} ~ B-1179 August 1977 CONTENTS SUMMARY . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 INTRODUCTION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 3 METHODOLOGY . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 TEXAS WHEAT PRODUCTION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 4 TEXAS GRAIN STORAGE FACILITIES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 Turnover Ratios . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Grain Receipts and Shipment Patterns by Time Periods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Portion of Producers Wheat Marketings to Elevator Size Categories . . . . . . . 6 Dimensions of Producer-Originated Wheat Procurement Areas . . . . . . . . . .. 6 Source of Wheat Received . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 Destination of Wheat Shipped . . . . . . . . ., . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 Modal Split on Wheat Received . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Modal Split on Wheat Shipped . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 7 REFERENCES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 APPENDICES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 29 SUMMARY In calendar year 1975, approximately 73 percent of the total wheat shipments from Texas elevators were to Texas Gulf ports — 51 percent to Houston- Beaumont-Galveston ports and 22 percent to the Corpus Christi port. Small quan- tities of wheat were shipped to Louisiana and West Coast ports. The second most important wheat shipment pattern involved intrastate flows between Texas inland elevators. Approximately 14 percent of all wheat shipments were between Texas elevators. About 8 percent of the wheat shipments from Texas elevators were to out-of-state grain elevators, with more than 90 percent of this being shipped to Oklahoma elevators. About 3 percent of wheat shipments from Texas elevators were to Texas flour mills. Out-of-state flour mills received less than 1 percent of total wheat shipments from Texas elevators, with California flour mills receiving more than 70 percent of this flow. Railroads were the major transporter of principal wheat flows in Texas. Two- thirds of the wheat flowing from inland elevators in Texas to Houston-Beaumont- Galveston ports was hauled by railroads, and nearly 80 percent of the wheat flowing to the Corpus Christi port was transported by railroads. Trucks were relatively more important in intrastate wheat movements (from Texas elevators to other Texas elevators or Texas flour mills) than in interstate movements. Approximately one- half of the intrastate wheat flows were hauled by each transportation mode. On a statewide basis, grain elevators received 59, 12, and 29percent of their wheat receipts from Texas producers, other Texas elevators, and out-of-state sources, respectively. Approximately 93 percent of the wheat flowing from out-of- state sources originated in Oklahoma. About three-fourths of the wheat received directly from producers originated within 10 miles of the elevator. Generally, those regions with denser levels of wheat production had a tendency toward smaller market areas, with a greater portion of the wheat originating within a 10-mile radius of the elevator. £75, Texas produced 131.1 million bushels 0f 23h an estimated value of $432.6 million (1), A only by grain sorghum as Texas’ most rain crop‘ (2). Texas’ 1975 wheat produc- ted sixth among that of wheat-producing represented about 6 percent of the Na- al production. le estimates of regional wheat production Ale, but little is known about the distribu- ‘m of wheat or modes of transportation ). In many situations, individuals or public glgmake decisions affecting the production, -,< nd shipment of grain without adequate in- regarding grain distribution patterns and ansportation modes. The purpose of this if to I ument and measure intrastate and inter- Ate-wheat distribution patterns in Texas (3) iermine modes of transportation em- gyed in alternative wheat flow patterns gntify characteristics of the grain handling ustry involved in the distribution of ‘matic representation of the measured s among Texas producers, Texas