C S^./'^-.StA -/^P-5 GOVERNMENT TRANSACTIONS e, Gross National Product in Current and Constant Dollars (iross national product.. I,^ Personal consumption expenditures. Durable goods < Nondurable goods.. V Services Gross private domestic investment. 1983 3.304.8 2.155.9 279.8 801.' 3.66 2 t-. Fixed investment ,, .^ ,^ t, .(, ., Nonresidential ^ 'V , %5!''' '% *'a/ ' . ' ■ * **'• ' ' Producers' durable equipment- Residential .!^e ^''r. 'a ^< JVVVS\.<1 F'a™ structures ^^ %^ .. ^<^U^o^ <}'^\^V]s> e Producers' durable equipment ^Mf ^ ■';■.■*' ^ H W< X O^ ft r® . iv.wui.iria uuiauic c^uipiiiciii, H'/^*/ "9 eP■» ^«/ . 'oi.. ^, o'^;V «,. '^...^ Natiormi defense:::::::;::- i^^^^^XS!^./ '^^ Nondeiense.. State and local Nondefen^".!'.'";:.:::::;::" >7''^?f^^>oj, ■""''''''^y %„ '/ '^ ^^ l^^^. ■ : • •.:^' c^ '*$$*S?' '^ , METHODOLOGY PAPERS: US. National Income and Product Accounts 2!^. •^i^res 0» •• / /^ \ U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Bureau of Economic Analysis November 1988 BEA-MP-5 /-- / r -__ I/) a Cis^.r^ ;B6A-rrjp-i: GOVERNMENT TRANSACTIONS METHODOLOGY PAPERS: US. National Income and Product Accounts November 1988 U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE C. William Verity, Secretary § Robert Ortner % Under Secretary for Economic Affairs BUREAU OF ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Allan H. Young, Director Carol S. Carson, Deputy Director For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402 Acknowledgments This paper was prepared by Helen Stone Tice and the staff of the Government Division, Joseph C. Wakefield, Chief David T. Dobbs, Karl D. Galbraith, Robert T. Mangan, and Richard C. Ziemer contributed to the Federal Government section; David J. Levin contributed to the State and local government section. Tracy R. Tapscott provided editorial assistance, and Katherine Dent and Teresa A. Williams provided secretarial assistance. The papers in this series on the methodology of the national income and product accounts are planned and coordinated by Helen Stone Tice. Allan H. Young, Robert P. Parker, and Carol S. Carson provide direction and guidance. Comments about the paper are invited. Comments, as well as questions about the material in the paper, should be directed to: Government Division, (BE-57), Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce, Washington, DC 20230. Suggested Citation U.S. Department of Commerce. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Govern- ment Transactions. Methodology Paper Series MP-5. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, November 1988. u CONTENTS Page PART I. INTRODUCTION Conceptual basis and framework 1 Recording of government transactions in the NIPA's: Overview 1 The NIP account 1 Personal income and outlay account 4 Government receipts and expenditures account 4 Foreign transactions account 4 Gross saving and investment account 4 Recording of government transactions: Special features 4 Social insurance funds 5 Receipts other than taxes and social insurance contributions 5 Purchases of structures and durable goods by government 5 Subsidies 6 Government enterprises 6 Government enterprises: An illustration 6 Relation of NIPA government receipts and expenditures to financial statements 8 Coverage 8 Netting and grossing 8 Fiscal year 8 Timing 8 Definitions 9 Presentation of the estimates 10 NIPA tables 10 Schedule 10 Appendix I-A. Articles Related to Govemmient Transactions 13 Tables I-l. Summary National Income and Product Accounts, 1982 2 1-2. Economic Accounts for Three Entities 7 1-3. Location of Government Transactions in the NIPA Tables 11 111 Page PART II. FEDERAL GOVERNMENT TRANSACTIONS Overview of estimating procedures 15 Differences between receipts 15 Coverage of transactors 15 Coverage of transactions 18 Netting and grossing 18 Timing 18 Differences between outlays and expenditures 18 Coverage of transactors 18 Coverage of transactions 18 Netting and grossing 19 Timing 19 Intragovernmental transactions 19 Derivation of receipts 19 Derivation of expenditures 19 Constant-dollar estimates of purchases 20 Derivation of receipts 20 Personal tax and nontax receipts 21 Income taxes 21 Withheld income taxes 21 Declarations and final settlements less refunds 21 Estate and gift taxes 24 Personal nontaxes 24 Corporate profits tax accruals 24 Indirect business tax and nontax accruals 24 Excise taxes 24 Alcohol excise taxes 24 Tobacco excise taxes 24 Windfall profit tax 24 Other excise taxes 25 Customs duties 25 Indirect business nontaxes 25 Contributions for social insurance 25 Old-age, survivors, and disability insurance 25 Employer and employee contributions 25 Self-employed contributions 26 Hospital and supplementary medical insurance 26 Unemployment insurance 27 State unemployment tax 27 Federal unemployment tax 27 Railroad employees 28 Federal employees 28 Federal employee retirement 28 Civilian retirement 28 Military retirement 28 Railroad retirement 28 Veterans life insurance 29 Workers' compensation 29 Military medical insurance 29 IV Page Derivation of expenditures 29 Purchases of goods and services 29 National defense purchases 34 Aircraft 35 Directly priced purchases 35 Ratio purchases 35 Missiles 35 Ships 35 Directly estimated purchases 35 Vehicles 39 Electronic equipment 39 Other equipment 39 Other durable goods 39 Petroleum products 39 Ammunition 39 Other nondurable goods 39 Military compensation 40 Wages and salaries 40 Supplements to wages and salaries 40 Civilian compensation 40 Wages and salaries 40 Supplements to wages and salaries 40 Contractual research and development 40 Installation support 41 Weapons support 41 Personnel support 41 Transportation of materiel 41 Travel of persons 41 Other services 41 Military facilities 41 Other structures 42 Nondefense purchases 42 Commodity Credit Corporation 42 Transfer payments to persons 43 Old-age, survivors, and disability insurance 43 Hospital and supplemental medical insurance 43 State unemployment insurance 44 Railroad unemployment insurance 44 Federal employees unemployment compensation 44 Special unemployment benefits 44 Federal civilian employee retirement 44 Military retirement 45 Railroad retirement 45 Veterans life insurance 45 Workers' compensation 45 Military medical insurance 46 Veterans pension and disability 46 Veterans readjustment 46 Food stamp benefits 46 Black lung benefits 46 Supplemental security income 47 Earned income credit 47 Other transfer payments to persons 47 Transfer payments to foreigners 47 Grants-in-aid to State and local governments 47 Page Net interest paid 48 Interest paid to persons and business 48 Interest paid to foreigners 48 Monetary interest received from persons and business 48 Monetary interest received from foreigners 48 Imputed interest received 48 Subsidies less current surplus of government enterprises 49 Subsidies 49 Current surplus of government enterprises 49 Wage accruals less disbursements 49 Surplus or deficit (-), national income and product accounts 49 Constant-dollar purchases of goods and services 50 National defense purchases 50 Durable goods 54 Aircraft 54 Missiles 54 Ships 54 Vehicles 57 Electronic equipment 57 Other equipment 57 Other durable goods 57 Nondurable goods 57 Petroleum products 57 Ammunition 57 Other nondurable goods 57 Compensation of employees 58 Military compensation 58 Civilian compensation 58 Other services 58 Contractual research and development 58 Installation support 59 Weapons support 59 Personnel support 59 Transportation of materiel 59 Travel of persons 59 Other services 59 Structures 59 Military facilities 59 Other 60 Nondefense purchases 60 Durable goods 60 Nondurable goods 60 Compensation 64 Other services 64 Structiires 64 Sources 65 Appendix II-A. Definitions of the Major Types of National Defense Purchases of Goods and Services 73 Appendix II-B. Federal Government Enterprises 75 VI Page Tables II-l. Relation of Federal Government Receipts in the National Income and Product Accounts to the Budget, Fiscal Year 1982 16 II-2. Relation of Federal Government Expenditures in the National Income and Product Accounts to the Budget, Fiscal Year 1982 17 II-3. Special Supplemental Food Program: Fiscal Year Analysis 20 II-4. Federal Government Receipts: Sources of Estimates 22 II-5. Federal Government Expenditures: Sources of Estimates 30 II-6. Relation of National Defense Purchases in the National Income and Product Accounts to National Defense Outlays in the Budget, Calendar Year 1982 34 II— 7. National Defense Purchases: Sources of Estimates 36 II— 8. Constant-Dollar Federal Government Purchases of Goods and Services: Sources of Estimates 51 II-9. Methods Used in the Derivation of Constant-Dollar National Defense Purchases of Goods and Services 55 11-10. Price Indexes Used in the Derivation of Constant-Dollar Federal Government Nondefense Purchases of Goods and Services 61 PART III. STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT TRANSACTIONS Overview of estimating procedures 77 Annual estimates 77 Derivation of receipts 80 Replacement of COG data with alternative source data 80 Adjustments 80 Distribution of the adjusted data into NIPA receipts components 80 Derivation of expenditures 81 Replacement of COG data with alternative source data 81 Adjustments 81 Distribution of the adjusted data into NIPA expenditures components 82 Quarterly estimates 82 Constant-dollar estimates of purchases 82 Derivation of receipts and expenditures 82 Receipts 82 Taxes and nontaxes 83 Personal tax and nontax receipts 87 Corporate profits tax accruals 87 Indirect business tax and nontax accruals 87 Contributions for social insurance 88 Federal grants-in-aid 88 Vll Page Expenditures 88 Purchases of goods and services 92 Compensation of employees 92 Structures 92 Financial services 93 Durable goods, nondurable goods, and other services 93 Transfer payments to persons 94 Benefits from social insurance funds 94 Public assistance 94 Education 97 Employment and training 97 Other transfer payments 97 Net interest paid 98 Dividends received 98 Subsidies 99 Current surplus of government enterprises 99 Wage accruals less disbursements 99 Surplus or deficit (-), national income and product accounts 99 Constant-dollar purchases of goods and services 100 Compensation of employees 100 Structures 103 New construction 103 Net purchases of existing structures 103 New construction force-account compensation 103 Financial services 103 Durable goods, nondurable goods, and other services 103 Sources 105 Appendix III-A. Analysis of Charges and Miscellaneous General Revenue, COG, 1982 109 Appendix III-B. State and Local Government Functions Ill Tables III— 1. Derivation of State and Local Government Receipts in the National Income and Product Accounts (NIPA's) from Census of Governments and Other Sources, FY1982 78 III-2. Derivation of State and Local Government Expenditures in the National Income and Product Accounts (NIPA's) from Census of Governments and Other Sources, FY1982 79 III-3. State and Local Government Receipts: Sources of Estimates 84 III-4. State and Local Government Expenditures: Sources of Estimates 89 III-5. Derivation of State and Local Government Purchases of Goods and Other Services, FY 1982 95 III-6. Price Indexes Used in the Deflation of State and Local Government Purchases of Goods and Services 101 III-A-1. Distribution of Current Charges and Miscellaneous General Revenues Among Categories of Receipts and Expenditures, FY 1982 109 VUl Part I. Introduction This paper presents the conceptual basis and frame- work of government transactions in the national in- come and product accounts (NIPA's), describes the pre- sentation of the estimates, and describes the sources and methods used to prepare annual, quarterly, and monthly estimates of government transactions. Part I, the introduction, discusses the recording of govern- ment transactions in the NIPA's and the relation of the NIPA measures of government receipts and ex- penditures to analogous measures from government financial statements. It also defines the measures of government transactions that appear in the NIPA ta- bles and indicates the tables in which they can be found. Parts II and III describe in detail the sources and methods used in the derivation of Federal Govern- ment transactions and of State and local government transactions, respectively. Conceptual Basis and Framework As described in "An Introduction to National Eco- nomic Accounting" in the March 1985 Survey of Current Business, the national economic accounts can be viewed as aggregations of accounts belonging to the individual transactors in the economy.^ The basic ap- proach used in national economic accounting is (1) to group into sectors economic transactors engaged in the same types of transactions and affected by, and re- sponding to, economic developments in a similar man- ner and (2) to set up uniform types of accounts that show the broad categories of economic transactions in which these sectors engage. Four sectors are com- monly distinguished: Business, household, govern- ment, and foreign. For each sector, a set of three ac- counts is created: A production account, which records the production attributable to that sector; an appro- priation account, which records the sources of the sec- tor's income, its current outlays, and its saving; and a saving-investment account, which records the sector's gross saving, net increase in assets, and net increase in liabilities. Taken together, these sector accounts constitute a double-entry system in which an outlay 1. This article, by Allan H. Young and Helen Stone Tice, is reprinted as Methodology Paper Series MP-1 (Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, March 1985). recorded in one account for one sector is also recorded as a receipt in another account, either for the same sector or for another sector. The NIPA's, which are designed to display the value and composition of national output and the distri- bution of incomes generated in its production, are a combination of the sector accounts just described. In summary form, the U.S. NIPA's consist of five ac- counts: (1) The national income and product (NIP) account, which is a consolidation of the four sector production accounts and the business appropriation account; (2) the personal income and outlay account, which is the household appropriation account; (3) the government receipts and expenditures account, which is the government appropriation account; (4) the for- eign transactions account, which is a consolidation of the foreign appropriation account and the foreign saving-investment account; and (5) the gross saving and investment account, which is a consolidation of the saving-investment accounts of the business, house- hold, and government sectors. The five accounts, with entries for 1982, are shown in table I-l. Recording of government transactions in the NIPA's: Overview Government consists of those bodies and units, sup- ported mainly by taxes, that implement public pol- icy. The government receipts and expenditures ac- count, shown as account 3 in the five-account sum- mary, records transactions of government with other U.S. residents and with foreigners. On the left side, the transactions are the several categories of govern- ment expenditures and saving, where saving is the surplus or deficit. On the right side, the transactions are government receipts, including taxes and contribu- tions to social insurance funds, such as social security. Each entry in the government receipts and expendi- tures account has a counterentry in one of the other ac- counts. (In table I-l, the numbers in parentheses fol- lowing the entries identify the account and line num- ber of the counterentries.) The government receipts and expenditures entries in account 3 and their coun- terentries are shown in boldface in the discussion that follows. The NIP account. — Transactions between govern- ment and the other sectors enter the NIP account through the production accounts of the business and government sectors. The business production account Government Transactions. JSlovember 1988 Table I-l.— Summary National Income and Product Accounts, 1982 IBillionit oI'dollarHJ Account 1,— National Income and Product Account Line I-ine 10 11 12 i;) 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 2R Compensation of employees Wanes and salaries Disbursements (2-7) Wage accruals less disbursements (l)-12) and (5-4) . Supplements to wages and salaries Employer contributions for social insurance (.'i-20) Other labor income (2-8) Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments (2-9) Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment (2-10) Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Profits before tax Profits tax liability (;M7) Profits after tax Dividends (2-12) Undistributed profits (5-6) Inventory valuation adjustment (5-7) Capital consumption adjustment (5-8) 1.907.0 27 1.586.1 28 1.586.1 29 30 320.9 157.3 31 163.6 32 33 34 175.5 35 36 37 13.6 38 39 150.0 40 169.6 63.1 41 106,5 42 66.9 43 ,39.6 44 -10.4 45 -9.2 Personal consumption expenditures (2-3). Durable goods Nondurable goods Services Gross private domestic investment (5-1) Fixed investment Nonresidential Structures Producers' durable equipment Residential Change in business inventories Net exports of goods and services , Exports (4-1) Imports (4-3) Government purchases of goods and services (3-1) Federal National defense Nondefense State and local 2.050.7 252.7 771.0 1,027.0 447.3 471.8 366.7 143.3 223.4 105.1 -24.5 26.3 361.9 335.6 641.7 272.7 193.8 78.9 369.0 Net interest (2-15) 272.3 National income 2,518.4 Business transfer payments (2-20) Indirect business tax and nontax liability (3-18) .... Less: Subsidies less current surplus of government enterprises (3-1 1) 14.3 258.8 Charges against net national product 2,782.9 Capital consumption allowances with capital consumption adjustment (5-9) 383.2 Charges against gross national product 3,166.1 Statistical discrepancy (5-12) —.1 GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT 3,166.0 GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT 3,166.0 Account 2. — Personal Income and Outlay Account Personal tax and nontax payments (3-16). 409.3 Personal outlays 2,107.5 Personal consumption expenditures (1-27) 2,050.7 Interest paid by consumers to business (2-18) 55.5 Personal transfer payments to foreigners (net) (4-5) 1.3 Personal saving (5-3) . 153.9 PERSONAL TAXES, OUTLAYS, AND SAVING 2.670.8 7 8 9 10 II 12 13 14 15 16 IH 19 20 21 22 Wage and salary disbursements (1-3) Other labor income (1-7) Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments (1-8) Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment (1-9) Personal dividend income Dividends (1-14) Less: dividends received by government (3-10) Personal interest income Net interest (1-18) Interest paid by government to persons and business (3-7) Less: Interest received by government (3-9)... Interest paid by consumers to business (2-4) Transfer payments to persons From business (1-20) From government (3-3) Less; Personal contributions for social insurance (.3-21) PERSONAL INCOME. 1,. 586.1 163.6 175.5 13.6 63.9 66.9 2.9 369.7 272.3 110.0 68.1 55.5 410.6 14.3 396.2 112.3 2,670.8 Government Transactions. .November 1988 Table I-l. — Summary National Income and Product Accounts, 1982 — Con. [Billions of dollars] Account 3.— Government Receipts and Expenditures Account Line Line Purchases of goods and services (1-41). 