Lebanon's Second Republic


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University of Central Florida, Orlando      -ut
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Lebanon's Second Republic

Prospects for the Twenty-first Century






Edited by Kail C. Ellis






















University Press of Florida
Gainesville - Tallahassee - Tampa - Boca Raton
Pensacola -"Orlando - Miami - Jacksonville - Ft. Myers



























Copyright 2002 by Kail C. Ellis
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Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Lebanon's second republic: prospects for the twenty-first century /
edited by Kail C. Ellis.
p. cm.
Based on a seminar held at Villanova University, Villanova, Pa., 1998, jointly
sponsored by the Center for Arab and Islamic Studies of Villanova University
and the Lebanese American University.
Includes bibliographical references and index.
ISBN 0-8130-2539-7 (alk. paper)
1. Lebanon-Politics and government-1990-Congresses. I. Ellis, Kail C. II. Villanova
University. Center for Arab and Islamic studies. III. Jami'ah al Lubnaniyah al-Amirikiyah.
DS87.54 .L418 2002
956.9204'4-dc21 2002018077

The University Press of Florida is the scholarly publishing agency for the State
University System of Florida, comprising Florida A&M University, Florida Atlantic
University, Florida Gulf Coast University, Florida International University, Florida State
University, University of Central Florida, University of Florida, University of North
Florida, University of South Florida, and University of West Florida.

University Press of Florida
15 Northwest 15th Street
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http://www.upf.com







Contents


List of Tables vii
Preface ix
Lebanon's Challenge: Reclaiming Memory and Independence 1
   Kail C. Ellis
Overview: Lebanon as an Experiment in Multicultural Inter-
   dependence 14
   Hafeez Malik

Part I. Lebanon and the Middle East Peace Process
1. The Regional Struggle for Lebanon 25
   Kail C. Ellis
2. Israeli-Lebanese Relations: A Future Imperfect? 52
   Kirsten E. Schulze
3. The Dilemma of the Palestinians in Lebanon 78
  Julie Peteet
4. U.S. Policy toward Lebanon 91
   Kail C. Ellis

Part II. Religion, Culture, and Gender
5. Muslim-Christian Relations in Lebanon: A Christian Perspective 117
   Paul Nabil Sayah
6. Religion and Politics: The Case of Lebanon 133
   Mohammad Sammak
7. Lebanon as a Regional Educational and Cultural Center 140
   Nabeel F. Haidar
8. Women in Postwar Lebanon 146
   Mona Chemali Khalaf

Part III. Problems of Urbanization, Ecology, and the Economy
9. The Emerging Urban Landscape of Lebanon 159
   Michael F. Davie
10. The Ecological Crisis in Lebanon 175
   Fouad Hamdan







11. The Lebanese Economy in the Twenty-first Century 188
  Wassim N. Shahin
Epilogue 206
   Kail C. Ellis

Appendix 223
Contributors 225
Index 227












Tables


8.1. Enrollment of women in the Lebanese labor force by marital
status 149

8.2. Distribution of women in the Lebanese labor force by level of edu-
cation 150

11.1. Lebanon's Horizon 2000 plan: Underlying assumptions 190

11.2. A comparison between Lebanon's actual indicators and Horizon
2000 plan assumptions 191

11.3. Other major economic indicators in Lebanon 193

11.4. Weighted average yield on treasury bills and lending rates, Lebanon,
1992-1997 195

11.5. Business polls in Lebanon: Industry and commerce 196

11.6. Pre- and post-reform marginal income tax rates in OECD member
countries, 1990 199

11.7. Convergence criteria for a possible Arab Economic and Monetary
Union (AEMU) 203













Preface


On 2-3 October 1998, a seminar was held at Villanova University,
Villanova, Pennsylvania, titled "Lebanon in the Twenty-first Century."
Jointly sponsored by the Center for Arab and Islamic Studies of Villanova
University and the Lebanese American University, the seminar featured
presentations and discussions by noted national and international schol-
ars, diplomats, and others interested in Lebanon.
   Works on contemporary Lebanon are hardly an anomaly. Since the
beginning of Lebanon's civil war in 1975, Lebanon's sectarian politics and
its relationships with the Palestinians and its neighbors, Israel and Syria,
have been the subject of many outstanding studies. With the arrival of
peace in the 1990s, numerous excellent books have analyzed Lebanon's
prospects for reconciliation and reconstruction. Lebanon's contemporary
history has been so thoroughly explored that recent scholarship has re-
turned to probing the important lessons offered by Great Power rivalry
and the turbulent history of sectarian nationalism in nineteenth-century
Mount Lebanon under the Ottomans.
   This volume includes discussion of contemporary politics and interna-
tional relations, recognizing Lebanon's central role in regional conflicts. It
then looks at other forces that will determine Lebanon's future. The book
features chapters that argue that Lebanon's future is very much dependent
on the progress of Muslim-Christian relations, on the viability of its edu-
cational system (that will enable its citizens to contribute to its economic
development), and on the way that the concerns of women, urban plan-
ning, and the ecological crises are being addressed. The analysis of these
topics will be of interest to scholars of women's issues, urban studies, and
the environmental movement, as well as to specialists of the region.

Many people helped to make this volume possible and I am grateful for
their support. In particular I wish to acknowledge Interstate Resources,
which generously provided financial assistance toward the expenses of the
seminar. I am also grateful to Father Edmund J. Dobbin, O.S.A., president




x I Preface


of Villanova University, for his long-time support for the Center for Arab
and Islamic Studies; he graciously attended the banquet and welcomed the
participants and guests. The participation of Mr. Mohamad Chatah,
Lebanon's ambassador to the United States at the time, and Mr. John
Kelly, former U.S. ambassador to Lebanon, is also gratefully acknowl-
edged. Both of these individuals gave addresses and contributed greatly to
the discussions.
   I am also indebted to Nabeel Haidar of the Lebanese American Univer-
sity in Lebanon, who arranged for his university's cosponsorship and who
collaborated with me in planning the seminar, Antoine Frem, who pro-
vided generous financial assistance, and Michael Hudson, James Bill,
Edmund Ghareeb, and Barbara Stowasser, all of whom have provided
invaluable advice and assistance. I am also grateful for the assistance of
my colleagues at Villanova. In particular, I would like to thank Hafeez
Malik, who has provided support and encouragement in difficult situa-
tions, and Helen Lafferty and Louise Fitzpatrick, who were always ready
to lend a helping hand and give moral support. In addition, Kathryn
Johnson, my secretary, handled the logistics for the seminar with her usual
efficiency and skill, Maureen Cavanaugh helped with the travel arrange-
ments, and Angele M. Ellis and Carolyn Lea provided excellent technical
support in editing and proofreading the manuscript. I am very grateful for
their assistance. I would also like to acknowledge Jouhaina Hobeiche,
who has given me a home from which to observe events in Lebanon, and
Toufic Traad Kmeid and Angele Hobeiche Kmeid, whose wisdom and love
for Lebanon provided the inspiration for this work and much more.










Lebanon's Challenge


Reclaiming Memory and Independence

   Kail C. Ellis







In the fall of 1990, Lebanon's fifteen-year nightmare of civil conflict and
foreign invasions seemed to be coming to an end. Most of the surviving
members of the 1972 Lebanese Parliament had been summoned to Ta'if in
October 1989 to craft a new constitutional arrangement, the Document of
National Reconciliation. Included in the Ta'if Agreement was a recommit-
ment to political confessionalism, with certain adjustments. When the
agreement was approved by the Lebanese Parliament with amendments
on 21 August 1990,1 many Lebanese hoped it would signify Lebanon's
renewal, its "second republic." Others, however, viewed the document as
a more conservative version of the National Pact of 1943, for despite its
emphasis on national unity, it enshrined Lebanon's traditional confes-
sional political system, which divides power among the country's religious
communities. Moreover, in the view of many Lebanese, the agreement
codified Syrian hegemony over Lebanon. The constitutional authority
that was established by the Ta'if Agreement could not be fully imple-
mented until October 1990, when Syrian forces were finally able to de-
pose the rival government of General Michel Aoun, who had tried to build
unity among Lebanese by blaming outside forces for Lebanon's misery.
   From this unsettled beginning, political and economic life resumed in
Lebanon, but much unfinished business remained. Lebanon needed to
address the ongoing political, social, economic, and religious problems
that led to the war, the instability of its southern border with Israel after
the withdrawal of Israeli troops in May 2000, and the onerous presence of
35,000-40,000 Syrian peacekeepers. Above all, Lebanon had to come to
terms with its history.





2 | Kail C. Ellis


   For the Lebanese beginning a new century, confronting the past was not
only painful but also overwhelming. Denial and historical amnesia be-
came coping mechanisms in the face of thousands of lives lost, unspeak-
able crimes committed against the innocent, unresolved political, eco-
nomic, and social issues, and, especially, the complicity of the Lebanese in
their own destruction. Guilt for the war was placed on outside forces-the
United States, Israel, the Palestinians, and Syria, among others. Even the
redevelopment of central Beirut became a symbol of the attempt to bypass
the historical experience of the war. As one observer noted, "There has
been a concerted effort to wipe clean the surface of central Beirut, to purify
it of all historical associations in the forms of its buildings; to render it
pure space, pure commodity, pure real estate. The most obvious and strik-
ing potential war memorial-in a country that seems to have forgotten its
long war-the shrapnel-scarred statue in Martyrs' Square, apparently will
be completely repaired."2
   In Lebanon's postwar culture of forgetting, affluence, social position,
and religious sect count more than social justice, and daily cruelties and
neglect remain unspoken national secrets. But memory, according to St.
Augustine, also has the power "to evoke future actions, occurrences or
hopes."3 Its images can be creatively combined to conjure new possibili-
ties. Lebanon needs its memory if it is to create a viable future.
   Lebanon must also find its voice in the cacophony of regional politics
and redefine its role in the world economy. The two are intertwined. The
outcome of the Middle East peace process, which will define Lebanon's
relationships with both Syria and Israel, will also determine whether Leba-
non will regain its sovereignty. Lebanon's survival depends on regional
peace.
   During the civil war, Lebanon lost the competitive economic edge that
in the 1950s and 1960s made it "the Switzerland of the Middle East." Its
decline was spurred not only by its internal problems but also by changes
in the rest of the Arab world. Technical and educational advances in the
Gulf countries lessened the need for Lebanon's service-oriented work-
force; New York and London became centers of Arab banking. Lebanon's
own professional class was decimated by emigration as economic activity
dropped, debt and inflation rose, and the national currency was devalued.
   Compounding these problems today is Lebanon's inability to resettle
thousands of internal war refugees or to find a solution to the presence of
an estimated 400,000 Palestinian refugees. The conflict between Hizbal-
lah and Israel in the south, the increasing public and foreign debt, and the





Lebanon's Challenge | 3


lack of investment by Lebanese expatriates awaiting the outcome of the
peace process have exacerbated Lebanon's economic decline.
   It is against this complex background that this volume explores Leban-
on's past and the possibilities for its future. An overview of Lebanon as an
experiment in multicultural interdependence provides the framework for
understanding the Lebanese context. This is followed by chapters under
three general headings: Lebanon and the Middle East Peace Process; Reli-
gion, Culture, and Gender; and Problems of Urbanization, Ecology, and
the Economy.

Overview

"Overview: Lebanon as an Experiment in Multicultural Interdepen-
dence," by Hafeez Malik, traces Lebanon's unique history as a multicul-
tural and multireligious entity from 1590 to the present. According to
Malik, the reason Muslim-Christian coexistence lasted for centuries is
that it existed within a tradition of "no conqueror and no vanquished."
Malik outlines four periods in the development of modern Lebanon: in-
tersectarianism and "modernism," 1590-1635; Maronite-Druze equilib-
rium, 1697-1842; the mutasarrifiyyah (governorate) of Mount Lebanon,
1861-1914; and the emergence of the Republic of Lebanon, 1920-
present. The present is dominated by ongoing regional conflict and the
policies of the United States, which has replaced Great Britain and France
as a regional and global power. Malik observes that the United States has
always placed Lebanon within the context of a Middle Eastern policy in
which Lebanon was not a priority. Central to U.S. interests have been its
relationship with Israel, the protection of oil companies in the Gulf states,
and, during the cold war, its balance of power with the Soviet Union.
Malik concludes with certain questions about Lebanon's uniqueness as a
multicultural state and its future relationship with the countries in the
region. He cautions that any attempts to destroy Lebanon's ethnic-reli-
gious balance will imperil its continued existence.

Part I. Lebanon and the Middle East Peace Process

This section comprises four chapters: "The Regional Struggle for Leba-
non"; "Israeli-Lebanese Relations: A Future Imperfect?"; "The Dilemma
of the Palestinians in Lebanon"; and "U.S. Policy toward Lebanon." The
first and fourth chapters are authored by this volume's editor, the second





4 | Kail C. Ellis


is by Kirsten Schulze, a scholar with expertise on Lebanese-Israeli rela-
tions, and the third is by Julie Peteet, an anthropologist who has written
extensively on the Palestinians.
   "The Regional Struggle for Lebanon" argues that the weakness of
Lebanon's inter-sect political system has allowed outside forces to influ-
ence its domestic affairs. At the same time, Lebanon's strategic location
has made entanglements in the region's conflicts impossible to avoid. The
chapter examines the roles of Syria, Israel, and the Palestinians in Leba-
non, although Lebanon's future relations with each of these actors is un-
clear. Many have hoped that the successful conclusion of the peace nego-
tiations between Israel and Syria would result in a shift of the regional
balance of power, reducing Syria's suzerainty over Lebanon. This does not
seem likely. If and when peace does come to the region, Syria will continue
to exercise political dominance over Lebanon. Lebanon's importance to
Syria's economy and regional security permits no other outcome.
   Lebanese-Israeli relations, therefore, are inextricably linked to Israel's
future relations with Syria. Despite Israel's unilateral withdrawal from
south Lebanon in May 2000, there can be no formal peace between Leba-
non and Israel until Israel also withdraws from the Golan Heights. The
future of the Palestinians in Lebanon is less hopeful. Opposition to their
continued presence is one issue that unites Lebanese of all factions, with
few exceptions. The new Lebanese constitution explicitly states that there
shall not be any colonization of Lebanese territory and that Lebanese
territory is for the Lebanese.4 Implicit in this statement is the Lebanese
stance that the Palestinians should not be resettled permanently in Leba-
non.
   Palestinians living in Lebanon face physical danger and suffer the afflic-
tions of poverty, unemployment, and political disenfranchisement. They
are marginalized by a peace process that holds out no hope of repatriation
to Palestine. Given the opposition to granting them Lebanese citizenship
and allowing their permanent settlement in Lebanon, the Palestinians
have sought protection from further displacement by redefining their
place in Lebanon as a legal minority.
   Kirsten Schulze examines Israeli-Lebanese relations from the perspec-
tive of each country. Historically, Israeli leaders believed that a natural
alliance could be developed with the Maronite Christian community and,
by extension, with Lebanon. Both Israel and Lebanon have looked to the
West, had a Western orientation, and been minority states in a predomi-
nantly Arab-Muslim environment. Lebanon's ethno-religious political





Lebanon's Challenge I 5


system, however, has prevented a unified stance toward Israel from emerg-
ing. Lebanese Muslims generally have regarded Israel as a foreign implant,
while Christian attitudes have been split. The Greek Orthodox, attuned to
Arab nationalism, have aligned themselves with the Muslims; the Maron-
ites, whose strong independent national identity placed them at odds with
Arab nationalism, have favored Israel.
   After reviewing the unresolved issues in the peace process for Israel and
Lebanon, Schulze concludes that there are no intrinsic obstacles to normal
relations between the two countries. Both Israel and Lebanon would ben-
efit from cooperation in the areas of tourism, infrastructure, transport,
and water, once the important issues of military security, Palestinian refu-
gees, water rights, and economic development have been addressed. More
important, Israel will need to change its traditional policy of favoring the
Maronite community to one of sensitivity to all of Lebanon's religious and
ethnic communities if relations between the two countries are to improve.
   Julie Peteet explores the worldview of the Palestinian refugees in Leba-
non from an anthropological perspective. The Palestinian refugees not
only face physical danger and human rights abuses but also suffer the
afflictions of poverty, unemployment, and political disenfranchisement.
The Declaration of Principles on Palestinian self-rule in Jericho and the
Gaza Strip, signed by the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) and
Israel at Oslo on 13 September 1993, did not address the situation of the
Palestinians in Lebanon. This omission renewed fears that Lebanon would
have to accept the Palestinians permanently after any Israeli-Palestinian
peace settlement. In the discourse of recrimination and historical amnesia,
most Lebanese have come to blame the Palestinians for the civil war and
vehemently oppose giving them permanent status. According to Peteet, "If
one looks at the meaning of the Lebanese civil war for the Palestinians in
an anthropological framework, it was about spatiality. The war redefined
space and its meaning." In one sense, "the Palestinian refugee camps serve
as Lebanon's war memorials. Their continued existence is testimony to the
reputed cause of the war, and their recontainment represents a tangible
victory for the Lebanese."
   The Palestinian refugees are now entering their fourth generation in
Lebanon. For more than fifty years, their experience has been one of per-
petual crisis. Years of violence and terror have been punctuated by brief
periods of quiet and safety, with resulting despair. The younger generation
of Palestinians does not envision a future in which the situation in Leba-
non will improve. Peteet concludes that unless Palestinian efforts to form





6 | Kail C. Ellis


effective social organizations and negotiate with the Lebanese govern-
ment succeed, the current Palestinian-Lebanese relationship will only
breed more violence.
   "U.S. Policy toward Lebanon" traces U.S.-Lebanese relations in the
context of U.S. objectives in the region. These include the now-familiar
goals of the security and well-being of Israel, the need to maintain influ-
ence in Arab countries in order to access and control Middle Eastern oil,
and, during the cold war, preventing the Soviet Union from achieving
power in the Middle East. These goals have been paramount for the
United States. The long history of U.S. intervention in Lebanon has in-
cluded the sending of troops during Lebanon's civil war in 1958 and secur-
ing the evacuation of the PLO from Beirut in 1982. It was, however, U.S.
involvement in the disastrous Multinational Force and the negotiations
between Israel and Lebanon and the ill-fated 17 May 1983 Lebanese-
Israeli agreement that led to the final withdrawal of U.S. forces from Leba-
non in March 1984. With that withdrawal, the United States acknowl-
edged Syria's primacy in Lebanon and its role as the policeman of the
region, creating a new focus for U.S. policy in Lebanon. The chapter con-
cludes that Lebanon will continue to remain hostage to the Middle East
peace process and that the United States will continue to pursue a prag-
matic policy in Lebanon, acknowledging Syria's dominance.



Part II. Religion, Culture, and Gender

The chapters in this section deal with cultural issues that have shaped
Lebanon, including Muslim-Christian relations, the status of higher edu-
cation, and the status of women in postwar Lebanon.
   Muslim-Christian relations are examined by Paul Sayah and Moham-
mad Sammak. In "Muslim-Christian Relations in Lebanon: A Christian
Perspective," Sayah discusses from a Christian perspective the historical
relationship between the main Muslim and Christian communities in Leba-
non. Of seminal importance in the relationship between the two commu-
nities are the pastoral letters issued by the Catholic Patriarchs of the Ori-
ent in 1991, 1992, and 1994; the Post Synodal Apostolic Exhortation of
1995, written by Pope John Paul II, which sought to give Lebanese Catho-
lics (principally Maronites) a guide for future action; and a memorandum
given to the Lebanese prime minister by the Maronite patriarch in 1998,
outlining Christian concerns. Sayah quotes a passage from the Apostolic
Exhortation that sums up the Christian position on the relationship with





Lebanon's Challenge I 7


Muslims: "Arab Christians are an integral part of the cultural identity of
Muslims, just as Muslims are an integral part of the cultural identity of
Christians. We are responsible for each other before God and human-
ity."5
   The Apostolic Exhortation called for change in Catholic attitudes to-
ward Muslims, which ultimately could have a strong political and social
impact on the Arab world. During his visit to Lebanon in May 1997, Pope
John Paul II called upon Catholics to accept integration in the Arab world
if they wanted to ensure their long-term presence in Lebanon and the
region.
   The obstacles to peaceful Christian-Muslim relations in Lebanon in-
clude the presence of foreign troops, the resettlement of Lebanese citizens
displaced by the civil war, and the reintegration of Christians into the
political life of the country. Sayah concludes with the hope that both com-
munities will work together to build a Lebanon that can ensure justice,
equality, and freedom for all its citizens.
   A Muslim perspective on Muslim-Christian relations is given by Mo-
hammad Sammak in "Religion and Politics: The Case of Lebanon." Ac-
cording to Sammak, history demonstrates that the region's ethnic and
religious diversity turned from strength to liability when European powers
tried to use religious minorities as a wedge to dominate the Middle East.
This policy continued in Israel's attempts to foster the creation of a Chris-
tian ministate in Lebanon both in the 1950s and during the 1975-90 civil
war. Despite these efforts, Sammak observes that Lebanese religious lead-
ers never approved the military actions of any side in the civil war, nor did
they give their blessing to any of the warlords. They did, however, support
the Ta'if Agreement and its goal of balancing religious and confessional
interests, rather than eradicating them.
   For Sammak, the theological basis for Muslim-Christian understand-
ing is the Quranic verse "Nearest among them in love to the believers wilt
thou find those who say 'we are Christians."' This verse, he states, is at
the core of Arab-Christian-Muslim nationality and Lebanese national
identity. It also provides the motif for an Arab-Islamic heritage to which
all Lebanon's citizens can relate.
   Sammak's discussion of the Islamic-Christian Committee for National
Dialogue, established in 1993, indicates that tangible efforts have been
made to promote Muslim-Christian relations. Minimally, the committee
tries to preempt threats (both internal and from abroad) to the coexistence
of Muslims and Christians by organizing seminars and conferences and
issuing policy statements to the media on issues of concern to Muslims and





8 | Kail C. Ellis


Christians. Sammak concludes that Muslim-Christian dialogue has many
dimensions, but its effectiveness is rooted primarily in the search for truth
in the other's point of view in an atmosphere where goodwill and a will-
ingness for reconciliation prevail.
   The role of education in repositioning Lebanon as an educational and
cultural center in the Middle East is discussed by Nabeel Haidar in "Leba-
non as a Regional Educational and Cultural Center." Prior to the 1975-90
civil war, Lebanese universities and colleges attracted students from all
over the world and produced many leaders. Lebanon's uniquely vibrant
secular society made its educational system especially attractive to the
Arab countries. Haidar outlines the types of governmental and private
schools in Lebanon and reviews their strengths and weaknesses. He notes
that one of the advantages of the private schools over those administered
by the government is the quality of their language instruction. Fluency in
several foreign languages, Haidar observes, gives Lebanese students a defi-
nite economic edge in a global marketplace.
   The weakness shared by both educational systems is their failure to
forge the identity of the Lebanese citizen. Haidar recommends the estab-
lishment of educational programs geared toward progressively bringing
new generations of young Lebanese to a healthy respect for the norms of
civil life. Only when students are so educated will the rights of all citizens
be guaranteed.
   Haidar contends that the rich history of Lebanese universities will be a
major factor in the revival of Lebanon as a cultural and educational center.
He concludes by affirming that Lebanon's strength lies in its atmosphere
of academic and social freedom, where new ideas are nurtured and the
creative spirit can flourish.
   Mona Khalaf discusses the impact of Lebanon's civil war on women in
"Women in Postwar Lebanon." Tracing the significant milestones in
women's rights in the twentieth century, Khalaf notes that much remains
to be accomplished, not only in Lebanon but in the rest of the world as
well. The Lebanese civil war merely accentuated the disadvantages that
Lebanese women were already experiencing, including discrimination in
employment and wages that are only 50 to 75 percent of those earned by
men.
   Khalaf assesses the impact of the war on family life, the participation of
women in the labor force, the feminization of poverty, and equal access to
education. She argues that the legal status of women in Lebanon is prob-
lematic since the Lebanese Constitution does not spell out clearly the





Lebanon's Challenge I 9


equality between the sexes. Legislation, although giving lip service to the
social and economic rights of all citizens, differentiates between men and
women in the workplace. The absence of a unified personal-status law
also discriminates against women and violates the principle of equality of
all citizens before the law, since each of Lebanon's religious sects has its
own tribunals to deal with marriage, divorce, custody, inheritance, guard-
ianship, and adoption.
   Khalaf notes a major setback for women's rights in Lebanon: the oppo-
sition of religious leaders to former president Elias Hrawi's proposal for
an optional civil marriage law that would have guaranteed equality be-
tween men and women and allowed intercommunitarian marriages. She
concludes by offering recommendations for the ongoing fight of Lebanese
women for civil rights but cautions that the problems women face will not
be solved if they are formulated in terms of women versus men.
   Khalaf's arguments mirror those of other women's rights organizations
such as Tayyar al-Almani (Movement for Secularism), founded in 1980 by
Gregoire Haddad, the Greek Catholic bishop of Beirut. The Tayyar is an
interdenominational organization whose goal is a civil marriage law that
will guarantee equality between men and women and apply human rights
legislation to personal status laws, since secular personal status codes will
promote civil society. According to Marie Rose Zalzal, Tayyar's secretary-
general, "When rights are protected by civil law, no one will be able to
pretend to be the 'porte parole' of God and then realize his own plans in
the name of God. Unfortunately, very few organizations are working on a
unified civil code. It is mostly the Tayyar. Even secularists in parliament
fear raising the issue of personal status codes."6
   The reform of Lebanon's marriage and family laws faces serious ob-
stacles. Although leaders of both the Muslim and Christian confessions
opposed the legislation, acceptance of secular jurisdiction in personal sta-
tus laws will be especially difficult for the Muslim community. In Leba-
non, as in most Arab and Islamic countries, the structure and regulation of
family matters has always been acknowledged as the purview of Islamic
law. Removing the family from this jurisdiction, or even granting the op-
tion to do so, is seen as impermissible.7

Part III. Problems of Urbanization, Ecology, and the Economy

The chapters in this section examine the ways in which problems of urban-
ization, ecology, and the economy will determine the quality of life in





10 | Kail C. Ellis


twenty-first-century Lebanon. In "The Emerging Urban Landscape of
Lebanon," Michael Davie presents a history of the development of
Lebanon's cities and towns from the Ottoman period to the present. He
argues that Lebanon's urban landscape is the product of the economy in a
political context. According to Davie, Lebanon's sprawling, chaotic urban
landscape physically expresses the failure of its liberal economy to come to
grips with its structural and political weaknesses.
   The end of the 1975-90 civil war brought to power a new elite whose
goal was to make Beirut a locus of national and regional prosperity. The
elite developed a plan to modernize the city and provide amenities unavail-
able elsewhere in the Middle East. At first glance, the activity generated by
the rebuilding of Beirut's center city gave observers grounds for optimism.
Davie points out, however, that the Lebanese political system, which was
largely responsible for the lack of urban planning before the war, has not
been reformed. Most important, there is little room for the development of
new political parties or of a new political consciousness among urban
citizens, who are still required to vote in their ancestors' rural place of
origin.
   Davie concludes that the Third World pattern of Lebanese cities-busi-
ness and upper-class residential areas giving way to increasingly crowded
middle-class and lower-class areas, which are ringed by slums and refugee
camps-will continue. Palestinian camps and nomad settlements at the
periphery of cities will exist as long as a low-wage workforce is required to
build urban infrastructure and there is no permanent settlement for refu-
gees. Upper-class residential areas will maintain their exclusive character,
but few new ones will be created because of lack of space. Davie bases his
analysis on the prediction that Lebanon's liberal economic system and
confessional political system will be maintained. As a result, Lebanon's
vaunted reconstruction is simply a replication of previous urban failures
and will foster social unrest and urban violence.
   Fouad Hamdan, in "The Ecological Crisis in Lebanon," details the role
of the environmental organization Greenpeace in Lebanon. Founded in
1971 in the Quaker tradition of "bearing witness," Greenpeace emulates
the nonviolent disobedience of the American civil rights movement and
the example of Mahatma Gandhi. It has cooperated with local Lebanese
activists in calling attention to numerous environmental disasters. De-
cades of uncontrolled urban and industrial development and over fifteen
years of war have produced an ecological crisis in Lebanon. Deforestation,
polluted drinking water, uncontrolled dumping of toxic waste from indus-





Lebanon's Challenge I 11


trial and urban areas, lack of waste management programs, and the over-
population of the narrow coastal zone and cities are rampant. Even more
insidious was the use of Lebanon during the war as a dumping ground for
toxic waste imported from Italy, Belgium, and Germany.
   Greenpeace coordinates its work in Lebanon with its regional cam-
paign to pressure governments to ratify the protocols and amendments of
the 1976 Barcelona Convention, which banned direct and indirect pollu-
tion of the Mediterranean basin. Hamdan offers the broad outlines of a
solution to Lebanon's ecological problems and urges the Lebanese govern-
ment to rebuild the country on an environmentally sound basis.
   Wassim Shahin, in "The Lebanese Economy in the Twenty-first Cen-
tury," begins with an analysis of the Hariri government's 1994 Horizon
2000 plan. Although never formally adopted, the plan provided a blue-
print for governmental action and anticipated projections for major mac-
roeconomic variables in the Lebanese economy from 1995 to 2007. After
investigating the causes of Lebanon's current economic situation, Shahin
recommends a plan that could promote growth, equity, and stability.
These changes include reforming the tax system, improving tax collection,
abolishing waste, and setting priorities for expenditures. Administrative
reform and reducing the deficit and debt service are particularly impor-
tant, as Lebanon needs to achieve a stable currency and low inflation.
   According to Shahin, the state of the Lebanese economy in the twenty-
first century will depend on political as well as economic variables. He
urges Lebanon to automate its banking facilities to become more competi-
tive in attracting regional and international funds. Shahin also advocates
industrial quality control and tax-funded expenditures on research and
development as ways to improve the Lebanese economy. He believes that
unless Lebanon adopts fiscal and monetary policy reforms, it will not
achieve economic stability in the twenty-first century.
   Shahin develops a model for an Arab Economic and Monetary Union,
based on that of the European Community, but he uncovers many flaws in
the hypothetical organization. In his view, Lebanon should not become
involved in such an organization even if it were to be established. Given
current political and economic realities, it is more advantageous for Leba-
non to establish independent objectives and policies. This path does not,
however, preclude Lebanon from cooperating with other Arab countries
or from sharing information with them on global issues.





12 | Kail C. Ellis


Conclusion

Shortly before the end of the Lebanese civil war in 1990, the Lebanese
historian Kamal Salibi wrote:
   Lebanon today is a political society condemned to know and under-
   stand the real facts of its history if it seeks to survive. How the thorny
   complexities of the present conflict in Lebanon will be resolved is
   not a matter for historians to determine. Certainly, however, no po-
   litical settlement in the country can be lasting unless it takes ques-
   tions of history into account. Before the people of Lebanon can hope
   to develop the degree of social solidarity that can enable them to
   stand together as a coherent and viable political community, they
   have to know precisely what they are, and how they relate to the
   world around them. This means that they have to learn exactly why
   and how they came to be Lebanese, given the original historical and
   other differences between them. Otherwise, regardless of how the
   present quarrel in Lebanon is patched up, they will continue to be so
   many tribes (the current euphemism is "spiritual families"); each
   tribe forever suspicious and distrustful of the others; each tribe al-
   ways alert, extending feelers to the outside world in different direc-
   tions, probing for possible sources of external support in prepara-
   tion for yet another round of open conflict.8

   Lebanon's future in the twenty-first century is uncertain. As the authors
of this volume demonstrate, Lebanon must deal not only with a painful
past but also with a present in which it is held hostage to regional politics.
Despite understandable pessimism, there are signs that Lebanon will not
only survive but thrive in the new century. Whatever its flaws, Lebanon's
confessional democracy is remarkably durable. Lebanon has existed
within internationally recognized borders since 1920, and years of civil
war and involvement in regional conflicts have not managed to destroy it.
Its religious communities, however contentious and divided, are part of a
framework that forces compromise, as one faction can never completely
dominate another. Most Lebanese, Muslim and Christian alike, affirm
that Lebanon must continue to exist and that Christians and Muslims
share a common heritage. Lebanon is accepted as a sovereign entity by the
Arab world and the international community. Optimism, economic activ-
ity, and cultural vibrancy characterize Lebanon today, in the face of con-
tinuing violence and instability.





Lebanon's Challenge I 13


   The fate of the Palestinians in Lebanon, inequities in the status of
women, urban sprawl, and environmental pollution need to be resolved.
Recognizing these problems, however, is the first step toward change.
   It is hoped that this volume will help the peoples of Lebanon find a
deeper understanding of their heritage and provide a blueprint for the
peace that is necessary to Lebanon's renewal.


Notes

   1. "Documents: The Constitution of Lebanon after the Amendments of August
21, 1990," Beirut Review 1, no. 1 (Spring 1991): 119-60.
   2. Saree Makdisi, "Reconstructing History in Central Beirut," MERIP, no.
203, 27, no. 2 (Spring 1997): 25.
   3. "In the same enormous recess of my mind, thronging with so many great
images, I say to myself, 'That's what I will do!' and the action I have envisaged
follows. 'Oh if only this or that could be! Pray God this or that may not happen!'
I say to myself, and even as I say it the images of all these things of which I speak
pass before me, coming from the same treasure house of memory. If they were not
there, I would be quite unable to conjure up such possibilities." St. Augustine, The
Confessions, book X, 14, in The Works of Saint Augustine, intro., trans., and
notes by Maria Boulding, O.S.B. (Hyde Park, N.Y.: Augustinian Heritage Insti-
tute, New City Press, 1997), 246.
   4. "Lebanese territory is one for all Lebanese. There shall be no segregation of
the people on the basis of any type of belonging, and no fragmentation, partition,
or colonization." "Preamble,The New Constitution of Lebanon," sec. i. See Beirut
Review 1, no. 2 (Spring 1991): 123.
   5. The Post Synodal Apostolic Exhortation, n. 45.
   6. Suad Joseph, "Secularism and Personal Status Codes in Lebanon: Interview
with Marie Rose Zalzal, Esquire," MERIP, no. 203, 27, no. 2 (Spring 1997): 37.
   7. Kamal Salibi, A House of Many Mansions: The History of Lebanon Recon-
sidered (Berkeley: University of California Press, 1989), 195.
   8. Ibid., 217-18.










Overview


Lebanon as an Experiment in Multicultural Interdependence

   Hafeez Malik





Throughout its history, Lebanon has represented a unique experiment in
multicultural and multireligious interdependence. Christians and Mus-
lims have coexisted for centuries within a tradition of la ghalib wa la
maghlub (there is no conqueror and no vanquished). This experiment has
not been easy or peaceful. Exogenous states, including the Ottoman Em-
pire, France, Great Britain, Syria, Israel, and the United States, have exer-
cised great power over Lebanon. Internally, power has shifted in different
epochs from one community to the other. No community, however, has
ever managed to achieve complete domination. A tenuous equilibrium
that reflects the demographic weight of each community has been main-
tained, and the resulting balance of social forces has been a stabilizing
factor for the Lebanese state.
   The consciousness of being "Lebanese" is historically associated with
the Maronites, who have survived as Christians in the face of Islam. The
Maronites have substantially resisted Arabization along with Islamiza-
tion. However, some Western scholars maintain that the Maronites have
been Arabized linguistically, as they speak a dialect of Arabic and share the
social traditions of Syrian Arabs.1 Named after Saint Maron, a legendary
fifth-century ascetic monk, the Maronites moved to the Mount of north
Lebanon and blended with the Syriac-speaking population "to create in
the early eighth century a quasi-nation, defying the ruling Umayyad Ca-
liphate, and holding friendly contacts with Byzantine emperors."2 The
Maronites also joined forces with Christian Mardaites, who came to
Lebanon in 666 after having effectively checked the Umayyad caliph
Mu'awiyah's policy of expansion in Syria. The Mardaites "became the
nucleus around which many fugitives and malcontents, among whom
were the Maronites, grouped themselves."3
   The Maronites first began to forge enduring alliances with the West




An Experiment in Multicultural Interdependence | 15


during the Crusades (1097-1291). In 1099, Crusaders made contact with
Maronites in northern Lebanon who provided them "with guides and a
limited number of recruits."4 In the twelfth century, Catholic France estab-
lished relations with the Maronite patriarch and started to treat the
Maronites as special proteges. The Vatican granted open recognition to
the Maronite Church's orthodoxy and by the eighteenth century had solid
institutional links with the Maronite Church hierarchy.
   The era of the Crusades also brought to Lebanon another significant
religious minority, the Druzes, a heterodox community from Egypt's
Ismaili Fatimids. Subjected to persecution from the Sunni Muslim major-
ity, the Druzes sought refuge in the southern part of Lebanon and devel-
oped an exceptionally secret system of religious beliefs that defy precise
definition. Consequently, it is impossible to label them as Muslim, Chris-
tian, or Jewish. They currently account for 9 percent of the Lebanese
population, along with 3 percent of the population of Syria and 1.2 per-
cent of the population of Israel. It was Mount Lebanon, however, that
became the center of Druze life; the name Jabal al-Druze refers to Mount
Lebanon.
   The Druzes had to deal with a variety of political forces that were
hostile to them for religious reasons. Consequently, they cultivated the
delicate arts of skillful diplomacy and coalition building in order to estab-
lish new alliances.5 During the Crusades, the Druzes repeatedly switched
alliances to stay on the winning side. Because they had suffered persecu-
tion in Egypt, their relations with the Mamluks were poor. It is not surpris-
ing, therefore, that the Druzes supported the fifteenth-century takeover of
the region by the Ottoman Turks, putting an end to Egyptian domination.
   By 1516, the Ottoman Turks had established in Mount Lebanon their
distinctive style of millet rule, which allowed religious and cultural au-
tonomy to every community by recognizing the primacy of a single leader
within that community. Much of the history of Ottoman Lebanon re-
volves around the Maronites and Druzes and their feudal lords, the Manis
and Shihabis. This period inaugurated the formation of the modern Leba-
nese state, which has culminated in Lebanon's Second Republic.

Formative Phases of the Modern Lebanese State

The development of the modern Lebanese state can be divided into four
formative phases: intersectarianism and modernism (1590-1635); the
Maronite and Druze equilibrium (1697-1842); the mutasarrifiyyah of
Mount Lebanon (1861-1914); and the emergence of the Republic of





16 | Hafeez Malik


Lebanon (1920-present). In each phase, Lebanon maintained a political
equilibrium, no matter how strained or difficult, that enabled its major
communities to preserve their religious and social identities.

The First Formative Phase: Intersectarianism and Modernism
(1590-1635)

After the establishment of millet rule in 1516, the Ottoman sultan Salim
granted authority to the Druze lord Fakhr al-Din I al-Mani, allowing him
and other feudal lords the same privileges that they had had under
Mamluk domination. For 180 years, the Manis ruled over a large part of
Lebanon. As emirs, they exacted taxes, acted independently in all domes-
tic matters, and transmitted their offices to their descendants.
   Mani hegemony reached its apex under the progressive Druze emir
Fakhr al-Din II(1590-1635). Fakhr al-Din II relentlessly pursued three
major ambitions: building a greater Lebanon, leading Lebanon to "mo-
dernity" and progress, and severing links with the Ottoman sultans. To
this end, he signed a treaty with a foreign power, the Medicis of Florence.
By 1610, Fakhr al-Din had extended his authority over Lebanon from
Dog River to Mount Carmel and inland to Tiberias. He took over Tripoli
and extended his sway into Syria, Palestine, and Transjordan. Ottoman
forces that moved against him from Damascus were defeated by his army.
The Ottoman sultan capitulated to Fakhr al-Din's demands by designating
him emir of a territory called Arabistan.
   In order to modernize the Lebanese economy, Fakhr al-Din brought in
engineers, architects, and agronomists from Tuscany and allowed Euro-
pean Catholic missions to carry on their educational and religious work in
Lebanon. True to his Druze values of secrecy, mobility, and adaptability,
"Fakhr is said to have been baptized (as a Christian) by his Capuchin
physician."6 His rule over Lebanon came to a violent end, however. In
1635, the Ottoman sultan had Fakhr al-Din brought as captive to Con-
stantinople, where he was "strangled in the square of a mosque by two
mutes."7
   Fakhr al-Din II clearly established a precedent for Lebanese self-deter-
mination through his policies of acquiring new territory, seeking indepen-
dence from the Ottoman Turks, and fostering religious tolerance by allow-
ing all confessions freedom of religion without threat of persecution or
forced conversion. In 1697, the Mani emirate died out and was replaced
by its allies and relatives by marriage, the Shihabis. The Druze Shihabi
emirate became officially Christian when Mansur (1754-70), the fourth
Shihabi emir, converted to Christianity in its Maronite confession.





An Experiment in Multicultural Interdependence | 17


The Second Formative Phase: The Maronite and Druze Equilibrium
(1697-1842)
For nearly 150 years (1697-1842), the Shihabis preserved Lebanese au-
tonomy and hereditary succession by maintaining an equilibrium of rights
between the Maronites and Druzes, the two major elements of population
in Mount Lebanon. The friendly Maronite-Druze relationship established
by Fakhr al-Din II was described in the late 1600s by the Rome-educated
patriarch of the Maronite Church, Istifan al-Duwayhi, as "a local patrio-
tism. "8
   The Shihabis maintained the friendly policy toward Europeans initi-
ated by their predecessors. Capuchins and Jesuits, as well as French trad-
ers, became firmly established in Mount Lebanon. These Europeans
implemented the policy that Louis XIV (1643-1715) had initiated to pro-
mote French trade in the Near East and to protect the Catholics of this
region. In this period the Maronites, who had established cordial relations
with France in the time of the Crusades, became even closer to that Euro-
pean power.
   Shihabi rule ended in the emirate of Bashir al-Shihabi II(1788-1842).
Bashir had a harsh temperament and ruled his people sternly. Nonetheless,
he attempted to create an autonomous, enlightened, and modernized
Mount Lebanon. "Christian by baptism, Muslim by matrimony, and
Druze to his subjects, Bashir opened Lebanon's doors wider than ever to
Western educational influences and commercial contacts."9 Bashir's ecu-
menical spirit is reflected in the beautiful palace he built at Bayt al-Din,
which contains both a chapel and a mosque. The palace is still used as a
summer residence for the president of the Lebanese republic.
   In 1842, Bashir was deposed by the Ottoman sultan and replaced by a
renegade Hungarian, Umar Pasha, the first governor to be sent from the
Ottoman capital. This direct interference by a foreign power transformed
the orientation of Lebanese politics from tribal to religious. The Druze-
Maronite equilibrium broke down as both communities sought help from
the great European powers. The Maronites secured French patronage, and
the Druzes counterbalanced this alliance with British support. The Rus-
sians became involved through their support for the Greek Orthodox
Christians, whose confession they shared.
   Civil wars between Christians and Druzes broke out in 1845. In 1860,
after several periods of bloodshed and uneasy truce, the French intervened
directly, landing 7,000 troops in Lebanon. An international commission
consisting of British, French, and Russian delegates met at the Ottoman
capital, and in June 1861 they produced a basic constitutional document





18 | Hafeez Malik


for a unified Lebanon, the Reglement et protocole, relatifs a la riorgani-
sation du Mont Liban.

The Third Formative Phase: Mount Lebanon: A Mutasarrifiyyah
(1861-1914)
With the agreement of the Great Powers, the Reglement was promulgated
on 9 June 1861 in the form of a firman (order) of His Imperial Majesty the
Ottoman Sultan. Consequently, Lebanon, stripped of its seaport and the
Beqaa plateau, was created as an autonomous region (mutasarrifiyyah)
under a governor-general (mutasarrif). The area of the mutasarrifiyyah
was considerably smaller than that of present-day Lebanon (6,500 square
kilometers, as opposed to 10,452 square kilometers today), and the popu-
lation was only 266,487, less than one-tenth of present-day Lebanon's
3.45 million. In 1865, Maronites were in sheer numbers the largest com-
munity (171,800), followed by Greek Orthodox (29,326), Druzes
(28,560), Greek Catholics (19,370), Shi'a Muslims (9,820), and Sunni
Muslims (7,611). By 1895, the population had increased to nearly
400,000, but the sectarian rankings remained the same.10
   Despite the Maronite majority, the Reglement prevented political
power from falling solely into Maronite hands. It reestablished political
equilibrium, specifying only that the governor should be a Catholic Chris-
tian. During the existence of the mutasarrifiyyah, seven different gover-
nors of Armenian, Italian, Polish, and Levantine origins were appointed
by the Ottoman sultans, and they exercised a measure of self-rule. The
governor was assisted by an elective administrative council of twelve
members, with two representatives from each of the religious communi-
ties. The Reglement divided Mount Lebanon into six districts, each with a
mudir appointed by the governor from the dominant sect. The districts
were then divided into sectarian cantons. Justice was left entirely in the
hands of local courts, and cases of personal status were kept under the
jurisdiction of the respective religious authorities."
   Economically, the mutasarrifiyyah made impressive strides. In 1863, a
French company built the Beirut-Damascus highway. In 1895, another
French company constructed a Beirut-Damascus railroad, which subse-
quently connected these two cities with Turkey, Iraq, and Egypt. Mount
Lebanon became an open zone for the exercise of Western educational and
cultural forces, to which its people reacted with greater spontaneity and
enthusiasm than did people of neighboring states. The mutasarrifiyyah
became a showplace of modern Western culture.
   The Reglement remained the basic constitution of Mount Lebanon for





An Experiment in Multicultural Interdependence | 19


fifty-three years, until World War I. Despite its successes, its complete
disregard of proportional representation became a major Maronite griev-
ance. The Maronites were overwhelmingly aware not only of their nu-
merical superiority over the Druzes, but of their greater educational and
material advances as well. They were also, according to one scholarly
assessment, imbued with a feeling of cultural superiority over non-Chris-
tians.12 Maronite feelings of cultural and religious superiority became an
obstacle to Maronite-Muslim relations when the Lebanese state expanded
under the French mandate after World War I.

