancy, and that feeling today dominates the railroad situation. That feeling today is influencing the expenditures of the Baltimore & Ohio, and it could not be otherwise. If the railroads had come to this same juncture of affairs, if the present law placing the decision of this matter in the hands of the Commission had never been passed, and if the railroads had found themselves today unable to reach any substantial under¬ standing which might help the situation, we would then be in the same hesitating state of mind; we could not tell. The conditions do not justify, from my point of view, a policy of liberal expenditures on the part of the roads, cer¬ tainly not on the part of the Baltimore & Ohio. Commissioner Lane : Do you , think the investors are looking not to the amount of traffic that you are hauling. 17 but to the acts of this Commission or the policy of the courts before they will invest? Mr. Willard: I think that is having a great influence with them at the present time. I think the people abroad have great confidence in the American commercial con¬ ditions generally; that is, they believe in the growth of the country, in the inherent strength of its commercial con¬ ditions. It has shown recuperative capacity in the past, and I do not know that I have a right to say that they look with any special fear upon the present condition, but there is certainly a feeling of concern. Commissioner Lane; I think they are throughly justi¬ fied in looking with fear upon the present condition, in Europe, judging from the statements that are published in the European papers as coming from the United States, which are given a color so as to prejudice the Europeans against any American investment in American railroads. Mr. Willard: I have not seen that. Commissioner Lane: There is a manifest policy of that character. But why should it be that, with you doing as much business as you can handle, and threatened almost with a car shortage, and with the steel industry doing a greater business than it has for years, with all building material moving very rapidly, which is generally considered an indication of prosperity, and with gross earnings increasing so rapidly—why should there be trepidation on the part of the investors? Mr. Willard: Possibly for the same reason there is trepidation on my part when I consider the program we ought to follow. Having in mind estimates I have men¬ tioned based on last year's operations, it appears likely or probable that we might come out of this year with earnings substantially the same as last year, or some little better, and with a surplus of a few hundred thousand dollars, instead of over 14,000,000. With this in mind,— that in 1907 the Company showed a surplus of nearly $8,000,000 and in the year following a deficit of $1,000,000, necessary to pay its six per cent, dividend, certainly we would not dare to draw against the possible surplus of even a million dollars we might earn this year, when one bad month 18 in the winter might reduce our gross earnings a million dollars, and might increase our expenses by half that amount and wipe out the whole thing. Based on last year's opera¬ tions, and to illustrate that thought a little more clearly, I had prepared, in consultation with our officers, a program of the things we wanted to do, and which in our opinion should be done out of such surplus earnings as I have referred to, and that included, among other things, the equipping of our more important trains with electric lights— not a necessary thing, but certainly a desirable thing. In our case that amounted to an original expenditure of $225,000. We equipped four of our through trains, two in each direction, and then we stopped because I did not think it prudent to go ahead and spend, against our possible surplus, money in that direction when it may be needed later in the year for some more important matter. Other questions of a similar character are being held in abeyance because I must confess I do not dare to go ahead as I had hoped to do. That condition that makes me feel that way, having in mind our possibilities in the way of earnings and expenses, no doubt is reflected to some extent in the mind of the investor. surplus earnings. Commissioner Lane: How much surplus do you think you should have each year? Mr. Willard: I think we should have not less than we have spent during the last twelve or flfteen years, which has been, as I said, 50 cents in surplus for each dollar paid in dividends on the common stock, and certainly that is not putting the Company in any too good condition. Commissioner Prouty: That is $4,500,000? Mr. Willard: $35,000,000 in that period. Commissioner Prouty: On the basis of your present stock, it would be $4,500,000 a year? Mr. Willard: Yes sir. In that connection, I would like to say that since the reorganization of the Baltimore & Ohio Railroad, the Company has earned applicable for dividends, above its fixed charges, $125,000,000. Of that amount $26,400,000 has been paid in 4 per cent, dividends 19 on its preferred stock, and that is all that character of security is entitled to. The remaining $98,000,000 has been disposed of as follows: $64,400,000, or 65 per cent., has gone to dividends on common stock, ranging from 2 per cent, at the lowest, through 4, 43^ and 5 per cent., up to 6, and nothing higher than 6 per cent. The balance of the sum, over $34,000,000, out of the surplus, has gone into the property, and our property is that much more valuable today. The capital assets of the Company today exceed the capital liabilities by that amount, $35,000,000. Commissioner Lane: None of the surplus which you have put into the property has been capitalized? Mr. Willard: No sir. Commissioner Lane: What about those notes you have out against the property? Mr. Willard: That money of course represents new capital, and that money will be spent in the purchase of new equipment and distinct additions to the property that, under the present classification, we think should be charged properly to capital account. The items that have been paid for out of the surplus and which in my opinion should be so paid for, would be such things as track elevation, which does not add to the earning of the property, substitution of heavier and better bridges for poorer and older ones, stone ballast for sand, good coaches for poorer ones, and things of that kind, things that do not in themselves add to the earning of the property. Commissioner Lane: None of your surplus should be capitalized, as I understand you to say? Mr. Willard: None of the surplus that has been spent so far on the Baltimore & Ohio since its reorganization has been capitalized, and in my opinion it should not be; and when the surplus that I speak of, the 50 cents for each dollar which should be put into the property in each year, is spent, it should not in my opinion be capitalized. My thought is that at least that much money should be spent on the property each year to afford a proper basis of support for the existing securities. 20 Commissioner Prouty: Your idea of it is that it is necessary to spend that much on the property in a way that would not directly add to its earning capacity? Mr. Willard: Yes, and the best evidence is—I am speaking of this particular property of course—that such has been the policy or twelve years, and the property is certainly not any better now than it ought to be. A more liberal policy on the Pennsylvania Railroad has made that what it is. So I think what we have done is the very mini¬ mum we can do if we are to properly maintain the property and maintain dividend payments, and it is certainly most essential that we should, if we are to raise money on proper terms in the future. Commissioner Lane: There should be some scrutiny, I suppose, as to whether that money is actually invested for these things that do not add to your revenue': Mr. Willard: That is all reported of course to the Commission. This is all shown in detail in our annual report. Commissioner Lane: Your view in that respect is practically the view of Mr. Ripley? Mr. Willard: I really cannot say. I do not know what his view is Commissioner Lane : I thought perhaps you knew. Mr. Willard : I have read his testimony, but I could not say from memory that my view is the same. Very likely it is, but I do not think such expenditures as I have referred to, made out of that kind of surplus, should be capitalized. I am speaking specifically of this railroad, of this property, and I am urging the necessity for the continuance of that particular policy. Mr. Bond: That is the character of improvements, whether you call them betterments of conditions or whatever you choose to call them, on the property upon which these earned surplus moneys of the Baltimore & Ohio in the past and up to the present time have been expended, is it not? Mr. Willard: Of course, no dollar is earmarked. Mr. Bond: I am speaking generally. Mr. Willard: I mean that we do not follow the dollars from all sources, as they all go into the same box and they go out as it happens, but the character of work that I have 21 in mind, that should be paid and has been paid for out of the surplus, is the work that is necessary in order to keep the road abreast of modern requirements, and does not materially add to its earning capacity; and possibly that can be illus¬ trated by one particular case in mind. It so happens that at Cumberland, Maryland, the Baltimore & Ohio twenty-five or thirty years ago put up a very expensive hotel and station that cost nearly a quarter of a million dollars. The station facil¬ ities, the plumbing and other features, were fully abreast the requirements of that time. It is merely a statement of fact to say they are just the same now as they were twenty-five years ago, and that is the argument that is being advanced why we should spend $40,000 or more there for other facilities, not that those are not just as good as they were, but simply because they are the same as they were. The standard of the public has been raised, and to meet the requirements of today means an expenditure of not less than $40,000 and perhaps anywhere from $50,000 to $75,000. Commissioner Prouty: Has the business of Cumber¬ land increased much in the meantime? the standards required have been raised. Mr. Willard; Some. It is a small city in Maryland. It has not increased to that extent that the facilities are in¬ adequate as to size; it is simply a question of character. The standard of the people has been changed; it has been raised. The facilities are just as good as they ever were and just as adequate in the matter of size. I think it may be said in that connection that with very few exceptions there is nothing on a railroad today that was put on twenty-five years ago, and now in good shape, that is today adequate for the present requirements, with the possible exception of such things as stone viaducts. The Relay Viaduct might be an exception; that was built seventy or more years, and it is still in use; but that is the exception that proves the rule. It is fair to say that a locomotive or a rail or a car or ballast or a bridge, even though built of steel, a coach or a station or anything that might be enume¬ rated, built twenty-five years ago and maintained in exactly that same condition of twenty-five years ago, today would 22 be altogether unsatisfactory to the people, and certainly it would not be a business proposition that could live. It could not live as a going concern. That same result might come about in much less than twenty-five years; I am sure it would come about easily within that time. Commissioner Pbouty: Do you think that will come about in the next twenty-five years again? Mr. Willard: Yes, I see no reason why it should not continue. When I was assistant general manager of this railroad, eleven years ago we built a station at Fairmont, West Virginia, costing $22,000. Last week I had letters from the Fairmont Board of Trade asking for an interview to consider the building of a new passenger station at Fair¬ mont, and the one that is there was built only eleven years ago. I see no reason why that tendency which has been constantly at work in the past, should not continue. It would seem to me very unfortunate if it should not continue. Commissioner Prouty: I know of stations that were built ten years ago that ought to be rebuilt because they were not built right in the first place. Mr. Willard: That may be, and if so, I shall have to accept the responsibility in this instance, because I was here when it was built. Mr. Bond: A matter has occurred to me and I want to ask if you think it is true, that when we speak of these investments of capital we are really using an expression that covers two different things, and a great deal of the difficulty we have had in discussing the subject is due to that fact, that the term "capital investment"— and it is because we have not got all the accuracies of accounting that we probably should have—now includes not merely the conditions and new facilities which add to the earning capacity of the prop¬ erty, but it includes money expenditures which are annually as necessary, if the property is to be kept a going concern, as the operating expenses? Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. Bond: As I understand it, what you are speaking of and what you are arguing for as necessary to be taken care of out of the surplus earnings, is the latter class of expenditures? You have not any idea of paying for earning 23 additions to the property out of this surplus? That is not what you mean? Mr. Willard: No. I think it is only fair that any addition to the property that adds to its earning capacity, adds to its net income, should stand on its own bottom and should not be a charge on the business or the capital already invested. I think it is entirely proper, too, and right that additional securities should be issued to pay for such im¬ provements. But there is a large class of work to be done on a railroad, such as the elimination of grade crossings, railroad crossings, and innumerable matters of that kind that we all know of and that I could enumerate, that are constantly going on and cannot now be included in operating expenses, and properly so, no doubt. They must, however, be paid for, and they may be paid for out of income, but they have to be capitalized—at least, they have to be shown as money so expended, and that money so expended is shown in the capital cost of the road. When I speak of capitalizing such expenditures, I do not mean that neces¬ sarily capital securities are issued against them, because the Baltimore & Ohio in the last thirteen years has increased its capital assets $35,000,000 in excess of its capital liabilities, and that increase in capital assets is due to that amount of money spent in that way during that period. It has been capitalized, but no securities have been issued against it, and in my opinion none should be issued against it. Mr. Bond: There is an entirely possible line of dis¬ tinction between the two classes of expenses? Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. Bond: As a matter of fact, in the actual practice of the railroads, before the more accurate methods of accounting now enforced by the Commission, were not a large part of those expenditures such as you have in mind charged to operation? Mr. Willard: Very largely so. Commissioner Clements: Why do you say in your opinion no capital should be issued against that kind of expenditures? 24 expenditures from surplus to sustain credit of existing securities. Mr. Willard: Because I think such expenditures are necessary to keep the property abreast the every day re¬ quirements, and unless those requirements are met, the securities already issued would depreciate in real value, and I think a conservative policy requires such expenditures as will sustain the credit of existing securities. Commissioner Clements: You think if the policy were pursued of issuing capital against that investment, it would ultimately run the capitalization of all roads beyond reason? Mr. Willard: I have not pursued that thought, but I have this in mind, and possibly it is what you have in mind :— I do not think such expenditures as that, as I have said, should be capitalized. If surplus earnings are spent in other ways, that add greatly to the earning power of the property, that is another matter. We are not confronted with any such condition as that on the Baltimore & Ohio property. In saying, as I have said, that I think a certain minimum surplus should be earned and spent upon the property each year, I have in mind that such money should be spent, I want to repeat, simply for the purpose of keeping up the proper standard and maintaining credit of existing securi¬ ties^ and of course it would not serve that purpose if other securities were issued against it. Commissioner Clements: If they use the money of stockholders, and instead of taking it in dividends they put it back in the property to keep it up, why might they not have a stock dividend or something of that sort to cover it? Mr. Willard: I think that depends on the character of the expenditure, and I have in mind—• Commissioner Lane: (Interposing.) I am talking about this character, the kind you have just been talking about. Mr. Willard: I have in mind, in that particular kind of investment, that that was done to maintain the security of the stock, to maintain the credit the stockholder already had. If the stockholder took his surplus money and put it into the road today, as was done in the case of the Bur¬ lington, where 1200 or 1500 miles were built out of surplus, against which no securities have been issued, then I think 25 it would be very proper to give him stock dividends in recognition of that kind of investment; but the kind I am speaking of is entirely different. Commissioner Clements: This is the only kind I am talking about—the kind that you have been talking about. Mr. Willard: Yes. Commissioner Clements: And you think that it has been put in there to maintain the credit of the property and to keep it up. If you capitalize it and cover it in stock, might you not ultimately capitalize all the roads of the country beyond reason? Mr. Willard: I think this: If all such improvements as that are to be represented by additional capitalization, without doubt it would bring the American railroads into the condition of the English roads today. Their capital would be so great that they could not show a proper return on any reasonable rates, or what would be looked upon as such. Commissioner Clements : It would ultimately have the bad result, would it not, of seriously impairing the credit of these properties for raising additional money? Mr. Willard: It would impair the credit of existing securities; yes, sir. Commissioner Clements: And it would also lay the foundation for greatly increased rates, would it not—^if there is any relationship between capitalization and rates that are being paid—to make the capitalization good? Mr. Willard: If I understand your question, the con¬ stant building up of fixed charges because of the issuance of increased capital liabilities would, of course, in the end, mean a raise of rates. relation between capitalization and rates. Commissioner Clements: It has frequently been said that there is no fair relation between the reasonableness of rates and the capitalization, either in the form of bonds or stock; and that is asserted on the theory that all the road may fairly earn, according to the decision of the courts, is a fair return on the property which is used for the public; and that, therefore, the amount of stock or bonds has nothing to 26 do with it. I infer from what you say that you consider that there is, or should be, a constant relation between capitalization and rates? Mr. Willard: Why, I think there must be, because it seems to me that the sum of all the rates must be sufficient to pay a proper return on all the capital necessary to provide facilities. Otherwise the capital will not be forthcoming, and there will be no facilities. That seems to me so. I do not look upon it as a determining factor, because we all know that the capitalization of a road does not determine the rate charged by any group of railroads. As a general proposition, however, I think there is a relation between the two. There must be. Mr. Bond: This country is confronted with the fact that it still is a growing country, and needs growing trans¬ portation facilities. You mean that there must be some such adjustment as will enable, not any particular railroad company, but the country as a whole, to get the capital to provide the necessary facilities? That is what you had in mind; is it not? Mr. Willard: I have not heard from any direction any intimation that we had too many railroads, or that the rail¬ roads were too good. One of the ablest railroad men we have in this country, Mr. James J. Hill, has said that the rail¬ roads should spend a billion dollars a year for five years to provide the additional facilities required. I am sure that the only way in which that money can be obtained is by the voluntary giving up of those who now have it; and they will not give it up unless they get something instead of it that is sufficiently attractive so that they want it as against any other thing procurable. Commissioner Clements: Do you not understand that now the accounting rules of the Commission permit charges to operating expenses to cover depreciation, which would take care of obsolescence? Mr. Willard: Yes; to some extent. That is shown separately, though. It is shown entirely separated. It is not included in the operating expenses. What I should say is this: They do not permit the charge to operating expenses 27 of those items, but they permit the payment of such items from income. Note.—Query evidently misunderstood. It is permitted to charge operating expenses with depreciation and also with book value, less salvage, of equipment put out of service. Commissioner Clements: Have there been stock divi¬ dend issues on the Baltimore & Ohio Railroad? Mr. Willard. I cannot answer as to that. The road, as you know, was reorganized in 1909, having gone into the hands of a receiver because of conditions previous to that time. Commissioner Prouty : In what year? Mr. Willard: In 1899 it came out of the receivership. Commissioner Prouty: You said "1909." You meant "1899"? Mr. Willard: 1899. Commissioner Clements: Judging from what you say, I suppose it would be your further opinion, in regard to capitalization, either as to bonds or stocks, that when stocks or bonds were issued and added to the capitalization, in view of its relation to rates, etc., you would hold to the idea that when issued they should be issued only for the purpose of building and keeping up the property, and should be sold to the best advantage and realize as much as they may bring, and that that money should be applied to the property and the equipment? Mr. Willard: Yes, sir. Commissioner Clements: And not to dividends and profits to stockholders or other people who may be able to turn it to their advantage? Mr. Willard: I do not know that I quite follow you there at the last. I think this: That when new capital is issued by the railroad, it ought to be because of expenditures which will take care of that particular capital. Otherwise the issuance of such capital becomes a burden on that already existing; and you cannot put additional burdens on the securities already issued without destroying to that extent your credit. Conservative management means the holding up of credit. 28 Commissioner Clements; It would not only impair the credit of the road, but it would lay the foundation for additional rates, would it not—if the relationship exists that we have referred to between rates and capitalization? Mr. Willard: I repeat that the capitalization of the properties, the liability of the properties, in my opinion, must certainly be considered when fixing the sum of all the rates. They must be sufficient to pay interest on that— a fair return. relation of wages and rates. Commissioner Lane: Do you think that there should be an increase in rates each time that there is a considerable increase in wages? Mr. Willard: I think that depends. In my opinion) the two things will be found to be very closely related to each other in the future, and for the reasons stated by Mr. McCrea yesterday. I think the possibilities of further operating economies have been pretty well exhausted. Certainly after a hill is reduced there is no way to improve on a level grade. The size of our locomotives is determined, in a way, by the weight that can be put upon the wheel, which can be put upon the rail in any one spot. The length and the clearance are determined largely by the permanency of a lot of structures that could not be changed with any reasonable expenditure. And besides, there has been a tendency shown in legislation of late, and in contracts with employes, to limit the length of trains and to limit the hours that they can be on duty. There has been at the same time a constantly growing higher standard of service exacted and required, by the commissions and others. All of those things, operating during the last ten years, have eaten up the economies that have so far been effected because of these improvements. I must confess that I am unable to see very much more that can be done in the way of reducing the cost of operation. So if wages do go up, and if legislation is passed which puts heavier burdens upon the railroads (and proper burdens, we will say), I cannot see how they are going to be taken care of unless they are reflected in the rates. 