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Transfer payments To persons (2-21) To foreigners (net) (4-6). Net interest paid Interest paid To persons and business (2-16) To foreigners (4-7) Less: Interest received by government (2-17) Less: Dividends received by government (2-13) Subsidies less current surplus of government enterprises (1-22) 641.7 404.0 396.2 60.1 128.3 110.0 18.3 68.1 2.9 16 17 18 19 20 21 Personal tax and nontax payments (2-1) Corporate profits tax liability (1-12) Indirect business tax and nontax liability (1-21) Contributions for social insurance . Employer (1-6) Personal (2-22) 409.3 63.1 258.8 269.6 157.3 112.3 Less: Wage accruals less disbursements (1-4) Surplus or deficit ( — ). national income and product accounts (5-10) — 110.8 Federal -145.9 State and local 35.1 GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES AND SURPLUS 1,000.8 GOVERNMENT RECEIPTS 1,000.8 Account 4. — Foreign Transactions Account Exports of goods and services (1-39) Capital grants received by the United States (net) (5-11) 361.9 RECEIPTS FROM FOREIGNERS 361.9 Imports of goods and services (1-40). Transfer payments to foreigners (net) . From persons (net) (2-5) From government (net) (3-4) Interest paid by government to foreigners (3-8) Net foreign investment (5-2) PAYMENTS TO FOREIGNERS 335.6 9.0 1.3 7.8 18.3 -1.0 361.9 Account 5. — Gross Saving and Investment Account Gross private domestic investment (1-31). Net foreign investment (4-8) 447.3 -1.0 GROSS INVESTMENT 446.3 10 11 12 Personal saving (2-6) Wage accruals less disbursements (1-4) . Undistributed corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Undistributed corporate profits (1-15) Inventory valuation adjustment (1-16) Capital consumption adjustment (1-17) Capital consumption allowances with capital consumption adjustment (1-24) Government surplus or deficit ( — ), national income and product accounts (3-13) Capital grants received by the United States (net) (4-2) Statistical discrepancy (1-26) GROSS SAVING AND STATISTICAL DISCREPANCY 153.9 20.0 39.6 -10.4 -9.2 383.2 -110.8 -.1 446.3 NOTE. — Numbers in parentheses indicate accounts and items of counterentry disbursements, (2-7) is in account 2, line 7. in the accounts. For example, the counterentry for wage and salary 4 Government Transactions. Jslovember 1988 covers government purchases of goods and nonfactor ser\-ices from business and the components of factor and nonfactor charges against business product that business pays to government. The government pro- duction account covers government purchases of fac- tor ser\aces, specifically, the services of government employees. In the business production account, business output is recorded both in terms of goods and services (on the right side) and in terms of income payments and other costs arising from production (on the left side). Out- put in terms of goods and services produced is recorded as the sum of purchases by final users — business (on capital account), households (persons), foreigners, and government — plus the change in business inventories. Government purchases of business output is the only one of these entries that is a government transaction. Output in terms of income payments and other costs is recorded as the sum of factor charges — labor and property income — and nonfactor charges. The factor charges that are paid by business to government are employer contributions for social insurance, which is a component of business labor cost, and corporate profits tax liability, which is shown under corporate profits. The nonfactor charges in which the govern- ment is a party to the transaction are indirect busi- ness tax and nontax liability, subsidies, and cur- rent surplus of government enterprises. In the government production account, government output also is recorded both in terms of goods and services produced (on the right side) and in terms of income payments and other costs arising from pro- duction (on the left side). In both cases, government output is measured by the value of the inputs, ex- clusively the services of government employees. On the right side of the account, the sale of the ser- vices of government employees is entered as a gov- ernment purchase of a factor service; on the left side of the account, the compensation paid to govern- ment employees — including wage accruals less dis- bursements and employer contributions for social insurance — is entered as a factor cost. Government interest payments, although included elsewhere in the NIPA's, are not considered to be a payment for factor services; they, therefore, are not recorded in the gov- ernment production account. The consolidation of the business and government sector production accounts with those for the house- hold and foreign sectors yields a measure of total out- put, gross national product (GNP) and of the factor and nonfactor charges against GNP. On the right side of the NIP account, government purchases of goods and services includes the services of government em- ployees as well as goods and services purchased from business. On the left side, the components of factor and nonfactor charges against GNP include the por- tions that accrue to government. In addition, compen- sation of employees includes that paid to government employees. Personal income and outlay account. — ^This ac- count records the income, outlays, and saving of in- dividuals and the nonprofit institutions serving them. The income that persons receive from government con- sists of wages and salaries and other labor income paid to government employees, transfer payments, and in- terest. The outlays that persons make to government are taxes and social insurance contributions. On the left side, the only entry recorded for government trans- actions is personal tax and nontax payments. On the right side, transfer payments to persons from gov- ernment and interest paid by government to per- sons and business are recorded as components of per- sonal income. (Interest paid by government to busi- ness is included for computational reasons; it is offset by a negative entry for interest received by business from government in the entry "net interest.") In addi- tion, personal contributions for social insurance is deducted on the right side rather than being an entry on the left side. (Dividends and interest received by government are also shown in the personal income and outlay account, but only for the purpose of deriving the entries for personal dividend income and personal in- terest income.) Government receipts and expenditures ac- count. — ^This account records all transactions of gov- ernment with other U.S. residents and with foreign- ers. On the left side, these government transactions — purchases of goods and services, transfer payments to persons and to foreigners, net interest paid, subsidies less current surplus of government en- terprises, and surplus or deficit (— ), national in- come and product accounts less dividends received by government and wage accruals less disburse- ments — sum to government expenditures and surplus. On the right side, personal tax and nontax pay- ments, corporate profits tax liability, indirect busi- ness tax and nontax liability, and employer and personal contributions for social insurance sum to government receipts. Foreign transactions account. — In this account, both transfer payments to foreigners from govern- ment and interest paid by government to foreigners are components of payments to foreigners, on the right side. Gross saving and investment account. — In this account, government surplus or deficit (— ), national income and product accounts is a component of gross saving, on the right side. Recording of government transactions: Special features This section provides a more complete description of the recording of several types of government trans- actions than that provided in the previous section. Specifically, it discusses social insurance funds, gov- ernment receipts other than taxes and social insurance Government Transactions. ^November 1988 contributions, purchases of structures and durable goods by government, and payments of subsidies to business by government. In addition, the treatment of government enterprises, which is not apparent from the entries in the NIPA's, is laid out in detail. In what follows, it is useful at times to distinguish between government agencies that are part of gen- eral government and those that are government en- terprises. General government consists of those gov- ernment agencies that provide goods and services fi- nanced largely by taxes and not through normal price transactions. Government enterprises, on the other hand, sell their goods and services directly to the pub- lic for a price and recover part or all of their operating costs. The term "government" refers to the sum of general government and government enterprises. Social insurance funds. — Social insurance funds, which are part of general government, are funds ad- ministered by Federal and by State and local gov- ernments to provide retirement, health, unemploy- ment, disability, and similar benefits to individu- als. The main resources of these funds are de- rived from compulsory payments — called contributions in the NIPA's — ^by other sectors and other govern- mental units. The benefits paid from these funds are generally related to the income of individuals from employment and/or to the contributions made on their account, whether made by themselves or their employers. Because most social insurance funds are trust funds with resources that cannot be used for pui"poses other than those specified by statute or trust agreement, contributions to these flinds are not classified as taxes in the NIPA's. Similarly, because individuals have no choice in the disposition of this part of their labor in- come, personal contributions are not included in per- sonal income. In addition, the excess of contributions to these funds and their investment earnings over the benefits paid by them is part of the saving of gen- eral government, although the saving of social insur- ance funds is distinguished and recorded separately. (This treatment contrasts with that of private retire- ment plans, where the saving of these plans is part of personal saving.) Receipts other than taxes and social insurance contributions. — Most government receipts are com- pulsory payments by other sectors — taxes and social insurance contributions — that are not directly related to a specific good or service. Government, however, does receive some revenues from the public that rep- resent payments for goods or services. In the NIPA's, some of these revenues are called "nontax payments" and treated as if they were taxes, others are called government sales and deducted from government pur- chases, and still others are called enterprise revenue and accounted for in the treatment of government en- terprises described below. A payment will be treated as a nontax and in- cluded in government receipts if it is for a good or service that is administrative or regulatory in nature or for a good or service (such as education or hospitals) that frequently is provided in the private sector by a nonprofit institution. Examples of nontaxes include fines, fees paid for U.S. Department of Agriculture meat and poultry inspection, and tuition paid to State universities. A payment will be treated as a sale by general gov- ernment and deducted from government purchases if it is for a good or service that is similar to those sold by private business, but the provision of the good or service is ancillary to the primary function of the gov- ernment unit. Examples of government sales include school lunch sales and charges for the services of U.S. Department of Agriculture meat graders and fees re- ceived by the National Aeronautics and Space Admin- istration for launching services. A payment will be treated as enterprise revenue if it is for a good or service that is similar to those sold by private business, the provision of the good or service is the primary function of the government unit, and such payments cover a substantial part of the operat- ing costs of the government unit providing the good or service. Examples of enterprise revenue include charges for electricity generated by municipally owned utilities and sales of stamps by the U.S. Postal Service. The treatment of nontaxes extends the definition of government receipts to include, in addition to compul- sory payments, payments by other sectors for goods and services unlike those sold by business. The treat- ment of government sales preserves this notion of government receipts; in addition, recording govern- ment sales as negative purchases allows the other ex- penditure components in the NIP account to include business-like goods and services sold by government as well as those produced by business. For example, school district purchases of food for student meals from business are recorded in government purchases; the subsequent sale of school lunches is recorded in per- sonal consumption expenditures, and a corresponding deduction is entered in government purchases. Sub- stantially the same result is obtained from the treat- ment of government enterprises described below. Purchases of structures and durable goods by government. — In the NIPA's, there is no capital ac- counting for government. All goods and services purchased by government are treated in the same way — that is, as if consumed in the period in which purchased. Government purchases, therefore, make no distinction between consumption and investment; structures and durable goods purchased by govern- ment, which would be classified as investment if pur- chased by business, are recorded on current account. No charges for the use of capital are recorded in the government production account; the entries for inter- est and for capital consumption allowances on the left side of the NIP account contain entries only for do- mestic business (and for the rest of the world, in the case of interest). Finally, gross investment in the gross Government Transactions. JSlovember 1988 saN-ing and investment account includes only private domestic and net foreign investment, and government saNang — that is, the surplus or deficit — includes only sa\dng in financial form. Subsidies. — Subsidies are monetary payments by government to business that enable goods or services to be sold at prices below the factor cost of production, which is defined to include a normal return on capital employed. These payments are included in business income from current production. Subsidies have been used to keep down prices of particular goods and ser- vices to consumers, to assist producers to meet com- petition from imported goods, or to maintain the ex- istence of particular industries. In the NIP account, subsidies are deducted from the sum of factor costs so that output measured on the left side in terms of income payments and other costs arising from produc- tion is valued at market prices and, therefore, is equal to output measured on the right side in terms of goods and services, also valued at market prices. Government enterprises. — Government enter- prises are government agencies that cover a substan- tial proportion of their operating costs by selling goods and services to the public and that maintain their own separate accounts. A "mixed" treatment of govern- ment enterprises is used in the NIPA's, in which some types of transactions are recorded as if they were part of the general government sector and others as if they were part of the business sector. This treatment is de- signed to provide a consolidated surplus or deficit for the government sector — which includes the surplus or deficit of enterprises — that is useful for many types of economic analysis and to combine the output of gov- ernment enterprises with that of business firms in the business sector. Government enterprises are treated like other busi- nesses and included in the NIPA business sector in that (1) their sales to final users are recorded in the business production accoiuit; (2) their outlays for ma- terials and business services are considered intermedi- ate rather than final and, therefore, are eliminated in the consolidation of the business sector production ac- count; and (3) both their wage, salary, and other com- pensation payments and their income are considered charges against business product rather than charges against government product. Within the business sec- tor, government enterprises are classified as noncor- porate business. This classification determines how their income is recorded. Specifically, for noncorpo- rate business, none of the owner's net income is shown as saving in the business sector; all saving is consol- idated with that of the owning sector. For a govern- ment enterprise, this means that the saving is con- solidated with that of its owner, general government. (For other noncorporate business, such as sole propri- etorships and partnerships, the saving is consolidated with that of households.) Government enterprises are treated like other gov- ernment agencies and included in the NIPA govern- ment sector in that (1) their interest payments are combined with those of general government rather than those of business; (2) their purchases of equip- ment and structures and their inventory change are combined with general government purchases rather than with business purchases in gross private domes- tic investment; and (3) as a consequence of (2), no en- tries are recorded for depreciation charges and other charges for the use of capital. The current surplus of government enterprises is the profit-like income of these businesses that accrues to general government. The surplus, however, may not be an accurate measure of factor cost; an enterprise may follow a policy of setting prices at a level at which the proceeds will not cover the full cost of current pro- duction. Consequently, this income is considered to be a nonfactor charge against gross product rather than a factor charge. (It is included in charges against GNP but not in national income.) In recording the current surplus of government en- terprises and subsidy payments to business as nonfac- tor charges in the NIP account, the two entries are combined. The current surplus of government enter- prises is subtracted fi^-om subsidies, and the combined entry "subsidies less current surplus of government enterprises" is entered with a negative sign to remove subsidies fi-om charges against GNP and to add the current surplus of government enterprises to charges against GNP. In addition, since the same public pur- pose can be served either by a direct subsidy or by government enterprise sales at a below-market price, combining the two entries gives a measure that is the same, regardless of how policy is implemented. Government enterprises: An illustration. — Table 1-2 shows how the transactions of government enterprises are recorded in the NIPA's. This table shows the economic accovmts for a government enter- prise and, for comparison, shows the same accounts for a private corporation and for general government, which owns the government enterprise. For the private corporation, the economic accounts are the production, the appropriation, and the saving- investment accounts. For the government enterprise, the economic accounts are the production and the ap- propriation accounts. The production account of the government enterprise is similar to that of the pri- vate corporation except that (1) charges against out- put exclude capital consumption allowances and inter- est paid and received and (2) the item "profits" in the business production account is replaced by the entry "current surplus." The appropriation account of the government enterprise is very different fi-om that of the private corporation, however, because the current surplus is transferred to general government. The en- terprise does not have a separate saving-investment account. For general government, the existence of its enter- prise is not reflected in the production account; as in the government sector production account mentioned Government Transadions- .November 1988 Table 1-2. — Economic Accounts for Three Entities Private Corporation Government Enterprise General Government Production Account Production Account Production Account Wages and salaries Contributions for social insurance Indirect taxes Capital consumption allowances Interest paid Less: Interest received Profits Less: Subsidies Change in inventories Sales Less: Purchased materials ano services Wages and salaries Contributions for social insurance Indirect taxes Current surplus Change in inventories Sales Less: Purchased materials and services Wages and salaries Contributions for social insurance Sales to government Charges against output Output Charges against output Output Charges against output Output Appropriation Account Appropriation Account Appropriation Account Profits taxes Dividends paid Less: Dividends received Undistributed profits Profits Transfer of surplus to government Surplus Purchases From business Enterprise Inventories Fixed investment Other From government Transfer payments Interest paid Subsidies Less: Surplus of government enterprises Surplus or deficit (-). NIPA's Indirect business taxes Profits taxes Personal taxes Interest received Contributions for social insurance Distribution of profits and saving Profits Distribution of current surplus Current surplus Government expenditures and surplus or deficit (-) Government receipts Saving-Investment Account Saving-Investment Account Saving-Investment Account Plant and equipment purchases Purchases of land Less: Sales of plant and equipment Less: Sales of land Change in business inventories Net acquisitions of financial assets Less: Net increase in liabilities Undistributed profits Capital consumption allowances n.a. n.a. Net acquisition of financial assets Less: Net increase in liabilities Surplus or deficit, NIPA's Gross investment Gross saving Gross investment Gross saving n.a. Not applicable. Note. — The illustration in table 1-2 is based on the economic accounting framework presented in An Inlroduction to National Economic Accounting, Methodology Paper Series lv1P-1. The saving-investment accounts, therefore, include entries for certain transactions that are not shown in the NIPA's because they cancel when the accounts of all domestic sectors are consolidated. These transactions are purchases and sales of land (which cancel when the business sector is consolidated), net acquisitions of financial assets, and net increase in liabilities. 