Emergence of the Republic of Lebanon: Failure of the New Balance
and Syrian Irredentism (1920-present)
While Arabs were yearning for the freedom promised after World War I,
the Allied Powers were dashing these hopes by dividing up Arab lands. In
1920, Syria and Lebanon were assigned as mandates to France, the Hijaz
was recognized as independent, and Iraq and Palestine, along with
Transjordan, were assigned to Britain. France greatly increased Lebanon's
territory. Lebanon now included the Syrian maritime coast and interior
plain, including Beirut, Tripoli in the north, Sidon in the south, southern
Lebanon (with its predominantly Shi'a population), and the fertile Beqaa
Valley, occupied by a mixture of Muslims and Greek Orthodox. This in-
crease in territory decreased the fraction of Maronites and other Chris-
tians to a little more than half the total population, a shift that would have
long-term consequences for sectarian relationships and the stability of the
state. Lebanon was proclaimed a republic with a constitution of its own in
1926, while still under the French mandate, and was declared an indepen-
dent and sovereign state in 1943. Despite being repeatedly suspended by
the French and amended several times, the 1926 constitution endured
until the signing of the Ta'if Agreement in 1989, after which it was further
modified to transfer some of the Christian president's powers to the Sunni
prime minister.
   The loss of the Beqaa Valley and Tripoli to Lebanon was particularly
painful for Syria and remained an ongoing source of tension. Without the
addition of these areas, Mount Lebanon would have emerged as a Chris-
tian state without a militant Muslim population, whose continued de-
mand for union with Syria threatened state unity. Despite these difficul-
ties, both the constitution and the proclamation of the Republic were
turning points in Lebanon's history. The National Pact of 1943 committed
Christians to abandon their traditional dependence on France, pledged
Muslims to forego their aspirations of union with Syria or a larger Arab





20 | Hafeez Malik


state, and divided up state powers along sectarian lines. The constitution,
proclamation of the Republic, and the National Pact of 1943 represented
crucial stages in the transformation of Lebanon into a viable modern state.
The National Pact of 1943 also cemented the acceptance of the modern
Lebanese state by its Muslim citizens and provided the basis for Christian-
Muslim coexistence in an independent Lebanon. Nonetheless, Maronites
remained apprehensive about the future of Christians in an Arab-Muslim
Middle East. They wondered who would protect Lebanon from Syrian
ambitions once the French were gone.
   During the 1950s and 1960s, new threats to Lebanon's solidarity were
spawned by republican, socialist, and nationalist ideologies, including
Gamal Abdel Nasser's revolution in Egypt. After the British-French attack
on the Suez Canal in 1956, Nasser became not merely an Egyptian hero,
but an Arab hero. Lebanese Muslims made a public statement in support
of Arab nationalism, adorning their homes, public places, and vehicles
with pictures of Nasser. They also began to think of themselves as second-
class citizens and demanded a new census, which they believed would
indicate a Muslim majority in Lebanon. Christian, especially Maronite,
reaction to this proposal was equally intense: to them a new census would
destroy the fundamental promise of the National Pact to acknowledge
Christian majority. Christians sought security in the continuation of the
status quo. Maronite Christian president Camille Chamoun attempted to
have the Lebanese constitution amended so that he could serve another
term. In 1958, the Muslims decided to rebel. Chamoun turned for protec-
tion to the United States, rather than to France, under the auspices of the
Eisenhower Doctrine. U.S. Marines were sent in to calm the tense situa-
tion, and General Fouad Chehab was elected president to succeed Cha-
moun. The status quo suffered a serious jolt but survived as a political
system.
   However, the Lebanese status quo could not survive the fifteen years of
civil war (1975-90), ignited by the struggle of the Palestine Liberation
Organization against Israel and the presence of Palestinian refugees in
Lebanon, a population that today numbers nearly 400,000. Since 1991,
when parliamentary elections were held for the first time in almost twenty
years, successive governments have faced the monumental task of Leb-
anon's reconstruction under the shadow of exogenous Syrian influence
and the presence of 30,000-35,000 Syrian troops in Lebanon.
   In 1978, Israel established a security zone in south Lebanon, which it
reoccupied in 1982 after a brief withdrawal in response to pressure from
the United Nations. This security zone, which Israel occupied until May





An Experiment in Multicultural Interdependence | 21


2000, stretched from the foothills of Mount Hermon to the Mediterra-
nean and occupied 10 percent of Lebanese territory and 150 towns and
villages whose population included all of Lebanon's religious communi-
ties-Shi'a, Sunni, Muslim, Druze, Maronite, and other Christian sects.
Israel used a local proxy, the 2,500-man South Lebanon Army, to provide
it with security against Hizballah militants.13
   The United States has supported Israel and other Arab states at
Lebanon's expense as part of a broad and comprehensive foreign policy
appropriate to the period of the cold war. States that followed the foreign
policy of nonalignment, such as Syria, were seen as unfriendly; the conser-
vative monarchies, including Saudi Arabia, Jordan, and the Gulf states,
had to be protected from internal or external threats in order to retain
access to and control over Middle Eastern oil, and Israel's security had to
be promoted and protected. Israel, which has received more than $90
billion in economic and military aid since 1949-more than one-third of
all U.S. foreign aid-is the greatest military power in the Middle East. A
steady supply of state-of-the-art weaponry has enabled Israel, according
to reliable estimates, to defeat any combination of Arab states in a pro-
jected conflict. The United States has also endeavored to break the solidar-
ity of Arab states in encouraging Israel to negotiate with its neighbors
bilaterally, rather than in a multilateral peace conference. No major agree-
ment between Israel and an Arab state has been signed without U.S. me-
diation. Since the signing of the Egyptian-Israeli peace agreement in 1979,
the United States has given $50 billion in foreign aid to Egypt, two-thirds
of what it gives Israel each year.14
   Since its withdrawal from Lebanon in 1984, the United States has con-
ceded a "legitimate" hegemony over Lebanon to Syria. This development
was brought about by Syria's opposition to the Lebanon-Israel peace
agreement, its subsequent abrogation by Lebanon, and the killing by a
suicide bomb of 241 U.S. Marines who were in Beirut as part of the Mul-
tinational Force (MNF). Southern Lebanon continues to be unstable, due
to Syria's desire to maintain pressure on Israel for its continuing occupa-
tion of the Golan Heights. The Syrian presence in Lebanon thus leaves
Lebanon under an occupation that will not end until Israel reaches a peace
settlement with Syria.

Conclusion

Civil war has left Lebanon truncated and occupied by foreign powers.
Maronite Christians still regret their lost political powers and demo-





22 | Hafeez Malik


graphic majority, mourning a Lebanon that could have been the Switzer-
land of the Middle East had their own leadership not insisted on adding
Syrian territory to Lebanon in 1926. Non-Christians are embittered by the
collaboration of the Christian Phalangists (Kata'ib) with Israel, which led
to the siege of Beirut in 1982. This wound has not healed despite the
termination of hostilities. Finally, the question of whether Syria will with-
draw from its former possessions and establish diplomatic relations with
the Lebanese state-or gradually establish a commonwealth with Leba-
non in which the two states would speak with one voice both economi-
cally and militarily-has not yet been resolved. One conclusion, however,
is inescapable: The attempts to destroy Lebanon's ethnic-religious bal-
ance, which lay at the core of its civil war, have imperiled Lebanon.


Notes

   1. Helena Cobban, The Making of Modern Lebanon (Boulder, Colo.: Westview
Press, 1985), 31.
   2. Philip K. Hitti, The Near East in History (Princeton, N.J.: D. Van Nostrand
Company, 1961), 450.
   3. Philip K. Hitti, History of the Arabs (London: Macmillan and Co., 1956),
204.
   4. Ibid., 638-39.
   5. Gabriel Ben-Dor, The Druzes in Israel: A Political Study (Jerusalem: Magnes
Press, 1979), 37-47.
   6. Hitti, The Near East in History, 452.
   7. Ibid.
   8. Abdul Rahim Abu Husayn, "Duwayhi as a Historian of Ottoman Syria,"
Bulletin of the Royal Institute of Inter-Faith Studies (Amman, Jordan) 1, no. 1
(Spring 1999): 11-22.
   9. Hitti, The Near East in History, 454.
   10. John P. Spagnolo, France and Ottoman Lebanon, 1861-1914 (London:
Ithaca Press, 1977), 24.
   11. Ibid., 41-47.
   12. Ibid., 54-55.
   13. David Hirst, "South Lebanon: The War that Never Ends," Journal of Pal-
estine Studies 28, no. 3 (Spring 1999): 6-9.
   14. For further details, see Richard H. Curtis, "U.S. Aid to Israel Now Exceeds
$90 Billion," Washington Report on Middle East Affairs (September 1999): 45.







Part I


Lebanon and the Middle East Peace Process













The Regional Struggle for Lebanon


   Kail C. Ellis


   A small country is rarely involved in an international conflict to
   her advantage. Whatever side such a country may support, her
   real interest in the conflict remains of secondary importance, and
   is likely to be sacrificed should higher interests so dictate. Her al-
   lies will normally keep her uninformed of their ultimate motives,
   leaving her to drift into complex situations which she can little
   understand or control. Finally, as her internal affairs become en-
   tangled in the outside conflict, these affairs themselves get out of
   hand, leaving her at the mercy of whatever forces prevail.
   Kamal Salibi, The Modern History of Lebanon


Kamal Salibi's observation concerned the Lebanon of the early nineteenth
century, but it is relevant to an understanding of contemporary Lebanon.
Two destructive civil wars have interrupted Lebanon's struggle to develop
a national identity out of its various social, religious, ethnic, and class
groups. Although the weakness of its intersectarian political system has
allowed outside forces to influence its domestic affairs, its location in a
turbulent, highly symbolic, and culturally significant part of the world has
made entanglements in regional conflicts impossible to avoid. As a result,
the Lebanese see themselves alternately as a people helpless in the face of
more powerful outside forces and as innocent of any responsibility for the
social and political havoc that has racked their country.
   Syria, Israel, and the Palestinians have influenced Lebanon's political
system, and each continues to be inextricably involved in Lebanon's inter-
nal affairs. Each has fought wars on Lebanon's soil and their conflicts
continue to imperil the future of the region and Lebanon itself.

Syrian-Lebanese Relations

From their inception, Syrian-Lebanese relations have been influenced by
the carving out of Greater Lebanon's new borders in 1920 from provinces
that Arab nationalists regarded as historically belonging to an indepen-




26 | Kail C. Ellis


dent Arab Syria. This separation gave rise to an irredentism that was only
slightly assuaged by Syria's late president Hafiz al-Asad's reference to
sha' b wahid fi baladayn (one people in two countries).
   After Syria and Lebanon achieved independence in 1943, both coun-
tries gradually came to accept their roles as separate national identities:
Syria as the heart of pan-Arab nationalism and Lebanon as independent
and sovereign but within the Arab world. This understanding was af-
firmed by Lebanon's Sunni and Maronite communities in the National
Pact of 1943 and by the Alexandria Protocol of 1944. Lebanon's indepen-
dence, sovereignty, and territorial integrity were guaranteed by the Arab
League Pact of 22 March 1945.

The Arab-Israeli Conflict

The history of modern Lebanon is roughly contemporary with the Arab-
Israeli conflict, and for most of its existence Lebanon has been struggling
to contain the effects of that connection.1 Lebanon's role in the conflict
was determined primarily by its sectarian composition. Dominated by a
conservative Christian leadership anxious to maintain its connection with
the West, the Lebanese government officially opposed the partition plan of
the United Nations for Palestine, but it had neither the desire nor the
ability to actively participate in the conflict. Its position as a charter mem-
ber of the Arab League required at least a limited military and political
role in support of the Palestinians, and Lebanon did send a token force,
estimated at 1,000 to 2,000 men, to its border with Palestine.2
   Prior to the outbreak of hostilities, Lebanon's position toward the
Arab-Israeli conflict was influenced considerably by the minority status of
the Christians in the Middle East. Some Maronite Christian leaders, both
ecclesiastical and lay, adopted a policy favorable to Zionism in the belief
that this would counter pan-Islamic and pan-Arabist movements that saw
Lebanon as part of the Syrian Arab hinterland. In July 1947, the Maronite
archbishop of Beirut, Monsignor Ignatius Mubarak, presented a memo-
randum to the United Nations Special Committee on Palestine in which he
declared that "to consider Palestine and Lebanon as parts of the Arab
world would amount to a denial of history."3 The archbishop also de-
clared that "Lebanon as well as Palestine should remain as permanent
homes for the minorities in the Arab world" and advocated the establish-
ment of a Jewish state in Palestine.4
   Some influential Lebanese perceived Israel as a useful buffer between
themselves and the Arab nationalism of their neighbors. This led some





The Regional Struggle for Lebanon | 27


members of the government not only to support a Jewish state in Palestine
but also to espouse Western-sponsored defense schemes for the Middle
East. In 1951, Dr. Charles Malik, then Lebanon's ambassador to Washing-
ton and the United Nations, predicted that in the event of war between the
West and the Soviet Union in the Middle East, the Arab states would have
to cooperate with Israel. In espousing Arab cooperation with Israel, Malik
foreshadowed the alliance of the Lebanese Forces with Israel during the
1975-76 civil war.5 The emergence in the mid-1950s of Gamal Abdel
Nasser as the champion of pan-Arabism and the Palestinian cause gave
Lebanon's Muslim and progressive groups added support and compli-
cated the government's pro-Western leanings, especially its embrace of the
Eisenhower Doctrine of 1957.


The Palestinian Refugees

The Arab-Israeli war of 1948 left Lebanon as host to an estimated
141,882 Palestinians, mainly from Galilee in northern Palestine.6 Fifty
years later, that number has grown to approximately 400,000, with the
result that, for the Lebanese of all confessions, the future of the Palestin-
ians in their country has become the most pressing issue in any regional
peace settlement.
   Lebanon, like other Arab countries bordering Israel that found them-
selves hosting Palestinian refugees, absorbed those few that it could, pri-
marily the professional classes, and distributed the rest among camps scat-
tered throughout the country. Unlike its neighbors, Lebanon had unique
concerns with the Palestinians. Its capacity to absorb the Palestinians eco-
nomically, given its proportionally much smaller population, was very
limited. In addition, the overwhelming majority of Palestinians were
Muslims who could not easily be absorbed into the mainstream of the
country without upsetting the delicate communal balance that had been
worked out in the National Pact of 1943.
   For their part, the Palestinians did not wish to be absorbed by any
country. Having never abandoned the quest to return to Palestine, they
looked initially to the Arab countries to rectify the injustice that had been
done to them. The desire for a national identity found expression in
Nasser's pan-Arabist ideology, which during the Lebanese civil war of
1958 caused them to side with the opposition. Their impact on that
struggle was minimal since they were not yet organized as a group either
militarily or politically. This quiescent stage was soon to change, as the





28 | Kail C. Ellis


Palestinians organized both politically and militarily in response to re-
gional events.

The PLO in Lebanon

Lebanon's involvement in the Palestine question entered a new phase with
the establishment of the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) and its
military arm, the Palestine Liberation Army (PLA) by the Arab League in
1964. Whereas the other Arab states sharply restricted the movements of
the Palestinians and controlled the resistance through government-spon-
sored guerrilla groups, Lebanon's laissez-faire political system permitted
neither the national consensus nor the authoritarian system necessary to
enforce such measures.
   The Palestinian movement emerged as the standard bearer of Arab re-
sistance after the Arabs' military defeat in the June 1967 war. This led to
the next phase of Lebanon's involvement in the Palestine question. The
defeat had so discredited the Arab governments and the Arab masses had
become so demoralized that Arab public opinion looked to the skirmishes
and commando operations of the Palestinians against Israel for some con-
solation. The rise of the Palestinian resistance, however, contained within
it the seeds of division between the Palestinians and the established Arab
governments. The Palestinians recognized this danger from the beginning,
but, determined to pursue the cause of their own national identity and
develop the organizations necessary for their political and military opera-
tions, they ignored the danger.7 In Lebanon they established guerrilla bases
and began recruiting in the refugee camps.
   The Palestinian resistance movement accentuated the deep social and
political fissures between the Muslim and Christian confessions in Leba-
non. The specter of refugee camps being turned into fortified arsenals and
of young Palestinians being trained for commando operations threatened
most Christian Lebanese and even the more conservative Muslims. When
the Lebanese authorities attempted to restrict these activities, the Palestin-
ians took advantage of the social and sectarian cleavages between Chris-
tians and Muslims to establish a firm basis of support in the country
among Muslims and leftist Lebanese of both confessions.

Israel's Policy of Retaliation

The first consequence of this support was the 28 December 1968 Israeli
raid on Beirut International Airport.8 Israel claimed that the raid was in





The Regional Struggle for Lebanon | 29


retaliation for a Palestinian attack and hijacking of one of its airplanes
over Italy in July 1968. In fact, it was a harbinger of a future policy of
retaliation against Lebanon. Israel's prime minister, Levi Eshkol, an-
nounced that "a state cannot harbor and encourage an armed force oper-
ating from its territory against a neighboring state and be considered im-
mune from reaction."9 The incident, in turn, precipitated a series of
conflicts between the Lebanese authorities, anxious to put an end to Israeli
military actions, and the Palestinian resistance.
   Lebanon, now deeply embroiled in the Arab-Israeli conflict, sought to
resolve the increasing confrontations with Israel and the Palestinians by
defining the conditions under which the Palestinians could operate in
Lebanon. Not without some alarm, the government noticed that support
for the Palestinians by the radical parties and Lebanese Muslims was in-
creasingly coupled with criticisms of the Lebanese political system and the
privileged position of the Christian community. With the Palestinian
movement becoming a lever for the Muslim community to effect political
change in Lebanon, Christian politicians reacted by criticizing Palestinian
activities as an infringement on Lebanese sovereignty. The resulting ten-
sions between the Christians and the Muslim politicians who viewed the
Palestinian movement as an essential part of the Arab cause escalated to
armed confrontations between the army and the Palestinians.

The 1969 Cairo Agreement

The Lebanese government had three pressing needs: to find a way to dis-
claim responsibility for the Palestinians' actions in order to ward off Is-
raeli retaliation; to maintain the fig leaf of Lebanese sovereignty in order
to satisfy its domestic critics; and to be seen as an advocate of the Palestin-
ian cause to the opposition parties and its Muslim constituencies. In May
of 1969, the Sunni prime minister, Rashid Karami, proposed that com-
mando activity on Lebanese territory could be made compatible with
Lebanese sovereignty if there was cooperation (tansiq) between the Leba-
nese army and the Palestinian Armed Struggle Command.10 Although ini-
tially rejected by the Christian politicians, this proposal was eventually
incorporated into the Cairo Agreement of October 1969, giving the Pales-
tinians the right of autonomous administrative control over their refugee
camps in Lebanon.
   The Palestinians in Lebanon were now officially given the right to use
the camps as bases, install weapons, and recruit resident Palestinians for
the resistance. In return, the Palestinians promised to control the lawless





30 | Kail C. Ellis


elements in their ranks, to cooperate with Lebanese authorities to ensure
noninterference in Lebanese affairs, and to recognize that the "Lebanese
civil and military authorities will continue to exercise their full rights and
responsibilities in all Lebanese regions in all circumstances."11
   The Cairo Agreement did not resolve the basic issue of Lebanese sover-
eignty that the Christian politicians felt was being compromised by the
actions of the Palestinians. This sentiment was forcefully expressed by the
Kata'ib leader, Pierre Gemayel, who strongly criticized the agreement as a
betrayal of Lebanon's sovereignty and who viewed the actions of the Pal-
estinians as "not a Lebanese internal crisis but a difference between two
independent and sovereign states in which one is openly attempting to
interfere in the affairs of the other. The whole problem is clear: it is no
longer the actions of the fid'ayyun; it is our system, our regime, our insti-
tutions which are desired under the cover of the Palestinian commandos
and the sacred cause of Palestine. "12

Deterioration of the Security Situation

Israel responded to the Cairo Agreement by intensifying its raids against
southern Lebanon. The result was the creation of a Lebanese, primarily
Shi'a, refugee problem, in addition to the Palestinian refugee problem.
   The situation was further complicated by the subsequent expulsion and
transfer of the Palestinian leadership to Lebanon after the 1970 Jordanian
civil war. The activities of the Palestinian resistance increased, as did Is-
raeli retaliations against Lebanon. Caught between the Palestinians and
the Israelis, the Lebanese security forces were severely criticized by the
opposition parties and the Palestinians for their inability to protect the
country from Israeli reprisals. In the end, Israel's attempt to force the
Lebanese government to become actively involved in suppressing the com-
mandos was based on a gross overestimation of the Lebanese govern-
ment's abilities and contributed to the breakdown of what authority it
actually had.

Prelude to Civil War

Clashes between Kata'ib militia, the army, and the Palestinians in 1970
raised the specter of a sectarian civil war. The Palestinians had come to
exert considerable influence on Muslim political circles since the ethno-
sectarian divisions in the country, already aggravated by economic and
social inequalities, had caused the Muslims to look upon the commando





The Regional Struggle for Lebanon | 31


movement as an ally in the struggle against what they regarded as a Chris-
tian-dominated establishment. The traditional Muslim politicians who
were invested in the status quo gradually lost their following and even
their armed support. Leftist commandos moved into the Muslim sectors of
Beirut, took the law into their own hands, and established control over the
city.13
   The Israeli raid on Beirut in 1973 was a turning point in the spiral of
violence. The Israelis' assassination of three Palestinian leaders increased
the climate of bitterness, humiliation, mutual fear, and hostility between
the Lebanese army and the Palestinians. Although that crisis was tempo-
rarily resolved by reaffirming the Cairo Agreement, the Christian leader-
ship girded for the next round, determined, now more than ever, to uphold
Lebanese sovereignty and the Christian character of Lebanon. The Pales-
tinians, for their part, did not want to suffer a repeat of the 1970 Jordan
debacle that resulted in their expulsion from that country. Lebanon, which
had always had a tradition of bearing arms, became even more of an
armed camp when the Kata'ib and Chamoun's National Liberal Party
established military training camps for their militias. This was justified as
a reaction to the Cairo Agreement, which gave the Palestinians freedom to
carry arms.14

Isolation Step by Step

To the Palestinians, Secretary of State Henry Kissinger's step-by-step strat-
egy to negotiate peace between Israel and the Arab states following the
October 1973 war seemed to be based on isolating first Egypt and then
Syria from the Arab-Israeli conflict and on studiously ignoring the Pales-
tinians. When it became clear that the PLO was not going to be accepted
by Israel as a party to the peace negotiations after the October 1973 war,
the Palestinians determined to consolidate their position in Lebanon.
   The Palestinians extended the provisions of the 1969 Cairo Agreement
to the Lebanese radical parties and to the various Nasserist movements.
These included pro-Iraqi and pro-Syrian Ba'thists, the Lebanese Commu-
nist Party, other communist factions, the Syrian Socialist Nationalist
Party, and various Muslim nationalist Arab parties, who proceeded to arm
themselves under the umbrella of the Palestinian movement. Meanwhile,
everyday life in Lebanon became marked by bomb explosions, robberies,
kidnappings, and political assassinations. The general breakdown of law
and order in the country was abetted by the undisciplined and sometimes
purposefully lawless behavior of the Palestinian commandos.




32 | Kail C. Ellis


The Civil War and Syria's Intervention

Given the intense involvement of the Palestinians in Lebanon's internal
affairs, it is not surprising that the incident that touched off the Lebanese
civil war in Ain al-Rummaneh on 13 April 1975 began with the massacre
of twenty-six Palestinians who were returning from a rally in Beirut. Al-
though preceded by the assassination of Pierre Gemayel's bodyguard and
the killing of others by persons unknown at a newly dedicated Maronite
church, this incident ignited the conflict that was to engulf Lebanon for
the next fifteen years.
   Although Syria watched intently the dangerous security situation on its
border, over a year of bloodletting and destruction passed before it inter-
vened. Its inaction, due in part to the inherent cautiousness of its Ba'thist
leadership and the need for international acceptance of its intervention by
Israel, the other Arab countries, and the United States, belied the pressure
on Syria from various sources to stop the killings. Syria finally intervened
against the Palestinians and their allies on 1 June 1976, in what proved to
be the end of the first phase of the Lebanese civil war.
   Syria's efforts were officially sanctioned by an Arab summit convened
in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, in October 1976. An Arab Deterrent Force
(ADF), a 30,000-strong peacekeeping body, was created to bring security
to Lebanon. Nominally under the control of Lebanon's president, the ADF
was composed primarily of Syrian troops, and all military action was
determined solely by Syria. The ADF imposed an uneasy peace in Lebanon
despite continuing skirmishes between the Lebanese factions and fighting
in the south between the Palestinians and Israel.

Israel

Israel, too, watched with concern the developments in Lebanon. To the
Likud government, the fighting provided an opportunity to weaken the
Palestinian resistance. Consequently, Israel increased its military and po-
litical involvement with the Lebanese Forces and armed the militia of Saad
Haddad, which had formed to protect Christian villages in the south
against the leftist and Palestinian guerrillas. Israel also allowed recruits
from the Maronite militias to be sent to Israel for training and then used
as surrogates in the battle against the Palestinian guerrillas. In an effort to
build a favorable position in the south (despite the devastation it was
wreaking on the local villages), Israel extended the Good Fence policy it




The Regional Struggle for Lebanon | 33


had established in 1976 to allow local Lebanese residents to cross into
Israel for medical treatment, jobs, and shopping.
   Israel also sought to check Syrian influence in the country. It prevented
Syria from extending its pacification efforts southward by establishing its
"Red Line," defined as somewhere at a point midway between Sidon and
Tyre on the coast to the Syrian border. Although this area was controlled
by the PLO-leftist coalition, Israel preferred their presence to having Syr-
ian troops on its northern border.

The 1978 Invasion and Israel's Security Zone

Israel's war against the Palestinian guerrillas and its daily incursions into
south Lebanon culminated in its March 1978 invasion and occupation of
south Lebanon. Israel's actions raised fears that it intended to annex and
settle the area, in the manner of the Golan Heights and the West Bank, in
order to guarantee its access to the waters of the Litani. The United Na-
tions Security Council took swift action to counter Israel's invasion. UN
Resolution 425 called for the withdrawal of Israeli forces and the restora-
tion of the authority of the Lebanese state. The Security Council also cre-
ated the UN Interim Force in Lebanon (UNiFiL), with the ultimate mission
of confirming the withdrawal of Israeli forces from Lebanon. Israel finally
withdrew its forces in June 1979 but gave the vacated territory to Saad
Haddad's militia, now constituted as the Army of Free Lebanon (later the
Army of South Lebanon). Israel's occupation of Lebanon through its self-
proclaimed security zone and its defiance of UN Resolution 425 until its
withdrawal in May 2000 have done little to accomplish peace on its north-
ern border.

The Palestinian State within a State

By 1982 the Palestinians had established themselves as the only real mili-
tary and civil authority in south Lebanon. They had created all the trap-
pings of a state within a state through their extensive network of social
services and other institutions that extended to the people the basic ser-
vices that the Lebanese government had not provided since Israel began its
military incursions in 1972. Despite the sympathy with which the Palestin-
ian movement was initially received, the local population soon came to
resent the heavy-handedness and corruption that some PLO officials ex-
hibited, as well as the policing action and the restriction of movement that





34 | Kail C. Ellis


the commandos exercised over the south in the name of the Palestinian
resistance. The Shi'a, in particular, galvanized by the political and social
movement (Amal) of Imam Musa al-Sadr, turned away from their alliance
with the Lebanese Left and the Palestinians to take control of their own
affairs. Israel observed this development and decided to capitalize on it in
its campaign against the Palestinians.

Invasion Preludes

The withdrawal of Israel from the Sinai in 26 April 1982, as the last phase
of the Egyptian-Israeli peace process, increased Syria's isolation in the
region and its fear of military vulnerability. The Israeli-Egyptian peace
accord had left the Arab world weak and divided. Syria was not only
isolated from Egypt, but Israel had forged an alliance with the Lebanese
Forces, and the Palestinians had alienated the Shi'a in south Lebanon.
Syria sought to compensate for Egypt's defection by reviving its alliance
with the Palestinians and the Lebanese opposition. This development, in
turn, strengthened those Israelis who believed that with the pacification of
its western border, the time was ripe for a military solution to the Palestin-
ian conflict. In the spring of 1981, Israel clashed with Syria over the de-
ployment of missiles in the Beqaa Valley and engaged the Palestinians in
south Lebanon. The Israeli government felt that the time was ripe for it to
crush, once and for all, the Palestinian resistance.

The Consequences of the 1982 Invasion

On 6 June 1982, Israel invaded Lebanon and began its three-month siege
of Beirut. Intense fighting inflicted severe hardships on West Beirut's
600,000 civilian population before the PLO was finally forced to agree to
withdraw from Beirut. A Multinational Force (MNF) was established on
1 September to oversee the PLO's withdrawal. The MNF, however, anx-
ious to complete its mission, left Beirut on 10 September, leaving the Pal-
estinian civilians unprotected. The assassination of Lebanon's president-
elect, Bashir Gemayel, and a score of other high officials by a massive
bomb in the Kata'ib party headquarters on 14 September (reportedly by a
young Maronite who had been linked to a pro-Syrian faction of the Syrian
Popular Party) had disastrous consequences for the remaining Palestinian
civilians.15 On 15 September, Israeli troops entered West Beirut and
around six that evening a massacre of several hundred Palestinians by the
Lebanese Forces took place in the camps of Sabra and Shatila.





The Regional Struggle for Lebanon | 35


   Israel's continued occupation of a security zone in south Lebanon was
regarded by Lebanon as a violation of UN Resolution 425. For a brief
moment, after Israel's second invasion in 1982, it seemed that Lebanon
and Israel might liquidate the zone and jointly impose a security regime
with the Agreement of 17 May 1983. But that agreement, which the Leba-
nese saw as a means of effecting the withdrawal of all foreign forces from
its territory, was regarded by Syria as a threat to its position in the region.
The agreement was eventually renounced by the government of Lebanon
as a result of Syrian pressure.

The Emergence of Hizballah

Israel's 1982 invasion accomplished the withdrawal of the PLO from
Beirut, but it also gave birth to a new resistance movement against Israel.
Israel had, with some success, fanned the flames of resentment against the
Palestinians among southern Lebanon's majority Shi'a population, and
they at first greeted Israel's 1982 invasion with some relief. Their elation,
however, quickly soured when the Israelis began to assume the posture of
an occupier. The Shi'a, motivated by religious fervor and the desire to
liberate their homeland from occupation, fiercely resisted the Israelis.
   The emergence of Hizballah received important sources of support and
encouragement from Iran and Syria. Iran's revolutionary leaders viewed
the Shi'a of southern Lebanon, who already had strong historical connec-
tions with Iran, as ideal proponents for their brand of political Islam. And
Syria, having survived what it considered to be an Israeli-American mili-
tary and diplomatic onslaught in Lebanon, found the Iranian connection
useful in making Israel's occupation of southern Lebanon as costly as
possible. A carefully contained war of attrition developed in south Leba-
non and occasionally spilled into northern Israel.

Syria Reasserts Its Role

Israel's 1982 invasion reaffirmed Syria's belief that Lebanon was its first
line of defense. Lebanon could never be allowed to separate itself from the
conflict with Israel, nor could any single, strong local force in Lebanon be
allowed to emerge. It was in pursuit of these goals that Syria blocked the
17 May 1983 agreement that Israel exacted from Lebanon and which was
designed to formally terminate the state of war between Lebanon and
Israel and open the stage for "normal relations with Israel."16
   Next, Syria consolidated its position in the Beqaa, provided arms to the





36 | Kail C. Ellis


Lebanese groups that opposed the government, principally Amal, and
tried to weaken the Lebanese Forces and the Lebanese army units that
supported Amin Gemayel. Syria also tried to gain control of the Palestin-
ian movement and drove Yasir Arafat's PLO out of the Beqaa and Tripoli.
   According to the Syrian strategy, Lebanon was to remain weak and,
above all, was not to be allowed outside support from the United States,
Israel, or their allies. Crucial to this strategy was the removal of the Mul-
tinational Force that had been established to oversee the PLO evacuation
from Beirut in 1982 but which later became active in supporting the Leba-
nese army in its operations against the Shi'a and Druze opposition. This
was accomplished when the bombings of the American embassy and the
Marine barracks at Beirut International Airport forced the MNF's "rede-
ployment." Next, Syria intervened to stop the fighting between the rival
Amal and Hizballah Shi'a factions, thereby consolidating its position in
West Beirut. By 1987, Syria had reestablished control over the Palestinian
camps on the edges of the city. With its forces, numbering some 35,000
troops, holding sway over more than 60 percent of Lebanese territory,
Syria was once again the dominant force in Lebanon.17

The Aoun Interregnum

The end of the discredited Gemayel presidency in September 1988 pre-
sented another challenge for Syria. The Lebanese political factions, Syria,
and the United States had failed to agree on the election of an acceptable
successor. Consequently, in the closing hours of his term, Amin Gemayel
created a constitutional crisis by appointing General Michel Aoun as in-
terim prime minister. Aoun's appointment was not recognized by the
Lebanese opposition or Syria. Complicating matters, the incumbent Sunni
prime minister, Salim al-Hoss, refused to step down and in turn claimed
executive power. Lebanon's internal divisions were now mirrored in these
two legal authorities.
   Initially, General Aoun attempted to broaden his base of support
among the Christian and Muslim populations. He appealed to their com-
mon sense of Lebanese identity and blamed outside forces for their misery.
His goals of national unity, rule of law, sovereignty, and the withdrawal of
all foreign forces from Lebanon were greeted enthusiastically by the Chris-
tian community and received the cautious support of the Muslims. When
provocations by the Lebanese Forces caused the Syrians to shell East
Beirut, however, Aoun countered by shelling West Beirut. In the process,
he lost any support he might have gained from the Muslim community.





The Regional Struggle for Lebanon | 37


The Document of National Reconciliation

Although Aoun was a threat to Syria's aims in Lebanon, he was unable to
muster the necessary support to unify the country or evict the Syrians. As
Lebanon's security situation degenerated, Syria stepped in once more.
Under the aegis of the Arab League, Syria, with support from Saudi
Arabia, summoned the seventy surviving members of Lebanon's Parlia-
ment (which had not had an election since the beginning of the civil war)
to Ta'if, the Saudi summer capital, to deal with Aoun and the constitu-
tional crisis. With Syrian encouragement, the parliamentarians amended
the constitutional system and developed the Document of National Rec-
onciliation, initially approved by the Lebanese Parliament in 1989, and
approved with amendments and written into the constitution in August
and September 1990.18
   In addition to guaranteeing the presidency to the Christians and ensur-
ing the sharing of executive power with the prime minister and the speaker
of Parliament, Ta'if equalized Muslim-Christian representation in Parlia-
ment. Since this arrangement generally extended to high-ranking posts in
government and in the public sector, Ta'if enshrined the unwritten confes-
sional arrangement of the 1943 national pact. The agreement was signed
on 22 October. On 5 November 1989, the deputies elected Ren6 Moawad
president of the republic.
   The actions of the parliamentarians were not without consequences.
Those who signed the document and the newly elected president were
subject to numerous death threats and assassination attempts. President
Moawad was himself assassinated two and a half weeks later during a
celebration of Lebanon's Independence Day, 22 November. The parlia-
mentarians acted swiftly in the face of this new threat, and two days later,
Elias Hrawi, a Maronite from Zahle with close ties to Syria, was elected to
succeed him.

The Denouement

General Aoun refused to recognize the Hrawi government or the Ta'if
Agreement, which left indefinite Syria's continued presence in Lebanon.
Seeking to capitalize on the conflict between the Ba'thist regimes in Iraq
and Syria, Aoun sought with Iraq's support to drive the Syrians from Leba-
non. To prepare for the confrontation, Aoun had to consolidate his posi-
tion with his Christian constituency. He attempted to wrest control of the
small Christian area between Beirut and Jebail but in the process inaugu-





38 | Kail C. Ellis


rated a Christian civil war in January 1990. The conflict lasted until July
of that year and ended without a clear-cut victory for Aoun. The war did,
however, have disastrous human and political consequences for the Chris-
tian community, which suffered 1,000 dead, 5,000 casualties, and $1.2
billion in property damages.19
   Meanwhile, Iraq's invasion of Kuwait on 1 August 1990 provided Syria
with the opportunity to remove Aoun by force. Syria had prepared by
allying itself with the United States coalition against Iraq, its long-time
enemy, and in October 1990 was given permission to move against Aoun
and resolve the Lebanese crisis. The presidential palace in Baabda was
attacked and Aoun was forced into exile. With Aoun's removal, constitu-
tional authority was reestablished, and the militias, with the exception of
Hizballah (which was engaged in the resistance to Israeli occupation in the
south), were dismantled. The Lebanese army, with Syria's assistance, pro-
ceeded to collect the assault weapons of the militias and the Palestinians
and was deployed throughout the country. Syria's suzerainty in Lebanon
was once again firmly established.


Grapes of Wrath

The reestablishment of constitutional authority in 1990 allowed Lebanon
to experience a slow and painful recovery. This gradual resumption of
political and economic life that took place under the auspices of the Ta'if
Agreement was again interrupted in April 1996, when Israel launched its
third military attack on Lebanon. The ostensible justification for Israel's
"Operation Grapes of Wrath" was the need to secure its northern border
against attack from Hizballah forces. Israel was reeling from terrorist at-
tacks from Islamist groups opposed to the Israeli-Palestinian peace nego-
tiations, and the government was under strong pressure to take action.
The invasion was intended to be a strong message against terrorism that
was needed to secure a victory for the Labor government. Its immediate
effect, however, was the bombing and destruction of villages, the killing of
civilians, and the creation of 400,000 internal refugees. The operation also
carried another message to Lebanon. The bombing of electric power
plants near Beirut was an implicit warning to the Lebanese authorities that
their economic recovery and the rebuilding of the country's infrastructure
were at stake if they did not control Hizballah.
   Israel's 1996 action served only to reemphasize the weakness of the
Lebanese government and strengthen Syria's political role in the country.
Hizballah would not be disarmed as long as UNiFiL or its troops were





The Regional Struggle for Lebanon | 39


prevented from entering Israel's security zone. The Syrian defense minis-
ter, Mustafa Tlass, in an interview with the Beirut weekly Monday Morn-
ing, stated Syria's position succinctly: "We support the forces of the Arab
resistance which are confronting the enemy in armed struggle, especially
the Lebanese resistance.... It is an important means by which the material
strength and morale of the enemy can be weakened."20
   Lebanon sought the withdrawal of all foreign troops from its territory,
in accord with UN Resolution 425, but it could not accomplish this as
long as Israel continued to occupy the south. Lebanon's then Foreign
Minister, Fares Buwayz, wanted the United States to assist in an Israeli
withdrawal.21 According to Buwayz, Lebanon was not asking for an im-
mediate withdrawal but for a decision to withdraw that would take place
under conditions to be decided by a commission composed of Lebanese
and Israelis.22 Former prime minister Ehud Barak actually withdrew
Israel's troops from the south in May 2000, but stability in the region is
still hostage to an eventual Syrian-Israeli peace agreement and Israeli with-
drawal from the Golan Heights.


Implications of Ta'if for Lebanon

The Ta'if Agreement formalized Syria's influence in Lebanon23 and pro-
vided for the development of additional treaties. The Treaty of Brother-
hood, Cooperation, and Coordination, signed on 22 May 1991, is a prime
example of the new relationship.24 The treaty established a mixed Higher
Council to promote intergovernmental cooperation on economic, de-
fense, culture, and energy issues. The membership of the Higher Council
gave it the status of a supraauthority that can negotiate, sign, and en-
force bilateral agreements.25 The treaty also defined the framework for
Syrian and Lebanese relations, as its provisions illustrate. Article I pro-
vides for "The highest levels of cooperation and coordination in all
fields, including political, economic, security, educational, scientific, and
others, with the aim of promoting the mutual interests of the two sisterly
states within the framework of their respective sovereignty and indepen-
dence."
   Article IV sets the time line for Syria's redeployment of its troops, that
is, "after the political reforms have been approved and endorsed in a con-
stitutional manner in line with the provisions of the Lebanese National
[Reconciliation] Pact, and after the deadlines fixed in the Pact have ex-
pired."
   Article V states the principles that should govern the foreign policies of





40 | Kail C. Ellis


both countries, that is, the commitment to the charter of the Arab League,
the Treaty for Arab Defense and Economic Cooperation, and all other
agreements signed within the league's framework. Article VI develops the
structure, that is, the Syrian-Lebanese Higher Council, that would provide
any future confederal relationship between the two countries with a cen-
tral authority.
   Article III establishes the interconnectedness of Syria's and Lebanon's
security and has caused the greatest concern among some Lebanese ob-
servers. The article provides that "Lebanon shall not become a transit way
or a base for any power, state, or organization which seeks to undermine
Syria's security, while Syria, keen to preserve Lebanon's security, unity,
and independence, shall not allow any action that would constitute a
threat to Lebanon's security."
   Another statement in Article III says that "Syria's security requires that
Lebanon should not be a source of threat to Syria's security and vice versa
under any circumstances." This is significant, given Lebanon's recent his-
tory and its relations with Israel. This article effectively gives Syria the
right, after its own evaluation of an impending threat from "any power,
states, or organization which seeks to undermine Syria's security," to pre-
serve Lebanon's security, but there is no mention of the possibility that
Syria might become such a transit way or base.26 It also raises the question
of the operation of Syrian security forces within Lebanon and the indepen-
dent authority these forces exercise over both Lebanese and Palestinian
nationals.

Economic Relations

The Treaty of Brotherhood, Cooperation, and Coordination's multiple
and binding agreements in virtually all social and economic fields have
raised questions about the future of Lebanese-Syrian relations. What ef-
fect, for example, will contact with Lebanon have on Syrian society as
Syria attempts to liberalize its domestic economy? Conversely, to what
degree will Lebanon be able to manage its social and economic coopera-
tion with Syria without becoming subcontracted to the Syrian economy?
   One manifestation of this concern is the labor agreement signed on 18
October 1994, which sought to legalize the status of Syrian laborers in
Lebanon. Given that an estimated 900,000 Syrians work in Lebanon and
that Syrian workers at home earn approximately two thousand Syrian lira
($50) per month-and are willing to work for much less than a Lebanese





The Regional Struggle for Lebanon | 41


worker, who averages approximately $200 per month-how much can
Lebanon absorb in terms of potential unemployment and social disloca-
tion?27 Added to this is the enormous expense that Syria's presence entails
for Lebanon and the millions of dollars that leave Lebanon every day and
are added to the Syrian economy. As these statistics indicate, Lebanon is
an economic outlet where the Syrian private sector can invest and prosper,
while the Syrian public sector remains under the control of the present
regime.28

The Future of Syrian-Lebanese Relations

Any future regional peace settlement will remain a challenge to Syrian-
Lebanese cooperation. Currently, Syria uses Lebanon to put pressure on
Israel. The suspension of the Israeli-Syrian peace talks has affected the
Lebanese-Israeli track, and Lebanon will not conduct independent nego-
tiations with Israel. Syria will continue to consolidate its position in Leba-
non, as it did on 19 October 1995, when it judged that the extension for
three years of President Hrawi's term was necessary in order to strengthen
its negotiating position vis-a-vis Israel.
   In addition, an eventual peace agreement between Syria and Israel
might have adverse economic and political effects on Syria. The regional
balance of power would shift with Syria's diminished status as a confron-
tation state with the result that Syria might not be able to retain its suzer-
ainty over Lebanon. Studies conducted by the World Bank and other insti-
tutions predict that the main communications lines in the Middle East will
start from or lead to Israel, not Lebanon.29 Syria would also note the
advantage to Israel, which no doubt would also benefit economically from
the opening up of Arab markets and foreign capital investment in Israel,
especially in the promised $11.6 billion economic support provided by the
13 September 1993 agreement with the Palestinians.30
   Given these conditions, Syria will continue to exercise political pre-
dominance in Lebanon for the foreseeable future. Lebanon is too impor-
tant for Syria's protection and Syria's influence will remain dominant,
even after a settlement with Israel. Although some might point with dis-
may to the fundamentally unequal relationship between the two coun-
tries, rational and direct cooperation will require the continuance of their
present relationship as long as both countries are confronted with the
exigencies of regional challenges.