29 Commissioner Lane: But does not an increase in business mean an increase in net revenue? Mr. Willard: An increase in business of course will mean that there should be^ out of any given amount of new business, a greater per cent, of net than out of the other business previously done. But I have in mind the result of the first three months of this year, where we spent more than we got for doing an increased business. Commissioner Prouty: You say you are handling all the business you can now with your system as it is? Mr. Willard: Very nearly. Commissioner Prouty: If that is true, and you have more business, how are you going to handle it? Mr. Willard: As I have pointed out, we have borrowed fifty millions of dollars to get additional facilities in order that we may be able to handle the business that is being offered today. Of course that will increase our fixed charges by that amount. It ought also to contribute something beyond that, to the general payment of the Company's charges. the credit of american railroads in the hands of the commission. Commissioner Lane: Should there be no period of experiment before rates are put into effect? You are asking practically, that there shall be a guarantee given by the Government of the United States that your stockholders will get six per cent., and that your railroad will be kept up to its present efficiency and better all the time out of the rates that the shippers pay. That is practically insurance for your road. Now comes an increase in wages. The result of that, as to your revenue, is problematical. Look at this thing, now, from the standpoint of the people at large, and give me your best judgment as to whether there should not be a period of experiment in which, perhaps, you could live, if necessary, upon a surplus for a short time before it was determined that you should advance rates. Mr. Willard: That, of course, is a matter of opinion. But I think perhaps I should say, again, that in the past when such conditions have arisen the railroad managers have met those conditions, either by economies, if such things were 30 possible, or by advances in rates. In other words, they have maintained their credit to such an extent that the American railroad system, such as it is, has been based upon money raised upon that credit. Today a new condition of affairs has come about. The credit of the American railroads has been placed in the hands of this Commission. There has been taken from the hands of the owners the responsi¬ bility, the burden, of maintaining the credit of the American railroads to such an extent that it may be impossible for them to obtain money in the future on terms such as the people ought to pay. In the end, of course, the people through the rates pay the interest on the bonds. In my opinion, the credit should be such that the railroads can obtain money on the most favorable basis. That should be the measure of their credit. They should get money on the most favorable basis; and that credit rests in the hands of this Commission. If, for any reason, it is thought wise to depart from the practice that has obtained in the past when estimates have shown that because of increased wages or other increased expenses it was necessary to increase the income, and such action has been taken—if that practice is to be departed from, and the experiment suggested is to be tried, and that shows an inability on the part of the Company to maintain its payments and maintain the property, it seems to me that in the end the people will be the ones that will suffer more than the comparatively few stockholders, however numerous they may actually be. The individual stockholder may be obliged to accept, for a short period, a reduced dividend; but in the meantime developments would stop because credit would be impaired. That is as I view it. And it seems to me it would be better to face the possibilities of excess earnings on the part of some of the railroads— which in any event must all be spent under the general eye of the Commission—than to face the possibility of a deficit, which would mean stagnation. Commissioner Lane: When you speak of excess earnings, I suppose you mean by that the amount that would be carried to surplus? Mr. Willard: Yes. 31 Commissioner Lane; Suppose that the excess earnings to which you refer should amount to twice as much as you estimate that you ought to have? Me. Willard; Yes. Commissioner Lane: Suppose they amounted to eight or nine million dollars instead of four and a half million dollars: What would be the result so far as your rate situation is concerned? Mr. Willard: In our case it would permit us, if we paid the same dividend we now pay, to put a dollar in the property for a dollar paid, which has been the practice of the Pennsylvania Railroad. I think it would be a good thing for the community served by the Baltimore & Ohio Railroad if it was in shape to pursue that policy. I think it would be a good thing. Commissioner Lane : Then, whatever the rate increase, you think the railroad ought to absorb it, and it should not be reflected back in a reduction of the rates? Mr. Willard: Within reasonable limits—within reason¬ able limits. I think they should pay a fair Commissioner Lane: I am giving you the illustration of 100 per cent, on your own estimate of the surplus that would be reasonable. Mr. Willard: In our own estimate, I have said that such a surplus as that, in my opinion, would not justify a reduction in the rates. I think it would be to the beneflt of the property and to the benefit of the people served if it all went back into the property. will rate increases be progressive. Commissioner Lane: Is there any reason to believe that these increases would stop with the present increase, if it should be allowed? Mr. Willard: Increases in rates? Commissioner Lane. Increases in rates; yes. Mr. Willard: No; I think not. I think the tendency of rates will be to continue upward. Commissioner Lane: You think there will have to be a progressive increase? Mr. Willard: Yes sir. 32 Commissioner Lane: Would this condition exist and these increases be made if there were no such thing as an Interstate Commerce Commission? Mr. Willard: I do not know that I quite follow you. Commissioner Lane: For 25 or 35 or more years you had a schedule of class rates between New York and Chicago which you now propose to raise. You propose to raise those rates, and you say that you should do so. Mr. Willard: Yes. Commissioner Lane: Suppose there were not any law which threatened railroad investments, as you think, or as some people think—would there be that increase in rates proposed by you? Mr. Willard: I think the best answer to that is that there was no such law when this tariff was filed. That was the conclusion or decision that was reached when there was no such law. Commissioner Lane : What do you mean? When what tariff was filed? Mr. Willard: That is, there was no law putting the question of rates in the hands of this Commission, because the tariffs were prepared and filed before the present law was passed. Commissioner Lane: You are speaking of the move¬ ments this year? Mr. Willard: Yes. Commissioner Lane: That is to say, that we had no power to suspend? Mr. Willard: I understood that that was your question. Commissioner Lane: No. We have got an Interstate Commerce Commission, which is a body created by the law for the purpose of passing upon the reasonableness of rates. Mr. Willard: Yes. Commissioner Lane: We have had some complaint from shippers to the effect that the tendency of the existence of this Commission and the existence of regulative law has been to increase the burden upon the shipper. I am asking you whether, under the conditions that obtained, we will say, prior to 1906, when there was no power in the Commis- 33 sion to regulate rates—if that had continued to exist, and you had absolutely free swing, whether such increases as you now speak of, the present increase and possibly other increases in the future, would be made? Mr. Willard: I think the tendency would be exactly the same; yes, sir. I think, regardless of the Commission, that the tendency of rates will continue to be up. I think this thought also is worthy of consideration right there: This is notoriously a country of high prices, high wages, and high prices on all kinds of material. But there is one notable exception to that rule: The railroad rates in this country are the lowest in the world. I think, per se, that that shows that the railroad rates must be fair. In a country notoriously famous for its high prices, and with railroad rates less than they are anywhere else in the world, and wages and materials higher than they are anywhere else in the world, I believe it must inevitably follow that such railroad rates are fair. Commissioner Lane: That generalization is subject, of course, to a good many exceptions. Mr. Willard: To some exceptions; but, generally, I think, it is true. impending rate increases have not caused com¬ mercial disturbance. Mr. Bond: Mr. Willard, a question was asked you as to a time of trial. My understanding of the Act of Congress is that it primarily provides a time of trial; that the great complaint against the railroads was that they made an in¬ crease of rates suddenly and without proper notice or proper consideration of the existing conditions of the mer¬ chants. We have had, it seems to me, a time of trial since the filing of these rates—as you say, before the passage of the existing Act. You have had opportunities in that time, have you not, to learn if there was any great commercial disturbance caused by the impending enforcement of these increased rates? And have you heard or noticed any interference with business, or commercial disturbance such as we often have in a case, for instance, where a tariff rate is changed? 34 Mr. Willard: No; I have not. I think it must be conceded that if people engaged in that kind of business looked upon the possibility of the raised rates as a serious feature; it would no doubt be reflected in their business today; and I should imagine that their business would very likely be adjusted already on the changed basis. However, I have seen nothing to indicate that the proposed increase in rates has had any influence upon business so far. Mr. Bond : If the increase in rates was a serious matter in the buying and selling of commodities whose transporta¬ tion rates were affected, it would be a matter which would have to be considered as between the buyer and seller, and taken care of somehow as between them; would it not? Mr. Willard: I should judge so. Mr. Bond: Is not that the rule? Mr. Willard: I should judge so. Mr. Bond: I want to ask you now, Mr. Willard, what would be the effect on the Baltimore & Ohio Railroad sys¬ tem, or any other railroad system, of stopping the expendi¬ tures which have to be, as you state, provided for out of sur¬ plus earnings? Mr. Willard: I think the effect would be the one that I referred to awhile ago: Everything is out of date at least at the end of 25 years; and if you stopped expenditures your railroad would go back. At some period of time that would happen—certainly in many instances much quicker than that limit. I placed it, perhaps, rather carelessly, having in mind particularly the Cumberland station. But unless expenditures are made of such a character as are necessary to keep the property abreast of existing standards —and standards are constantly being raised—it would go backward, and in the end it would fail to serve the people and the territory depending upon it, and it would fail. It would fail as a commercial proposition. It cannot stand still. Mr. Bond: And you state that in the case of the Balti¬ more & Ohio Railroad system we are not so far ahead of the times as to enable us to stand still very long? Mr. Willard: The character of my corresjiondence does not indicate that. 35 Commissioner Lane; How long has the market for bonds been dull? Mr. Willard: I had no particular personal knowledge of that matter until I came to the Baltimore & Ohio Railroad. That was in the middle of January last. The market was considered somewhat shaky in January. It fell off very rapidly in the following two or three months; and in April and May it became practically impossible to sell securities. Good bonds, guaranteed by the Baltimore & Ohio Railroad, could not find a purchaser. Commissioner Lane: Has it not been poor and shaky for the last two j'ears, ever since the panic of 1907? Mr. Willard : I do not know that I am qualified to pass on that matter. I think perhaps that has been true much of the time. Commissioner Lane: There is one question that Mr. Bond asked that suggested another question in connection with the one that I put to you before. The position of the shippers, as testified to before us in many cases, has been that they were able to get better rates when they were able to make a bargain with the railroads than they are now. Mr. Willard: I think that was true of some of the shippers. Commissioner Lane: And some of the shippers have testified before us to the effect that as much as 20 or 25 per cent, off the regular rate was given to them, and that the effect of this Act has been to increase the burden upon them. Mr. Willard: It was intended to do that. Commissioner Lane: That is what it was intended to do; yes. The question that I have, that I put to you before, is this—whether, if the bargain-and-sale proposition had continued, these increases in rates would have been made? Are you not leaning back upon the fact that there is an Act to regulate commerce, and that you now have practically the power to agree among yourselves as to the rates that you shall make? Mr. Willard: I think perhaps the best answer to that question would be to see what the results of the present policy have been. Has the present policy made railway 36 credits too good? Have the expenditures made upon the railways themselves been too extravagant? Are the rail¬ roads too good to meet the conditions? The expenditures on the property and the payments on capital have taken up and absorbed all the money taken in from the people. It has gone in those two directions; and it should be reflected in the character of the credit and in the condition of the properties. And I do not believe any one will say that on the whole either of those things is better than it ought to be. And less return than that— Commissioner Lane: Of course, Mr. Willard, you will admit that they made a great deal larger net last year than they ever made before, unless it was possibly in 1907, which was the banner year. The railroads of the country made more money, net, last year than ever before. Mr. Willard : I do not know about that. Commissioner Lane: Those figures have been intro¬ duced before us. Mr. Willard: I have not seen them. Commissioner Prouty: Mr. Willard, Mr. Lane's ques¬ tion really comes to this: Could the carriers have advanced these rates under the old system? When I first came on this Commission the Baltimore & Ohio and the Pennsylvania and the New York Central used to get together about every other week and agree to advance the rate on grain products, or something else, between Chicago and the Atlantic Seaboard; but it never went up; it never stayed up. They could not maintain it. Under the old system, would it be possible to advance rates? conditions for the people and i'or the r.mlroads are better because of the interstate commerce commission. Mr. Willard: I think this: I think whenever the situation got serious enough, it was possible to do what was necessary. That would probably follow. But if you want me to say what I think of the conditions today from the railroad point of view generally, or from the point of view of the people at large—and I have a right to speak that way as well as a railroad man—I think the conditions are better 37 because of the Interstate Commerce Commission, for the people, and for the railroads. Commissioner Prouty: You have not yet answered the question. Mr. Willard: Possibly I did not understand it. Commissioner Prouty: The question is this; Under the old conditions, when the Chicago shippers could bring pressure to bear on your road or on the New York Central road or on the Pennsylvania road, do you think it would be possible for you to advance those class rates? Mr. Willard: Do you mean to ask whether I think we could agree to do it? Commissioner Prouty: You could agree to do it; but would you stand by your agreement? Mr. Willard: I think sometimes they did not in the past; but I intended to answer that question in this way: I think it would depend upon the seriousness of the case. I think when things got serious enough they would stand together. Probably, and no doubt, they would press it to the end that some roads would go into the hands of re¬ ceivers, which it seems to me is undesirable. The Baltimore & Ohio went there under the old conditions. Commissioner Clements: You made a remark just now to the effect that the greater net revenue in late years had gone back into the property generally. You would qualify that somewhat, would you not? Mr. Willard: I do not recall saying that. Commissioner Clements: Perhaps I misunderstood your remark. Mr, Willard: I think I did not make myself clear. Commissioner Clements: It is a fact, however, is it not, that there is a much smaller percentage of non-dividend- paying stock now than there was a few years ago, and that the average rate of those that do pay dividends is higher than a few years ago? Mr. Willard: I think that is a fact. I could not testify in regard to those figures. That is a matter I have not looked into. Commissioner Clements: I probably misunderstood what you said. A good deal of it has gone back into the 38 properties, I know; but, at the same time, it has improved dividends to a great extent by reducing the number of non-dividend-paying roads, and by increasing the average of those that do pay dividends. the outlay of an earned dollar 1910 compared with 1900. Mb. Bond: Mr. Willard, there have been a number of suggestions in the course of the examination of witnesses in this case as to what might be done to preserve existing conditions—the conditions of the fiscal year 1910—other than the proposed raising of rates. Can you tell us what became of the dollar that was earned by the Baltimore & Ohio in 1910? Mr. Willard: Yes sir. Mr. Bond : I refer now to gross earnings. Mr. Willard: Yes. Observing that that question had been asked, or substantially the same one, during the progress of this hearing, I had the figures prepared for the Baltimore & Ohio for the year 1910 and the year 1900. They are as follows: The amount paid for pay-roll—not including construction, but the pay-roll in the operation of the railroad—the sum paid out of a dollar earned, taking the dollar as the basis, was, in 1910, 42 cents and a fraction. Mr. Bond: You had better give the fraction, if you please. Mr. Willard: I have not it; I dropped it. I have not it here. In 1910 it was 42 cents and a fraction, and in 1900 it was practically 40 cents. Out of the dollar, the amount paid for fuel in 1910 was 5.82 cents. In 1900 it was 6.94 cents—a reduction in the amount paid for fuel. The amount paid for ties in 1910 was (these should all be cents) 1.50 cents. In 1900 it was 1.01 cents. Mr. Brandeis: Will you repeat that, please? Mr. Willard: Which one? Mr. Brandeis: The last. Mr. Willard: In 1910, out of a dollar earned, the Baltimore & Ohio paid 1.50 cents for ties. Ten years prev¬ ious to that time, in 1900, they paid 1.01. 39 For rails, frogs and switches, in the last year it paid 2.33 cents. In the former period, it paid 2.05 cents. All other expenses in 1910—that is, of an operating character—were 17.47 cents as against 12.61 cents in the former period. In 1910, out of a dollar earned, 2.74 cents were paid for taxes. In 1900, 1.64 cents were so disposed of. In 1910, 11.84 cents went to pay interest, rents, and other deductions from income. In 1900 the sum so expended was 19.12 cents. In 1910, 11.11 cents were paid as dividends. In 1900, 11.54 cents were paid for dividends. In 1910, out of every dollar 22.95 cents were paid for interest, rents and dividends on the capital investment. In 1900, 30.66 cents were spent in that same direction. In 1910, 4.22 cents were applied to surplus, were shown as surplus. In 1900, 5.19 cents were shown as surplus. The total of these figures is a dollar in each instance. Note.—For tabulated comparative statement see page 128. Commissioner Prouty : Mr. McCrea testified yesterday, as 1 understood it, that in his opinion the cost of transporting a ton a mile was somewhat less today than it had been ten years ago on his line. How is that, in your opinion, on the'Baltimore & Ohio? Mr. Willard; 1 do not know, to be candid. But when 1 have in mind the rate that obtained ten years ago, it would seem that they must have been operating more cheaply at that time than they are now; because the rate, as you may know, and as is shown in our annual report, ten years ago, was on a very low basis—less than four mills a ton mile. Commissioner Prouty: That is, you think it perhaps costs more today than it did ten years ago? Mr. Willard: I think it must; yes, sir. 1 am quite sure it does, although 1 cannot testify to that under oath. 1 have not the figures. Mr. Bond: Mr. McCrea's figures, as I understood, did not include anything for interest charges on account of improvements. 40 Commissioner Prouty: No; simply the cost of opera¬ tion, the cost of transporting a ton a mile. Mr. Bond; The figures you have just given as to the distribution of the dollar in 1910 include the increase of wages that was made in April, 1910, only for three months? Mr. Willard: That is all. Mr. Bond: The 42 cents that went for labor, therefore, does not reflect more than one-fourth of the total? Mr. Willard: That is true; and still, at the same time, the amount paid for labor is not wholly dependent upon wages. It might, for instance, be necessary to keep the labor expenditure in this year at the same limit as it was a year ago in spite of increased wages. Mr. Bond: How could that be done? Mr. Willard: We would have to employ less men. So that the point I wanted to make was this: The amount paid for labor out of the dollar depends not only upon the rate of wages but upon the number of men employed. Mr. Bond: I was going to ask you this question: Is it not a fact that the only way you could maintain the condition of 1910 in the matter of labor would be, in view of the increase of wages, to employ fewer men? Is not that so? Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. Lyon: Or get better men, Mr. Bond? Mr. Bond: "A man's a man for all that." You have spoken of the reductions in grade. What has been the result of the larger locomotives on the Baltimore & Ohio system, as shown by our figures? How far has the increase in tractive power been reflected in the increased load of train? service conditions prevent full realization in trainload of increased tractive power and car capacity. Mr. Willard: Our figures show that the average tractive power of the locomotive on the Baltimore & Ohio Railroad today is 31,916 pounds. In 1900, ten years ago, it was 23,285. That is an increase of 37 per cent. The trainload last year was 442 tons. Ten years ago it was 364 tons—an increase of only 21 per cent. The increase in 41 traiiiload has not kept pace with the increased tractive power of the locomotive, as measured by the difference between 21 and 37. Mb. Bond : Do you know any reason for that? Mr. Willard: Yes sir. Mr. Bond: Why do you think that is so? Mr. Willard: Because of the character of the service. That has something to do with it. I refer to the higher standard of service that is maintained on all roads today, and particularly with reference to the character of freight under consideration. That is one thing. The operation of the hours-of-labor law is another thing. Those two things cover it mostly—the hours-of-labor law and the character of the service. In some instances, contracts with employes. Mr. Bond: How is it in regard to the increase in the size of cars? Mr. Willard: The average capacity of the Baltimore & Ohio freight car today is 37.2 tons. Ten years ago it was 28.9—an increase of 28.7 per cent. A carload in that time has increased 24 per cent. Mr. Bond : And that in spite of the fact that a large part of the Baltimore & Ohio traffic is coal and coke? Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. Bond : I intended to ask you whether you regarded these existing conditions to which you have testified as temporary or otherwise? I do not know but that you have covered all that you wish to say about that in answer to to questions by the Commissioners. Mr. Willard : As I say, I am unable to see any commercial conditions that would justify any fear as to the future; and I think such hesitancy as there may be in railroad matters particularly is influenced largely by the possible outcome of matters now under consideration. Mr. Bond: Do you think that the gross earnings of increased traffic would, in any time to which you can look forward, make good the increase in expenses which you now see and which you have reason to contemplate from what you know of conditions? Mr. Willard: I think that it may be said that when a road is so provided with facilities that it is in position to 42 take on a considerably increased volume of business, without overcrowding its existing facilities, there should be a pro¬ portionately larger amount of net out of that than out of the business generally. Unfortunately, that is not the condition of the Baltimore & Ohio. We are working our facilities today to their utmost capacity, and on that account are not working them in the most economical manner. In order that we may work them in an economical manner it will be necessary to expend these large sums of money. That, in turn, will increase our interest charges, so that we will not realize as much out of increased business as might be the case with some other roads. increased rates necessary to command credit to furnish facilities required by public. Mr. Bond: So that to preserve the conditions of 1910, you will have to do a great deal more than to merely increase your gross earnings by the use of the same facilities that you had in 1910? You will have to make large expenditures for increased facilities to get the business which you can get? Mr. Willard: We are practically doing all the business we can do at the present time with existing facilities; and we cannot increase our earnings unless we handle more business; and we have got to have more facilities in order to handle more business. Mr. Bond: So that you see no way to meet the problem which confronts the Baltimore & Ohio Railroad Company except by some increase in rates? Mr. Willard: Unfortunately, I am unable to see any way in which we can maintain the policy that we have been maintaining, and which in my opinion ought to be main¬ tained, unless this increase in rates is granted. That is the conclusion I am forced to reach. Commissioner Lane: If some of the other roads that are not making so much could get some of that business, perhaps it would relieve you. Mr. Willard: Possibly. Mr. Bond: As I understand it, you regard the mainte¬ nance of at least the conditions of 1910 as necessary, not merely to enable you to make expenditures out of surplus to 43 keep the property as much abreast of the times as it has been kept in the past, but to maintain the credit of the existing securities of the Company? Mr. Willard: Yes sir. Mr. Bond: And to enable you to get more capital? Mr. Willard: Yes sir. CROSS EXAMINATION. Mr. Lyon: Mr. Willard, will you state generally what line of improvements you refer to as necessary for the Baltimore & Ohio to increase its business? What character of improvements do you mean? Mr. Willard: Do you wish to have me separate them as between improvements from surplus and improvements— Mr. Lyon: No; any improvements that are necessary. You have said your line was saturated, now, with business. Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. Lyon: And that to conduct the business of the country properly, it is necessary to improve it. Mr. Willard: Our budget at the present time shows $28,000,000 of miscellaneous improvements under way, toward which about fourteen or fifteen million dollars has already been spent, as I recall. That budget covers such improvements as the building of the new double-track tunnel under the Allegheny Mountains, where we now have a single- track tunnel on our busiest double-track railroad. It will cost a million and a half of dollars—to do that. Mr. Lyon: You now have a single-track tunnel there? Mr. Willard: We now have a single-track tunnel there. Mr. Lyon: Will that increase the efficiency or economy of operation, or not? Mr. Willard: It will result in some economy, but very little. The only economy resulting from it will be a re¬ duction in overtime. It will permit the more expeditious movement of the trains. Mr. Lyon: Is not that an economy to a railroad? Mr. Willard: It is a small economy; yes, sir. 44 Mr. Lyon: It would not be justified from a financial point of view? Mr. Willard: No, sir. The economy would not justify the expenditure at all. The expenditure is only justified by the fact that^ the existing single-track tunnel limits absolutely the business we can take out of West Virginia over that line. Mr. Lyon: What is the justification for the B. & 0. doing it, then, from the point of view of its stockholders? Mr. Willard: There is none from the point of view of the stockholders, in the case of that particular thing, except that we hope to gain money, increased net, out of the increased business we will be able to do. Mr. Lyon: That is the object from the stockholders' point of view—to increase the net; is it not? Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. Lyon: And you think it will accomplish that result? Mr. Willard: It may. We hope so. Mr. Lyon: That is not one of the matters which you think should be paid for bj^ the public out of this surplus fund? Mr. Willard: Yes; that is one of the matters that should be paid for. That is a distinct addition to facilities. Mr. Lyon: That is an addition to facilities that will produce revenue? Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. Lyon: If that is done, should that be capitalized? Mr. Willard: I think it should be, in that particular case. Mr. Bond: He misunderstood your question. Commissioner Harlan: What would you do in the case of a wooden bridge, a two-track bridge, that is replaced by a steel bridge? Mr. Willard: I would pay for that out of surplus; and if our condition were such as to justify it, I would do that also with tunnel. But it is not. Mr. Lyon: What I want to get at is this: You, of course, largely represent the stockholders. That is your direct interest? 45 Mr. Willard: Well, it is sometimes said that I am a servant of the people. I suppose I stand for them, too. Mr. Lyon: My point is whether these improvements that you speak of ought to be made for the benefit of the stockholders or the public? both the stockholders and the public benefit by improvements. Mr. Willard: I think they are both interested in that matter. I will tell you how we happened to do that. We did not start to do it because the stockholders were raising any clamor. It was a fact, however, that when I first came to Baltimore there was a large delegation of West Virginia shippers sitting on my doorstep, urging that we get in shape to handle their business, and get there quickly. That was one of the things we had to do. That was what prompted us to start that work. Mr. Lyon: The shippers urged you to get in condition to handle this business? Mr. Willard: Yes, sir. Mr. Lyon: That is to the interest of the railroad, be¬ cause that is what the railroad is there for. Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. Lyon: What other line of improvements do you refer to? Mr. Willard: We are building a new yard at Grafton that will cost $650,000. Mr. Lyon : Is that for purposes of economy, or— Mr. Willard: Some of both. It will enable us to do business that we were not able to get through there at all; and we hope, of course, that we can handle it more econom¬ ically. Mr. Lyon: What other improvements do you refer to? Mr. Willard: We are building eleven miles of third track up the west side of the Allegheny Mountains, costing $100,000 a mile, and taking out several tunnels that are not large enough to permit the passage of the large locomotives. I think that improvement altogether involves upwards of $2,000,000, for those tracks and the tunnel elimination. That is not exact, but that is substantially what it is. 46 Mr. Lyon: Seriously, however, all improvements of this class are made for the benefit of the B. & 0. revenues; are they not? Mr. Willard. Why, of course. We ought not to spend money in that direction unless it would result in bring¬ ing satisfactory returns. But they are forced upon us at this time in order that we may move properly the business that is being offered, which we have not been able to move. Mr. Lyon: And increase your gross revenues, and thereby your net? Mr. Willard: We hope so. Mr. Lyon: Have you any other class of improvements in mind? What other class of improvements do you speak about? Mr. Willard: We are building eight or ten miles, perhaps eight miles, of third track east of Cumberland, that will enable us to move the business that is offered on that division. That is of the same character. Mr. Lyon: Is there any particular class of improve¬ ments being made now that does not inure to the benefit of the B. & 0. stockholders? Mr. Willard: I hope not. It would be a reflection on me, I should think, if I were doing anything that was not for their benefit, and at the same time for the benefit of the public. The two interests are allied. Mr. Lyon: There was some statement made here yesterday in regard to a terminal at New York which was largely in the interest of the public, as I understood. Mr. Willard: Unfortunately, we have no (passenger) terminal in New York Mr. Lyon: These improvements that you have men¬ tioned thus far are to increase the capacity, as I understand your testimony, of the B. & O. Railroad to handle its business? That is the object of them? Mr. Willard: To increase its capacity. I will say there that the improvements that would be undertaken in the interest of economy would be such as reducing a hill, and to substitute a level track for a hilly track where the matter of capacity was not involved—where the road might be able to move the business over either line, and would only build 47 the lower road because of the possibilities of greater econo¬ mics. I cannc'u recall that we are doing a single thing of that kind at the present time. Mr. Lyon; Those improvements that you speak of, the grade improvements, are no different from your tunnel improvement. They only have the ultimate object of in¬ creasing your business and increasing the economy of con¬ ducting it, do they not? Mr. Willard : I think you lay a little too much emphasis upon the matter of economy. I hope it may develop that way; but, as I have said, the only economy that will be realized from these expenditures will be because of our ability to expedite the train movement and earn more money. They are not done primarily for purposes of economy. They are done primarily to enable us to move the business satisfactorily that is there to be moved. a dollar for improvements for each dollar in dividends. Mr. Lyon: You have said that you think the Balti¬ more & Ohio should lay by a dollar—that it would be better policy to lay by a dollar in improvements of the character which you have mentioned (public improvements, we might call them) for every dollar paid in dividends? Mr. Willard: I said the B. & O. had spent 50 cents in that way. Mr. Lyon: Fifty cents? Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. Lyon: You think it would be better policy to lay by a dollar, do you? Mr. Willard: I think the experience of the Pennsjl- vania Railroad would indicate that. Mr. Lyon: Yes; I understand. To accomplish that result, what increase in rates would have to be made on the B. & O.? Can you form any idea as to that? Mr. Willard: No I have not thought of it in that particular connection. Mr. Lyon : I understand that in the past you have only been able to lay by fifty cents, and that you have neglected in the last few years to do even that? You have been unable to do that in the last few years? 48 Me. Willaed: No; last year we did do it. Three years ago we did not. Two years ago we did not. Last year we did it. Me. Lyon: Will the increase in rates here involved enable you to do t lat? Me. Willaed: Not unless we are able to get more business and do our present business more cheaply than we have done. The increase in rates will do very little more than make up the increase in wages; and then we will have increased fixed charges on fifty millions of dollars. So that in that event we will not have as much surplus as we had last year, unless we make it up in some other way. Mb. Lyon: Then the present application to the Com¬ mission for these increased rates will not accomplish that result? Me. Willaed: Not of itself; no. Me. Lyon: It will not accomplish the result that you think is so necessary for the railroads? Me. Willaed: It will not accomplish the result you mention. Me. Lyon: Is it the intention of the B. & 0., as you understand, to further increase its rates so as to accomplish the desired end? Me. Willaed: I expect that from time to time it will be considered necessary to advance rates to meet the con¬ ditions, the changes, that are constantly coming about. Me. Lyon: How much in money, in dollars, would that require? Me. Willaed : What? Me. Lyon: To get this condition which you think is necessary for the proper development of the railroad? Take the B. & 0., especially: How much in money per year would it require? I want to get its relation to your gross revenue. Me. Willaed : I do not think I understand your question. Me. Lyon: I understand you to say that you need a certain amount of money to lay aside for these public improvements per year. You think the ideal condition is "dollar for dollar?" Me. Willaed: I said I thought that was a conservative policy. 49 Mr. Lyon: Yes; that is conservative. How much more would you have to collect in order to do that? Mr. Willard: If we continue to pay six per cent., as we have paid, and put a dollar in the property instead of fifty cents, it would take nine million surplus instead of four and a half. The average su plus during a period of years has been three per cent, above the dividend that was paid; but we did not pay six per cent, dividend all that time. Mr. Lyon: That would require about ten per cent increase in your revenues of $90,000,000 this year. Mr. Willard: No. Mr. Lyon: I understand your surplus would be less next year. Mr. Willard: No, it would not, if the revenue was the same as last year; it would take half of that. Mr. Lyon: But I understood that the burdens which are already on you, that you have enumerated here to Mr. Bond, would absorb that surplus, all except three or four hundred thousand dollars. Mr. Willard: The burden of increased fixed charges, increased wages, increased taxes, increased charges for depreciation, and cost of additional, equipment, will take up all that surplus except $213,000. Mr. Lyon: Therefore, next year, with those burdens on you, with the same amount of business you will have to increase your rates? Mr. Willard: We would have to have more than twice the increase we expect to receive from the increased rates should they all be granted. Mr. Lyon: Take the case of a railroad not so favorably located and not doing so favorable a business as the B. & 0.— for instance, one of your competitors, the Erie Railroad: That is capitalized, I think, for $220,000 a mile, whereas with the B. & 0. it is $118,000 a mile. What would have to be the effect upon the rates of that company in order to ac¬ complish your ideal condition? Mr. Willard: I think the officers of that company, who are here, are better able to speak as to that than I am. 50 Mr. Lyon; That, of course, might be a question. I might think otherwise. But that is not important. I just ask you. Mr. Willard: I have not studied that matter. I do not think I am competent to testify on that subject. Mr. Lyon : It would have to be a much larger increase in rates than it would have to be on the B. & 0.; would it not? Mr. Willard: I do not know their conditions; I cannot answer that. Mr. Lyon: With a fixed charge, a capitalization, nearly double that of the B. & O., would not that necessarily be true? Mr. Willard: I do not think it would necessarily be true, because the Erie Road is not paying any dividends. The Baltimore & Ohio is. I do not recall what their fixed interest is, what their fixed charge is. They are only paying interest on their bonds. Mr. Lyon. You do not mean by that that because the Erie Railroad is paying no dividends, therefore there should be nothing laid by? ]\Ir. Willard: I do not mean anything about it. I am not expressing any opinion about the Erie at all. Mr. Lyon: What I really wanted to get at is this: When you speak about a dollar being laid by as to dividends, must there not be some regulation or some ascertainment of the fair capitalization and the fair amount of dividends that should be paid? Mr. Willard: Possibly that is so. What I have said has had specific reference to the Baltimore & Ohio; I do not know that I quite follow you with reference to the Erie. Mr. Lyon: I thought you were testifying somewhat in the way that Mr. McCrea did yesterday—that you were summoned here as a general witness. Certainly the question before the Commission is somewhat general; and the B. & 0. probably cannot be selected by itself and the rates made upon that basis. Mr. Willard: Then what was your question? Mr. Lyon: My question was whether what you state would be the ideal condition in regard to the basis of rates— 51 that is, to lay by one dollar for these public improvements when you lay by one dollar in dividends—would really have application to your competitors? That is a general question as a practical matter. Mr. Willard: I think the policy that I have advocated is a good and proper policy as applied to any one. Whether they can get it or not is another matter. Mr. Lyon: Then when the Commission applies that, should it take the best operated and the lowest capitalized road to determine what should be the rate in that section of the country?—because what it determines for one road would largely govern the others. Mr. Willard: I think Mr. McCrea answered that very aptly yesterday. I thought so at the time. I do not think I could improve on his answer. Mr. Lyon: I do not recollect it. You might restate it. Mr. Willard: I hesitate somewhat to do that, because I do not recall exactly what he said, now. I did think at that time that he answered it very well. But I will say this: I do not think it necessarily devolves upon the Commission to pick out the poorest railroad that can be found anywhere and make that the basis of adjustment. I do not think that burden is on the Commission. I think this, however, if I may say so: I think this thought is entitled to consideration : Any railroad—the Erie, for example—regardless of its conditions, serves a community. A considerable number of people and manufacturers and growing concerns depend upon the Erie Railroad for transportation. It seems to me that any fair adjustment of the question ought to be such as to give them that fair measure of service that they are entitled to. Mr. Lyon: The reason I asked you the question was that I understood that you were laying down something that is possibly the measure to apply in arriving at a just conclusion in this matter; and I presume that you meant taking the B. & 0. as the proper standard—that is the B. & 0. in the condition in which it is today, with its capitalization, and so forth? Mr. Willard: Yes. 52 Mr. Lyon: Do you think a rate made on the B. & 0. that will produce enough revenue to pay the operating expenses, the fixed charges, the dividend which it has been paying—say six per cent—and to lay by an equivalent sum for these general improvements, would be the proper solution of this question? Mr. Willard: It would be the proper solution for the B. & 0. Mr. Lyon: Yes; for the B. & O. But my question, to make it once more, is this: Could you apply it to this proposition as a whole? Mr. Willard: I have not studied that matter. I do not know; I would not want to answer that. I would not care for my own opinion upon that subject. Mr. Lyon: You would not advise the Commission to follow it, I suppose Mr. Willard: I would not advise at all in that matter. Mr. Lyon: If it costs the Baltimore & Ohio more to move a unit of freight now than it did in 1900, and it does not cost the Pennsylvania more, or costs the Pennsylvania less, what would that indicate? Mr. Willard: I do not know. It might indicate that we were less efficiently managed. It might indicate that we had conditions that did not exist over there. I do not know. It would not necessarily mean anything, just on the plain face of it. Mr. Lyon : The mere statement of fact, as to whether it costs more to do business now than formerly, would not be a factor in this matter at all. Mr. Willard: Not necessarily. It might be, but not necessarily, as I view it. Mr. Lyon: Would it have any bearing upon the question of the return to the carrier compared with what it was formerly. Mr. Willard: I have gotten quite away from the original question now. What is the question? I want to answer it correctly, and I do not know just what it is. Mr. Lyon: My idea was this: I was not trying at all to mislead you. Mr. Willard: No; I know that. 53 Mr. Lyon: Mr. McCrea said that the Pennsylvania Railroad could transport freight cheaper now than it could ten years ago. Mr. Willard: Yes; I have no doubt of it. Mr. Lyon: You have said that the B. & 0. cannot do that. Mr. Willard: Yes; that is a fact. We cannot do it. We are not in the shape that the Pennsylvania Railroad is in. As I said a short while ago, we are crowding our facilities today to the maximum limit, which means extrava¬ gant operation. When we have spent some of the money that we are spending, and permit the business to move more freely, it will reduce overtime; it will expedite busi¬ ness; it will suit the people; it will do the thing we ought to do; and it ought also to be shown in cheaper operation. Mr. Lyon: As I understand you, then, the difference is probably due to a larger investment in capital on the part of the Pennsylvania than on the part of the B. & 0.? That is, they have reached a greater stage of efficiency of operation? Mr. Willard: Yes; I think they have. I think the Pennsylvania has reached a higher state of efficiency than the Baltimore & Ohio. possibilities for reductions in future of trans¬ portation costs. Mr. Lyon: Therefore, then, it is true that there are possibilities for the B. & 0. increasing its efficiency? Mr. Willard: ■ Yes. Mr. Lyon : I understood you to say a while ago that you had probably reached your maximum of efficiency. Mr. Willard: I said we had reached the maximum of efficiency due to certain things. We cannot cut down hills any more than to make them level. We cannot run loco¬ motives any larger than we can get over the road. We have reached certain limitations. But beyond that, of course, as we do a larger volume of business, it ought to result in some increase in net earnings. But the net savings will not be of the character^that have followed these expenditures in the past. 54 Mr. Lyon: I thought you were telling the Commission that the B. & 0. cost could not be reduced. I thought that was the general tendency of your testimony. Mr. Willard: It cannot be reduced in the future at the same ratio, at the same rate, as it has in the past. The reductions that will be found in the future, in my opinion, will not serve in the future as they have in the past, to meet those increased expenditures. Mr. Lyon: Then you want to amend your answer by saying that the ratio of reduction will not be as great in the future as it has been in the past"? Mr. Willard: Yes; if I did not make that thought clear before, I do. Mr. Lyon: Referring now to those improvements for which you need further capital : Do you need terminals in any of the large cities? Mr. Willard: Yes. In that way our condition is not unlike that of most railroads. The question of increased terminals is a constant problem. In the last year the Baltimore & Ohio has made a large investment in a terminal in Chicago; and it will be necessary to expend a great deal more money to put that in shape to properly handle our business at that place. We will probably have to spend, in the next three or four years, some four or five millions of dollars on that same terminal in track elevation alone. Mr. Lyon: I understand from your testimony that the Pennsylvania Railroad is better built for the handling of business in its present condition. In what respect is it superior to the B. & 0., generally? Mr. Willard: Mr. McCrea stated yesterday that in his opinion it was the best railroad in the world; and I should not like to dispute him on that subject. Mr. Lyon : I have no doubt that nearly every president would say that about his own railroad. Mr. Willard: Well, if any one road is entitled to that credit, I think it rests with the Pennsylvania. Mr. Lyon: I think the New York Central may have some dispute with you, judging from the testimony given in New York. Can you tell us just where these economies are to be worked in on the B. & 0.? 55 Mr. Willard: What economies? Mr. Lyon; The ones that you speak of, that can be made, to reduce its cost? Mr. AVillard: I have not spoken of very many economies. Mr. Lyon: You said that there were possibilities for the B. & 0. to reduce its cost. Mr. Willard: You said that, and I agreed that there were some possibilities; but the possibilities will grow out of expenditures that are justified for other reasons. The economies will be a by-product. The economies will simply be a by-product of the expenditures. I will not say that there are not some hills that will be reduced, and some other things that will be done. I will not say that we will not get some bigger engines in time, some heavier cars, perhaps. But I think the possibilities in those directions have been very largely exhausted. The economies that will come will be because of better terminals—such economies as will result from a better arranged terminal, or a greater number of second and third tracks that will permit a more expeditious movement, and things of that kind. Mr. Lyon: Those are what you refer to? Mr. Willard: Yes. increases in cost of labor and material. Mr. Lyon: It has been stated here several times in the course of these two cases, both of which I have attended, that the cost of material to the carrier has not increased in the last ten years, and certainly in the last three or four. Do you disagree with that? Mr. Willard: I showed this morning that the cost of fuel to the Baltimore & Ohio had not increased in that period. Mr. Lyon: I meant on an average. I understood the railroads to say that, generally speaking, the material question was not involved here; that those items had not increased. Mr. Willard: I think on the whole the material has increased. Railroads are very large consumers of lumber, for instance, and the price of lumber of all kinds has gone up very much within that period. I think the increase of 56 lumber alone would more than offset any possible decrease in anything else. That is just my opinion; I do not know. Mr. Lyon: There seems to be a difference of opinion among the railroad men, and I was wondering—I asked the question out west—why transportation increases in cost when manufactured articles have not increased in cost? Mr. Willard: I think I can explain that. The wages paid by railroads in the last ten years have gone up. We estimate that on the Baltimore & Ohio they have gone up about 30 per cent. That is one element. Mr. Lyon: Is not that true of the manufacturers? Mr. Willard: I doubt if it is true to that same extent. Mr. Lyon: I thought it was. Mr. Willard: I do not think so. I do not know, but I do not think so. I think it is generally believed that the scale of wages paid men in the employ of railroads is larger than that paid in most other lines of employment. Probably that is a good thing. However, that may be, I think it is so. The expenditures of the railroads in the last four or five years have been greatly increased by legislative enactments, such as the hours-of-labor law. I do not wish to be under¬ stood as criticising that law. I think the 16-hour law was a very good thing; but it cost money. Whether it is good or bad, it cost money. It added to the cost of operating the rail¬ roads. Some of the States have passed so-called "employers' liability" laws. I am not opposed to that. I think the thought behind such legislation is good; but I think it ought to be carried out in its entirety, and so far it has not been. A compensation law, properly prepared and so adjusted that that item of expense, such as it might be, should be properly reflected in the rates I am in favor of. That is the kind of law advocated by Colonel Roosevelt when he was President of the United States. I am in favor of that kind of a law. But so far as any progress has been made in that direction as yet, it has only resulted in transferring the burden from the injured employe to the stockholder; and the latter part of the transaction has not yet been completed. In the mean¬ time, that^is adding to the cost of operation. The standard of service has been raised in many of the States by order of the Commission and by legislative enactment. Those are 57 the items that enter into the cost of transportation, that make the cost of doing that particular thing constantly go up, when, as you say, the cost of manufacturing goes down— which is no doubt true. I have not looked into it. Those are some of the things; probably not all. Mr. Lyon: Then I understand it to be your view that those laws that have been passed do not apply to the manu¬ facturing establishments? Mr. Willard: No; I do not understand that they do. Mr. Lyon: Do you understand that there has been any reduction in the hours in ordinary manufacturing estab¬ lishments? Mr. Willard: I do not know. Mr. Lyon: In the hours of labor? Mr. Willard: I do not know. I know that we have an eight-hour law in Maryland for operators. We have the nine-hour operator law in the United States generally. We have the full-crew bill in Indiana. I think I have some figures on those matters that I can submit, probably. Mr. Lyon: I do not think you need give the figures. I just understood that the manufacturing establishments were also affected by this labor question, if not by law, at least by the organizations which impose conditions upon them. Mr. Lyon: Of course if that is not true, I can under¬ stand your explanation. railroads must adjust wages having in mind conveniece of the public. Mr. Willard: I think this should be borne in mind, since you press that question : The position of the ordinary manufacturer is quite unlike that of the railroad company. In that connection I will refer to this large recent wage in¬ crease. It so happened that the beginning of the movement started with the Baltimore & Ohio Railroad. In view of the fact that that railroad at that time was paying higher wages than were being paid on any of the other roads in the East at that time, with one possible exception, and the rates that were being collected were the same, we did not think we could con¬ sistently raise our standard of wages. The rate of increase 58 that was asked for would have been approximately 14 or 15 per cent. So we declined to grant the increase. The ordinary manufacturer could have done that, and he could have forced an issue; he could have closed his shop; and no one would have cared. The railroad could not stop running; and it had been provided by legislative enactment that under such conditions certain things might be done, and the machinery had been furnished. Acting in accord with the spirit of that enactment, then, we invoked the good offices of the proper Commissioners under the Erdman Act. They looked into the matter, and they recommended that we make certain increases, because they felt that if we failed to do that it would probably result in a stoppage of work, to the great loss and inconvenience of the public. That brought an entirely different burden upon the railroad in the adjustment of labor matters than rests upon the individual who considers only his income in adjusting his rate of wages, and does not care particularly about what the public says about it. If we are going to be required in the future to adjust our wages, having in mind the con¬ venience of the public, it seems to me the public should share to some extent in the payment of the bill. Mr. Lyon: In other words, your opinion is that if a public body recommends that you increase the wages of your employes, your position is that the public body should allow you to increase rates to recoup? Mr. Willard: I think they should recognize that there is a certain relation between those two things. Mr. Lyon : Heretofore you have done that, if you agree with Mr. McCrea, by simply increasing your rates to meet the wage situation? Mr. Willard: I think that is generally true. Mr. Lyon: And that burden has not been borne by the railroads, but has been taken by the public? Mr. Willard: It has been divided. The railroads heretofore, as has been said, have been able to effect great economies in operations in recent years. That has been done by larger train loads, and things of that kind; and that has helped in a great measure to keep down the cost of operation. I think the figures put out by the Interstate 59 Commerce Commission, showing the average rate per ton mile in the last ten or twelve years, fail to indicate any very great advance in rates. Mb. Lyon: Do you mean by that to say that the average rate per ton per mile indicates anything definite? Mr. Willaed; Oh, I suspect it indicates something, or it would not be published. I do not think it is conclusive. Mr. Lyon: Is it not a fact that your rate per ton per mile is increased by reducing the volume of your coarse products? Mr. Willard: It might be; but if it had no value, people would not talk of it at all. Mr. Lyon: I have often wondered why they did, and I am asking you. Mr. Willard: I must confess that I am interested in it. I like to see it. It is not controlling, though. Mr. Lyon: The Northwestern Road, I think, testified that they were interested in the high-class products rather than in the reduction of the rate per ton per mile; and they said they had some money in their treasury as the result of that policy. I do not know whether that is true of the B. & 0. or not. So that is your accounting for the increased transportation cost as against the manufactured product? Mr. Willard: Well, I do not know that I understand just what you mean. I must plead to some extent ignorance of the Baltimore & Ohio, partly because I have only been there for a short time. But if our transportation cost has increased, as you say, I presume that some of those factors have entered into it. Mr. Lyon: I should like to ask you this question: Do you understand that in transportation labor is a larger element than in manufactured products? Mr. Willard: I cannot tell. It is a very large element in transportation. Mr. Lyon: That has been given as the explanation by some of the carriers—that the labor element in transporta¬ tion was larger than in the manufactured article as a whole. Mr. Willard: I think almost invariably that would be found true. 60 Mb. Lyon: I understood from your testimony, in answer to a question, I think, by Commissioner Lane, that you were satisfied that the regulation of carriers was of benefit both to the public and to the carriers. Mr. Willard: That is, you understood me to say that I thought that it was of benefit. Mr. Lyon: That is it was of benefit. Mr. Willard: Yes; I intended to say that. Mr. Lyon: And I take it from that that you do not think the rate should be based upon the value of the service, then. Mr. Willard: Oh, I have not said anything to indicate that. should rates be based on the value of the service ? Mr. Lyon: I will ask you, then, if the rate is based upon the value of the service. Mr. Willard: You are speaking now of a specific rate? Mr. Lyon: No; all rates. Mr. Willard: I think— Mr. Lyon : I did not finish my question. Mr. Willard: I think that would possibly take you into some difficulty. If you took all the rates, and if it were possible to decide that the value of the service for all of the business could only justify a certain rate, and if it were found that the sum total of all of those rates did not pay a proper return on the capital, you would be in a dilemma; so I do not think you can do that. I think that in cases of indi¬ vidual rates, the value of the service must be considered; but I think your question was as a basis of rates generally. All of the rates must bring forth money enough to furnish the additional capital that is necessary to provide the facili¬ ties, regardless of the value of the service. If the service is not worth it, they ought not to have the facilities. Mr. Lyon: Your system is not based upon the value of the service, then? Mr. Willard: Why, I do not think I want to say that. I think the value of the service docs not determine it. I 61 think the value of the service cannot determine a general rate structure. I think the value of the service does enter very largely into the matter of determining a specific rate. I want to say this, however: I am not familiar with this question of rates, and there are men that can talk on that subject very much more intelligently than I can; and I will not undertake to qualify as an expert in that direction. Mb. Lyon: The B. & 0., I think, has not called any one else. Mb. Willabd: They called Mr. Wight. Mb. Lyon: Mr Ripley testified in that regard. He said he thought it ought to be based on the value of the service. Mb. Willabd: Mr. Ripley has had more experience in that direction than I have. Mb. Lyon: As I understand the value of the service, it practically means no regulation; and I just wanted to get your view about it. Mb. Willabd: I have not said that. Mb. Lyon: Now, Mr. Willard, let me ask you the same question that I asked Mr. McCrea yesterday. Your reports for the fiscal years 1908, 1909 and 1910 show that your transportation expense for 1908 was $27,700,000. Mb. Willabd: What is that, please? Mb. Lyon: Your transportation expenses for 1908— the year ending June 30th, 1908—were $27,700,000, and during that time you earned a revenue of $73,600,000. Mb. Willabd: Yes Mb. Lyon: Your transportation expense for 1910 was $29,000,000—an increase of $1,300,000, or five per cent. Your operating revenue increased from $73,000,000 to $87,000,000, or sixteen per cent.? Mb. Willabd: Yes. Mb. Lyon: Does that indicate anything to you in regard to the economy of handling the traffic by the B. & O.? Mb. Willabd: Not necessarily; not without some other knowledge of it, it would not. Me. Lyon: The fact that your transportation expense only increased 5 per cent., and your gross revenue increased about 20 per cent.? 62 Mr. Willard: I understood you to say that the gross revenue decreased in that period. Mr. Lyon: No; the gross revenue increased from $73,000,000 to $87,000,000; in other words, your transporta¬ tion expense increased 5 per cent., and your gross revenue increased 20 per cent. Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. Lyon: Would that indicate that you were handling that business more economically in 1910 than in 1908? Mr. Willard: It might, or it might not. When the business was off 20 per cent., of course this followed—it always happens on every railroad : That a certain minimum amount of service has to be given. For instance, the Baltimore & Ohio Railroad is obliged to load or partly load 1,300 box cars a day with miscellaneous freight to cover established lines. We load those 1,300 cars regardless of the amount of business to go, although as a rule our total loading is between seventeen and eighteen hundred. The aver¬ age load is less than five tons per car. That is brought about by those conditions. On branch lines, in times of business depression, it usually happens that there is not business enough to fill the minimum number of trains that must be run. People demand a way-freight each way a day, or some¬ thing of that kind, whether the business is large or small. So that it might be possible that in such a time as that they were operating with great efficiency, although the percentage of transportation expense would seem higher than normal. So without any knowledge of that, I would say I cannot tell. Mr. Lyon: That was during the fiscal year ending June 30, 1908, when the business of the B. & 0. was at its maximum for the first four or five months of that fiscal year, and was slow for the. last six or seven, producing, I should say, about an average condition. The second figures were for the year ending June 30, 1910, which, I believe, was the most prosperous year in the history of the B. & 0. I think it was. I only asked the question because there seems to be an idea here that it costs more to do the business this year than two or three years ago. 63 Mr. Willard: I think it did. Mr. Lyon: At the same time with those figures—those were the ones covering transportation expense—the Penn¬ sylvania reduced its cost $3,000,000 to earn 20 per cent. more. You increased yours $1,300,000, or five per cent, to earn 20 per cent. more. The operating expenses show substan¬ tially the same thing. Your operating expenses increased 10 per cent, while your revenues increased 20, in those two years. It shows, from further examination, that your way and structure account increased 8 per cent, between those two years, so that no undue amount went into that, while your equipment account increased 27 per cent.? Mr. Willard: You understand, I was not here at that time, and I am not familiar with the conditions. Mr. Lyon: It is not a question of whether you were here or not. The question I ask is what the history of the railroad as it has been given would indicate. Mr. Willard: I do not want to give you an opinion that I would not care anything about myself; and I would not care anything about my opinion on that subject, based on such knowledge as I have of it. I do not think it is worth anything, and I do not want to give it to jmu. Mr. Lyon: Is there anybody here for the B. & 0. who is qualified to give an opinion that would be worth anything? Mr. Willard: There might be; I do not know. Other officers are here. Mr. Lyon: Of course the Commission only has the figures before it, unless the officers of the railroad go on the stand. We know nothing about what this equipment was spent for, except that we see that it is a fact that 27 per cent, more was spent in one year than in another, while the trans¬ portation expense only increased 5 per cent. Mr. Willard: I should think that was a very healthy condition. Of course the percentage of the cost of conducting transportation to gross earnings is what we look upon as the real measure of efficiency in operating a railroad, because the money so spent brings nothing except the immediate service. Mr. Lyon : That is, transportation. Mr. Willard: Tran.sportation. 64 Mr. Lyon: Therefore if that increased 5 per cent.— Mr. Willard: If that increased 5 per cent, and the earnings increased 20 per cent. I should say that it indicated a very healthy condition—a very satisfactory condition. Mr. Lyon: With that situation, would you think con¬ ditions had so changed, adversely to the B. & 0. between those years, as to justify an increase in rates, or would that have any bearing upon it? higher rates warranted aside from increase in wages, which now render them necessary. Mr. Willard: I have not thought of that at all in reaching the conclusion that we needed to increase our rates. I am constantly impressed with this fact: We earned a certain amount of money last year and had over $4,000,000 surplus left. Next year our increased payments are going to take up all of that $4,000,000 surplus; and one bad month in the winter would put us where we would not have any surplus. You can see that that might be possible. Under¬ stand, I do not intend that anything shall affect the Baltimore & Ohio's present rate of dividends, because there are a lot of things that can happen before that is disturbed. But those are the things I have thought about, in reaching my conclusion that the rates ought to be advanced. I did not go at it from the point of view you have taken, although that is no doubt a very proper one. I have based my conclusion on other things. Mr. Lyon: I really have no conclusion about it. I am simply trying to bring out these points in the interest of the subject. I understand your position to be, if I may state it, that you think there should be this increase in rates because of increased expenses which would absorb your surplus? Mr. Willard : That is one reason; yes. Mr. Lyon: When was the matter of increasing the rates first considered; do you know? I will tell you what Mr. Wight said. He was your traffic man. He said this was considered for three or four years. Mr. Willard: He is better qualified than I am to speak on that subject, because he was here and I was not. 65 Mr. Lyon: Therefore, if he was the man who was considering the increase of rates, he could not have been considering it from the basis on which you base it now. Mr. Willard: I cannot say what he considered; and regardless of what he considered, nothing was done. When I came here in January the thing was under discussion. I do not know how long it had been under discussion. I did not ask any questions about it. But immediately, after I became identified with the property, it became necessary for us to increase our expenses very largely, and then I began to get seriously interested in it myself. From that time on I have tried to keep in touch with the question; and the thing that made it of primary importance at this particular time, regardless of any other reason, was the fact that our expenses were so greatly increased by reason of our wages. Mr. Lyon: Were they increased in January, 1910, when you considered this subject? Mr. Willard: Wages? Mr. Lyon: Yes. Mr. Willard: No; but the committee was there waiting for an audience as soon as I got to the Baltimore & Ohio Rail¬ road. They had asked for an increase. We knew of the movement that was on foot, and we knew the probable outcome. Mr. Lyon: You knew the probable outcome. Did you know the probable outcome of these increased rates at that time—what the volume would be? Mr. Willard: We did not know the probable outcome of that particular schedule, of course, until it had been worked up in some sort of shape; but we did do this: We knew that we were asked to increase our wages a certain per cent. We made various calculations to see what that would amount to, and we had estimates varying all the way from two and a half to three or four millions of dollars. We knew that if we were to recoup ourselves for that amount of payment, it would have to come from freight income, freight rates. It could not come from passenger earnings. We knew that our freight earnings the previous year—I have forgotten what they were, but this last year they were $69,000,000. We knew that that increase had to be spread 66 somewhere on our freight rates. Then we discussed it in various ways—what an increase on this commodity would amount to, if we could get anything. It was under dis¬ cussion for a long time, and finally it took such shape as is shown in the tariffs that were filed. Mr. Lyon : I suppose you of course could not have known at that time that your receipts for the year ending June 30, 1910, would show an advance of S3,500,000 over what they were for the previous year, which was about 50 per cent.? Mr. Willard: Did they show that? I do not under¬ stand those figures. What were they, please? Mr. Lyon; For the year ending June 30, 1910, the Baltimore & Ohio earned in net operating revenue $3,587,000 more than it did for the fiscal year ending June 30, 1909. Mr. Willard: I do not know where you got those figures. They are not in harmony with mine. At any rate you are right in saying that we did not know in the spring what the net earnings would be in June; no. Mr. Lyon: If you had known at that time, would you have raised your rates? Mr. Willard: No; I think not, because I do not think the revenue that the Baltimore & Ohio Company had been getting was enough to meet the condition of affairs. Now, understand, we were not only confronted— Mr. Lyon: I think you misstated just then; you meant to say that you would increase the rates, but you said you would not. Mr. Willard: I meant to say I do not think the rates that were in effect were as high as they should be even if this increase of wages had not corne at all, because the amount of surplus was not as large; the credit, the strength of the property was not as much as it should have been. Under¬ stand, we had in mind not only possible wage increases; these among others, but possible legislation of various kinds, now under consideration, that is intended to increase our expenses still more. And understand, please, that in anything I say about legislation or regulation I am not criticising it at all. I am simply saying that, good or bad, unnecessary or otherwise, it costs money; and we can see that that is going to happen. 67 Mr. Lyon; This increase was not made because of changed conditions since January 1st, 1910? Mr. Willard: I did not say that. I said it became acute just exactly because of that changed condition. That brought it to an acute stage. Mr. Lyon: That brought it to an acute stage; but, as you say, you considered the rates too low? Mr. Willard: Speaking as an accessory after the fact, I say "Yes." I was not here at that time; but I do not think the road was earning any too much money. It did not earn its dividends two years before. Mr. Lyon: And knowing the facts as they are now— that you did for this year have three million and a half more than you did the previous year, and that the increase of wages for the year 1911 will be $2,000,000 (that is, ulti¬ mately, including all that have been made and are to be made, as I understand)—you still think that the rate increase should be allowed. Mr. Willard: I still think that the rate increase should be allowed? Mr. Lyon: But you do not base that upon the fact of this wage increase? Mr. Willard: Why, yes. Mr. Lyon: You stated a while ago that it was for the purpose of borrowing money, for influencing your bond¬ holders. Mr. Willard: No; I do not think I said that. I said the question became acute on account of the wage increase. I said, or intended to say, that regardléss of that I thought the railroad was not earning money enough to maintain its credit and keep up the property, not only because of what had happened, but because of the things that we expected would happen if legislation that was being urged should be passed, as some of it probably would be. Mr. Lyon: It was based upon those three conditions? Mr. Willard: Those and others. I will not say that there are only those three. Mr. Bond: Mr. Lyon, may I interrupt a minute to ask you where you got those figures of net operating expense for 1909 and 1910? 68 Mr. Lyon; I can refer you to my accountant. Mr. Bond: You are reading, I think, the figures of 1908 and 1910. We do not know of any such difference. Do you say there is a difference of 83,000,000? Mr. Lyon: The figures taking from your monthly reports show a difference of $3,587,963.77. That is the net operating revenue increase. Commissioner Prouty: From what year to what year? Mr. Lyon: For the fiscal year ending June 30, 1910, over the fiscal year ending June 30, 1909. Mr. Bond: And what road are you talking about? Mr. Lyon: The Baltimore & Ohio Railroad. AIr. Bond: Not the system; it is simply the Baltimore & Ohio? Mr. Lyon: No; we do not worry about the system here. The railroad companies report to the Commission. Mr. Bond: Yes; all of them report to the Commission, but now we have got them in a consolidated statement. You are talking about part of the system. Mr. Lyon: We have them separated, as they report to the Commission. Mr. Bond: Have you tried to combine them? Mr. Lyon: No sir. AIr. Bond: The difference in the system was $1,900,000, and not $3,000,000. AIr. Lyon: I do not know about that. A'Ir. Bond : I do not want to interrupt the examination. I just wanted to see.if we were not getting at cross-purposes on our figures. There is not any use in quarreling about figures, you know. AIr. Lyon: I have particularly taken the figures which I have gotten up as they are reported to the Commission by the railroads. Of course if a number of the railroads are combined in systems, we know nothing about that except from the information we get from the outside. As I under¬ stand it, there is no report to the Commission which reports this matter of the system. The Southern Pacific, as I understand, includes many railroads; but it is the operating railroads that report to us. 69 Commissioner Peouty: Mr. Bond, what was your gross revenue for the year 1910? Mr. Bond: The gross revenue—that includes outside operation—was $90,163,401.09. Commissioner Prouty: That is for the system? Mr. Bond: That is for the whole system, including outside operations. Commissioner Prouty: Mr. Lyon, what are your gross revenues? Mr. Lyon: I have got the same figures here. Commissioner Prouty: Then you are talking about the same thing. Mr. Bond: Then you have got it wrong for 1909. What are your gross figures for 1909? Mr. Lyon: As I said, we have a full report up to 1909. I have had that made up. That is $72,207,000. Mr. Bond: It ought to be $77,563,449.95, to make the comparison correct. Mr. Lyon: For the system? Mr. Bond: To compare with the $90,000,000 in 1910, you ought to have $77,563,449.95. Mr. Lyon: Will you give me the figures for 1910? Mr. Bond: I think perhaps it would be better to let us file— Mr. Lyon: I think not; if you will just answer this question we will straighten it out. These figures were sent to us by the B. & O. Railroad upon the special request for the making out of this report; and the $90,000,000 was sent to us, and we have inserted that. We have not your annual report for 1910. That will not be submitted here for some months, or some time. But we sent out and made a special request for these figures from the operating railroads, and they were given to us as $90,000,000. There must be a clerical error of some kind. Mr. Bond: The trouble is that the ninety millions includes the whole system, and your prior figures do not include the whole system. That is the trouble. Mr. Lyon: I understand; and therefore I ask you if you will give me the figures for 1910—the gross revenues of the Baltimore & Ohio Railroad as it reports to the Inter- ro state Commerce Commission. If you will do that, I will insert them. Mr. Bond: As it reports to the Interstate Commerce Commission for the year 1910, it reports more roads than it reported prior to that time. That is the trouble. In 1910 we are reporting the whole system, because in the interval we have acquired these roads. Your 1909 figures are split up between the different roads. That is the trouble. Mr. Willard: Mr. Chairman, I have the figures. I think I can set this thing straight. There is no mistake, except that we have not taken the same basis for comparison. Accepting the figures of 1910 as $90,163,000, with a surplus of $4,857,000, similar figures for 1909 should be $77,563,000, and a surplus of $1,897,000, leaving an increase this year over last year of about $2,500,000. Now, when reduced to exactly the same basis, that is the result; but the figures you had did not include last year some of the items that we have put in this year. That is the only difference. Mr. Lyon: Of course we took the figures as reported to us by the special report. Mr. Bond: We misled you, no doubt, by including roads which were not in before. Mr. Thorne : If you will give us the operating expenses for that same part of your road for those same years, we could figure out the net operating revenue which Mr. Lyon has referred to. Mr. Willard : We can give you all those figures. Mr. Thorne: Just those two—I mean, the operating expenses of those two years. Mr. Willard: The operating expenses for 1909 were fifty-two million, eight hundred and fifty-three thousand and some dollars. Mr. Thorne: In 1910, what were they? Mr. Willard: In 1910 they were $63,195,000. Mr. Bond: You have those figures, have you not, Mr. Willard, for ten years back? Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. Bond: If you will let us just put them in, it will save a great deal of labor if there is to be any comparison. 