8 Government Transactions. .November 1988 earlier, government output is measured by the com- pensation paid to general government — not govern- ment enterprise — employees. The appropriation ac- count reflects the fact that government purchases from business include the change in enterprise inventories and enterprise purchases of plant and equipment. The current surplus of government enterprises is recorded on the left side as a deduction from government ex- penditures rather than as an addition to receipts. The enterprise surplus is consolidated with the surplus of general government. Relation ofNIPA government receipts and expenditures to financial statements The government receipts and expenditures account is derived primarily from financial statements for the Federal and the State and local governments; these statements record payments to and from government in a given time period. The focus of these statements is the summarization of individual government finan- cial transactions — taxing, spending, borrowing, and lending — into statistics useful for the conduct of gov- ernment. These financial statements differ from those required for the NIPA's in several respects: The cover- age of both transactors and transactions, the extent to which transactions are shown net or gross, the fiscal years used, and the timing with which transactions are recorded. Consequently, several types of adjust- ment are necessary to conform these financial state- ments to the NIPA concepts. Also, for some State and local government transactions, data from other sources are substituted for that from the financial statements because they are consistent with estimates of similar transactions elsewhere in the NIPA's, they provide more detail on types of transactions, or they provide monthly or quarterly observations that permit a more precise assignment of transactions to a given time period. Coverage. — Coverage adjustments are required for two categories of transactors in the Federal Govern- ment accounts. (1) Federal financial statements in- clude transactions with residents of the U.S. territo- ries and Puerto Rico as U.S. residents; NIPA govern- ment transactions do not include them. (2) From time to time, generally under provisions of law. Federal fi- nancial statements exclude certain entities that per- form governmental functions; the NIPA's include the receipts and expenditures of these entities in order to provide a comprehensive and consistent measure of government activity. Coverage adjustments are required for three cate- gories of transactions. (1) Financial statements in- clude transactions in financial assets and transac- tions in land, including oil bonuses — that is, payments for drilling rights on public land that are capitalized by business; the NIPA's exclude these transactions. (2) State and local financial statements classify \m- employment insurance as a State program; in the NIPA's it is classified as a Federal program. (3) Fi- nancial statements include only actual transactions; the NIPA's also include certain imputed transactions. Netting and grossing. — Netting and grossing ad- justments are required because, in financial state- ments, certain transactions are either recorded in a way that is not consistent with the NIPA classifica- tions or not recorded at all. Because the same amount is added to or subtracted from both receipts and expen- ditures from financial statements, these adjustments have no effect on the surplus or deficit, but they make NIPA receipts and expenditures differ from their coim- terparts in financial statements. These adjustments are necessary for three rea- sons. (1) Financial statements net some revenue items against expenditures that the NIPA's classify as re- ceipts; an example of such grossing adjustments is medicare (supplementary medical insurance) premi- ums. (2) Financial statements classify some revenue items as receipts that the NIPA's net against expendi- tures; examples of netting adjustments are the wind- fall profit tax on Federal sales of crude petroleum from Federal land and local government school limch sales. (3) Financial statements reflect only transac- tions between government and other sectors, elimi- nating transactions between parts of the same level of government. The NIPA's show some of these trans- actions on a gross basis, however, by means of a gross- ing adjustment. For example, employer contributions made by government as employer to government em- ployee retirement systems at the same level of govern- ment are considered intragovernmental expenditures and excluded from both receipts and expenditures in financial statements; in the NIPA's, however, both a receipt and a payment are recorded — the payment as a component of compensation of employees in the gov- ernment production account and the receipt as part of the revenue of social insurance funds in the govern- ment income and outlay account. Fiscal year. — Financial statements for State and local governments report data on a fiscal year basis that is not uniform for all governments. In the NIPA's, these reported data are placed on a calendar year basis and on a common fiscal year basis. Timing. — Financial statements for government generally record receipts and expenditures on a cash basis: Receipts are recorded when payments are re- ceived by government, and expenditures are recorded when checks are issued by government. The only ex- ception is interest on the public debt, which is recorded on an accrual basis — that is, when the liability is in- curred. In the NIPA's, the timing basis for government transactions with other sectors maintains consistency with the timing basis used for the other transactions of these sectors. Thus, receipts from business generally Government Transactions. J^ovember 1988 are recorded on a liability, or accrual, basis; purchases of goods and services from business are recorded on a delivery basis, that is, when the goods or services are delivered to government. Net interest paid, nonfarm subsidies, and current surplus of government enter- prises are recorded on an accrual basis. Receipts from persons £md transfer payments to persons are recorded on a cash basis. Farm subsidies are also on a cash basis. Definitions Government consists of those bodies and units, sup- ported mainly by taxes, that implement public policy through the provision of services and the redistribu- tion of resources. The governmental structure of the United States includes the Federal Government, the governments of the fifty States, and local governments. The Federal Government consists of the executive and legislative branches, and the Judiciary. The ex- ecutive branch comprises the Office of the President, the executive departments, and a number of indepen- dent agencies, smaller offices, and the trust funds that some of them administer. Federally sponsored credit agencies are not included. These specialized lending institutions, such as the Federal National Mortgage Association and the Federal home loan banks, were originally created and owned by the Government but are now privately owned. State and local governments comprise all political subdivisions of the United States, including the trust funds and enterprises that some of them administer. Local governments consist of counties, municipalities, townships, school districts, numerous kinds of "special districts," and the District of Columbia. Until now, this paper has referred to personal tax and nontax payments, corporate profits tax liability, and indirect business tax and nontax liability because the perspective used in the five-account summary pre- sentation is that of the taxpayer. In the definitions that follow and in the remainder of this paper, the names of these three categories of taxes are replaced by terms that reflect the perspective of the government accounts — that is, personal tax and nontax receipts, corporate profits tax accruals, and indirect business tax and nontax accruals, respectively. The definitions are in the order shown in the sum- mary government receipts and expenditures table (NIPA table 3.1). Because that table is a consolida- tion of the Federal Government and of the State and local governments, an entry for Federal grants-in-aid does not appear. These grants are defined last. Personal tax and nontax receipts: Tax payments by persons that are not chargeable to business ex- pense and certain other personal payments to gov- ernment agencies (except government enterprises) that are treated like taxes. Personal taxes in- clude taxes on income, including realized net cap- ital gains; on transfers of estates and gifts; and on personal property. Nontaxes include tuitions and fees paid to schools and hospitals operated by government; fees, fines, and forfeitures; and dona- tions. Personal contributions for social insurance are not included. Corporate profits tax accruals: The sum of Fed- eral, State, and local income taxes on all corpo- rate earnings, including realized net capital gains. These taxes are net of refunds and applicable tax credits. Indirect business tax and nontax accruals: Tax liabilities that are chargeable to business ex- pense in the calculation of profit-type incomes and certain other business liabilities to government agencies (except government enterprises) that are treated like taxes. Indirect business taxes include taxes on sales, property, and production. Em- ployer contributions for social insurance are not included. Taxes on corporate incomes are not in- cluded; these taxes cannot be calculated until prof- its are known, and in that sense they are not a business expense. Nontaxes include regulatory and inspection fees, special assessments, fines and forfeitures, rents and royalties, and donations. Contributions for social insurance: Employer and personal contributions for social insurance. Em- ployer contributions include employer payments under the following programs: Old-age, survivors, and disability insurance (social security); hospital insurance; unemployment insurance; government employee retirement; railroad retirement; mili- tary medical insurance; and publicly administered workers' compensation. Personal contributions in- clude payments by employees, the self-employed, and other individuals who participate in the fol- lowing programs: Old-age, survivors, and disabil- ity insurance (social security); hospital insurance; supplementary medical insurance; unemployment insurance; government employee retirement; rail- road retirement insurance; veterans life insur- ance; and temporary disability insurance. Government purchases of goods and services: Purchases from business (including net purchases of used goods), compensation of government em- ployees, and purchases from foreigners. The change in inventories and purchases of plant and equipment by government enterprises are in- cluded, but their current-account purchases are not. Purchases, a category of expenditures, does not include transfer payments, interest paid by government, and subsidies. (These are separate categories of expenditures.) Transactions in finan- cial assets and land are not included in either pur- chases or expenditures. Transfer payments to persons: Income payments to persons for which they do not render current services. Transfer payments include benefits from the social insurance funds and payments under 10 Giwemment Transactions. J^ovember 1988 certain other programs. Included are old-age, sur- vivors, and disability insurance (social security); hospital insurance; supplementary medical insur- ance; medicaid; unemployment insurance; govern- ment employee retirement; workers' compensa- tion; veterans benefits; food stamps; black lung; supplemental security income; and public assis- tance. Government payments to nonprofit insti- tutions, other than for work under research and development contracts, are also included. Transfer payments to foreigners: U.S. Government nonmilitar^' grants to foreign governments in cash and in kind and U.S. Government transfer pay- ments, mainly retirement benefits, to former res- idents of the United States. Net interest paid: Interest paid to persons and busi- ness and to foreign businesses, governments, and persons, less interest received from business and from foreigners. Interest paid consists of mone- tary interest paid on public debt and other finan- cial obligations. Interest received consists of mon- etary and imputed interest received on loans and investments, including the balances of State and local social insurance funds. Dividends received: Dividends received by State and local general government, primarily by their social insurance funds. Subsidies less current surplus of government en- terprises: Subsidies are the monetary grants paid by government to business, including govern- ment enterprises at another level of government. The current surplus of government enterprises is their current operating revenue and subsidies re- ceived from other levels of government less their current expenses. In the calculation of their cur- rent surplus, no deduction is made for deprecia- tion charges and net interest paid. The current surplus of government enterprises is not counted as a profit-type income and, accordingly, not as a factor charge. Subsidies and current surplus are shown as a combined entry because deficits in- curred by government enterprises may result fi*om selling goods to business at below-market prices in lieu of giving them subsidies. Wage accruals less disbursements: Wages and salaries earned less wages and salaries paid. This difference occurs when there are retroactive changes in wages and salaries; it is subtracted in deriving total government expenditures, which re- flect wages and salaries on a cash basis. Surplus or deficit (-), national income and prod- uct accounts: The sum of government receipts less the sum of government expenditures. It may also be viewed as the sum of net acquisitions of financial assets by government and government enterprises and net government purchases of land and of rights to government-owned land includ- ing oil resources, less net borrowing. The sur- plus or deficit of social insurance funds is shown separately. Federal grants-in-aid: Net payments from the Fed- eral Government to State and local governments to help finance State and local government activ- ities in areas such as public assistance, highway construction, and education. Presentation of the Estimates NIPA tables The estimates of government transactions are pub- lished in the NIPA tables, which appear in the Survey (and reference volumes cited therein). Table 1-3 indi- cates the location, by NIPA table number, of the var- ious annual and quarterly estimates of government transactions and, where applicable, of estimates in constant dollars and the corresponding price indexes. Annual estimates generally cover 1929 to the present; quarterly estimates in current dollars generally cover the first quarter of 1946 to the present; and quarterly estimates in constant dollars generally cover the first quarter of 1947 to the present. In addition to the NIPA tables, additional detail on government transactions within the NIPA framework is presented in several special articles annually in the Survey. These include "Federal Fiscal Programs," gen- erally in the February Survey, and "Receipts and Ex- penditures of State Governments and of Local Govern- ments." Other Survey articles on government transac- tions are listed in appendix I-A. Schedule With two exceptions, the advance quarterly NIPA estimates of government transactions are prepared in the first month after the end of the quarter, revised a month later (the preliminary estimates), and re- vised again the following month (the final estimates). The exceptions are corporate profits tax liability, to- tal receipts, and the government surplus or deficit, for which no advance estimates are prepared because of lags in the availability of information on corporate profits. No further revisions are made in the quarterly estimates until the annual revisions, which usually oc- cur each July and cover the 3 most recent years. Fol- lowing the third annual revision, no further revisions are made in the estimates until the comprehensive re- visions, which usually occur every 5 years. Government Transactions. November 1988 11 Table 1-3. — Location of Government Transactions in the NIPA Tables Item Total Federal State and local Current-dollar estimates Receipts . Personal tax and nontax receipts ' . By category Corporate profits tax accruals ' Indirect business tax and nontax accruals ' By category Contributions for social insurance Employer contributions By category of social insurance fund .. Personal contributions By category of social insurance fund .. Federal grants-in-aid Expenditures By type and/or function Purchases of goods and services . Durable goods By category Nondurable goods By category Services Compensation of employees.. Wages and salaries Supplements to wages and salaries By type Employer contributions for social insurance . Other labor income Other services By category Structures By type Transfer payments. To persons By category To foreigners Grants-in-aid to State and local governments. Net interest paid Interest paid To persons and business To foreigners Less: Interest received by government Less: Dividends received by government Subsidies less current surplus of government enterprises . Subsidies By category Current surplus of government enterprises . By category Less: Wage accruals less disbursements . Surplus or deficit (-), national income and product accounts. Social insurance funds Other Social insurance funds receipts and expenditures , Relation of NIPA estimates to source data Employment: Number of employees Persons engaged in production Hours worked by employees Gross national product originating in government.. Net national product originating in government National income originating in government 3.1* 2.1.2.7, 3.1*, 3.4*. 8.9* 1.14, 1.16, 3.r, 6.20B*, 8.13*, 9.6 1.9, 1.21* (farm), 1.23* (housing), 3.1*, 3.5\8.9* 1.9, 3.1*, 3.6* 1.14, 3.6*, 6.12*, 8.5*, 8.9* 8.5* 2.1, 2.6, 3.6*, 8.14* 3.1* 3.14* 1.1, 1.17 (autos), 1.19 (trucks), 3.1' 3.7B, 8.1, 8.9*, 9.1t 1.15*, 3.1*, 6.4B* 1.14, 1.15*, 2.1, 2.6, 6.5B*, 6.8B* (per empl.) 1.15* (see receipts) 6.13* 5.4*2 5.4*2 3.1* 1.9, 3.1*, 3.1*, 8.9* 2.1 3.1*, 4.1,9.5t 3.1*, 3.14* 3.1*, 8.8* 3.1*, 3.1*, 8.8* 4.1, 4.5*, 9.5t 3.1*, 8.8*, 8.9* 3.1*, 8.7* 1.9, 1.23* (housing), 3.1*, 3.12*, 8.9* 1.21* (farm), 3.1*, 8.9* (nonfarm housing) 3.1* 1.9,3.1* 3.1*, 5.1 3.1* 3.1* 6.6B*, 6.7B* 6.10B* 6.11* 1.7,6.1* 1.12* 1.12*, 1.15*, 6.3B* 3.2, 9.3t 3.2, 3.4*, 9.3t 3.2, 3.4* 3.2, 9.3t 3.2, 3.5*, 9.3t 3.2, 3.5* 3.2, 3.13*, 9.3t 3.6*, 3.13* 3.6*, 8.9* 3.6*, 3.13* 3.6* 3.2, 9.3t 3.15* 1.1, 3.2, 3.7B, 3.9 (defense), 8.1, 9.1t, 9.3t 3.7B, 3.9 (defense) 3.9 (defense) 3.7B, 3.9 (defense) 3.9 (defense) 3.7B, 3.9 (defense) 3.7B, 3.9 (defense), 6.4B* 6.5B*, 6.8B* (per empl.) 8.5* (see receipts) 3.7B, 3.9 (defense) 3.9 (defense) 3.7B, 3.9 (defense) 3.2, 9.3t 3.2, 3.11*, 3.13*, 9.3t 3.11* 3.2, 9.3t 3.2, 9.3t 3.2, 9.3t 3.2, 8.8*, 9.3t 3.2, 9.3t 3.2. 8.8*, 9.3t 3.2. 8.8*. 9.3t 3.2, 3.12*, 9.3t 3.2, 3.12*, 9.3t 3.12* 3.2, 3.12*, 9.3t 3.12* 3.2, 9.3t 3.2, 5.1,9.3t 3.2 3.2 313* 3J 78,3.19* 6.6B*, 6.7B* 6.10B* 1.7, 6.1* 3.3, 9.4t 3.3, 3.4*, 9.4t 3.3, 3.4* 3.3. 9.4t 3.3, 3.5*, 9.4t 3.3, 3.5* 3,3, 3.13*, 9.4t 3.6*, 3.13* 3.6* 3.6*, 3.13* 3.6* 3.3, 9.4t 3.3, 9.4t 3.16* 1.1, 3.3, 3.7B, 8.1, 9. It, 9.4t 3.7B 3.7B 3.7B 3.3, 3.7B, 6.4B* 6.5B*, 6.8B* (per empl.) 8.5* (see receipts) 3.7B 3.7B 3.3, 3.11*, 3.13*, 9.4t 3.11* 3.3, 9.4t 3.3, 8.8*, 9.4t 3.3, 8.8*, 9.4t 3.3, 8.7*. 9.4t 3.3, 3.12*, 9.4t 3.3, 3.12*, 9.4t 3.3, 3.12*. 9. 4t 3.12* 3.3, 9.4t 3.3, 5.1, 9.4t 3.3 3.3 3.13* 3.18* 6.6B*, 6.7B* 6.10B* 1.7, 6.1* See footnotes at end of table. 12 Government Transactions. J^ovemher 1988 Table 1-3. — Location of Government Transactions in the NIPA Tables — Continued Item Total Federal State and local Constant-dollar estimates Purchases of goods and services. Durable goods By category Nondurable goods . By category Services Compensation of employees . Other services Structures By type Gross national product originating in government. Net national product originating in government National income originating in government 1.2, 1.18 (autos), 1.20 (trucks), 3.8B, 8.1 (defense), 8.1 5.5* i 5.5* » 1.8,6.2* 1.13* 1.13* 1.2,3.88,3.10 3.8B, 3.10 (defense) 3.10 3.8B, 3.10 (defense) 3.10 3.8B, 3.10 (defense) 3.8B, 3.10 (defense) 3.8B, 3.10 (defense) 3.8B, 3.10 (defense) 1.8,6.2* 1.2, 3.8B, 8.1 3.8B 3.8B 3.8B 3.8B 3.8B 3. SB 1.8,6.2* ■" Price indexes Purchases of goods and services. Durable goods . By category .. Nondurable goods , By category Services Compensation of employees . Other services By category Structures By type Gross national product originating in government. 7.1, 7.4t, 7.16, 8.1 7.12*^ 7.12* i 7.6* 7.1, 7At, 7.16, 8.1 7.16,7.17 (defense) 7.17 7.16,7.17 (defense) 7.17 7.16, 7.17 (defense) 7.16, 7.17 (defense) 7.16, 7.17 (defense) 7.17 7.16,7.17 (defense) 7.6t 7.1, 7.4t, 7.16, 8.1 7.16 7.16 7.16 7.16 7.16 7.16 7.6* * Annual estimates only. t Quarterly, not seasonally adjusted estimates only. ? Implicit price deflator. 1. In tables where perspective is that of the taxpayer rather than government, receipts are shown as payments and accruals are shown as liabilities. 2. In these tables, purchases of structures include compensation ol government employees en- gaged in new force-account construction. In other tables showing government purchases, this compensation is classified as a sen/ice and is included as part of government compensation ot employees. Notes. — (1) Except as noted, these tables contain both annual estimates and quarterly esti- mates seasonally adjusted at annual rates. (2) Except as noted, price indexes are fixed-weighted price indexes with 1982 weights. (3) Tables 3.7, 3.8. 3.17, 6.4-6.10, and 6.14-6.24 are published in two parts: 3.7A and 3.8A (for 1929-71). 3.17A (for 1952-67). 6.4A-6.10A, 6.14A, and 6.19A (for 1929-48). and 6.15A-6.18A and 6.20A-6.24A (for 1929-47); and 3.78 and 3.8B (for 1972 and later years). 3.17B (for 1968 and later years). 6.4B-6.10B. 6.14B, and 6.19B (for 1949 and later years), and 6.15B-6.18B and 6.20B-6.24B (for 1948 and later years). Appendix I- A Articles Related to Government Transactions The following is a list of selected articles related to government transactions that have appeared in the Survey of Current Business in the last decade. "Federal Farm Programs for IGSfr-GO." April 1986 (pages 31-35). Includes a discussion of the national income and product account treatment of the Commodity Credit Corporation. "Federal Fiscal Programs." February 1988 (pages 19-24). Presents the annual "translation" of the Federal bud- get receipts and expenditures into the national income and product account estimates. "Federal Personal Income Taxes: Liabilities and Payments, 1977-81." January 1983 (pages 27-30). Presents Federal personal income taxes on a liabil- ity basis and compares them with the payments ba- sis used in the accounts; includes a brief methodology. Subsequently updated. "Implicit Price Deflators for Military Construction." November 1983 (pages 14-18). Discusses construction prices in general and the devel- opment of price indexes for military construction. "Special Note. — National Defense Purchases." November 1982 (pages 4-6). Discusses the various measures of spending — expend- itures, purchases, and outlays — for national defense, focusing on the defense buildup in the early 1980's; includes some methodology. "National Defense Purchases: A Review of Appropriations and Real Purchases." November 1984 (pages 11-16). Reviews the national defense appropriations and constant-dollar buildup in terms of both budget na- tional defense purchases of goods and services. "Receipts and Expenditures of State Governments and of Local Governments: Revised and Updated Estimates, 1984-87." September 1988 (pages 23-25). Presents a deconsolidation of the receipts and expen- ditures account for State and local governments into separate accounts for the two levels of government. "Sources of Change in Federal Government Transfer Payments to Persons, 1970-81." October 1982 (pages 25-32). Discusses the growth in the level and relative size of transfer payments to persons in terms of three major sources: (1) automatic cyclical effects, (2) automatic inflation effects, and (3) legislation and other sources. 