42 | Kail C. Ellis


The Future of Israeli-Lebanese Relations

Ehud Barak's landslide win over Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in
May 1999 was generally regarded as enhancing the prospects for the
peace process and, by extension, the future of Lebanon and the region as
a whole. Barak's pledge to withdraw Israeli forces from southern Lebanon
by July 2000, albeit with a rider that the withdrawal would come about
"by agreement"-implying that an overall political understanding with
Syria and Lebanon could be secured in the space of a few months-was
greeted with cautious optimism in Lebanon. Prime Minister Salim al-Hoss
noted that Barak's inauguration speech did not mention UN Security
Council Resolution 425 as the basis for the withdrawal, and most Leba-
nese observers felt that the withdrawal would be conditioned on a freeze
of the resistance operations of Hizballah. Given the political climate in
Lebanon and the political capital Hizballah achieved as the only resistance
force fighting the Israeli occupation, this condition would not be possible.
   Previous propositions, such as the Lebanon First proposal put forward
in the summer of 1996 by former prime minister Netanyahu, did not in-
volve negotiations with Syria, nor did they link Israeli withdrawal from
Lebanon to the future of the Golan Heights. Netanyahu's proposal also
had a number of conditions linked to it, such as incorporating members of
the SLA into the Lebanese army and disarming Hizballah as a precondi-
tion for withdrawal. His proposal was a "nonstarter," as such precondi-
tions had been rejected by Lebanon and Syria many times before. Even
more unacceptable for Syria was Netanyahu's expectation that Syria
would willingly cooperate in helping Israel disengage from southern Leba-
non but not from the Golan Heights.
   The initial optimism that Barak's election occasioned soon faded when
the departing Netanyahu administration launched its largest and most
destructive air raid on Lebanon on the night of 24-25 June 1999. The
operation, which killed eight civilians and injured seventy others, caused
more damage to the civilian infrastructure than the Grapes of Wrath on-
slaught of April 1996. This attempt to punish the Lebanese government
for supporting the Hizballah resistance by destroying power plants, roads,
and bridges was also viewed by some as an attempt by the outgoing gov-
ernment to scuttle the peace process. Although Barak was not deemed to
be immediately responsible for the raid, it seemed to be part of a consistent
Israeli policy of retaliation going back, in Lebanon's case, to 1968. The
realization of this fear was to be borne out a few months later.
   Syria and Israel were on the verge of an agreement in 1996 when the





The Regional Struggle for Lebanon | 43


Washington talks were suspended after terrorist bombings in Israel. These
negotiations were resumed on 15 December 1999 in Washington when,
under the auspices of President Bill Clinton, Prime Minister Barak and
Syria's foreign minister Farouk al-Sharaa met at Blair House. The talks
were, in Syria's view, to continue where they had left off, namely, with
Israel's commitment to withdraw from the Golan Heights. Shortly after-
ward, the talks recessed with the agreement that they would be continued
in January 2000 at Shepherdstown, West Virginia. The Shepherdstown
talks broke down, however, over Israel's refusal to commit to full with-
drawal from the Golan Heights. When an Israeli newspaper later printed
a leaked text of a working paper that seemed to make clear that Israel had
already wrung some concessions from Syria on security and the opening of
normal relations, while Syria had not even gotten Israel to declare that it
would withdraw from the Golan, the third round of talks scheduled for
late January was suspended.31
   Speculation around the suspension of the talks centered on the need for
breathing room on the part of the Barak government due to public pres-
sure in Israel against abandoning the Golan Heights and the fact that the
situation in south Lebanon seemed to be getting quieter. In late 1999, the
Israeli military changed its operational tactics in south Lebanon by aban-
doning its aggressive search-and-destroy methods against Hizballah
forces that often resulted in high casualties. Taking a lesson from NATO's
operation in Kosovo, Israeli troops were told to hunker down in fortified
areas, leaving active operations against Hizballah to long-range artillery
and the air force. The new tactics resulted in fewer Israeli casualties and in
increased military confidence that seemed to make the talks on the Syrian
track a little less urgent. Indirect communications with Damascus, how-
ever, continued.32
   This apparent complacency ended in late January 2000 when
Hizballah inflicted a series of casualties on Israeli forces that resulted in
the deaths of several soldiers and a senior commander of the Israeli-allied
South Lebanon Army. The publicity surrounding the deaths and the foot-
age of the fighting provoked public anger, raising concerns from Israeli
military experts that a unilateral withdrawal would merely shift hostilities
to the Israel-Lebanon border and place Israeli civilians in danger. Thus,
the familiar sequence of diplomatic deadlock, escalation of Hizballah's
armed resistance against Israeli occupation in south Lebanon, and Israeli
retaliation designed primarily to inflict pain on Lebanese civilians was set
in motion. Foreign Minister David Levy warned that "the soil of Lebanon
will burn" if Hizballah launched rocket attacks against northern Israel,"





44 | Kail C. Ellis


while Israeli warplanes on 7-8 February 2000 mounted extensive raids
against power plants in Lebanon that were just recovering from the raids
of the previous June. Serious damage was once again inflicted on Leban-
on's infrastructure and its struggle for economic recovery.
   The Lebanese government concluded that Israel would withdraw from
southern Lebanon only as part of the resumed negotiations between Israel
and Syria. Separate negotiations for an Israeli withdrawal from southern
Lebanon were not an option. As the 17 May 1983 agreement demon-
strated, any peace agreement between Lebanon and Israel would have to
reflect that the ultimate governing authority in Lebanon resided in Dam-
ascus. Nor were hopes to be realized that the monitoring group cochaired
by the United States and France after Operation Grapes of Wrath would
encourage Syria and Israel to interact directly to solve the issues between
them. Although such talks might have been useful as confidence-building
measures, they would not have addressed the basic issue of an overall
settlement of the conflict.
   Lebanon's dilemma was that Israel would not withdraw unilaterally
from southern Lebanon absent a special security regime, and Syria would
not agree to such an arrangement without Israel's withdrawal from the
Golan Heights. By March 2000, however, many observers thought it was
reasonable to assume that a deal on the Golan was in the offing that could
pave the way for an agreement. President Clinton and President Asad had
met in Geneva amid optimism that the Israeli leadership had conceded to
Syria's major demand of complete withdrawal. The release of a report that
Prime Minister Barak had told his cabinet on 27 February 2000 that
Yitzhak Rabin had given guarantees that Israel would fully withdraw
from the Golan Heights in exchange for security commitments by Syria
gave credence to that scenario. Stating that he would "not erase the past,"
Barak implied that he would honor "the historical record" as understood
to mean the complete Israeli withdrawal from the Golan.34 Tying the with-
drawal from southern Lebanon (which was highly popular in Israel) to a
withdrawal agreement from the Golan (which Barak's opponents insisted
had to be ratified by a national referendum in Israel) would ensure the
success of a peace agreement with Syria and Lebanon.
   The optimism that the long-sought dream of peace might be fulfilled
soon turned to cynicism about Israel's motives. The obstacle turned on
Israel's refusal to return to the pre-1967 border with Syria and its insis-
tence that Israel retain the northeastern shore of Lake Tiberias in order to
ensure access to its water. When Syria rejected Israel's territorial demands,
Israel announced that it was lifting its freeze on settlement construction in




The Regional Struggle for Lebanon | 45


the occupied Golan. It also notified the United Nations in mid-April that
it intended to withdraw unilaterally from Lebanon. Barak apparently be-
lieved this move could strengthen Israel's hold on the Golan by depriving
Syria of one of the few ways of pressuring Israel to withdraw from the
Golan. By mid-May, Israel began handing over its fortified positions to the
SLA. In reality, Israel's unilateral withdrawal from southern Lebanon
would leave unresolved the very issues that could result in continued con-
flict.
   Syria would not succumb to such pressure and resolved to maintain its
Lebanon card. For their part, the Lebanese insisted that Israel's unilateral
withdrawal would not resolve the conflict between their two countries,
particularly as long as the status of the 400,000 Palestinians in Lebanon
since 1948 remained unresolved. They also stated that they could not be
expected to send the army to protect Israel's northern border if, as seemed
likely, Israel continued to occupy parts of Lebanese territory.35
   Israel's 22-year occupation of southern Lebanon finally ended on 24
May 2000. The SLA had collapsed when its militiamen refused to sacrifice
themselves to protect Israel's troop withdrawal. The occupation had
caused the deaths of 900 Israelis, 1,276 Hizballah fighters, and numerous
Palestinians and Lebanese civilians.36 Ariel Sharon, the mastermind of the
1982 invasion of Lebanon, stated that he had long advocated unilateral
withdrawal, but he admonished that the withdrawal should have been
preceded by devastating strikes on Lebanon, including "Syrian interests,"
as a way of "restoring the consciousness of deterrence" to prevent re-
newed hostilities on the Lebanese border.37 For its part, Hizballah per-
formed an orderly takeover of the evacuated areas, reassuring the Chris-
tian and Druze villagers of their safety and turning over captured SLA
militiamen to the Lebanese authorities. The Lebanese government pro-
claimed 25 May "National Liberation Day."
   Israel's withdrawal did not achieve from Syria the required guarantees
for its northern border. Although its withdrawal was certified by the
United Nations as complete, according to the 1923 boundary, and the UN
secretary-general, Kofi Annan, had asked Lebanon to take effective con-
trol of the south, Lebanon reiterated its refusal to send its army to the
border to protect Israel.38 Instead, Lebanon insisted that Israel's with-
drawal was not complete. Lebanon claimed that Shab'a Farms, occupied
by Israel along with the Golan Heights after the 1967 war, was also Leba-
nese territory and that the Israeli withdrawal was a deployment that did
not fulfill the requirements of UN Resolution 425.
   Lebanon's claims to Shab'a Farms, a fertile 25-square-kilometer area




46 | Kail C. Ellis


on the western slopes of Mount Hermon, are based on the cooperative
policing arrangement between Lebanon and Syria that existed before the
Israeli occupation and the fact that many Lebanese own land there. Leba-
non claimed that Syria ceded the region to Lebanon in 1951, a fact that
Syria later verified to the United Nations.39 There is, however, no existing
map that the territory was ever under Lebanese sovereignty, and the
United Nations' chief cartographer, Milos Pinther, would not certify it as
such.40 Nevertheless, Shab'a Farms has now become a flash point on the
border with Israel. Hizballah launched an operation there on 7 October
2000 in which it captured three Israeli soldiers, ostensibly to use as bar-
gaining chips to obtain the release of Abd al-Karim Obeid, a senior
Hizballah figure kidnapped by Israel in 1989, and Mustafa Dirani, a
former resistance commando whom Israel had kidnapped in 1994. This
was followed by another attack by Hizballah in Shab'a Farms on 26 No-
vember in which one Israeli soldier was killed and two wounded. Israel
retaliated by attacking Lebanese villages in the south with helicopter gun-
ships.41 In light of the numerous violations of Lebanese airspace, the Leba-
nese government's refusal to deploy its army to the southern border, the
uncertainty of Syria's policy following the death of President Hafiz al-
Asad on 9 June 2000, and the defeat of Ehud Barak and the election of
Ariel Sharon in February 2001 as prime minister of Israel, Lebanon will
remain hostage to an eventual Syrian-Israeli peace treaty.

The Palestinians and Lebanon

On 13 September 1993, the PLO and Israel signed a "Declaration of Prin-
ciples" on Palestinian self-rule in Jericho and the Gaza Strip. The Oslo
Accords, however, had no effect on the status of the Palestinians in Leba-
non. Indeed, the fitful progress of the Palestinian-Israeli negotiations has
had negative ramifications for Lebanon. In September 1995, for example,
the Libyan government decided to show its disapproval of the Israeli-
Palestinian peace process by expelling 30,000 Palestinian migrant work-
ers, about half of whom were from Lebanon. This action renewed fears
that Lebanon would have to pay the price of permanently settling the
Palestinians after any Israeli-Palestinian peace settlement.
   Conversely, the Palestinian presence in post-civil war Lebanon has
served as a rare, if negative, unifying element in the Lebanese national
political identity. With few exceptions, Lebanese of all factions agree that
the Palestinians should not be resettled permanently in Lebanon. This
principle is enshrined in the preamble of the new constitution of Lebanon





The Regional Struggle for Lebanon | 47


that states, "Lebanese territory is one for all Lebanese. There shall be no
segregation of the people on the basis of any type of belonging, and no
fragmentation, partition, or colonization. "42
   The former prime minister of Lebanon, Dr. Salim el-Hoss, has ex-
pressed his concern that there is no mention of the Palestinians of 1948 in
the Israel-PLO accord. Dr. Hoss believes that the resettlement of Palestin-
ians in Lebanon would upset the sectarian balance in the country. He has
pointed out that the Ta'if Agreement said "no" to fragmentation, division
and implantation. "Implantation [i.e. colonization]," he said, refers to the
Palestinians in Lebanon.43
   Lebanon's foreign minister, Fares Buwayz, advocates the following
measures to resolve the Palestinian issue in Lebanon: (1) Give the Palestin-
ians from the areas covered by the Israeli-PLO agreement the right of
return to Gaza and Jericho. The United Nations decided this twenty years
ago in UN Resolution 194. (2) Give the Palestinians the right of family
unification. "Wherever the majority of a given family is located, whether
in Israel, the West Bank, Egypt, the U.S., etc., the members of that family
should be allowed to rejoin the family." And, finally, (3) give the Palestin-
ians the right to immigrate to their country of choice. Countries like
Canada, according to Buwayz, are accepting numerous immigrants and so
should allow the Palestinians to immigrate. According to Buwayz, the
"implementation of these measures would solve 30 percent of the Palestin-
ian problem in Lebanon."44
   Palestinians living in Lebanon not only face physical danger but also
suffer the afflictions of poverty, unemployment, and political disenfran-
chisement. Although a few have been granted Lebanese citizenship, most
Palestinians feel marginalized by a peace process that holds out no hope of
repatriation.45 As a result, Palestinians cling to their refugee status because
it legitimizes their right of return to Palestine. In the interim, some Pales-
tinians are now seeking to redefine themselves as a legal minority in Leba-
non in the hope that this will protect them from further displacement and
redefine their place in Lebanese society.46

Conclusion

Although Lebanon's involvement in regional crises was not the underlying
cause of its civil unrest, it has played an important part in sparking the
problems Lebanon has endured since its independence. Lebanon was un-
able to isolate itself from the chronic Palestinian-Israeli crisis, nor could it
find any effective way to deal with the presence of Palestinian refugees.





48 | Kail C. Ellis


Today, Lebanon is struggling to recover from the effects of the many con-
flicts and wars that have plagued the country for almost sixteen years and
produced thousands of its own internal refugees. While Lebanon's ener-
gies will be occupied with these problems, the future of the Palestinians in
Lebanon will continue to be a source of uncertainty and contention.
   The uneasy balances within its own constitutional arrangement forced
the Lebanese to live with the escalating cycles of Palestinian-Israeli vio-
lence. The intense polarization that the Palestinian issue caused among the
dissatisfied elements during the civil war has given way to a broad na-
tional consensus-at least on the surface-that the Palestinian problem
should not be settled at Lebanon's expense. This consensus has been
reached despite the continued nonresolution of the underlying causes of
the Lebanese conflict: social disparity and issues of political representa-
tion and confessionalism.
   Lebanon's association with Syria has not been fully defined, and its
future relationship with Israel awaits the resumption of the peace negotia-
tions. The broader Arab-Israeli conflict and the slowness of the regional
peace process will continue to complicate Lebanon's relations with its
neighbors, Syria and Israel, as well as the fate of the Palestinians living in
Lebanon. The uncertainty of the border with Israel and the continued
presence of armed elements over which it has no control, namely the
Hizballah resistance movement in the south and the Syrian peacekeeping
force, ensure that Lebanon, its eventual recovery, and its future indepen-
dence will continue to be hostage to regional events.

Author's note:

I am grateful to Arab Studies Quarterly for permission to use material in
my article "Lebanon: The Struggle of a Small Country in a Regional Con-
text," which appeared in their issue of Winter 1999.

Notes

   1. Ghassan Salame, "Lebanon: How 'National' Is Independence?" Beirut Re-
view 6 (Fall 1993): 1-5.
   2. Fred J. Khouri, The Arab Israeli Dilemma (Syracuse, N.Y.: Syracuse Univer-
sity Press, 1968), 70.
   3. Roy Alan, "Lebanon: Israel's Friendliest Neighbor," Commentary 13 (June
1952), 551.
   4. Labib Zumiyya Yamak, "Party Politics in the Lebanese Political System," in





The Regional Struggle for Lebanon | 49


Politics in Lebanon, ed. Leonard Binder (New York: John Wiley and Sons, 1966),
151. Archbishop Mubarak's memorandum was reported in the Beirut daily Al-
Diyar on 27 September 1946, with the result that he reportedly was reprimanded
for his position by the Maronite patriarch, relieved of his ecclesiastical duties, and
exiled to a monastery. See William W. Haddad, "Christian Arab Attitudes toward
the Arab-Israeli Conflict," Muslim World 67 (April 1977): 130, and Laura
Zittrain Eisenberg, My Enemy's Enemy: Lebanon in the Early Zionist Imagina-
tion, 1900-1948 (Detroit: Wayne State University Press, 1994), 142-43.
   5. Albion Ross, "Dr. Malik Presses Arab-Turkish Tie," New York Times, 11
June 1951.
   6. Hussein Sirriyyeh, "The Palestinian Armed Presence in Lebanon since
1967," in Essays on the Crisis in Lebanon, ed. Roger Owen (London: Ithaca Press,
1976), 77. Estimates of current numbers vary. The Palestinian Refugee Research
Net cites 346,164 UNRWA-registered Palestinian refugees in Lebanon as of June
1995 (www.arts.mcgilt.ca/MEPP/PRRN/proverview.html) (23 March 1999). The
often-cited figure of 400,000 would include an estimated 50,000 nonregistered
refugees.
   7. Michael Hudson, "The Palestinian Arab Resistance Movement: Its Signifi-
cance in the Middle East Crisis," Middle East Journal 23 (Summer 1969): 291.
   8. Israel destroyed thirteen Arab civilian airliners and a fuel storage tank; the
damage caused by the raid was estimated at $43.1 million. John B. Wolf, "Shadow
on Lebanon," Current History 58 (January 1970): 25.
   9. Ibid.; the Israeli raid was also viewed as a warning to the governments of
Saudi Arabia and Kuwait that continued contributions of large sums of money to
the commando movement might in the future subject their property to Israeli
reprisal.
   10. Kamal S. Salibi, Crossroads to Civil War: Lebanon, 1958-1976 (New
York: Caravan Books, 1976), 41.
   11. Ibid., 55-56; Sirriyyeh, "The Palestinian Armed Presence," 79.
   12. John P. Entellis, "Palestinian Revolutionism in Lebanese Politics: The
Christian Response," Muslim World 62, no. 4 (October 1972): 341.
   13. Salibi, Crossroads, 55.
   14. Sirriyyeh, "The Palestinian Armed Presence," 81.
   15. Helena Cobban, The Making of Modern Lebanon (Boulder, Colo.:
Westview Press, 1985), 187.
   16. For an account of this period see Elie A. Salem, Violence and Diplomacy in
Lebanon: The Troubled Years, 1982-1988 (London: I. B. Tauris Publishers,
1995), 145-56.
   17. Elizabeth Picard, Lebanon: A Shattered Country (New York and London:
Holmes and Meier, 1996), 134.
   18. "Documents: The Constitution of Lebanon after the Amendments of Au-
gust 21, 1990," Beirut Review 1, no. 1 (Spring 1991): 119-60.
   19. Paul E. Salem, "Two Years of Living Dangerously: General Awn and the





50 | Kail C. Ellis


Precarious Rise of Lebanon's 'Second Republic,"' Beirut Review 1, no. 1 (Spring
1991): 67.
   20. Michael Jensen, "Lebanon: Israel on Top?" Middle East International 563
(21 November 1997): 14.
   21. Foreign Minister Fares Buwayz to author, 10 December 1993.
   22. Ibid.
   23. "Lebanon, which is Arab in its belonging and identity, has close filial ties to
all the Arab states; there exist between it and Syria distinctive relations which
derive their force from the roots of propinquity, history, and common filial inter-
ests. This is the foundation on which coordination between the two countries shall
be based": "The Ta'if Agreement," Beirut Review 1 (Spring 1991): 171.
   24. "Treaty of Brotherhood, Cooperation, and Coordination Concluded be-
tween Lebanon and Syria on May 22, 1991," Beirut Review 1, no. 2 (Fall 1991):
115-19.
   25. The Higher Council is made up of the presidents of both states, the speaker
of the Lebanese Parliament, the prime minister and deputy prime minister of the
Lebanese government, the speaker of the Syrian Parliament, and the prime minis-
ter and deputy prime minister of the Syrian government. Simone Ghazi Tinaoui,
"An Analysis of the Syrian-Lebanese Economic Cooperation Agreements," Beirut
Review 3, no. 8 (Fall 1994): 102.
   26. Ibid. "Lebanon-Syria Treaty of Cooperation, May 20, 1991 [sic],"
almarshiq.hiof.no/lebanon/300.socialsciences/320/327/lebanon-syria.txt (21
March 1999).
   27. Tinaoui, "Analysis," 108-9.
   28. Capital flight from Syria over the past decades has been estimated at some
$25 billion. See Volker Perthes, "From Front-Line State to Backyard? Syria and the
Economic Risks of Regional Peace," Beirut Review 3, no. 8 (Fall 1994): 90.
   29. Ibid., 89.
   30. Tinaoui, "Analysis," 111.
   31. Deborah Sontag, "Dust Settles: Israel-Syria Peace Effort Is Set Back," New
York Times (http://www.nytimes.com/library/world/mideast021000mideast-rdp.
html) (10 February 2000).
   32. Peretz Kidron, "Barak's Mixed Fortune," Middle East International, no.
618 (11 February 2000): 10.
   33. Sontag, "Dust Settles."
   34. Deborah Sontag, "Rabin Vowed to Pull Back from Golan, Barak Says,"
New York Times, 28 February 2000.
   35. Jim Quilty, "Withdrawal Symptoms," Middle East International, no. 624
(5 May 2000): 16.
   36. Michael Jensen, "Lebanon's Finest Hour," Middle East International, no.
626 (2 June 2000): 4.
   37. Peretz Kidron, "Good Riddance," Middle East International, no. 626 (2
June 2000): 12.





The Regional Struggle for Lebanon | 51


   38. Michael Jensen, "Simmering Pot," Middle East International, no. 637 (10
November 2000): 10.
   39. Ibid.
   40. Jim Quilty, "Cutting Deals," Middle East International, no. 625 (19 May
2000): 9.
   41. See Quilty, "Withdrawal Symptoms," 16; Michael Jensen, "Tension in the
South," Middle East International, no. 638 (24 November 2000): 9-10.
   42. "Preamble, The New Constitution of Lebanon," Section (i). See Beirut
Review 1, no. 2 (Spring 1991): 123.
   43. Dr. Salim al-Hoss to author, 2 December 1993.
   44. Foreign Minister Buwayz to author, 10 December 1993.
   45. See article by Julie Peteet, "From Refugees to Minority: Palestinians in Post-
War Lebanon," Middle East Report (July-September 1996): 27ff.
   46. Ibid.; according to Peteet, around 60,000 Palestinians have been natural-
ized in Lebanon since 1994. The majority of these were Shi'a from border villages
who had Palestinian refugee status, while others were "Sunnis who, for reasons
not made public, were naturalized in 1995, perhaps to balance out the Shi'a natu-
ralization." Although most Palestinian Christians had already been given Leba-
nese citizenship, the few who remained, about 10,000, have since been natural-
ized.








2


Israeli-Lebanese Relations

A Future Imperfect?

   Kirsten E. Schulze






With the start of the Middle East peace process in 1991, normalization of
relations between Israel and its Arab neighbors became the focus of the
quest for regional stability. The 1993 Oslo Accords, the 1994 Jordanian-
Israeli peace treaty, and bilateral trade arrangements between Israel and
Arab states such as Qatar, Oman, and Morocco raised hopes for an end to
conflict and increased regional cooperation. At the same time professional
unions have spearheaded the antinormalization campaign in Jordan,
Egypt, and Syria, drawing strength from every downturn in the peace
process, such as the stalemate during the 1996-99 Netanyahu government
and the collapse of Israeli-Palestinian talks into the al-Aqsa intifada in
September 2000.
   This chapter looks at Israeli-Lebanese relations past, present, and fu-
ture in the context of normalization and antinormalization. It argues that
there are no intrinsic obstacles to normalization of relations between these
two states. On the contrary, both Israel and Lebanon would benefit from
cooperation in the areas of tourism, infrastructure, transport, and water.
However, a number of important issues need to be addressed first. Fore-
most, Lebanon is unable to sign any agreement with Israel until there is an
Israeli-Syrian peace treaty. Once negotiations between Israel and Lebanon
begin, there are four main areas of concern: security, Palestinian refugees,
water rights, and economic development. Finally, Israel needs to be careful
that any normalization is not perceived as again favoring the Christian
community as this would undermine not only Lebanon's ability to recipro-
cate but also Israel's broader integration into the region.




Israeli-Lebanese Relations | 53


The Israeli Perspective

Lebanon has always occupied a special place in Israeli thinking. From the
1920s, Zionist decision makers in the Yishuv (Jewish settlement in Pales-
tine) perceived Lebanon as the most friendly of their neighbors. Trade
relations and tourism between Lebanon and the Yishuv flourished until
the border was closed in 1948. During this time, Jews began to develop
close ties with segments of the Lebanese Maronite community, founded on
the belief that both Jews and Maronites were minorities in a hostile, pre-
dominantly Arab-Muslim environment, and that nothing would be more
natural than an alliance between the two communities. This belief was
underlined by the Yishuv political department's sense that the emerging
Lebanese state was similar to the emerging Jewish state, both being Medi-
terranean, linking the East with the West. In the case of Lebanon, this
signified enlightenment, education, French  language, Christianity,
Phoenician heritage, and Middle Eastern cuisine. In the case of the future
Jewish state, this meant democracy, Western culture, biblical heritage,
education, science, and progress. The political imagination of many Zion-
ist and later Israeli decision makers cast Lebanon as a Christian state,
independent of its Arab-Muslim surroundings. Israel's first prime minister,
David Ben-Gurion, called it the "weakest link in the Arab chain." It is
therefore not surprising that Lebanon became the focus of Israeli attempts
to break out of regional isolation. Indeed, Israeli popular perception was
that Lebanon, after Jordan, would be the second state to sign a peace
treaty with Israel.
   Pre-1948 relations between the Yishuv and individual members of the
Maronite community (as well as some Muslims) were interpreted by Zion-
ist decision makers as proof of this friendly image of Lebanon. The fact
that treaties were entered into, even if they were in some instances secret,
gave Zionist-Maronite relations an air of legitimacy. The 1920 coopera-
tion pact between the Zionist Organization and Maronite Najib Sfeir,1 the
1933 proposals for a general partnership pursued by Maronite patriarch
Antun Arida and proposals for a political and military union suggested by
Maronite politician Emile Edd6,2 the 1936 Treaty of Friendship presented
to the Zionist executive, also by Edd6,3 the May 1946 agreement between
the Jewish Agency and the Maronite Church,4 and the 1947 memorandum
to the United Nations in support of the establishment of a Jewish state in
Palestine by Maronite archbishop Ignatius Mubarak5 all supported the
Zionist perception that Lebanon was indeed a friendly neighbor.
   The closure of the Israeli-Lebanese border and the official state of war





54 | Kirsten E. Schulze


did not change this perception to any significant degree. In fact, continu-
ing covert relations between Israel and the Kata'ib (Christian Phalangist
Party), as well as relations with representatives of the Chamoun, Gemayel,
and Edd6 families, served to reinforce the Israeli image of Lebanon. Meet-
ings with Emile Edd66 and Maronite requests for Israeli aid in support of
a revolt in Beirut in 1948,7 a secret meeting with emissaries from Arch-
bishop Mubarak in 1949,8 Israeli financial contributions to the Kata'ib's
election campaign in the 1951 parliamentary elections,9 third-country
contacts between 1954 and 1956 with Elias Rababi and Pierre Edd6,10 and
Israeli military aid to Pierre Gemayel and then-president of Lebanon
Camille Chamoun during the 1958 civil war" provided proof of a special
relationship.
   By this point, Israeli-Maronite relations had become synonymous with
Israeli-Lebanese relations. Even the relatively low-level contacts that the
two groups had between 1958 and Lebanon's second civil war in 1975 did
not dispel this myth. The move of the PLO to Beirut after its expulsion
from Jordan in 1970 served to strengthen the conceptual framework of
"minority alliance" described by the adage "my enemy's enemy is my
friend." Maronite fears that the Palestinians were undermining the politi-
cal status quo in Lebanon and Israeli fears of Palestinian attacks from
southern Lebanon provided the basis for more intense relations and coop-
eration. Requests for military aid in 1975,12 arrangements for a more for-
mal supply relationship in 1976,13 and regular contacts in the period up to
the 1982 Israeli invasion turned the relationship into a full alliance.14 Is-
rael believed that the Maronites represented Lebanon and could deliver
the Lebanese republic as a partner in peace.
   How deeply the notion of a friendly Christian Lebanon was ingrained
in the minds of Israeli decision makers can be seen from the position of
Lebanon in Israeli strategy. In 1954, Ben-Gurion drew up plans to invade
Lebanon and push the Maronites into proclaiming a Christian state.15 In
1955, Israeli chief of staff Moshe Dayan presented a plan to find a Leba-
nese officer who, supported by Israel, would declare himself the savior of
the Maronites. The Israelis then would enter Lebanon, occupy the south,
and establish a Christian regime in Beirut.16 In 1956, Ben-Gurion's plans
for the Sinai campaign reached far beyond Egypt. They called for invading
Lebanon, reducing its borders to the Christian core, and making Lebanon
into an ally of Israel.17 Elements of these earlier plans were revived under
Prime Minister Menachem Begin with the establishment of the south
Lebanon security zone in 1978 and Operation Peace for Galilee in 1982.
Evident in all these plans, whether or not they were implemented, is the





Israeli-Lebanese Relations | 55


key position Lebanon occupied in Israeli political and military thinking.
To Israel, Lebanon was essential to securing its northern border, establish-
ing hegemony over the Levant, and restructuring the Middle East.
   Since 1982, Israeli attitudes toward Lebanon have shifted radically.
Having had their fingers severely burned through involvement in internal
Lebanese affairs, Israeli decision makers have restricted their mandate to
security of Israel's northern border. Yet not all Israeli notions about Leba-
non were discarded. While the Maronites were no longer considered to
represent Lebanon, and the idea of "minority alliance" was shelved, the
false notion that Lebanon could act out of tandem with Syria, implied by
Israel's numerous Lebanon First proposals particularly from 1996 to
1999, remained intact. Lebanon's geostrategic position, however, dictated
that it would be the last country in the Middle East to make peace with
Israel, regardless of Lebanese desires for a peaceful relationship.

The Lebanese Perspective

The Israeli image of Lebanon was the product of Israel's sense of regional
isolation and ethnoreligious separateness. The Lebanese image of Israel,
on the other hand, was the product of the dynamics of internal relation-
ships among Lebanese ethnic and religious communities. As a result, there
was no monolithic image of Israel in Lebanon, and even the views that can
be loosely attributed to particular ethnic and religious communities are
equivocal. In general terms, the Lebanese republic refused to recognize its
southern neighbor, while at the same time some of the ethnic communities
within Lebanon had covert and even overt relations with the Jewish state.
   Lebanon's ethnic composition and its consociational political system
made it impossible for any one religious or ethnic community to dominate
the others completely. At the same time, mutual mistrust impelled each
community to seek outside allies in order to boost its domestic position.
Alliances with Israel, Syria, and the Palestinians all served this function.
The choice of ally coincided with each community's position on the Arab-
Israeli conflict. Sympathy with the Palestinians and Arab nationalist sen-
timents led the Sunni Muslims to align themselves with the PLO. Fear of
being engulfed by Islam and dominated by Syria and resentment of the
destabilizing Palestinian presence in Lebanon made Israel the choice of the
Maronites.18 Anti-Zionism turned Syria and the Shi'a Muslims into bed-
fellows. At the same time, however, the Maronites courted Syria to coun-
terbalance Palestinian forces, while the Sunnis, along with the Shi'a,
courted Syria to counterbalance Israeli forces.





56 | Kirsten E. Schulze


   The position of the Lebanese Christian community toward Israel is of
particular interest because Muslims, on the whole, regarded Israel as a
foreign implant with hostile imperialist ambitions. Christian attitudes
were far less homogeneous. For example, the Greek Orthodox in Lebanon
showed little interest in an alliance with Israel because of their ties to the
greater Arab economy and to other Greek Orthodox communities in the
Middle East.19 Trade links were vital to the survival of this community,
and any flirtation with the Jewish state would have closed the doors to
Arab businesses. In addition, Greek Orthodox Lebanese did not define
themselves as ethnically separate; despite being a religious minority, they
were clearly in the Arab camp.
   The Maronites, on the other hand, had never been comfortable with
dhimmi status (protected minority status under Islam) and had a strong,
independent, national identity that placed them at odds with Arab nation-
alism.20 Longing for a state of their own, fearful of second-class citizenship
in a Muslim environment, and staunchly pro-Western, they were on a level
with Israel.21 Yet this recognition of similarities (which led Israel to de-
velop its policy of minority alliance) had a divisive effect upon the Ma-
ronite community.22 Some Maronites believed that their similarities and
alliance with Israel would secure Maronite independence and strengthen
their community's position in Lebanon.23 Only an Israeli intervention in
Lebanon, they thought, would allow the Christian people to fulfill their
dreams for a separate state.24 Patriarch Arida, Archbishop Mubarak,
Emile Edd6, Elias Rababi, and Bashir Gemayel were all proponents of this
view. Other Maronites, however, maintained that the presence of another
non-Muslim minority in Lebanon, especially one that elicited such hostile
responses from the Arab world, had to be avoided at all costs. They be-
lieved that Israel would only compromise the independent existence of the
Maronites and that Maronite survival was best guaranteed by alliance
with the dominant Arabist forces. Bashara al-Khoury, Suleiman Franjieh,
and Amin Gemayel strongly advocated this view. A third group of
Maronites based its alliances on pragmatism and espoused contradictory
positions dependent on circumstances. This group is exemplified by Pierre
Gemayel, who made secret contacts with Israel while engaging in anti-
Zionist rhetoric, and who assigned one of his sons to nurture links with
Israel while the other nurtured links with Syria.
   Maronite-Israeli relations and Lebanese-Israeli relations remained am-
biguous until the 1982 invasion of Lebanon. The death of Bashir Ge-
mayel, the victimization of the Maronite community for its alliance with
Israel, Israeli withdrawal to the security zone, and Syrian hegemony clari-





Israeli-Lebanese Relations | 57


fied Lebanon's position. The Maronites abandoned the notion of alliance
with Israel, casting a hopeful eye toward the West for salvation. Moreover,
since the end of the Lebanese civil war, Lebanon's position on Israel has
become unequivocally tied to Syria, a position cemented by the 1989 Ta'if
Agreement and the 1991 Treaty of Brotherhood, Cooperation, and Coor-
dination with Syria.

The Security Dilemma

Israeli policy toward Lebanon has been driven by security concerns.
Lebanon's inability to control domestic and foreign militias operating
against Israel from Lebanese territory (such as the PLO and Hizballah)
and its weak geostrategic position have made it the victim of the Arab-
Israeli conflict in general and Israeli-Syrian competition for regional hege-
mony in particular. This situation is unlikely to change even if a regional
peace settlement is reached. Any such settlement would, of course, depend
upon a prior Syrian-Israeli agreement. Israel's preoccupation with achiev-
ing absolute security would no doubt continue to dominate its relations
with Lebanon as it has with Jordan and the Palestinian Authority. Security
would thus serve as the litmus test for cooperation on other issues, such as
economic development and water rights.
   The problem of security emerged with the 1969 Cairo Agreement,
which was an attempt to end violent clashes between Palestinian guerrillas
and the Lebanese army.25 Rather than curbing Palestinian activity, how-
ever, the agreement formalized the Palestinian military presence, provid-
ing it with southern Lebanon as a base from which to attack Israel. The
Republic of Lebanon, which had been inconspicuous in every Arab-Israeli
war up to that time, became a confrontation state overnight. Palestinian
cross-border attacks destabilized Israel's northern border and exacerbated
the disintegration of Lebanese central authority. The relocation of the
PLO's headquarters to Beirut after its expulsion from Jordan in 1970,26
the inability of the Lebanese army to control Palestinian actions against
Israel, the establishment of a Palestinian "state within a state," and Israel's
policy of retaliation set in motion a spiral of violence.
   As early as 1972, Israeli officers established contacts with Lebanese
Christians living along the Israeli border in order to counter the Palestin-
ian threat.27 It was not, however, until Operation Litani in March 1978
that Israel partially occupied southern Lebanon and established the secu-
rity zone. Lebanon was in its third year of civil war and its second year of
Syrian intervention. The PLO was becoming increasingly better coordi-





58 | Kirsten E. Schulze


nated, trained, and armed. Israel had lurched to the right in its 1977 elec-
tions, and its first Likud government changed Israel's approach to security
from one that was reactive to one that was aggressive, an instrument to
achieve political goals. Limited military force was replaced with broad
military operations aimed at changing the geostrategic composition of the
Middle East. Although the previous Labor government had intervened in
Lebanon by retaliating against PLO military strikes and attempting to
make southern Lebanon a neutral buffer zone, it was driven by defensive
strategic objectives. With Operation Litani, Israeli military policy in Leba-
non went on the offensive.
   The first manifestation of this policy shift was the establishment of the
security zone and a proxy relationship with the South Lebanon Army
(SLA). The ineffectiveness of this buffer zone in protecting Israel's north-
ern settlements from guerrilla attacks provided the incentive for involve-
ment further into Lebanon in 1982. By the time Israel had invaded Leba-
non all the way up to Beirut, "peace for Galilee" had been superseded by
much broader goals: to install a Christian government under Bashir
Gemayel, to make peace with Lebanon, to defeat Syria, to eliminate the
PLO from Lebanon, to destroy Palestinian nationalism in the West Bank
and Gaza Strip, and to free Israel from past national traumas such as the
1973 war.28 It was nothing less than a cure-all operation, and rather than
producing peace, it created new enemies, such as Hizballah. Above all, it
ensured that Lebanon would be the last of Israel's neighbors to sign an
agreement with the Jewish state.
   Israel's 1985 decision to return to the security zone instead of with-
drawing to the international border prolonged its security problem. Its
presence in southern Lebanon until May 2000 and in the area of the
Shab'a Farms thereafter was seen as provocation by Hizballah, as a raison
d'etre by Syria for its continued military presence in Lebanon, and as an
opportunity to exercise influence in Lebanon by Iran. Israeli raids aimed
at curbing Hizballah activity, moreover, were counterproductive, creating
Lebanese solidarity with the Shi'a plight and strengthening Hizballah's
domestic position, as manifested in the 1992 and 1996 Lebanese elections.
The security zone also failed to place Galilee settlements out of reach of
Katyusha rockets and ultimately resulted in cumulatively unacceptable
Israeli military casualties.
   While there was no guarantee that Hizballah would end its attacks
against Israel if Israel withdrew from Lebanon, continued Israeli occupa-
tion of the security zone would also not end the cycle of violence. Israel's





Israeli-Lebanese Relations | 59


northern border remained insecure because Israel, despite a history of
military failures in Lebanon, relied upon the threat or use of force to solve
an essentially political problem. Neither Operation Accountability in
1993 nor Operation Grapes of Wrath in 1996 enhanced Israel's security.
Yet Israel clung to the belief that they did, as reflected in the Israeli press
at the time. After the Israeli bombing of Qana, Ha'aretz defense corre-
spondent Ze'ev Schiff asserted that "The right to self-defense stands at the
forefront. This means the right to fire to its source with any weapon. If
Asad insists on Hizballah's right to continue fighting in the security zone,
he must know that this grants the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) the right to
pursue them and attack them beforehand even beyond the security
zone."29 Schiff's commentary in Ma'ariv following the Agreement of Un-
derstanding is even more revealing: "In contrast to the past, the written
agreement of understanding that was reached after Operation Grapes of
Wrath, gives the communities of Israel and Lebanon-including the secu-
rity zone-better protection from attack than had existed in the past."30
   Israel's cabinet communiques of the period demonstrate a similar posi-
tion on security. For example, on 14 April 1996, point L of the cabinet
communique stated that "We did not conquer the security zone. The Leba-
nese authorities have essentially left it unclaimed, and turned it into a
terrorist operating theater."31
   Hopes for change in the dynamics of Israeli-Lebanese relations were
raised with the Netanyahu government's Lebanon First proposal in Au-
gust 1996, which called for Israeli withdrawal to the international border
in exchange for Syrian guarantees to disarm and control Hizballah. Syrian
rejection of Lebanon First did not end Israel's consideration of the plan. In
a letter to the secretary-general dated 27 January 1998, Israel's permanent
representative to the United Nations, Dore Gold, clarified the Jewish
state's interpretation of UN Resolution 425:

   Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon was conditional upon restoration
   of security in the region. Israel is ready to implement the provisions
   of the Resolution. However, Resolution 425 (1978) does not call for
   an unconditional withdrawal; Israel is prepared to implement the
   withdrawal envisaged in the Resolution, but only within a frame-
   work that will ensure the implementation of all elements of the
   Resolution, including implementation of UNIFIL's expressly stated
   goals of the "restoring of international peace and security" and "as-
   sisting the Government of Lebanon in ensuring the effective author-





60 | Kirsten E. Schulze


   ity in the area." Such effective authority would obviously have to
   include, inter alia, arrangements for the protection of all residents of
   the area.32

   While Israel's willingness to implement UN Resolution 425, even with
conditions, was significant, Israel's belief that it could carry out Lebanon
First without Syrian cooperation reveals that Israeli thinking on Lebanon
and the Arab-Israeli conflict had changed little since 1982. Apart from the
obvious domestic political appeal of reducing the number of Israeli casu-
alties and cutting defense expenditures, this Israeli proposal was yet an-
other attempt to use Lebanon to deal with Syria, aimed at denying Syria its
major justification for keeping troops in Lebanon and ultimately forcing
Syrian withdrawal. It was further intended to decouple Syria and Lebanon
in the peace negotiations, the logic being that once Lebanon had regained
the security zone, there would be no remaining obstacles to full peace.
Underlying this attempt to shift emphasis from Syria to Lebanon was the
lack of progress on Syrian-Israeli relations, highlighted by Israel's unwill-
ingness to relinquish the Golan Heights. A separate peace with Lebanon
would cut Syria out of the equation and enable Israel to keep the Golan.
   The proposal was also an attempt to use Lebanon to deal with the PLO,
as movement in Lebanese-Israeli relations would have relieved some of the
pressure on Israel from the United States over the stalled Israeli-Palestin-
ian track. It would have signaled Israeli support for the peace process and
driven home the message that the obstacle to progress with the Palestin-
ians was Yasir Arafat's inability to control Palestinian extremists. Yet
again, Israeli policy towards Lebanon assumed the status of a grand plan,
and yet again, Israel failed to accept the geostrategic reality that Lebanon
could not and would not go it alone.
   Lebanon's and Syria's response to Lebanon First demonstrated aware-
ness of the larger implications of Israel's proposal. Lebanon welcomed
Israel's intention to implement UN Resolution 425 but insisted that such
a withdrawal had to be unconditional. Lebanese prime minister Rafik al-
Hariri stated that "Israel has to withdraw from our occupied land and
we'll do what we have to. We won't be held accountable by anyone but our
people and our parliament."33 But Lebanese politicians also feared that if
Lebanon was unable to prevent attacks on Israel, Israel would use this
inability as a pretext for another invasion, going far beyond the territory
Israeli forces had previously controlled. Syria's position was less equivo-
cal. Syrian troops would remain in Lebanon whether or not Israel pulled





Israeli-Lebanese Relations | 61


out, and only the return of the Golan Heights would produce any move-
ment in the negotiations with either Syria or Lebanon. Lebanon First also
failed to produce international absolution for Israel in its difficulties in
dealing with the Palestinians.
   In the absence of a political solution, Israeli policy continued to define
southern Lebanon as purely a security problem, which needed a strong
security response. The Israeli arms industry's development of the Nautilus
laser system, designed to intercept Katyusha missiles, only underlined the
policy of deterrence over dialogue.34 In August 1998, some Israeli politi-
cians proposed that Israel should hit Lebanese power stations, bridges,
and other key points in retaliation for Hizballah attacks,35 suggesting that
future Israeli-Lebanese relations, in the absence of a peace agreement,
were likely to include more of the same.

The Peace Process

When the Middle East peace process was initiated in October 1991, Leba-
non was still in the process of resolving and reconciling its intercommunal
differences. The end of fifteen years of civil war raised hopes for the re-
emergence of Lebanon as a state player in regional politics. The 1989 Ta'if
Agreement, however, linked Lebanon unequivocally to Syria. The 1991
Treaty of Brotherhood, Coordination, and Cooperation further subordi-
nated Lebanon's foreign and defense policy to that of Damascus. As a
result, the Lebanese-Israeli bilateral-negotiation track became subsumed
within the Israeli-Syrian track; an Israeli-Lebanese peace agreement
would be possible only if it were preceded by an Israeli-Syrian agreement.
Following Syria's example, Lebanon decided to boycott the multilateral
negotiations "until crucial and substantive progress is achieved on the
bilateral track."
   Lebanon's dependence upon others in the peace process made the Leba-
nese suspicious and wary of any final settlement with Israel. Lebanon's
greatest fear was that it would be forced into concessions such as territo-
rial compromise or full integration of the Palestinian refugees.36 The gen-
eral perception was that any agreement would be at the Lebanese
republic's expense,37 and this was clearly reflected in Lebanon's position
on the crucial issues relating to the peace process that Israel and Lebanon
needed to resolve: security, Palestinian refugees, water rights, and eco-
nomic development.





62 | Kirsten E. Schulze


Security

Any Israeli-Lebanese security arrangement for southern Lebanon had
to take into account four major elements: the Israel Defense Forces,
Hizballah, the South Lebanon Army, and Syrian troops. Until May 2000
Israel maintained that it needed the security zone in order to protect its
northern settlements. If the north was quiet, the security zone was hailed as
successful and logic dictated that it was foolish to abandon the arrange-
ment. If the north was fired upon, then the need for increased Israeli in-
volvement was seen as even more necessary. In either case, Israel felt inca-
pable of returning the territory to Lebanese sovereignty. It was only in
recent years-particularly since the 1997 helicopter accident that claimed
the lives of seventy-three Israeli soldiers-that significant numbers of Is-
raelis, both civilian and military, started to question the need for IDF
involvement in southern Lebanon.
   The official Israeli position in the peace process was that its primary
concern was security, not making claims on Lebanese land or resources.
Therefore, the initial Israeli settlement proposal requested the following:
(1) The Lebanese army would be deployed north of the security zone and,
for a period of six months, would prevent any terrorist activities against
the security zone and Israel. Three months following that initial period,
Israel would be prepared to sign a peace agreement with Lebanon. (2)
Prior to any changes in its redeployment on the Lebanese front, Israel had
to be convinced that the military organs of all terrorist groups operating
out of Lebanon had been irreversibly disbanded. (3) The government of
Israel was to receive practical and valid guarantees that no harm would be
inflicted upon Lebanese citizens and South Lebanon Army personnel re-
siding in the security zone and that they would be absorbed into the gov-
ernmental and societal fabric of Lebanon.38
   In comparison, Lebanon's official position in the peace process cen-
tered on the implementation of UN resolutions. Bilateral negotiation with
Israel was ruled out because of fears that it would compromise UN Reso-
lution 425.39 Lebanon's solution to Israeli occupation was that expressed
by the international community in UN resolutions 425, 508, and 509,
which demanded the complete and unconditional withdrawal of Israel
from Lebanese territory, with the assistance of UN forces, under the sov-
ereignty of the Lebanese government.40 This, however, would happen only
if Lebanon and Syria could guarantee that southern Lebanon would no
longer be used for attacks on Israel. By itself, Lebanon was militarily inca-
pable of disarming and dissolving Hizballah.