71 Mr. Willard: This is just my personal statement. I have no objection to putting it in if you want it. I may want to see it again, though, on this examination. (The above-mentioned paper was marked "Exhibit Willard A.") Note.—See compilation page 127. Mr. Lyon: Mr. Willard, I should like to have you direct some of the employes of your road to furnish us the information so that we could make a comparison on the basis of 1909. Mr. Willard: What information would you like? Mr. Lyon: All the information as to gross revenue, operating expense, and so forth. Mr. Willard: But we have furnished it now, in this statement just put in. Mr. Lyon: Does not that include the system? Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. Lyon: It does not show the figures, then, the way that— Mr. Willard: The whole thing is made on a compara¬ tive basis for ten years—just what you want, I think. Mr. Bond: Let me hand that to Mr. Lyon. (The statement above referred to was handed to Mr. Lyon.) Mr. Lyon: We are trying to work this up for all these railroads, and I do not know whether the B. & O. had— Mr. Willard: I had that statement prepared for my own information, but I think perhaps it is what you want. Mr. Lyon : I should like to have you ask some of your departments to furnish us the figures for 1910 on the same basis that they were furnished for 1909. Mr. Willard: We will do that. Mr. Lyon: That will be necessary in order for us to make this comparison, because these other figures upset all the figures they had for the last nine or ten years. The same question, then, applies: Instead of being $3,900,000, your net income was increased about $2,500,000. With that amendment the question would apply. You say you would make the advance in rates, regardless of that infor¬ mation. 72 Mr. Willard: Just the same. Mr. Lyon: And if 1911 should improve as 1910 has, you would do the same, I understand? Mr. Willard: Oh, well, I do not know anything about that. I cannot say what conclusion I would reach on some¬ thing that might happen in the next twelve months. I do not think our security holders would like to have their business handled that way. Mr. Lyon: But if your business had increased in the course of ten years from $34,000,000 for the first year I have here, 1900, up to $90,000,000, or probably something a little less than that, averaging eight or ten per cent, a year, would not that be a fair basis for assuming that that will occur for the coming year, or would it be unreasonable? Mr. Willard: Well, it might. It might occur. Mr. Lyon: Well, it has occurred; the test is what it has done? Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. Bond: You are not comparing the earnings of the same properties for that period, Mr. Lyon. You are taking the old B. & 0. properties. Mr. Lyon: Well, let us leave out the figures, Mr. Willard. It seems to bother Mr. Bond. Mr. Bond: I think if you are going to base it on figures, the figures ought to be correct. Mr. Lyon: If the Baltimore & Ohio Railroad for the fiscal year ending June 30, 1911, makes an addition to its gross revenues and to its net operating revenues on the basis of what it has done for ten years, do you think that should be taken into consideration in determining what shall be the rate for the coming year, when you do take into consideration the expense to which you have been put for the coming year? Mr. Willard: No, sir; I do not think we should give weight to some uncertain element of that kind on the one side when we have so many absolutely certain elements to con¬ sider on the other side. The reasons that make me think it is necessary to advance our rates are in no sense uncertain in my mind, and I could not weigh against them such an uncer- 73 tain thing as you suggest. I do not think it would be right to do that. Mr. Lyon: Then the fact that rates have increased in this country—the gross income of the railroads and the net —about eight or ten per cent, for the last ten or fifteen years (I have the figures here) you think should be given no con¬ sideration? Mr. Willard: I did not say that. Mr. Lyon: In determining what the earnings of the carriers will be as compared with their expenses? Mr. Willard: I did not say that. I am not sufficiently familiar with the condition of all the eastern railroads to speak of all the conditions. I am only speaking of the Baltimore & Ohio Railroad, and what I say applies to that Company. I think the Baltimore & Ohio rates should be increased as proposed. In fact, I do not think that the increase as pro¬ posed is as large as it ought to be. Certainly nothing less than that, in my opinion, should be given; and I have told you my reasons for thinking that. Mr. Lyon: I call your attention also to the fact that during the last ten years your expenses for maintenance of equipment have very materially increased, being for the year 1910, I think, the largest in the history of your road— that is, in proportion to the revenues? Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. Lyon: In proportion to the gross revenue, which was $20,000,000 larger than it was in the fiscal year ending June 30, 1908. You appropriated for that year a larger proportion for equipment—18 per cent as compared with 17 in 1908. Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. Lyon: Increasing from a basis of 12 or 13 per cent, in 1901 to 18 per cent, in 1910? Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. Lyon: Do you understand that that goes to the fact that it is more costly to repair equipment now, or is that— Mr. Willard: It is more costly to repair it, and it is also due to the fact that during the year when the Company did not earn its dividend it restricted maintenance charges 74 more than it should have done. It did not hold up as it should. The engines today are bigger; they are more expensive to maintain. The wages paid are very much higher than they were formerly; and all of those things enter into the cost of maintenance. Mr. Lyon: Then a large expense on account of mainte¬ nance now would indicate that the railroad was doing a better business? Mr. Willard: Not necessarily. I should want to know about how that expenditure compared with the expenditure of other roads. As I recall, the percentage of gross earnings spent on maintenance of equipment on the Baltimore & Ohio last year was about what it was on the Pennsylvania and some other good railroads. I do not think it was in excess. I do not think we spent more than we ought to have spent. Mr. Lyon : Oh, I do not think so. I simply wanted to bring out the fact that it was more than had been spent in previous years. Mr. Willard: Oh, yes; more than had been spent. Mr. Lyon: It shows a tendency to increase from 12 to 18 per cent very gradually, and there has been no falling off. Mr. Willard: No. I think that in those figures there are probably included depreciation charges. I am not sure, but I judge you included them in there. Mr. Lyon: Should not they be included? Mr. Willard: They should be, but formerly they were not. Mr. Lyon: Are they represented in the maintenance of equipment in any other form? Mr. Willard: I might say here that formerly, for some years, the Baltimore & Ohio did not charge to deprecia¬ tion as much as it should; and you will notice that in our last annual report that is referred to. We had a committee appointed to value the equipment, and they found that in their opinion it stood on the books at about $8,000,000 more than it ought to stand. We reduced the value that much last year. We wrote it off. That showed that not enough depreciation had been taken into account in the past, and we readjusted it. 75 Mb. Lyon: Is that what increased the ratio for 1910, and made it 18? Mr. Willard: It entered into that. I think the figures you have no doubt include that. I am not sure. I do not know how you made your figures ; but I presume they do. Mr. Lyon: I think that is ail. (The Commission then, at 12:45 o'clock, p. m., took a recess until 2 o'clock of the same day.) AFTER RECESS. Testimony of Daniel Willard—Resumed. The Chairman: Mr. Lyon, had you concluded your examination? Mr. Lyon: Yes. The Chairman : Mr. Brandeis, you may proceed. Mr. Brandeis: Mr. Willard, in stating the prospect of the current year, have you not, ijn your modesty, omitted one element which ought to be taken into consideration? Mr. Willard: Possibly. Mr. Brandeis: It has been said that Dan Willard was worth $2,000,000 in savings to the Baltimore & Ohio. Mr. Willard: I am embarrassed. Mr. Brandeis: Well, but seriously, is not the question of management, of the men who operate the road, one of prime importance in considering its net earnings? Mr. Willard: I think that is generally so considered. Mr. Brandeis: And it is so not only in regard to rail¬ roads, but in regard to all enterprises? Mr. Willard: I think that is fair. Mr. Brandeis: And the whole difference that is indi¬ cated by this increase in wages that has been referred to of $2,000,000 is just three per cent, of the operating expenses, is it not? Mr. Willard: Yes, it may be. Mr. Brandeis: Just about three per cent.? Mr. Willard: Of the entire operating expenses? It may be. 76 Mr. Brandéis: I say, an amount equal to that? Mr. Willard: Possibly. Mr. Brandeis: You have operating expenses raising S60,000,000. Three per cent, on that brings about $2,000,000? Mr. Willard: That brings a little less than that, yes. Mr. Brandeis: So that another possibility of meeting that demand is an improvement, that relatively small improvement, of three per cent, in the operating efhciency of the property, all other problems being the same? Mr. Willard: I do not think I quite understand your question, if you desire an answer. Mr. Brandeis : I say, attention has been called to what you call the urgent need of this money? Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. Brandeis: Because the Company finds itself con¬ fronted with wage advances of $2,000,000? Mr. Willard: Yes. can increase in wages be overcome by increased efficiency in operations. Mr. Brandéis: Now, assuming that you need more income, there are several ways possible in which to get it. One is by a rate increase. Another is to keep the rates as they are and to increase the efficiency of operation. Your problem is to manufacture transportation more cheaply. Now, I ask you whether it is not a fact that approximately a three per cent, cheaper manufacture of transportation would not meet your need, or this need, just as well as an increase of rate? Mr. Willard: I think you have shown that it would. Mr. Brandeis: Yes. Taking the operations as they are in the community in manufacturing, three per cent, is a very small difference as between one concern and another concern similarly situated in all respects other than manage¬ ment, is it not? Mr. Willard: Yes; I think that is fair. Mr. Brandeis: Take, for instance, the business of manufacturing, which has been the most developed, prob¬ ably, of any in America—that of cotton manufacture. With 77 that old business there are greater differences than three per cent, in the cost of manufacture, are there not? Mb. Willard: I presume so. Mr. Brandeis: Under similar conditions? Mr. Willard: I have no doubt that is so. Mr. Brandeis: It is absolutely so. And if you take some classes of the manufacture of cotton—the higher grades of cotton goods—the percentage of cost that goes into labor is larger even than it is in transportation, is it not? Mr. Willard: How is that? Mr. Brandeis: I say, when you take the higher grades of the manufacture of cotton goods—the higher classes of goods—the element of labor in the cost, as distinguished from the materials and incidental expenses, is even greater than it is in the manufacture of transportation? Mr. Willard: I do not know. Mr. Brandeis: I think it is clearly so. Mr. Willard: I do not know. Mr. Brandeis: You see those differences. Now, why should you say, unless it be from modesty, that the limit of efficiency—I mean by that the efficiency in man as dis¬ tinguished from the addition of equipment or improvements in road making—why should you say that in the case of railroads in general, or in the case of the Baltimore & Ohio in particular, it is impossible to increase efficiency three per cent.? Mr. Willard: I do not think I have said so. Mr. Brandeis : You have not said so in words. Mr. Willard: No. Mr. Brandeis: In fact, you have said the contrary in answer to questions that I have put to you; but when you said that you did not see any reduction in cost that was possible, did you not overlook for the moment that re¬ duction which comes from the absolutely recognized differ¬ ence not only in the ability of men, but in the accomplish¬ ments of the same man under different conditions? Mr. Willard: I do not think I said, in the first place, that it was not possible to increase the efficiency. I have in mind, however, the necessities that confront the Balti- 78 more & Ohio Railroad Company for raising new money, and I doubt very much if such an argument as you have advanced would help us materially in our efforts to get money if we did not show a sufficient surplus to justify it. Mr. Brandéis: Let me take up that question of money later, Mr. Willard. I want to go a little more into this question of efficiency, and I do it because my study of this subject in connection with others has led me to believe that that is really at the root of the matter, more than anything else. As we do find in every other realm of human effort this difference of efficiency between men and between the same man under different conditions, is it not reasonable to suppose that if the mind of men is addressed to securing greater efficiency with the same equipment, that greater efficiency will be attained? Mr. Willard: Well, that is assuming that proper efficiency has not previously been attained. Mr. Brandeis : Precisely. Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. Brandeis: But have we not found in every branch of human activity that can be measured in dollars that there is, subject to fluctuation, of course, which is more or less temporary, an increasing efficiency? Mr. Willard: I do not know that that can be said—■ that we have found that universally; no. Mr. Brandeis: I do not think it is universal at all; no; because we find all of the failure : side by side with the signal successes under precisely the same conditions; but, as it is expressed in our manufacturing community, "When you are buying stock, do not buy bricks and mortar, but buy men." You have doubtless heard the expression, so common among our bankers and in the community generally. Now, is it not probable that during the last ten or fifteen years when these huge capital expenditures have been made, the tractive power of the locomotive increased, and the capacity of the car increased, and the grades decreased, and the roadbed improved, that the minds of the men towards increased efficiêncy have been consumed in that part of the operation which deals with improved equipment or machin¬ ery, and that they have not been directed to that other part 79 which is perhaps far more important—the improvement of method and the saving of labor through method and scien¬ tific management, as distinguished from those coarser and more obvious improvements which can be attained by the expenditure of money? Mb. Willard: I think it is possible, but not necessarily probable. Mr. Brandeis: Not necessarily true, but in the light of human events and the advance of man in the arts, is it not probable? Mr. Willard: I do not think it is probable. I think it is possible. Mr. Brandeis: You would say, I suppose, as you did in regard to another suggestion, namely, of the greatly increased business, that your security holders would not like you to bank upon that possibility. Is that what you mean? Mr. Willard: On what possibility? Mr. Brandeis: The possibility that increased efficiency of the men could make up to the extent of three per cent, the increase in the rate of compensation of labor? Mr. Willard: In view of the fact that our stock has gone down about 12 points since I became President of the road, I might conclude that that is not so. They do not put the value on my efficiency that you speak of. Mr. Brandeis: In the first place, they may not know you as well as the railroad men know you. In the next place, there have been other general conditions which have affected the stock market. Is not that the fact? Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. Brandeis: And what is more than that, in speaking of the bond market, have you not rather overlooked one of the very important elements, namely, the question of the peculiar situation that this country finds itself in for the first time since the panic of 1893, when eight months' imports and exports show an obvious trade balance against the United States, instead of a balance of four or five hundred million for a corresponding period in some of the earlier years? Is not that a consideration bearing upon the question of the bond market? 80 Mr. Willard; Undoubtedly that would have some influence. Mr. Brandeis; Would it not be apt to have a very great influence? Mr. Willard ; It depends on how much you mean by "very great." I should say it would, without doubt, have an influence. no evidence of concerted action by financiers to depress railroad investments. Mr. Brandéis; When you were making your inquiries, among the bankers, in regard to the financing of this ques¬ tion, and finding out the views that were held here and there, and the trepidation in regard to railroad investments, did it occur to you as possible that this attitude in regard to the railroads was due to some concerted action, more or less concerted action on the part of those eminent financiers, very few in number, who actually control the operations of the financial world, and of the railroads among other things? Mr. Willard; What action have you in mind? What is the character of the concerted action? Mr. Brandeis; Concerted action to make it appear that unless the railroads get what those who actually control them—namely, the financiers—want, the people of this country cannot get the money with which to make the desired improvements? Mr. Willard; Oh, no. I saw no evidence of that. Mr. Brandeis; Well, did you in the course of that investigation or of your recent inquiries, find that there was in the community such a view? Mr. Willard; No. Mr. Brandeis; ' In the course of your investigation among the bankers did you learn that these financiers were asking as a commission, an underwriting commission, or as other commission, for fioating securities? Mr. Willard; Yes. Mr. Brandeis; What did you find? Mr. Willard; I think on the notes that we sold the commission was half of one per cent. I am not sure. It is a matter of record, and our secretary will know. I have forgotten. 81 Mh. Brandeis; At what price did the bankers sell those notes? Mr. Willard; Those notes I think were sold so as to— I do not know what he got. I cannot tell you that. I do not know. Mr. Brandeis: Yes. Now, have you not learned that the financiers who were so powerful in this country, and with their international relations, have undertaken to make terms to the railroads, as the result of which the railroads net materially less for their securities than is common and than the investor himself gets? Mr. Willard: Oh, no. I see nothing of the kind. Mr. Brandeis : Can you tell us what those commissions are on the bonds that were recently issued? Mr. Willard: We have not issued any bonds recently. Mr. Brandeis: No; but I dare say you have heard what has been done in regard to other railroads? Mr. Willard: No; I do not know. I am not compe¬ tent to speak of that. I do not know. I have no personal knowledge. Mr. Brandeis: And you have not learned in the course of your inquiry anything that might aid the Commission as to the extent to which underwriting commissions are exacted, if I may use so harsh a term—? Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. Brandéis: (Continuing.) By the financiers? bankers act as agents, and purchasers determine price of securities. Mr. Willard: I think perhaps we are not thinking in just the same direction. The commission the banker requires for the handling of securities is one thing. The price at which the security is sold to the public is quite another thing, and that is not determined by the financier. The financiers, as you use the. term—and I have in mind that you refer to the bankers—do not hold our securities. They act as our agents, if you please, to find a purchaser for our securities, and the man who takes the security determines the price. Mr. Brandeis: And is it not a fact, Mr. Willard, that the man who gets the commission for marketing your securi- 82 tÍ6s—in that sense perhaps being called your agent— himself sells those securities direct or through his syndicate which he forms, to the community? Mb. Willard: Very likely. Mr. Brandeis: What I am asking is what that difference is of the margin—because, of course, it varies in different cases—between the net price to the railroad, which the railroad receives, and the price which the investor in the com¬ munity finds himself obliged to pay? Mr. Willard: I do not know. Mr. Brandeis: Now, Mr. Willard, you said that you believed you must have this larger income. Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. Brandeis: You must have a surplus. Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. Brandeis: Among other things, to give you a credit; and that you regarded as essential the continuance of the dividend which has for some years been established at six per cent.? Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. Brandeis: That is correct, is it? Mr. Willard: Yes. duty rests with commission to see that returns to railroads are ample to maintain credit. Mr. Brandeis: And you use an expression, in sub¬ stance, this: That the obligation of the owners to look after the credit had been transferred by Congress to this Commission? Mr. Willard: I think so. Mr. Brandeis : So that as you regard it—and I assume that this whole investigation, this whole filing and request for an increase is based upon that idea— Mr. Willard: Just let me correct that. Whatever I may say in the way of my opinion is simply my own personal opinion, and I would not want it thought that I speak for anyone else. Mr. Brandéis: I understand that you do not intend to lay down a rule for others, but that you have regarded it as your opinion that Congress has shifted upon this Commission as representing the public the obligation of 83 building up or maintaining the credit of the institutions for which heretofore the managers or owners of the property were altogether responsible? Mr. Willard: I think in effect, yes. Mr. Brandeis : In other words, that now the community represented by the Commission is to become the guarantor of the success of the Company? Mr. Willard: I did not say that. Mr. Brandeis: No; but is not that the effect of what you said? Mr. Willard: Well, no—not guarantor. I did not say they should guarantee. Mr. Brandeis: No; but that they should make a rate which in the opinion of the managers of the property, is requisite to enable the managers to maintain what they believe necessary, namely, in the case of the Baltimore & Ohio—a six per cent, dividend; and even as Mr. McCrea put it in the case of the Pennsylvania, it should be increased to a seven per cent, dividend. Mr. Willard: I did not say that. I do not think that is quite putting it right. I think that the duty will rest with the Commission as I view it, to see that such return is made to the railroad as will cause the public to feel that our securities are attractive. The public will not be in¬ terested in, they will not put great value, when buying our securities, on my opinion. It will be for the public to determine as to the value of our securities. Mr. Brandeis: But is it not a fact that you have shifted a burden upon this Commission which is entirely inconsistent with the existence of private property in rail¬ roads? Mr. Willard: Many think so; but I am speaking of conditions as they exist. Mr. Brandeis: Well, I say, taking the conditions, are you not introducing an element which neither Congress nor any of those outside, I think, of the banking and railroad world would do, namely, that the Commission is to fix the rate which will enable the railroads, whatever be the degree of efficiency of their management at the present time or 84 in the recent past, to pay the dividend rate which you have named? Mr. Willard: I have not said what dividend rate I thought ought to be paid, I said I thought we ought not to pay less than we were paying. Mr. Brandeis: Well, I say, taking your six per cent, in the case of the Baltimore & Ohio, to which you have preferred to limit your testimony, is not that so—that if this position which you have contended for should be adopted, namely, that a railroad is entitled to such a rate as will enable it to pay the customary dividend, would not that action put a premium upon inefficiency, or rather, to put it in another way, would it not remove that premium upon efficiency which is the compelling cause of most existing efficiency, and which has given rise to the common maxim, that necessity is the mother of invention? Mr. Willard: It may be that that is so. If so, it is one of the results of the law, whether intended or not. Mr. Brandeis : Is it the result of the law? Is it not to be put, rather, another way, Mr. Willard? That this Commission is to consider, among other things, not merely what has been done by the railroads in the efficiency of their operations—not only that which with perfect honesty those in charge believe is the best that can be done—but whether they are not to consider what, with their knowledge of human nature and of operations in all other branches of business, has been found to be possible where the conditions compelled improvement? Mr. Willard: Your question is if I think the Com¬ mission ought to consider that in arriving at a conclusion? Mr. Brandeis: Yes. Mr. Willard: I think that would be a proper thing for them to consider. Mr. Brandeis: For them to consider? Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. Brandeis: You have referred to the increases in various costs of operation. Take manufacturing. Even those manufacturers where the prices have not been in¬ creased but have been almost steadily decreasing, like the manufacturiers of paper, have met an increase, for instance. 