13 14 Government Transactions. J^ovember 1988 ^Sources of Change in the Federal Government Deficit, 1970-86." May 1985 (pages 25-32). Discusses the change in the Federal deficit (on the na- tional income and product accounting basis) by exam- ining trends in receipts and expenditures, their compo- sition, and their automatic responsiveness to the busi- ness cycle and inflation. "Sources of Growth in Selected State Local Go vemment Tax Receipts." February 1982 (pages 15-18). Discusses the growth of selected tax receipts in terms of legislative actions, on the one hand, and events out- side the reach of legislative actions (mainly economic activity and inflation), on the other. "Tax Reform Act of 1986." March 1987 (pages 18-25). Presents a brief history of Federal tax legislation in the 1980's and discusses in detail the provisions of the Tax Reform Act of 1986. Presents the impact of those provision on a national income and product accounting basis. "The State and Local Government Fiscal Position: An Alternative Measure." March 1984 (pages 23-25). Discusses the characteristics of the State and local gov- ernment surplus or deficit on the national income and product account basis that must be considered when using it to analyze the fiscal position of these govern- ments and presents an alternative measure of the fis- cal position. Subsequently updated. Part II. Federal Government Transactions Overview of Estimating Procedures The NIPA estimates of Federal Government receipts and expenditures are based on the Federal budget, published by the Office of Management and Budget (0MB), on financial reports published by the Depart- ment of the Treasury, and on reports of other Federal Government agencies. The budget is published as a set of documents, in- cluding the Budget of the United States Government (Budget) [4A-1], the Budget of the United States Gov- ernment: Appendix (Budget: Appendix) [4A-2], and the Budget of the United States Government: Special Anal- yses (Special Analyses) [4A-3]. The Treasury also pre- pares a set of documents, including the United States Government Annual Report: Appendix [80], Monthly Treasury Statement of Receipts and Outlays of the United States Government (MTS) [77], and the Trea- sury Bulletin [78]. The appendixes to the budget and to the Treasury's annual report provide the most de- tailed and complete fiscal year data on receipts, out- lays, balances, and other cash-basis information cov- ering all Federal Government entities. (The data fi-om the 0MB and Treasury documents will be referred to collectively as "budget data" when the context is a gen- eral description of methodology.) The documents are keyed to the fiscal year, which begins on October 1, ends the following September 30, and is designated by the calendar year in which it ends. Tables II- 1 and II-2 show the relation of receipts and outlays in the Federal budget to NIPA estimates of receipts and expenditures. The tables are regroup- ings, with detail by major receipt category or agency, of NIPA table 3.17B. The first column shows receipts by category or outlays by agency as shown in the bud- get. The next several columns show the differences between the budget data and NIPA estimates, and the remaining columns show the estimates of total NIPA receipts or expenditures and the distribution of the to- tals among NIPA categories. Tables II- 1 and II-2 have two major roles at differ- ent points in the cycle of estimating NIPA receipts and expenditures. In their first role, the tables provide a structured format for the "translation" of the Fed- eral budget into the NIPA receipts and expenditures. This translation — which is based largely on data from the Budget — provides a framework, or a benchmark, for the current quarterly estimates. For example, the translation of the fiscal year 1989 budget as it was transmitted to Congress in early 1988 provided var- ious expenditures relationships for fiscal years 1988 and 1989 (discussed in detail later) needed to pre- pare the current quarterly estimates for calendar year 1988. In their second role, the tables provide the same structured format for the fiscal year analysis carried out after the fiscal year is over. V.Tiile this role is sim- ilar to the first role, the analysis of receipts and ex- penditures is much more detailed, the data are actual rather than budget estimates, and the source data — especially for receipts — are different than those used in the budget translation. This fiscal year analysis provides the framework for the quarterly estimates prepared for annual revisions, which usually occur each July. For example, the 1987 fiscal year analy- sis provided the basis for the estimates prepared as part of the July 1988 revision. As used in both roles, the tables also provide a rec- onciliation between the NIPA estimates and the bud- get. The total receipts and expenditures of the Federal Government are known, and the NIPA estimates must reconcile to the budget totals. Differences between receipts Columns 2-6 in table II-l show the differences in coverage, netting and grossing, and timing between receipts in the budget and NIPA receipts. Coverage of transactors. — The budget includes re- ceipts from persons in the U.S. territories (including American Samoa, Guam, and the Virgin Islands of the United States) and the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico. In the NIPA's, residents of the U.S. territo- ries and Puerto Rico are considered residents of the rest of the world, rather than U.S. residents. The re- ceipts, largely contributions for social insurance, are not, however, treated as receipts from the rest-of- the-world sector; instead, they are excluded from the NIPA's. The budget does not include receipts of certain en- tities that are part of the NIPA government sector. These receipts include those of the Tennessee Valley 15 16 Government Transactions. Jslovemher 1988 Table 11-1. — Relation of Federal Government Receipts in the National Income and Product Accounts to the Budget, Fiscal Year 1982 [Billions of dollars] Line Budget category Budget receipts (1) Coverage diHerences Transactors Less; U.S. territories and Puerto Rico (2) Plus: Receipts of entities not in budget 0) Transac- tions Plus: Imputa- tions (4) Plus: Netting and grossing differ- (5) Plus: Timing differ- ences (6) Equals: Federal Government receipts, national income and product accounts Total (7) Personal tax and nontax receipts (8) Corporate proms tax accruals (9) Indirect business tax and nontax accruals (10) Contribu- tions for social insurance (11) 10 13 16 17 18 19 Individual income taxes Corporation income taxes Social insurance taxes and contributions: Social security trust funds Railroad retirement accounts Unemployment insurance Federal employees retirement contributions Other retirement contributions Excise taxes Estate and gift taxes Customs duties Miscellaneous receipts: Deposits of earnings by Federal Reserve banks All otfier Subtotal Not allocated to budget categories: Receipts of entities not in budget Inputalions Receipts from budget expenditures: Employer contributions for employee retirement . Meciicare insurance premiums Otfier Total 298.1 49.2 177.5 3.2 16.2 4.1 .1 36.3 8.0 8.9 15.2 1.0 617.8 617.8 1.0 .2 .1 1.2 1.2 -.2 16.9 16.9 -0.6 -1.2 2.0 8.7 3.9 5.9 18.7 4.5 -11.2 -1.8 -.1 .4 .1 -8.8 .2 -8.6 30Z0 36.8 176.7 3.2 16.5 4.1 .1 35.6 8.0 8.9 15.3 .9 607.9 -.2 16.9 8.7 3.8 6.1 643.3 302.0 -.3 .1 8.0 .2 310.0 310.0 36.8 15.3 52.1 52.1 35.5 8.9 .7 45.0 5.3 50.0 177.0 3.2 16.5 4.1 .1 200.8 .1 16.9 8.7 3.8 .8 231.1 Government Transactions. J^ovemher 1988 17 Table 11-2.— Relation of Federal Government Expenditures in the National Income and Product Accounts to tine Budget, Fiscal Year 1982 [Billions of dollars] Line Agency Budg- et out- lays (1) Coveraee differences Transactors Less: U.S. territo- ries and Puerto Rico (2) Plus: Expen- ditures of entities not in budget (3) Transcations Less: Net lend- ing (4) Net pur- chases of land (5) Otfier financial transac- tions ' (6) Pius: Impu- tations (7) Plus: Netting and gross- ing differ- (8) Plus: Timing diHer- ences (9) Less: Intra- gov- ern- mental trans- actions (10) Equals: Federal government expenditures, national income and product accounts ' Total (11) Purchases of goods and services De- fense (12) Nonde- fense (13) Transfer payments To per- (14) To for- eigners (15) Grants- in-aid to Stale and local govern- ments (16) Net inter- est paid (17) Subsi- dies less current surplus of govern- ment enter- prises (18) I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 Legislative Branch The Judiciary Executive Office of the President Funds Appropriated to the President Department of Agriculture Department of Commerce Department of Defense — Military Department of Defense— Cfvil Department of Education Department of Energy Department of Health and Hunnan Services. Department of Housing and Urban Development. Department of the Interior Department of Justice Department of Labor Department of State Department of Transportation Department of the Treasury Environmental Protection Agency General Services Administration National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Office of Personnel Management Veterans' Administration Other independent agencies Undistributed offsetting receipts: Errployer share, enployee retirement. Interest received by trust funds Other Subtotal Not allocated to agencies: Expenditures of entities not in budget. Imputations Total. 1.4 .7 .1 6.1 36.2 ZO 182.9 3.0 14.1 7.7 251.3 14.5 3.8 Z6 30.7 2.2 19.9 110.5 5.0 2 6.0 20.0 23.9 12.9 -7.0 -16.0 -6.2 728.4 728.4 1.3 .1 .2 1.8 .1 .3 .1 .1 .3 5.0 5.0 17.2 17.2 1.8 -.4 .1 .4 .7 -.1 -.1 2.1 5.1 14.3 19.4 -2.4 -2.2 -2.2 .7 -.1 1.3 -.8 16.9 16.9 .2 .1 .1 -.5 3.9 1.6 .1 -1.6 3.4 .5 6.2 3.6 17.6 1.1 18.7 .1 -.8 -1.8 -2.6 .5 .1 .1 .1 1.6 -.1 .3 .2 -15.8 1.2 -.3 -12.9 12.9 1.4 .7 .1 3.6 34.4 ZO 182.2 3.0 13.4 7.2 253.2 10.9 5.1 2.6 30.2 2,3 19.1 125.4 4.9 .3 6.0 23.9 24.4 9.7 -16.0 749.9 -10,8 16.9 755.9 .3 166.3 3.3 1.8 .2 172.0 15.4 187.3 1.4 .7 .1 12.9 1.5 3.0 .8 2.4 8.7 3.8 2.4 1.9 1.1 5.3 4.2 .9 .2 5.9 2.3 8.1 4.5 72.7 3.4 1.0 77.1 9.6 15.8 5.0 207.6 .1 22.9 .2 .4 1.2 19.2 16.2 6.4 304.7 .1 .9 305.6 3.7 .6 .1 1.0 .2 1.0 7.1 7.2 .4 5.2 .5 .2 -.1 7.7 1.8 35.8 4.2 1.3 .2 5.3 10.8 4.6 4.0 .1 .1 1.3 83.4 83.4 -.9 .6 -.1 -.1 -.9 -.2 115.4 .1 -16.0 96.8 -14.2 -.4 82.2 5.5 -.3 -.3 7.1 C .2 2.5 .4 -1.9 13.2 -.1 13.0 1. Also includes "Less: Wage accruals less disbursements," which were -$16 million in 1982. 2. Includes capital gains and losses, and transactions of certain Federal employee benefit funds. 18 Governynent Transactions. J^ovemher 1988 Authority retirement fund, the Federal Reserve Board retirement fund, and several deposit funds held by the Ti-easur>'. Coverage of transactions. — The budget refers to actual transactions; the NIPA's include imputations. In receipts, imputations are made for the Federal Gov- ernment's contributions as an employer to the follow- ing programs: Military retirement, workers' compen- sation, military medical insurance, unemployment in- surance for former Federal employees, and several small unfunded Federal retirement programs. (In each case, an equal imputation is made in expendi- tures; the surplus or deficit is not affected.)^ Netting and grossing. — ^The "netting and grossing differences" in table II-l reflects three kinds of diflFer- ences in the way a transaction is recorded. For all three, the surplus or deficit is not affected because equal adjustments are made in receipts and expen- ditures. First, the budget nets certain receipts against out- lays, and the NIPA's record a receipt. This difference occurs, for example, in the case of medicare supple- mentary medical insurance premiums, where the pre- miums are netted against outlays in the budget. The budget's netting reflects the view that the proceeds are income from a business-type transaction and are thus not included in receipts. The NIPA's record a contri- bution for social insurance. The grossing adjustments raise NIPA receipts and expenditures relative to their budget coiinterparts. Second, in some cases the budget records a re- ceipt, and the NIPA's record an offset against expen- ditures. This difference occurs, for example, in the case of the windfall profit tax on Federal sales of crude petroleum; the taxes are recorded in the budget as ex- cise taxes, but they are netted against expenditures in the NIPA's. The netting adjustments lower NIPA re- ceipts and expenditures relative to their budget coun- terparts. Third, for some transactions between agencies, the budget does not record a receipt; instead, it records an outlay and an offset against outlays. The NIPA's record both an expenditure and a receipt. This differ- ence in recording occurs for contributions made by the Federal Government to social insurance funds for Fed- eral employees. In the budget, each agency records its outlays for this purpose and then, before total outlays are calculated, the employer contributions are sub- tracted as an "undistributed offsetting receipt." This offsetting pair of entries reflects the budget view of these transactions as intragovernmental transactions. The grossing adjustments in receipts and in expendi- tures raise the NIPA measures relative to their budget counterparts. Timing. — Receipts are recorded in the budget on a cash — that is, when-received — ^basis. NIPA receipts are recorded on either a payments — that is, when- paid — basis or on an accrual basis. In general, the NIPA's record receipts from the personal sector on a payments basis and from the business sector on an accrual basis. Consequently, personal taxes and non- taxes and personal contributions for social insurance are recorded on a payments basis. Corporate profits taxes, indirect business taxes and nontaxes, and em- ployer contributions for social insurance are recorded on an accrual basis. Because of lags between when a liability (accrual) is incurred or a payment is made and when the payment is received, receipts recorded in the budget for one period may be after the period needed for the NIPA's. Differences between outlays and expenditures Columns 2-9 in table II-2 show the differences in coverage, netting and grossing, and timing between outlays in the budget and NIPA expenditures. Column 10, as will be explained, ensures that all transactions between agencies have been accounted for. Coverage of transactors. — ^A geographic difference of the same type as discussed for receipts exists for expenditures. In principle, the expenditures that are excluded from the NIPA's — largely transfer payments, grants-in-aid, and subsidies to U.S. territories and Puerto Rico — could be treated as payments to the rest- of-the-world sector; however, this treatment is not im- plemented. In addition, differences relating to a number of other transactors existed prior to 1986. Various entities were considered "off-budget" under provisions of law. For example, the Federal Financing Bank, the Postal Service, the Synthetic Fuels Corporation, and the lending activities of the Rural Electrification Admin- istration were off-budget until their status changed in 1986.2 Coverage of transactions. — ^The budget includes net lending (new loans less repayments) and net transactions in land (purchases less sales) as outlays. (Bonuses paid from drilling rights on the Outer Con- tinental Shelf are considered sales of land.) NIPA ex- penditures do not include these transactions because they are an exchange of existing assets rather than current income or production. In addition, the budget includes certain other financial transactions such as capital gains and losses of the Exchange Stabilization Fund; the NIPA's do not include them. As explained in describing the differences between budget and NIPA receipts, the budget refers to actual transactions and does not include imputations. The column labeled "imputations" in table II-2 accounts for the imputations discussed under receipts; tables 1. In NIPA table 3.17B, these imputations are included as a netting and groesing difFerence. 2. The Balanced Budget and Emergency Deficit Control Act of 1985 — better known as the Gramm-Rudman-Hollings Act — places social security "off-budget" to exempt social security from sequestration. Social security, however, is included in the budget for purposes of estimating the deficit. Government Transactions. November 1988 19 II- 1 and II-2 show identical amoiints for these ac^ust- ments. In addition, expenditures include imputations for services furnished without payment by depository institutions (that is, financial intermediaries except life insurance carriers and private noninsured pen- sion funds), food furnished to employees, and standard clothing issued to military personnel. These three im- putations, however, do not affect total expenditures because an offsetting imputation is also made. For ex- ample, in the case of the imputation for services by depository institutions, an imputed purchase of ser- vices offsets an imputation for interest received from the deposits. In the cases of food and clothing, the imputation included in compensation of employees (in purchases) offsets an imputed offsetting sale by the government (also in purchases). Netting and grossing. — ^These differences were discussed under receipts. Tables II-l and II-2 show identical amounts for this adjustment. Timing. — ^The budget records outlays, except inter- est on the public debt, on a cash — that is, when-paid — basis; interest on the public debt is on an accrual ba- sis. In the NIPA's, expenditures are to be recorded as follows: Expenditure category Timing basis Purchases: Compensation accrual Other delivery Transfer payments payment Grants-in-aid payment Net interest paid accrual Subsidies: Agricultural pajrment Other accrual Current surplus of government accrual enterprises For purchases other than compensation, as the timing basis implies, the NIPA's record the expenditure when the goods or services are delivered rather than when they are paid for. In table II-2, the difference labeled "timing" occurs in purchases, certain subsidies, and the current sur- plus of government enterprises. The largest timing difference is for national defense purchases. This dif- ference usually involves long-term production items, such as missiles and aircraft, for which the work in progress is considered as part of business inventories until the item is completed and delivered to the Gov- ernment. Intragovemmental transactions. — ^The budget records certain transactions as an expenditure of one agency and as a receipt deducted from the expendi- tures of the receiving agency. For example, agencies pay interest to the Department of the Treasury as the result of their borrowing from the Treasury. This col- umn in table II-2 is not, therefore, a difference between NIPA expenditures and the budget; instead, it ensures that all intragovemmental transactions have been ac- counted for in an agency -by-agency derivation of NIPA expenditures. Derivation of receipts Receipts estimates are prepared by kind-of-receipt category as shown in the budget. For most categories, the estimates are not based directly on budget data; instead, to achieve the required timing basis, they are based largely on other information from Federal agen- cies. The most widely used source of other informa- tion is from tabulations of tax returns prepared by the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) and other administer- ing agencies. For example, tabulations of corporate income tax returns are used in the derivation of cor- porate profits tax accruals; tabulations of excise tax returns are used in the derivation of excise taxes; and tabulations of returns filed by employers for many so- cial insurance programs, such as social security, are used in the derivation of contributions for social in- surance. Budget data are used for personal tax and nontax receipts (including estate and gift taxes), for customs duties, and for smaller social insurance pro- grams, such as supplementary medical insurance. In addition, imputed NIPA receipts, such as employer contributions for military retirement, are prepared in conjunction with the expenditure estimates. Budget data are available monthly, usually in the MTS [77]; tax return data are available quarterly for certain taxes, such as excise taxes, and for the cal- endar year for other taxes, such as corporate taxes. These data — which are available in time for the first July revision — are used to prepare quarterly — and for some receipts, monthly — not seasonally adjusted es- timates; for taxes for which only annual data are available, the quarterly and monthly not season- ally adjusted estimates are derived by interpolation. The quarterly not seasonally adjusted estimates are summed to obtain calendar year estimates. For es- timates that show seasonality, the Census X-11 sea- sonal adjustment procedure is usually used. Current quarterly and monthly estimates for most receipts are extrapolations of the most recent data us- ing NIPA income estimates and other relevant data as indicators. For the rest, such as nonwithheld income taxes and nontaxes, the estimates are judgmental ex- trapolations. Derivation of expenditures Expenditure estimates are prepared by program — that is, by activity for which there is a line item in the budget, of which about 570 are analyzed separately for the NIPA estimates. These analyses draw on data from the Budget and related documents supplemented by data from Treasury financial reports and reports of the agencies administering the programs. For most programs, the fiscal year analysis begins by adjusting budget outlays for coverage and for netting and gross- 20 Government Transactions. Jslovember 1988 Table 11-3. — Special Supplemental Food Program: Fiscal Year Analysis [Millions of dollars] Line Fiscal year 1982 1981 1982 Source IV 1 II III 1 929.8 191.7 242.0 248.0 248.1 MTS. ? less; U.S. terrrtories 25.1 5.2 6.5 6.7 6.7 Federal Aid to States. Fiscal Year 1982 (Treasury). 