Israeli-Lebanese Relations | 63


   Since Israel's redeployment to the security zone in 1985, dealing with
the threat posed by Hizballah became the center of Israel's Lebanon
policy.41 Israeli decision makers started contemplating unilateral with-
drawal from Lebanon in the belief that since Hizballah had been estab-
lished in reaction to the 1982 Israeli invasion of Lebanon, unilateral with-
drawal would deprive it of the reason for attacking Israel. This position
was supported by Hizballah's own statements, as well as the fact that
Hizballah increasingly became a domestic player within the Lebanese
state rather than a pan-Islamic regional player.42 Moreover, within the
domestic context, Hizballah would no longer qualify for exemption from
disarmament and dissolution under Lebanese legislation. Pressure on
Hizballah to cease being a militia and to function solely as a political party
had already been increasing.43 Thus unilateral withdrawal would serve
Lebanon's desire to complete its post-civil war process of reconciliation
and normalization by removing this last gun from Lebanese politics. It
would not, however, secure Israel's northern border.
   Opponents of unilateral withdrawal countered these arguments by
pointing to Iranian and Syrian patronage of Hizballah and the interest of
these states in ongoing conflict. They were convinced that Hizballah did
not just want to liberate southern Lebanon but was engaged in jihad (holy
war) against Israel. Consequently, instead of increased security Israel
would be faced with decreased security. The risks appeared to be too great.
Withdrawal would thus come only as part of a peace treaty with compre-
hensive security guarantees.
   Another factor of concern was the future of Israel's proxy, the SLA, in
either withdrawal scenario. The SLA's alliance with Israel dates back to
the establishment of the security zone in 1978, which was formed for
protection against the PLO operating from southern Lebanon. Since
1982, the SLA served primarily to protect the security zone and northern
Israel from Hizballah attacks. Yet it was never able to function without
Israeli ground and air cover, and neither its operations against the PLO
nor those against Hizballah were particularly successful.
   Until May 2000, the SLA, under the command of Antoine Lahad, com-
prised an estimated 3,000 soldiers. Its leadership was predominantly
Maronite with a Druze minority responsible for the Hasbaya region, while
its foot soldiers were Maronite, Greek Catholic, Greek Orthodox, Druze,
and Shi'a.44 The stigma of collaboration with Israel was the main obstacle
to the reabsorption of SLA soldiers into Lebanese society. Fear of massa-
cres similar to those that followed the Israeli withdrawal from the Shouf in
1983 made relocation and exile more likely, and Israel repeatedly stated





64 | Kirsten E. Schulze


that "it will not abandon its friends under any circumstances."45 Thus it
was always expected that Israel would offer asylum to the SLA leadership
and their families.
   The biggest obstacle to an Israeli-Lebanese peace and normalization of
relations has been the presence of an estimated 35,000-40,000 Syrian
troops in Lebanon and the Syrian influence on Lebanese foreign and de-
fense policy. In 1976, Syrian troops crossed the border into Lebanon to
intervene in the civil war. Their control of 90 percent of the country at the
end of the war ensured that Syria would play a key role in Lebanon's
process of reconciliation. Syrian departure, as outlined in the Ta'if Agree-
ment, was envisaged as parallel to Lebanon's social, political, and eco-
nomic reconstruction. Yet no such withdrawal or disengagement took
place. Instead, Syria tied Lebanon even more firmly into treaties of coop-
eration. As a result, Lebanon became "the only remaining captive nation"
after the end of the cold war.46
   Initially, some Israeli decision makers saw Syria as an asset. If Syria
could be persuaded to cooperate in security arrangements, Syria would be
a stronger guarantor of Israeli security than Lebanon, and Israel could
safely withdraw from Lebanese territory. Hopes for such an arrangement
were raised during the 1990-91 Gulf War, when Syria joined the U.S.-led
coalition against Iraq and then participated in the Madrid peace confer-
ence.47 Israel's Jezzine First proposal (whereby Israeli forces would begin
withdrawal from Lebanon in the town of Jezzine) was to serve as a test
case for IDF withdrawal from southern Lebanon. Israeli hopes were
quickly dashed, however, when it became clear that Syria would not allow
movement with Lebanon without seeing substantive progress with respect
to the Golan Heights. Hopes were again raised after the conclusion of the
Oslo Accords but plummeted with the assassination of Yitzhak Rabin in
November 1995 and the suspension of Israeli-Syrian negotiations in 1996
under the Netanyahu government.
   Key to understanding the difficulties of the Israeli-Syrian dynamic are
Syria's interest in Lebanon and Syria's lack of interest in the peace process.
Syria's control over Lebanon is unprecedented even in Lebanon's long
history of foreign interventions. Syria's interests in Lebanon range from
the relatively narrow need to have a stable neighbor to the broader fulfill-
ment of Greater Syrian territorial ambitions, in which Lebanon becomes a
base from which to project regional hegemony. The Syrian-Lebanese rela-
tionship also has economic aspects. Lebanon serves as Syria's window to
the world outside and as a market for Syria's surplus labor. Moreover,
Lebanese business and financial expertise provide the means for Syria to




Israeli-Lebanese Relations | 65


reform its own economy.48 Syrian disengagement from Lebanon thus is
undesirable from Damascus's perspective.
   Fear of economic marginalization if Lebanon made peace with Israel
should also not be underestimated as a motivation for Syria's reluctance to
embrace Israel. Syria gained its credibility as a regional player through its
military strength, placing itself at the heart of the Arab-Israeli conflict by
promoting radical Arab nationalism. A move from conflict to normaliza-
tion would mean a shift of emphasis from a relatively strong military
position to a much weaker economic position, which could result in re-
gional marginalization.49 Syria already had had a taste of this with the
opening up of Jordanian-Israeli relations in 1994 and the new Israeli-
Turkish strategic relationship in 1996. Despite Asad's concessions to
peace, which included allowing Syrian Jews to leave the country, cleaning
up the drug traffic in the Beqaa Valley, and an appearance by Syrian for-
eign minister Farouk al-Sharaa on Israeli television, Syria was unable to
shake off its image as a pariah state.
   It is thus not surprising that Asad insisted that only after full with-
drawal to the 4 June 1967 line could peace be negotiated. After the assas-
sination of Rabin, Israeli-Syrian negotiations were virtually nonexistent.
And the slight progress made since 1991 was motivated by Syria's need to
have better relations with the United States after the loss of its patron, the
USSR. The Netanyahu government, in the meantime, was determined not
to give an inch to Syria; Housing Minister Ariel Sharon's project on the
Golan Heights was a case in point. Syria's lack of interest in the peace
process until December 1999 also dampened Lebanon's enthusiasm and
hindered Lebanon's maneuverability. It also ensured that Israelis who had
no ideological motivations for holding on to the Golan Heights remained
trapped by Israel's security-driven policy.

Palestinian Refugees

The Palestinian issue took on particular significance in Israeli-Lebanese
relations because of the 350,000-400,000 Palestinians living in Leba-
non.50 The majority of these Palestinians lived in refugee camps and had
not been granted Lebanese citizenship. They were not afforded political
rights, could not vote, and were not eligible for employment in public
functions.51 The majority of them wanted to return to Palestine. Lebanon's
official position on the refugees was that they could not stay in Lebanon.
The process of national reconciliation initiated with the 1989 Ta'if Agree-
ment turned Lebanese opinion against the Palestinians, making them the





66 | Kirsten E. Schulze


scapegoats for the civil war.52 Increasing economic problems in postwar
Lebanon such as rising unemployment, the fact that one third of the popu-
lation was already living below the poverty line, and a budget deficit that
in 1996 was just under 50 percent53 marginalized the refugees. Between
1982 and 1992 no more work permits were issued for Palestinians, and
from 1986 onward the socioeconomic situation of the refugees began to
deteriorate dramatically.54 This was further exacerbated by the expulsion
of Palestinian workers and the drastic reduction of outside financial sup-
port to Palestinian refugees since the 1990-91 Gulf War. Palestinians in
Lebanon could no longer obtain construction permits, and those who had
built illegally during the civil war were faced with demolition of their
houses.55 Palestinians were forbidden by law to take professional or
skilled jobs, and they faced fierce competition from Syrian workers in the
construction and manual jobs they were allowed to take.56
   In Lebanon's view, the Palestinians had become a burden upon Leba-
nese society and economy. Thus, one of Lebanon's main aims in the peace
process was finding a permanent solution to the refugee problem. At the
same time, Lebanon greatly feared the possibility that regional and inter-
national powers would force it to permanently integrate Palestinian refu-
gees,57 as emigration to the West had become increasingly difficult and
Israel was determined that the return to Palestine was not an option.
   The slow progress in the Israeli-Palestinian negotiations exacerbated
Lebanon's apprehensions. As refugees since 1948, many Palestinians in
Lebanon were excluded from Israeli-Palestinian talks. They did not
qualify as "displaced persons" by the Continuing Committee established
under the Oslo Accords, which primarily looked at refugees from 1967.58
The strain of the lack of progress on the refugee question affected Leb-
anon's domestic politics. In 1992, Shawki Fakhouri, speaker of the Min-
isterial Committee on Palestinian Affairs, stated that the Palestinians
"were a real danger, which must be fought against no matter the costs."59
This statement was immediately mitigated by Foreign Minister Fares
Buwayz's suggestion that Lebanon could absorb 50,000-100,000 Pales-
tinians.60 Yet in 1995, Labor Minister Abdallah al-Amin stated that "the
talk about settling Palestinians in Lebanon does not concern us in any way.
We say that the Palestinians must return to Palestine, as we are unable to
absorb anyone."61
   The efforts of the multilateral Refugee Working Group to address the
central issues of repatriation, compensation, and resettlement were hin-
dered by Israel's determination to keep the group focused on humanitar-
ian aid, by Lebanon's boycott (along with Syria) of the multilateral nego-





Israeli-Lebanese Relations | 67


tiations, and by the Lebanese government's outright hostility to the Refu-
gee Working Group.62 Yet, unless a mutually acceptable answer within a
broader regional framework is reached, full normalization on the Israeli-
Lebanese front is unlikely. A comprehensive solution of the refugee prob-
lem must include repatriation, permanent integration with full citizenship
rights, and resettlement, and all parties to the negotiations-Israel, the
Palestinian Authority, Jordan, Egypt, Syria, and Lebanon-must share the
burden. A number of proposals for such "sharing" have been drafted. For
instance, Donna Arzt devised a redistribution plan in 1996 that reduced
Lebanon's Palestinian population to 75,000, while increasing Israel's Pal-
estinian population to 1,075,000, Syria's to 400,000, and Jordan's to 2
million.63 Others, however, have placed the number of Palestinians who
will have to be absorbed into Lebanon as high as 200,000.64
   After the election of Benjamin Netanyahu in 1996, the refugee issue
virtually disappeared from the negotiating agenda as Israel maintained
that even the return of Palestinians to the area under Palestinian Authority
control would threaten Israel's "demographic security."65 Underlying the
security argument, however, was the more complex issue of responsibility:
"Israel denies the legality of the Palestinian claim. If it recognizes the
'right' of return it would also be admitting responsibility, and perhaps
culpability for creating the problem. But Israel categorically denies any
responsibility for the War of 1948. On the contrary, the guilt and respon-
sibility are all Arab-Palestinian."66
   Neither Israel's hard-line position nor the softer version peddled by
Salim Tamari, in which "Israel's acceptance in principle of the right of
return" would be exchanged for Palestinian recognition that return can-
not be exercised within the 1948 boundaries,67 helped resolve the precari-
ous situation of Palestinian refugees in Lebanon. The standstill on the
refugee issue left Lebanon's Palestinians caught between Lebanon, which
seemed determined to rebuild its economy and society excluding the refu-
gees, and Israel, which was determined to move forward on its terms or
not at all.

Water Rights

At the heart of the Israeli-Lebanese debate over water resources was the
Litani River, with an abundant natural annual flow of 750-920 Mcm.68
Before the civil war the Litani was never fully developed, its main use
being for the production of hydroelectricity. As a result, its constant but
variable surplus of water flowing into the Mediterranean had attracted the





68 | Kirsten E. Schulze


interest of its comparatively water-scarce southern neighbor, Israel. This
interest raised Lebanese suspicions that Israel's presence in southern Leba-
non was not solely motivated by security concerns.69 Indeed, most Leba-
nese believed that it was unlikely that Israel would relinquish the security
zone without having obtained a share of the Litani River.70 Such fears were
all the more believable as Zionist and Israeli history is riddled with plans
for comprehensive water distribution schemes that include not only the
Litani, but the Awali, Hasbani, and Jordan rivers as well.71 Zionist leaders
such as Chaim Weizmann advocated the inclusion of the Litani into any
future Jewish state.72 Israeli leaders continued to put forward plans for the
development of the Litani as part of schemes for the Jordan River such as
the 1951 All-Israel Plan, the 1953 Israel Seven-Year Plan, the 1954 Cotton
Plan, the 1956 Israel Ten-Year Plan, or the 1956 Israel National Water
Plan. The Arab-Israeli conflict, however, ensured that none of these
schemes would be realized.
   Annexation of southern Lebanon and seizure of the Litani remained
frequent subjects of Israeli cabinet debate.73 In 1978, Israel moved to in-
crease the water flow into the Jordan after gaining control over the
Wazzani-Hasbani springs and to capture the runoff in pipelines. In 1982,
Israelis were reported to have taken seismic soundings in the lower Litani
and Qirwan reservoir, and there have been persistent rumors of water
siphoning from the Litani to the Jordan River ever since.74
   Closer inspection of Israeli actions by UNiFiL, however, revealed that
there was in fact no hard evidence that Israel had taken any significant
amount of water from the Litani, even when the territory concerned was
completely under IDF control. UNiFiL's observations were confirmed by
satellite photos, which proved that Israel neither laid pipelines nor dug
tunnels to divert water across the border. In short, despite lofty plans and
Israeli control over the territory in question, Israel did not lay claim to
Lebanese waters.
   Nevertheless, given the regional scarcity of water, the issue of water
sharing was part of the multilateral negotiations. Israel in the 1990s had
reached the point where it was using all of its renewable water sources.75
This precarious situation was further exacerbated by the fact that an esti-
mated 35 percent of its water supply had traditionally been derived from
the West Bank and thus was subject to Israeli-Palestinian negotiations.
Moreover, from the perspective of regional water consumption, a systemic
approach incorporating waters across national boundaries, including
Lebanon's, was considered to be the most rational and effective means of
solving the problem of water scarcity.76





Israeli-Lebanese Relations | 69


   Water sharing between Israel and Lebanon could evolve in several
ways. The least costly option for Lebanon would be for the Litani to be
included in a broader regional water-sharing scheme in the context of an
overall Middle East peace settlement. The Litani could be integrated into
Israeli-Jordanian efforts to maximize the yield and equalize the share of
the Jordan River. The second, more contentious option is that of a bilat-
eral arrangement with Israel that, no doubt, would create domestic oppo-
sition in Lebanon because such an agreement would be perceived as favor-
ing Israeli needs for water over Shi'a rights to water and development.77
This problem could be overcome if Lebanon received substantial benefits
from the agreement, such as payment for the water and a greater supply of
electricity.78 Provided there is peace and stability and full consideration of
regional and domestic interests, there is no reason why Israeli-Lebanese
cooperation on water rights should not take place.

Economic Development

Israel viewed the opening of the Israeli-Lebanese border as part of the
normalization process associated with peace. Lebanon's position was
more ambiguous. On one hand, postwar Lebanon was trying to regain its
traditional role as the finance and business center of the Middle East. On
the other hand, Lebanon was wary of potential Israeli competition, under-
lined by general Arab suspicion that Israel ultimately planned to replace
military hegemony with economic domination. Many Lebanese bankers
and businessmen believed that Israel would be far more dangerous in
peace than in war.79 By the same token, they also feared that sudden
progress in the peace process, however unlikely, could also mean that
Lebanon's position as an international conference, business, and financial
center could be usurped by the Gulf states.80 Lebanon's reconstruction and
economic revitalization faced both domestic and regional problems. In
1991, the first year of intercommunal peace, Lebanon's gross domestic
product rose by almost 40 percent. Since then it has averaged around 7
percent per year.81 Investment, however, did not pour in at the rate initially
expected and Lebanon did not quite reach the stability desired by multina-
tional corporations and expatriate Lebanese. As a result Lebanon was not
able to recover even its prewar status of first rank in the Third World-a
middle-income country, as well off as Portugal and more than twice as rich
as Jordan.
   The main concern for the international business community until May
2000 was Israeli attacks on Lebanon. The targeting of Beirut's infrastruc-





70 | Kirsten E. Schulze


ture during Operation Grapes of Wrath in 1996 made potential investors
wary. Expatriate Lebanese, many of whom are Christian, were also wait-
ing for evidence of Syrian withdrawal. In fact, an estimated one million
Lebanese who emigrated during the war were not planning to return un-
der the current circumstances, depriving Lebanon of their expertise and
commercial connections, as well as $50-$60 billion in overseas assets.82
As a result, the economic goals embodied in the Horizon 2000 initiative
could not be fully realized until greater regional stability had been
achieved.
   Despite Lebanon's inability to participate in regional economic confer-
ences such as the 1996 Casablanca conference, the country was able to
improve its economic standing. Commercial and cultural agreements with
France worth $100 million and the 1997 lifting of the U.S. travel ban
opened Lebanon to international business regardless of Israeli or Syrian
constraints. Regaining its reputation as the Switzerland of the Middle
East, however, would ultimately depend upon a Syrian-Israeli and Leba-
nese-Israeli settlement and whether the character of Israeli-Lebanese eco-
nomic relations would be cooperative or competitive. In the absence of an
agreement and, some would argue, even for the initial peace years, the
main economic competitors with Lebanon are the Gulf states, as it is un-
likely that Israel would become readily acceptable to the rest of the Middle
East. This discomfort factor could enable Lebanon to reemerge as the
financial center linking Europe with the Middle East. Lebanon's civil-war
disadvantage vis-a-vis the Gulf emirates in this scenario is counterbal-
anced by its human capital, which is 90 percent literate, entrepreneurial by
culture, and fluent in three or more languages.
   Israel also is an unlikely competitor in terms of trade. Lebanon's manu-
factured exports, such as textiles, shoes, and furniture, are low tech in
character and have a natural market in neighboring Arab countries.
Israel's exports in electronics, computers, communications, medical and
scientific equipment, agriculture, and arms technology are high tech in
character and aimed at Western markets.83 Sixty percent of Israel's exports
go to the United States and the European Union, resulting in Israel's eco-
nomic growth. If anything, Lebanon could gain rather than lose from
Israeli-Lebanese economic relations, as Lebanon's smaller economy is
bound to benefit from trade with Israel.
   As fierce Israeli-Lebanese competition in an immediate postconflict sce-
nario is unlikely, the possibility for economic cooperation must be ex-
plored. One obvious area for mutual cooperation is tourism. Peace be-
tween the two countries would allow for joint promotion of their





Israeli-Lebanese Relations | 71


attractions as well as crossborder tours, similar to Israeli-Jordanian opera-
tions since the 1994 peace agreement. The Israeli-Jordanian example
raises all kinds of possibilities: joint tours, development of border areas
including roads, transportation services, an airport, and hotels, develop-
ment of nature reserves, training facilities such as a tourism school, and
revival of the Haifa-Beirut railway. Beyond tourism, there are possibilities
for joint industrial parks, collaborative research in crop and livestock pro-
duction, joint agricultural training, and professional exchange programs,
rail networks, telecommunications networks, and regional energy pro-
duction. Regional cooperation on environmental issues will provide fur-
ther opportunities for economic cooperation. Environmental protection
schemes, recycling, and resource management have in some European
countries become an industry within themselves. A flourishing Israeli-
Lebanese economic relationship could result from imagination, good will,
and regional stability.

Israel's Unilateral Withdrawal from Lebanon

The May 1999 Israeli elections ushered in a change in government and
leadership. The departure of Likud prime minister Netanyahu and the
landslide victory of Labor's Ehud Barak raised hopes for a speedy conclu-
sion of the peace process, as Netanyahu's politics of nonnegotiation gave
way to a series of election promises that included an Israeli withdrawal
from southern Lebanon within a year. In his inaugural speech on 6 July
1999, Barak promised to work simultaneously on peace with all of Israel's
Arab neighbors-Syria, Lebanon, and the Palestinians.
   Even before Barak formally took office there were grounds for opti-
mism on the Syrian-Lebanese track. The first actual movement on the
Israeli-Lebanese front was the withdrawal of the SLA from Jezzine in early
June 1999. While the withdrawal was made for local and strategic rea-
sons, it had positive and far-reaching implications for the future with-
drawal of Israel from the security zone. First, there was no violent reaction
from Hizballah, no celebration, and no targeting or pursuing the retreat-
ing SLA or its militiamen who decided to stay behind. In the words of one
Jezzine resident: "When the SLA left we feared for the former militiamen.
It would have been very easy for people to come in and kill them. But now
we have seen what's happening and we're much more at ease."84 This
suggested that Israeli fears of being pursued by Hizballah in the event of
withdrawal would not necessarily materialize. It also meant that the SLA
would not have to be evacuated from Lebanon in its entirety. The treat-





72 | Kirsten E. Schulze


ment of the 203 SLA militiamen who turned themselves over to the Leba-
nese authorities revealed that while SLA members would not survive un-
scathed, they would receive a fair trial rather than be subjected to violent
retribution.
   The positive tone was further reinforced by developments on the Is-
raeli-Syrian track, which began with the unprecedented phenomenon of
Syrian president Asad and Israeli prime-minister-elect Barak praising each
other. This was followed by Asad's meeting with Palestinian rejectionists
in early July 1999, during which they were effectively ordered to cease
military activity, an order that also applied to Hizballah.85 While Hiz-
ballah violated that order, the political message from Damascus to Jerusa-
lem remained: Syria understood Israel's security concerns, and those con-
cerns would be addressed within the context of a regional settlement in
which the security arrangements would be equal, mutual, and reciprocal.
Clearly, if Barak wanted to fulfill his election promise of withdrawal from
Lebanon with the safety net of security guarantees from Syria and Leba-
non, then the Israeli-Syrian track of the peace process had to be revived.
   Not surprisingly, the Israeli-Syrian negotiations were formally re-
opened in Washington in December 1999. The substantive talks in Shep-
herdstown in January-February 2000, however, failed to achieve the
hoped-for results. Israel was unable to obtain a full peace treaty with
comprehensive security arrangements that would allow for an organized
withdrawal from southern Lebanon. Syria was unable to obtain a full
withdrawal to its definition of the 4 June 1967 border that would give it
access to the Sea of Galilee. Both parties accused the other of intransi-
gence, unwillingness to move from stated positions, and playing political
games. In a final attempt to bridge the gap between Israel and Syria on the
boundary line, U.S. president Bill Clinton met with Syrian president Asad
in Geneva in March 2000. To no avail. While Asad returned to Syria
empty-handed and disillusioned, Barak was left to contemplate his dwin-
dling options on southern Lebanon. The possibility of a structured with-
drawal within the context of an agreement had vanished. That left unilat-
eral withdrawal or a continuation of the status quo regardless of his
election promise. Israeli popular opinion against continued occupation,
IDF support for withdrawal, and the erosion of the situation on the
ground in the security zone pushed Barak in the direction of unilateral
withdrawal. With the withdrawal officially scheduled for completion by 7
July 2000, Israeli troops pulled out overnight on 24 May amid the collapse
of the SLA. Some 6,500 SLA members and their families followed the IDF
across the border.86





Israeli-Lebanese Relations | 73


Prospects for the Future

At the beginning of the twenty-first century Israel and Syria and, by exten-
sion, Lebanon came close to shifting from war to peace. But just as Israeli-
Lebanese relations during the Arab-Israeli conflict from 1948 to 1991
were subordinated to the Israeli-Syrian struggle for hegemony, so too were
Israeli-Lebanese prospects during the Middle East peace process. Syria,
and not Lebanon, remained the key to security, peace, and normalization.
Following the March 2000 Geneva summit, however, there was little
movement on the Israeli-Syrian track. Indeed, incentives for either side to
return to the negotiations seemed to have disappeared as the regional
environment changed. The first of these changes came with the death of
Hafiz al-Asad and the succession of his son Bashar. As a new leader and a
latecomer without his own power base, Bashar al-Asad was not in a posi-
tion to shift from the positions of his father in the peace process for fear
that such shifts might undermine his precarious legitimacy and the process
of consolidating his regime. Moreover, as far as Syria was concerned, the
ball was clearly in the Israeli court after Geneva. Israel, in turn, believed it
was Syria's turn to move after Israel's unilateral withdrawal from southern
Lebanon. When such a move failed to materialize, Barak shifted to the
Palestinian track of the peace process, which culminated in the Camp
David summit in July 2000. This summit, too, failed to produce an agree-
ment, and Palestinian leader Yasir Arafat's need for an exit strategy led
directly to the next important change: the al-Aqsa intifada.
   The outbreak of the intifada in September 2000 was a major setback
not just for the Israeli-Palestinian negotiations but also for Israeli-Syrian-
Lebanese negotiations. The intifada provided Hizballah with the opportu-
nity to reengage in the struggle against Israel in solidarity with the
intifada, and it provided Bashar al-Asad with a means for regional le-
gitimation through anti-Israeli radicalization. Syria and Lebanon had
clearly stepped back from the negotiating table. Israeli reaction to the
intifada moved Israel further away as well. Not only was Barak forced to
resign, paving the way for Ariel Sharon's election in February 2001; the
Israeli people were no longer interested in what had driven the peace pro-
cess so far: acceptance in the region and normalization of relations.
   While Israeli, Syrian, and Lebanese interests in negotiations declined,
and while there was no immediate necessity for any of them to move on
this front, their long-term interests still remain best served through a peace
treaty. The consequent normalization of Israeli-Lebanese relations would
not be difficult. Indeed, unlike Syria, which will have difficulties compet-





74 | Kirsten E. Schulze


ing economically unless it undergoes rigorous domestic reform, Lebanon
and Israel, with their inherently entrepreneurial cultures, are in a position
to play leading roles in future regional integration.

Notes

   1. Treaty of 26 March 1920, S25/9907, Central Zionist Archives (CZA). See
also Neil Caplan, Futile Diplomacy, vol. 1 (London: Frank Cass, 1983), 68.
   2. See also Neil Caplan and Ian Black, "Israel and Lebanon: Origins of a Rela-
tionship," Jerusalem Quarterly, no. 27 (Spring 1983): 48-58.
   3. "Note of Talk with Emile Edd6," 22 September 1936, S25/5581, Central
Zionist Archives (CZA). See also "Shertok to Lourie," 22 September 1936, S25/
5476, CZA; "Draft of a Pact submitted the twenty-third of December 1936 to Mr.
Edd6," Z4/1702b, CZA.
   4. Treaty, May 1946, S25/3269, CZA. For a discussion of the treaty see Laura
Zittrain Eisenberg, "Desperate Diplomacy: The Zionist-Maronite Treaty of
1946," Studies in Zionism 13, no. 2 (1992).
   5. "Rapport concernant le Liban present6 aux membres de l'ONU par
Monseigneur Ignace Mubarak, archevaque Maronite de Beyrouth," undated, FM
2563/23, Israel State Archives (ISA).
   6. "T. Arazi to E. Sasson, Discussion with Emile Edd6," Paris, 22 May 1948,
FM 2565/12, ISA.
   7. "S. Seligson to Y. Shimoni," 13 July 1948, FM 3766/6, ISA. See also "R.
Shiloah to D. Ben Gurion," 30 May 1948, FM 2570/5, ISA. See further Avi Shlaim,
"Israeli Interference in Internal Arab Politics: The Case of Lebanon," in The Poli-
tics of Arab Integration, eds. Giacomo Luciani and Ghassan Salame (London:
Croom Helm, 1988), 236.
   8. "Memorandum by Shmuel Yaari," 28 February 1949, FM 2563/23, ISA. See
also Bennie Morris, "Israel and the Lebanese Phalange: Birth of a Relationship,
1948-51," Studies in Zionism 5, no. 1 (1984): 131.
   9. "G. Raphael to W. Eytan," 28 December 1950, FM 2565/12, ISA. See also
"E. Sasson to M. Sasson," 18 December 1950, FM 2565/12, ISA. See further
"Research Department to Foreign Minister, Aid to the Lebanese Phalange," 28
December 1950, FM 2565/12, ISA; G. Tadmor, "Help for the Lebanese Pha-
lange," 25 January 1951, FM 2408/16, ISA.
   10. "T. Arazi to Gideon Rafael," Buenos Aires, 30 August 1954, FM 3766/7,
ISA.
   11. Interviews by Schulze with David Kimche, Jerusalem, 7 November 1992
and with Uri Lubrani, Tel Aviv, 10 November 1993. See also Benny Morris, "The
Phalange Connection," Jerusalem Post, 1 July 1983.
   12. Kimche, The Last Option (London: Weidenfeld and Nicolson, 1991), 130.
   13. Interview by Schulze with Joseph Abu Khalil, Beirut, 4 July 1995. See also
Joseph Abu Khalil, Qissat al-Mawarinah fi al harb (The story of the Maronites in





Israeli-Lebanese Relations | 75


the war) (Beirut: Sharikat al-Matbu'at li al-Tausi'ah wa al-Nashr, 1990), 54. Inter-
views by Schulze with Mordechai Gur, Tel Aviv, 8 November 1993, and Rafael
Eitan, Jerusalem, 9 November 1993.
   14. Interview by Schulze with Joseph Abu Khalil, Beirut, 4 July 1995. Also,
Sharon's interview with Oriana Fallaci, Washington Post, 21 August 1982; Zeev
Schiff and Ehud Yaari, Israel's Lebanon War (London: George Allen and Unwin,
1984), 52; Itamar Rabinovich, The War for Lebanon, 1970-85 (New York:
Cornell University Press, 1985), 167.
   15. Moshe Sharett, Yoman ishi (Personal diary) (Tel Aviv: Sifriyat Maariv,
1980), 398-400.
   16. Shlaim, "Israeli Interference in Internal Arab Politics," 241-42.
   17. Excerpts from Ben-Gurion's diary, 19 October and 22 October 1956, as
quoted in Moshe Shemesh and Selwyn Ilan Troen, The Suez-Sinai Crisis 1956:
Retrospective and Reappraisal (London: Frank Cass, 1990), 305-6.
   18. Letter from Lebanon, no. 3 (1 August 1984); Letter From Lebanon, no. 5,
(1 September 1984).
   19. Latif Abul-Husn, The Lebanese Conflict: Looking Inward (Boulder, Colo.:
Lynne Rienner, 1998), 42.
   20. Interview by author with Fuad Abu Nader, Beirut, 4 July 1995.
   21. Rabinovich, The War for Lebanon, 21.
   22. Kirsten E. Schulze, Israel's Covert Diplomacy in Lebanon (Basingstoke: St.
Antony's/Macmillan, 1998), 14-15.
   23. Walid Phares, Lebanese Christian Nationalism: The Rise and Fall of an
Ethnic Resistance (Boulder, Colo.: Lynne Rienner, 1995), 155. See also Letter from
Lebanon, no. 7 (1 October 1984).
   24. Minutes of Council Command Meetings (Beirut: Lebanese Forces, 1986-
87). See also Phares, Lebanese Christian Nationalism, 193.
   25. For the text of the Cairo Agreement see Yehuda Lucacs, The Israeli-Pales-
tinian Conflict: A Documentary Record, 1967-1990 (Cambridge: Cambridge
University Press, 1992), 456.
   26. Rabinovich, The War for Lebanon, 41.
   27. Interview by Schulze with Mordechai Gur, Tel Aviv, November 1993.
   28. Ilan Peleg, Begin's Foreign Policy, 1977-1983: Israel's Move to the Right
(New York: Greenwood Press, 1987), 151. See also Abba Eban, Personal Witness:
Israel through My Eyes (London: Jonathan Cape, 1992), 604; Rabinovich, The
War for Lebanon, 122.
   29. Ha'aretz, 23 April 1996.
   30. Ma'ariv, 28 April 1996.
   31. Cabinet communique, 14 April 1996.
   32. "Letter from the Permanent Representative of Israel to the UN, Dore Gold,
to the Secretary-General," 27 January 1998, S/1998/75, UN Archives.
   33. Daily Star (Beirut), 9 September 1998.
   34. Ma'ariv, 30 April 1996.





76 | Kirsten E. Schulze


   35. Jerusalem Post, 2 September 1998.
   36. Kirsten E. Schulze, "Rolle und Perspektives des Libanon in der Region," in
Wege aus dem Labyrinth? Friedenssuche in Nahost: Stationen, Akteure, Probleme
des nahbstlichen Friedensprozesses, eds. Margret Johannsen and Claudia Schmid
(Baden-Baden: Nomos, 1997).
   37. Carole Dagher, "Lebanon's Political Clouds Were Lifting Prior to Israeli
Onslaught," Washington Report, May 1996.
   38. Ministry of Foreign Affairs, "The Middle East Peace Process: An Over-
view," pamphlet, Jerusalem, 1996.
   39. Fida Nasrallah, The Questions of South Lebanon (Oxford: Centre for
Lebanese Studies, 1992).
   40. "The Official Position of the Lebanese Government, Madrid Peace Confer-
ence," 30-31 October 1991, press release from the Lebanese Embassy.
   41. Laura Zittrain Eisenberg, "Israel's Lebanon Policy," MERIA Journal 1, no.
3 (1997).
   42. Augustus Richard Norton, "Hizballah in Transition," Daily Star (Beirut),
9 August 1997. See also Magnus Ranstorp, Hizballah in Lebanon: The Politics of
the Western Hostage Crisis (Basingstoke: Macmillan, 1997), 25-60.
   43. Washington Report, October 1996.
   44. Eisenberg, "Israel's Lebanon Policy."
   45. Voice of Lebanon (radio), 12 July 1995.
   46. Habib Malik, "Is There Still a Lebanon?" MERIA Journal 2, no. 1 (1998).
   47. Eisenberg, "Israel's Lebanon Policy."
   48. Volker Perthes, "Syrian Predominance in Lebanon: Not Immutable," Leba-
non on Hold: Implications for Middle East Peace, eds. Rosemary Hollis and
Nadim Shehadi (London: Royal Institute of International Affairs, 1996), 34.
   49. Kirsten E. Schulze, "Peace Progress," LSE Magazine (summer 1997).
   50. Rosemary Sayigh, "Palestinians in Lebanon," in Peace for Lebanon? From
War to Reconstruction, ed. Deirdre Collings (Boulder, Colo.: Lynne Rienner,
1994), 99-100.
   51. Nawaf Salam, "Between Repatriation and Resettlement: Palestinian Refu-
gees in Lebanon," Journal of Palestine Studies 24, no.1 (Autumn 1994): 18.
   52. Rex Brynen, "Palestinian-Lebanese Relations: A Political Analysis," in
Collings, Peace for Lebanon? 91.
   53. Washington Report, May 1996.
   54. Lina Abu-Habib, "Education and the Palestinian Refugees of Lebanon: A
Lost Generation?" Refugee Participation Network 21 (April 1996).
   55. As Safir, 8 October 1992.
   56. The Economist, 24 February 1996.
   57. New York Times, 23 September 1992.
   58. Article VII, Oslo Accords, September 1993.
   59. L'Orient Le Jour, 29 September 1992.
   60. L'Orient Le Jour, 2 October 1992.





Israeli-Lebanese Relations | 77


   61. Al-Majallah, 9-15 April 1995.
   62. Rex Brynen, "Imagining a Solution: Final Status Arrangements and Pales-
tinian Refugees in Lebanon," Journal of Palestine Studies 26, no. 2 (Winter 1997):
42-54.
   63. Donna Arzt, Refugees into Citizens: Palestinians and the End of the Arab-
Israeli Conflict (Washington, D.C.: Council on Foreign Relations Press, 1996).
   64. Al-Majallah, 9-15 April 1995.
   65. Yediot Ahronot, 4 June 1996.
   66. Shlomo Gazit, The Palestinian Refugee Problem, Final Status Issues Study
no. 2 (Tel Aviv: Jaffee Center for Strategic Studies, 1995), 7.
   67. Salim Tamari, Palestinian Refugee Negotiations: From Madrid to Oslo II
(Washington, D.C.: Institute for Palestine Studies, 1996), 39.
   68. Thomas Naff, "Israel and the Waters of South Lebanon," in John Kolars
and Thomas Naff, The Waters of the Litani in Regional Context (Oxford: Centre
for Lebanese Studies, 1993), 3.
   69. Naff, "Israel and the Waters of South Lebanon," 1.
   70. Nasrallah, The Questions of South Lebanon, 9.
   71. F. C. Hof, Galilee Divided: The Israel-Lebanon Frontier, 1916-1984 (Boul-
der, Colo.: Westview Press, 1985), 11-13.
   72. M. W. Weisgal, ed. The Letters and Papers of Chaim Weizmann, vol. 9
(Jerusalem, Israel Universities Press, 1977): 267.
   73. T. Naff and R. Matson, Water in the Middle East: Conflict or Cooperation?
(Boulder, Colo.: Westview Press, 1984), 70-71.
   74. J. K. Cooley, "The War over Water," Foreign Policy 54 (Spring 1984): 22.
   75. Hussein A. Amery and Atif A. Kubursi, "The Litani River: The Case against
Interbasin Transfer," in Collings, Peace for Lebanon? 180.
   76. Naff, "Israel and the Waters of South Lebanon," 2.
   77. Amery and Kubursi, "The Litani River," 188-89.
   78. Elisha Kally, Options for Solving the Palestinian Water Problem in the
Context of Regional Peace, Israel Palestinian Peace Research Project, Working
Paper no. 9 (Jerusalem: Harry Truman Institute, Winter 1991-92).
   79. Yusuf Salibi, Al-Muwajaha al-iqtisadiyya al-murtaqaba bayn Lubnan wa
Israil (The expected economic confrontation between Lebanon and Israel), al-
Mustaqbal al-Arabi, 16/1993, 66-80.
   80. Schulze, "Rolle und Perspektives des Libanon in der Region," 199.
   81. The Economist, 24 February 1996.
   82. Middle East International, 12 April 1996.
   83. Israeli Ministry of Foreign Affairs, International Division.
   84. Daily Star (Beirut), 14 June 1999.
   85. Times (London), 20 July 1999.
   86. Ha'aretz, 25 May 2000.








3


The Dilemma of the Palestinians in Lebanon

   Julie Peteet






I begin this chapter with an ethnographic moment to set a tone. During a
recent visit to Ain al-Helwah refugee camp in Saida, a young Palestinian
man offered to drive me home. It was past nine P.M., and he warned me
that we would have to pass through an army checkpoint. Anyone moving
in and out of the camp after nine is stopped by soldiers, who check identity
papers and register movements in a logbook. After we passed through this
procedure, the young Palestinian commented acerbically that the intent
was humiliation more than anything else.
   "We are monitored as though we are a political threat, when the real
threat comes from elsewhere," he said. "People are organizing in the
camps and are soon going to show their weapons, even if symbolically in
a parade. They are planning a full military dress parade as a show of
power. I am very against this kind of action because it will only bring us
more trouble, more controls, and longer waits at the roadblocks.
   "We are the jeel al-shabab [the new generation] and we have a new
sense of what we want," he continued. "We want respect and to leave
Lebanon. We are fed up with this treatment at the roadblocks. They shout
at us 'Get down!''Give me your identity card!' 'What are you looking at?'
We just want to be treated with respect."
   The fourth generation of Palestinians in Lebanon is indeed a new gen-
eration It has known nothing but disempowerment and disrespect. It is a
generation that grew up with sieges and assaults, but without the resis-
tance movement that characterized their parents' adolescence. Their sense
of what they want is grounded in daily experiences of poverty, marginality,
and fear. These young Palestinians do not envision the future as a linear
progression toward a better situation. Years of violence have ruptured
their sense of trust in the future as a place of safety. The only certain thing
about their future is its uncertainty. Trauma, "events outside the range of





The Dilemma of the Palestinians in Lebanon | 79


usual human experience,"1 has become frequent and predictable. The
absence of agency, the sense that nothing one does has meaning or effect,
pervades everyday life.
   Beneath a veneer of control and containment, years of violence and
terror have created a Palestinian-Lebanese relationship with the potential
to breed even more violence. This chapter explores the development of the
worldview of today's Palestinian refugees in Lebanon and the prospects
for Lebanese-Palestinian relations.

Palestinians in Pre-Civil War Lebanon

Ambivalence and ambiguity, along with intermittent hostility, have been
consistent features of Lebanese-Palestinian relations for fifty years. The
359,005 Palestinian refugees registered with the United Nations Relief
and Works Agency (UNRWA) in mid-1997 in Lebanon are those Palestin-
ians who arrived in the country in 1948-49 and their descendants. They
now constitute 10.5 percent of the population of Lebanon and 10.5 per-
cent of all refugees registered with UNRWA in the region.2 UNRWA fig-
ures indicate that 10 percent of these refugees are enrolled in the agency's
special hardship program.3
   From the beginning, Lebanon was adamant about the impossibility of
resettling the Palestinians. Lebanon's limited resources and its confes-
sional political and social system, which relies on a delicate balance of
power among Christians, Muslims, and Druzes, made it the least able of
all the surrounding states to cope with a massive influx of refugees. Yet the
Palestinians came and stayed and were an integral part of the Lebanese
economy until recent plans to marginalize them were enacted. Before the
civil war, there was a modicum of certainty in Lebanese-Palestinian rela-
tions, despite the enmity that existed between the refugees and their hosts.
   Palestinian refugee rights in Lebanon have never been clear, in contrast
to Syria, which endowed refugees with the right to work, and Jordan,
which extended citizenship. Pre-civil war Lebanon, however, was still a
cosmopolitan site of refuge for the Palestinians, with porous and fluid
boundaries between space, communities, and nationalities. Borders of
refugee camps were nearly indistinct from surrounding Lebanese commu-
nities, underscoring an integration since destroyed.
   "The past was better-if you enter the camps now they are not the
camps of the 1950s. The 1950s were better," Abu Munir, a middle-aged
Palestinian professional, told me. "People were more willing to sacrifice,
the standard of living was better-people had work. At least we had ra-





80 | Julie Peteet


tions, and women could go out of the camps and collect wild greens. Now
we have no work, no rations, and no plants to gather."
   A growing Palestinian militancy, however, was not acceptable to the
Lebanese populace or government. It soon became a flash point for mobi-
lizing Lebanese around a host of issues, including Lebanon's regional role,
identity, and social organization. The Palestinians became an "other"
blamed for the ensuing civil war.

Palestinians and the Lebanese Civil War

If one looks at the meaning of the Lebanese civil war for the Palestinians
in an anthropological framework, it was about spatiality. The war rede-
fined space and its meaning. People and communities were sorted out.
Space, place, and rights were reclassified, as were social relations. Prior to
the war, space and social relations between Lebanese and Palestinians
were blurred. The war had the effect of making what had become indis-
tinct clearly visible. Borders of refugee camps such as Shatila became bru-
tally defined, both by a military border and a psychological border created
by practices of fear.
   If mixed social relations and mixed marriages stand as signs of blurred
communal boundaries, the Palestinians and Lebanese have significantly
tightened those boundaries. Palestinians visit Lebanese much less often
than in the prewar period. Marriages across national lines are increasingly
rare. Social interactions are hedged with uncertainty.
   As Lebanon continues its recovery from nearly sixteen years of war,
there has been little national discussion of why the war occurred and how
to prevent another. Reconstruction plans have ignored the question of
how to commemorate the war in ways that might inform future genera-
tions of their past or the possible perils of their future. Coming to terms
with the complex and intricate origins of the war has been bypassed in
favor of a simplistic discourse of blame. "Othering" the Palestinians, at-
tributing the war to their presence rather than to indigenous problems, has
created a short-term social cohesion for the Lebanese, but it is not suffi-
cient for forging a long-term national consensus.
   Recovery from trauma requires a grand narrative of what transpired so
as to endow it with shared meaning. The Lebanese need to formulate a
narrative of the war that can lead to reconciliation, aside from a displace-
ment of blame onto the Palestinians. In the absence of public remember-
ing, of commemorative monuments or sites, the memory of the war is at
the level of individual traumas and nightmares. Psychologists who have





The Dilemma of the Palestinians in Lebanon | 81


written on recovery from trauma argue that recovery and healing require
speech rather than silence, and commemoration rather than forgetful-
ness.4 Yet it is exceedingly difficult to construct a meaningful narrative of
a civil war that divided a nation. In a sense, the Palestinian refugee camps
in Lebanon serve as Lebanon's war memorials. Their continued existence
is a testimony to the reputed cause of the war, and their recontainment
represents a tangible victory for the Lebanese.
   In focusing on remembrance, however, it is vital to examine forgetting.5
We must weigh forgetting that leads to historical amnesia against forget-
ting that can be productive. Despite its drawbacks, the collective forget-
ting of the complex causes of the Lebanese civil war both contributes to a
sense of Lebanese national identity and provides a means of psychic sur-
vival in the period of reconstruction.

Palestinians and Lebanese Policy in the Post-Civil War Era

With the advent of the Israeli-Palestinian peace process in 1991, there has
been a dramatic return of attention to the issue of Palestinian refugees.
Palestinians have always considered the refugees to be at the heart of the
Israeli-Palestinian conflict, although they have resisted attempts to define
the Palestine problem solely as a refugee situation. To do so would have
been to capitulate to a humanitarian solution based on resettlement,
rather than a political solution based on issues of national sovereignty and
justice.
   The destruction of several refugee camps in the course of the war has
left thousands of Palestinians in Lebanon homeless and in dire need of
shelter. Palestinians in Lebanon now filter all information and see new
developments, including some outside assistance, through the lens of re-
settlement. Their main fear is of being left behind, a fear spurred by the
betrayal of the 1993 Oslo Accords and given human form by their for-
merly respected leader, Yasir Arafat. Painfully aware that the Lebanese
government and populace desire to see them leave the country for resettle-
ment, or at least moved to marginal areas of Lebanon, the refugees live in
a situation of suspended time.
   Palestinian refugee women, serving as the public voice of their people,
vehemently rejected the Oslo Accords. "They took our milk and blood
and left us here!" shouted one mother in Shatila camp who lost five sons
in the 1982 Sabra-Shatila massacre, and her harsh political commentary
was echoed by other camp residents. The maternally grounded metaphor
underscores the Palestinians' sense of abandonment. Bitter about the





82 | Julie Peteet


deaths of their children as well as the financial and social abandonment of
the refugee camps in Lebanon by the PLO, they feel that a fundamental
social and political relationship has been breached. The contractual na-
ture of the relationship-we give you our sons to fight, and to you we
entrust the struggle for our future-was voided by a peace process that
ignored the refugees in Lebanon. The refugees fear they will be asked to
pay the price of a peace settlement, one that trades their future for gains in
the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
   Reports of UNRWA's demise run rampant in the refugee community.
The refugees see UNRWA's fate as their fate-a kind of reflexive relation-
ship. If UNRWA is forced to shut down operations, they argue, refugees
will cease to be a major political issue. Cuts in UNRWA services, and
conspiratorial rumors of more to come, have the capacity to politically
mobilize refugee camps. Refugees have protested UNRWA cuts, however
hesitantly. These protests displace anger and frustration at the Lebanese
government, which cannot yet be voiced. Eventually, it is likely that pro-
tests aimed at UNRWA will incorporate direct criticisms of Lebanese
policy.
   "Strangulation" is the term used by Palestinians to refer to the current
Lebanese policy, which has shifted since the war from violent containment
of the refugees to a spatial, economic, social, and political marginalization
whose goal is "voluntary" resettlement of the refugee population. One
Palestinian intellectual I interviewed put it this way: "The policies from
the Lebanese government are going to feed a new round of violence. They
are using the violence of the law against us. They have already demon-
strated that the violence of war did not succeed in eliminating the Palestin-
ians from Lebanon. I wonder if they will succeed by other means."
   This "violence of the law" has taken a number of forms. Lebanon has
legislated far-reaching restrictions on Palestinian employment. In Leba-
non, where foreigners are required by law to obtain work permits, legisla-
tion enacted in 1962 has since been implemented that classifies Palestin-
ians as foreigners. Areas of employment open to Palestinians have been
severely curtailed and now encompass only "construction workers and
workers in ancillary tasks, excluding electrical installations, sanitation
facilities, glass mounting, agricultural workmen, tanning and leather
workers, excavation workers, textile and carpet workmen, smelters, sani-
tation workers, nannies, nurses, servants and cooks, car wash and lubrica-
tion workers."6
   UNRWA figures put Palestinian unemployment at 40 percent,7 and lo-
cal observers claim it is as high as 90 percent.8 Lebanon contains the great-





The Dilemma of the Palestinians in Lebanon | 83


est number of UNRWA hardship cases in the region. The new Lebanese
policy continues a downward economic spiral started by the 1982 with-
drawal of the PLO from Lebanon. The PLO's once-substantial economic,
political, and social infrastructure provided a major source of employ-
ment for refugees, and its network of social services-including monthly
indemnities, health care, child care, and educational assistance-eased
refugee poverty and supplemented UNRWA services. The PLO's demise in
Lebanon coincided with an economic downturn in the oil-producing
states in the Gulf, which had employed many skilled Palestinians who had
benefited from the PLO's vocational training programs. This further re-
duced the incomes of refugee families.
   A middle-aged school teacher gave this contemporary perspective on
the situation in Ain al-Helwah camp:
     These are the worst days I have ever seen, these past four or five
   years, and I have been doing this work for over twenty years now.
   Children are hungry and searching in the garbage for food. We have
   children in the streets rather than in school. They come to school
   hungry and without adequate clothing. Some of them do not even
   have shoes. There is a new generation of illiterates. UNRWA throws
   out those who do not perform well academically and they are in the
   streets. We have a Swedish program to take these kids and give them
   remedial help. We looked at one area and found seventy-five street
   kids. That's just from one small area in the camp!
     Those who pass the brevet are semiliterate-not like in the old
   days when we studied so hard and were expected to learn. Kids these
   days are unable to study. Their home environment is lacking. How
   can they study in a home where no one cares, where there are so
   many problems! And these days, no one looks out for anyone else!