grain Texas flour mills, Texas Gulf ports, out- ‘I elevators and flour mills, and out-of is shown in Figure 1. Methodology a cipal source of data for this study was a "iive questionnaire mailed to 862 Texas tors’. The grain elevator population was s respect to subregions in the State and ‘ty of the facility. The facilities were four alternative storage capacity 1) less than 500,000 bushels; 2) 500,001 bushels; 3) 1,000,001 t0 3,000,000 ‘é i’ grain sorghum, wheat, corn, rice, and soybean estimated values of $891.1, $432.6, $300.2, g .1 million, respectively. "sociate professor, research associate, and re- _y t,“The Texas Agricultural Experiment Station (De- ricultural Economics). TEXAS WHEAT FLOWS AND TRANSPORTATION MODES, I975 Stephen Fuller, Mechel Paggi, and Dwayne Engler* OUT—OF—STATE GRAIN ELEVATORS AND MILLS 4L ‘V TEXAS GRAIN OUT-OF-STATE ELEVATORS PORTS // TEXAS TEXAS % TEXAS WHEAT PRODUCERS FLOUR MILLS GULF PORTS Figure 1. Schematic representation of major wheat flows. bushels; and 4) greater than 3,000,000 bushels. After the questionnaires were collected, the data for each category within each subregion were expanded to estimate the total wheat flow pattern for that size category. The expansion factor was calculated by simply dividing the number of facilities in popula- tion by the number of respondents. After this was completed for all elevator sizes in a subregion, the expanded numbers were totaled. This procedure reduced the confounding associated with nonuniform response rates for alternative storage capacity facilities. Approximately 27 percent of the 862 grain elevators responded to the mailed ques- tionnaire. Because of limited resources, non-respondents were not contacted to determine if their wheat flow patterns were statistically different from the ques- tionnaire respondents. However, a similar ques- tionnaire which had been previously mailed to the grain elevator population to measure grain sorghum and corn flows did employ a telephone survey of non-respondents. The results indicated no statistical difference in grain flow patterns between respon- dents and non-respondents. Accordingly, it was as- sumed that the wheat flow study respondents were zThe grain elevator population was obtained from 1) the 1974-1975 Texas Department of Agriculture's publication, Texas Grain Warehouses; 2) the 1974-1975 Annual Directory of the Texas Grain and Feed Association; and 3) the 1974 list of warehouses eligible to store grains under the Commodity Credit Corporation programs. These sources indicated that the population included 862 grain elevators throughout Texas. 3 representative of their population. See Appendix A for information on number of grain elevators within each size category and number of respondents in each size category for each subregion of the State. To facilitate measurement of intrastate grain flows, the surveyed firms related magnitude of re- ceipts or shipments to each of seven subregions of Texas. Each subregion represented one or several Crop Reporting Districts (Figure 2). The CropRe- porting Districts were grouped into seven study areas and named for use throughout the publica- tion: Crop Reporting District 1-N — Northern High Plains; Crop Reporting District 1-S — Southern High Plains; Crop Reporting Districts 2-N, 2-S, and 3 — Rolling Plains; Crop Reporting Districts 4, 5-N, and 5-S — East Texas; Crop Reporting Districts 8-N, 8-S, and 9 -— Gulf Coast; Crop Reporting Districts 10-N and 10-S — Rio Grande Plains; and Crop Reporting Districts 6 and 7 -- Pecos-Plateau. Texas Wheat Production The location of wheat production in Texas is shown in Figure 3, and the 1968-1975 level of wheat NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS ' for handling grain is intact. production for each of the seven study presented in Table 1. Based on the 1968-19 age, the Northern High Plains and Rolling Pl principal wheat-producing areas within duced 58 and 26 percent, respectively, of the wheat production, or 84 percent of the total i." ' tion (Appendix B). The East Texas area has ~ Q State's third most important production regi historically has produced 5 to 12 percent, State's total wheat output. a