3 Equals: Total NIP A expenditures. 904.7 186.5 235.5 241.3 241.4 4 Less. Grants-in-aid to State and local governnnents. 881.0 181.6 229.3 235.0 235.1 Unpublished detail supporting Budget of the Ur)ited States Government: Special Analyses, Fiscal Year 1984. Adjusted for grants to territories. 5 Equals: Nondefense purchases. 23.7 4.9 6.2 6.3 6.3 ing differences between these outlays and NIPA expen- ditures. The expenditures total (as adjusted) for a pro- gram is then classified by type of NIPA expenditure — that is, transfer payments, interest paid, etc. — with nondefense purchases determined residually. This procedure is illustrated in table II-3, using the Department of Agriculture's special supplemental food program. As shown in the table. Budget outlays were $929.8 million for fiscal year 1982. A Treasury report. Federal Aid to States [75], showed that $25.1 million was paid to U.S. territories, which are excluded fi:-om the NIPA's, as grants-in-aid. Thus, total NIPA expen- ditures were $904.7 million. Unpublished budget data fi*om 0MB show that $881.0 million was grants-in-aid to State and local governments. Because budget de- scriptions of the program did not indicate any other types of expenditure, the remaining $23.7 million was recorded as nondefense purchases of goods and ser- vices. When a fiscal year analysis is completed, that de- tailed array of NIPA expenditures by program and by type of expenditure serves as a set of control totals for the quarterly estimates. The method most fi*e- quently used to derive quarterly estimates by type of expenditure for a program is to prorate the quarterly MTS outlays by the fiscal year relationships developed for that program. For example, in table II-3, grants- in-aid for the fiscal year are 94.8 percent of outlays. That percentage is applied to each quarter of the fis- cal year to estimate quarterly grants-in-aid; nonde- fense purchases are the residual. Proration is not used when outlays are dominated by a fluctuating element, such as lending, that is not included in the NIPA's or when information that is a significant improvement over proration, such as for the Commodity Credit Cor- poration (CCC), is available from the operating agency. In the first case, the NIPA expenditure estimates are judgmental extrapolations. In the second case, a de- tailed analysis is performed using the agency data to derive the NIPA estimates. With few exceptions, the data for a fiscal year analy- sis are available in time for the first July revision. For quarterly estimates that show seasonality, the Census X-11 seasonal adjustment procedure is usually used. For the current quarterly estimates, the advance estimates of nondefense purchases except the CCC are based on 2 months of MTS outlays in conjunction with relationships derived in the fiscal year analysis; 3 months of MTS outlays are available for the pre- liminary and final estimates. Parts of the advance estimate of defense purchases are extrapolations us- ing MTS outlays, other indicators, or judgment; the other parts are based on data underlying the budget and agency data. By the final estimate, the bulk of defense purchases except compensation is based on agency data. CCC inventory change is based on agency data supplemented by judgment. For transfer pay- ments, most advance estimates are judgmental extrap- olations; by the preliminary and final estimates, some data become available. For grants-in-aid, MTS out- lays are used in the same way as for most nondefense purchases. For net interest, subsidies, and the current surplus, the estimates are largely judgmental extrap- olations. Constant-dollar estimates of purchases Constant-dollar estimates of purchases of goods and services are prepared either by deflation, by extrapola- tion of base-year values, or by direct pricing. The data used for deflation include information on prices paid by the Federal Government, producer and consumer price indexes published by the Bureau of Labor Statis- tics (BLS) [59, 62], construction cost indexes compiled by the Census Bureau [37], agricultural prices fi-om the Department of Agriculture [22, 26], and average hourly earnings from BLS [60]. Employment data are used to extrapolate base-year compensation and ser- vices furnished without payment by depository insti- tutions. Quantities of agricultural commodities, cer- tain petroleum transactions, and a variety of military goods and some services are directly priced. Derivation of Receipts The NIPA categories of Federal receipts, as indi- cated earlier, are derived fi^om budget data and other information from Federal agencies as part of the fis- cal year analysis. These data are adjusted for cover- age and for netting and grossing differences, as shown in table II- 1, to put them on a basis consistent with NIPA concepts. The sources and methods used to de- rive NIPA receipts yield the required timing basis; the timing difference shown in table II- 1 is calculated as Government Transactions. J^ovember 1988 21 the difference between budget receipts and NIPA re- ceipts. Within the control totals derived from the fiscal year analysis, estimates of receipts are prepared using the sources shown in table II-4. The table shows, for de- tailed receipts categories, the source data for the first July revision and for the current estimates. The col- umn for the first July revision describes calendar year and quarterly estimates. The column for current es- timates describes quarterly estimates for all the re- ceipts categories and monthly estimates for those in the personal income and outlay account. When the source data are listed as monthly, it is to be assumed that monthly estimates are summed to quarterly and calendar year estimates. Similarly, when the source data are listed as quarterly, it is to be assumed that the quarterly estimates are summed to calendar year estimates. When the source data are listed as annual (either calendar or fiscal year), the method used to obtain quarterly (or monthly) estimates is also listed. The table also indicates the seasonal adjustment pro- cedure. The seasonally adjusted estimates of receipts are prepared using one of three procedures. For each, the initial effects of tax law changes, when significant, are estimated separately and added to the seasonally ad- justed estimates. The three procedures are as follows: (1) For taxes and contributions for which the quar- terly (or monthly) pattern of payments or liabilities reflects fluctuations in the tax or contributions base, the seasonally adjusted estimates are prepared by in- terpolating and extrapolating the annual estimates us- ing a measure of the base as an indicator. An ex- ample of the use of this approach is personal with- held income taxes, which are interpolated and extrap- olated using as the indicator the monthly seasonally adjusted NIPA wages and salaries less those of farm and private household workers. (2) For taxes or con- tributions for which the quarterly (or monthly) pattern reflects less specific sources of variation or for which the choice of an indicator is less straightforward, the seasonally adjusted estimates are prepared using the Census X-11 seasonal adjustment procedure to adjust the quarterly (or monthly) data directly. An example of the use of this approach is estate and gift taxes. (3) For taxes for which quarterly (or monthly) obser- vations show no seasonality and for receipts for which there are no quarterly (or monthly) data, the season- ally adjusted estimates are prepared by interpolating the annual estimates without an indicator and extrap- olating the current quarterly estimates judgmentally. Examples of the use of this approach are personal non- withheld income taxes (that is, declarations and final settlements less refunds) and all nontaxes. Personal tax and nontax receipts Personal tax and nontax receipts are estimated at the level of detail shown in table II-4. Income taxes Income taxes are estimated in two parts: Withheld taxes, and declarations and final settlements less re- funds. Withheld income taxes are directly withheld at the source, largely by employers, from wages and salaries. Declarations (that is, estimated tax pay- ments) are paid quarterly, largely on income not sub- ject to withholding. Final settlements are any addi- tional taxes paid with the filing of tax returns and from audits. Refunds are the return to the taxpayer of excess taxes paid, including excess social security contributions for individuals holding more than one job, and any interest paid on the refunds. Withheld income taxes. — ^Withheld taxes are from the MTS [77] and are the sum of three pieces: With- held individual income taxes, withheld social security taxes (including employer taxes), and the employer so- cial security tax for Federal employees (included in undistributed offsetting receipts). Monthly data are summed to derive a quarterly estimate of cash-basis withheld social security and income taxes. An estimate of combined NIPA social security and income tax payments is derived by lagging approxi- mately 9 percent of each quarter's cash-basis receipts to the prior quarter. The percentage to be lagged is ad- justed when legislation changes the payment schedule required of employers. An estimate of withheld social security taxes is sub- tracted from the combined estimate to obtain an es- timate of NIPA withheld income taxes. The estimate of withheld social security taxes (including those for Federal employees) is from Social Security Adminis- tration (SSA) tabulations of tax returns filed by em- ployers [57]. (Until 1987 the MTS data mentioned ear- lier did not include social security contributions from State and local governments. The data from SSA for years prior to 1987 are adjusted to provide an estimate of contributions conforming to coverage of the MTS.) The estimate of withheld income taxes is prepared quarterly; quarterly not seasonally adjusted estimates are summed to calendar year estimates. Monthly and quarterly seasonally adjusted esti- mates of withheld income taxes are prepared by in- terpolating the calendar year estimates using NIPA seasonally adjusted wages and salaries less those of farm and private household workers as the indicator. Allowance is made for changes in the withholding rate schedule. Current estimates are extrapolations using the same indicator. Declarations and final settlements less refunds. — Declarations and final settlements are to- gether often referred to as nonwithheld income taxes. Monthly NIPA nonwithheld taxes are from the MTS [77] and are the sum of three pieces: Other in- come taxes, presidential election campaign fund col- lections, and social security taxes vmder the Self- Employment Contributions Act (SECA). Monthly esti- mates are summed to obtain quarterly estimates. An 22 Government Transactions. JSlovemher 1988 Table 11-4. — Federal Government Receipts: Sources of Estimates Line Category Calen- dar year 1982 (billions of dollars) Procedure used to prepare seasonally adjusted estimates First July revision: Quarterly and calendar year estimates' Current quarterly and, when applicable, monthly estimates 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 Receipts . Personal tax and nontax receipts. Income taxes Withheld Declarations and final settlements less refunds. Estate and gift taxes , Nontaxes ■ Corporate profits tax accruals Federal Reserve banks Other. Indirect business tax and nontax accruals. Excise taxes Alcohol Tobacco . Windfall profit tax . Gasoline Telephone and telegraph. Coal Nuclear fuel Diesel fuel.... Air transport. Other^ Customs duties Nontaxes" 635.3 304.5 296.5 265.6 30.9 7.6 49.0 15.2 33.8 48.1 32.7 5.4 2.5 15.7 4.1 Contributions for social insurance. Employer contributions Old-age, survivors, disability, ana hospital insurance. Old-age, survivors, and disability insurance. Hospital insurance .6 1.4 2.0 8.6 6.8 233.7 130.8 86.0 69.2 16.8 Interpolated and extrapolated using W&S as indicator. Interpolated without indicator and extrapolated judgmentally. Multiplicative X-1 1 for quarters and interpolated without indicator for months. Interpolated without indicator and extrapolated judgmentally. See corporate profits methodology paper. See corporate profits methodology paper. Multiplicative X-11; interpolated without indicator or extrapolated judgmentally. Multiplicative X-11 NSA = SA Multiplicative X-11 Interpolated using personal consumption expenditures for telephone services as indicator. NSA = SA NSA = SA NSA = SA NSA = SA Interpolated without indicator and extrapolated judgmentally. Multiplicative X-11 Interpolated without indicator and extrapolated judgmentally. Interpolated and extrapolated usmg W&S as indicator. MTS data less SSA withheld social security. MTS data less SSA nonwithheld social security and IRS refunds. MTS gross receipts less IRS refunds. Budget data; FY estimates interpolated using MTS receipts as indicator or interpolated without indicator. See corporate profits methodology paper. See corporate profits methodology paper. IRS FY receipts, interpolated using withdrawals from bonded warehouses. IRS FY receipts, interpolated using withdrawals from bonded warehouses. SO/ liabilities IRS quarterly liabilities; calendar year interpolated using DOE gasoline production as indicator. IRS quarterly liabilities IRS quarterly liabilities Unpublished detail supporting the MTS. IRS quarterly liabilities IRS quarterly liabilities IRS quarterly liabilities MTS receipts Budget data; FY estimates interpolated using MTS receipts as indicator or interpolated without indicator. SSA quarterly taxable W&S multiplied by tax rate. SSA quarterly taxable W&S multiplied by tax rate for those covered by OASDI. Extrapolated using W&S as indicator. Extrapolated judgmentally, guided by budget projection. MTS, when available, DTS. and Extrapolated judgmentally, guided by budget projection. See corporate profits methodology paper. See corporate profits methodology paper. Extrapolated using withdrawals, when available, or judgmentally. Extrapolated using withdrawals, when available, or judgmentally. No taxes are currently paid. Extrapolated using DOE gasoline production as indicator. Extrapolated using personal consumption expenditures for telephone services as indicator. Extrapolated judgmentally. Unpublished detail supporting the MTS, when available, and extrapolated judgmentally. Extrapolated judgmentally. Extrapolated judgmentally. Extrapolated judgmentally. MTS, when available, and DTS. Extrapolated judgmentally, guided by budget projection. Extrapolated using W&S as indicator. Government Transactions. Jslovember 1988 23 Table 11-4. — Federal Government Receipts: Sources of Estimates — Continued Line Category Calen- dar year 1982 (billions of dollars) Procedure used to prepare seasonally adjusted estimates First July revision: Quarterly and calendar year estimates' Current quarterly and, when applicable, monthly estimates 30 31 Unemployment insurance State tax 17.0 12.8 3.7 .2 .3 24.3 9.0 15.4 2.0 .9 .5 102.9 92.9 86.1 69.3 16.9 6.8 3.9 .1 4.3 .8 .7 Interpolated and extrapolated using W&S as indicator. Interpolated and extrapolated using W&S as indicator. Interpolated and extrapolated using W&S as indicator. Imputation using benefits; see table 11-5. Regular: Interpolated and extrapolated using W&S as indicator; Additional: NSA = SA. Imputation using benefits; see table 11-5. Interpolated and extrapolated using W&S as indicator. Interpolated without indicator and extrapolated judgmen tally. Imputation using benefits; see table 11-5. Imputation using benefits; see table 11-5. Interpolated and extrapolated using W&S as indicator. UIS collections, lagged Extrapolated using W&S as indicator. Extrapolated using W&S as indicator. Extrapolated using W&S as indicator. Imputation using benefits; see table 11-5. Regular: Extrapolated using W&S as indicator; Additional: Extrapolated ludqmentally, guided by budget projection. Imputation using benefits; see table 11-5. Extrapolated using W&S as indicator. Extrapolated judgmentally. Imputation using benefits; see table 11-5. Imputation using benefits; see table 11-5. 32 Federal tax UIS annual taxable wages, multiplied by tax rates; interpolated over quarters using State unemployment insurance taxable wages. RRB annual taxable wages, multiplied by tax rate; interpolated over quarters using MTS receipts. Imputation using benefits; see table 11-5. Regular: MTS receipts; Additional: OPM contributions. Imputation using benefits; see table 11-5. Regular: RRB annual taxable wages, multiplied by tax rate;. Supplemental: FY receipts adjusted to annual estimate. Total interpolated over quarters based on MTS receipts. VA financial reports 33 Railroad employees 34 Federal employees 35 36 Federal employee retirement.. Civilian 37 Military 38 Railroad retirement 39 Veterans life insurance 40 Workers' compensation Imputation using benefits; see table 11-5. Imputation using benefits; see table 11-5. 41 42 Military medical insurance Personal contributions 43 44 Old-aae, survivors, disability, ana hospital insurance. Employees Extrapolated using W&S as indicator. 45 Old-age, survivors, and disability insurance.. Hospital insurance SSA quarterly taxable W&S multiplied by tax rate. SSA quarterly taxable W&S multiplied by tax rate for those covered by OASDI. SSA annual taxable earnings multiplied by tax rale andf allocated to quarter of payment. MTS receipts 4fi 47 Self-employed Calendar year divided by 12 Interpolated without indicator and extrapolated judgmen tally. Interpolated and extrapolated using W&S as indicator. Interpolated and extrapolated using W&S as indicator. Interpolated and extrapolated using W&S as indicator. Interpolated without indicator and extrapolated judgmen tally. Extrapolated judgmentally, guided by budget projection. Extrapolated judgmentally. 48 Supplementary medical insurance. State unemployment insurance. Federal civilian employee retirement. ^ Railroad retirement 49 UIS taxable earnings from States, multiplied by tax rate. MTS receipts guided by budget projection. Extrapolated using W&S as indicator. Extrapolated using W&S as indicator. Extrapolated using W&S as indicator. Extrapolated judgmentally. 51 RRB annual taxable wages, multiplied by tax rate; interpolated over quarters using MTS receipts. VA premium payments 5? Veterans life insurance 1. Except as noted, the estimates for later revisions have the sanoe sources. 2. Inclucjes passport ancj immigration fees, certain other fees, fines, migratory bird-hunting stamps, and gifts to U.S. government funds. 3. Includes the use tax on certain vehicles and excise taxes on trucks, buses, trailers, tires, inner tubes, tread rubber, certain sporting goods, firearms, production of the chemical and oil in- dustries ("Superfund"). and wagering. 