   Other measures designed to reduce the number of registered refugees in
Lebanon include a September 1995 decree from the Lebanese Interior
Ministry that Palestinian carriers of the Lebanese laissez-passer must ob-
tain a visa to reenter Lebanon. This further complicates travel procedures,
making leaving Lebanon a risky choice for Palestinian refugees who in-
tend to return.9 The Lebanese government also has reduced official refu-
gee numbers through selective naturalization. While official Lebanese
government policy and public opinion are fairly unanimous in rejecting
naturalization of refugees, in the mid-1990s a number of Muslim refugees
were naturalized without fanfare. No precise figures have been made pub-
lic, but popular estimates put the number at 28,000-30,000. Sectarian





84 | Julie Peteet


considerations were an integral part of this move. The first to be natural-
ized were Lebanese Shi'a from seven border villages, who had formerly
been classified as Palestinian refugees. A year later, an unknown number
of Sunni refugees were naturalized, as were the few remaining
nonnaturalized Palestinian Christians.

Palestinians and "Beirut 2000"

The reconstruction of Beirut in all its manifestations-highways, new tele-
communications system, new airport, and new buildings in the city cen-
ter-are major features of the plan called "Beirut 2000." This reconstruc-
tion will have negative effects on the Palestinian refugee population. The
two primary development and reconstruction projects, Elisar and
Solidaire (the Lebanese Company for the Development and Reconstruc-
tion of Beirut Central District), have generated much debate. Elisar is
developing the southern suburbs of Beirut, which involves displacing
groups of poor people, many of them Shi'a immigrants who over the past
twenty years had fled to Beirut from war-torn areas of southern Lebanon.
As a result of political lobbying and pressure, many of these people have
been offered low-income housing in nearby areas to compensate for the
loss of their homes, despite the fact that their homes were considered by
the government to be illegal.
   Elisar is also operating in the area of two refugee camps, Shatila (popu-
lation 9,499) and Bourj al-Barajneh (population 16,389),10 both of which
occupy strategic areas around the access road to the airport. The recon-
struction of the massive Sports City complex adjacent to Shatila, which
residents feared would expand into the camp and heighten calls for its
removal, has been accomplished without using camp lands. However,
Elisar's reconstruction maps show the camps as blank, unnamed areas.
   There are rumors that the new road connecting Beirut International
Airport with mountain areas will run straight through Bourj al-Barajneh,
displacing anywhere from 100 to 600 families and severing the camp's
spatial integrity. Bordered by relatively wide streets that serve as a social
and physical boundary between Lebanese and Palestinian communities,
the interior of the camp is a maze of intricate alleys easily maneuverable by
its inhabitants, less so by outsiders. During the camp wars, it remained
impenetrable to the outside, despite prolonged siege and assault. This
same spatiality that provided wartime defense also accounts for its contin-
ued social cohesion.





The Dilemma of the Palestinians in Lebanon | 85


   Although no official pronouncements have been forthcoming, engi-
neers have visited the camp to survey the terrain and estimate the number
of houses to be demolished. This road project contains echoes of Ariel
Sharon's infamous 1970s plan to build major roads through refugee
camps in Gaza in the name of improvement in the standard of living. In
this case, the rubric is not "improvement" but "reconstruction," a term
with radically opposed meanings and implications, depending on one's
geonational location.
   Palestinians were convinced for several years that Beirut 2000 meant
the outright demolition of the camps, which would be replaced by shop-
ping malls or sports centers, zones of elite leisure and consumption. When
this did not happen, fears of being forcibly loaded onto trucks and buses,
as refugees were in 1948, gave way to more nuanced fears of marginaliza-
tion and displacement, of being driven out too slowly to mount effective
opposition against the government. Increasing economic restrictions and
hardships, the absence in the camps of services such as water, sewage, and
transportation, and governmental measures to reduce the numbers of of-
ficial refugees are seen by Palestinians as manifestations of this new, more
subtle policy.

Shatila Camp:An Evolving Example of Palestinian-Lebanese Relations

The evolution of the relationship between Lebanese and Palestinian refu-
gees is illustrated by the history of Shatila camp, once a center of Palestin-
ian political activity. Before the civil war, Shatila housed a significant num-
ber of Lebanese Shi'a along with Palestinians. The conflicts that engulfed
the camps along with the rest of the country put an end to this coexistence.
Many Lebanese Shi'a, sensing danger, left Shatila voluntarily. Others re-
sisted this violent reassignment of space and identity.
   One story of that resistance was reported to me by a middle-aged Pal-
estinian woman of Shatila:

   When we were living in that building, we were eleven families, nine
   of them Shi'a. We were living together-no differences among us.
   We ate together. On the first floor lived a young Lebanese army
   officer, Mohammed. When the fighting broke out, we went down to
   the ground floor. There we stayed in a room where the Norwegian
   volunteers used to stay. Two Lebanese women went down with us;
   others, like my neighbor, refused to go. She even had a shell land on





86 | Julie Peteet


   her balcony and still she refused to come and be with us. The next
   day all the Shi'a families gathered and got a car and left the camp.
   The only Shi'a women who stayed were Um Ali and Um Kamel.
   Their children were fighting with us. They said either we live to-
   gether or we die together. The following day Amal came to our
   building and occupied it. They came and found us on the ground
   floor. We were all sitting there. Our neighbor-the officer Moham-
   med-was with them. He was wearing a green headband and bran-
   dishing a Kalishnikov, ready to shoot. The children were playing in
   other rooms, so the women went to fetch them. I approached our
   neighbor Mohammed and said, "Don't do the wrong thing, I be-
   seech you in the name of neighborliness." He said, "Nobody say a
   word, you so-and-so, nobody move." He took us all into one room
   and made us sit there. He was dark and looked darker that day. He
   called on Um Ali-she lived on his floor. She went to him and knelt
   at his feet, begging him. He kicked her, throwing her flat on the
   floor. He asked, "Where is Nasser [her son]?" Nasser was there. He
   stood up. Mohammed ordered him to get closer and then to stand
   behind him. Then he asked, "Where is Khalil?" Khalil was the type
   to scare easily. He fell to the floor. Then he asked, "Where are Ali
   and Abed? Are they fighting with the dogs?" Um Kamel's sons were
   carrying arms with us and that is why she did not leave. She wanted
   to stay and either die with them or live with them. Suddenly we could
   hear the sounds of very nearby fighting. Mohammed left.

   In the early 1990s, after the end of the camp wars and the civil war, no
Shi'a would walk through Shatila, although skirting the camp meant a
much longer walk to a large central marketplace. The strict borders of
the camp were conspicuous indicators of national space. Gradually, Shi'a
women began to walk through the camp hurriedly, without stopping
to talk or look around, although Shi'a men still did not dare to enter Sha-
tila because of continuing hostilities. Over a period of several years, hos-
tilities lessened, and the lines between Shi'a and Palestinian once again
blurred.
   Today, a new influx of residents has threatened the spatial and social
cohesion of Shatila. Palestinian households within the camp are becoming
isolated from one another. Economic and demographic pressures, includ-
ing the quest for affordable housing for Lebanese as well as Palestinians,
has fragmented Shatila, and it is no longer a community with common
interests.





The Dilemma of the Palestinians in Lebanon | 87


   One Palestinian resident, Um Khalid, captured the shifting nature of
space and community in comments made several years apart. As I sat on
Um Khalid's roof with her family soon after the end of the war, she said,
"You see, Shatila is our home.... I know all these people, we went through
the sieges together. We are of one hand. It is like a Palestinian village here.
How can we be dispersed again?" By the summer of 1999, when I visited
again, the once-quiet, one-story house was engulfed by eight- and ten-
story apartment buildings full of non-Palestinians, mostly Lebanese. Um
Khalid commented sadly, "We are surrounded by big buildings and lots of
strangers."
   Before the civil war and the camp conflicts, Lebanese and Palestinians
in Shatila and elsewhere shared municipal and social services, social rela-
tionships cemented by intermarriage, and political struggles, with many
Lebanese active in Palestinian organizations. Now there are distinct lines
of division between the communities. There are no shared resources or
social services, no shared ideology, and very little socializing.

The Future of Palestinians in Lebanon

Palestinian refugees in Lebanon are making a number of responses, both
positive and negative, to the continuing marginalization of their commu-
nities by the Lebanese government and populace and their fears of forced
resettlement. As mentioned, severe social problems have arisen in the
camps. Dysfunctional families and communities created by displacement,
uncertainty, poverty, and discrimination in turn breed drug activity,
prostitution, and crime.
   The Palestinians are, however, developing new forms of association
and assistance to meet these needs and fill the void left by the absence of
PLO leadership and social services once provided by the PLO, UNRWA,
family members outside Lebanon, and nongovernmental organizations.
Village associations, insurance companies, and credit unions based on tra-
ditional ties have emerged in the camps. These associations bring together
people from a pre-1948 village who reside in camps and urban areas in
different parts of Lebanon. They are led by middle-aged males from the
village, some of whom have come up through the political ranks of the
Palestinian resistance movement; others are from well-known and power-
ful families. These associations attest to the continuing relevance of pre-
1948 kinship and village affiliations for the Palestinians, with a new focus
of helping "villagers" with contemporary problems, such as unexpected
medical expenses, funerals, or school fees for children.





88 | Julie Peteet


   This new style of sociopolitical organization, with its crisis-oriented
agenda, is seen by some as a sign of the failure of the Palestinian resistance
movement and, on a smaller scale, of the popular committees that once
had great influence in the camps. Some complain that smaller, less power-
ful villages are unable to mobilize the resources to form an association and
that this inserts a wedge between Palestinians who live on the margins and
those who have recourse to some sort of safety net. Another criticism is
that these narrowly based traditional forms of organization undermine
the possibilities of collective political organizing.
   Proponents argue that these organizations represent a reassertion of
Palestinian identity grounded in pre-1948 social relations and spaces. In
an atmosphere of "every family for itself" and "no one helps anyone any-
more," they bring together Palestinians at some level for mutual assis-
tance. They reaffirm the meaning of place and home in exile, connecting
the fourth generation with the past.
   Palestinians are also framing discussions with the Lebanese govern-
ment about their status in terms of civil rights and human rights. Within
this political and legal framework, refugees hope to secure rights of resi-
dency, along with employment and access to medical care and education
for their children. The refugees have not asked for citizenship, aware both
of the hostility that this demand arouses in the Lebanese and the prospect
that Lebanese citizenship would dilute their national identity and make
their eventual return to their homeland even more remote.
   If the intifada utilized the fax revolution, the struggle for Palestinian
civil and human rights will rely on the revolution in global communica-
tions. The Women's Humanitarian Organization, a camp-based group,
has a website that "calls on all international humanitarian organizations
and supporters of the Palestinian people to help protect the basic human
rights of Palestinian refugees.""
   Despite the absence of overt Palestinian-Lebanese conflict, human
rights abuses remain a problem. The terror and violence of the previous
years have given way to a pervasive feeling of insecurity and profound
uncertainty as to the future. The Syrian practice of abducting both Leba-
nese and Palestinians continues. Human Rights Watch notes that these
abductees are held incommunicado in various places in Lebanon before
transfer to Syria. Torture is commonplace, including beatings, electric
shocks, and prolonged periods of hanging. Relatives remain in the dark as
to the whereabouts of loved ones.12
   Although a Lebanese ministerial committee has been set up to explore





The Dilemma of the Palestinians in Lebanon | 89


human and civil rights issues vis-a-vis the Palestinians, the results to date
have been negligible. Lebanese continue to voice strong opposition to any
moves that might suggest "implantation" (towteen), a buzzword for a
permanent solution of the refugee crisis by resettlement and naturaliza-
tion. Yet most Lebanese understand that the return of the Palestinians to
their homeland, as specified by UN General Assembly Resolution 194, is
a remote possibility. The tension between this realization and public state-
ments that continue to reject settlement of the refugees drives the restric-
tive and punitive conditions imposed on the refugees by Lebanon.
   Within the framework of the peace process, the refugee issue requires
coordinated action. In January 1996, the Refugee Working Group (RWG)
was to begin dealing with this question. Neither Lebanon nor Syria is
participating in these talks, however, and there is a danger for the Palestin-
ians that, in the interests of Israel, the issue of the refugees may simply be
abandoned or reframed as one of permanent integration into host coun-
tries.

Conclusion

It has been more than fifty years since the Palestinian refugees, now enter-
ing their fourth generation, came to Lebanon, making Palestinians one of
the oldest refugee groups in the world. During this period, the Palestinian
community has undergone enormous transformations. These transforma-
tions have been anything but linear. The refugee experience has been one
of perpetual crisis, punctuated by brief periods of quiet and a semblance of
safety. The initial trauma of dispossession, statelessness, and exile has
been followed by war, sieges, and massacres. Today, Palestinian refugees
speak of having less hope for the future than in the immediate past. De-
spite new efforts to form effective social organizations and negotiate with
the Lebanese government for human and civil rights, the refugee camps
are once again clearly marked spaces of containment and marginalization,
making refugees into social outcasts.
   Uncertainty pervades thinking about the present and the future. Exces-
sive focus on today's safety and security, what I term "presentism," has
become a conceptual means for Palestinians to deal with a future that
promises little but the continuation of a nightmare. Is there a future for the
Palestinians in Lebanon? Yes, but it may not be the one that either they or
the Lebanese desire.





90 | Julie Peteet


Notes

   1. Judith Herman, Trauma and Recovery (New York: Basic Books, 1992), 33.
   2. UNRWA Public Information Office, UNRWA in Figures: Figures as of 30
June 1997 (Gaza: UNRWA, September 1997).
   3. UN General Assembly, Report of the Commissioner-General of the United
Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestinian Refugees in the Near East, 1 July
1995-30 June 1996, A/51/13 (New York: United Nations, 1996), 46, 80.
   4. Herman, Trauma and Recovery.
   5. Deborah Battaglia, "At Play in the Fields (and Borders) of the Imaginary:
Melanesian Transformations of Forgetting," Cultural Anthropology 8, no. 4:
430-42; Michel-Rolph Trouillet, Silencing the Past: Power and the Production of
History (Boston: Beacon Press, 1995).
   6. Lebanon, Ministry of Labor and Social Affairs, Decision no. 289/1, 18 De-
cember 1982.
   7. UN General Assembly, Report of the Commissioner-General, 80.
   8. R. Sayigh, "Palestinians in Lebanon: (Dis)solution of the Refugee Problem,"
Race and Class 37, no. 2 (October-December 1995): 38.
   9. U.S. Committee for Refugees, World Refugee Survey, 1997 (Washington,
D.C., USCR 1997), 159.
   10. UNRWA Public Information Office, Field Fact Sheet: Fact Sheet Revision
June 1997 (Gaza: UNRWA, 1997).
   11. The Women's Humanitarian Organization, Bourj al-Barajneh Camp,
Beirut, Lebanon, "Beirut Freeway to Demolish Palestinian Refugee Camp,"
FOFOGNET, 20 July 1998.
   12. Human Rights Watch/Middle East, Syria/Lebanon: An Alliance beyond the
Law: Enforced Disappearances in Lebanon (New York: Human Rights Watch,
May 1997), 1, 21.








4


U.S. Policy toward Lebanon

   Kail C. Ellis





Since World War II, U.S. policy toward Lebanon has been determined by
attempts to balance U.S. support for the security and well-being of Israel
with the need to maintain influence in Arab countries in order to have
access to and control over Middle Eastern oil. Prior to the collapse of the
Soviet Union, U.S. policy also focused on preventing the Soviet Union
from achieving power in the Middle East. Throughout the wars and con-
flicts that have convulsed the Middle East during the past fifty years, these
fundamental goals have remained constant.1
   During the cold war era, American policymakers who viewed the
Middle East and its problems in terms of the balance of power between
Washington and Moscow and their respective clients gained precedence
over those who preferred to focus on regional problems and the stake of
the United States in those regions. To this end, the United States fostered
the continuation or establishment of conservative Arab regimes whose
economic and military dependence on the United States meant that they
tolerated U.S. support of Israel. In the process, an independent Arab policy
attuned to American interests was practically abandoned. As a result, the
United States lost its standing in the Arab world, pro-Western ruling elites
and regimes were weakened, the security of Middle East oil was reduced,
and the prospects for terrorism were enhanced. These policy decisions had
grave consequences for Lebanon.

The First U.S. Intervention:The 1958 Lebanese Civil War

The United States first intervened militarily in Lebanon on 15 July 1958.
In his address to the nation announcing the dispatch of American troops
to Lebanon, President Dwight Eisenhower stated that the troops would
"demonstrate the concern of the United States for the independence and





92 | Kail C. Ellis


integrity of Lebanon, which we deem vital to the national interest and
world peace. "2
   The 1958 American intervention in Lebanon is best understood in the
context of the Arab nationalism, anticolonialism, and opposition to West-
ern-sponsored defense organization proposals that had swept the Middle
East after the Egyptian revolution of 1952 brought Gamal Abdel Nasser
to power. Nasser's policies came to be identified with the objectives of
Soviet Communism,3 particularly after the 1956 Suez crisis and the decla-
ration of the Eisenhower Doctrine, aimed at controlling Soviet influence in
the Middle East, in 1957. The U.S. conviction that intervention in Leba-
non was a necessary response to Soviet expansionism was strengthened by
the July 1958 Iraqi revolution, which overthrew a pro-Western monarchy
and removed Iraq from the Western-sponsored Baghdad Pact. President
Eisenhower drew a parallel between the civil war in Lebanon, the Iraqi
revolution, and the "pattern of [Soviet] conquest with which we became
familiar during the period of 1945-50."4 By intervening in Lebanon, the
United States showed the Soviet Union that it would be frustrated in its bid
to become a Middle Eastern power, that the United States would aid its
allies when necessary, and, furthermore, that the United States had the
strategic capability to react swiftly with conventional armed forces in re-
sponse to small-scale or "brushfire" conflicts.
   Before the July 1958 intervention, however, the United States had be-
come involved in Lebanon in the service of U.S. regional interests. In Feb-
ruary 1955, when the Baghdad Pact was formed and Israel raided Gaza,
setting off the chain reaction that culminated in the 1956 Suez crisis,
Lebanon's political leaders began to debate their country's role in the new
power relationships in the Middle East. In March 1957, Lebanon's accep-
tance of the Eisenhower Doctrine evoked a storm of protest in the Leba-
nese Parliament. Opposition parties called for the neutrality of Lebanon,
rejection of foreign military pacts, and close, impartial, and effective coop-
eration with other Arab states. They also demanded the formation of a
caretaker government to supervise the parliamentary elections slated for
June 1957.5 This so alarmed the United States that CIA officials in Beirut
decided to funnel funds to President Camille Chamoun's government to
ensure the elections' outcome.6 The elections resulted in a government
victory so substantial that even Eisenhower noted that "excellent moder-
ates among the Arab nationalists had been thrown out of office. "7 Massive
evidence that the elections were fraudulent caused the downfall of the
Chamoun government and provoked the ensuing civil war.
   Irene Gendzier's important study on the 1958 U.S. intervention in





U.S. Policy toward Lebanon | 93


Lebanon maintains that these events underlined Lebanon's role as an im-
portant link in the commitment of U.S. military and civilian planners "to
assure access to petroleum resources, the construction of bases, the acqui-
sition of air transit rights, and the more general consensus on commercial
expansion in the region."8 The 1958 American intervention in Lebanon,
however, did little to resolve the regional issues of the Middle East. Ameri-
can troops withdrew from Lebanon in October 1958, and the Middle East
drifted into chaos. The festering Palestinian issue gave rise to the Palestin-
ian resistance movement in 1964, while tensions on the borders between
Israel, Jordan, Syria, and Egypt erupted in the June 1967 war.
   In the aftermath of the 1967 war, American policy in the region contin-
ued to be refracted through a cold war prism. Because the Arabs relied on
the Soviet Union for arms and diplomatic support, the United States frus-
trated Arab demands for a return of Israeli-occupied lands. Israel's mili-
tary superiority over any Arab coalition was also viewed as a strategic
necessity to safeguard Western interests in the Middle East. This policy of
continued stalemate was fraught with danger, as the Arab-Israeli war of
October 1973 demonstrated. The United States and the Soviet Union
struggled to come to terms with each other in a world in which, as U.S.
Secretary of State Henry Kissinger said, "both superpowers have acquired
the capacity to destroy civilized life in a matter of hours."9 While the
United States sought to contain the Middle East conflict, it remained ada-
mant in seeking to exclude the Soviet Union from the substance of the
peace process. Kissinger's step-by-step diplomacy concentrated on Egyp-
tian and Israeli disengagement agreements while ignoring Syria and the
Palestinians and, by extension, the increasingly tense situation in Leba-
non.

The Civil War of 1975

Lebanon's second civil war broke out in the midst of Kissinger's negotia-
tions for a second Egyptian-Israeli disengagement agreement in 1975.
Kissinger feared that the Lebanese conflict had the potential for trans-
forming itself into a general Middle East war.10 Kissinger favored the con-
tinuation of the equitable power-sharing relationship between Christians
and Muslims established by the Lebanese National Pact of 1943. He noted
that the United States had "a traditional policy of supporting the Christian
community," but that given the collapse of Vietnam and the abdication in
Angola, "direct military support [to the Christians] was out of the ques-
tion."11 The numerical superiority of the Muslim population and the pres-





94 | Kail C. Ellis


ence of the PLO, which had moved to Lebanon after its expulsion from
Jordan in 1970, made the old status quo untenable. The United States
confined itself to opposing any foreign intervention in the Lebanese con-
flict while trying to maintain a balance between the various forces. This
policy was enunciated by Kissinger at a press conference on 14 January
1976: "We support the independence and sovereignty of Lebanon.... Any
outside military intervention, from whatever quarter, would involve the
gravest threat to peace and stability in the Middle East; and we have left
the parties concerned in no doubt that the United States would oppose any
military intervention from whatever quarter."12
   Kissinger feared that Lebanon would become dominated by the PLO
and other radical groups and their Lebanese allies, making Lebanon a
permanent guerrilla base against Israel. This fear constituted the frame-
work for his policy of adamantly opposing PLO participation in the peace
process. In his view, PLO participation would guarantee a prolonged
deadlock and "would raise such life-or-death issues for Israel that all other
initiatives would have to be deferred."" Although Kissinger also opposed
Syrian hegemony in Lebanon, he saw a role for Syria in balancing radical
Muslim groups, as long as this did not provoke a Syrian-Israeli confronta-
tion over Lebanon. After Israel came to recognize that there was a signifi-
cant overlap between its objectives and those of Syria, Syria intervened in
Lebanon in June 1976 to end the first phase of the Lebanese war. The delay
of two months caused by U.S. opposition to Syrian intervention, however,
served to prolong the killing in Lebanon and touched off an international
debate.14

Israel, the United States, and the Lebanese Civil War

At first, Israel viewed Lebanon's civil war as an opportunity to weaken the
Palestinian resistance. Its war against the Palestinians was marked by al-
most daily incursions into southern Lebanon. Israel increased its military
and political involvement with the Lebanese Forces in the north and con-
solidated its position with the militia of Saad Haddad in the south. When
the situation in the south continued to deteriorate, Israel invaded southern
Lebanon in March 1978. In response, the United Nations Security Council
passed Resolution 425, which called for the unconditional withdrawal of
Israeli troops from Lebanon. Israel refused, and its maintenance of a "se-
curity zone" and its use of a proxy force, the South Lebanon Army (SLA),
remained a major point of contention in its relations with Lebanon.
   Israel invaded Lebanon again on 6 June 1982, allegedly with the bless-





U.S. Policy toward Lebanon | 95


ing of U.S. Secretary of State Alexander Haig, a move that severely dam-
aged the reputation of the United States in the Arab world. When Haig
was replaced by George Shultz after clashes with the White House staff
over his autocratic style and the substance of his actions, hopes arose for
a different direction in U.S. policy in the Middle East. During his confir-
mation hearings, Shultz raised the issue of the Palestinians: "The crisis in
Lebanon made painfully clear the urgent need to resolve the problems of
the Palestinian people. The peace process had collapsed, and a war process
continued to gather momentum."5
   Initially, Shultz's concern was that the Arab-Israeli peace process,
started in 1967 by UN Security Council Resolution 242, reborn in the
Camp David Accords, and brought to initial reality in 1979 in the Egyp-
tian-Israeli Peace Treaty, had become a casualty of the Israeli invasion.16
While acknowledging that the legitimate needs and problems of the Pales-
tinian people must be addressed urgently and in all their dimensions,
Shultz reaffirmed the basic tenet of the U.S.-Israeli relationship: "No one
should question the depth and durability of America's commitment to the
security of Israel or of the United States's readiness to assure that Israel has
the necessary means to defend itself." Shultz went on to state: "We owe it
to Israel in the context of our special relationship to work with her to bring
about a comprehensive peace acceptable to all the parties involved, which
is the only sure guarantee of true and durable security. "17
   Shultz saw in Israel's invasion an opportunity to attain a cease-fire be-
tween Israel and Syria and achieve a diplomatic arrangement that would
get all foreign forces out of Lebanon. If Lebanon could get back on its feet,
he reasoned, it could reassert its national identity and develop a stable
relationship with Israel.18 In his attempts to create movement on the Is-
raeli-Palestinian front, however, Shultz became enmeshed in the situation
in Lebanon.
   Israeli forces reached the outskirts of Beirut on 9 June 1982. Their
objective was the destruction of the PLO and its leadership of the Palestin-
ians. The U.S. special envoy to the Middle East, Philip Habib, labored
relentlessly to accomplish the PLO's evacuation from Beirut and thereby
prevent Israel's first occupation of an Arab capital. On 2 July, Habib met
with Lebanese intermediaries who informed him that Chairman Arafat
would accept, in principle, the U.S. proposal for the PLO's evacuation.
Their final destination, however, needed to be determined. Shuttling be-
tween Beirut, Washington, and Jerusalem, Habib worked throughout July
and August on finalizing the arrangements. He was hampered by the re-
lentless escalation of Israeli military pressure on the PLO, the numerous





96 | Kail C. Ellis


violations of cease-fire agreements, Israel's steady advancement into the
city, the fate of the refugee camps (which Israel regarded as the source of
manpower for the PLO), the circumstances under which the evacuation
would take place and whether it would be overseen by a multinational
force, and concern over what country would host the PLO. Agreement
was finally reached that the PLO would relocate to Tunis, and the bulk of
its forces, about 15,000 troops, departed Beirut by land and sea. Arafat
followed on 30 August.19
   The Reagan peace plan of 1 September 1982 attempted to reestablish
the peace process between Israel and the Palestinians. Shultz began to view
the Israeli invasion as a historic opportunity to accomplish two main
goals: the destruction of the PLO and the reconstitution of Lebanon as a
pro-Western state.20 Both goals proved inimical to the peace process. As
Shultz directed U.S. policy toward helping the central government of
Lebanon regain control over its own country so it could "negotiate a
meaningful agreement with Israel,"21 the United States was increasingly
perceived as an unwelcome partisan in the civil conflict. The bombing of
the U.S. embassy in Beirut in April 1983 was a blow directed at the Ameri-
can presence in Lebanon.
   Undeterred by the bombing, Shultz embarked on negotiating a Leba-
nese-Israeli peace treaty that would formally terminate the state of war
between the two countries and open the stage for normal relations with
Israel. The 17 May 1983 agreement failed on two counts: Syria, the power
broker in Lebanon, was not involved in the negotiations, and the Israelis
would settle for nothing less than a full peace treaty with Lebanon, as they
had previously achieved with Egypt. "Egypt was large enough, strong
enough, and independent enough to withstand this temporary estrange-
ment [from the Arab world]," said a disappointed Shultz. "Lebanon was
not and could not; this the Israelis simply would not understand."22
   The hostilities continued, and the American presence in Lebanon con-
tinued to be resented. On 20 September 1983, the U.S. embassy annex in
Beirut was destroyed by a bomb. The news awakened President Reagan's
fears of Soviet dominance in the Middle East, according to Shultz: "In my
private meeting with President Reagan [21 September 1983] I found him
preoccupied with Lebanon: 'Are we going to let the Syrians and Soviets
take over? Are we just going to let it happen?' he asked. I was, if anything,
even more convinced than the president that we must stand firm in Leba-
non, for worldwide as well as for Lebanese considerations."23
   In October, the U.S. Marine barracks at the Beirut airport were
bombed, resulting in a loss of 243 lives. American forces responded from





U.S. Policy toward Lebanon | 97


the air and sea against Syrian missiles in the Beqaa Valley and the Lebanese
militias in the Shouf mountains. These actions only succeeded in arousing
deeper anti-American feelings among the Lebanese who lived in those
areas. By March 1984, the situation was seen as hopeless, and U.S. forces
were withdrawn. Lebanon rescinded the 17 May 1983 agreement with
Israel on 5 March 1984.24 Shultz blamed Syria and the Israelis for the
failure of American intervention: "I made a major effort, and President
Reagan and I had set out two frameworks-the September 1 Fresh Start
peace initiative and the May 17 Agreement-which, if followed by the
parties in the region, could have spared Lebanon a decade of anguish and
could have put the Palestinians on the road to greater political rights."25

Pax Syriana

After the withdrawal of all U.S. forces from Lebanon in 1984, U.S. policy
began to focus almost entirely on securing the release of American and
European hostages kidnapped by radical Shi'a groups linked to Hizballah.
Among the kidnappers' aims were the release of Shi'ite prisoners in Ku-
wait and a change in U.S. policy toward Israel. On the issue of Lebanon,
American policymakers were content to support efforts initiated and
sponsored by Syria and the Arab League and to accommodate Syrian in-
terests in Lebanon.
   Lebanon's inability to disarm Hizballah ensured the continuation of a
partial U.S. boycott of Lebanon. The U.S. government banned Americans
from traveling to Lebanon, excluded Middle East Airlines from American
territory, and officially defined Lebanon as "unsafe." This situation made
many diaspora Lebanese wary of committing funds to Lebanon except in
speculative ventures.26
   The United States assumed a more active diplomatic role in Lebanon in
late 1987 in anticipation of the end of President Amin Gemayel's term in
September 1988. In February 1988, Assistant Secretary of State for
Middle East Affairs Richard Murphy visited Damascus. In March, April
Glaspie, a State Department specialist in Syrian and Lebanese affairs, went
to Beirut to help the Lebanese reach a consensus on political reforms and
on the selection of a successor to the president. Fearing Lebanon's parti-
tion (with all the attendant regional implications) if a presidential candi-
date was not found, the United States supported Akkar deputy Michail
Daher, whose program satisfied Syria and West Beirut. This effort failed,
and, a few hours before he left office, Gemayel appointed army com-
mander Michel Aoun to head an interim military government as prime





98 | Kail C. Ellis


minister. This move precipitated a constitutional crisis and the formation
of a rival Muslim government in West Beirut, headed by the incumbent
prime minister Salim al-Hoss.

The 1989 Ta'if Agreement

Its efforts to resolve the Lebanese constitutional crisis having failed, the
United States returned to its stance of viewing Syria as a useful policeman
in Lebanon. Syria's role was to exercise military restraint and deliver the
foreign hostages held by the Shi'a Hizballah group. The United States, in
return, endorsed Syrian primacy in Lebanon and supported Lebanese
presidential candidates with programs acceptable to Damascus. Washing-
ton also encouraged an initiative aimed at reforming Lebanon's political
system and ending the constitutional crisis generated by the appointment
of General Aoun as president. Under the aegis of the Arab League, Syria,
with support from Saudi Arabia, summoned the seventy surviving mem-
bers of Lebanon's Parliament to Ta'if, the Saudi summer capital. In Sep-
tember 1989, after intensive efforts, the Document of National Reconcili-
ation, later called the Ta'if Agreement, emerged.
   The Ta'if Agreement became the centerpiece of U.S. policy in Lebanon.
It was regarded by Washington as the best means available to forge a
settlement among Lebanon's contending political and religious factions.
Its provisions guaranteed the presidency of Lebanon to the Christians,
ensured the sharing of executive power among the president, the Sunni
prime minister, and the Shi'a speaker of Parliament, and equalized Mus-
lim-Christian representation in Parliament. In the process, however, the
Ta'if Agreement also formalized Syria's role in Lebanon.27 The United
States was severely criticized for ceding dominance over Lebanon's politi-
cal system to Syria while at the same time claiming to support Lebanon's
independence.28

Lebanon and U.S. Strategy in the Gulf

Saddam Hussein's bid to become the dominant power in the Gulf by in-
vading Kuwait in August 1990 reinforced the U.S. conviction that in order
to achieve stability in the Middle East, the Aoun crisis in Lebanon had to
be resolved. Lebanon's instability was seen as a barrier to the resolution of
the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, which had been further aggravated by the
Palestinian intifada.




U.S. Policy toward Lebanon | 99


   Syria's credentials in the Arab world and its animosity toward the Iraqi
regime made it in American eyes the logical choice to help settle the Arab-
Israeli conflict, in line with the new world order the United States was
trying to establish after the downfall of the Soviet Union. In return for
Syria's cooperation, the United States would not only give Syria military
dominance over Lebanon but also provide increased access to Western
financial aid and technology and, most importantly, help to secure Israel's
withdrawal from the Golan Heights. The first part of this understanding
was fulfilled in October 1990 when General Aoun was removed from the
Lebanese presidency by Syrian forces and forced into exile. With constitu-
tional authority reestablished in Lebanon and the militias dismantled-
with the exception of Hizballah in the south-the collaboration between
the United States and Syria was sealed.
   Operation Desert Storm turned back Saddam Hussein's bid to become
the dominant power in the Gulf, and the regional balance of power
seemed to tilt back toward moderate forces committed to peace and stabil-
ity. The United States moved to seize the historic opportunity by sponsor-
ing the Middle East peace conference in Madrid in October 1991. The
Madrid conference launched a series of bilateral and multilateral talks
that proved useful in shattering taboos on political dialogue and helping
each side to recognize the concerns of its opponent. These efforts led to the
September 1993 signing of the Israel-PLO Declaration of Principles,
which established mutual recognition between Israel and the Palestinians,
along with a mechanism for resolving differences through negotiations
and compromise. Despite Israel's withdrawal from south Lebanon in May
2000, the success of these negotiations is still awaited.

Instability in Southern Lebanon

The lack of progress in the negotiations between Israel and Syria and Israel
and Lebanon was aggravated by the cycle of violence in southern Lebanon
occasioned by Hizballah's resistance to the Israeli occupation. Israel
launched "Operation Accountability" in July 1993, which targeted the
Shi'ite towns and villages of southern Lebanon for the purpose of com-
pletely disrupting civilian life, turning civilians against Hizballah, and
forcing the Lebanese government and Syria to curb the Islamic "resis-
tance." At least 300,000 people fled to Beirut, and 128 Lebanese and two
Israelis were killed. The United States deplored the violence but indicated
that it would not intervene in the case of another firestorm. Operation




100 | Kail C. Ellis


Accountability was the first installment of Israeli retaliation that endan-
gered the economic and political stability that Lebanon was making after
Ta'if.
   On 11 April 1996, Israel launched another attack, called "Operation
Grapes of Wrath," in further retaliation against Hizballah activities in the
south. This time the Israelis ordered 400,000 civilians to leave southern
Lebanon and emptied the city of Tyre. For the first time since 1982, the
Israelis attacked Beirut's main electrical transformer substations as a
warning to the Lebanese that unless they restrained Hizballah, Lebanon's
reconstruction-including revenue transfers to Syria-would be in dan-
ger. Because of the alarm at the increased escalation, a cease-fire was ar-
ranged on 26 April and a monitoring group was established, cochaired by
the United States and France, that encouraged Syria and Israel to interact
directly to solve the issues between them. The cease-fire did not preclude
Hizballah from further action against Israeli occupation forces.
   Meanwhile, Lebanon continued to be the main battlefield between
Syria and Israel. In August 1998, fighting between Hizballah and Israeli
forces again produced a dangerous crisis in southern Lebanon. Setting the
tone for future Israeli actions, Israel's minister for internal security,
Avigdor Kahalani, and the head of the Knesset Foreign Affairs and De-
fense Committee, Uzi Landau, called for reprisal raids against Lebanon's
newly built infrastructure every time an Israeli soldier was killed in Leba-
non. This declaration echoed a 1997 proposal by Ariel Sharon that Israel
withdraw unilaterally from southern Lebanon but return in the event of
an attack on Israel to strike at Lebanese installations such as water reser-
voirs and power plants.29 Sharon's threat was viewed as a direct violation
of the April 1996 cease-fire agreement. Tishrin, the official Damascus
daily, said that abrogation of the 1996 understanding would lead to war
between Israel and the combined forces of Lebanon and Syria.30
   On 25 June 1999 Israel launched another operation called "Bank of
Targets" and bombarded Lebanese electrical substations and bridges in its
worst attack since 1996. The attack followed Hizballah rocket attacks
into northern Israel in retaliation for Israeli attacks in southern Lebanon,
resulting in the deaths of civilians on both sides. Bank of Targets was
ordered by the outgoing government of Benjamin Netanyahu and oc-
curred at the moment when developments for the resumption of peace
negotiations seemed promising. Both Israel's prime-minister-elect Ehud
Barak and President Hafiz al-Asad of Syria had made public declarations
of their mutual intentions to reopen the peace negotiations, and Barak had
promised in his electoral campaign to end Israel's occupation of southern




U.S. Policy toward Lebanon | 101


Lebanon by July 2000. The attack was interpreted by Lebanon's speaker
of the Parliament, Nabih Berri, as "aimed at abolishing the 1996 April
understanding and to keep Lebanon crippled by an economic war that
would render it unable to catch up with globalization and embark on
peace."31 Since Barak's spokesperson claimed that Barak was not involved
in the decision to launch Bank of Targets, it was hoped that the attack
would be only a momentary setback to the peace process.
   The optimism generated by Barak's pledge to withdraw Israeli forces
from southern Lebanon by July 2000 faded as Israel's negotiations with
Syria broke down over the extent of its withdrawal from the Golan
Heights. Nor did Israel's decision to play the Lebanon card by withdraw-
ing unilaterally from Lebanon on 24 May 2000 bring peace or stability to
its northern border or to Lebanon. Furthermore, the lack of progress on
the Syrian front was matched by the breakdown of the negotiations with
the Palestinians and the violence of the al-Aqsa intifada (named after Ariel
Sharon's 28 September 2000 visit to the site) against the Israeli occupation
of the West Bank and Gaza. The subsequent defeat of Ehud Barak and the
election of Ariel Sharon in February 2001 as prime minister of Israel left
Lebanon hostage to the vagaries of regional events.

Domestic Organizations and U.S. Policy toward Lebanon

Since the 1970s, domestic organizations in the United States have at-
tempted, with varying degrees of success, to influence U.S. policy toward
Lebanon. These organizations fall into two categories: those that focus on
issues of general concern to the Arab American community and those
founded by Lebanese activists to promote a specific political agenda in
Lebanon. A few of these organizations are registered lobbying groups, but
most exist for charitable, religious, scientific, or literary purposes, in ac-
cordance with guidelines established by the U.S. Internal Revenue Service.
Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code prohibits all but incidental
activity by organizations that enjoy tax-exempt status "to influence legis-
lation," and it categorically prohibits such organizations from participat-
ing "to any extent in a political campaign for or against any candidate for
public office. "32
   The oldest Arab American organization, the National Association of
Arab Americans (NAAA), was founded in 1972 with the stated goals of
strengthening U.S. relations with Arab countries and promoting an even-
handed American policy in the Middle East. The NAAA positioned itself
as the spearhead of the Arab American community's lobbying activities





102 | Kail C. Ellis


with Congress.33 One of its earliest challenges was responding to the 1975
Lebanese civil war and the Palestinian presence in Lebanon. NAAA's at-
tempts to weigh the interests of each of the parties involved, however, led
the nascent organization to be riven with the same factions that divided
the Arab world. In recent years, NAAA has focused on issues that pertain
to U.S.-Arab bilateral relations and the Arab-Israeli conflict, seeking a
"permanent end to the occupation of Palestine, Lebanon, and the Golan
Heights through the achievement of a comprehensive, just and lasting
peace in the region."34
   The American-Arab Anti-Discrimination Committee (ADC), a civil
rights organization, was founded in 1980 by former U.S. senator James
Abourezk. The largest Arab American civil rights group, it was committed
to defending the civil rights of people of Arab descent. Through its Depart-
ment of Legal Services, ADC offered counseling in cases of discrimination
and defamation and selected impact litigation in the area of immigra-
tion.35 Although not a lobbying group, ADC published newsletters, action
alerts, issue papers, and special reports on Middle Eastern issues, includ-
ing Lebanese issues.
   In an attempt to increase their political power and influence, the leaders
of the NAAA and ADC announced on 24 December 1999 that they would
merge their operations. The merger agreement, which took effect on 1
January 2000, was heralded as a "major step in the development of Arab-
American political consciousness and organization."36 The new entity,
NAAA-ADC, combined ADC's tax-exempt subsidiary, ADC Research
Institute, with NAAA. NAAA-ADC will continue the NAAA's work as a
foreign policy lobbying organization as well as ADC's work in defending
civil rights.
   A third broad-based group, the Arab American Institute (AAI), was
founded in 1985 to represent Arab American interests in government and
politics. AAI provides leadership training and strategies in electoral poli-
tics and policy issues that concern Arab Americans. It also conducts re-
search on the Arab American constituency and sponsors forums to pro-
mote consensus positions on pressing domestic and foreign policy issues,
particularly Middle Eastern issues.37 The broad-based groups have had
some success, particularly in promoting issues not opposed by pro-Israeli
groups, such as the withdrawal of all non-Lebanese forces from Lebanon
and the disarming of Hizballah once Israeli troops have withdrawn from
southern Lebanon.
   Several Lebanese-centered domestic organizations share the general
goal of ending the occupation of Lebanon but differ widely in methods,





U.S. Policy toward Lebanon | 103


objectives, and political views. With the exception of the American Task
Force for Lebanon (ATFL), these groups have a narrow partisan focus and
subsequently less influence than broad-based organizations. They include
the World Lebanese Organization (WLO), the United States Committee
for a Free Lebanon (USCFL), Americans for a Free Lebanon, the National
Alliance of Lebanese Americans (NALA), and the Council of Lebanese
American Organizations (CLAO).
   The World Lebanese Organization, which lists as its founders Lebanese
expatriates who belonged to or supported groups such as the Lebanese
Forces, the Lebanese Front, and the South Lebanon Army, stands in direct
opposition to broad-based Arab American groups. Advocating agendas
such as "the liberation of Lebanon from Syrian occupation and Arab-
Islamist domination" and "self-determination for the Christian people of
Lebanon," its members present themselves as "the heirs of Emile Edd6,
Bishop Ignace Mubarak, and Charles Malek [sic],"38 all of whom shared
anti-Arab, pro-Christian sympathies. The WLO is a strong supporter of
the state of Israel, whose founding it regards as a major positive develop-
ment in the Middle East, showing Middle Eastern Christians that they can
achieve a similar state. The WLO is critical of Lebanese Americans of
Christian descent who have "historically been the leaders of the Arab
lobbies in this country," claiming that "these individuals do not represent
the causes of their motherland, [and have] perpetuated the interpretation
(and sometimes even advocated the demands) of the Arabists, both in the
region and in the United States."39
   The WLO has launched media and political campaigns in the United
States to defend the Christians of Lebanon, particularly those in southern
Lebanon. In 1992 it sought to organize Middle East Christians into an
alliance called the Middle East Christian Committee (MEHRIC), which
would advocate "the legitimacy of the Christian cause in the Middle East"
and the opening of "an historical alliance between American and Middle
East Christians and American Jews and Israelis." In 1994, it broadened its
alliance to include Mideastern, American Christian, and Jewish leaders
into a new organization called the Leadership Committee For a Free
Middle East. In 1999, the WLO supported H.R. 2056, the Lebanon Inde-
pendence Restoration Act of 1999. This unsuccessful bill, drafted by New
York congressman Mike Forbes, called for sanctions against Lebanon and
Syria until all Syrian military, intelligence, and security forces and their
proxies and all Palestinian and other terrorist forces have withdrawn from
Lebanon. The bill also contained the provision that only when the govern-
ments of Lebanon and Syria were certified to have been freely elected and





104 | Kail C. Ellis


wholly democratic in nature would the withdrawal of Israeli forces from
Lebanese and Syrian territory ensue.40
   Similar in views to the WLO is the United States Committee for a Free
Lebanon, which claims to be a resource and educational institute dissemi-
nating information on human rights abuses in Lebanon by the "post-Ta'if
Lebanese regime" and its "Syrian controllers" to institutions and policy-
makers in the United States and abroad.41 Its board of directors includes
representatives from national Jewish organizations and from organiza-
tions such as American Academics for Israel's Future and the Christians'
Israel Public Action Campaign (a U.S. Christian organization registered to
lobby Congress on laws and policies related to Israel and to advocate a
strong U.S.-Israel partnership).42
   The Council of Lebanese American Organizations is an association of
organizations whose bedrock issues are the withdrawal of all foreign
forces-especially Syrian forces-from Lebanon and the restoration of a
constitutional government represented by the "legal and legitimate au-
thority" of the exiled prime minister General Michel Aoun.43 CLAO's
goals are shared by Americans for a Free Lebanon, founded in 1997,
which is dedicated to providing "accurate, detailed information to the
American public and international community about the continuing Syr-
ian and Israeli occupation of Lebanon and the tragic impact of this dual
occupation upon the fundamental human rights of the Lebanese
people."44
   On the other hand, the National Alliance of Lebanese Americans, while
opposed to Syria's presence and influence in Lebanon, presents itself as a
humanitarian group that addresses issues on Lebanon within the context
of American national interests.45 It has testified before the House Appro-
priations Subcommittee on Foreign Operations on behalf of aid to the
Lebanese Armed Forces under the Military Education and Training Pro-
gram, and on behalf of U.S. financial support for the American University
of Beirut and the Lebanese American University under the aegis of the
United States Agency for International Development's (USAID) American
Schools and Hospitals Abroad program. NALA has called for U.S. sup-
port for the repair of Lebanon's infrastructure, including electric generat-
ing plants, water purification plants, and telephone and other communi-
cation and transportation facilities, and for humanitarian relief channeled
through such agencies as the International Committee of the Red Cross
and the Catholic Near East Welfare Association.46
   The most effective Lebanese American group is the American Task
Force for Lebanon. ATFL's stated goals are to heighten awareness by the