Texas Grain Storage Facilities Off-farm storage capacity in Texas a mated at 719 million bushels in 1975 (3). The is calculated by the Statistical Reporting Se includes all structures equipped for stori and all facilities not currently in use, if eqi Grain storage facilities by storage capal study region, including grain elevators, ft and foodgrain processors, are presented in‘, Port elevators, oilmill processors, feedyards, SOUTHERN HIGH <— Crop Reporting District 1-N ROLLING PLAINS ‘ Crop Reporting Districts f. l 2N‘ 2-5 and 3 Crop Reporting Districtii 4, 5-N and 5-S PLAINS Crop Reporting District 1-S PLATEAU i Crop Reporting Districts l 6and7 Figure 2. Seven Texas study regions. Crop Reporting Districts _> 10-N and 10-S Crop Reporting Districts 8-N, 8-S and 9 RIO GRANDE PLAINS 4 ._- _<‘ Q11 i 1 dot = 1,000 acres “location of Texas wheat production, 1975. j re not included. In many cases, the feedmill in elevator populations include identical facilities because a firm may be both a commercial feed manufacturer and a grain 7- iser. Consequently, a number of feedmills givers and shippers of wheat. 862 inland grain storage facilities ) in Texas, 265, or approximately 31 per- located in the Northern High Plains. Ap- ely 19 percent of the storage facilities are East Texas, the State's second largest con- . 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Q52 92: i; NN: ii m? 0.66am.» N N N N N N N N m¢m~_¢ m¢m@_¢ mwmpm :mm~w_¢ mvcmLo pmmou mmxm» mcmm_¢ Lam: nmoumm om¢ »_:w Hmmm mcm__o¢ ckmzpzow mmmkopm Lo~m>m_m | | | | | a ... l | | | | I ... l | | | ... ... mcOmmmxun | | .| | l | | | | | | | ' | I l | m~m_ .commmm >n mmmkommumu w~@w Lo~m>m_w cmmko o>_~mcLm~_< op mmcmumxgmz ummzz .>Lomm~mu m~_m mug“ cm mLo~m>m_m oz .>Lommpmu m~mm m_;p :_ wpcovcoawmh oz mgousnogm mo Hcmugmm .m m_nm» 12 6, Percent of Grain Elevators Alternative Distances by Region. l975 Producer—0riginated Wheat Coming from. QVERAGE . Elevator - - - - - - - - - - Miles - — - - - - - - - gging Storage on Capacity < l0 > l0 — < 20 > 2O - i 3O > 3O A (bushels) % % % % l?6rn _5 500,000 78.3 15.9 0.6 1.2 ;jPlalnS 500,00l-l,000,000 75.9 l9.5 3.0 l.6 7 l,000,00l-3,000,000 75.6 23.2 0.9 0.3 > 3,000,000 95.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 Region Average 79.9 l7.5 2.l 0.5 Qhern _5 500,000 56.3 31.3 10.0 2.0 §iPlains 500,00l-l,000,000 69.2 25.8 6.0 0.0 7 l,000,00l-3,000,000 65.8 22.2 7.5 5.5 > 3,000,000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Region Average 6l.8 27.3 8.5 2.5 Q69 5_500,000 65.6 30.3 3.1 1.0 55 500,001-l,000,000 69.3 30.5 0.3 0.0 5 l,000,00l-3,000,000 8l.0 ll.l 6.7 l.2 Region Average 68.9 26.3 3.8 l.0 _§ 500,000 63.8 36.1 0.1 0.0 500,00l-l,000,000 l3.2 30.6 53.2 3.0 l,000,00l-3,000,000 68.3 28.7 3.0 0.0 > 3,000,000 50.0 50.0 10.0 0.0 Region Average 5l.7 35.5 22.6 l.2 _§ 500,000 08.1 39.1 6.9 5.9 500,001-l,000,000 30.0 50.0 20.0 l0.0 l,000,00l-3,000,000 ‘0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Region Average 57.1 39.2 .6 6.l Trande _§ 500,000 25.0 75.0 0.0 0.0 500,00l-l,000,000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 l,000,00l-3,000,000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Region Average 25.0 75.0 0.0 0.0 g _: 500,000 59.7 35.9 3.8 0.6 gu Region Average 59.7 35.9 3.8 .6 7l.3 23.2 5.5 l.l 13 Table 7. Percent of Wheat Received from Alternative Sources by Elevator Storage Capacity and Region, l975 Elevator % from % from 7 Shipping Storage % from Other Texas Out-of-State ’ Region Capacity Producers Elevators Elevators ¥§ T (bushels) 8 i ii Ce Northern f_500,000 90.0 .0 0.0 ii 90R High Plains 500,00l-l,000,000 86.9 ll.2 l.9 81 L l,000,00l-3,000,000 98.0 l.3 0.7 > 3,000,000 98.0 6.0 0.0 Region Average 93.5 5.8 0.7 O oi Southern _§ 500,000 l00.0 0.0 0.0 y 7 High Plains 500,00l-l,000,000 l00.0 0.0 0.0 it ; l,000,00l-3,000,000 l00.0 0.0 0.0 ‘ l > 3,000,000 0.0 80.5 19.5 QC Region Average 37.9 50.0 l2.l ii Rolling _§ 500,000 98.8 1.2 0.0 f Plains 500,00l-l,000,000 66.9 24.0 8.7 ic l,000,00l-3,000,000 97.3 0.6 2.l 3] Region Average 97.0 .l 0.9 i East _5 500,000 90.3 5.7 0.0 ‘_ Texas 500,001-1,000,000 09.9 19.9 30.2 'f 1,000,001-3,000,000 79.8 20.6 2.6 ~‘ > 3,000,000 l.6 l3.8 89.6 5 Region Average 8.6 l3.9 77.5 L [S 001f _§ 500,000 98.1 1.9 0.0 8 Coast 500,00l-l,000,000 l00.0 0.0 0.0 l,000,00l-3,000,000 0.0 0.0 0.0 Region Average 98.2 l.8 0.0 _ . . C Rio Grande §_500,000 100.0 0.0 0.0 1 .! Plains 500,00l-l,000,000 0.0 0.0 0.0 5 A l,000,00l-3,000,000 0.0 0.0 0.0 f Region Average 100.0 0.0 0.0 it 8, Pecos- §_500,000 100.0 0.0 0.0 “ Plateau Region Average l00.0 0.0 STATE AVERAGE 9/ 58.5 12 2' 29.3 *3 5/ Indicates on a state-wide basis the percent of wheat received at Texas elevators 8? alternative sources. 