4. Includes royalties from petroleum production on the Outer Continental Shelf, other royalties, rents, fees to various regulatory agencies, fines, penalties, forfeitures, and donations to govern- ment funds. DOE DTS U.S. Department of Energy. Daily Treasury Statement. IRS Internal Revenue Service, U.S. Department of the Treasury. MTS Monthly Treasury Statement. NSA Not seasonally adjusted. RRB Railroad Retirement Board. SA Seasonally adjusted. SOI Statistics of Income Bulletin. SSA Social Security Administration, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. UIS Unemployment Insurance Sen/ice, U.S. Department of Labor. VA Veterans' Administration. W&S Wages and salaries. X-11 Census Bureau seasonal adjustment proc»dure. 24 Government Transactions. Jslovemher 1988 estimate of SECA taxes based on tax return tabula- tions from SSA [57] is subtracted from the combined estimate. An excise tax on private foundations — a tax on the income of such institutions — is then added; the tax on private foundations is based on collections re- ported in IRS excise tax data [81]. The resulting quar- terly not seasonally adjusted estimates are summed to obtain calendar year estimates of nonwithheld income taxes. The IRS provides monthly data for refunds of in- come taxes and excess social security withholdings [82]; these data differ from the MTS data because they include interest on refunds. Monthly data are summed to obtain quarterly not seasonally adjusted estimates, and the latter are summed to obtain calendar year es- timates. For the monthly and quarterly seasonally adjusted estimates, the combined estimate of declarations and settlements less refunds is interpolated without an indicator, with allowance for tax law changes. Cur- rent estimates are judgmental extrapolations guided by budget projections, with allowance for tax law changes. Estate and gift taxes Estate and gift taxes (gross) are from the MTS [77], and refunds (including interest) are from IRS data [82]. Monthly data are summed to obtain quarterly not seasonally adjusted estimates, and the latter are summed to obtain calendar year estimates. The gross receipts and refunds are seasonally ad- justed separately using the Census X-11 procedure, with allowance for tax law changes. The resulting quarterly series are interpolated over months without an indicator, with allowance for tax law changes. For the current quarterly estimates, the advance es- timate is based on 2 months of data from the MTS and a preliminary third-month estimate from the Daily Treasury Statement (DTS) [76]. Three months of MTS data are available for the preliminary estimate. All monthly estimates are interpolated without an indica- tor from the quarterly estimates. Personal nontaxes Personal nontaxes consist of a wide variety of small payments from individuals to the Federal Govern- ment. Among them are passport and immigration fees, fines paid by persons, and migratory bird-hunting stamps. Nontaxes for the fiscal year are from budget data [4A-2, 79, 80], largely data on miscellaneous receipts and proprietary receipts (which, in the budget data, are offsets to expenditures). For nontaxes included in budget proprietary receipts, the fiscal year estimate is interpolated over quarters using the pattern of the collecting agency's proprietary receipts from the MTS as the indicator; for nontaxes included in budget mis- cellaneous receipts, quarterly estimates are interpo- lations without an indicator. For the nontaxes not included in budget proprietary and miscellaneous re- ceipts, quarterly estimates are interpolations without an indicator. Quarterly not seasonally adjusted esti- mates are summed to obtain calendar year estimates. Monthly and quarterly seasonally adjusted estimates are interpolations without an indicator and, for the current estimates, judgmental extrapolations guided by budget projections. Corporate profits tax accruals See Corporate Profits: Profits Before Tax, Profits Tax Liability, and Dividends, BEA Methodology Paper Se- ries MP-2 [40], for a discussion of the sources and methods for deriving corporate profits tax accruals. Indirect business tax and nontax accruals Excise taxes Alcohol excise taxes. — ^The IRS tabulates alcohol excise tax receipts for the fiscal year [81]; these data are used as the NIPA fiscal year estimate. Quarterly not seasonally adjusted estimates are prepared by pro- rating the fiscal year data using taxable withdrawals from bonded warehouses as the indicator. The with- drawal data are from the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Firearms (BATE) [72, 73]. Estimates are prepared separately for domestic distilled spirits, for domestic beer, and for all other categories of alcohol. Quar- terly not seasonally adjusted estimates are summed to obtain calendar year estimates. Excise taxes for do- mestic distilled spirits and for domestic beer are sea- sonally adjusted using the Census X-11 procedure; for all other alcohol excise taxes, the quarterly season- ally adjusted estimates are interpolations without an indicator. Current quarterly estimates are extrapola- tions using taxable withdrawals as the indicator, when available, or judgmental extrapolations; data on tax- able withdrawals are available 60 days after the end of the month. Tobacco excise taxes. — The IRS tabulates tobacco excise tax receipts for the fiscal year [81]; these data are used as the NIPA fiscal year estimate. Quarterly not seasonally adjusted estimates are prepared by pro- rating the fiscal year data using taxable withdrawals of small cigarettes from bonded warehouses as the in- dicator. The withdrawal data are from the BATE [74]. Quarterly not seasonally adjusted data are summed to obtain calendar year estimates. Quarterly season- ally adjusted estimates are prepared using the Cen- sus X-11 procedure. Current quarterly estimates are extrapolations using taxable withdrawals as the indi- cator, when available, or judgmental extrapolations; data on taxable withdrawals are available 60 days af- ter the end of the month. Windfall profit tax. — The windfall profit tax, in effect from 1980 to 1988, was a per-barrel tax on petroleum production. The Federal Government also Government Transactions. Jslovemher 1988 25 "taxed" the royalties it received on the production of oil on the Outer Continental Shelf and on sales from the Naval petroleum reserve; these "taxes" are not consid- ered taxes in the NIPA's. In the NIPA's, the wind- fall profit tax records liabilities only on private and on State and local government petroleum production. The IRS tabulated the windfall profit tax liability from quarterly tax returns filed by producers [83]. These data, less Federal liability, are used as the NIPA quarterly liability estimate. Quarterly not seasonally adjusted data are used as the seasonally adjusted es- timates. Quarterly estimates are summed to obtain calendar year estimates. No taxes are currently paid. Other excise taxes. — The IRS tabulates liabilities for all of the other types of excise taxes from tax re- turns that are filed in the quarter following the lia- bility [81]. With two exceptions, the NIPA quarterly not seasonally adjusted estimates are derived by lag- ging the IRS data one quarter. Refunds, on a cash basis, are from IRS [82] and include interest; they are subtracted from the "other" excise tax category. Quar- terly estimates are summed to obtain calendar year estimates. The two exceptions to this procedure are for the excise taxes on gasoline and on nuclear fuel. The quarterly gasoline excise tax is interpolated from the calendar year estimate using data from the En- ergy Information Administration, Department of En- ergy (DOE), for gasoline production [53] as the indica- tor, and the excise tax on nuclear fuel is from unpub- lished detail supporting the MTS. Quarterly seasonally adjusted estimates of the gaso- line excise tax are derived using the Census X-11 pro- cedure. Quarterly seasonally adjusted estimates of the telephone and telegraph excise tax are interpolated from the calendar year estimate using personal con- sumption expenditxires (PCE) for telephone services as the indicator. For most of the other types of ex- cise taxes, quarterly not seasonally adjusted data are used as the seasonally adjusted estimates. Current quarterly estimates for gasoline excise taxes are extrapolations using DOE gasoline produc- tion as the indicator. Telephone and telegraph excise taxes are extrapolations using PCE for telephone ser- vices as the indicator. Current quarterly estimates for most of the other types of excise taxes are judgmental extrapolations. Customs duties MTS data on gross customs duties less refrinds [77] are used as the NIPA liability estimate. Quarterly not seasonally adjusted data are summed to obtain cal- endar year estimates. Quarterly seasonally adjusted estimates of gross receipts and refunds are prepared using the Census X-11 procedure. For the current quarterly estimates, the advance es- timate is based on 2 months of MTS data and a prelim- inary third month from the DTS [76]. Three months of MTS data are available for the preliminary estimate. Indirect business nontaxes Indirect business nontaxes consist of a wide variety of payments by business to the Federal Government. Among them are royalties from petroleum production on the Outer Continental Shelf and fines. Nontaxes for the fiscal year are from budget data [4A-2, 79, 80], largely data on miscellaneous receipts and proprietary receipts (which, in the budget data, are offsets to expenditures). For nontaxes included in budget proprietary receipts, the fiscal year estimate is prorated over quarters using the collecting agency's proprietary receipts from the MTS as the indicator; for nontaxes included in budget miscellaneous receipts, quarterly estimates are interpolations without an indi- cator. For most of the nontaxes not included in budget proprietary and miscellaneous receipts, quarterly esti- mates are interpolations without an indicator. Quar- terly not seasonally adjusted estimates are summed to obtain calendar year estimates. Quarterly season- ally adjusted estimates are interpolations without an indicator and, for the current estimates, judgmental extrapolations guided by budget projections. Contributions for social insurance Table II-4 lists contributions by program for the various social insurance programs, separately for em- ployer contributions and for personal contributions, as they are shown in NIPA table 3.6. The descriptions that follow are by program only, because the method- ology is the same for employer and personal contribu- tions in programs that have both. Old-age, survivors, and disability insurance (OASDI) Employer and employee contributions. — ^The old-age and survivors insurance (OASI) trust fund makes benefit payments to eligible retired workers and to their survivors. The disability insurance (DI) trust fund makes benefit payments to eligible disabled workers. These funds, which are better known as so- cial security, are financed by contributions based on taxable wages and salaries and on the taxable earn- ings of the self-employed. (Contributions by the self- employed are discussed next.) Workers covered by OASDI are subject to taxes on all wages and salaries until they reach a "maximum taxable earnings" for the year. In most cases, the employer and the employee pay identical taxes into the trust funds. Employees who work for more than one employer may have too much OASDI tax withheld. If the combined earnings from all employers exceed the maximum for the year, the employee is entitled to a refund, which is claimed on the tax return for individual income taxes. Budget data record these refunds as an offset to OASDI taxes; the NIPA's treat the refunds as an offset to personal in- come taxes. Calendar year data on wages and salaries subject to OASDI taxes are from SSA tabulations of tax returns filed by employers and published in the So- 26 Government Transactions. JsJovemher 1988 cial Security Bulletin: Annual Statistical Supplement [57]. These data are adjusted to exclude U.S. terri- tories and Puerto Rico, based on data from the same source. The remaining taxable wages and salaries are multiplied by the tax rate (including that for hospi- tal insurance, which is discussed later), separately for the employee and employer, to derive calendar year estimates of OASDI contributions (including those for hospital insurance). The SSA also provides unpublished calendar year data for tips, which are subject to the employee tax. The estimate of taxable tips is multiplied by that tax rate and added to the employee contributions previ- ously calculated. The SSA also provides quarterly not seasonally ad- justed taxable wages and salaries, which are multi- plied, as described for the calendar year data, by the tax rate to derive quarterly not seasonally adjusted OASDI contributions. The calendar year estimate of contributions from the territories and Puerto Rico is interpolated using total quarterly contributions as the indicator. The resulting estimate is subtracted from total OASDI contributions to derive quarterly not sea- sonally adjusted NIPA contributions (including those for hospital insurance). Monthly and quarterly seasonally adjusted esti- mates are interpolations of the calendar year esti- mates using a seasonally adjusted variant of NIPA wages and salaries as the indicator. The effects of changes in the tax rate and the maximum taxable earnings, which historically have taken effect in Jan- uary, are estimated separately and added to the sea- sonally adjusted estimates. Current monthly and quarterly estimates are ex- trapolations using the variant of NIPA wages and salaries as the indicator, with allowance for changes in the tax rate or the maximum taxable earnings. Employer contributions paid by government — which are needed to estimate compensation of government employees, a component of government purchases — are based on SSA unpublished calendar year estimates of taxable wages and salaries for military. Federal civilian, and State and local government employees. The employer contributions are derived by multiply- ing these wages and salaries by the employer tax rate (including that for hospital insurance). Quarterly and monthly estimates are interpolations without indica- tor of the calendar year estimates, modified for pay raises and changes in the tax rate or maximum taxable earnings. Employer contributions for military employ- ees are allocated to general government, and contri- butions for Federal civilian employees are allocated to civilian general government and enterprises by the relationship of wages and salaries in Federal civilian general government and in Federal enterprises. Em- ployer contributions for State and local employees are allocated to general government and enterprises in the same manner using the relationship of State and local wages. Current quarterly and monthly estimates are judgmental extrapolations using the variant of wages and salaries as the indicator, modified for pay raises and for changes in the tax rate or the maximum tax- able earnings. Self-employed contributions. — ^The SSA provides calendar year estimates of taxable earnings from self- employment [57], and these are multiplied by the tax rate (including those for hospital insurance). The re- sulting estimates of contributions are allocated to the quarter of pajmient. Beginning in 1966, the liability for each year is assumed to be paid as follows: (1) 30 percent in quarterly declarations, with equal pay- ments made in April, June, and September of the tax year and in January of the following year; and (2) 70 percent in final settlements in the following year, with 25 percent of the final settlements in the first quarter and 75 percent in the second quarter. Monthly season- ally adjusted estimates are the calendar year estimate divided by 12. Current monthly estimates are judg- mental extrapolations guided by budget projections. Prior to 1966, when the form for estimated income tax payments did not include self-employed contributions, it was assumed that these liabilities were paid with income tax returns in the following year. Hospital and supplementary medical insurance The hospital insurance (HI) and the supplementary medical insurance (SMI) trust funds provide what is better known as medicare. HI covers care provided by hospitals, skilled nursing facilities, home health agencies, and hospices and is financed by contributions based on taxable wages and salaries. HI is manda- tory for all workers covered by OASDI and for certain groups of workers not covered by OASDI — ^railroad em- ployees, some Federal civilian employees, and some State and local employees hired afl^er March 1986. SMI, which is optional, covers physician services, hos- pital outpatient and laboratory services, treatment for end-stage renal disease, and medical equipment. The SMI fund is financed by a monthly premium and by general revenues. All wages and salaries taxable for OASDI (discussed earlier) are also taxable for HI. Calendar year and quarterly not seasonally adjusted HI contributions are derived using the HI tax rate in the same manner as described for the OASDI estimates. Of the gi-oups of workers not covered by OASDI, the SSA provides cal- endar year and quarterly not seasonally adjusted es- timates of taxable wages and salaries for Federal and for State and local government employees [57]. The quarterly taxable wages and salaries are multiplied by the HI tax rate to obtain quarterly not seasonally adjusted estimates of employer and personal contri- butions. The Railroad Retirement Board (RRB) pro- vides unpublished calendar year estimates for railroad wages and salaries taxable for HI; the calendar year estimate is divided by four to obtain quarterly not sea- sonally adjusted estimates. Government Transactions. Jslovember 1988 27 Monthly and quarterly seasonally adjusted HI con- tributions for those subject to OASDI taxes are derived in combination with the OASDI estimates described earlier. Monthly and quarterly seasonally adjusted HI contributions for the other groups are prepared by interpolating the calendar year estimates without an indicator and by extrapolating judgmentally. The ini- tial effects of changes in the tax rate or the maximum taxable earnings are estimated separately and added to the seasonally adjusted estimates. Employer HI contributions paid by government on wages and salaries subject to OASDI taxes — needed to estimate compensation of employees — are estimated using the same methods as the corresponding OASDI contributions discussed earlier. Employer HI contri- butions for Federal employees not subject to OASDI are allocated to civilian general government and enter- prises by the relationship of wages and salaries in Fed- eral civilian general government and in enterprises. Employer contributions for State and local employees not subject to OASDI are allocated in the same man- ner using the relationship of State and local wages. Supplementary medical insurance premiums are from the MTS [77]. SSA provides calendar year pre- miums from U.S. territories and Puerto Rico. These premiums are interpolated over months using total premiums as the indicator and subtracted from total premiums to yield NIPA monthly not seasonally ad- justed estimates. The monthly estimates are summed to calendar year estimates. Monthly and quarterly seasonally adjusted esti- mates are interpolations of the calendar year estimate without an indicator, allowing for increases in the monthly premium. Current estimates are judgmen- tal extrapolations, guided by budget projections and allowing for increases in the premium. Unemployment insurance Contributions to the unemployment insurance trust fund are generated by a State and a Federal tax im- posed on wages and salaries paid by most private em- ployers and a special Federal tax for the railroad in- dustry. Most taxes are on employers; a few States tax employees. In the NIPA's, an employer contribution is imputed for unemployed former Federal military and civilian employees. State unemployment tax. — ^The State tax consists of (1) taxes paid by most private employers and a few State and local governments on wages and salaries up to a maximum, (2) taxes paid by employees in a few States, and (3) a reimbursement of benefits by certain employers — some State and local govern- ments and some nonprofit organizations — in lieu of paying the regular tax. The maximum taxable earn- ings varies from State to State, but cannot be lower than the maximum taxable earnings for the Federal tax. The Unemployment Insurance Service (UIS), Em- ployment and IVaining Administration, provides un- published data on quarterly taxes paid; these taxes do not include the reimbursable amounts. The data are lagged one quarter to approximate the liability timing used in the NIPA's and summed to a calendar year es- timate. An estimate of taxes paid by employers in the U.S. territories and Puerto Rico, also based on UIS data [63, 65], is subtracted to derive the NIPA es- timate. A portion of the NIPA estimate is allocated to personal contributions using information from the States that tax employees. The reimbursable amoimt is an estimate of reimbursable unemployment insur- ance benefits discussed in the derivation of expendi- tures (see page 44). Quarterly seasonally adjusted estimates of employer contributions are interpolations of the calendar year estimates using seasonally adjusted private wages and salaries less those of railroad, farm, and private household workers as the indicator. The seasonally adjusted reimbursable amount is based on the esti- mate of the seasonally adjusted reimbursable benefits. The monthly seasonally adjusted estimates of personal contributions are interpolations of the calendar year using the wages and salaries indicator just mentioned. Changes in the tax rate or the maximum taxable earn- ings, which regularly occur in January, are estimated separately and added to the seasonally adjusted esti- mates. Current monthly and quarterly estimates of em- ployer and personal contributions are extrapolations using the private wages and salaries mentioned above as the indicator, with allowance for tax changes. The current estimate of the reimbursable amount is based on the estimate of seasonally adjusted reimbursable benefits. The regular employer contributions paid by State and local governments — needed to estimate compen- sation of employees — are based on a BEA tabulation of data from UIS and are allocated between general government and government enterprises by the rela- tionship of State and local wages and salaries in gen- eral government and in government enterprises. Most of the reimbursable amount paid by State and local governments is allocated to general government. Federal unemployment tax. — The Federal unem- ployment tax has two parts: A national tax at a uni- form rate and a State-specific surtax at varying rates. All covered employers are subject to the uniform tax rate. In addition, in some States that have borrowed funds from the Federal Government to finance ben- efits, covered employers are subject to a surtax that depends on the amount and duration of the State's in- debtedness. Calendar year estimates are based on unpublished taxable wages and salaries, by State, compiled by UIS from annual tax returns filed by employers. The tax- able wages and salaries are multiplied by the uniform tax rate and, for States with a surtax, the taxable wages and salaries from that State are multiplied by the surtax rate. Information for the individual State 28 Government Transactions. JNovember 1988 surtaxes is from UIS. Quarterly not seasonally ad- justed estimates are interpolations using wages and salaries taxable for State unemployment insurance as the indicator. Quarterly seasonally adjusted estimates are inter- polations of the calendar year estimates using season- ally adjusted private wages and salaries less those of railroad, farm, and private household workers as the indicator. Current estimates are extrapolations using the same indicator. Changes in the tax rate or the maximum taxable earnings are estimated separately and added to the seasonally adjusted estimates. Railroad employees. — Calendar year estimates are based on taxable wages and salaries compiled by the RRB [91]. These wages and salaries are multi- plied by the Federal railroad unemployment tax rate to derive employer contributions for railroad employ- ees. Quarterly not seasonally adjusted estimates are interpolations using MTS receipts [77] for this pro- gram as the