U.S. Policy toward Lebanon | 105


American public and U.S. government officials and policymakers of the
social, economic, political, cultural, and educational situation in Leba-
non; to promote the national unity, independence, and security of Leba-
non; to encourage greater involvement by the United States in efforts to
promote a peaceful settlement of the problems in Lebanon; and to help
restore the infrastructure of Lebanon's economic, political, educational,
and social institutions.
   In 1996, the ATFL was instrumental in securing passage of H.R. 209,
which called upon the President to formulate U.S. policy within the frame-
work of the American commitment to preserve Lebanon's territorial integ-
rity, unity, sovereignty, and full independence. H.R. 209 also called for the
withdrawal of all non-Lebanese forces from Lebanon without the precon-
dition of a comprehensive peace in the region and for the United States to
negotiate directly with Lebanese officials on issues pertaining to Lebanon.
ATFL efforts also contributed to the decision by Secretary of State
Madeleine Albright to lift restrictions on the use of U.S. passports for
travel to Lebanon (30 July 1997); to the end of the ban on the purchase of
airline tickets to Lebanon in the United States by U.S. citizens (19 June
1998); to the issuance of a new, milder Department of State travel warning
for Lebanon that replaced the word "danger" with the word "risks"; and
to the restoration of Fulbright fellowships for American academics study-
ing in Lebanon (fall 1999).
   Lobbying by domestic groups has produced tangible financial results.
Fifteen million dollars in economic aid to Lebanon was earmarked in the
2000 Foreign Operations Appropriations bill, $4 million of which is to be
used for scholarships and direct support for American educational institu-
tions in Lebanon, the Lebanese American University, the American Uni-
versity of Beirut, and International College.47 There have also been in-
creased commercial contacts between Lebanon and the United States. On
13 November 1998, William M. Daley became the first American com-
merce secretary to visit Beirut. Addressing government and business lead-
ers at the Beirut Forum, Daley announced that, after years of civil war
during which American business abandoned Lebanon, "We can finally say
Lebanon is open for United States industry. We have not forgotten old
friends. We are back."48 Daley promised to urge U.S. companies to invest
in Lebanon, but he admonished against corruption. "When American
companies bid on projects, whether they win or lose," he said, "they ex-
pect the bidding process to be transparent and fair."49 The success of
American investment in Lebanon, however, depends as much on regional
security as on the integrity of the Lebanese business community. During





106 | Kail C. Ellis


Secretary of State Albright's second trip to Lebanon on 4 September 1999,
her Lebanese hosts made the point that the U.S. government must protect
its investors, investments, and projects in Lebanon by restraining Israel
from further attacking Lebanon's infrastructure.50

The American Catholic Church and U.S. Policy toward Lebanon

The National Council of Catholic Bishops (NCCB) is another domestic
organization that has expressed concern over developments in Lebanon
and the status of Christians in the Middle East. The bishops of the two
Maronite dioceses in the United States are NCCB members and have taken
a role in policy making on Middle Eastern issues. In November 1996, the
president of the NCCB, Archbishop Anthony Pilla, wrote to Lebanese
Maronite patriarch Nasrallah Sfeir to express concern over Israel's Grapes
of Wrath bombardment of Lebanon. The archbishop denounced Israeli
attacks on innocent civilians in Lebanon, defended the cause of Lebanon's
sovereignty, and reaffirmed the NCCB's concern that Lebanon be treated
as a full partner in the Middle East peace process. He stated that the
American bishops have continued to press the case of Lebanon with rep-
resentatives of the U.S. government and to make their commitment known
to the American people. "At the same time," Archbishop Pilla continued,
"conference staff intervened with the National Security Council to re-
prove the Administration's seeming indifference to Lebanon's suffering,
and to assert the centrality of Lebanon's Christians to the survival of the
Christian presence in the Middle East."51
   NCCB statements reflect the ongoing concern of the Vatican about
Lebanon's involvement in the Middle East conflict. During the Lebanese
civil war, the Vatican opposed the partition of Lebanon to create a Chris-
tian ministate, much to the dismay of Lebanese Christians, especially
Maronites. Archbishop Jean-Louis Tauran, the Vatican's assistant secre-
tary of state, explained the Vatican's position: "The rallying cry was to
some extent 'Let us save Lebanon to save the Christians' (and not 'Let us
save the Christians to save Lebanon!')."52
   In the view of the Holy See, it is only through national and regional
coexistence that Lebanese believers-including Jews, Christians, and
Muslims-can safeguard the identity of their community. During Pope
John Paul II's visit to Lebanon in May 1997, the pope stated that he
wished "to declare before the world the importance of Lebanon and its
historical mission which has been accomplished down through the centu-
ries. A country of many religious faiths, Lebanon has shown that these





U.S. Policy toward Lebanon | 107


different faiths can live together in peace, brotherhood and coopera-
tion."53 Archbishop Tauran reiterated this position in 1999, stating that
Lebanon was not merely a country but "rather 'a message,' to use an
expression so dear to Pope John Paul II."54

The Future of U.S.-Lebanese Relations

In September 1997, Madeleine Albright became the first secretary of state
to visit Beirut in thirteen years, a visit that signaled a transformation in the
attitude of the United States toward Lebanon (and that had been preceded
by the lifting of restrictions on travel to Lebanon from the United States,
despite opposition within the State Department). Speaking to a group of
Lebanese business leaders, politicians, religious figures, media representa-
tives, and former ambassadors, Secretary Albright repeated President
Clinton's statement that "a stable, independent, and economically vibrant
Lebanon is an important national interest for the United States."55 Secre-
tary Albright's address outlined the issues that will define the future
of U.S.-Lebanese relations. They included continued assistance to the
Lebanese Armed Forces to help it evolve into a disciplined, unified, and
nationally respected military force, international aid for Lebanon's social
reconstruction and economic reform, encouragement of elimination of
restrictions on freedom of the Lebanese press, and the prosecution of indi-
viduals responsible for crimes against Americans during the Lebanese war.
   Secretary Albright observed that the failure to negotiate a comprehen-
sive peace in the region continues to limit Lebanon's rightful sovereignty,
and she reiterated the U.S. view that any lasting settlement between Leba-
non and Israel must include true security for Israel, full sovereignty for
Lebanon over all its territory, and real peace with normal relations. Absent
a lasting peace settlement, the United States will continue to support the
efforts of the Israel-Lebanon Monitoring Group to protect civilian lives
and reduce the incidences of violence.56
   Secretary Albright's statements did not anticipate the December 1999
negotiations between Israeli prime minister Ehud Barak and Syrian for-
eign minister Farouk al-Sharaa on Israeli withdrawal from the Golan
Heights. At the time, it even appeared that Lebanon would be at the nego-
tiating table for the first time since 1993 and that progress could be sought
in Lebanon as a preliminary step toward resolving Lebanon's and Syria's
differences with Israel. Given the lack of progress on that track, Palestin-
ian-Israeli negotiations were to remain the U.S. priority.
   During her 1999 visit, Secretary Albright also made it a point to reiter-





108 | Kail C. Ellis


ate the U.S. commitment to Lebanon's full independence, sovereignty, and
territorial integrity and to the withdrawal of all foreign forces. She stated
that she had come to the Middle East to explore the possibilities for a
comprehensive peace between Israel and its Arab neighbors, and this in-
cluded Lebanon. At a joint press conference held with Prime Minister
Salim al-Hoss, the prime minister raised the issues of Israeli withdrawal
from Lebanon and the legitimate rights of the Palestinians to return to
their homeland, stating that "the Lebanese agree unanimously on reject-
ing Palestinian implantation in Lebanon."57 Secretary Albright, however,
would not affirm his statement, responding that "the refugee issue is a
permanent status issue and one that will be discussed in that context."58
Because prominent Lebanese figures such as the Maronite patriarch and
the National Party leader Dory Chamoun have rejected any regional
settlement that would include permanently settling the Palestinians in
Lebanon,59 Prime Minister al-Hoss was asked if the American position
was clarified during the discussions with Secretary Albright. He replied:
"We are directly concerned with the issue of the Palestinian refugees in
Lebanon, so we cannot really accept saying that the matter will have to be
relegated to the final status talks between Palestinians and Israelis. We
think that Lebanon should be a party to any such talks because it is hosting
such a large number of refugees. "60
   Israeli occupation of southern Lebanon remained the focal point of
Lebanese-Israeli negotiations and, by extension, of U.S. policy. On 1 April
1998, following several months of debate, the Israeli cabinet formally
accepted the 20-year-old UN Security Council Resolution 425 calling for
Israel to withdraw from Lebanese territory. Prime Minister Netanyahu
stated that "The meaning of this decision is that Israel is expressing for-
mally here for the first time, in a detailed and organized fashion, its seri-
ousness and determination to leave Lebanon linked to the required secu-
rity arrangements."61 Israel's conditional acceptance of Resolution 425,
however, was not acceptable to Lebanon, which feared renewed Israeli
incursions should "required security arrangements" prove impossible to
maintain.
   U.S. Secretary of Defense William Cohen agreed with Lebanon that
Resolution 425 is not conditional. However, he also stated that Lebanon
should take the Israeli proposal seriously. Secretary of State Albright con-
curred. According to Albright, it was only by progress in the Arab-Israeli
peace negotiations that Lebanon's full independence, sovereignty, and ter-
ritorial integrity would be promoted.2





U.S. Policy toward Lebanon | 109


   The election of Ehud Barak as Israel's prime minister in early 1999 and
Barak's commitment to withdraw Israeli troops from southern Lebanon
by July 2000 had contradictory effects. While it accelerated hopes for
peace in the region, it also raised fears that the withdrawal would be
linked to the continued Israeli presence on the Golan Heights. When,
through the efforts of the Clinton administration, peace talks between
Israel and Syria resumed in December 1999, after a hiatus of three years,
there was renewed hope that talks would resume between Israel and Leba-
non. On a visit to Beirut on 20 December 1999, Syrian foreign minister al-
Sharaa stated that Syria would not be negotiating with Israel on Lebanon's
behalf, opening the way for Lebanon to negotiate directly with Israel. On
24 December Israel announced that a five-man committee had been ap-
pointed to direct forthcoming peace talks with Lebanon. All of these ef-
forts, however, failed with the breakdown of the Israeli-Syrian negotia-
tions, the death of President Hafez al-Asad, on 9 June 2000, and the
election of Ariel Sharon in February 2001 as Israel's prime minister.

Conclusion

For the foreseeable future, the United States will continue to pursue a
pragmatic policy in Lebanon, grounded in fifty years of regional policy
objectives. While it will continue to call for a Lebanon that is fully inde-
pendent, unified, and sovereign and free of all foreign forces, U.S. policy
will acknowledge Lebanon's close connection to Syria as stated in the
Document of National Reconciliation: "There exist between Lebanon and
Syria distinctive relations which derive their force from the roots of pro-
pinquity, history, and common filial interests. This is the foundation on
which coordination between the two countries shall be based."63
   For Lebanon and its supporters in the United States, the linkage of
Lebanon's involvement in any peace process with Syria and Israel will be
problematic. Before the failure of the Syrian-Israeli peace negotiations, the
United States urged Lebanese officials to negotiate directly with Israel on
issues pertaining to Lebanon. The prospect of Lebanon negotiating inde-
pendently, however, conflicted with Syria's interest that progress on the
Syrian and Lebanese fronts be simultaneous. Each of the two countries has
promised not to make peace without the other and not to compromise on
basic demands for the full withdrawal of Israeli forces from Lebanon and
Syria. If Lebanon is to assert an independent stance, high-level meetings
between U.S. and Lebanese officials will be essential to provide a measure





110 | Kail C. Ellis


of diplomatic cover and support for Lebanese officials, even as the United
States continues to balance Lebanese interests with those of Syria and
Israel.
   An Israeli-Palestinian agreement and an Israeli-Syrian agreement are
essential for stable peace in the region. Lebanon's stake in the agreement is
that it not be required to "implant" hundreds of thousands of Palestin-
ians. Both Palestinians and Lebanese reject naturalization as a solution to
the status of the Palestinian refugees. For Palestinians it would endanger
their claim to the right of return to Israel/Palestine. For Lebanon, it would
compromise its delicate demographic balance. Given that Israel has re-
fused to accept the right of return of the Palestinians and the remoteness of
an Israeli-Palestinian peace agreement, there is a pressing need for a
modus vivendi that will address the economic, social, educational, and
political situation of the Palestinians who remain in Lebanon. Increased
U.S. involvement in the peace process will be necessary to achieve a solu-
tion. More immediately, the United States must provide more incentives
for U.S. companies who commit to doing business with Lebanon. U.S.
investments in reconstruction projects and other humanitarian aid that
directly improve the condition of the Lebanese and the Palestinians will be
the minimum necessary to foster stability and prosperity in Lebanon.


Notes

   1. For a list of eight policy goals in the Middle East, see "U.S. Policy toward the
Middle East: Steering a Steady Course," address by Assistant Secretary of State
Robert H. Pelletreau before the Chautauqua Institution, Chautauqua, New York,
21 August 1996, 2. U.S. Department of State, Dispatch, Bureau of Public Affairs,
7, no. 35 (26 August 1996).
   2. U.S. Department of State, "Statement by President Eisenhower, White House
Press Release dated July 15, 1958," Department of State Bulletin 39 (4 August
1958): 181.
   3. Dwight D. Eisenhower, Waging Peace, 1956-1961 (New York: Doubleday
and Company, 1965), 177.
   4. "Statement by President Eisenhower following the Landing of United States
Marines at Beirut, July 15, 1958," cited in Robert L. Brayon and Lawrence H.
Larsen, The Eisenhower Administration, 1953-1961: A Documentary History,
vol. 2 (New York: Random House, 1971), 725-26.
   5. Fahim I. Qubain, Crisis in Lebanon (Washington, D.C.: Middle East Insti-
tute, 1961), 53-54.
   6. Wilbur Carne Eveland, Ropes of Sand (New York: Norton, 1980), 252.
   7. Eisenhower, Waging Peace, 265.





U.S. Policy toward Lebanon | 111


   8. Irene L. Gendzier, Notes from the Minefield: United States Intervention in
Lebanon and the Middle East, 1945-1958 (New York: Columbia University Press,
1997), 6.
   9. "Global Peace, the Middle East, and the United States," address by Secretary
Henry Kissinger, Department of State Bulletin 73 (6 October 1975), 496.
   10. Henry Kissinger, Years of Renewal (New York: Simon and Schuster, 1999),
1027.
   11. Ibid., 1024.
   12. "Press conference, 14 January 1976," in Department of State Bulletin 74,
no. 1910 (2 February 1976): 132.
   13. Kissinger, Years of Renewal, 1029.
   14. Special Envoy to Lebanon Dean Brown said that the U.S. government had
"made a mistake" in discouraging Syria from sending troops into Beirut in April.
"We reined in the Syrians too much to please the Israelis and it resulted in a lot
more killing," said Brown. See David Binder, "Envoy Says U.S. Erred in Beirut
Policy," New York Times, 27 May 1976, 3.
   15. George Shultz, Turmoil and Triumph (New York: Charles Scribner's Sons,
1993), 43.
   16. Ibid., 85.
   17. Ibid., 22.
   18. Ibid., 44.
   19. Ibid., 62-84.
   20. Michael C. Hudson, From Lebanon to "Irongate": A Review of Recent
American Middle East Policy (Washington, D.C.: Center for Contemporary Arab
Studies, Georgetown University, 1987), 8.
   21. Shultz, Turmoil and Triumph, 109.
   22. Ibid., 225.
   23. Ibid., 226-27.
   24. Elie A. Salem, Violence and Diplomacy in Lebanon: The Troubled Years,
1982-1988 (London: I. B. Tauris Publishers, 1995), 138-42.
   25. Shultz, 227.
   26. William W. Harris, Faces of Lebanon: Sects, Wars, and Global Extensions
(Princeton, N.J.: Markus Wiener Publishers, 1997), 284.
   27. "Lebanon, which is Arab in its belonging and identity, has close filial ties to
all the Arab states. There exist between it and Syria distinctive relations which
derive their force from the roots of propinquity, history, and common filial inter-
ests. This is the foundation on which coordination between the two countries shall
be based" ("The Ta'if Agreement," Beirut Review 1 (Spring 1991): 171).
   28. "Treaty of Brotherhood, Cooperation, and Coordination Concluded be-
tween Lebanon and Syria on May 22, 1991," Beirut Review 1, no. 2 (Fall 1991):
115-19.
   29. Serge Schmemann, "Israel Offers Pullout If Lebanon Bars Raids," New
York Times, 2 April 1998.





112 | Kail C. Ellis


   30. Michael Jensen, "Violence in the South," Middle East International (4
September 1998): 13-14.
   31. Zeina Abu Rizk, "Differences Set Aside as Politicians Unite," Daily Star
(Beirut), 26 June 1999 (http://www.dailystar.com.lb/26_06_99/art5.html).
   32. Internal Revenue Service, "Tax Exempt Status for Your Organization,"
Publication 557, rev. November 1999, cat. no. 46573C, 14 (http://ftp.fedworld.
gov/pub/irs-pdf/p557.pdf).
   33. The National Association of Arab Americans (http://www.cafearabica.
com/organizations/orgnaa.html).
   34. Ibid.
   35. "ADC Mission Statement" (http://www.adc.org/mission.html).
   36. New York Times, 25 December 1999.
   37. "AAI Mission Statement" (http://www.arab-aai.org.aboutaai/index.html).
   38. "WLO Founding" (http://www.wlo-usa.org/founding.html). Emile Edd6
was a Francophone president of Lebanon, known for his anti-Arab sentiments;
Ignatius Mubarak was the Maronite archbishop of Beirut. In 1947 Monsignor
Mubarak presented a memorandum to the United Nations Special Committee on
Palestine in which he declared that "to consider Palestine and Lebanon as parts of
the Arab world would amount to a denial of history." The archbishop also de-
clared that Lebanon as well as Palestine should remain as permanent homes for the
Christian minorities of the Arab world. See Labib Zumiyya Yamak, "Party Politics
in the Lebanese Political System," Politics in Lebanon, ed. Leonard Binder (New
York: John Wiley and Sons, 1966), 151. Archbishop Mubarak's letter was re-
ported in the Beirut daily Al-Diyar on 27 September 1946, with the result that he
was, reportedly, reprimanded for his position by the Maronite patriarch, relieved
of his ecclesiastical duties, and exiled to a monastery. See William W. Haddad,
"Christian Arab Attitudes toward the Arab-Israeli Conflict," Muslim World 67
(April 1977): 130; Laura Zittrain Eisenberg, My Enemy's Enemy: Lebanon in the
Early Zionist Imagination: 1900-1948 (Detroit: Wayne State University Press,
1994), 142-43. Charles Malik was Lebanon's foreign minister during the 1958
crisis, ambassador to the United States, and secretary-general of the United Na-
tions.
   39. Walid Phares, "The Oppression of Middle East Christians: A Forgotten
Tragedy" (http://www.foigm.org/IMG/pharesl.html).
   40. "The Full Test of HR 2056 'Lebanon Independence Restoration Act of
1999' Syria out of Lebanon, U.S. Sanctions until full withdrawal," published by
the World Lebanese Organization (WLO) (http://www.wlo-usa.org/ALPAC/
HR2056_6_15_99.html).
   41. USCFL Board of Directors (http://www.freelebanon.org/board.html).
   42. Ibid.
   43. Council of Lebanese American Organizations, "Membership Criteria and
CLAO Bedrock Issues" (http://www.clao.com/membership.html).
   44. "About AFL" (http://www.aflnet.com/information/).





U.S. Policy toward Lebanon | 113


   45. "NALA as an Organization" (http://www.nala.com/nala/NALAORG.
html).
   46. "Testimony of the National Alliance of Lebanese Americans Submitted to
the House Appropriations Subcommittee on Foreign Operations," 24 April 1997
(http://www.nala.com/Editorial/TEST97.html), and "Testimony of the National
Alliance of Lebanese Americans Submitted to the House Appropriations Subcom-
mittee on Foreign Operations," 31 March 1998 (http://www.nala.com/Editorial/
H033198.html).
   47. 106th Cong., 1st sess., 2000, calendar no. 159, Foreign Operations, Export
Financing, and Related Programs, Appropriations Bill, 2000, S. 1234 and H.R.
2606 (http://thomas.loc.gov/cgi-bin/query/C?c106:./temp/-c1067uHhzG; http://
thomas.loc.gov.cgi-bin/query/D?c196:6:./temp/-c106Mer5j0:e17039): "The Com-
mittee is aware of the vital work being done at the local level by existing AID
programs in Lebanon. It is also aware of the long-term benefits derived from
ongoing support for American institutions of learning in Lebanon such as the
American University of Beirut, the Lebanese American University, and Interna-
tional College. The Committee urges the Administration to provide an increase for
scholarships and other direct support to these institutions through appropriate
funding mechanisms."
   48. "Remarks by U.S. Commerce Secretary William M. Daley to the Beirut Fo-
rum, Beirut, Lebanon, November 13, 1998" (http://www.doc.gov./OPA/Speeches/
beirut.html).
   49. Ibid.
   50. "Secretary of State Madeline K. Albright and Lebanese Prime Minister
Salim al-Hoss, joint press conference, Beirut, Lebanon, 4 September 1999" (http:/
/secretary.state.gov/www/statements/19991990904d.html).
   51. "Anthony M. Pilla, Bishop of Cleveland, President NCCB/USCC, letter of
13 November 1996, to Nasrallah-Peter Sfeir, Patriarch of Antioch and the Whole
East," National Conference of Catholic Bishops, Office of the President (http://
www.eparchyla.org/bishops.html).
   52. Archbishop Tauran, "The Church's Approach to the Middle East," Origins
(CNS documentary service), 28, no. 39 (18 March 1999): 686.
   53. "John Paul II in Lebanon: Going Forward Together on the Path of Peace
and Friendliness," Origins, (CNS documentary service) 27, no. 1 (22 May 1997):
15.
   54. Tauran, "The Church's Approach," 685-86.
   55. Secretary of State Madeleine K. Albright, "Remarks at the Beirut Forum,
Beirut, Lebanon, 15 September 1997," as released by the Office of the Spokesman
in Larnaca, Cyprus, U.S. Department of State (http://secretary.state.gov/www/
statements/970915.html).
   56. Ibid. After Israel's Operation Grapes of Wrath attack in April 1996, a
monitoring group, including the United States, France, Lebanon, Syria, and Israel,
was established to supervise implementation of the agreement and to receive com-





114 | Kail C. Ellis


plaints of violations in south Lebanon. In addition, the withdrawal agreement
called for the establishment of a consultative group, including the United States,
France, the European Union, Russia, and other interested parties, to help Lebanon
in its reconstruction efforts. Lebanon Report 2 (Summer 1996): 9.
   57. "Secretary of State Madeleine K. Albright and Lebanese Prime Minister
Salim al-Hoss, joint press conference, Beirut, Lebanon, 4 September 1999" (http://
secretary.state.gov/www/statements/1999/990904d.html).
   58. Ibid.
   59. Patriarch Sfeir stated in a interview with the Kuwaiti newspaper Al-Rai al-
Am that "We call on the United Nations to solve the refugee issue as quickly as
possible, but not at Lebanon's expense" (The Daily Star on line) (http://www/
dailystar.com.lb/14_08_99/art7.html).
   60. "Secretary of State Madeleine K. Albright and Lebanese Prime Minister
Salim al-Hoss, joint press conference, Beirut, Lebanon, 4 September 1999" (http:/
/secretary.state.gov/www/statements/1999/990904d.html).
   61. Serge Schmemann, "Israel Offers Pullout If Lebanon Bars Raids," New
York Times, 2 April 1998.
   62. "Secretary of State Madeleine K. Albright and Lebanese Prime Minister
Rafiq Al-Hariri, Press Availability Prior to Their Meeting Washington D.C., June
16, 1998," as released by the Office of the Spokesman, United States Department
of State (http://secretary.state.gov/www/statements/1998/980616.html).
   63. "The Ta'if Agreement," Beirut Review 1 (Spring 1991): 171.







Part II


Religion, Culture, and Gender









5


Muslim-Christian Relations in Lebanon

A Christian Perspective

   Paul Nabil Sayah






Muslims and Christians have lived together in Lebanon since the begin-
ning of Islam, often sharing the same villages and honoring each other's
religious festivities. Their coexistence has been marked by cooperation as
well as by conflict, by trust as well as by suspicion. To a greater degree
than in neighboring countries, Christians and Muslims in Lebanon have
shared a mutual sense of freedom, prosperity, and security.
   Since Lebanon first became a republic in the 1920s, the ability of Leba-
nese to act as citizens rather than as members of a particular religious
confession has been a fundamental issue of Lebanese democracy, an issue
reflected in Lebanon's confessional system of government. Muslim-Chris-
tian relations continue to have a major influence on the country's culture,
politics, and economic development.
   The weakness of Lebanon's confessional system of government, which
divides political and administrative responsibilities among Lebanon's reli-
gious communities, is that it has encouraged in its citizens the sense of
belonging to a particular community rather than to the country at large.
Its strength is that it has prevented the total subordination of the minority
to the majority that can occur in a pluralistic society, as Jean-Pierre
Valognes affirms: "If political confessionalism does deprive some commu-
nities of access to positions that they could democratically reach, it allows
them all to live in a free and pluralistic system which exists nowhere in the
area. And unfortunately one finds nowhere an example which could reas-
sure the Lebanese Christians in case they are ruled by a Muslim head of
state."1





118 | Paul Nabil Sayah


   In the broadest sense, Christians in Lebanon have traditionally identi-
fied themselves as "Lebanese" and Muslims as "Arabs," but both groups
have striven to set aside these differences in order to forge a mutual na-
tional identity. In the 1989 Ta'if Agreement, which marked the end of
fifteen years of civil war and set the stage for Lebanon's Second Republic,
the Muslims renounced unity with Syria in exchange for the Christian
concession that "the Lebanese agreed ... to commit themselves to Leba-
non as the definitive country for all its people, in its internationally rec-
ognized borders, with its Arab identity and membership of the Arab
League. "2
   This chapter analyzes the past, present, and future of Muslim-Christian
relations in Lebanon from the point of view of a Christian striving for
peaceful coexistence with Muslim fellow citizens and neighbors.

Relationships among Lebanon's Religious Communities

Lebanon recognizes eighteen official religious communities. Primary among
these are two Muslim communities, the Sunni and the Shi'a; two Christian
communities, the Maronite and the Orthodox; and the Druzes, a heterodox
community with Egyptian roots.
   Relations within and among these communities are intricate. In Islam,
there is no clear distinction between din wa dawlat (religion and state). In
Christianity, though, the two are not synonymous, with the result that in
Lebanon there is confusion between the Church as a spiritual entity and
the religious community as a political reality. The Orthodox differ from
the Maronites in their relations with the Sunnis, and the Maronites differ
from the Orthodox in their dealing with the Druzes and Shi'a. The Muslim
communities themselves have different political agendas and inclinations,
agendas that are open to change.
   On the interaction between the Maronites and the two Muslim com-
munities, Georges Corm wrote, "If the Maronite culture is auto-centered,
rooted in the Lebanese mountain, with a long history of openness and
friendly relations with the West, this is not the case for the Shi'a or Sunni
cultures; the latter is basically motivated by its relations with the great
centers of Islamic religious culture in Cairo or Damascus for the Sunni,
and in Iran or Iraq for the Shi'a. However there has been recently a greater
openness to the West, peaceful at times and problematic at other times."3





                                  Muslim-Christian Relations in Lebanon | 119

The Sunni

The Sunni traditionally are an urban community and had more exposure
to Orthodox Christians than to Maronites prior to Lebanese indepen-
dence. Although the Sunni agreed to renounce external attachments and
enter into power sharing with the Maronites as part of the National Pact
of 1943, which granted the position of Lebanese prime minister to a
Sunni, they have repeatedly been drawn to alliances with other groups.
Sunni allegiance to Egypt's Gamal Abdel Nasser and Arab nationalism in
the 1950s was a factor in the 1958 Lebanese civil war. In 1969, the Sunni
openly declared themselves on the side of the Palestinians, and the Sunni
prime minister opposed the deployment of the Lebanese army to deal with
the PLO. During the civil war that began in 1975, the Sunnis created an
alliance with Islamic-progressive forces, in the hope of making the PLO
the army that would fight their battle for the domination of Lebanese
politics over the Maronites, whose numbers and influence were in decline.
   The Sunni political establishment has continually reassessed the Leba-
nese political situation, shifting its allegiances when necessary. In the
words of Valognes: "Hence a hesitant march watching the evolution of the
war. In 1982 when the Israeli intervention appeared, for a little while, to
give an advantage to the Maronites, the Sunnis voted for Bashir Gemayel
in the presidential elections, and when he was assassinated they backed his
brother Amin and then cooperated with him for a few months after his
election. "4
   The Sunni public, however, responded readily to Arab-Islamicist ap-
peals, including calls for the implementation of Muslim Sharia law in
Lebanon. In this they were supported by some of their religious leaders.
Other Sunni religious leaders, including the mufti of the republic, Hassan
Khaled, denounced such extremism. Khaled established rapprochement
with the Maronite patriarch, a decision that sadly led to Khaled's 1986
assassination. In response, the patriarch opened a book of condolences for
the mufti at his residence in Bkerke, which was signed by many people
unable to pay their respects to the mufti in West Beirut because of travel
restrictions imposed by the war.
   Because the Sunni relied mainly on the PLO in their military battles
with the Christians, their own military force was quickly neutralized by
the Druzes and Shi'a (with Syrian approval), after the PLO left Beirut in
1982. At this point, Sunni support for a new national pact with the
Maronites increased, and with this support the Ta'if Agreement became a




120 | Paul Nabil Sayah


reality. There is still much work to be done, however, before the principles
set forth by Ta'if are widely accepted by the Sunni public.

The Shi'a

The Shi'a are traditionally a rural community that has lived side by side
with Christians in many parts of Lebanon, continuing to do so throughout
the civil war. Their interactions with Christians, however, have been lim-
ited. Shi'a wealth is concentrated in the hands of a few powerful feudal
families, and the majority of Shi'a are economically underprivileged, a
situation compounded by their high rate of demographic growth. The
Shi'a are not Arab nationalists but rather allies of Iran and its brand of
Islamic fundamentalism. They did not favor the establishment of Greater
Lebanon in the 1920s but found it preferable to a Sunni-dominated state.
(The National Pact of 1943 granted the Shi'a the presidency of the Leba-
nese Parliament, putting them in a subordinate position to the Sunni.)
   In December 1967, the Lebanese Parliament voted to establish the "Su-
preme Islamic Shi'a Council," whose mission was to look after the inter-
ests of the community and to establish a distinctive Shi'a identity. This
coincided with increased migration of Shica to urban areas, particularly
the southern suburbs of Beirut. Urban migration, however, did not result
in economic improvement for the Shica.
   A new Shica leader, Sayyed Musa al-Sadr, emerged in the 1960s but
disappeared in 1978 and is presumed dead. The Amal movement tried to
continue his work. Shica fundamentalism, however, came to be associated
with Hizballah under the leadership of Sayyed Mohammad Hussein
Fadlallah. Fadlallah openly asserts that he intends to make Lebanon an
Islamic state in which minority nonbelievers will have three options: adopt
Islam; pay jiziah (the poll tax) while "utterly subdued"; or face war.5 Shica
fundamentalism in Lebanon has been nourished by the indifference of its
own leaders to Shica poverty, as well as by the support of Iran.
   There are many moderates in the Shica community, however, and the
Supreme Islamic Shica Council has an agenda opposed to that of Hizballah.
Its representative, Dr. Seoud al-Mawla, states, "We wish to have a pact
which would organize the co-existence of Muslims and Christians in Leba-
non, creating a unified society respecting the diversity of its citizens, based
on mutual respect, equality and justice for all. . . . The basis for true and
sound co-living is knowledge and freedom. True knowledge of the others
(as they wish to be known) is a prelude for the respect of their rights and
especially the right to be different."6





                                  Muslim-Christian Relations in Lebanon | 121

   Shi'a support for the abolition of the Lebanese confessional system,
however, paves the way for the dominance of a Muslim majority. The Shi'a
are increasingly influential in Lebanon. After the departure of the PLO
from Beirut in 1982, the Shi'a gained control of the western part of the
city. Encouraged not only by Iran but also by Syria, the Shi'a increased
their resistance against Israel in southern Lebanon.

The Druzes

The Druzes have lived in the mountain regions of Lebanon since fleeing
Egypt in the tenth century. Although the Ottomans considered the Druzes
to be Muslims, "the Druze faith is syncretistic . . . it has some basis in
Greek philosophy and Hinduism, both foreign to Islam."7 The Druzes
closely guard the rituals of their faith, whose details are revealed only to
those initiated within the community.
   The Druzes were traditionally aligned with the Maronites, with whom
they shared mountain life, a religion looked on with suspicion by Islam,
and a strong feudal tradition. The Druzes and Maronites worked coopera-
tively under the millet rule established by the Ottoman Turks in the six-
teenth century, and by the eighteenth century the Druze emirate had offi-
cially converted to Christianity in the Maronite confession. This alliance,
however, was shattered by the bloody Maronite-Druze civil wars of 1845-
60. The Maronites found it hard to forget massacres at the hands of the
Druzes, and the Druzes never forgave the French and other Europeans for
their intervention in favor of the Maronites.
   In the 1950s, the Druzes joined the wave of Arab nationalism that was
sweeping Lebanon along with the rest of the Middle East. The Druze
leader, Kamal Jumblat, became a strong opponent of the Maronites. Dur-
ing the 1975-90 civil war, the Druzes shifted allegiances several times. At
first they maneuvered between the Palestinians, whom they supported in
the name of progressive Arab nationalism, and the Syrians; their troubled
alliance with the Syrians led to the 1977 assassination of Jumblat. After
the assassination, the Druzes tried to reestablish good relations with the
Maronites in the Shouf mountains. In 1982, they made an arrangement
with the invading Israeli forces. When the Israelis withdrew, however,
Maronite-Druze animosities erupted in some of the worst massacres of the
war, and Druzes expelled Christians from the Shouf.
   Recently, the Druzes allied themselves with the Maronite Chamoun
family in the Shouf municipal elections, which could be read as a sign of
future Druze-Maronite cooperation. Druze relations with the Palestinians





122 | Paul Nabil Sayah


and the Sunnis are in decline. Whether the progressive Druzes can manage
an alliance with the religious fundamentalist Shi'a, as well as a future
relationship with Syria, remains unclear.

The Maronites

The largest Christian community in Lebanon is that of the mountain-
dwelling Maronites, named for a legendary fifth-century ascetic monk.
The Maronites have drawn strength from their Christian traditions and
their strong ties, dating to the Crusades, with the Vatican, France, and
other European powers. The Maronite emphasis on education and free-
dom has been a source of Maronite political and cultural power. (The
National Pact of 1943 granted the presidency of Lebanon to the
Maronites.) Maronites also contributed greatly to the culture of the Arab
Renaissance, despite their preference for a Lebanese identity rather than
Arab.
   Maronite alliances with Zionists and Israel, fostered by the pro-West-
ern outsider status of both groups, date to the 1920s. These alliances were
strengthened by the mutual opposition of Israel and the Maronites to the
Palestinians during the 1975-90 Lebanese civil war. The Maronites, how-
ever, realize the pitfalls of their relationship with the Israelis; even pro-
Israeli Lebanese president Bashir Gemayel was aware that a full alliance
with Israel could render national reconciliation impossible.
   Early in their struggle with the Palestinians, the Maronites looked to
Syria for support. When they realized that Syrian occupation of Lebanon
compromised the sovereignty and independence of their country, however,
the Maronites turned against Syria.
   In the midst of sectarian struggles, the Maronite Church has continued
to call for the safeguarding of Lebanese freedom, independence, democ-
racy, human rights, and territorial integrity. The Maronite patriarch has
remained open to dialogue with the Muslims, sometimes against the
wishes of Maronite political leaders.

The Orthodox

The second largest Christian community in Lebanon, the Orthodox, has
been a predominantly urban community since the days of the Byzantine
Empire, living side by side with Muslims in Tripoli and Beirut and making
its living in commerce and finance. There is also an Orthodox presence in




                                  Muslim-Christian Relations in Lebanon | 123

rural areas, particularly Mount Lebanon, where Orthodox have lived in
the same villages as Druzes and Maronites.
   Unlike the Maronites, the Orthodox have traditionally favored Arab
nationalism and a policy of Christian integration into the Arab world. The
Orthodox have strong ties with Syria; many are members of the Syrian
National Social Party, founded by the Orthodox Antoun Saade. (The
founder of the Syrian Ba'th Party, Michael Aflak, was also an Orthodox
Christian.) The Orthodox patriarchate is based in Damascus, and Syria
may make use of this to counteract the influence of Christian religious
leaders in Lebanon.
   The Orthodox political elite, however, has been very much part of the
Lebanese political establishment, serving in key positions in various gov-
ernments. Orthodox politicians such as Charles Malik have played signifi-
cant roles locally and internationally. The first president of Lebanon in
1926 was an Orthodox Christian, and since the signing of the National
Pact of 1943, the deputy prime minister has usually been Orthodox.
   During the civil war of 1975-90, the Orthodox did not enter the armed
conflict as a community, although some individual Orthodox engaged in
the struggle on the side of the Palestinian forces or as members of leftist
political parties. The Orthodox political elite has inclined toward political
conservatism, however, and the Orthodox Church has continued to pro-
mote Christian-Muslim entente.
   Despite its moderate stance, the Orthodox community suffered equally
with Maronites during the civil war, as no distinction was made between
one Christian and another in West Beirut or in the Shouf mountains. This
experience has led some Orthodox intellectuals to reverse their stance on
Arab nationalism, as continuing Muslim-Christian conflict casts doubts
on the peaceful integration of Christians into a Muslim-dominated state.

The Future of Muslim-Christian Relations

An examination of some recent documents issued by various Christian
gatherings or official councils demonstrates the nuances of how Christians
see the future. The most significant among the documents are the three
pastoral letters issued by the Catholic Patriarchs of the Orient;8 the Post
Synodal Apostolic Exhortation (PSAE);9 the pastoral letter issued by the
Heads of Churches in the Middle East;10 and the memorandum handed to
the prime minister of Lebanon by the Maronite patriarch during his visit
on 6 March 1998, titled "The Truth about the Crisis.""





124 | Paul Nabil Sayah


Christian Self-Perception

Christians are called upon to become conscious of their identity and to be
guided not by their own private interests but by authentic Christian prin-
ciples. The Catholic patriarchs, in their Easter 1992 pastoral letter, stated:
"Our Christian presence in this part of the world does not intend to be
only for ourselves, because Christ did not institute the Church to serve its
own children only, but to serve others as well and be a witness to all."12
The same principle was stated in the Post Synodal Apostolic Exhorta-
tion.13 Christians perceive themselves not only as an integral part of the
area but also as important contributors to its cultural development. The
Orthodox patriarch of Antioch, Ignatius IV Hazim, went so far as to say
that "the Christians in this part of the world are the hosts of the Muslims"
because Christians were here for centuries before the Muslims arrived.
Christians and Muslims have worked together since the early days of Is-
lam to build a common Arab culture. In the nineteenth century, Chris-
tians, the Maronites in particular, played a fundamental role in the Arab
Renaissance. This role was underlined by the Catholic patriarchs in their
1992 pastoral letter: "We Muslims and Christians share in a unique heri-
tage in a civilization that we have both enriched by bringing to it our own
contributions. The Arab Christians are an integral part of the cultural
identity of Muslims just as Muslims are an integral part of the cultural
identity of Christians. We are responsible for each other before God and
humanity."14

Unity in Diversity

Despite common cultural factors, Christians are conscious of their own
identity and are very eager to preserve it and be able to develop it freely. A
future environment must take into consideration their aspirations to live
and develop freely according to their beliefs and traditions. Developing
one's own identity means bringing in whatever is unique in each commu-
nity to add to the total heritage enjoyed by all. This was affirmed by the
Catholic patriarchs in their statement: "Muslims and Christians together
we can enrich each other and each country of the region. . . . If we are
divided our countries will be all the poorer."15
   In order to be able to enrich each other, it is very important that each
community be able to be itself, accepted as different, and known by the
other as it wishes to be understood. The Post Synodal Apostolic Exhorta-





                                  Muslim-Christian Relations in Lebanon | 125

tion stated: "When the Lebanese learn to know each other and fully accept
their diversity, then they will have realized the necessary condition for a
true dialogue and the respect of persons as well as families and religious
communities."16

Freedom, Equality, and Justice for All

Christians feel that, unless freedom of conscience and belief are secure, the
very existence of Lebanon will be threatened. This is a basic condition to
secure human dignity and basic human rights. The Post Synodal Apostolic
Exhortation is very clear on this point: "No one ought to be subjected to
coercion by individuals, groups or social authorities, nor should anyone
be alienated from social life because of his/her opinions or prevented from
practicing religious beliefs or voicing what his/her conscience dictates."17
   Christians look forward to a society in which all citizens are equal
before the law and able to exercise their full rights and assume their re-
sponsibilities. Whenever people, and especially the younger generations,
are deprived of their rights and are not allowed to assume their individual
or social responsibilities, they are liable to develop a feeling of alienation
and lose their sense of belonging. Moreover, experiences of injustice and
deprivation of basic rights can often lead to mistrust, withdrawal, or vio-
lent behavior. It is understood that the way of life the Christians are seek-
ing to establish is not for themselves only, but for all Lebanese citizens.18

Obstacles to Peaceful Christian-Muslim Coexistence

There are a number of obstacles to peaceful Christian-Muslim coexistence
in Lebanon. Chief among these are the continuing presence of Syrian and
Israeli troops, Palestinian refugees, and illegal Syrian workers; the unre-
solved displacement of Lebanese citizens, including many Christians, by
the civil war; and the precarious position of Christians in Lebanese politi-
cal life since the signing of the Ta'if Agreement.

The Foreign Presence in Lebanon

In order to secure freedom and independence for Lebanon, all foreign
troops must withdraw in accordance with UN resolutions 425 and 520.19
The Israeli invasion of southern Lebanon caused considerable suffering
and hardship, and the 26-year presence of more than 40,000 Syrian troops





126 | Paul Nabil Sayah


has neither prevented repeated Israeli invasions nor helped Lebanon to
manage its own affairs. On the contrary, the Syrians have made Lebanon
totally dependent on their military presence.20
   The Maronite patriarch and bishops have repeatedly called for Syrian
withdrawal from Lebanon on the grounds that Syrian occupation threat-
ens Lebanese democracy and the fair and peaceful coexistence of Leba-
non's religious communities. "When will we put an end," they ask, "to the
reliance of the Lebanese government on foreign support which is used by
one faction to gain the upper hand over the other (i.e., mainly on the
Christians)? Why are the relations with Syria not established upon the
principle of fidelity to our country and the equal safeguard of the interests
of both Lebanon and Syria?"21
   There are one million illegal Syrian workers in Lebanon, whose cheap
labor compromises the Lebanese economy and amounts to an economic
invasion, costing Lebanon millions of dollars a day in foreign currency.
The presence of 400,000 Palestinian refugees in Lebanon also compro-
mises Lebanon's economy and security. When other foreign workers are
added to these figures, it becomes clear that Lebanon's 3.5 million citizens
are living in the shadow of 2.5 million foreigners.

Displacement of Lebanese Citizens by the Civil War

Eighty percent of the Lebanese citizens displaced by the war were Chris-
tian, but only 20 percent of these have been able to return to their homes.
Government assistance to Christians was under 30 percent of the total
assistance distributed, and some assistance went to citizens who did not
qualify as displaced. The government admitted that justice had not been
done. Fifteen percent of the assistance money was simply wasted, and a
disproportionate amount went to people that the Solidaire Company
needed to evacuate from downtown Beirut.
   The Catholic Church has attempted to remedy the situation by giving,
through Caritas Liban, about $12 million in U.S. dollars for reconstruc-
tion and rehabilitation projects.22 It has been aided in this effort by the
Middle East Council of Churches. Neither organization bases its assis-
tance on religious affiliation.
   No real reconciliation between Christians and Muslims can take place
as long as displaced persons feel cheated out of their right to return to their
homes. If the displaced Christians do not return, religious segregation will
become a fact of Lebanese life, undoing a centuries-old tradition of side-
by-side coexistence.