14 €’8. Geographic Source of Out-of-State Wheat Received by Texas Grain Elevators by Region. I975 ' ' ' ' ' ' ' f ' - --Originating State-- - - - - - - - — — - — - fiing Oklahoma Kansas Nebraska New Mexico Colorado Other N N N o\° cN’ o\° Siains 71.2 1h.h 0.0 0.0 1h.h 0.0 Eains 53.3 6.7 0.0 38.3 l.7 0.0 l00.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9h.9 5.l a/ 0.0 0.0 a/ §veRAcE 93.1 5.2 a/ 1.5 0.2 9/ es than .05 percent. iicates on a state-wide basis the percent of out—of—state originated wheat ‘ived at Texas grain elevators from each originating state. 15 .5@ vcm N m.- m.w~ ~.@_ o.:_ Q.m¢ mLo~m>o_w cmmgu wmxoh Lmcuo O0 N f X .1. .1 \\\.YF.{§>PP£\Y v.49? 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Q.QQ_ Q Q Q Q Q xusph _mQ¢ xungh _m xusgh __mQ QUQLF _Q@Q QUQLW MMQW >Q N >Q N >Q Q M» W >@ N >Q N >Q N >@ N >3 Q 0 CQQQQQ \ O Q1 ~EQQm_xQ m¢_QQm;m m_:Lowm_mu wmmc Lmgpo mco~m;< - - - - - - - WQHQHW QQQ>_QQQ¢ - - - - - - -- - - - - - - - - - 0;» m3o_¢ pmmzz co u__Qm _QQQz .o~ m_nmh E I V o~m»m|»o|p=o 0H mLo~m>m_m mmxmw m~m_ co_mmm >n m___z L:o_¢ 28 iable lb Appendix A No respondents in this category. §§ Elevator f§ Study Storage Expansion it Region Capacity Population Sample Factor 39 (bushels) orthern g 500,000 127 28 11.536 hflgh Plains 500,00]-l,000,000 07 l6 2.938 fl l,000,00l-3,000,000 70 26 2.692 >3,000,000 2l 5 0.200 Region 265 75 3.533 iouthern é 500,000 71+ l0 7.1400 Qiigh Plains 500,001-1,000,000 20 9 2 222 2 l,000,00l-3,000,000 l6 6 2.667 >B,000,000 5 2 2.500 Region ll5 27 0.259 billing _<_ 500,000 106 20 5.300 Qlains 500,001-l,000,000 9 3 3.000 %a 1,000,001-3,000,000 8 2 0.000 Region l23 25 0.920 cast _ 5 500,000 123 25 0.920 - gexas 500,00]-l,000,000 20 R 6.000 *2 l,000,00l-3,000,000 l0 5 2.000 >3,000,000 6 l 6.000 Region l63 35 h.657 if 5 500,000 73 25 2.920 ;f€St 500,00]-l,000,000 25 l0 2.500 ’5 l,000,00l-3,000,000 15 9 l.667 >3,000,000 2 §_/ 0.000 Region ll5 fih 2.6lh 3Q Grande 5 500,000 1+1» 12 3.667 .§ains 500,00l'l,000,000 5 Q l.250 5 l,000,00l-3,000,000 3 3 l.000 Region 52 l9 2.737 _<_ 500,000 25 9 2. 778 gjateau 500 , 001 -1 ,000 , 000 l» 9/ 0. 000 20 Region 29 3.222 Number of Grain Elevators and Flour Mills in Each Size Category and Number of Respondents in Each Size Category for Subregions of Texas 29 Appendix B Table B. Percent of Texas‘ Wheat Production Attributable to Each Study Reglé 1968-1975 _ 1% 30 Study ' Region 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 197h 2 2 ' 2 2 2 2 2 Northern High Plains 52.9 55.6 52.6 77.l 62.8 67.6 63.5 Southern 2 1 High Plains 2.9 3.0 3.5 2.2 3.0 3.0 h.6 Rolling Plains 32.2 29.7 30.2 10.8 28.3 20.2 33.2 East 7 0 s u 8 1 8 2 5 9 5 5 12 2 Texas . . . . . . . Gulf 1 Coast 1.5 0.9 2.3 0.2 1.8 1.7 2.5 A? Rio Grande Plains 0.h 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.6 1.9 Pecos- Plateau 3.1 2.0 2.8 1.0 1.5 1.h 2.1 ACKNOWLEDGMENTS The authors are indebted to the Texas grain elevator industry for their excellent cooperation throughout this study. Carl Shafer, Department of Agricultural Eco- nomics, and Roland Smith, Texas Agricultural Extension Service, made valuable contributions to the study. All programs and information of The Texas Agricultural Experiment Station are available to everyone without regard to race, color, religion, sex, age, or national origin. Mention of a trademark name or a proprietary product does not constitute a guarantee or warranty of the product by The Texas Agricultural Experiment Stationand does not imply its approval to the exclusion of other products that also may be suitable. The Texas Agricultural Experiment Station, J. E. Miller, Director, College Station, Texas. 2M — 8-77