85 in the cost of their raw material, wood, which is twice as great, or three or four times as great as any increases in material to which you refer. Is not that a fact? Mr. Willard: It may be; but if so I should judge it simply follows that they had a greater margin of surplus to draw from. Mr. Brandeis: They would have testified at any time that they did not have any margin of surplus, but that all the minds of all the paper manufacturers—is it not the fact —were pressed upon that point of having to meet the increasing cost? Mr. Willard: I do not know. Mr. Brandeis: You know that is true in other branches of manufacture—I mean, those that are competitive. I am not talking about those that are controlled by trusts, but those that are competitive. For instance, the shoe manu¬ facturers. They have had an increase in the cost of leather, an increase in the cost of labor, an increase in the cost of all incidental expenses, and they have not been able to raise, practically, the price of the shoes. Mr. Willard: We are told that it is because of the raising of such prices that the cost of living has gone up. I had assumed that they raised their price, too. Mr. Brandéis: Let me ask you, on the other hand, if you speak of the cost of living, have you considered what articles of common necessity have been reduced amidst this constant increase in the cost of living in the last two or three years? Mr. Willard: No; that has not been brought to my attention. Mr. Brandeis: There are two very important things. I would ask, if you have not considered, in the first place, insurance. That is one of the commonest articles of neces¬ sity, and the cost of insurance, in some instances, has been reduced twenty per cent.—industrial insurance, and all insurance. The cost of operating an insurance company has been reduced from 25 to 28 per cent., with increasing cost in every respect. Why is it? Mr. Willard: I do not know. 86 Mr. Brandeis: Increased efficiency. The cost of another necessity, gas—at least in Boston and in New York —has been reduced amidst increasing prices, from $1.00 to SO^cents. Why is not what they have done in the insurance companies possible in the operation of a railroad? I do not mean to say to the same percentage, because we are speaking of three per cent. Mr. Willard: Assuming that there has been that lack of efficiency in the railroads that there evidently was in these other lines you refer to, it might, no doubt, be possible to accomplish similar results in the same direction. I am not willing to assume that that is so. tests op efficiency in railroad operations. Mr. Brandeis: I want to know what test you have in your railroad today, by which you can determine, as a manufacturer of shoes or of paper, or of tools and other things, whether you are getting an article for what it is worth? Mr. Willard: I have only such tests as can be had from my own knowledge of the business and from such figures and statistics as I can get bearing on that subject. Mr. Brandéis: Take any particular service. Take the question, for instance, that we were talking of, about the repair of a locomotive. Is it not a fact that it does not give you any idea as to whether you are getting that article at what it ought tp be, at cost, if you estimate that you are getting it at a certain per cent, per locomotive mile? That does not give it, does it? Mr. Willard: I think that is worth something. It does not determine it, but that is a factor to be considered. Mr. Brandeis: It is a factor, but it does not give it to you with accuracy, because conditions may govern it altogether. It was pointed out yesterday by Mr. McCrea that ten cents per locomotive mile on one road and in one year may be more efficient work than five cents per locomotive mile on another road, because the engines may be different, and all the conditions may be different. Now, in the manu¬ facture of something other than transportation, men have come to know—for instance, in the shoe business—the cost 87 Mr. Willard: Mr. Brandeis: Mr. Willard: Mr. Brandeis: of each one of the 100 operations or 150 different operations which enter into the single article of a shoe, by which they can test themselves and predetermine what the cost ought to be. Why cannot that be done? Why can you not do what they have found so neccessary to do in competitive businesses? It can be done, and it is done. Is it done? Yes. Well, what can you name to me as a single instance, or one of many, if there are many, where it is done, in the methods by which the railroads are con¬ ducted? Mr. Willard : I can tell you of a great many instances, in my own case. Mr. Brandeis: Mr. Willard: is one thing. Mr. Brandeis: Mr. Willard: Mr. Brandeis: convey any idea? Mr. Willard: Mr. Brandeis: Mr. Willard: Mr. Brandeis: Mr. Willard: Mr. Brandeis: Mr. Willard: State one. Take the repairs of freight cars. That Stop right there. All right. The "repairs of freight cars" does not It does to me. Just tell me what it costs. What what costs? Anything. To repair a freight car? Yes. It costs on various roads from thirty to as high as eighty or ninety dollars per year per car, depending on the character of the road, the kind of car, the prices paid for labor in various parts of the country, the miles of service, etc. Mr. Brandeis: Just see how uncertain that factor is. Mr. Willard: That makes it more difficult, I admit. Mr. Brandeis: No; you are taking the average. The only way you could tell whether the work on any one of those cars was efficiently done, is it not, would be for you to know the particular thing that was done on that particular car? 88 Mb. Willard: Yes. Mr. Brandeis: Because by reason of one thousand things the repairs on one car or one set of cars may, in point of greatest efficiency, cost more than what was done on cer¬ tain other cars. It is a different job. You call it "repair of cars," but that is not the same thing, any more than men are the same thing? Mr. Willard: I do not think I quite get at what you want to make plain. Mr. Brandeis: I want to endeavor to reach an under¬ standing with you, because as I say I deem this the most important question that is before the railroad world. If you state for instance, that the cost of repairing a freight car on any one road you may name is $37, and on another road it is $45, and on another road it is $60, and on another it is $100— Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. Brandeis: It is perfectly possible that the road which is operated most economically and cheaply is the road that pays $100 for the repair of the particular car, because the car may be different, the work it has done may be different, the difficulties under which it has labored may be different. That is taking an extreme case, as between $100 and $37, but that is all possible? Mr. Willard: Oh, it would be possible. Mr. Brandeis : And consequently you have no accurate gauge, any more than the Illinois Central may have had, in overlooking the facts, which, if they had known about them, might have stopped graft? Mr. Willard: I have not any gauge? I have not said so. Mr. Brandeis: I have asked you whether you had. Mr. Willard : You did not let me tell you. Mr. Brandeis: I thought you said you did not have any other test. Mr. Willard : No ; I did not say I did not have any other test. I said I had that for one thing. Mr. Brandeis: Keep on with that subject. Mr. Willard: I am going to, if you will permit me. Mr. Brandeis: Í hope I will. 89 Mr. Willard: I think if I saw it was costing us to repair cars S60 or S70 per year, on the Baltimore & Ohio Railroad, for instance, and $25 or $30 per car per year on some other road, under similar circumstances, I would immediately start an inquiry, to see where the differences were, and I would find out what they were paying for various kinds of material, if I could, what wages they were paying, what miles they were making with their cars per year, and if I could, whether they were working on a piece work basis, as we are, I would find out their piece work price for doing a certain piece of work. I would see what they paid for doing it. I would find out, in connection with painting, if they were doing it with hand brushes or by machinery. All those things I would look into. Mr. Brandeis : I have no doubt, taking your own road, that you will find, for instance, that your locomotive repair cost was 7.93 in the same year that the Delaware & Lacka¬ wanna was 6.40. Mr. Willard: That may be. Mr. Brandeis; Have you looked into that question? Mr. Willard: Not that particular question. It is not necessary. I should say that if we could repair our loco¬ motives at not more than one cent per mile more than the Lackawanna, we were taking care of it very cheaply, knowing what I do of the character of our locomotives, and the char¬ acter of our road. Mr. Brandeis: That brings me precisely to the point which it seems to me indicates that railroad methods of accounting are in an elementary stage as compared with the best manufacturing industries. They predetermine the cost of the article; that is, they do not wait until after the event. Commissioner Prouty: How are you going to pre¬ determine the cost of repairing a locomotive until you know what is to be done to it ? You can predertime the cost of manufacture of a shoe, because you know what you will make, but you cannot predetermine the cost of repairing a locomotive until you know what is to be done to that locomotive. 90 Me. Brandeis: I am very glad to answer that question, because it has all been worked out. It has been prede¬ termined, not what the cost will be of repairing the par¬ ticular locomotive that has not been injured—we do not know what the difficulty is on that—but it has been worked out, on the Atchison, for instance, what the cost should be of each operation that enters into the repair of that loco¬ motive, and the introduction on that system of prede¬ termined cost in the Atchison resulted in a reduction—I can give you the exact figures that were presented, but at any rate it resulted in a reduction in the repair account of something like twenty-five to thirty per cent. That is, it is worked out for all possible operations that may enter into the repair of the article. Commissioner Prouty: Mr. Willard says they do their work by the piece now. You are simply inquiring whether the price is too high or not by the piece? Mr. Brandeis : As I understand it, that still would be a different question. For instance, there are 50,000 different operations that have been worked out. The matter is predetermined what that is to cost. When the work is actually done, you determine then whether that work as it is done costs more or less than this standard cost by which you are constantly being met? can increased costs be met by more efficient management. Commissioner Prouty: It is your claim—and I ask this because you went over all this ground with Mr. McCrea, and I do not see why you might not present it to the Com¬ mission in an argument as well as to repeat the statements to this witness. Is it your claim that the Commission should find that the railroads in this section are not economically managed, and they ought to save this $35,- 000,000 a year by introducing better methods into their operation? Mr. Brandeis: I think the Commission should find, as I indicated, that it would be a most serious danger to the country to establish the principal that if, according to present conditions, they need more money, they raise rates instead of doing what in every competitive business it is 91 necessary to do, namely, to consider whether you cannot make the more money by reducing your cost. What I say is, and I desire to speak to the Commission in detail about these conditions—I merely refer generally to the methods of predetermining cost and scientific management which have been covered—I desire to present that to the Com¬ mission so that what I have indicated through this witness may appear very fully. Mr. Bond: Have you any objection to letting the wit¬ ness state whether he has some method of predeterming such matters? The Chairman: Pardon me, but you have not answered Commissioner PrOuty's question. Mr. Bond : I beg your Honor's pardon. Commissioner Proutt: My question is whether it is your idea that the railroads are not efficiently managed and that they ought to be required to make up for this advance in wages by more efficient management? Mr. Brandeis: I do. I do claim that they ought to show that. Commissioner Prouty: It may be said with great truth that the Pennsylvania Railroad perhaps has plenty of money to throw away and no special inducement to a higher efficiency, but how about the Erie, which is in competition with the Pennsylvania and which must charge the same rate, and which certainly has no money to throw away? That road has every inducement to good management which a boot and shoe shop has. Mr. Brandeis: I do not think it has, if I may be per¬ mitted to say so. I think it has just the opposite, because the Erie, not being under the obligation pointed out by Mr. Willard to pay a dividend, is relieved even from that moral question which has hitherto existed. Commissioner Prouty: It is under the desirability of keeping out of receivers' hands every ten years. Mr. Brandeis: It may be under that, but I think, as a matter of fact— Commissioner Prouty: (Interposing.) I merely wanted to get your idea, and I understand you to say that you will ask the Commission to find that these railroads shall show 92 they are managed with the highest efficiency before they ask to increase their rate to meet this increase of operatin expenses? Mr. Brandeis: In view of the fact which I desire to speak fully, through witnesses, to the Commission, that their methods are not the methods of scientific management, and that I desire to say— Mr. Bond: (Interrupting.) Mr. Brandeis, you have testified; now let the witness testify as to what the railroad methods are. You have testified as to everybody else's methods, and now you are testifying as to the railroad methods. I am perfectly willing to have you testify about other people's methods, but I would rather have a railroad man testify as to railroad methods. You have interrupted Mr. Willard every time he started to answer a question. Mr. Brandeis: Then I beg your pardon, Mr. Willard. Mr. Willard: For the information of the Commission, Mr. Chairman, inasmuch as Mr. Brandeis has offered the Santa Fe as a standard, it may be interesting to the Com¬ mission to know that for the year ending June 30, 1909, the Baltimore & Ohio spent $400 per engine less to maintain its locomotives than the Santa Fe did, according to its annual report. Mr. Brandeis: That is a fact I endeavored to point out that proves nothing. Mr. Willard: I understood you to state that you set up the Santa Fe as a standard. According to that standard, we spent $400 less on the maintenance of our locomotives than they did. Mr. Brandeis: I submit that does not prove anything. Mr. Willard: I did not suggest it. I merely followed your suggestion. Mr. Brandéis: I say it does not prove anything. I said the man who spends $100 may do the work cheaper than the man who spends $37. But Mr. Bond said I did not give you an opportunity to answer, and I desire to beg your pardon. Mr. Willard: I do not know that I have anything further to say in that connection. 93 Mr. Brandeis: Then I will ask you this question: you said that stockholders should receive a six per cent, dividend? Mr. Willard: No. I said I thought they should^ re¬ ceive not less than that. Mr. Brandeis: I mean not less than six per cent., I beg your pardon—on the Baltimore & Ohio? Mr. Willard: Yes, sir. Mr. Brandeis: You have also said that you felt that through the action of the Commission conditions should be such that you would be assured and he could be reasonably assured of that return? Mr. Willard : I said in substance that, yes. Mr. Brandeis : If a stockholder, if a holder of stock, as distinguished from a bond holder, is to have an assured return, ought not his investment and his rate of interest, in your opinion, to represent a reasonable certainty of payment instead of a rate of interest which expresses that natural fluctuation in business for which a larger return is asked? Mr. Willard: Yes. If you are considering the other features that enter into it, yes. But I think you would say as a lawyer that the security under a mortgage bond is entirely different from any security that there can be found at all under a share of railroad stock; so the guarantee of the Commission, if you desire to use that term—and I do not—does not give the stock any lien on the property. Mr. Brandeis: It does not give the stock a lien on the property, but what could be better as a security for payment than a ruling that the rates shall be such as to permit stock¬ holders to receive six per cent, dividends. Mr. Willard: I have not suggested any such thing as that. Mr. Brandeis: Is not that the effect of what you sug¬ gested? Mr. Willard: No. In the first place I am not willing to commit myself to that statement. Of course you must bear in mind, that regardless of any act that this Commission or any other body could take, there would always be the 94 possibility, as it came about in 1908, that they would not earn what they had under the conditions that previously have existed. CoMMissiONEB Lane: Let me ask a question right there. If we should approve these advances, what reason have you to believe you could get the benefit of them? Mr. Willard; I do not quite understand that question. Commissioner Lane: You want an advance, you say, of so much, so as to offset labor cost, and so as to give you a reasonable surplus that will maintain credit? Mr. Willard; Yes. Commissioner Lane : You think that this is a step in the right direction—this advance, at any rate? Mr. Willard: Yes. Commissioner Lane: What reason have you to think that if these rates go into effect you can increase your surplus—and I have this thought in mind: Suppose these class rates are put up and some road in this same competi¬ tive territory chooses to make a reduction in its rate; take the Erie, which has been talked of so much, and suppose they want to develop the grain trade out of Hoboken and they make a big cut in the export grain rate. That might cut entirely from underneath your feet the benefit of all this advance in rates? Mr. Willard: It might, yes. Commissioner Lane: So there is no possibility of our doing anything like guaranteeing returns to your railroad? Mr. Willard: I do not see how you could, and I have not suggested that. Commissioner Lane : So the burden cannot be cast upon us until there may be such a thing as the absolute fixing of a rate by the Government, or the fixing of a minimum rate? Mr. Willard: Either the fixing of a minimum or, if you will pardon me, through this Commission, in the exercise of its best judgment,doing those things the railroad managers have done in the past, by means of which they have been able to maintain the credit, as they have. Of course, there was no guarantee then whatever. Commissioner Lane: What do you refer to? 95 Mb. Willabd: They found it necessary to increase their rates, just as has been testified by Mr. McCrea yes¬ terday, to meet those increased costs. Commissioner Lane: You and the Erie Road could get together, we will say and agree on these increases today. The management of the Erie may change or the traffic manager may change the rate, and he may take away from you and from the other roads in this territory the benefit of these very advances? Mr. Willard: Yes, very true. Commissioner Lane: So there can be no continuous line of policy, even with this Commission's consent, under the present law, which will insure to you the thing that you seem to desire and to regard as essential. Mr. Willard: I think you are right as to that. Commissioner Prouty: Do you think there is any probability that the Erie Railroad or any other railroad would do that thing? Mr. Willard: I do not think there is any probability of it. Commissioner Prouty: If the Erie Railroad did it, where would the Erie Railroad get its money the next time it wanted any. Mr. Willard: I do not know. Commissioner Prouty: No, and the Erie Railroad would not know either. Commissioner Lane: Is not this true, that if the Erie Railroad did that you of course would have it in your power to enter upon a game of reprisal as against them? Mr. Willard: Yes. Commissioner Lane: So that game of coercive power you have in your hands would be simply a means to cut your own throat further? Mr. Willard: That policy put the Baltimore & Ohio into the hands of receivers once and I have no desire to repeat it. Mr. Brandeis: You have referred a number of times to the fact that there was a deficit in 1908. Is it not a fact that that deficit arose merely because in the preceding year 96 the dividend rate had been increased by the management from five to six per cent.? Mr. Willahd: Of course, if that dividend had been only two per cent, then they earned enough to pay that, but in line with that thought, I should say in reply to that question that the earnings the year before very amply justified the payment of the six per cent, dividend, because the road in that year earned 12 per cent, or practically that. Mr. Brandeis: It is a fact, is it not, that the year before this deficit arose, the management in its wisdom raised the rate of dividend from five to six per cent.? Mr. Willard: I rather think that is a fact. Mr. Brandeis: And it is also a fact that the deficit in the year 1908, of which you have spoken, is less than the amount of that one per cent, of dividend? Mr. Willard: Yes; that is true. Mr. Brandeis : Then properly one of the ways in which you could have described that action was that the manage¬ ment was too optimistic in assuming that the good year of 1907 would justify them in raising the rate of dividend. Mr. Willard: You might say that. I think, before saying that, that you would do well to consider that since the reorganization the common stock up to that time had never paid over five, one year paying nothing, some years paying two, and four, and the earnings of that year justi¬ fied that dividend. ]\Ir. Brandeis : Bear in mind that I am not undertaking to criticise anyone. I am simply calling attention to the circum¬ stances which I thought possibly had escaped your attention. Mr. Willard: And I wanted to call attention to a coincident circumstance which I thought perhaps you had overlooked. Mr. Brandeis: No, I remembered it, because I have the table before me. Passing from that to this point, you stated, as I understood it, that this $35,000,000 that repre¬ sented surplus had been invested, in large part, in improve¬ ments which in and of themselves might not be net income bearing. Mr. Willard: I think I said that. Mr. Brandeis: That you think they ought to be made— 97 Mr. Willard; (Interupting.) Understand, I was not here when it was done, but I thoroughly approve of the policy as I now see it. Mr. Brandeis: I merely wanted to get your point of view. If the question came up, as it would in an ordinary rate case where the legislature undertook to fix the rate which you could charge for passengers or for local freight, would you not claim that all that money that had gone in, although not in itself remunerative, was money which was entitled to receive a return and that a rate was confiscatory which did not permit a return on that investment, whether it had increased the net income or not? Mr. Willard: I have answered that—that is, there are two questions in that and I have answered one of those questions. I will repeat that one. In my opinion the expenditures that were made out of that money also should be capitalized. Mr. Brandeis: Does that answer the proposition? in ascertaining value of property expenditures from surplus should be considered. Mr. Willard: I thought it did, if not, then I want to say that in any investigation getting at the value of the property, certainly I do not see how you could ignore the fact that $35,000,000 had been spent in improving the prop¬ erty, even though it came out of surplus. A dollar is a dollar. Mr. Brandeis: If, therefore, the legislature should in its wisdom take the Baltimore & Ohio by right of eminent domain, or the legislature, in the exercise of police powers, should undertake to fix a rate, the railroad would contend that that property was the property of the stockholders and would have to be regarded just as much as the property which, when it was constructed, added to the net income? Mr. Willard: I have not considered any such condition as you speak of. I have said that in getting at the physical valuation of a railroad, I think it is only fair and I think it is right that expenditures should all be considered, no matter where the dollar came from. We are not confronted with any such condition as that, and I have said distinctly 98 for the purpose of this proceeding I do not think such expenditures should be capitalized. Mr. Brandeis; But the result is then, is it not, that if you did consider it and rates were to be based in any way upon the value of the property, that property which the public itself through rates had contributed would therefore bear tribute for the benefit of the stockholders? Mr. Willard: I do not quite agree with one of your contentions there. I think you emphasize too much the fact that the public contributes. It is true the public paid the rate which gave that surplus. It is also true that that surplus by legal right belongs to the stockholders. It is also true the Baltimore & Ohio stockholders have been willing to put it into the property and get nothing for it. If you suppose an entirely different case where rates are to be based on valuation of the property, an entirely different condition than we have today, then I should say that money so expended ought to be considered. Mr. Brandeis: It is a legal right belonging to the stockholders only in case the rate was a reasonable rate, because if a more than reasonable rate has been charged, then an extortion has been taken from the public. Mr. Willard: I was assuming the rates which have been in effect for a long time must have been generally reasonable. Mr. Brandeis: There is only one other question I want to ask you, and it is this: These class rates which it is proposed to increase had been in effect for practically a generation, had they not? Mr. Willard: I understand so. Mr. Brandeis: And as a matter of fact the net rate on these class rates, when rebates were abolished, or by the result of the abolishment of the rebates, had really been thus increased to whatever extent the rebates amounted to as a discount on the rate. Mr. Willard: I suppose that is so. I was not in the rebate department, and I do not know about that; I have no personal knowledge. Mr. Brandeis: Having in mind the rebates to which you cannot testify, it is a fact that while all other rates 99 throughout a generation, up to say ten years ago, have been reduced, those rates are the rates of a generation ago when the average rates were very much higher than today? Mr. Willard: You have said that is so. Mr. Brandeis : Isn't it so? Mr. Willard: I presume it is. I must confess ignorance concerning those rates. Mr. Brandéis: I do not want to inject the question if you are not familiar with that fact. Mr. Willard: No, I am not, only in a very general way. CROSS EXAMINATION. (By Mr. Clifford Thorne.) Mr. Thorne: Do you know, Mr. Willard, or have you investigated anything as to the original cost of the Baltimore & Ohio? Mr. Willard: Do you go back to 1832 when it was first built? Mr. Thorne: Yes sir. Mr. Willard: No, I have never tried in my investiga¬ tions to go beyond the receivership. The road, following that in 1896, was reorganized in 1899. I have only been at the head of its afiairs a short time, and I have not gone back beyond the receivership. Mr. Thorne: You do not know the actual investment in the property? Mr. Willard: No; not to that extent. Mr. Thorne: Have you made investigation as to the physical value of the Baltimore & Ohio, the physical valuation of it? Mr. Willard: No sir. Mr. Thorne: You do not know whether the present capitalization is greater or less than the physical valuation or greater or less than the original cost, from actual investi¬ gation? Mr. Willard: I do not actually know, but I have an opinion. Mr. Thorne: Mr. Willard, you have had occasion to learn some facts in regard to the reorganization of the Company in 1899, I presume? 