indicator. QuEirterly seasonally adjusted estimates are interpolations and, for the current esti- mates, extrapolations using seasonally adjusted NIPA railroad wages and salaries as the indicator. Changes in the tax rate or the maximum taxable earnings are estimated separately and added to the seasonally ad- justed estimates. Federal employees. — The estimates of contribu- tions are the equivalent of unemployment benefits for former Federal employees discussed in the derivation of expenditures (see page 44). This imputation is an employer contribution and is allocated to civilian gen- eral government and government enterprises by the relationship of wages and salaries in Federal civilian general government and in Federal government enter- prises. Federal employee retirement Civilian retirement. — Federal civilian retirement contributions are made to the following: The civil ser- vice retirement and disability fund, the foreign ser- vice retirement and disability fund, the judicial sur- vivors fiind, the Federal Reserve Board fund, and the Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA) program. In addi- tion, contributions, equivalent to retirement benefits, are imputed for the following: Former commissioned officers of the Public Health Service, retired Federal judges, former lighthouse service personnel and sur- vivors, and certain former employees of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Calendar year and quarterly not seasonally adjusted estimates of employer and employee regular contribu- tions to the civil service fund are from the MTS [77]. Additional employer contributions, due at the end of the fiscal year to cover certain unfunded liabilities, are based on unpublished data from the Office of Person- nel Management (0PM) [13K]. These additional con- tributions are allocated equally to the four quarters of the fiscal year and then summed to calendar year es- timates. Calendar year and quarterly not seasonally adjusted estimates of employer and employee regular contributions to the foreign service fund and to the ju- dicial survivors fund are from the MTS [77]. An addi- tional contribution to the foreign service fund, from the Budget Appendix [4A-2], is similar to that described for the civil service fund and is treated in the same man- ner. Calendar year contributions for the Federal Re- serve Board fund are available from the Board [2], and contributions for the TVA program are available from the agency [20]; quarterly not seasonally adjusted esti- mates for both are interpolations without an indicator. Calendar year and quarterly not seasonally adjusted estimates for all imputed retirement contributions are equivalent to the estimates of benefits for the various retirement programs as discussed in the derivation of expenditures (see page 45). Seasonally adjusted estimates of the regular con- tributions are interpolations of the calendar year es- timates using seasonally adjusted Federal civilian wages and salaries as the indicator. The not sea- sonally adjusted additional employer contributions are used as the seasonally adjusted estimates. Cur- rent monthly and quarterly estimates of the regu- lar contributions are extrapolations using the wages and salaries series as the indicator; the additional employer contributions are judgmental extrapolations guided by budget projections. The estimates of contributions to the civil service retirement fund include contributions for some em- ployees of the District of Columbia. Contributions for these employees are from the MTS [77] and are divided equally as employer and employee contribu- tions. A portion of the District of Columbia contribu- tion is allocated to State and local general government and government enterprises in the same manner as for the State unemployment tax. Federal Government employer regular contributions are allocated to civil- ian general government and enterprises in the same manner as for the unemployment contribution. The additional Federal employer contribution is allocated to civilian general government and government enter- prises on the basis of the unpublished data from 0PM. The imputations, like the cash contributions to retire- ment funds, are a part of Federal employee compensa- tion and are allocated to civilian general government and enterprises in the same manner described for un- employment contributions. Military retirement. — Estimates of contributions for military retirement, including those for the Coast Guard, are imputations based on estimates of retire- ment benefits discussed in the derivation of expendi- tures (see page 45). All contributions are employer contributions by general government. Railroad retirement Railroad retirement contributions consist of em- ployer and employee taxes paid on monthly maximum taxable earnings and a separate "supplemental" em- ployer contribution based on hours worked. Railroad Government Transactions. J\Iovember 1988 29 retirement contributions include contributions for HI. The RRB calculates the required annual HI contribu- tion and transfers it to the HI trust fund. Calendar year estimates of the combined retirement and HI contributions are based on wages and salaries subject to railroad retirement and HI taxes from the RRB [91]. Taxable wages and salaries are multiplied by tax rates to derive employer and employee contri- butions for combined retirement and HI. The HI tax- able wages are multiplied by the HI tax rate, and this estimate is subtracted from the combined estimates to obtain the annual estimates for retirement contri- butions. Calendar year estimates of the supplemen- tal employer contribution are derived by dividing fis- cal year estimates from the Budget Appendix [4A-2] by four and summing the appropriate quarterly esti- mates. Monthly and quarterly not seasonally adjusted es- timates are interpolations of the calendar year esti- mates using the MTS railroad retirement contribu- tions data as the indicator. The quarterly not season- ally adjusted HI estimates are prepared by dividing the calendar year estimate by four; this series is sub- tracted from the not seasonally adjusted railroad re- tirement contributions and added to HI contributions. Monthly and quarterly seasonally adjusted esti- mates are interpolations and, for the current esti- mates, extrapolations using seasonally adjusted NIPA railroad wages and salaries as the indicator. Changes in the tax rate or the maximum taxable earnings are estimated separately and added to the seasonally ad- justed estimates. Veterans life insurance There are five veterans life insurance programs: Na- tional Service Life Insurance, United States Govern- ment Life Insurance, the service-disabled insurance fund, the veterans special life insurance fund, and the veterans reopened insurance fund. The programs are funded by premiums paid by veterans and by Federal Government payments. The Veterans' Administration provides data for monthly insurance premiums paid by veterans for all programs [93], which are treated as personal contri- butions for social insurance. Quarterly not seasonally adjusted and calendar year NIPA estimates are the sum of the monthly estimates. Government payments on behalf of servicemen are treated as employer contributions. Currently, these payments are small, but were large in the period just after World War II. Employer contributions are from the Veterans' Administration financial reports [93]. Quarterly not seasonally adjusted and calendar year NIPA estimates are the sum of the monthly data. All of these payments are employer contributions by general government. Monthly seasonally adjusted estimates are interpolations without indicator and, for the cur- rent estimates, judgmental extrapolations. Workers' compensation The Federal Government pays workers' compensa- tion benefits to Federal employees injured on the job. All estimates of workers' compensation contributions are imputations based on estimates of benefits dis- cussed in the derivation of expenditures (see page 45). The contributions are employer contributions and are allocated judgmentally to general government and en- terprises; current allocations are extrapolations. Military medical insm*ance The Civilian Health and Medical Program of the Uniformed Services (CHAMPUS) provides medical treatment for dependents of active duty military per- sonnel and for military retirees and their dependents. Benefits paid are included in transfer payments to per- sons. Benefits for dependents of active duty military personnel are comparable to health benefits provided for civilian employees and their families, which are part of other labor income in the NIPA's and therefore part of Federal employee compensation. In order to make the measure of military compensation compara- ble to that of civilian compensation, a social insurance contribution is imputed for the portion of CHAMPUS providing benefits for dependents of active duty per- sonnel. The estimates are imputations based on esti- mates of benefits discussed in the derivation of expen- ditures (see page 46). The contributions are employer .contributions by general government. Derivation of Expenditures The NIPA categories of Federal expenditures, as in- dicated earlier, are derived from budget data supple- mented by other information from Federal agencies. These data are adjusted for coverage and for netting and grossing differences, as shown in table II-2, to put them on a basis consistent with NIPA concepts. The sources and methods used to derive NIPA expen- ditures yield the required timing basis; the timing dif- ference shown in table II-2 is calculated as the differ- ence between budget outlays and NIPA expenditures. Table II-5 shows the sources of estimates for Federal Government expenditures. In general, the level of de- tail shown is that at which the estimates are prepared; where footnoted, the level of detail has been aggre- gated to an "other" or "all other" category because the methodology is the same for the detailed estimates. Purchases of goods and services Federal Government purchases of goods and ser- vices are estimated for two major categories: National defense, and nondefense. The national defense cate- gory consists of the purchases of goods and services for the activities covered by the national defense func- tion in the budget — military activities of the Depart- 30 Government Transactions. Jslovember 1988 Table li-5.— Federal Government Expenditures: Sources of Estimates Line 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 Category Expenditures . Purchases of goods and services. National defense Nondefense. Commodity Credit Corporation inventory change. Acquisitions Barley Butter Cheese Corn Upland cotton Grain sorghum Dried milk Rough rice Soybeans Wheat All other crops Accounting adjustment. Less; Dispositions Barley Butter Cheese Corn Upland cotton Grain sorghum Dried milk Rough rice Soybeans Wheat All other crops Accounting adjustment. National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Imputed financial services... Other 2 . Transfer payments To persons Benefits from social insurance funds. Old-age, sun/ivors, and disability insurance. Hospital and supplementary medical insurance. Unemployment insurance . State Calendar year 1982 (Billions of dollars) Railroad employees. Federal employees Special unemployment benefits. Federal employee retirement. Civilian 781.2 272.7 193.8 78.9 9.2 15.2 .2 .6 .9 4.2 1.9 .6 .8 .6 2.2 2.1 .8 .3 6.0 .1 .5 .5 1.1 .9 .1 .4 .2 1.1 .5 .6 5.8 63.5 324.1 316.3 273.6 153.7 50.8 25.2 23.4 .3 1.1 35.2 19.9 Procedure used to prepare seasonally adjusted estimates See table 11-7 for sources of estimates. Additive X-1 1 Additive X-1 1 Additive X-1 1 Additive X-1 1 Additive X-1 1 Additive X-1 1 Additive X-1 1 Additive X-1 1 Additive X-1 1 NSA = SA Additive X-1 1 Additive X-1 1 NSA = SA NSA = SA Additive X-1 1 Additive X-1 1 Additive X-1 1 NSA = SA Additive X-1 1 Additive X-1 1 Additive X-1 1 Additive X-1 1 Additive X-1 1 NSA = SA Multiplicative X-1 1 , Interpolated using flow of funds holdings as indicator. Multiplicative X-1 1 except for compensation. Multiplicative X-11 Interpolated without indicator and extrapolated judgmentally. Multiplicative X-11 for regular and reimbursable benefits; NSA = SA for extended benefits. Multiplicative X-11 Multiplicative X-11 NSA = SA Multiplicative X-1 1 for civil service retirement and NSA = SA for all other. First July revision: Quarterly and calendar year estimates ' See table 11-7 for sources of estimates. Cun-ent quarterly and, when applicable, monthly estimates See table 11-7 for sources of estimates. For each commodity, the following sources are used: ASCS for information about quantities and trans- action prices for CCC activities NASS for nondairy market price information AMS for dairy market price information MTS outlays and fiscal year analysis relationships. FDIC and Federal Reserve Board data on bank income and on deposits. MTS outlays and fiscal year analysis relationships except for compensation. SSA monthly payments. MTS outlays and fiscal year analysis relationships. UIS annual benefits, prorated usinq gross UIS monthly regular and extended benefits. AfTS outlays UIS benefits UIS MTS outlays for civil service and foreign service retirement; aqency or budget data for all other. MTS outlays and fiscal year analysis relationships. Extrapolated judgmentally. MTS outlays and fiscal year analysis relationships except for compensation. Extrapolated judgmentally; SSA monthly payments, when available. Extrapolated judgmentally, guided by budget projection. Extrapolated judgmentally, guided by cash withdrawals and unemployment rates. Extrapolated judgmentally; MTS outlays when available. Extrapolated judgmentally. No benefits are currently paid. Extrapolated judgmentally; civil service and foreign service from MTS when available. Government Transactions. J^ovemher 1988 31 Table 11-5. — Federal Government Expenditures: Sources of Estimates — Continued Line Category Calendar year 1982 (Billions of dollars) Procedure used to prepare seasonally adjusted estimates First July revision; Quarterly and calendar year estimates ' Current quarterly and, when applicable, monthly estimates 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 Military. Railroad retirement . Veterans life insurance . Workers' compensation Military medical insurance '. Veterans benefits Pension and disability . Readjustment. Food stamp benefits. Black lung benefits Supplemental security income. Earned income credit .. Other Aid to students ■* . Payments to nonprofit institutions. Military medical insurance ^ All other 5 To foreigners. Grants-in-aid to State and local governments. Highways Medicaid Public assistance Education Urban renewal Revenue sharing Public service jobs Community development Urban mass transit Water and sewage treatment 15.4 5.8 1.4 14.9 13.3 1.6 9.9 1.7 6.9 1.2 8.2 4.5 2.6 7.8 83.9 7.7 17.9 2.6 7.7 .1 4.6 .1 4.0 2.6 3.4 Multiplicative X-11 NSA = SA. Multiplicative X-11 in most years; NSA = SA in others. Interpolated without indicator and extrapolated judgmen tally. NSA = SA Multiplicative X-11 Interpolated using judgmental indicator and extrapolated judgmen tally. Multiplicative X-11 NSA = SA NSA = SA Calendar year divided by 12 .. NSA = SA Interpolated without indicator and extrapolated judgmentally. NSA = SA NSA = SA for most programs; Alaskan native claims interpolated without indicator. NSA = SA for most programs; calendar year divided by 4 for contributions to international organizations. Multiplicative X-11 NSA = SA NSA = SA Multiplicative X-11 Multiplicative X-11 NSA = SA NSA = SA Multiplicative X-11 Multiplicative X-11 Multiplicative X-11 wrs outlays Mrs outlays VA reports ESA reports DOD reports MTS outlays and VA reports MTS outlays and VA reports FNS reports SSA and ESA reports SSA reports MTS outlays MTS outlays and fiscal year analysis relationships. MTS outlays and fiscal year analysis relationships. DOD reports. MTS outlays and fiscal year analysis relationships. BPA data. MTS outlays and fiscal year analysis relationships. MTS outlays and fiscal year analysis relationships. MTS outlays and fiscal year analysis relationships. MTS outlays and fiscal year analysis relationships. MTS outlays and fiscal year analysis relationships. MTS outlays and fiscal year analysis relationships. MTS outlays and fiscal year analysis relationships. MTS outlays and fiscal year analysis relationships. MTS outlays and fiscal year analysis relationships. MTS outlays and fiscal year analysis relationships. Extrapolated judgmentally; MTS outlays when available. Extrapolated judgmentally; MTS outlays when available. Extrapolated judgmentally; payments data when available. Extrapolated judgmentally, guided by budget projection. Extrapolated judgmentally, guided by budget projection. Extrapolated judgmentally, guided by budget projection; M7i outlays when available. Extrapolated judgmentally, guided by budget projection. Extrapolated judgmentally, guided by budget projections; FNS benefits data when available. SSA and ESA benefits. Extrapolated judgmentally; SSA benefits data when available. Extrapolated judgmentally, guided by budget projection. VA Extrapolated guided by projection. Extrapolated guided by projection. Extrapolated guided by projection. Extrapolated guided by projection. judgmentally, budget judgmentally, budget judgmentally, budget judgmentally, budget BPA projection; BPA data when available. /WrS outlays and fiscal year analysis relationships. MTS outlays and fiscal year analysis relationships. MTS outlays and fiscal year analysis relationships. MTS outlays and fiscal year analysis relationships. MTS outlays and fiscal year analysis relationships. MTS outlays and fiscal year analysis relationships. MTS outlays and fiscal year analysis relationships. MTS outlays and fiscal year analysis relationships. MTS outlays and fiscal year analysis relationships. MTS outlays and fiscal year analysis relationships. 32 Government Transactions. Jlans. Structures New construction put-in-place Residential buildings Education buildings Hospitals and health facilities Other buildings Highways and sti-eets Conservation and development of resources Sanitation and sewerage Water supply facilities Miscellaneous nonbuilding construction Electiic supply facilities Transit facilities Net purchases of existing nonresidential structures Net purchases of existing residential farm structijres Net purchases of existing residential nonfarm sti-uctures Government force-account construction compensation IPD calculated from detail below IPD calculated from detail below Base year value extrapolated by full-time equivalent employment, average work week, and (for primary and secondary teaching) change in years of experience and level of educational attainment. Base year value extrapolated by full-time equivalent employment and average work week. IPD calculated from detail below PPI for commercial power, 40 kw demand CPI for airline fares CPI for automobile insurance CPI for other automobile related fees CPI for college tuition CPI for entertainment services IPD for Federal Government purchases of nondefense transportation service. CPI for lodging while out of town CPI for maintenance and repair services CPI for medical care services CPI for utility piped gas IPD for Federal Government purchases of nondefense parcel post service. CPI for professional services CPI for residential rent CPI for telephone services CPI for inti-acity mass ti-ansit CPI for water and sewerage maintenance Base-year value extrapolated by paid employee hours of commercial banks. IPD calculated from detail below IPD calculated from detail below Bureau of the Census price index of new one-family houses sold, excluding value of lot. Average ofTurner Construction Company building cost index and Bureau of the Census price index of new one-family houses sold, excluding value of lot. Turner Construction Company building cost index Average of Turner Construction Company building cost index and Bureau of the Census price index of new one-family houses sold, excluding value of lot. Federal Highway Administration composite highway construction index Bureau of Reclamation composite construction cost trends index Environmental Protection Agency sewage treatment and sewer constixiction cost index. Average of Federal Energy Regulatory Commission pipeline index and Environmental Protection Agency sewage ti-eatment and sewer consti-uction. Average of the Bureau of Reclamation composite construction cost trends index and Federal Highway Administi-ation composite highway consti-uction index. Bureau of the Census Handy-Whitinan index for electiic light and power plants. Federal Highway Administi-ation highway structures construction index. IPD for purchases of new private nonresidential sti-uctures IPD for purchases of new private residential farm stiuctures IPD for purchases of new private residential nonfarm stiuctijres CPI for maintenance and repair services Mote. — This table reflects weights used for 1982. It should lie understood that the system is not IPD totally stale; changes are made eis one index is replaced by another, or for other reasons. The PPI most importajnt change since 1982 was for force-account compensation; for 1984 and later years, CPI the implicit price deflator for noneducaiion compensation is used, rather than the maintenanoe and repair services index. Implicit price deflator. Producer price index. Consumer price index. Government Transactions. JNovemher 1988 103 Structures Constant-dollar estimates of State and local govern- ment purchases of structures are derived by deflating 11 types of new construction, net purchases of existing structures, and new construction force-account com- pensation. New construction. — ^The 11 types of new construc- tion put in place are deflated by dividing the quar- terly seasonally adjusted, current-dollar estimates by the price indexes shown in table III-6. These indexes are from Current Construction Reports [26]. These in- dexes are smoothed by a three-quarter moving aver- age or are seasonally adjusted using the Census X-11 seasonal adjustment procedure. There are two excep- tions: The Census Bureau index for one-family houses sold and the DOT highway composite index [55] are smoothed by a three-quarter moving average (and the latter is then seasonally adjusted). (Prior to 1985 the Bureau of the Census index was used with seasonal adjustment.) Net purchases of existing structures. — ^Net pur- chases of existing residential and nonresidential struc- tures are deflated by BEA implicit price deflators for new private nonfarm residential structures, for new private farm residential structures, and for new pri- vate nonresidential structures. These estimates are prepared along with other components of gross private domestic fixed investment. New construction force-account compensa- tion. — The value of new construction force-account compensation is deflated by the implicit deflator for noneducation compensation from 1984 forward. Be- fore 1984, the deflator was the CPI for maintenance and repair services. Financial services Constant-dollar estimates of the services rendered without payment to State and local governments by depository institutions — that is, financial intermedi- aries except life insurance carriers and private non- insured pension plans — are obtained by extrapolating the base-year value by BEA estimates of the paid em- ployee hours in commercial banks, based on BLS tab- ulations of average weekly hours worked and of em- ployment and wages reported by employers covered by State unemployment insurance programs [50, 51]. Durable goods, nondurable goods, and other services Deflation of purchases of durable goods, nondurable goods, and other services is performed for approxi- mately 80 types of purchases using detailed price in- dexes, largely components of the PPI. The commod- ity detail is estimated from COG IGF data on ex- penditures for current operations and for equipment and on general government sales, by function, as de- scribed in the derivation of current-dollar purchases, using commodity detail from BEA's benchmark I-O ta- bles. Table III-6 shows the commodity composition of durable goods, nondurable goods, and services, the 1982 weights, and the associated price indexes; nega- tive entries in table III-6 indicate government sales. In the absence of direct measures of the commod- ity composition of State and local government pur- chases of durable goods, nondurable goods, and ser- vices, an indirect procedure is used to estimate the commodity detail from the available annual data on the major categories of purchases — that is, gross pur- chases of equipment, books and audiovisual materi- als, equipment parts, nondurable goods, and services; and sales of durable goods, nondurable goods, and ser- vices. For each function, the quarterly current-dollar estimates for the major categories of purchases are dis- tributed among commodities using the quarterly com- modity price indexes shown in table III-6 and quar- terly constant-dollar commodity weights, derived from BEA's benchmark 1-0 tables for 1967, 1972, and 1977 [34 and references therein].