                                  Muslim-Christian Relations in Lebanon | 127

Christians in Lebanese Political Life after Ta'if

Many Christians feel that the Ta'if Agreement has been violated by a gov-
ernment that gives political precedence to Lebanese Muslims.23 The
Maronite patriarch and bishops made these feelings plain in a memoran-
dum to Prime Minister Rafik al-Hariri: "National reconciliation could be
realized through the implementation of the Ta'if Agreement both in its
letter and spirit. Otherwise there is a risk that the attempt at national
reconciliation could degenerate into an entente among those in govern-
ment to serve their own individual interests, with the backing of foreign
forces, more eager still to serve their own interests. National reconciliation
can be brought about only through an agreement on the common values
of freedom, democracy and independence ... and an equitable sharing in
government between Muslims and Christians."24
   In the 1992 elections, the majority of Lebanese (87 percent) did not
vote. The Christians called for a boycott of the elections because they felt
that their candidates were disadvantaged by "a selective method. . . em-
ployed with the aim of influencing election results in favor of some politi-
cians or communities over others."25 In the wake of the elections, the
country was divided into electoral constituencies of unequal sizes, a grave
violation of the Ta'if Agreement. In the 1996 elections, Christians were
once again discriminated against.26 This was confirmed by the Constitu-
tional Council, which judged the electoral law, as applied, to be unconsti-
tutional.27 The Christians, particularly the Maronites, felt that they were
being alienated from public life, with administrative posts being allocated
on the basis of political allegiance to the current government. This gener-
ated a feeling of injustice, lack of trust in the government, and lack of
confidence in the future.28
   Lebanon's demographic balance has also shifted since the civil war.
Increased emigration rates for Christians and the grant of nationality to
Muslim immigrants have resulted in a Muslim majority. This imbalance
will become more profound if the 400,000 Palestinians refugees, 90 per-
cent of whom are Muslim, become de facto Lebanese citizens. Christian
resentment has been provoked by the fact that some recently naturalized
Muslim families were registered to vote in the Maronite villages of Matn
and Kesrowan, where they have neither homes nor property, at the same
time that displaced Christians have been unable to return to their homes.29
   When the Christian Party of the Lebanese Forces was dissolved and its
leader imprisoned because of his alleged role in the bombing of a church
(a charge of which he was acquitted), some government officials acknowl-





128 | Paul Nabil Sayah


edged that his prosecution was politically motivated. At the same time,
other leaders who participated in the war were given ministerial posts in
the government. Christians who lived in the former Israeli security zone in
southern Lebanon felt abandoned by the government and lived in constant
fear and under great pressure to emigrate.30
   Despite their fears that Lebanon is losing an important part of its na-
tional character, the majority of Christians feel that they must face their
difficulties with hope and determination. "Hope urges them," as stated in
the Post Synodal Apostolic Exhortation, "to assume their responsibilities,
without hesitation, in Spirit and Truth, trusting in God and in their fellow
citizens, in order to make their social and national life increasingly more
just and friendly."" This same attitude is recommended by the Catholic
patriarchs in their 1991 pastoral letter: "The difficult circumstances we
are facing should not make us run away, withdraw or melt into the larger
environment, but rather go back to the roots of our faith where we will
find new strength and greater self confidence. "32

The Role of Christian-Muslim Dialogue in Promoting Peace

Christian-Muslim dialogue is essential to removing the obstacles to peace
in Lebanon. True dialogue means an attitude of willingness to advance
together. True dialogue fosters reconciliation, mutual trust, and respect
for each other's identity and differences. Dialogue presupposes a practice
of active listening and honest expression of ideas and feelings, along with
a sincere willingness to know the other and to understand how the other's
thought and behavior have been shaped by experiences and environment.
Finally, dialogue presupposes an openness to meet the other at the deepest
possible level in order to discover truth and good.33
   Christians and Muslims must establish a positive and receptive attitude
in their dealings with one another. "Christians face many problems to-
day," wrote the Heads of Churches in the Middle East in their January
1998 pastoral letter, "but they are not alone in being aware of problems
and the things which stimulate fear. Many Muslims also see that what
causes Christians anxiety should be a concern for all citizens in society."34
   Muslim and Druze delegates at the Synod for Lebanon stated repeat-
edly that Lebanon needs the cooperation of all its sons and daughters in
order to build its own identity. "No religious group can survive unless it is
accepted and recognized by the others. If it is put in an insecure position,
it will find it very difficult to share in the life of the nation."35 Many
Lebanese Muslims share the belief that the Christian presence in their





                                  Muslim-Christian Relations in Lebanon | 129

country has given it a special character. In 1986, Moshen Slim, a promi-
nent Muslim attorney in Beirut, wrote the following to Pope John Paul II:
"If the Christians of Lebanon were to leave the country permanently, or
submit to the law of numbers, Lebanon would not be itself any longer; it
would become like any other Arab or Muslim country of the region and
would then lose its raison d'etre."36
   The unity of Lebanon and the rebuilding of good relations among its
citizens remains the responsibility of all. In 1994, the Catholic patriarchs
called for Muslim support in this effort. "Muslims," they wrote, "bear a
heavy responsibility in this matter. They are all called upon to make the
Christians feel secure, which means making them feel an integral part of
society, full members with equal rights and duties."37 Without Muslim
acknowledgment and respect for Christian rights, the patriarchs contin-
ued, Lebanon cannot be a free republic: "Any national project which does
not take into consideration the pluralistic character of the society, or is
unable to deal with this plurality in a positive way is doomed to failure."38

Conclusion

What will relations among the Muslim and Christian communities of
Lebanon be like in the twenty-first century? A hopeful note was sounded
by a 1997 study of 17- and 18-year-old Christians and Muslims in Beirut,
conducted by the Institute for Educational Development. Over 85 percent
of the young people surveyed said that they would like to make friends
with Lebanese of the other religion. Despite the conflict, violence, and
hatred fostered by the years of civil war, it seems that Christians and
Muslims in Lebanon remain open to dialogue and the possibility of peace-
ful coexistence in a free republic.
   Much has been said and written recently about the renewed eagerness
to bring Lebanon back to its special vocation, a privileged space of Chris-
tian-Muslim encounter-in the words of the pope, not merely a country
but a message for the world. The Islamic-Christian Committee for Na-
tional Dialogue reiterated this vocation in its Unified Working Paper:

   Lebanon, as a state and an entity, is based on a formula of coexist-
   ence. This is a formula of human entente which unites around it the
   Lebanese in their various spiritual families. It was expressed in the
   National Pact (1943) and the Document of National Entente (1989),
   and embodied in the Constitution of the Lebanese Republic (1990)
   which states in its Preamble that "there is no legitimacy for any





130 | Paul Nabil Sayah


   authority that contradicts the Charter of coexistence." This charter
   provides scope for all citizens to fulfill themselves completely, in
   authentic diversity and harmonious integration with each other, in
   the framework of a unified state based on law.39

   Written agreements, no matter how valid, cannot automatically change
deep-seated memories, attitudes, and suspicions. In the new century, all
Lebanese must recognize that peaceful coexistence is not a finite commod-
ity but an ongoing process. The willingness to engage in this process will
determine whether Lebanon can ensure justice, equality, and freedom for
all its citizens. If the Lebanese want to preserve the uniqueness of Lebanon
and continue its development as stated in its constitution, both Christians
and Muslims must focus on the country as a whole rather than on their
individual communities.


Notes

   1. Jean-Pierre Valognes, Vie et mort des Chritiens d'Orient, des origines a nos
jours (Paris: Fayard, 1994), 655.
   2. Islamic-Christian Committee for National Dialogue, "A Working Paper,"
n. 1.
   3. Georges Corm, Gedpolitique du con flit Libanais (Paris: La Decouverte,
1986), 68, quoted by Valognes, Vie et mort, 673.
   4. Valognes, Vie et mort, 675.
   5. Mohammad Hussein Fadlallah, "Islamic Reflections on Minority Status,"
Al-Muntalak, nos. 81-82 (July 1991): 10.
   6. Seoud al-Mawla, "Christian Muslim Dialogue and the New World Order,"
An-Nahar, 12 August 1994.
   7. Georges Kodr, "Le Liban religieux," Proche Orient 5 (1994).
   8. The three pastoral letters are "The Message of the Catholic Patriarchs of the
Orient," Easter 1991; "The Christian Presence in the Orient, Mission and Wit-
ness," Easter 1992; and "Together before God for the Good of the Person and
Society," Easter 1994.
   9. "New Hope for Lebanon," Post Synodal Apostolic Exhortation (PSAE),
n. 92. This is a document of about 200 pages (in its Arabic edition) issued on 10
May 1997, on the occasion of the pope's visit to Lebanon. It is the final document
resulting from the Special Synod for Lebanon.
   10. This is a short pastoral letter (two-and-a-half pages), issued by nineteen
heads of churches from all four Christian families: Eastern Orthodox, Oriental
Orthodox, Evangelical, and the Roman Catholic Church. All the churches are
members of the Middle East Council of Churches, and their statement was issued





                                     Muslim-Christian Relations in Lebanon | 131

at the end of a meeting held in Cyprus on 24 January 1998, upon the convocation
of the Middle East Council of Churches.
   11. "The Truth about the Crisis," n. 6. This is a 12-page memorandum in
Arabic, handed to the prime minister, Mr. Rafik al-Hariri, on the occasion of his
meeting with the Maronite patriarch and some bishops on 6 March 1998. In it is
stated the opinion of the Maronite Church on the performance of Mr. Hariri's
government in general terms and more specifically in the economic, social, admin-
istrative, and political spheres.
   12. "The Christian Presence in the Orient, Mission and Witness," n. 92.
   13. PSAE, n. 45.
   14. "The Christian Presence in the Orient, Mission and Witness," n. 92.
   15. "Together before God for the Good of the Person and Society," n. 14.
   16. PSAE, n. 92.
   17. Ibid., n. 116.
   18. Ibid., nn. 96 and 115.
   19. In 1978, after the Israeli invasion of parts of Lebanon, the United Nations
Security Council issued Resolution 425 calling on Israel to withdraw from areas
occupied in Lebanon. Israel withdrew partially to what has come to be called the
security zone. After the 1982 Israeli invasion, the Security Council issued, in 1982,
Resolution 520 calling on all foreign forces to withdraw from Lebanon. Israeli
forces withdrew up to the security zone, but Syrian forces gradually reoccupied the
areas they had evacuated under pressure from the invading Israeli army.
   20. Archbishop Yousef Bechara, "What the Christians Require from the Civil
Society," An-Nahar Supplement, 7 March 1998.
   21. "The Truth about the Crisis," n. 6.
   22. Report of Caritas Liban, 12 March 1998.
   23. The Ta'if Agreement is a new national pact signed by the Lebanese deputies
in Ta'if, Saudi Arabia, in October 1989. It adopts the basic principles of the 1943
version, including a clear statement that Lebanon is a country explicitly for all its
citizens. It also places in the hands of the government some of the executive powers
that had hitherto belonged to the president of the republic.
   24. "The Truth about the Crisis," n. 6.
   25. For a thorough study of the Lebanese elections of 1992, see Farid Khazen,
Lebanon's First Postwar Parliamentary Election, 1992: An Imposed Choice (Ox-
ford: Center for Lebanese Studies, February 1998). On the 1996 parliamentary
elections, see Farid Khazen, "The 1996 Elections: The Extension of Imbalance," in
The 1996 Parliamentary Elections and the Crisis of Democracy in Lebanon, 269-
306, unpublished paper.
   26. "The Truth about the Crisis," n. 6.
   27. "Ruling of the Constitutional Council," An-Nahar, 9 August 1996.
   28. Ibid., n. 5.
   29. "The Truth about the Crisis," n. 6.
   30. Ibid.





132 I Paul Nabil Sayah

   31. PSAE, n. 32.
   32. "The Message of the Catholic Patriarchs of the Orient," Easter 1992,
quoted in PSAE, n. 33.
   33. PSAE, n. 36.
   34. Pastoral letter issued by nineteen leaders of churches from all four Christian
families, Cyprus, 24 January 1998. See note 10.
   35. PSAE, n. 12.
   36. Quoted in Valognes, Vie et mort, 674.
   37. "Together before God for the Good of the Person and Society," n. 15.
   38. Ibid., n. 25.
   39. Islamic-Christian Committee for National Dialogue, "A Working Paper,"
n. 3.








6


Religion and Politics

The Case of Lebanon

   Mohammad Sammak





The relationship between religion and politics can be defined in many
different ways and embraces two mutually contradictory ideas. The first is
that there is a strict divide between a person's religious convictions and his
or her political actions. The second is that there is a strong connection
between a person's religious convictions and political actions, that is, that
religion is a force that unites daily life with a global moral order. The
second idea has been reinforced by the globalization of economics and
technology, not merely as a result of impersonal market forces but as a
result of a vast social transformation. Cultural relativism, the notion that
morality is specific to individual cultures, is now widely reviled.
   A third idea of religious-political conviction, however, rejects the claim
of universality of moral values as a continuation of Western dominance, a
form of colonialism that attempts to impose Judeo-Christian and Enlight-
enment principles on the non-Western world. It would be oversimplifying
a delicate issue to say that this view is held only in the Islamic Middle East.
Even in secularized Europe, as Bosnia, Kosovo, and Northern Ireland
demonstrate, questions of political dominance and religion are entwined.
In the Islamic world, however, a revolt against decay and humiliation has
led to a return to Muslim roots.
   Only time will determine the depth of this Islamic revolt and revival. It
may prove to be superficial, lasting no longer than the Christian revival in
Victorian England (although that revival spanned two-thirds of a century
and helped to build the British Empire). Or it may be as inexorable as the
Protestant Reformation, which survived despite the attempt of the Coun-
cil of Constance to stamp it out in 1415 and caught fire in 1517 when
Martin Luther nailed his Ninety-five Theses to the church door at





134 | Mohammad Sammak


Wittenberg. Nonetheless, its consequences are being felt in every country
with a Muslim population. This is true whether Muslims greatly outnum-
ber non-Muslims, as in Egypt, whether Muslims are greatly outnumbered
by non-Muslims, as in India, or whether Muslims enjoy a slight majority
over non-Muslims, as in Lebanon.
   What makes religious politics dangerous is the idea that political deci-
sions are perceived as orders from God, that is, religious leaders act not as
representatives of the people but as representatives of God, and opposing
them becomes an opposition to the sacred and the holy. In Lebanon, where
there are eighteen religious communities, each with its own leader, oppo-
sition to the sacred and the holy also comes from the sacred and the holy.
This chapter argues that the real differences among these communities
stem not from disputes about religious doctrine but from long-standing
disputes of history and power sharing, disputes that affect day-to-day
political decisions. It also contends that dialogue between Muslims and
Christians is key to resolving the differences among these communities.

Religious Diversity and Political Conflict in Lebanon

The Middle East has several characteristics that make it susceptible to
foreign intervention: its strategic location between East and West; its
abundance of gas and oil; the fact that it contains important Jewish, Chris-
tian, and Muslim shrines; and its ethnic and religious diversity.
   The region's ethnic and religious diversity became a liability when the
European powers tried to use minorities as a wedge to conquer and domi-
nate the Middle East. History demonstrates how European (and later
American) missionaries used Christianity to draw non-Muslim minorities
to Western interests, even at a time when the Church was being isolated
from public life in Western democracies. Western interests exploited the
legitimate sufferings of religious and ethnic minorities for political rea-
sons, not religious or humanitarian reasons.
   Since the early 1950s, Israel has attempted to create a Christian mini-
state in Lebanon (or in a part of Lebanon) with the expectation that its
creation would be a catalyst for other religious and ethnic communities to
establish ministates of their own, thus accomplishing Israel's strategic
objective of conquering Lebanon by dividing it. This struggle was at the
heart of Lebanon's 1975-90 civil war.
   The civil war was manipulated and funded by regional and interna-
tional powers and fought by proxies. During the war, hard currency and
advanced armaments and ammunition poured into Lebanon from differ-





Religion and Politics: The Case of Lebanon | 135


ent sources: Israel, the Arab countries, and non-Arab countries. Immedi-
ately after the cease-fire, foreign assistance stopped and the Lebanese
economy almost collapsed. Financing a war of fifteen years' duration
would have been impossible for the Lebanese alone, just as it would have
been impossible for any of the country's religious communities to sustain
or end the conflict.
   During the civil war, Lebanese religious leaders kept a distance between
themselves and the local militias. They never approved the military actions
of any side nor gave their blessings to any of the warlords. When the
national entente, embodied in the Ta'if Agreement of 1989, was approved
by members of the Lebanese Parliament, the support of religious leaders
was urgently needed to help its implementation, a process of reconcilia-
tion that balances religious and confessional interests rather than eradicat-
ing them.
   This policy of national reconciliation seeks to soothe without conquest,
to indoctrinate without force, to accomplish social evolution without a
common historical memory. The Lebanese have to get to know one an-
other better and to discuss their disagreements with civility, although in
politics, civility is an inflated virtue. It is desirable that political debate be
conducted in a spirit of mutual respect rather than enmity. The plea for
more civility in politics, however, is often a high-minded way of pleading
for less-critical scrutiny of illicit campaign contributions or other mis-
deeds.
   Thus, a healthy civil society is important not only because it promotes
civility (although this may be a welcome by-product) but also because it
generates the habits, skills, and qualities of character that create effective
democratic citizens. The institutions of civil society draw individuals out
of their private, self-centered concerns and create in them the habit of
attending to the common good. Today, these institutions are under siege in
every democratic country, but even more so in Lebanon. From families
and neighborhoods to cities and towns, from schools to congregations and
trade unions, the structures that traditionally provided people with a
moral anchor and a sense of belonging have become exceedingly strained.
   A century and a half ago, Alexis de Tocqueville praised America's vi-
brant civil society for producing the "habits of the heart" on which de-
mocracy depends. If families, neighborhoods, and schools are in ill repair,
they will fail to produce the active, public-spirited citizens a successful
democracy requires, regardless of the citizen's religion.
   Rebuilding Lebanon's national unity, in addition to its other advan-
tages, will serve as a necessary spur to increased foreign aid and economic





136 | Mohammad Sammak


investment. Both governmental and nongovernmental agencies, for ex-
ample, are urging the return to their homes of Lebanese displaced by the
civil war. This issue demonstrates the difficulties in achieving national
unity. Although most displaced Lebanese want to return to their original
homes, some displaced families are hesitant due to the traumas they have
suffered, while those who are now living in the areas affected by the dis-
placement are apprehensive about the return of those who were displaced.

Christianity, Islam, and the Quran

Islam does not differentiate ethnically between Arabs and non-Arabs; it
recognizes Judaism and Christianity as having the same roots as Islam,
which is grounded in the Abrahamic faith. Messages of religious tolerance
found in the Quran have provided theological underpinning for policies of
tolerance that allowed ethnic and religious minorities to flourish and pre-
serve their identities throughout the periods of Islamic rule.
   In Islamic theology, Islam starts with Abraham and ends with Muham-
mad (peace be upon them). Islamic theology emanates from a series of
prophets, including Moses and Jesus. Thus, Muhammad is not the first
Muslim, but the last Muslim prophet.
   The Holy Quran speaks highly of Jesus and his mother, the Virgin
Mary. One verse of the Quran says, "[N]earest among them in love to the
believers wilt thou find those who say 'we are Christians,' because
amongst these are men devoted to learning, and men who have renounced
the world, and they are not arrogant" (al-Ma'ida, 73). This verse provides
a theological basis for Christian-Muslim understanding and brotherhood,
one that has fostered Arab-Christian-Muslim nationality and Lebanese
national reconciliation.
   Islamic belief in Christianity as a revealed message from God is deeply
rooted in Islamic teachings. The Quran says, "The same religion has He
established for you as that which He enjoined on Noah, that which we
have sent by inspiration to thee and that which we enjoined on Abraham,
Moses and Jesus: Namely, that ye should remain steadfast in religion, and
make no division therein" (al-Shura, 130).
   This Quranic dictum, in Imam Abu Hanifah's interpretation, is that
"religion is One, and religious laws are different" (wahdat al-din wa
ikhtalaf al-shara'ia). The Quran states the same idea in slightly different
words: "To each among you has He prescribed a Law and an open way. If
Allah had so willed, He would have made you a single people, but (His





Religion and Politics: The Case of Lebanon | 137


plan is) to test you in what He hath given you. So strive as in a race in all
virtues" (al-Ma'ida, 47).
   Although a religion of absolute truth, Islam respects and preserves the
right of individual belief, as the following verses from the Quran demon-
strate:
   I showed him the way: whether he be grateful or ungrateful.
   (Younas, 99)

   If it had been by the Lord's will, they would all have believed, all who
   are on earth. Wilt thou then compel humankind against their will to
   believe? (al-Insar, 30)

   One of the prominent followers of the prophet Muhammad, Ibn al-
Abbas, told a story about Abu Hussein, a Christian in al-Madina, who
became a Muslim and tried unsuccessfully to convince his two sons to
believe in Islam. He threatened them with all his means, but they insisted
on remaining Christians. Abu Hussein then sought the prophet
Muhammad's advice. At that moment, a revelation came to the Prophet,
which established the majesty of religious freedom:

   La ikrahah fi ad-din gad tabi'ayn al-rushd min al-ghi.

   [Let there be no compulsion in religion: truth stands out clearly from
   error.]
   (al-Bagrah, 256)

   It is important to note that the Quran is a scripture revealed by God,
and as such, it is not only sacred but absolute. Its understanding and
interpretation, however, are a human process, and everything human is
relative. Human interpretation becomes like any other human thought; it
is mobile, that is, open to change and reconsideration. This is ijtahad
(innovation).

The Islamic-Christian Committee for National Dialogue

In August 1993, the Islamic-Christian Committee for National Dialogue
was established in Lebanon. The committee's objective is to preempt any
imbalance that endangers the coexistence of Christians and Muslims, in-
cluding that caused by international events that have sectarian or confes-
sional dimensions. The committee is called upon to emphasize civic spirit,
eliminate sectarian fanaticism, rewrite the history of unified Lebanon in a





138 | Mohammad Sammak


way that accords with these trends, and create a permanent dialogue be-
tween the state and the people, as well as between Christians and Muslims
of different confessions. Through this dialogue, the committee hopes that
Lebanon may take part in other dialogues on the future of the Middle
East. As part of its program, the committee organizes seminars and confer-
ences and issues media statements.
   Muslim-Christian dialogue in Lebanon has many dimensions but is
rooted in the search for truth in the point of view of the other. Truth is not
one sided. Even if one side believes it is right, that does not mean that the
other side is wrong.
   The forms of Muslim-Christian dialogue fostered by the committee are
defined as follows:
   - A "Dialogue of Life," meaning to understand and recognize the
     other's background and special characteristics. This helps to build
     a common life as neighbor or friend with a person of a different
     religious community.
   - A "Dialogue of Action," meaning to work together socially, eco-
     nomically, and educationally. This helps to build relationships
     based on common interests.
   - A "Dialogue of Discussion," meaning to explore commonalities
     in morals and ethics among different religious communities. This
     helps to encourage understanding and respect of other faiths.
   - A "Dialogue of Experiences," including religious experiences,
     meaning to recognize that it is possible to worship God, the same
     God, differently.

   The Lebanese do not want Lebanon to be simply an additional Arab
state in the Arab world. Lebanon is, in the core of its being, a quintessen-
tial message of tolerance, mutual respect, and coexistence. Any harm to
this message, either from within or without, harms humanity. Dialogue
not only safeguards Lebanese national unity but provides a basis for Arab-
Muslim-Christian dialogue and better Christian-Muslim understanding
on the international level.

Conclusion

The future of humanity should not be based on the conflict of civilizations
but rather on the complementary dialogue of civilizations, the core of
which is contained in both Islam and Christianity. The Quran sets forth an
unequivocal message of harmony for humankind:




                            Religion and Politics: The Case of Lebanon | 139

"0 humankind! We created you from a single (pair) of a male and
female, and made you into nations and tribes, that ye may know
each other (not that ye may despise each other). Verily the most
honored of you in the sight of Allah (He who is) is the most righteous
of you, and Allah has full knowledge and is well acquainted (with all
things). (al-Haqrat, 130)








7


Lebanon as a Regional Educational
and Cultural Center

   Nabeel F. Haidar





Many countries have adopted ideologies and pedagogies that regulate
education. Some of these systems are open and permissive, while others
are rigid. All hold two fundamental principles in common: that the goal of
education is the formation of children into responsible citizens and that
the state should have a decisive say in education.
   Like other countries, Lebanon has a free public school system with a
prescribed curriculum, along with a thriving network of private schools.
Until the severe disruptions of the 1975-90 civil war, Lebanese universities
and colleges attracted students from all over the world and made Lebanon
the cultural and educational center of the Middle East. With its vibrant
secular society, Lebanon remains unique and uniquely attractive among
Arab countries.
   Lebanon now faces two profound educational challenges: to regain its
position as a regional cultural and educational center and to forge the
identity of the Lebanese citizen, particularly in the wake of constitutional
agreements that pledge Lebanese of all religious communities to commit
to a national affiliation and purpose. This chapter explores the prospects
for Lebanon's educational system in the new century.

Lebanon's Private and Public Schools

Less than 35 percent of Lebanon's children attend public school. The
majority are enrolled in private Christian and Islamic schools, whose fees
range from moderate to high in comparison with family income. In 1997-
98, 576,000 Lebanese children attended private schools, while 303,000
attended public schools. Clearly, many Lebanese families feel that private





                               A Regional Educational and Cultural Center | 141

schools have a distinct advantage over public schools, both in quality of
education and availability of religious instruction.
   There are two types of private schools in Lebanon: schools conceived,
administered, and supported by religious organizations, either Christian
or Islamic, and lay schools that have no religious affiliation. Both types of
schools implement the basic curriculum prescribed by the Lebanese gov-
ernment as a minimum requirement, then supplement this curriculum
with subjects pertinent to the aims and purposes of the individual school.
Private Christian and Islamic schools add religious history and instruction
to their curricula. Private schools established by foreign organizations add
the founding country's languages, history, and culture to their curricula;
Lebanon contains private schools established by French, German, British,
and American entities. Schools established by foreign organizations and
schools established by indigenous lay organizations supplement the basic
government curriculum with courses in higher mathematics, the sciences,
and the humanities. In short, the Lebanese private school offers a public
school curriculum plus a curriculum that reflects the values of the school's
founders.
   The supplemental curriculum provided by private Christian and Is-
lamic schools has come under fire from Lebanese who believe that these
schools are building the good Christian or Muslim citizen rather than the
good Lebanese citizen. Private lay schools have been subjected to criticism
that they promote cultural indoctrination or that they are operating sim-
ply from a profit motive. The years of civil war have fueled demands that
private schools be closed or that their "suspicious" activities be closely
monitored.
   As in other countries, Lebanese public schools suffer from poor man-
agement and resources, ill-prepared teachers, and outmoded educational
methodology, making private schools an attractive choice for many fami-
lies. Attendance in private religious schools cuts across sectarian lines:
many Christian schools have a high percentage of Muslims among their
students, and in south Lebanon and north Lebanon, Christian schools
serve a predominantly Muslim population.
   Despite the claims of critics, the success of Lebanon's private schools
has not contributed to the weakness of its public schools. If courses in
culture and foreign languages were added to the public school curriculum,
public school education would be more competitive with private school
education, preparing students for an increasingly global marketplace.
   All public and private schools in Lebanon are bilingual, with Arabic as





142 | Nabeel F. Haidar


the first language and French or English as the second language. This
makes even Lebanese public schools superior to the public schools of
other Arab countries, whose curricula do not stress foreign languages.
Instruction in the foreign language starts along with Arabic in nursery
school and kindergarten. In middle school and senior high school, the
foreign language becomes the language of instruction in mathematics and
sciences. In the first year of middle school, a third language is added as an
elective course.
   Lebanese private schools are far ahead of the public schools in the
quality of language instruction. Currently, public schools graduate "bilin-
gual" students who usually have only a weak knowledge of the second
language, while private schools graduate students who are proficient in
three languages. Fluency in two, three, and four languages gives Lebanese
students and citizens a definite economic edge. Multinational corpora-
tions are recruiting Lebanese university students over students from other
Arab countries because of their language proficiency.
   Although Lebanon's educational system has had solid academic suc-
cesses, it has failed in forging the identity of the Lebanese citizen. Part of
the solution is to focus on the common values held by all communities
regarding the education of children. All education, including religious
education, should include the teaching of tolerance and acceptance of dif-
ferences. The diversity of Lebanese culture should not only be respected
but celebrated for the many benefits it brings to Lebanese society.
   Recent efforts to rewrite and unify the Lebanese history curriculum and
to develop a civic education curriculum are positive but will fall short if
the methodology is restricted to lecturing and sermonizing. Practical
methods through which students learn democratic practices, including
peaceful conflict resolution, should become central to the curriculum.
New information technologies that emphasize analysis and communica-
tion have revolutionized modern education and created ample time and
space in the curriculum to explore issues of citizenship and national iden-
tity.
   Lebanese schools have long been distinguished by their independent
spirit, a spirit that reflects the essence of the Lebanese people. In many
Lebanese schools, freedom of expression is encouraged as an integral part
of the educational process. In Lebanon, rather than memorizing the
speeches of their country's leaders, students are taught to analyze them.
Dissent is encouraged over passive acceptance of official political dogma.
This spirit can provide the basis for the formation of the new Lebanese
citizen.





                              A Regional Educational and Cultural Center | 143

Lebanon's Public and Private Universities

Lebanon has one large public university, the Lebanese University, which
has a full-time faculty of 2,000 and over 50,000 students enrolled in six
branches. The Lebanese University offers a wide variety of majors and
very low tuition (250,000 LL or $165 per year). Lebanon's eight private
universities, in contrast, charge tuition ranging from $3,000 per year to
$20,000 per year, depending on the university and the subject of study.
The oldest of these universities is the American University of Beirut (estab-
lished in 1866), followed by the University of Saint Joseph (established in
1875) and the Lebanese American University (established in 1924).
   Private Lebanese universities were the pride of the Middle East until
1975, when the Lebanese civil war began. These universities made Leba-
non the educational center of the region, producing many leaders, includ-
ing businessmen, statesmen, engineers, and doctors. Students from coun-
tries such as Syria, Jordan, Egypt, Palestine, Kuwait, Iraq, the United Arab
Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Cyprus, Greece, Pakistan, Iran, Afghanistan, In-
dia, and Yemen were drawn by the reputation of Lebanese universities as
well as by the lack of educational opportunities in some of their own
societies. The Lebanese American University had as its special mission the
education of hundreds of women, many of whom in turn contributed to
the development of their own societies. Prior to 1975, both the American
University of Beirut and the Lebanese American University conducted
thriving junior-year-abroad programs with American institutions, and the
number of American students exceeded 50 percent of total enrollment in
many years.
   The rich history of these universities will be a major factor in their
revival in the new century, as Lebanon strives to regain its position as a
cultural and educational center. Despite the devastation wrought during
the years of Lebanon's civil war, students from other Arab countries con-
tinue to seek a Lebanese education. Some have parents nostalgic for their
own days as students in Lebanon, or parents who value the long-standing
academic traditions of Lebanese educational institutions. Others have
parents who fear the Islamic fundamentalism that permeates some of the
new universities in Arab countries, despite the advantages of fine build-
ings, libraries, laboratories, and faculties.
   Universities may have beautiful buildings, rich laboratories, and faculty
and staff with excellent credentials, but if they do not have the essential
catalyst of academic freedom, they will merely distribute information.
Only an atmosphere of freedom can nurture new ideas and generate unfet-





144 | Nabeel F. Haidar


tered creative spirits, and Lebanon is unique in the region in providing
such an atmosphere. Unlike other Arab countries, Lebanon has no state
religion. Although some may argue that countries with a state religion can
practice tolerance, discrimination on the basis of religion-whether con-
scious or unconscious-remains an unpleasant reality. Lebanon also has a
free press and is the only Arab country with private television and radio
stations. Even its government television and radio stations air opposing
views. I once asked a friend from a neighboring Arab country, "Why do
you come to Lebanon so often?" His answer: "In Lebanon I can breathe
freedom."
   Lebanon pulsates with intellectual and artistic activity. Every season,
Lebanese theaters show at least five or six plays, art galleries exhibit the
works of local and international artists, and Lebanese institutions orga-
nize respected international academic conferences. Lebanon's printing in-
dustry has been rejuvenated and modernized since the end of the civil war,
making Lebanon once again the print capital of the Arab world. In other
Arab countries, such activities are heavily censored or curtailed by cus-
toms that prevent full artistic expression. All of these benefits will con-
tinue to draw foreign students to Lebanon.
   The challenge of forging the identity of the new Lebanese citizen has
been taken up by some Lebanese universities. The Lebanese American
University has established the Center for Peace and Justice Education, the
Center for Civic Responsibility and Leadership, and the Institute for
Women's Studies in the Arab World, conducting not only academic courses
but also workshops, conferences, and community action programs. The
university's objective is to reinvent Lebanese citizenship, or perhaps to in-
vent it, since at no time in modern Lebanese history has citizenship and
allegiance to the nation been put into practice, despite being approved and
blessed by the Lebanese constitution.
   The Lebanese American University has also created a special center for
the documentation of Lebanese identity. Although a shared heritage pro-
vides the tie that binds Lebanon's diverse communities into a nation, this
heritage has never been sufficiently documented. The books and papers
that the Lebanese National Library succeeded in collecting disappeared
when the library was vandalized and ransacked during the civil war.

Conclusion

Every nation uses its educational system to forge an identity for its citizens
that protects the nation from internal strife, gives all citizens a strong sense





                              A Regional Educational and Cultural Center | 145

of belonging, and enables citizens to develop a common view of their his-
tory, a common language, and a common geographical space. Lebanon's
national life has been marked by the tenacious and fierce attempts of each of
its religious communities-including Maronite Christians, Orthodox Chris-
tians, Sunni Muslims, Shi'a Muslims, and Druzes-to preserve its singular
traditions, customs, and history. Although these groups share a common
culture and have coexisted in peace throughout much of their history, they
have also endured turbulent and bloody times, especially when outside
forces have played one group against the other. Interaction between the
Lebanese citizen and the government is still based on confessional affilia-
tion, and the average citizen views his or her religious leader as a political
mediator. Successive governments have not yet convinced Lebanese citi-
zens that the state can impart directly what the Church offers, without the
tribute the Church exacts.
   The Lebanese educational system continues to work to regain the pre-
eminence shaken by the years of civil war and to forge a strong national
identity for its citizens. It is aided in this struggle by its multicultural and
multilingual society, which acts as a bridge between East and West, and its
traditions of freedom of speech and freedom of expression. Lebanon will
remain a cultural and educational force in the Middle East in the new
century.








8


Women in Postwar Lebanon

   Mona Chemali Khalaf


   Once you started-no matter how scared you got, how danger-
   ous it became-you were not allowed to turn back.... We, too,
   cannot turn back. We, too, must keep going in our commitment
   to the dignity of every individual, to women's rights as well as
   human rights.
   Hilary Rodham Clinton, Remarks, 150th anniversary of
   the first Women's Rights Convention




The last half of the twentieth century has witnessed an unprecedented and
significant focus on women's issues that highlighted all types of discrimi-
nation to which women are subjected. At the level of international organi-
zations, attempts were made to redress these injustices by the Charter of
the United Nations, which embodied the principle of full equality between
men and women, the adoption of a series of more specific conventions
related to women's economic, political, and educational rights, and the
organization by the United Nations of four world conferences on women
between 1975 and 1995.
   Despite these advances, in the twenty-first century there remain huge
discrepancies in the status of men and women worldwide. Women consti-
tute 70 percent of the world's poor and two-thirds of its illiterate, working
at the lowest paying jobs and earning only 50 to 75 percent of the wages
paid to men for similar work. Half of all new cases of HIV infection are in
women, and the majority of women are subject to violence both inside and
outside their homes. Women are vastly underrepresented in the political
life of nations, occupying only 10 percent of parliamentary seats and 6
percent of cabinet positions.1
   In Lebanon, the disheartening differences in the status of men and
women have been further aggravated by the 1975-90 civil war. Even be-
fore the conflict began, the impressive growth of the Lebanese economy





Women in Postwar Lebanon | 147


was tempered by disparities in income levels and standards of living of
rural and urban Lebanese. Despite economic surpluses, prewar Lebanon
provided its citizens with few social services, particularly in the areas of
health and education. The war shattered the country's infrastructure, seg-
mented its labor and goods markets, and caused a huge outflow of capital
from Lebanon. Thousands of Lebanese were displaced from their homes
and thousands of others emigrated, resulting in a brain drain that reduced
the population of the Lebanese middle class and created a growing gap
between income and expenditures. Lebanese women were forced to man-
age their households with fewer resources, and many had to sustain fami-
lies without assistance from husbands. This dire situation forced Lebanese
women's organizations to shift their emphasis from women's rights to
social services and relief work, filling the gap left by a weakened govern-
ment.
   This chapter assesses the impact of the Lebanese civil war on family life,
women's participation in the labor force, and the feminization of poverty;
surveys discrimination against women in Lebanon's laws and legislation;
and makes recommendations for the empowerment of Lebanese women
in the hope that they can become full-fledged participants in the political,
social, and economic life of their country.

The Civil War and Family Life

Statistics support the contention that the civil war has had a major impact
on Lebanese family life. Generally poor economic conditions and the
emigration of young men seeking better work opportunities have led to a
sharp decline in the number of marriages, although the deferral of mar-
riage until the completion of a woman's education also is a factor in this
decline. In 1970, the number of unmarried Lebanese women over fourteen
years of age was 29.3 percent. It rose to 35.1 percent in 1986 and to 38.3
percent in 1997. There has been an increase in the number of unmarried
women in all age brackets. In the 25-29 age bracket, when the majority of
women marry, the percentage of unmarried women jumped from 25 per-
cent in 1970 to around 50 percent in 1997. These figures can be correlated
with findings from the 1995-96 Household and Population Survey, car-
ried out by the Lebanese Ministry of Social Affairs and the UN Population
Fund, showing that between July 1993 and December 1995, 85 percent of
the 23,500 emigrants from Lebanese resident households were males in
the 20-24 and 25-29 age brackets.





148 | Mona Chemali Khalaf


   The decrease in the number of marriages has contributed to a decrease
in the Lebanese fertility rate,2 from an average of 5.2 children per woman
in 1970 to 4.1 children in 1995. At the same time, the number of children
living with their parents has increased, from an average of 2.7 in 1970 to
3.1 in 1997. This can be attributed to young adults remaining in the paren-
tal home because of financial difficulties. More women, both widowed
and unmarried, are heads of households, whether they are caring for de-
pendent children, being cared for by adult children, living alone, or sup-
porting parents and siblings. The percentage of Lebanese women heading
households rose from 11.2 percent in 1970 to 14.2 percent in 1995, al-
though it dropped to 12.6 percent in 1997.

The Civil War and Women's Participation in the Labor Force

Economic need and marital status have long been determining factors in
Lebanese women's participation in the paid labor force. In the early twen-
tieth century, uneducated and poor women were employed in large num-
bers by the Lebanese silk industry, where they earned half the wages of
men. The famine that ensued after World War I led Lebanese women to
emigrate to countries such as the United States, where they worked in
factories. The married women among these 6migres left their husbands
behind to care for land and children.
   Upper-middle-class women were discouraged from working outside
the home and urged to use their energies and education in the domestic
sphere. In 1928, Mohammad Jamil Beyhum concluded a women's confer-
ence in Beirut with these telling remarks: "Ladies, I do not want to educate
girls to take over the labor market or compete with men in that market,
but rather to enable them to manage more efficiently their households and
give their children a better education. A lot of activities could take place
within the household setting and could be resorted to in case of economic
need."3
   Economic need has driven the increase of women in the labor force
following the outbreak of the civil war. A 1998 study by the Institute for
Women's Studies in the Arab World (IWSAW) at the Lebanese American
University reported that 35 percent of working women stated economic
need as their primary reason for being in the labor force.4 This is corrobo-
rated by the results of a textile industry study showing that 81 percent of
women workers were motivated by economic need. Over 50 percent of the
women in this study worked overtime and took fewer holidays than stipu-





Women in Postwar Lebanon | 149


Table 8.1. Enrollment of women in the Lebanese labor force by marital status
(in percentages)
                     Single                        Married


Age       1970   1985     1993   1997    1970    1985    1993   1997

20-24     39.4    30.4    39.3   28.4     6.8     5.6     7.6     7.5
25-29     51.9    50.3    67.1   52       8.9    10.4    10.4    10.9
30-34     48.0    53      66.5   56.3     9.9    12.8    14.9    12.9
35-39     36.3   48.2     68.1   56.6     9.6    10.8    17.8    15.4
40-44     40.2    40.7    61.1   52.3     9.0     8.8    17.0    18.5
45-49     36.9    34.0    48.3   51.0     8.4     5.4    13.2    12.9
50-54     26.0    37.6    41.4   40.6     7.2     5.0    11.2    10.2
55-59     28.4    27.7    43.8   43.2     5.5     3.0     7.0     8.4
60-64     29.9    22.2    22.6   27.0     5.4     2.1     3.6     4.8
15+       28.4    25.9    36.5   28.7     7.9     7.6    11.9    11.4
Source: Comit6 National de la Femme, La femme Libanaise 1996-1997, chiffres et sens,
vol. 3 (1998), 65.


lated by Lebanese law in order to earn additional income. Interestingly,
the ratio of married women doing extra work was higher than that of
single women, reflecting not only the pressing need for extra family in-
come but the responsibility that married women often feel in securing it.5
   Despite increases in the number of married women working outside the
home, the majority of Lebanese working women are single (see table 8.1).
   Tradition demands that for Lebanese women, children and family re-
sponsibilities take precedence over work. In the textile industry study,
53.1 percent of married women said they were willing to give up their jobs
if their husbands asked them to do so. In Lebanon as elsewhere, married
women who work outside the home bear a heavy dual responsibility as
both workers and homemakers, a responsibility not currently being
shared by their husbands.
   One striking change in the status of all working Lebanese women since
the civil war is in their level of education (see table 8.2). In 1970, the
majority of working women were illiterate (40.6 percent) or barely knew
how to read (17.2 percent). By 1997, only 7.1 percent of working women
were illiterate, and the majority had a secondary school education or bet-
ter. In August 1998, a study by the Lebanese Central Administration of
Statistics revealed that most young women enter the labor force at age
twenty, after completing their education; in contrast, 36.6 percent of boys
between fifteen and nineteen are already part of the labor force. The same





150 | Mona Chemali Khalaf


Table 8.2. Distribution of women in the Lebanese labor force by level of educa-
tion (in percentages)
Level                 1970      1986     1993      1995      1997

Illiterate             40.6      9.8       5.3      9.2       7.1
Less than primary      17.2      4.2       4.5      7.0       3.3
Primary                13.2      15.0     14.5     13.5      14.5
Complementary          17.1     17.5      18.2     17.1      18.2
Secondary               8.6     26.9      31.0     28.6      27.3
University              3.4     26.6     26.6      24.6      29.6
Source: Comit6 National de la Femme, La femme Libanaise, 1996-1997, chiffres et sens,
vol. 3 (1998), 74.


study ranked the total percentage of women in the labor force at 21.7
percent.
   The increase in the level of education of Lebanese working women is
the direct result of the rapid growth in the number of girls and women in
schools and universities. Females now represent 49.7 percent of the stu-
dents in Lebanese schools and 51 percent of students in Lebanese univer-
sities. There is also a relationship between a woman's level of education
and her level of economic activity. Despite a tradition of Lebanese upper-
middle-class women not participating in the paid labor force, the percent-
age of university graduates among working women is now higher than the
percentage of university graduates among working men.6
   Although most women university students still major in the humanities
(77.4 percent in 1995), the number of women in the field of business
administration increased from 2.9 percent in 1970 to 18 percent in 1995.
In mathematics, physics, and chemistry, however, the number of women
students decreased from 15.4 percent in 1970 to 6.8 percent in 1995. The
total number of professional women in Lebanon, although low, has
steadily increased, and the majority of these women are young: in 1997,
their average age was less than thirty-eight. At that time, professional
registers listed 1,747 women engineers, 1,328 medical doctors, 634 den-
tists, 1,605 pharmacists, and 123 accountants.
   Increases in levels of education have not yet enabled Lebanese women
to break through the "glass ceiling" that keeps working women from
positions of power. Over 66 percent of Lebanese working women are in
the service sector, and women represent only 9.2 percent of the managerial
class. Only three women are members of the Lebanese Parliament, a posi-





Women in Postwar Lebanon | 151


tion they occupy either because of inheritance or kinship, and no woman
has ever held a governmental ministry or cabinet post. Education, al-
though a necessary condition for women's advancement in Lebanon, does
not appear to be a sufficient one.

The Civil War and the Feminization of Poverty

The growth of women's participation in the Lebanese labor force since the
civil war has not translated into an improvement in the standard of living
for women or their families. Unfortunately, Lebanon today is an example
not only of the "feminization of poverty," in which there is "an increase in
the number of women among the poor," but of the "impoverishment of
women," where "women in general, and poorer women in particular, are
getting even poorer."7 In this chapter, the discussion of women and pov-
erty is limited to women heads of households, women self-employed in the
informal sector, and rural women.
   As previously mentioned, the number of households headed by women
increased as a result of the civil war. Eighty percent of these heads of
households are widows, and 12.7 percent are unmarried. Their incomes
are usually lower than those of households headed by men. Fifty-nine
percent of households headed by women have a monthly income of less
than LL 800,000 ($528), compared to 40 percent of total households, and
18.2 percent have a monthly income of less than LL 300,000 ($198),
compared to only 5.8 percent of total households. In 1997, the average
annual income for households headed by women was LL 8,659,000
($5,715), significantly lower than the national average of LL 15,241,000
($10,059). This gap is compounded by the fact that only 23 percent of
women heads of households have salaried jobs; the others rely on the
financial support of children or other relatives.
   Women who are self-employed in the informal sector, unlike other con-
temporary Lebanese working women, are still poorly educated. Forty per-
cent are illiterate or barely able to read. Their income is low and unstable,
and they lack access to adequate credit, marketing, and vocational train-
ing that could increase their productivity and economic status.
   Rural women are undervalued; their contribution to agricultural labor
is often unpaid, considered an extension of their role as homemakers.
Even when salaried, rural women receive half of men's wages for the same
type of work.8 They often lack access to productive assets, including land,
capital, and technology. Although Lebanese women have the right to in-




152 | Mona Chemali Khalaf


herit land, that land is traditionally registered in their brothers' names to
ensure that it remains within the family. The Lebanese National Report to
the Beijing Conference indicates that very few land transactions are car-
ried out and registered under women's names.9 Even in the rural house-
holds headed by women (10 percent), major decisions are usually made by
male relatives, either a brother-in-law or adult son.

Discrimination against Women in Lebanese Laws and Legislation

Lebanon has ratified a number of international conventions that protect
the rights of women. The amended preamble to its 1990 Constitution
states that "Lebanon is committed to apply the Universal Declaration of
Human Rights in all domains, without exception." Other important inter-
national conventions ratified by Lebanon include the 1955 Convention
concerning Women's Political Rights; the 1964 UNESCO Convention
against Discrimination in Education; the 1976 International Covenant on
Economic, Social, and Cultural Rights and the International Covenant on
Civil and Political Rights; the 1977 International Labor Organization
(ILO) Conventions concerning Equal Remuneration for Men and Women
Workers for Work of Equal Value and Discrimination with Respect to
Employment and Occupation; and the 1996 Convention on the Elimina-
tion of All Forms of Discrimination against Women, with reservations
regarding Articles 9, 16, and 29.
   The reservations regarding the 1996 Convention on the Elimination of
All Forms of Discrimination against Women highlight discriminatory as-
pects of Lebanese law and the barriers to implementing international con-
ventions, despite their ratification. Article 9 enables mothers to pass on
their nationality to their husbands and children; in Lebanon, this privilege
is granted only to fathers. Article 16 states the equality of rights and duties
in marriage and family relations; this is considered an infringement of
Lebanon's personal status laws, which are specific to Lebanon's eighteen
religious communities, each of which has its own tribunals to deal with
issues related to marriage, divorce, custody, inheritance, guardianship,
and adoption. Article 29 makes provisions for arbitration regarding the
interpretation and implementation of the convention and refers disputes
to the International Court of Justice. This article was flatly rejected by
Lebanon.
   The Lebanese Constitution does not clearly state that men and women
are equal, nor does it include clauses related to the social and economic





Women in Postwar Lebanon | 153


rights of the Lebanese citizens. The rights and privileges of working men
and women are regulated by an antiquated 1946 labor law. The labor law,
however, was in the process of being amended when this chapter was
written.
   There are clauses in Lebanese legislation that actively discriminate
against working women. In the public sector, a salaried male employee is
entitled to a family allowance, without conditions. A salaried female em-
ployee, however, only receives the allowance if (1) her husband is inca-
pacitated, (2) she is financially responsible for her children, or (3) she is
divorced and there is evidence that her ex-husband cannot pay her the
agreed-upon alimony. Although all salaried public sector employees are
entitled to a medical allowance for their families, salaried women receive
a fraction of the full amount, unless they have also been approved to
receive a family allowance. Employees in the private sector are subject to
similar restrictions with regard to family and medical allowances.
   The maternity leave as stipulated in the labor law is forty days, with full
pay for thirty days after delivery, and prohibits the termination of a
woman employee either during the maternity leave period or after her fifth
month of pregnancy. The actual length of the leave, however, varies not
only between the private and public sectors but between different govern-
ment institutions.
   In the private sector, equal pay for men and women is secured only at
minimum wage, and there is no provision for opportunities for equal
work. Above minimum wage, pay differentials between men and women
are substantial; the discrepancy in some sectors (such as agriculture, as
mentioned) is 50 percent.10 Agricultural workers and domestic workers of
both sexes are not covered by the labor law. As a result, they are not
entitled to any of its benefits, including paid vacation, indemnity, or a 40-
hour work week.
   As previously mentioned, Lebanon's personal status laws give jurisdic-
tion over marriage and family relations to the country's religious commu-
nities, making application of a universal code of rights impossible. The
Lebanese penal code also reflects religious prejudice and discrimination
against women. It condemns women who have committed adultery more
severely than men, meting out jail sentences from between three months
and two years for a wife and one month to one year for a husband. Crimes
of honor, in which a woman is killed by "her father or brother for engag-
ing in, or being suspected of engaging in sexual practices before or outside
marriage," could remain unpunished; even if the perpetrators were sen-





154 | Mona Chemali Khalaf


tenced to capital punishment, the law allowed the sentence to be com-
muted to imprisonment that need not last for more than one year." The
article of the penal code relating to crimes of honor, however, was being
amended by the Lebanese Ministry of Justice as this chapter was being
written.