100 Mr. Willard: Very few. ' Mr. Thorne : Is it not true that at that time new stock was given the stockholders at the rate of 1150 for a $100 share held before? Mr. Willard: I do not know. Mr. Thorne: Have you heard anything to that effect? Mr. Willard: I may have; I cannot tell you, because I do not know. I should have to refer you to counsel for the railroad; he was here at that time. Mr. Thorne : Do you know whether or not the holders of preferred stock were given new trust certificates at the rate of $150 for $100? Mr. Willard: I have read the plan of reorganization, and that is all a matter of record, but I cannot answer from memory. Mr. Thorne: I find in 1899, if I am correctly informed, the new capitalization was about $90,000,000 greater than the capitalization of the year before, while the mileage did not increase one mile. Mr. Willard: That may be. Mr. Thorne: Can you explain that situation? Mr. Willard: No. Mr. Thorne: Would you please furnish the Commission information relative to the increase of capitalization at that time and what value was in fact added to the property? Mr. Willard: Certainly, if that can be had. It is somewhat doubtful if it can be had, because our records were all destroyed in 1904; but if it is a matter of record and we can get it, there is no reason why it should not be presented. Mr. Thorne: When you say you are entitled to at least six per cent, on your stock, you further mean that you would be entitled to that even though it were found that your property was greatly over capitalized? Mr. Willard: I cannot conceive of that being found. Mr. Thorne: I am not asking you about your idea or your opinion as to whether that is the situation, but if it should be found to be true that the capitalization is far in excess of the actual investment, and that the capitalization is far in excess of the actual present value—not physical 101 value, but present value as interpreted by the courts— would you still claim they were entitled to six per cent, on this present capitalization? Mr. Willard: I have not said so. Mr. Thorne: Would you say so? Mr. Willard: I do not know. I should want to have something more tangible to talk about than that. I would not care myself for my opinion based on such a suppositi¬ tious case as that. not in favor of dividends on "fictitious capitalization." Mr. Thorne : I am asking a hypothetical question and I want to know whether you would or not claim the right to a dividend upon that fictitious capitalization if it should be found to be the case. I am not asking you to say it is true. Mr. Willard: I have an opinion of what I think a stockholder ought to get, and what I think the rate ought to be. I will be glad enough to give you my opinion if you care to have it, but I cannot give my opinion and make it a reply to that question. Mr. Thorne: I am not stating a situation that exists. I am merely stating a hypothetical question, and I am entitled to an answer, whether you would claim a return on fictitious capitalization? Mr. Willard: I think I answered that this morning. Mr. Thorne: Would you or not? Mr. Willard: Would I what? Mr. Thorne : Claim a return on fictitious capitalization? . Mr. Willard: No, I should not be in favor of that. Mr. Thorne : Then, before you can say— Mr. Willard: (Interrupting.) Understand, and let us not forget the word "fictitious" was used there. Mr. Thorne: Oh, yes. Before you can determine whether you are entitled to these increased rates, is not a first act to be performed to find out the reasonable value of your property and interpret that value fairly and justly to the railroads? Mr Willard No, I do not think that is necessary. Mr. Thorne: If the capitalization is your sole test— 102 Mr. Willard; (Interrupting.) I do not say it is the sole test. Mr. Thorne: What is the test? Six per cent, on that? Was it not your proposition that it should be six per cent, on your capital stock providing there was no ficticious capitalization in it? Is not that what you stated? Mr. Willard: What is your last question? Mr. Thorne: Will the stenographer read the question, please? The Stenographer: (Reading.) "What is the test? Six per cent, on what? Was not that your proposition that it should be six per cent, on the capital stock providing there was no fictitious capitalization in it? Is not that what you stated?" Mr. Willard: No, I did not say that. I said in the case of the Baltimore & Ohio it should not be less than six per cent., in my opinion. Mr. Thorne: And six per cent, on what? Mr. Willard: On the stock of the Baltimore & Ohio Railroad as it is today. Mr. Thorne: But if it is found to be fictitious capitali¬ zation, you say it should not have that six per cent.? Mr. Willard: Yes, I said that. Mr. Thorne: Then it is six per cent, on the value of the property, is it. not, fairly, Mr. Willard? Mr. Willard: That it should not be less than six per cent.— Commissioner Prouty: (Interposing.) That would not come to that at all, because he only pays four per cent, on a part of the value of the property, and perhaps a little less than four per cent, on some of it—four per cent, on the bonds and four per cent, on the preferred stock, and six per cent, on $152,000,000 of common stock. I understood Mr. Willard to say that the Baltimore & Ohio was entitled to earn at least six per cent, on $152,000,000 of common stock, in addition to paying its fixed charges and in addition to a surplus which ought to be from two to three per cent. more. Mr. Thorne : That is the way I understand it precisely, and I did state the question perhaps somewhat erroneously, but he also qualified it in this manner, that if there was 103 fictitious capitalization in that common stock he should not be entitled to the six per cent. CoSiMissiONER Prouty: You probably would not agree among yourselves as to just what that word "fictitious" capitalization means. Mr. Willard: I was very particular to refer to that word "fictitious." That does not mean simply a difference of opinion, as I understand "fictitious." It may be inter¬ esting and you may be glad to know that the Baltimore & Ohio has never at any time, since reorganization, including six per cent, dividends on the common stock, paid as much as five per cent, on its capital liability. It has never paid at any time as much as four per cent, on its bonded debt. That is a matter of interest, and you may not know that. Mr. Thorne; You have stated that there was $35,000,000 added out of the surplus earnings? Mr. Willard: Yes, sir. Mr. Thorne: Would that not have been merely added value to what had already been capitalized? Mr. Willard: It gave added value to what had been capitalized, because the value of the road is $35,000,000 in excess of its capitalization. Mr. Thorne: You do not know whether that capital liability truly represents the value of the property? Mr. Willard: I think it does. Mr. Thorne: You do not know it? You have not made any investigation to find out? Mr. Willard: I did not say I had not made any investigation. Mr. Thorne: You have not made any investigation to find that out? The Chairman: He did not state that. You asked him if he had made a valuation of his property. Mr. Willard: That was the question. Mr. Thorne: I asked the question if he had made an investigation, and I simply want to know the facts; I want merely the truth. Commissioner Prouty: I understand Mr. Willard to say that he did not know where this stock came from and did not know against what it has been issued. I suppose 104 you can file, Mr. Bond, a plan of reorganization, can you? Mr. Bond: We can, but it would not show anything, if the Commission please. The liabilities of the Baltiiñore & Ohio Railroad Company prior to the receivership were not on its books, and the final windup was a proposition from the gentlemen representing the reorganization committee that if the court would approve the issue of certain bonds and stock on the new Baltimore & Ohio System, these gentlemen would turn over all the properties, free from all leases, all guarantees, all debts, all the old liabilities, and the court said it was a fair proposition and authorized the acceptance of it and the issuance of new securities. We do not know and I do not know as counsel what actually those stocks were issued for. I do not know what they stood the reorgani¬ zation managers, and I do not believe anybody on earth can find out, and I do not believe the reorganization managers themselves today know. The result was that they came out free from debt, and with one half the fixed charges they had when they went in. That was the result. Me. Thorne: And $90,000,000 more of capitalization. Mr. Bond: More capitalization than the book capitali¬ zation and liabilities at the time it went in. Mr. Thorne: And it did not increase the value of the property one iota? Mr. Bond: There you are entirely mistaken. There were $30,000,000 borrowed during the receivership and put into the property. There was the one receivership in this country where there was the unlimited spending of money. All that was taken care of in this new matter. Mr. Thorne: That leaves $60,000,000? Mr. Bond: It does not, because there were guarantees and leases, and all sorts of liabilities which were wiped out only by buying up the the securities of the properties to which they applied, and what those cost nobody knows. Mr. Thorne: I desire to say just a word in regard to any explanation of what I was getting at. The witness testifies that they are entitled to 6 per cent, on the capital stock. I think he stated fairly and frankly that he does not know, as a matter of fact, whether that capital stock in that total capitalization represents the value of the property. 105 He thinks it does. The point I was making was that even admitting he was entitled to six per cent, on the value of the property, yet he should not be entitled to six per cent, on the stock until he knew that that value was represented by the total capitalization. Commissioner Prouty: I understood Mr. Willard to say that he thought, from what he knew about the Balti¬ more & Ohio, that it was entitled to earn six per cent, or pay dividends of six per cent, on 1152,000,000 of common stock, in addition to its fixed charges, and in addition to that it was entitled to a surplus which would provide from $3,000,000 to $5,000,000 a year. He states that is what he thinks the Baltimore & Ohio is entitled to do, and he knows nothing about where that $152,000,000 of stock came from or what it represents. Is not that right, Mr. Willard? Mr. Willard: Yes. Commissioner Prouty: From what he knows about the Baltimore & Ohio property, he thinks it is entitled to that. Mr. Thorne: And he further states he does not know that the capitalization represents the value of the property. Mr. Bond: He says he has an opinion, but he has not made a valuation. Mr. Thorne: Am I correct, Mr. Willard, when I say you have made no actual investigation of the physical valuation of the property? Mr. Willard: Probably not in the sense that you have in mind. I have been over it— Mr. Thorne: (Interrupting.) You have also made no actual investigation as to the original cost of the property, and actual investment? Mr. Willard: No sir. Mr. Thorne: In determining the credit of your Com¬ pany have you offered any bonds drawing 4)^ per cent, for sale that have been refused? Mr. Willard: We tried to sell our debenture four per cent, bonds, convertible into stock, and could not sell them on a basis that was attractive. Mr. Thorne: Could not sell four per cent, bonds? Mr. Willard: We tried four and then considered 106 Mb. Thorne: Have you ever offered 43/^ per cent, bonds that have not been taken? Mb. Willabd: We did not offer them. We considered it and discussed it with the bankers and decided the way the market was at that time we could not dispose of them. Mb. Thobne: Have you ever offered per cent, bonds that have been refused? Mb. Willabd: I have just stated to you— Mb. Thorne: (Interrupting.) You have not. Is that all there is? Mb. Willabd: I want to explain the process of the offer. First, we had to consult with our bankers, and we did not insist on their putting it to an offer, when they thought, from their experience, that it would not be well received. We discussed it. Mr. Thobne: Have the bankers ever told you 4)^ per cent, bonds could not be sold at this time? Mr. Willabd: They told us last spring they did not think we could sell 4J^ per cent, debenture bonds at a rate we thought was attractive. Mb. Thorne: You mean at par? Mb. Willabd: Could not sell them at par. Mr. Thobne: Do you know of any well organized,^ solidly capitalized company that has offered any 4)/^ per cent, bonds that have not been sold? Mb. Willabd. I do not know anything about it. Mr. Thorne: You do not know of such a thing or such a company? Mb. Willabd: I do not know anything about it. Mr. Thorne: You made a statement—I do not know whether it is very material or not—but you saw fit to offer the statement that the rates in the United States were the lowest of any country. Do you know of any country where the average haul, the distance haul, is as great as it is in the United States, and where the tonnage, the density of traffic, is substantially the same as in the United States? Mb. Willabd: No, I cannot answer that. Mr. Thobne: Do you know of any country where the density of traffic is as great as it is here and the investment per mile of road is no greater than it is here? 107 Mr. Willard; No, I certainly do not. Mr. Thorne: Have you made any comparisons of rates for the same distance, not the average revenue per ton mile, but rates for the same distance on commodities, between this country and other countries where the conditions are substantially similar as to density of traffic? Mr. Willard: I have not. I do not think there are any places where conditions are substantially similar as to density of traffic. Mr. Thorne: Have you made any comparisons for similar distances? Mr. Willard: No; I have not seen any figures of that kind. Mr. Thorne: You made a statement in regard to operating expenses during three months of this year, and you made a forecast as to the coming year based upon that three months? Mr. Willard: No, I did not make a forecast for the coming year. I said our estimates had been based on last year, but that the effect of the first three months of the present year was such as to cast considerable doubt upon our estimates of last year, because while we had shown a large increase in gross, the operating expenses had more than eaten it all up. Mr. Thorne: The expenses during this coming year of 1911 will include interest charges on S4Q,000,000, I believe you said this morning? Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. Thorne: Is that a usual investment in betterments and improvements for one year? Did you invest that much last year? Mr. Willard: Oh, no, not that much. Mr. Thorne : Is not that an extraordinary large amount? Mr. Willard: Very likely it is. I do not suppose we will spend it all this year. Mr. Thorne: How is that $40,000,000 to be invested? Mr. Willard : It is to be invested in facilities and equip¬ ment. You can spend money pretty fast in equipment. We bought $15,000,000 worth of cars, and $7,000,000 or 108 $8,000,000 worth of locomotives last year. You can spend money pretty fast that way. Mr. Thorne: How much did you spend for equipment last year? Mr. Willard: I do not know. The annual report will show. Mr. Thorne: About how nuch? Mr. Willard: I refer you to the annual report. That gives it. Mr. Thorne: What is the interest on this $40,000,000? Mr. Willard: I think that approximates nearly five per cent. Slightly less than five per cent. Mr. Thorne: Almost $2,000,000? Mr. Willard: Yes, not quite. Mr. Thorne: And that extra payment, that extraor¬ dinary payment, falls for the first time during the year 1911, and you include that in your estimate of expenses for 1911. Mr. Willard: It falls for the first time during an entire year. We had to meet that for one month in 1909, and we paid the interest on $10,000,000 for four months in 1909, I think. There are two loans, one of $10,000,000 and one of $40,000,000. Mr. Thorne : Then for the first time the entire amount falls in this coming year and you have included that, and you have also in your estimate for 1911, if I understand you correctly, made no allowance for increase in business or increase in net earnings? Mr. Willard: We have not made any estimate on 1911 at all, except I presented the figures for the first three months. My estimates have all been based on last year's figures. Last year, you will remember, was the biggest year we ever had, and we were doing business practically up to our capacity and I do not believe we will be able to earn very much more than we did last year. Mr. Thorne : That was the forecast I referred to. Mr. Willard: That was on last year's business. Mr. Thorne : In making up that estimate of what your surplus will be for the coming year, you have taken this for the purpose? 109 Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. Thorne: You have not considered any increase in net earnings? Mr. Willaed: From what? Mr. Thorne: Increased volume of business? Mr. Willard: No. Mr. Thorne: And you have included this extraor¬ dinary interest charge on $40,000,000? Mr. Willard: Yes. I want to remind you again that in the first three months there has been no increase in net earnings, because of increased expense. Mr. Thorne: Will you furnish the Commission with the details, and myself with a copy, because I do not have physical access to those here, of the operating expenses during those three months? Mr. Willard: Certainly. We have already two months, and we will give the other as soon as we can get it ready. Mr. Thorne: Distributing the expense among cars and locomotives, and so forth? Mr. Willard: We do not distribute it in that way. It is all included in the one charge to maintenance of equipment. Mr. Thorne: You have that so kept in your books? Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. Thorne : Could you give those details? Mr. Willard: I will be very glad, if the Commission desires it. Commissioner Prouty. Do you keep performance sheets by divisions? Mr. Willard: We keep our expenses—well, I cannot answer that. I would have to ask my assistant about that. Commissioner Prouty: If you could furnish us a com¬ parative statement for certain months this year, for these months to which you have referred in this year, and the same months in last year, we would like to have it. Mr. Willard: We can do that. Commissioner Prouty: Showing by divisions the items of expense—because I think it would be very instructive. Mr. Willard: We can do that; we will do that. 110 Me. Thoene; I noticed, in an examination of your repair account for 1910, the repairs to locomotives and pas¬ senger cars and freight cars exceed the same items for 1909 in the sum of about $4,000,000. Me. Willaeu: Yes. Me. Thoene: An increase of about 50 per cent, in your repair account? Me. Willaed: Possibly. Me. Thoene: Would you please explain the occasion for that? Me. Willaed: Yes, and will be very glad to, because that interests me a great deal. The equipment was not kept as it should be in former years because of the reasons I mentioned. This last year we have had a great deal of busi¬ ness and have taken down a good many cars and destroyed old ones, and I think the depreciation charges have been included in that—have they? Me. Thoene: No, sir, they are not included in the figures I gave. I also find they are about $3,000,000 greater than 1908. Does the same reason apply? Me. Willaed: I was not here, but I should think perhaps it might. I noticed this, and perhaps you have noticed, that our percentage of gross earnings, during the last year, spent for maintenance of equipment was substan¬ tially the same as spent by the Pennsylvania Railroad. So I assume it is not too much. At any rate, I have not heard our equipment was in too good condition. Me. Thoene : The result of that is that you are crowding into this year repairs that should have been made during those other years. Me. Willaed: Oh, we probably have done some, yes. Me. Thoene: So that that item is practically a reflec¬ tion of the operation of your road under its financial system rather than actual expenses properly chargeable to that year? Me. Willaed: I do not think the expenses as they now are, are higher than they should be. I think as they were before, they were too low. Ill Mr. Thorne: If you are crowding into this year expenses which should have been met during that year to that amount, it is higher than it should be. Mr. Willard: To some extent, for the purposes of argument, but I think they will continue very much as they are now. Mr. Thorne: Upon what do you base that? Mr. Willard: The increase in wages for one thing; that makes it more expensive to do the work. Mr. Thorne: That increase in wages during 1910 did not affect these figures very materially. Mr. Willard: Not that year, but it will this year, and that will offset what may be saved by catching up with the other years. Mr. Thorne: Do you know how much it did affect it? Mr. Willard: Yes, I can tell, but I haven't it here. Mr. Thorne: Will you furnish a statement, giving the standards referred to by Mr. Brandéis as to the repair and renewal accounts which are averaged for the different factors, locomotives and passenger cars and freight cars? Mr. Willard: He did not refer to any specific items. If Mr. Brandeis will enumerate what he and you want, I will give it. You have not enumerated them yet, but you have spoken in a general way. I can tell what we spend per freight car, per coach, and per engine. Mr. Thorne: What you state to me now as the reason¬ able repair charge for locomotives on your roads— Mr. Willard: (Interrupting.) That will vary from $1500 to $3000. Year before last we spent $2100. I do not remember what we spent this year. Mr. Thorne: What is it per freight car? Mr. Willard: That will run anywhere from $30 to $100. Mr. Thorne : What per passenger car? Mr. Willard: Probably $600 and up. Mr. Thorne: No maximum? Mr. Willard: That depends—oh, yes. Mr. Thorne: What do you consider a fair charge just to keep it up to its ordinary efficiency of the prior year? 112 Mr. Willard: If you have good cars and they are in good condition, perhaps you could keep them up for $600, but it costs us more than that. Mr. Thorne: How much would it cost under these same conditions to keep up a freight car? Mr. Willard: With our class of equipment, we ought to keep it up for somewhere from $50 to $60 a year. Mr. Thorne: What would you say under the same conditions as to keeping up locomotives? Mr. Willard: It is difficult to say. We have a lot of old locomotives. I have not studied that, but I will get it for you. Mr. Thorne: I thought you were familiar with that. Mr. Willard: I am. With last year's figures I am not familiar. Mr. Thorne : I am not asking for last year's figures. I am asking for your opinion as to what would be a fair standard of cost of repairs of locomotives for the Company if the property is in reasonably good condition at the begin¬ ning of the year. Mr. Willard : Possibly you have forgotten, Mr. Thorne, that I have only been with this property a short time and I could not form an opinion on a matter of that kind, with my present acquaintance, that would be worth anything. It will vary from $2100 to $2800 for locomotives. Commissioner Clark: Mr. Willard, what is the effect upon your cost for locomotive repairs and maintenance of an extremely dry season? Mr. Willard: It has a very serious effect with us, because the water gets contaminated with sulphuric acid, and that is particularly the case in the Pittsburg District at the present time; also through West Virginia. Today we are hauling water the entire length of our heaviest division in West Virginia just on that account, because we have no water at all. Mr. Thorne: Was that true during the year 1910? Mr. Willard: I was not here the year before. This is the dry season of the year, and I was not here a year ago. Mr. Thorne: This is not an extraordinary situation to that extent? 113 Mr. Willard: No, I judge it ordinarily happens. I was asked to approve an expenditure of 1100,000 for a reservoir to prevent that, but we have not got the reservoir built yet, and it is because of that thing happening frequently that we are spending that money. Mr. Thorne: When you call this a dry season, is it an ordinary season, or is it extraordinary? Mr. Willard: I have not been here all the time for ten years. I am told they have more or less trouble every year. Mr. Thorne: One question in regard to your renewals: Could you state the same figures under normal conditions for equipment under reasonably good conditions—the charge proper to renewals on freight cars in any given year? Mr. Willard: I do not understand your question. I answered a similar question. I do not know that I under¬ stand what you want now. Mr. Thorne: I am referring to renewals. Mr. Willard: Our practice is, I think—I will have to ask my assistant. I think it is to charge four per cent, on the value of the wooden cars and three per cent, on the steel. We are obliged to report to the Commission about those matters. Mr. Thorne: That is depreciation? Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. Thorne: You have another account called renewal account, do you not? Mr. Willard: No, I do not know of any such. Mr. Thorne: This is all I desire to ask at this time. CROSS EXAMINATION (By Mr. Francis B. James.) Mr. James: Mr. Willard, your Company has recently entered into an intercorporate relation with the C. H. & D., has it not? Mr. Willard: It did, something like a year ago. Mr. James: And in this intercorporate relationship you have made guarantees of the bonds of that company? Mr. Willard: Yes. 114 Mr. James: Before entering into that intercorporate relationship, I understand you were on a committee to carry that out? Mr. Willard; No. Mr. James: You were on a subsequent committee, or on a committee now? Mr. Willard: No, there is no committee now. Mr. James: You were on a committee that had some¬ thing to do with that? Mr. Willard: No sir; it was all consummated before I came here. Mr. James: You know, do you not, as a matter of general information that prior to entering into that guar¬ antee, the C. H. & D. Railroad Company for a number of years did not earn sufficient net operating revenue to pay its fixed charges? Mr. Willard: That is my understanding, yes. Mr. James : I notice in a memorandum from the reports submitted to the Commission, the various sums of money raised by the sale of notes, in 1904, 1905, 1906 and 1908. You are familiar in a general way with those records? Mr. Willard: No, I was not here. Mr. James: You say there are now outstanding 840,000,000? Mr. Willard: 150,000,000. Mr. James: Do you know at what date those notes were issued? Mr. Willard: Yes; $10,000,000 issued last March and $40,000,000 of them issued in June, I think. . Mr. James: The records I have here of previous years should then show the other notes have been paid off and new notes substituted? Mr. Willard: I do not think we have any short-term notes out at all, except the $50,000,000 just referred to. Mr. James: I notice in 1908 it was reported to the Commission that during that year you issued $11,660,000. Are those outstanding? Mr. Willard: I do not think so. Mr. James: The possibilities are if they are not out¬ standing, the previous notes ha\'e been taken care of? 115 IVÍR. Willard; I think that is right. Mr. James: There have been repeated statements made in the press and some general opinions prevailing that all railroad supplies and materials have generally advanced in the last few years. I want to know if this impression is wrong, that it may be corrected by some one who knows whether that impression is not correct or is an erroneous impression that all railroad supplies and materials have been advanced in price. Mr. Willard; I think when you say all, probably it is erroneous. Mr. Jambs: As a matter of fact, is it not true that in the bulk of railroad supplies and materials, the prices for 1910 are less than the average for six previous years? Mr. Willard: I cannot answer that, but I think we filed a statement on that. Mr. James: I have analyzed your statement, and want at this time to have that public impression corrected. There has been an impression given out to the public that all railway supplies and materials have materially advanced in price during the last few years. Are you somewhat familiar with the exhibit filed by Mr. Leary in response to a question at the New York hearing? Mr. Willard: In a general way, but not very speci¬ fically. Mr. James: I will not ask you as to these enumerated 107 items in the diagram, but I will ask you as to a few material ones—for example, bridges. The expenditures made for bridges is a large item, is it not? Mr. Willard: Yes, one of the largest we have. Mr. James: Please state to the Commission whether it is not true that while there is a slight increase in the prices paid for bridges in 1910 over 1909, that the prices paid in 1910 are not materially less than those paid in 1908, 1907, 1906 and 1905. Mr. Willard: If it says so in that statement, I accept that. Mr. James: That is an item in which there are large expenditures running up into the hundreds of thousands? Mr. Willard: Yes, undoubtedly. 116 Mr. James: I would like to ask whether in the case of brake beams there are large sums spent annually? Mr. Willard: Yes, considerable sums. Mr. James: And whether the price of 1910 has not increased over the price of 1909 and whether the price in 1909 and 1910 is not materially less than those in 1908, 1907, 1906 and 1905. Mr. Willard: I accept whatever the statement says as being correct. Mr. Bond: That whole statement being in evidence from which Mr. James is examining the witness, what is the use of taking up the particular items? Mr. James: I want to call attention to just a few. There has been a persistent impression given out to the public by a number of witnesses called by the railroads that there have been material increases. I want to call attention to a few. Mr. Bond : Why do you examine this witness, who says he does not know anything about it? Mr. Atwood: This witness says that was one of the reasons why there should be an advance in freight rates. Mr. Willard: No, I do not think so. I think I said there had been an increase in the price of lumber, and in that connection I can give you some information. Mr. James: Just let me ask a question or two in regard to that. I will ask you, for example, taking the item of yellow pine, long-leaf lumber, whether or not exceedingly large expenditures, very large expenditures, for yellow pine long-leaf lumber were made, running as high as some $600,000 a year. Is not that true? Mr. Willard: I do not know. If it says so, I expect it is. Mr. James: I want to know whether it is not so, that so far as yellow pine long-leaf lumber is concerned, the price for 1910 has not increased over 1909, and whether it is not a dollar less than in 1908, three dollars less than the previous year, and four dollars and fifty-five cents less than the previous years here indicated. Mr. Willard: If it says that, I expect that is so. 117 Mr. James: And whether the Baltimore & Ohio did not in 1909 expend $605,000 for yellow pine long-leaf lumber, as indicated? Mr. Willard: If it says so. Mr. James: You would not say then, so far as yellow pine long-leaf lumber, as to which there are large expendi¬ tures, that you need an increase of freight rates for the pur¬ pose of meeting an increased expense in that direction? Mr. Willard: It is not based on that, and to save time I will say I referred specifically to ties. I presume you have items there as to those. Mr. James: The short-leaf is also a large expenditure? Mr. Willard: I presume if it says so there. Mr. James: What I have said as to long-leaf is practi¬ cally the same as to short-leaf, in the matter of prices? Mr. Willard: If that is what the statement says, yes. Mr. James: Also that chestnut lumber is a smaller expenditure; is not that true? Mr. Willard: I accept the statement in its entirety. Mr. James: Also as to hemlock? The Chairman: Mr. James, is it worth while to examine Mr. Willard about a statement as to which he says he knows nothing? Mr. James: He said lumber. Mr. Willard : I should have been more specific ; I should have said ties. Mr. James: As a matter of cross-ties, what material does your road use for cross-ties? Mr. Willard: White oak, chestnut, yellow pine, cedar. Mr. James : They are capable of treatment, are they not? Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. James: And are, in fact, treated? Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. James: Most of them? Mr. Willard: I do not think so, in our case. Mr. James: Large quantities are treated? Mr. Willard: The Baltimore & Ohio has not gone into that as much as we intend to. 118 Mb. James: The increased cost of the tie is about how much for treatment? How much do you pay per tie for treatment? Mb. Willabd: It depends—from 12 cents up to 30 cents per tie. Mb. James: The effect of the treatment is to prolong the life of the tie or to double the life of the tie? Mb. Willabd: We hope it will. Mb. James: When you double the life of the cross-tie you save all the expenses of removing the old rails and the old ties and replacing with the new ties; in other words, you only have to go through with that additional labor and expense once where you formerly did twice? Mb. Willabd: Yes. If it does not cost anything for the tie— Mb. James: (Interrupting) So whatever increase there may be in the cross-tie is more than offset by this increase in life of the tie? Mb. Willabd: No; I am not prepared to say that. Mb. James : You are not prepared to say to the contrary, either? Me. Willabd: No, I could not say that; I do not know whether it is so or not so. Me. James: You would not have treated the tie unless you did think it would result in economy? Mb. Willabd: We treat the tie for two reasons, one because we think it results in economy and another because of the fact that timber is becoming so rapidly exhausted and so much more difficult to get. Me. James: So, in the face of these statements filed by Mr. Leary, in the face of your testimony now limiting yourself to the cross-ties, increased life of the cross-ties and large increase in labor in relaying them so frequently, you would not tell this Commission you are basing this request for an advance in freight rates upon the increased cost of cross-ties? Mb. Willabd: I did not say so. Mb. James: Do I understand you correctly to say that the per cent, cost of actually conducting transportation to gross earnings furnish a factor or test of efficiency? 119 Mr. Willard: I think in a way it may be so considered. Mr. James: The percentage, as I understood your evidence, for the year ending June 30,1910, showed a smaller percentage of the cost of actually conducting transportation to gross earnings? Mi. Willard: No, I did not say that. Mr. James: That is true, is it not? Mr. Willard: It may be; I cannot really say. Mr. James: If it were true, then down to June 30, 1910, there has been a gradual increase in the efficiency as indi¬ cated by such a percentage? Mr. Willard: To the extent that it is indicated by that, yes. Mr. James : If that were true, you would not want this Commission to understand that you had suddenly discovered since June 30, 1910, that there was not any further increase of efficiency? Mr. Willard: I have not said so. Mr. James: Your road is not in a bad way for credit, when it could raise $40,000,000 or $50,000,000 to which you have referred? , Mr. Willard: That is a matter of opinion. Mr. James: In your opinion you would not regard it in a very bad way? Mr. Willard: I hope not; I trust not as bad as that, but the book you have there in your hand gives our rating, and there are not as many A's alongside of our name as I would like to see. Mr. James: But there were sufficient to enable you to sell $50,000,000 of the notes? Mr. Willard: At about a five per cent, basis. I am not particularly proud of that. Mr. James: You spoke of conditions in Europe and how Europe regarded it, and I understood you to say that Europe is more interested in seeing the problem settled than in how it is settled. Mr. Willard: I did not say Europe. I said some gentlemen I talked with in Europe seemed to be very much interested in how the problem would be settled. 120 Mr. James: Those were foreign interests, were they? Mr. Willard: Yes sir. Mr. James: Is it not true that every time a conflict has arisen either between the Federal Government and the car¬ riers or between the shippers and the carriers, that the railroad officials have taken particular pains to sound a note of alarm, to alarm investors? Mr. Willard: I do not know. I hardly think that is necessary. Mr. James: Do you not know it is a fact? Mr. Willard: No, I do not. I think the investor does not need anything of that kind. Mr. James: Do you read the documents issued by the various press agencies of the railroads and the speeches made by some of the officials in which the note of alarm is sounded? Mr. Will.vrd: I presume so. Mr. J.i mes: You have noticed that "note of alarm." statement of facts not " notes of alarm. " Mr. Willard: I have noticed what to me was a plain statement of fact. I did not recognize the note of alarm. Mr. James: I have found the publishers of these publi¬ cations, which are paid by the railroads, deliberately starting out with a statement of alarm. Mr. Willard: I do not know about that. Mr. James: Do you know a Chicago man who did it? Mr. Willard: I know that very well. Mr. James: Do you know he starts his book with a note of alarm, and has a note of alarm from the first cover to the back cover? Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. James: And some other railroad officials who have addressed business and labor organizations have sounded the same note of alarm? Mr. Willard: Very likely you refer to something I have said, and possibly thought you discovered the note of alarm—and what I said then I repeat now. Mr. James: Has not this note of alarm been more instrumental in bearing down the stock market and causing 121 an inability to raise money than what was disclosed by any development of a decrease of net earnings? Mr. Willard: Possibly; but it seems to me a more important question is, were those statements true—not what the effect was, but were they true? Mr. James: I want to know whether these statements were confined to mere statements of fact, or whether they were not the prophecies of these officials who should have been standing man to man to maintain the market? Mr. Willard: Standing man to man to deceive the investing public? Mr. James: I am not speaking about the fact; I am speaking about the unfulfilled prophecies of the railroad officials in their publications. Mr. Willard: I do not know what ones you refer to. Mr. James: I will not take up the time of the Com¬ mission to develop that now. How much did the Baltimore & Ohio Railroad Company charge to operation for depreciation of equipment? Between the years 1907 and June 30, 1910, if you know? Mr. Willard: I do not know. It is in our annual report; that should show you. Mr. James: Do you know as to any of those years? Mr. Willard: No. It is in our annual report. Mr. James: I want to know if it is in the annual report, although you do not have the exact figures, whether that does not account in some degree for increase in operating expenses as set forth in these reports? Mr. Willard: In what year? Mr. James: 1907 to 1910. Mr. Willard: To the extent, of course, that deprecia¬ tion charges were greater than in any other year, that would be so; but I do not know whether that is true or not. I do not know what their charges were in those par¬ ticular years. Mr. James: I understood you to say that of a dollar expended in 1900, 40 cents went to payroL? Mr. Willard: I think I said that—39.9. Mr. James: We will say in round figures, 40 cents. Mr. Willard: Yes. 122 Mr. James: In 1910, but 42 cents went to the same account? Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. James: So that in a decade, ten years, from 1900 to 1910, represents a mere increase of five per cent, in the entire ten years? Mr. Willard: It represents that increase, yes. Mr. James: After all, when you get to all of your factors and all of your analyses, and when you get down to the physical problem, is it not a fact that after all it is a question of net results? Mr. Willard: Yes. Mr. James: So far as your railroad is concerned and your railroad system, your net results for June 30, 1910, are entirely satisfactory? Mr. Willard: I would not say that. Mr. James: You are quite satisfied with the result? Mr. Willard: For 1910? Mr. James: Yes. Mr. Willard: No; I would not be, applied over a year. Mr. James: I am asking you for June 30, 1910. Mr. Willard: I will have to say no. Mr. James: You are not satisfied with the result of your operation for the year June 30, 1909, to June 30, 1910? Mr. Willard: Let me get that. Mr. James: Are you satisfied with the net results of your operations of your railroad for the year beginning June 30, 1909, and ending June 30, 1910? Mr. Willard: Oh, yes; they were fairly satisfactory— not too much. They were low. Mr. James: You were pretty well satisfied and pretty well pleased? Mr. Willard: That depends on "pretty well," but let it go at that. Mr. James: So far as your own prophecies were con¬ cerned, your prophetic vision was disappointed, was it not, favorably and welcomely disappointed? Mr. Willard: No. Mr. James: Did you expect more? Did you in your calculations or anything you may have said or considered. 123 expect to have as good a result on June 30, 1910, as the figures show you absolutely had? Mr. Willaed: I have told you I only came to the property in January. I knew nothing about it until then. Mr. James: You came into the road the first of January. Was not your expectation that you had in your mind on January 1, 1910, more than fulfilled by the net results of June 30, 1910? Mr. Willard: I do not know that I had any. I knew nothing about the property at that time. Mr. James: You did not have any idea about what it would bring? Mr. Willard: I did not know. Mr. James: Did you have in your mind an imagination of the new broom that would sweep clean? Mr. Willard: I cannot make an answer to the question that would be worth anything. Mr. James: Who started the agitation for increased rates? Had it been started before you arrived on January 1st? Mr. Willard: I answered that this morning. I shall have to repeat what I said. Mr. James: Perhaps I want to get at it again. Me. Willard: The thing was under way. It was under discussion when I came here. Mr. James: You pushed it along? Mr. Willard: I certainly did, all I could. The Chairman: Are there any further questions to be asked of Mr. Willard by any one? Mr. Wadhams: I have a few questions, Mr. Chairman. CROSS EXAMINATION (By Mr. William H. Wadhams.) Mr. Wadhams: Mr. Willard, in respect to July and August operating expenses and transportaion expenses, I desire to ask you a question. The operating revenue for July, 1910, and the operating revenue for July, 1909, b ing deducted one from the other, leave a balance of $455,591. 124 That is to say, the increase in operating revenue of one year over the other was 6.43 per cent, increase? Mr. Willard: Very likely. Mr. Wadhams: The figures for the transportation in July, 1910, and in July, 1909, showed a difference of $415,- 367.61 increased transportation expense. It is fair, is it not, to apply the increased business along the ratio of the operating revenue? It is a fair assumption that the business would increase proportionately with the operating revenue? Mr. Willard: I never made such a comparison, and it does not—no, I do not understand what you mean. Mr. Wadhams: I understood Mr. McCrea to say that, taking the transportation expense and applying the same percentage, it would give you a fair estimate of the-increased business, the increased transportation. Mr. Willard: If he said that, he must have reasons for it; but I must confess I cannot see any relation there at all as you put it to me. Mr. Wadhams: If a certain amount is expended to transport property, it is reasonable to suppose that it at least brings in a proportionate income relative to that expense? Mr. Willard: No, I do not know that. I am sorry that I do not understand you, but I really do not, and if you can make it a little clearer, I will try to answer you. Mr. Wadhams: I do not know how I can make it any clearer except to apply this: Applying here this percentage of the transportaion expense of the 6.43, which is a ratio I gave you before— Mr. Willard: (Interrupting.) That increase of 6.43? Mr. Wadhams: Yes. Mr. Willard: You think that indicates some increase of business to be expected? Mr. Wadhams: No, I think that applying that to the transportation expense 6.43 per cent, would give you a figure of $141,886, which is the expense of adding the in¬ creased business plus such other expenses as there may be. 125 facts not theories. Mr. Willaed: That is purely theoretical. Let me give you something that is a fact. In July our earnings were $455,000, I think, greater than they were a year ago. Our expenses were $609,000 greater, and we earned about $160,000 less money in July net than we did a year ago. I know that is a fact. Mr. Wadhams: Why was that? Mr. Willard: I wish I could tell you. I do not know. There are a lot of things that could enter into that. Mr. Wadhams: That is what I am trying to get at here. I want to get at these figures which you give us for July. Commissioner Prouty: Mr. Wadhams, Mr Willard will supply a performance sheet which will show for the month of July of this year and for the month of July of last year the details of these expenses, and when you have that detail you will be able to then see just where the increase was and just what the difference was. If he knows, of course he may state, but if he does not know it is hardly worth while to spend the time in this examination at this time. Mr. Wadhams: In the preparation of that table I will just briefly suggest what this calculation was. That would show $141,886. Applying now the accepted ratio of one half of the expenses of the increase in wages to such transpor¬ tation, the increase being 5.81 per cent, and taking one half of that as 3 for round numbers, and applying that would give us an additional expense, added to these increased wages, of $69,742, making the total increased expense of the transportation $211,628, whereas the estimate furnished by the road is $415,000. Mr. Willard: That is not an estimate. That is a fact. Mr. Wadhams: Yes, that is a fact. So I wish to inquire what other element there is that enters in there other than the increased wages that brings the sum total up to $415,000. Commissioner Prouty: He has already indicated some of those elements possibly. But when you see the figures, then you will know where the difference is, whether it is in 126 maintenance of equipment or maintenance of roadway or what it is—but this is simply transportation? Mr. Wadhams; Yes. Commissioner Prouty: Then jmu will know whether it is coal or whether it is men or whether it is repair of equipment or maintenance of equipment, or whatever it will be. Mr. Wadhams: This takes into consideration the in¬ creased wages, and therefore the $200,000 is unaccounted for in some other items, which I desire to know. Commissioner Prouty: If he keeps a detailed perform¬ ance sheet, that will show the figures. Mr. Wadhams: In the same way for August, the actual facts given by Mr. Willard show $481,000, whereas this application of the increased wages and the increase in business shows only $139,000, leaving the difference to be accounted for by some other items. Mr. Bond : It can be accounted for by the fact that your method of getting at the increase is all Muong—that is the ultimate conclusion. You are assuming all sorts of things which evidently are not right. Commissioner Prouty: The statement filed, if properly made up, will show exactly what the fact is. The Chairman: Are there any further questions to be asked of Mr. Willard? (After a pause.) Apparently not. You may be excused, Mr. Willard. (Witness excused.) "Exhibit Willahd A. THE BALTIMORE AND OHIO RAILROAD COMPANY—ALL LINES. 127 Yeak. 1899 1900 1901 1902 1903 1904 1905 1906 1907 1908 1909 1910 Mileage. * Eabnings. * Expenses. Operating Ratio. Net Operating Earnings. 2,046 3,200 3,221 4,340 4,397 4,442 4,482 4,486 4,462 4,448 4,460 4,434 $28,404,921.57 42,117,405.25 47,114,430.57 62,217,702.83 68,178,676.36 69,390,274.49 72,539,446.16 82.508.719.28 88,552,924.49 79.377.351.29 77,563,449.95 90,163,401.09 $21,783,322.78 27,644,129.70 31,046,230.53 39,571,088.85 42,740,002.03 47,118,322.32 48.439.795.01 53,341,919.43 59.032.027.02 58,204,106.64 52,853,823.90 63,195,583.21 76.69 65.64 65.90 63.60 62.69 67.90 66.78 64.65 66.66 73.33 68.14 70.09 $ 6,62i;698.79 14,473,275.55 16.068.200.04 22,646,613.98 25,438,674.33 22,271,952.17 24,099,651.15 29,166,799.85 29,520,897.47 21,173,244.65 24.709.626.05 26,967,817.88 *Inolude outside operations. A Charged off. B Charged to Cost of Road and credited to additions to property. Other Income. $ 855,289.89 995,139.09 856,793.42 1.235.220.01 1,624,015.23 2,662,016.05 2,993,330.04 3,484,718.63 4.055.710.02 4,396,609.98 4,722,581.97 4,217,898.01 'Appropriated Surplus" Total Income Available for Stock. Less Preferred Stock Dividends... Gross Income. $ 7,476,888.68 15,468,414.64 16,924,993.46 23,881,833.99 27,062,689.56 24,933,968.22 27,092,971.19 32.651.518.48 33.576.607.49 25,569,854.63 29,432,208.02 31,185,715.89 DEDUCT. Fixed Charges, i-m-tscetianeoes :Taxes and Other Misoellaneols Net Income. Deductions. S 6,415,296.70 8,658,093.56 9,326,711.68 13.267.133.40 11.456.026.41 11,720,383.89 12,366,807.50 13,094,443.71 13,805,209.00 14,815,895.89 15,455,275.80 14,938,128.86 Improvements. Earned on I Common ; Stock. ■- DIVIDENDS B. & O. R. R. CO. Pfd. Com. Amount. Surplus. A. Total. $ 14,090,83 240,932.19 265,194.04 619,889.98 427,656.27 485,778.90 1,077,974.80 1,291,180.33 279,209.11 548,444.31 _415,760.6JL 5,666,irL37 $ 1,061,591.98 6,796,230.25 7,357,349.59 10,349,506.55 14,986,773.17 12,785,928.06 14,240,384.79 18,479,099.97 18,480,218.16 10,474,749.63 13,428,487.91 15,831,826.42 10.57 8.77 8.43 10.13 8.36 9.51 11.74 10.57 5.31 7.51 8.82 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% Si% 6 6 %; 6 %! 6 %l I 4,073,560.00 3,300,000.00 5,439,848.00 7,370,482.40 7,370,482.40 7,992,042.70 9,251,478.30 11,530,189.74 11,530,549.74 Del 11,530,549.74 11,474,212.79 4,061,591.98 2,722,670.25 4,057,349.59 4,909,658.55 7,616,290.77 5.415.445.66 6,248,342.09 9.227.621.67 6,950,028.42 1,055,800.11 1,897,938.17 4,357,613.63 Total $53,408,750.67 Deduct amounts written off, principally account Depreciation of equipment, $10,266,160; Discount on Securities Sold, $3,545,593; and Adjustment Subsidiary Lines, $4,986,923.48, etc., etc $19,066,481.43 APPORTIONED : To Common Stock Dividends 65.25%. To Surplus 34.75%. .1125,205,665.05 . 26,400,000.00 I 98,805,665.05 . $64,463,395.81 . $34,.342,269.24 Net Surplus Revenue $34,342,269.24 THE BALTIMORE AND OHIO RAILROAD COMPANY. Disbursements per Dollar Earned for Items Shown Fiscal Years 1910 and 1900. Disbursement per II.IX) Earned from Traffic. 1910. 1900. Pay Rolls less construction 42.96 39.90 Materials—Fuel 5.82 6.94 " Ties 1.51 1.01 " Rails, frogs, switches 2.33 2.05 All other expenses *17.47 12.61 Taxes 2.74 1.64 Interest, rentals and other deductions from income 11.84 19.12 Dividends 11.11 11.54 Total for interest, rents, dividends, etc... 22.95 30.66 Surplus 4.22 5.19 Total to be accounted for 100.00 100.00 * Exclusive renewals and depreciation, 16.70 cents.