^ Then, for each com- modity, the current-dollar estimates are deflated by the commodity price index shown in table III-6 and summed over all functions. The first step is to prepare the quarterly constant- dollar commodity weights. The 1-0 benchmark com- modity detail, classified by function, is converted to constant base-year (1982) prices, using the price in- dexes shown in table III-6. For each function, the constant-dollar commodity weights are interpolated annually between 1-0 benchmarks and held constant after 1977. For the quarters within each year, the constant-dollar commodity weights are held constant at the annual level. The second step is to prepare the quarterly current- dollar estimates for each major category and fiinction. The annual current-dollar estimates for each major category are interpolated quarterly v/ithout indicator at the aggregate — that is, all-function — level; the ag- gregate quarterly pattern then is used to interpolate the estimates of purchases by each function within the major category. The third step is to estimate the quarterly current- dollar commodity detail for each function. Each quar- terly constant-dollar commodity weight (from the first step) is multiplied by the price of that commodity and the product adjusted proportionately so that the sum of these products over all commodities within the func- tion and major category is equal to the given current- dollar values (from the second step). The fourth step is to derive constant-dollar pur- chases of durable goods, nondurable goods, and other 1. The 1-0 commodity detail is based on an examination of information from a very small sample of governments, on some direct estimates of expen- ditures, and on inferences drawn from the expenditure patterns of private- sector organizations engaged in similar activities. (Before 1959, estimates of detailed purchases were prepared at the aggregate level only, without regard to functional categories, using commodity weights from the 1958 1-0 table.) 104 Government Transactions. JSfovember 1988 services. Each current-dollar commodity estimate (from the third step) is deflated using the appropri- ate index shown in table III-6. Total constant-dollar purchases of each commodity are derived by sum- ming the commodity detail, by function, over all func- tions. Constant-dollar purchases of durable goods, nondurable goods, and other services are obtained by summing the relevant commodity totals. The preceding discussion applies to estimates for an- nual revisions and comprehensive revisions. For cur- rent estimates, a truncated procedure is used that re- quires no functional detail. The aggregate constant- dollar estimates of durable goods, nondurable goods, and other services are extrapolated judgmentally from the final quarter of the most recent full year of an an- nual revision. The aggregate current-dollar estimates of durable goods, nondurable goods, and other services are obtained by multiplying the constant-dollar esti- mates by price indexes constructed from the price in- dexes shown in table III-6, using weights based on the constant-dollar commodity distribution from the final quarter of the most recent fiill year. Sources This is a list of publicly available information used in preparing the estimates of State and local government transactions. Wherever possible, a specific portion of a larger publication is cited — a chapter, a series, or table number/title. In some cases, the information used is more detailed than that available in the listed source, which is the publication most accessible to the public. 1. American Council of Life Insurance. "Annual Statement of the Condition and Affairs of the U.S. Legal Reserve Life Insurance Companies." Wash- ington, DC: ACLI, annually. 2. American Public Welfare Association. A Statisti- cal Summary of the VCIS Social Services Block Grant (SSBG) Data for FY 83. Washington, DC: APWA, October 1985. 3. Association of American Publishers. Annual Re- port. New York, NY: Association of American Pub- lishers, annually. 4. Association of American Railroads. Economics and Finance Department. Analysis of Class I Railroads. Washington, DC: AAR, annually. (Data on railroad subsidies no longer identifiable after 1982.) 5. Blue Cross and Blue Shield Associations. The Blue Cross and Blue Shield Plan Fact Book. Chicago, IL: Blue Cross and Blue Shield Associ- ations, annually. 6. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve Sys- tem. Annual Report. Washington, DC: Board of Governors, annually. 7. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve Sys- tem. Sector Tables. Flow of Funds Accounts. (Sta- tistical Release Z.l.) Washington, DC: Board of Governors, quarterly. 8. Bowker, R. R. The Bowker Annual of Library and Book Trade Information. New York, NY: Bowker, annually. 9. BMT Publications, Inc. Gaming and Wagering Business. New York, NY: BMT Publications, Inc., monthly. 10. The City of New York. Comprehensive Annual Fi- nancial Report of the Comptroller. New York, NY: City of New York, annually. 11. Commerce Clearing House, Inc. State Tax Guide. Chicago, IL: Commerce Clearing House, biweekly. 12. Desonia, Randolph, and King, Kathleen M. State Programs of Assistance for the Medically Indigent. Washington, DC: Intergovernmental Health Pol- icy Project, The George Washington University, November 1985. 13. Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Annual Report. Washington, DC: FDIC, annually. 14. Federal Prison Industries, Inc. Annual Report. Marion, IL: Federal Penitentiary, annually. 15. Health Insurance Association of America. Group Health Insurance Coverages in the United States. New York, NY: HIAA, annually. 16. National Conference of State Legislatures. "State Foster Care Payments to Individuals, 1984." Den- ver, CO, 1986, unpublished. 17. National Education Association. Survey of NBA K-12 Tzacher Members. Appendix B. Washington, DC: National Education Association, annually. 18. National Industrial Conference Board. "Esti- mates of Local Revenues Before 1942." New York, NY, c. 1945, unpublished. 19. New York Crime Victims Board. "State Benefits for Compensation for Victims of Crime, 1979-84." Albany, NY, 1985, unpublished. 20. Standard & Poor's Corporation. "Yield on the Composite 500 Stock Index." Statistical Service: Current Statistics. New York, NY: Standard & Poor's Corporation, monthly. 21. Tax Foundation, Inc. "Local Corporate Profits Tax Revenues." Washington, DC, c. 1965, unpub- lished. 22. Tax Policy League. Tax Yields. New York, NY: Tax Policy League, various years before 1942. 23. Teachers Insurance and Annuity Association of America/College Retirement Equities Fund. "Em- ployer Contributions to TIAA/CREF." New York, NY, annually, unpublished. 24. U.S. Department of Commerce. Bureau of the Census. Census of Governments. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, quinquen- nially. 25. U.S. Department of Commerce. Bureau of the Census. Current Business Reports, Monthly Retail Trade. (Series BR). Washington, DC: U.S. Govern- ment Printing Office, monthly. 26. U.S. Department of Commerce. Bureau of the Census. Current Construction Reports: Value of New Construction Put in Place. (C 30). Wash- ington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, monthly. 27. U.S. Department of Commerce. Bureau of the Census. Finances of Employee-Retirement Sys- tems of State and Local Governments. (GF No. 105 106 Government Transactions. J^ovember 1988 2). Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, annually. 28. U.S. Department of Commerce. Bureau of the Census. Finances of Selected Public Employee- Retirement Systems. (GR Nos. 1-4). Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, quarterly. 29. U.S. Department of Commerce. Bureau of the Census. Governmental Finances. (GF No. 5). Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Of- fice, annually. 30. U.S. Department of Commerce. Bureau of the Census. Public Employment. (GE No. 1). Wash- ington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, an- nually. 31. U.S. Department of Commerce. Bureau of the Census. Quarterly Summary of Federal, State, and Local Tax Revenue. (GT Nos. 1^). Washing- ton, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, quar- terly. 32. U.S. Department of Commerce. Bureau of the Census. State Government Finances. (GF No. 3). Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Of- fice, annually. 33. U.S. Department of Commerce. Bureau of Eco- nomic Analysis. Corporate Profits: Profits Be- fore Tax, Profits Tax Liability, and Dividends. (Methodology Paper Series MP-2). Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, May 1985. 34. U.S. Department of Commerce. Bureau of Eco- nomic Analysis. "The Input-Output Structure of the U.S. Economy, 1977." Survey of Current Business 64 (May 1984): 42-84. 35. U.S. Department of Education. "Education Em- ployment and Hours." Washington, DC, 1973, un- published. 36. U.S. Department of Energy. Energy Information Administration. Financial Statistics of Selected Electric Utilities. Washington, DC: U.S. Govern- ment Printing Office, annually. 37. U.S. Department of Energy. Energy Information Administration. Nuclear Power Plant Construc- tion Activity. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, annually. 38. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. Administration for Children, Youth, and Families. "Aid to Families with Dependent Children (AFDC) Pajonents." Washington, DC, annually, unpub- lished. 39. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. Office of Energy Assistance. Low Income Home Energy Assistance: Report to Congress for Fiscal Year 1986. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1986. 40. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. Office of Family Assistance. AFDC Flash Re- port. Washington, DC: Office of Family Assis- tance, monthly. 41. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. Health Care Financing Administration. "Medi- cal Vendor Payments." Baltimore, MD, quarterly (monthly before 1983), unpublished. 42. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. Social Security Administration. "Medical Pre- mium Payments on Behalf of Indigents." Wash- ington, DC, monthly, unpublished. 43. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. Health Care Financing Administration. "Private Health Insurance Plans: Coverage, Enrollment, and Financial Experience." Health Care Financ- ing Review. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, annually. 44. U.S. Department of Health and Human Ser- vices. Social Security Administration. "Feder- ally Funded Foster Care Payments to Individu- als." Washington, DC, annually, unpublished. 45. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. Social Security Administration. Social Security Bulletin. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, monthly with annual statistical supplement. 46. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. Social Secimty Administration. "Supplemental Security Income Payments." Washington, DC, monthly, unpublished. 47. U.S. Department of Justice. Bureau of Justice Statistics. Prisoners in State and Federal Insti- tutions on December 31. Washington, DC: Bureau of Justice Statistics, annually. 48. U.S. Department of Justice. Office for Victims of Crime. Victims of Crime Act of 1984: Report to Congress by the Attorney General, December 31, 1987. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1988. 49. U.S. Department of Labor. Bureau of Labor Statistics. CPI Detailed Report. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, monthly. 50. U.S. Department of Labor. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Employment and Earnings. Wash- ington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, monthly. 51. U.S. Department of Labor. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Employment and Wages: Annual Aver- ages. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, annually. 52. U.S. Department of Labor. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Producer Prices and Price Indexes. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Of- fice, monthly. 53. U.S. Department of Labor. Employment and Training Administration. "Comprehensive Em- ployment and Training Act (CETA) Payments." Washington, DC, quarterly until 1982, unpub- lished. 54. U.S. Department of Transportation. Federal Highway Administration. Highway Statistics. Government Transactions. J\lovember 1988 107 Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Of- fice, annually. 55. U.S. Department of Transportation. Federal 57. Highway Administration. Price Trends for Federal-Aid Highway Construction. Washington, DC: FHWA, quarterly. 56. U.S. Department of Treasury. Financial Manage- 58. ment Service. Monthly Treasury Statement of Re- ceipts and Outlays of the United States Govern- ment. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Print- ing Office, monthly. U.S. Executive Office of the President. Office of Management and Budget. The Budget of the United States Government. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, annually. Urban Institute. "Staff Studies on Comprehensive Employment and Training Act (CETA)." Washing- ton, DC, c. 1976-78, unpublished. i Appendix III-A Analysis of Charges and Miscellaneous General Revenue, COG, 1982 The first seven columns of table III-A-1 show the derivation of table III-l, column 1, lines 9 through 15. The entries in the first hne of table III-A-1 are the table III-l entries. The entry in the first hne of table III-A-1, column 8, is the coverage adjustment shown in table III-l, column 5, line 15. The entry in the first line of table III-A-1, column 9, is the other taxes and nontaxes entry shown in table III-l, column 12, line 15, minus the timing adjustment shown in table III-l, column 8, line 15. The entry in the first line of table III-A-1, column 10, is the indirect business tax and nontax accruals entry shown in table III-l, column 14, line 15. Table III-A-1. -Distribution of Current Charges and Miscellaneous General Revenue Among Categories of Receipts and Expenditures, FY 1982 [Billions of dollars] COG Total (1) Govern- nnent sales (2) Sale of property (3) Enter- prise revenue (4) Interest earnings (5) Dividends received (6) Other Total (7) Coverage adjust- ment (8) Personal nontaxes (9) Indirect business nontaxes (10) Charges and miscellaneous general revenue, COG 104.0 2.3 5.0 8.6 1.3 17.4 5.0 1.4 1.5 .8 1.5 2.0 1.0 2.3 .4 .6 5.2 1.6 7.1 2.6 5.2 .7 25.8 2.1 2.7 13.0 2.3 5.0 0.7 15.0 25.8 0.1 49.4 1.3 36.4 11.7 Current charges: Education; Institutions of fiigfier education: Auxiliary enterprises ' Other ' 8.6 .3 17.4 8.6 .3 17.4 1.0 Sewerage 5.0 Sanitation other than sewerage (local only) * 1.0 .4 1.5 .4 1.5 Parks and recreation .8 i.5 1.9 1.0 2.3 .4 .6 Highways ' .1 Water transportation and terminals Parking facilities (local only) Miscellaneous commercial activities ' Other' 1.4 3.8 1.6 7.1 2.6 5.2 .3 1.6 1.9 Miscellar)eous general revenue: 1.6 .2 6.9 Donations ' 2.3 4.1 3 Fines and forfeits ' 1.1 .7 25.8 Other: Lotteries (Stale only) and off-track betting (local only) 2.1 .1 All other' 1.5 .1 1.0 .9 .2 1. Published in Governmental Finances lor State; estimated by BEA for local (from underlying unpublished detail). 2. Available in summary detail underlying Governmental Finances. 3. The distribution of the published total to NIPA categories is based on input-output analysis. 4. Data on current charges for local highways are available in underlying unpublished detail. The distribution tjetween toll facilities revenues (enterprise revenues) and other charges (govern- ment sales) is based on data from Highway Slalistics, Federal Highway Administration. 5. Distribution of "other" from BEA analysis of data from Census records for individucd large governments. 6. Data on oil bonuses are from direct contact with States. Such payments are included in Gov- ernmental Finances rents and royalties, but are excluded, as a coverage adjustnnent, from NIPA transactions. 7, This represents sales of land and existing structures. The total is distributed between land and structures, as are the purchases of land and existing structures. The sale of existing struc- tures is a negative addition to gross purchases of structures. Note. — Except where noted, these data can be found in Census of Governments, 1982. COG Census ot Governments. 109 Appendix III-B State and Local Government Functions General control Financial administration Police Fire Correction Elementary and secondary education Higher education Other education (including libraries) Health Hospitals Government employee retirement and disability Workers' compensation Temporary disability insurance Public assistance Veterans programs Housing and urban renewal^ Water supply^ Sewerage^ Sanitation Parks and recreation . Natural gas^ Agriculture Natural resources Electricity supply^ Regular highways Toll highways^ Water terminals^ Air terminals^ Transit^ Protective inspection and regulation Employment and training Liquor stores^ Miscellaneous commercial activities (includes lotteries, off-track betting, parking, and other miscellany)^ Other and unallocable 1. These are enterprise functions. In the national income and product accounts, purchases of goods and services by enterprises consist of capital purchases only. Current operating purchases are included as an expense in the derivation of subsidies less current surplus of government enterprises. Ill -^z Methodology Papers: The National Income and Product Accounts Bureau of Economic Analysis U.S. Department of Commerce 1. Introduction to National Economic Accounting. (1985) Methodology Paper Se- ries MP-1, 19 pages, $1.00 (GPO Stock No. 003-010-00158-5). 2. Corporate Profits: Profits Before Tax, Profits Tax Liability, and Dividends. (1985) Methodology Paper Series MP-2, 61 pages, $2.50 (GPO Stock No. 003-010- 00143-7). 3. Foreign Transactions. (1987) Methodology Paper Series MP-3, 52 pages, $2.75 (GPO Stock No. 003-010-00178-0). 4. GNP:An Overview of Source Data and Estimating Methods. (1987) Methodology Paper Series MP-4, 36 pages, $2.00 (GPO Stock No. 003-010-00179-8). 5. Government Transactions. (1988) Methodology Paper Series MP-5, 120 pages, (GPO Stock No. 003-010-00187-9). Forthcoming: Personal Consumption Expenditures. Gross Private Domestic Fixed Investment. TO ORDER: The GPO publications listed above must be ordered from Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC 20402. Orders should specify the publication's stock or catalog number, title, number of copies, and price. Payment may be by check (made payable to Superintendent of Documents) or charged to a GPO deposit account number, VISA, or MasterCard. To order by phone: (202) 783-3238. 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