Conclusion

The "century of women" is over, and a new century has begun. The fight
for international women's rights and the rights of women in Lebanon must
shift to what Betty Friedan called "the second stage": "The second stage is
where we must move, women and men together. We need a new and politi-
cally active consciousness to get us beyond the polarized and destructive
male model of work and decision-making and the undervalued women's
model of life-the model that takes it as inevitable that having children is
a woman's free individual choice to short circuit permanently her earning
power and her professional future. "12
   In this spirit, Lebanese women and men should work together to
achieve the following advances in women's rights:
   - Remove from Lebanese legislation all clauses and texts that dis-
     criminate against women.
   - Adopt a unified personal status law, which would initially be op-
     tional. The vehement opposition of religious dignitaries to former
     Lebanese president Hrawi's proposal for optional civil marriage
     makes a step-by-step approach necessary. Young Lebanese
     women and men should lead the fight for this change.
   - Increase the awareness of women-particularly less educated and
     traditional women-on their value, not just in terms of their rela-
     tionships to men, but in terms of their own strengths and achieve-
     ments.
   - Work to establish equitable distribution of home and child care
     responsibilities, without guilt on the part of Lebanese women.
     Raise children in a egalitarian manner, with the hope of changing
     the ingrained belief that a working man "always has a wife at
     home to handle life for him."3

   These recommendations may sound utopian. At a recent Arab regional
conference on population and development in Beirut, several women
pressed for improvements in women's status in the Arab countries. The





Women in Postwar Lebanon | 155


president of the Kuwaiti delegation, who was also the chairperson of the
Drafting Committee, protested vehemently and said while leaving the
room: "Where do you think you are, in Europe or in the States? None of
your recommendations will be included in the final draft." This anecdote
points out how tough the battle remains to achieve equal rights for women
in Lebanon. Once having started, however, no matter how scared we get,
how dangerous it becomes, we are not allowed to turn back.
   It is to be hoped that Lebanese men and women, when looking back at
the progress that has been made, will share Betty Friedan's sentiments
when she reminisced on the gigantic work achieved by her and her col-
leagues within the feminist movement on the occasion of the 150th anni-
versary of the first women's convention in Seneca Falls: "It was very hard;
but Oh! It was fun, it was lots of fun!"14


Notes

   1. United Nations Development Program, Human Development Report 1995
(Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1995).
   2. All figures quoted in this chapter, unless otherwise specified, are taken from
Comit6 National de la Femme, La femme Libanaise, 1996-1997, chiffres et sens,
vols. 3 and 4 (La Source Research Center, Beirut: Joseph D. Raidy Printing Press,
1998).
   3. Gladys Saadeh, "Education et travail feminin au Liban," Ph.D. diss., Paris,
1984.
   4. "Female Labor Force in Lebanon, 1998," unpublished study, Lebanese Ameri-
can University, Institute for Women's Studies in the Arab World.
   5. Mona C. Khalaf, The Arab Woman and Work: Facts and Prospects: The
Lebanese Case Study (in Arabic) (Tunis: Center of Arab Women for Training and
Research, 1998).
   6. Republique Libanaise, Administration Centrale de la Statistique, "La popu-
lation active en 1997," Etudes Statistiques, no. 12 (August 1998).
   7. T. Allen, "Economic Development and the Feminization of Poverty," in
Women's Work in the World Economy, eds. Folbre, Bergman, Agarwal, and Floro
(New York: New York University Press, 1992).
   8. The Lebanese Republic, Ministry of Agriculture, and FAO, Women in Agri-
culture in Lebanon, National Report, in preparation for the "Policy Framework
and Regional Program of Action for Women in Agriculture in the Near East,"
1995.
   9. Ibid.
   10. Ibid.
   11. Alia Berti Zein, "Women's Rights in the Lebanese Personal Law" (paper





156 I Mona Chemali Khalaf

presented at the conference Women in Lebanon, Washington D.C., 7 November
1997).
   12. Betty Friedan, The Second Stage, with a new introduction (Cambridge:
Harvard University Press, 1998), xvi.
   13. Ibid., xvii.
   14. Ibid.







Part III


Problems of Urbanization, Ecology,
and the Economy









9


The Emerging Urban Landscape of Lebanon

   Michael F. Davie





Living in a Lebanese city in the twenty-first century is not a rosy prospect,
despite optimistic projections that Lebanon is in a period of recovery. The
1990s slogan al-balad macheh (the country is moving) expressed a collec-
tive will to rebuild the country after years of civil war and economic hard-
ship and to reestablish Beirut as the financial and cultural capital of the
Middle East. Lebanese politicians heralded Lebanon's return to democ-
racy; state institutions proclaimed their intention to modernize; econo-
mists lauded the widespread benefits of rebuilding Beirut's city center; and
small private businesses were confident of their ability to rescue the Leba-
nese economy.
   The difficulties of survival in postwar Beirut, however, are many.
Lebanon's political uncertainties and mismanagement, the consequences
of the failures of the Middle East peace process, the glaring destruction of
the country's rural and urban environments, and increasing opposition to
the reconstruction of Beirut all have contributed to a feeling of helpless-
ness in the face of a threatening future.
   This chapter explores the ways in which Lebanese cities have evolved
since the 1920s and predicts development trends for the next twenty-five
years, basing its analysis on historical research and current fieldwork. The
destruction of traditional social forces in the creation of the Lebanese
republic led to the emergence of new elites. It also meant the end of policies
that regulated development, resulting in uncontrolled urbanization and
urban disorder. The Lebanese civil war damaged these elites and shredded
the urban fabric, allowing new actors, the militias, to redefine Beirut in a
national and regional context.
   Today, the reconstruction of Beirut is attempting to reshape the city in
the context of a new global economy, bringing different elites to the fore.
The continued growth of Beirut and other Lebanese cities is part of a trend
toward 100 percent urban population, which will require new strategies





160 | Michael F. Davie


for urban planning and governance. Lebanon's ability to meet these chal-
lenges will determine the future of the Lebanese metropolis.

The Urban Landscape and the Ottoman Empire

Prior to 1920, Lebanese cities developed under the aegis of the Ottoman
Empire. The Ottoman urbanization period was marked by strict city plan-
ning, the building of roads and squares by municipalities, the imposition
of building and aesthetic norms, the planned linkage of road, rail, and port
infrastructures in a coherent regional vision, and the participation of large
portions of the local population in decision-making processes.
   This last point is perhaps most important. Through a sophisticated
system of urban representation, most residents of the city, as well as all
religious groups, were part of various majlis. This inclusive system pre-
vented governmental representatives from making widely unpopular deci-
sions and ensured the protection of common interests. It recognized the
city as a living instrument that required continual fine tuning.
   The local Beiruti elite headed the municipality and was instrumental in
building the city's port, introducing gas and electricity, modernizing the
Sahat al Burj as a business center with a distinctive architecture, and mak-
ing plans to link the Damascus Road to the port with new wide streets
(a plan that was partially completed by the end of World War I). The
Ottoman urbanization period also encompassed the opening of public
gardens and the construction of new and imposing public buildings, a
railway station, schools, universities, and hospitals. The quintessential
Beiruti invention, the family house with three arches and a red tile roof,
became a common sight in the city during this time.
   In retrospect, this period was one of harmonious urbanization directed
by a self-regulating local government, a situation shared by most cities of
the Ottoman Empire. There was enough work for almost everyone, and
there was always room on the ships for those who contemplated emigra-
tion. Immigrants from Mount Lebanon, who had suffered from chronic
insecurity, economic crises, and feudal conflicts since the 1840s, were ab-
sorbed into the city and did not upset its socioeconomic balance.

The Urban Landscape and the Lebanese Republic

The situation changed radically in 1920, when France became the political
power in the Levant. Almost overnight, the old millet system was abol-





The Urban Landscape of Lebanon | 161


ished and a new country invented (Greater Lebanon, or dtat du Grand-
Liban). Beirut, a city with only limited economic links and no political
links to Mount Lebanon, was annexed to this new state made up of rural
areas and was declared its capital. The French military authorities
reconfigured Beirut in the manner of a North African colony. Their first
step was to surround it with barracks, then to link the port to these defen-
sive points. Their second step was to destroy the heart of the city and
reorganize the road system, mimicking the Place de l'Etoile in Paris. They
extended the port to accommodate the French Mediterranean fleet and
large cargo vessels and built a landing field for airplanes on the city's
outskirts.
   The most important transformations were political and demographic.
The old Beiruti elite was supplanted first by direct French rule, then in
1926 by a Lebanese republic under French mandate. In Lebanon's confes-
sional system of government, officials are elected through a one-man, one-
vote system, but the major religious communities-most importantly,
Maronite Christian, Orthodox Christian, Sunni Muslim, Shi'a Muslim,
and Druze-agree to share power by dividing government positions on the
basis of religion. Lebanon's first (and, to date, only) census in 1932 gave
Christians a slight numerical majority over the other religious communi-
ties in this delicately balanced system. Lebanon became an independent
sovereign state in 1943.
   This political shift is key to understanding Lebanon's urban morphol-
ogy. The religious communities did not have the know-how, means, or
inclination to manage a city according to clear-cut rules or shared urban
interests. Because of a heavy-handed French presence, the Beirut munici-
pal government was reduced to simply managing basic urban services,
while real decisions were made elsewhere. At the same time, Beirut was
perceived by the new elites as a source of wealth for their impoverished
mountain communities. The city and its port provided new jobs for ex-
tended family and village neighbors. Direct and indirect corruption be-
came rampant, as the new elites used their access to the workings of the
city and port to buy political favors.
   Many rural Lebanese migrated to the cities. There they were joined by
a significant number of foreign immigrants. French authorities resettled
survivors of the Armenian genocide in Beirut because as Christians, their
presence would give the demographic edge to the Maronites, strongly al-
lied with the French. Other settlers included French military staff and their
families, Kurdish laborers from eastern Anatolia, Syria, and Iraq, Palestin-





162 | Michael F. Davie


ian bourgeois, Syrians from the now Turkish-annexed sanjaq of Alex-
andretta, merchants from all over the Mediterranean, White Russians,
and Assyrian and Chaldean refugees from Iraq.
   The result was urban sprawl, as Beirut rapidly and haphazardly ex-
panded toward the coast and the sand dunes to the south, and new neigh-
borhoods (such as Burj-Hammoud and Karm al-Zeitoun for the Arme-
nians) were created. The new cityscape, unlike that of the Ottoman
period, had no master plan, no regulating bodies, and, most importantly,
no clear economic goals. Instead of a relatively well planned city, the new
suburbs (today's outer municipal periphery) were a sum of individual,
low-quality buildings whose footprint often matched the irregular plots
on which they were built. Their architectural style contrasted sharply with
the buildings of the old city. Cement and concrete replaced sandstone
ramleh. Tall apartment buildings replaced one-family houses. The new
buildings first spread along the main roads, then beyond them into fields
whose land patterns determined the shape of the new neighborhoods. The
composition of old neighborhoods also changed. Traditionally Greek
Orthodox quarters (such as Achrafiyyeh) had an influx of Maronites;
Basta, a typically Sunni urban area, received Kurds of rural origin; Ras
Beirut, which had been mainly bourgeois Sunni and Orthodox, saw an
increase in the numbers of foreigners and Lebanese of other religious com-
munities.
   The expansion of Beirut was mirrored by the expansion of Lebanon's
secondary cities, Tripoli and Sidon, as well as of its small mountain vil-
lages. These communities spread from an original nucleus toward aban-
doned terrace farms or small subsistence farms operated by a declining
number of farmers. Revenues from Beirut and abroad not only fostered
this expansion but modified traditional land-property structures. In many
villages, church land was sold to the new town-based bourgeoisie, consoli-
dating their semifeudal political power. New wealth also brought tourism
as city dwellers returned to the mountain for summer vacations, frequent-
ing growing communities with service-oriented economies such as Aley,
Bhamdoun, Sofar, Beit-Meri, and Broummana. Expansion of secondary
coastal cities and villages was spurred by the widespread use of the auto-
mobile: Jounieh, Jebail, Batroun, and Chtaura in the Beqaa Valley were
among the communities that profited from an increasingly mobile popu-
lation. The result was a radical transformation of the Lebanese country-
side as well as the Lebanese urban landscape.





The Urban Landscape of Lebanon | 163


The Urban Landscape in the Post-World War II Era

The next major change in Lebanon's urban development came in the wake
of World War II and the 1948 war in Palestine. Beirut in particular was
affected by the influx of Palestinians into Lebanon. The Palestinian pres-
ence in Beirut created two distinct urban morphologies. The first was that
of the impoverished refugee camps (Sabra and Mar Elias in the sand dunes
to the south, and Tel ez-Zaatar and Jisr el-Basha in the still-rural foothills
around the city). In their social organization, attitudes toward the city,
extended family solidarities, and political representation (usually by the
moukhtars of their villages), the camps had a distinctly rural atmosphere.
Some of their traditions persist today, although the camps are now sur-
rounded by new city neighborhoods. The second morphology was of the
Palestinian urban bourgeoisie and upper class, who avoided the sordid
camps and settled in established city neighborhoods. They quickly in-
vested in land and businesses and were the driving force behind Beirut's
successful new commercial and financial district, Hamra.
   Hamra was the ideal site for the grounding of the new Lebanese
economy. After World War II, Lebanese elites realized that the United
States had supplanted old European allies such as France and created new
global markets. At the same time, two major historical developments
made Lebanon a regional economic center: the discovery of oil in Saudi
Arabia and the Gulf states and the closure of Israeli ports to Arab ships.
The oil-rich countries did not have the know-how, the personnel, or the
banks to handle the vast sums of revenue generated by the precious re-
source. They turned to Beirut, with its history of entrepreneurism and its
absence of strict banking laws, for help. The closure of Israeli ports to
Arab traffic made Beirut the only modern, well-equipped Arab port in the
eastern Mediterranean. All merchandise in transit to the inland states,
which had not yet built their own ports, had to go through Beirut, which
in turn extracted healthy revenues for its services.
   Some of the profit from these new ventures was reinvested in Hamra,
whose spaciousness and modern architectural character made the center
of Beirut, with its now-quaint Mandate architecture, narrow streets, and
stuffy family atmosphere, seem obsolete. The Beirut urban landscape be-
came even more complex. The old city center settled into a slumber of
neglect and decay, while Hamra, with its new buildings and Western air,
became a unique attraction for Lebanese and foreigners alike. Hamra,
whose main buildings are still standing, offered cafes, cinemas, shops, and





164 | Michael F. Davie


offices, along with hotels that catered to foreigners doing business in
Lebanon. It provided new jobs for both Lebanese and Palestinian refugees.
   The modernization of Beirut (and of Tripoli, Sidon, and larger towns)
occurred at a favorable moment in Lebanese history, when abundant capi-
tal and labor, linked to global economic interests, made Lebanon a major
player in the world economy and guaranteed its protection by Western
powers such as the United States. This was the case in 1958, when U.S.
troops shored up the Lebanese government in order to ensure the unfet-
tered activity of the oil companies in the region. Lebanon also benefited
from the introduction of state socialism in many Middle Eastern coun-
tries, which suffered under a corresponding burden of state bureaucracy
and the stifling of individual initiative. Unfettered Lebanon, in contrast,
basked in the myth of the "Lebanese miracle."
   The "Lebanese miracle," however, was no boon to the development of
Lebanon's urban landscape. Economic prosperity justified the lack of state
intervention in urban planning, even as to basic architectural and building
codes. Belated plans drawn up during the Chehab period failed to address
the issue of urban sprawl seriously. As a result, Lebanon's main towns and
cities became chaotic cityscapes, a mixture of old and new, tall and low,
business and residential, with little discernable hierarchy. In Beirut, the
crowded Mandate suburbs were rebuilt to accommodate a never-ending
influx of Lebanese from the interior (Furn el-Chebbak, Ain al-Rum-
maneh, and Chiyyah are typical examples of these suburbs). In Sidon and
Tripoli, as in the larger towns, the same uncontrolled development pro-
duced a dense urban mass.
   The new wave of development gave birth to Western-style upper-class
residential communities on the heights above Beirut (such as Yarzeh,
Rabieh, Naccache, Yanar, Bchemoun, Mechref, and Adonis) and new
summer resorts in the mountains, along with an expansion of housing for
middle-class Beirutis. Despite these islands of prosperity, the suburbs close
to the city remained, as always, densely populated by lower- or middle-
class white-collar workers, and on the periphery of the suburbs were
slums or substandard housing that sheltered refugees and new immigrants
from rural communities. The slums abutted the Palestinian refugee camps.
Prosperous Beirut thus developed a spatial framework common to Third
World cities, a framework that still exists today.
   In this urban magma, previous social structures and allegiances and
current social realities made a volatile mix. Urban Lebanese of the 1950s
and 1960s retained their traditional rural ties because the Lebanese politi-
cal system prevented the forging of new urban identities and elites. Resid-





The Urban Landscape of Lebanon | 165


ing in a city did not make you a citizen of the city: Lebanese still voted in
the constituency of their parents, as defined by the 1932 census. Divided
according to social status, and again by religion or by geographic origin,
urban Lebanese constituted a politically amorphous mass, docile only as
long as economic prosperity continued.
   Throughout this period, wars and disorders in neighboring countries
continued to benefit Lebanon. The 1956 Suez crisis and the closure of the
Suez Canal made Beirut's port and airport undisputed regional relay
points. The nationalization of businesses in Syria, Iraq, and Egypt brought
fresh capital and well-educated immigrants to Lebanon. The extensions of
its port and the opening of its new airport made Beirut newly important in
the context of Western economic interests, especially after the 1967 war,
when they provided the only access for land-locked Middle Eastern coun-
tries such as Jordan, Iraq, and Saudi Arabia.
   Lebanon's cities, however, could not indefinitely absorb the workforce
of the region. Increasingly, both Lebanese and foreign nationals emigrated
to places such as the United States, Canada, Australia, Saudi Arabia, the
Gulf states, and Africa in search of work opportunities. Money earned
abroad made its way back to Lebanon, stimulating an unregulated build-
ing industry and an increasing urban disorder that would play a major
factor in the Lebanese civil war.

The Urban Landscape and the Lebanese Civil War

There is a strong link between Lebanon's urban disorder and the outbreak
of its civil war. The Palestinian and fundamentalist Muslim militancy that
fed military conflicts such as Black September and the 1973 Arab-Israeli
war was an urban or periurban phenomenon, bred in refugee camps and
slums. Beirut was a center of such activity, providing a space for politically
active Palestinian refugees, organized into disciplined military forces, to
join together with Lebanese recently moved to the capital from other areas
of the country.
   The failure of Lebanon's liberal economy was physically expressed in
Beirut's overcrowded, ever-expanding suburbs. While the "modern" parts
of the city were being built (Hamra, the residential suburbs, Ras Beirut),
and while some privileged sectors were prospering from Beirut's mo-
nopoly on regional travel, the rest of the economy was in decline. Agricul-
ture was abandoned in favor of land speculation. Industry was never a
national priority. Tourism and the service industry were left to small-scale
family operations. The lack of jobs and continuing social and political





166 | Michael F. Davie


marginalization drove the low-income population of the suburbs toward
radical organizations that offered simple solutions to complex questions,
using nationalism or religion as the main vector of their message.
   Residents of the suburbs were tempted by the prosperous city centers,
looking at them as the loci for money and stability. Control of the city
centers meant control of wealth and power. The Lebanese civil war started
in the Beirut suburbs, only spreading to the city center toward the end of
1975. Suburban militias plundered and destroyed the city center, and this
takeover of the center by the periphery meant the start of a new phase in
Lebanon's urban development.
   In the first years of the war, Beirut was divided into two cities, undergo-
ing the equivalent of ethnic purification along religious lines. The mostly
Muslim survivors of the assaults against Tel ez-Zaatar, Karantina, and Jisr
el-Basha camps flowed into what was now called West Beirut, while
mostly Christian refugees from Damour, Moussaitbeh, Hamra, Ras
Beirut, or Kantari crossed over to East Beirut. Incessant reciprocal shelling
forced many of the city's inhabitants to move out of range of artillery,
radically expanding the populations of Adonis, Ajaltoun, Reifoun,
Jounieh or Dora, Aramoun, Choueifat, and Sidon. This first wave of ur-
banization caused by the war quickly transformed the coastal strip and
lower slopes of the mountain (the villages of Mazraat Yachouh and
Mansouriyyeh are good examples). The breakdown of the remaining
municipal services, the control by the militias of the urban regulatory
bodies, and the economic free-for-all further contributed to urban chaos.
   A second wave of urbanization followed the first Israeli invasion of
Lebanon in 1978. Within a few days, the main cities to the south of Beirut,
as well as most of West Beirut, were overrun by refugees seeking shelter
from the Israeli assault. Soon, refugees became illegal squatters on public
and private property, largely in the southern suburbs, but also in closed or
abandoned apartments in Ras Beirut and the pericentral sector of the city.
Hamra, once the showcase of Lebanon's westernized economy and cul-
ture, now mirrored the rural habits of its new population. After the second
Israeli invasion of Lebanon in 1982, the old bourgeois Achrafiyyeh neigh-
borhood sheltered refugees from the Shouf alongside militiamen.
   After 1984, the effects of the new urbanization were felt on the out-
skirts of the city. To the north, Jounieh was urbanized from Haret el-Sakhr
to Adma and further inland above Tabarja. Ajaltoun and Feytroun nearly
merged, and Faraya became a year-round residential center. New residen-
tial complexes were built on the beach for year-round use, and schools and
universities were relocated to surprising locations. Branches of govern-





The Urban Landscape of Lebanon | 167


ment ministries were opened in each militia-held territory, as were televi-
sion and radio stations. Strategic roads were cut through the remaining
open areas, while new ports and an airport were built toward Jebail.
   To the south of the city, many militias vied for control of the coast. As
soon as it secured territory, however, each militia encouraged the building
of infrastructure that would make it less dependent on other areas. This
happened in the Shouf, the Sidon area, and the Koura and Ehden-
Bcharreh sectors.
   The total breakdown of state authority, coupled with the total control
of urban spaces by the militias, encouraged the uncontrolled urbanization
of most of the western slopes of central Mount Lebanon. Economic liber-
alism was pushed to the extreme, with no controls on business or profit
making. The militias were huge economic players, investing capital in
import-export opportunities, collecting parallel taxes and protection
money, and reinvesting in building projects, land, and infrastructure. They
did not, however, provide any solutions to the deepening urban crisis. The
militias merely continued the economic logic of prewar Lebanon: let the
market economy reign, but without any social safety net or any real effort
to make the system more productive.

The Urban Landscape in the Post-Civil War Era

After the end of the war, a new elite came to power, with a very different
agenda than that of the militia and military leaders who controlled Leba-
non during the civil war. This new group analyzed the urban crisis in clear-
cut terms: Beirut must regain its former status, both as the locus of na-
tional prosperity and as Lebanon's link to the new world economic order.
The idea was simple: Beirut would again be the relay point between the
financial, economic, and decision-making cities of the north (in the United
States and Europe), the Gulf states, and the successful Asian states. Its
strategic location, liberal economy, westernized culture, and white-collar
labor force would make it an integral part of the new world economic
order established after the failure of the Soviet Union. Capital from the oil-
rich states would be managed by the Lebanese banks, stocks would be
exchanged by Arabic-speaking brokers, and foreign investors would use
the country as a fiscal haven. The success of Beirut would in turn herald
economic prosperity for the rest of Lebanon.
   For the first time since the start of the French mandate, the elite realized
that urban planning, with controls and regulations, was necessary for the
success of the new Beirut. The city center was to be rebuilt in accordance





168 | Michael F. Davie


with a detailed plan that met international architectural and building stan-
dards. Implementing this plan required a clean slate. One investment com-
pany, Solidaire, was given a monopoly on rebuilding the city center, with
the right to exercise eminent domain over all private property. In return, it
issued bonds as compensation to property owners.
   The plan mirrored current thinking on the role of space in the global
economy: space has value only when it is organized according to the needs
of potential investors, not according to its position in a city. This meant
that the city center would no longer be the meeting point of all the
country's population, containing the central bus station and the main
souks (markets). For the sake of efficiency, the urban landscape would be
radically changed, making the city center a place for white-collar workers.
Economic productivity would be achieved at the price of diversity. The
city center would become a safe, sanitized, politically neutral environ-
ment, so as not to endanger the trust of its international investors.
   The elite that developed this reconstruction plan, however, still had to
operate within the larger context of Lebanon's religious and political sys-
tem. The confessional republic established in the 1920s survived the war,
although the 1990 Ta'if Agreement made modifications in power sharing
between the Christian and Muslim communities. In order to gain support
for the reconstruction and consolidate a hold on the city center, the elite
had to cede power to the periphery, giving control of other regions of
Lebanon to religious leaders. These alliances ensured that the reconstruc-
tion would not be a forum for grassroots urban democracy or a resur-
rected Beirut Urban Authority. The CDR (Conseil du Developpement et
de la Reconstruction) was directly linked to the prime minister's office.
Decisions relating to urban questions would be made under complete con-
trol of the political leaders.
   The reconstruction project received unambiguous support from most
parts of Lebanese and Beiruti society from 1992 to 1996. Any criticism
was branded as sabotage, and no open debate on the project took place.
The destruction of the old city center proceeded, creating a new urban
landscape. Landowners, merchants, and bankers saw the reconstruction
as an opportunity to recoup losses sustained during the war. Land could be
sold at good prices (or shares obtained in an apparently prosperous and
promising company, Solidaire), businesses and shops could reopen, and
capital would once again be available. The lower classes saw the recon-
struction as providing job opportunities in the building sites or in the
service economy. Young Lebanese saw it as proof of a new era in their
country's history, confirming the end of the old militia order and urban




The Urban Landscape of Lebanon | 169


anarchy. Diaspora Lebanese welcomed the reconstruction as proof that
the war had ended, that it was safe to come back to work and invest in
Lebanon.
   Elsewhere in Lebanon, other reconstruction projects were taking place
with less fanfare. After more than ten years of interrupted work, the
Linord project filled in the northern coast between Antelias and Dbayyeh
and planned to link it with another infill between Dora and Antelias. This
wholly private venture deeply marked the urban landscape and ecology of
Lebanon. In Beirut's southern suburbs, a government project, Elisar, was
redeveloping the areas around the Palestinian refugee camps, affecting
Sabra-Shatila camps, Bir Hassan and Bourj-Barajneh, Moa'awwad, and
part of the Choueifat plain. An urban landscape of slums, illegal housing,
and narrow streets was to be replaced by a model residential and light-
industry city. A new network of roads was planned, including a toll high-
way that would link Beirut to other cities and a widening of the Beirut-
Damascus highway to link the city center, port, and new airport.
   This flurry of development gave observers grounds for optimism. Jobs
had been created (albeit for the foreign work force), the national economy
had benefited, and there had been a building boom (although the thou-
sands of luxury apartments produced remained empty). The problem of
squatters had been solved to the general satisfaction of all concerned, from
the displaced persons to the politicians who protected them, and the city's
infrastructure had been put into semi-working order.
   The political system, however, seemed more conservative than ever.
There was little room for the development of new political parties or of a
new political consciousness among the urban citizens of the country, who
still voted in their ancestors' place of origin. The concrete aspects of
Lebanon's inclusion in the new global economy had been planned, but the
social aspects had been ignored.


Lebanon's Reconstruction and the New Global Economy

Beirut is at a turning point, with the heritage of the past hundred years still
evident and the future urban landscape still taking shape. The Solidaire
project is planned to end in the early 2020s, and the northern coast infill
will not be completed until the 2010s. The new road infrastructure and the
extensions of the port and airport will not be totally operational before
2010. Reconstruction projects in other Lebanese cities are on the same
timetable.





170 | Michael F. Davie


   The economic benefits of the reconstruction for Lebanon, however, do
not seem as great as in the early to mid-1990s. The recent global economic
crisis, together with the collapse of Asian markets, the destabilization of
the major currencies, and the possibility of recession, poses important
questions as to the value of the new Beirut as a regional financial hub. The
Lebanese workforce is expensive and not particularly knowledgeable in
sophisticated production techniques. It is cheaper to produce goods else-
where. The local market (three million inhabitants) is small, the technol-
ogy used is simple, and the added value very minimal. The use of foreign
labor is no solution to the problem, as the resulting export of capital
affects the national currency and increases the prices of goods. The heavy,
inefficient, and corrupt state bureaucracy further stifles the mediocre
profit-earning capacity of local industry and services. Even Lebanon's
much-vaunted banks make more profit abroad, investing in stocks and
shares or speculating on exchange rates, than they do in Lebanon. The
spread of the use of the Internet for business has reduced the value of
Lebanon's physical location. Space, its value and distribution, is no longer
at the heart of the global economy.
   Syria, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, and the Gulf states have all built state-of-
the-art ports or container terminals, limiting Beirut's traditional role as the
center of Middle East transit. Beirut International Airport has lost its po-
sition as a forced technical stop for aircraft on the Europe-Asia route.
Planes now fly nonstop to destinations in Southeast Asia, or stop off in the
Gulf states. Even Lebanon's network of roads is outside the region's over-
land transit routes. Trucks from Turkey now pass through Syria to Saudi
or Jordanian markets.
   The failures of the Middle East peace process and the continuing vio-
lence in southern Lebanon after the Israeli withdrawal also affect the pros-
pects for a reconstructed Beirut as a financial center of the new global
economy. Israeli banks, with their access to international financial net-
works and their familiarity with current international financial practices,
are serious competitors with Lebanese banks for business even among
Arab countries, Arab solidarity notwithstanding.
   Internal criticism of the reconstruction has also become more vocal,
sparked by the destruction of the historic, architecturally rich district of
Wadi Abou-Jmil. When protests did not save the district from being flat-
tened, it seemed that the alliance between the country's power structure
and Solidaire was confining Lebanese society. At a moment when demo-
cratic expectations were being expressed all over the world, especially in





The Urban Landscape of Lebanon | 171


Eastern Europe, the limits imposed on debate over the reconstruction
chilled enthusiasm for the project. Beirutis began to realize that the project
would not benefit all of the urban population, only a privileged few who
would be able to afford luxury residences or new offices. Former land-
owners felt cheated at having been forced to cede their property at
Solidaire-imposed prices, then seeing Solidaire resell the property at wildly
inflated rates. The reconstruction of Beirut began to appear as an island of
prosperity for the inner circle of the country's ruling class, with the rest of
the population left to manage on its own.
   Lebanon suddenly realized that the rest of the world had not waited for
the Lebanese civil war to end. The global economy now worked according
to a different set of rules, and space was no longer an important part of the
equation. Beirut's traditional advantages were no longer relevant, particu-
larly in light of its continuing political and social problems, small size,
technology gap, and expensive land and labor. Lebanon was no longer a
serious competitor in the global marketplace.

The Future of Lebanon's Urban Landscape

Lebanon's urban landscape is again being transformed. As Solidaire has
destroyed Beirut's Ottoman-era city center in preparation for reconstruc-
tion, historic buildings in the pericentral districts are becoming more val-
ued. The latest craze is to rehabilitate old buildings and either live in them
or transform them into chic restaurants or clubs. Remaining historic
neighborhoods, as well as individual buildings, are prized for aesthetic,
cultural, and social reasons.
   The Lebanese urban landscape, however, is increasingly grim. Beirut is
rapidly becoming a series of "urban canyons" choked by traffic. Upper-
class neighborhoods exert some control on the quality of their environ-
ment, but elsewhere the population has to cope with pollution, noise, and
lack of road maintenance. In many places in Lebanon, the natural envi-
ronment has been destroyed, rock quarries disfigure the mountains and
the valleys, forests have been burned or leveled, water and air pollution is
endemic, and the sea is just a refuse dump.
   One Lebanese in two now lives in Greater Beirut, and more than two
out of three Lebanese live in cities or large towns. Continuing urban mi-
gration is likely to result in an uninterrupted amorphous mass of urban-
ization extending from Jebail to Sidon, with today's tourist towns expand-
ing into full-time residential areas. Tripoli will overflow into the Koura




172 | Michael F. Davie


along the main roads to Amioun or Zghorta, and Sidon will fill in the
space from the Awali to Zahrani, annexing the villages in the foothills.
Tyre will fill the sand dunes to the south and any available space on the
coast. Similar growth will be seen in the Baalbek and Zahle-Chaura areas.
   The current division of the cities into upper-class, middle-class, lower-
class, and slum areas will continue. The Palestinian camps will not disap-
pear, unless another solution is found for their inhabitants. The nomad
camps around the cities will also exist as long as a low-wage workforce is
required to build the urban extensions and infrastructure. The upper-class
residential centers will maintain their appeal because of their exclusive
character; due to lack of space, very few new ones will be created. The
inner cores of villages and towns will slowly be replaced by commercial
centers, shopping malls, and residential buildings, thus destroying the re-
maining remnants of the old architectural and social order.
   Around Beirut itself, the commercial and business district that cur-
rently spreads between Mkalles and Dbayyeh (the "Beirut Blue Banana")
will be consolidated, offering services and products to the local market. In
Tripoli, the old souks will decline further, or be rehabilitated (the gold
souk is an example); real commercial activity will take place in the Azmi
and Al-Mitain streets, and the city's center will slowly decline. The old
center of Sidon, encircled by rapid-transit boulevards, will struggle to
maintain some of its character, but land speculation will slowly encroach
on the old souks, which will be either destroyed or transformed into the
ersatz souks of Jebail.
   This harsh analysis is based on the assumptions that Lebanon's liberal
economic system and confessional political system will not change and
that Lebanon will not be able to recapture the place that it occupied in the
global market in the years following World War II. The successes of the
1950s and 1960s were a consequence of favorable historical circum-
stances, not of national will and planning. Beirut no longer has any par-
ticular place in the hierarchy of world cities, and the global economy has
no real need of Beirut.
   A totally free market economy like Lebanon's is not conducive to large-
scale investment, as the absence of state controls limits the building of the
infrastructure necessary for profit making. The lack of a social safety net
increases political and social unrest, with the only solution being a repres-
sive regime backed by military force. Such countries are rife with violence,
as conflicts in Asia, Africa, and Central and South America have demon-
strated. Investors are increasingly wary of countries that are unable to
offer social stability without repressive violence. In Lebanon, privati-





The Urban Landscape of Lebanon | 173


zation is the new catch phrase, and the state is further decreasing its mini-
mal social services.
   Lebanese are deeply disenchanted with politics. The revolutionary slo-
gans of the 1970s and 1980s, the religious slogans of the later years of the
civil war, and the nationalist slogans of the 1990s have disappeared. Al-
balad macheh is now the object of cynical jokes. In the absence of demo-
cratic planning structures such as a Greater Beirut Authority, social frag-
mentation and political feebleness will continue to characterize the
Lebanese urban landscape. The power structure will become increasingly
repressive. Social tension will be a way of life, with a privileged few prof-
iting from the uncontrolled system, while the others struggle to survive,
fighting for jobs that will go to cheaper foreign labor or to other countries.
Emigration from Lebanon will persist, and its cities will slowly decline.
Indonesia, the Congo, and Algeria are demoralizing examples of what
Lebanon may become.

Conclusion

The Lebanese urban landscape has developed more as a consequence of
outside historical influences than of long-term urban planning, a fact that
does not bode well for Lebanon's future. The gracious modern Beirut of
the Ottoman era was altered under French military rule following World
War I. From the 1920s through the 1940s, Lebanon's cities grew un-
checked due to massive emigration from rural areas, overseen by religious
elites who used the cities to support their traditional rural constituencies.
The influx of Palestinian refugees into Lebanon in 1947-48 added perma-
nent refugee camps and fomenting political unrest to Lebanon's urban
sprawl but also spurred the growth of Beirut's new financial and commer-
cial center, Hamra.
   The prosperity of the 1950s and 1960s was due to Lebanon's position
as a cosmopolitan relay point between the oil-producing Middle Eastern
countries and the West, at a time when neighboring countries were viewed
as unstable and hostile to Western interests. The Lebanese civil war of the
1970s and 1980s, inflamed by regional conflicts, divided Beirut into sec-
tors controlled by competing militias with short-term interests and re-
moved Lebanon from the global marketplace at a time of great technologi-
cal change. The redevelopment schemes of the 1990s were hampered by
the limitations of Lebanon's confessional political system, as well as by a
global economy that had bypassed Lebanon and made its location, tradi-
tionally an asset, irrelevant.





174 I Michael F. Davie

   The Lebanese confessional political system, suited to prosperity, cannot
cope with economic fragility or a global economy whose rules and scale of
operation far exceed Lebanese know-how. A dogma of "no state interfer-
ence" continues to hobble Lebanon's development in an era in which
strong governmental services ensure political and economic stability and
attract global investment. Because there has been no real improvement in
Lebanon's political system, Lebanon's reconstruction is doomed to failure.








I0



The Ecological Crisis in Lebanon

   Fouad Hamdan





Lebanon is experiencing an ecological crisis that is the result of decades of
uncontrolled and unregulated development and nearly sixteen years of
civil war (1975-90). The improper disposal of household, industrial, and
hospital waste and industrial pollution have compromised the quality of
Lebanon's air and water. Over 50 percent of Lebanon's water sources are
contaminated, by World Health Organization standards, and smog has
become a daily reality in its overdeveloped cities and industrial areas.
   The biodiversity of the Lebanese environment has been compromised
by the destruction of its forests through urban development and uncon-
trolled fires, illegal logging, and unregulated stone quarries. The percent-
age of the country covered by forests has shrunk from 20 percent in 1975
to 5 percent in the late 1990s. Illegal hunting and the use of chemicals in
agriculture have further aggravated these problems. The redevelopment of
Beirut and other Lebanese cities in the wake of the civil war will bring
more waste and pollution to Lebanon.
   This chapter details the extent of the pollution of Lebanon and the
efforts of environmental organizations, using the example of Greenpeace,
to influence government, private industry, and individual citizens to stop
practices that contribute to the problem. It also outlines the steps neces-
sary to make twenty-first-century Lebanon cleaner and more productive.

The Waste Disposal Crisis

Lebanon is in the process of drowning in its own waste. There are dozens
of waste dumps all along the Lebanese coastline, in the mountains, and in
the Beqaa Valley. More than 4,000 tons of household waste are generated
every day in Lebanon, much of which ends up in open landfills or in the
sea. In Greater Beirut, according to 1998 official data, 1,700 tons of waste





176 | Fouad Hamdan


per day is separated in two plants in Karantina and Amrushieh. Fifty per-
cent of this waste is composted for agricultural purposes, and 10 percent
is recycled. The rest is dumped into a "sanitary landfill" in the Naameh
Valley south of Beirut. Lebanese authorities plan to build similar so-called
sanitary landfills all over the country, including in Zahle, Baalbek, and the
south. Unfortunately, the World Bank and other international institutions
want to finance these projects.
   Environmental groups are concerned about an unknown amount of
hazardous hospital waste and industrial toxic waste being dumped in
Naameh. The British company Fairhurst International, which helped
build the Naameh landfill, estimated that the lining of the landfill, de-
signed to isolate waste from the environment, would not last more than
ten years. This is a highly dangerous situation. Toxic substances in land-
fills create leachate, a toxic fluid that leaks into groundwater reservoirs
and poisons them. Sanitary landfills that contain toxic and hazardous
waste are ecological time bombs. Only nonrecyclable, noncompostable,
and nontoxic wastes should be placed in landfills, especially in a country
like Lebanon, whose geological composition is mainly sand and fractured
rocks like limestone.
   Outside the Greater Beirut area, wastes are dumped or treated through
open-air incineration, the most dangerous way to dispose of toxic waste.
The most infamous dump sites are the coastal dumps in Tripoli, Sidon,
and Tyre, as well as the inland dumps of Balamad, Baalbeck, Zahle, Uyun
al-Siman, and Sibline. A 1998 Lebanese environmental scandal involved
the illegal transfer of a hazardous waste dump. Two Spanish construction
companies and a Lebanese company had been paid $102 million dollars
by the Lebanese Council of Development and Reconstruction (CDR) to
complete an on-site rehabilitation of the dump at the Beirut port, which
had been closed in 1991 to make room for the expansion of the port. This
dump contained hazardous hospital and industrial waste from the period
of the Lebanese civil war, toxic ash from the nearby Karantina incinerator,
and toxic waste imported to Lebanon from Italy in 1987. Instead of ac-
complishing the job as promised, the firms brought the waste to the
Monteverde region in the mountains outside Beirut.
   Greenpeace discovered the illegal activity, and the waste was returned
to the Beirut port for on-site treatment, but it had already contaminated
the Monteverde dump site. More than 20,000 tons of waste and 10,000
tons of contaminated soil had to be removed, and a thousand trucks were
needed to carry out the operation. There are fears that leaking toxic sub-
stances may have poisoned the Beirut River and the Dayshunieh well un-





                                       The Ecological Crisis in Lebanon | 177

derneath the Monteverde dump site. About 600,000 people in Beirut re-
ceive drinking water from Dayshunieh.
   Sample test results carried out by Greenpeace's scientific laboratory in
Exeter University in England showed that leachate and sediments from the
dump contained high levels of toxic heavy metals like chromium, nickel,
cadmium, mercury, and lead. Some metals were found at levels ten times
greater than one would expect in uncontaminated sediments. These heavy
metals are known to be toxic to the aquatic environment even at very low
concentrations. Cadmium damages the kidneys and bones and may cause
cancer. Lead severely damages the brain, especially in children. Mercury
affects the kidneys and the brain, while nickel and chromium have nega-
tive effects on the kidney and liver.
   A report published by Greenpeace, "Waste Management Alternatives
in the Mediterranean: A Case Study for the Spanish Island of Mallorca,"
gives detailed steps that should be applied to solving Lebanon's waste
crisis. The report opposes waste incineration and dumping toxic and haz-
ardous wastes in any sort of landfill.1 Its alternative plan involves waste
reduction, selective waste collection, waste classification, recycling, and
composting and includes cost estimates for implementing the new proce-
dures. It also outlines public awareness campaigns that encourage citizens
to consume local products, buy from small shops or markets, eliminate
toxic products like batteries and solvents, avoid products that make exces-
sive use of packaging materials, and refuse throwaway products such as
plastic bags, one-way plastic bottles (especially those that contain toxic
polyvinyl chloride, or PVC), and aluminum cans in favor of glass and
recyclable materials.
   In the meantime, several Lebanese villages have gone their own way
and implemented environmental campaigns. In the town of Bsharre
(Kesrowan), the local Association for the Protection of the Environment is
cooperating with the municipality to separate waste at its source and re-
cycle as much waste as possible. Batteries are stored in containers. Eighty
percent of the town's 10,000 residents took part in the 1998 project,
which was funded by the United Nations Development Program (UNDP)/
LIFE program. Local groups in the southern villages of Arab Salim and
Maghdushe are successfully implementing similar projects.

The Selaata Incinerator and Hazardous Hospital Waste

The Lebanese Ministry of Environment and the CDR had planned to build
a hospital waste incinerator in Selaata in northern Lebanon. A study com-





178 | Fouad Hamdan


missioned by the CDR and financed by a World Bank loan listed the ex-
pensive and polluting facility as an environmentally friendly and relatively
inexpensive solution to the problem of hospital waste. Government au-
thorities have refused to publish the study.2
   Greenpeace believes it is a myth that incineration definitively eliminates
hazardous waste. The "cleaner" the smoke and fly ash from incineration,
the more toxic the residual ash in the kiln. This toxic ash, when dumped
in a landfill, will contaminate groundwater reservoirs and soils. Lebanese
medical facilities currently produce approximately forty-six tons of waste
daily, about nine tons of which are hazardous.3 The first logical step in
managing this waste involves separating infectious from noninfectious
waste. Infectious waste can be sterilized through microwaving or steaming
and can then be shredded and recycled. Body parts and animals used in
medical testing constitute no more than one percent of the total hospital
waste pool; careful cremation or burial are environmentally sound tech-
niques of disposing of them. Radioactive waste should be sealed in special
isolating containers and stored above ground to avoid leakage.
   For the remaining waste, hospitals should implement waste separation
systems, substituting reusable and durable products for disposable prod-
ucts, and introducing recycling programs for plastics, paper, and metal.
PVC, which is the most widely used plastic in the health care field, must be
phased out in all products. Alternatives to PVC exist for use in medical
equipment.4
   Environmental groups have made appeals to CDR and the Ministry of
the Environment to stop any incinerator projects and seek safe, economi-
cal alternatives to the incineration of hospital waste. Neither institution
has responded, fueling fears that incinerators will be built despite the fact
that they will encourage excessive waste generation and the diversion of
public and private capital from constructive waste prevention and recy-
cling activities.

The Problem of Industrial Waste

Industrial waste in Lebanon is increasing along with Lebanese industry,
without any environmental controls as to its treatment or disposal. A
1995 report by the Mediterranean Environmental Technical Assistance
Program (METAP) estimated the total solid waste from Lebanese industry
to be about 326,000 tons per year. An unknown amount is toxic. Given
the concentration of industry in Mount Lebanon, it follows that most
industrial waste is generated there. Assuming an annual growth in indus-





                                       The Ecological Crisis in Lebanon | 179

trial output of 8 percent, the METAP report projected that by 2010 Leba-
nese industrial waste could be over 1 million tons per year.5 Official un-
published reports by Greenpeace estimate that industrial solid waste in
Lebanon is expected to increase from 1,051 tons/day (383,615 tons/year)
in 1994 to 4,090 tons/day (1.49 million tons/year) in the year 2020. Solid
toxic waste is projected to increase from 51 tons/day (18,615 tons/year) to
177 tons/day (64,605 tons/year) in the same period. In addition to solid
waste, industrial wastewater is expected to increase all over Lebanon from
61,120 cubic meters/day in 1994 to 191,625 cubic meters/day in 2020.
   Most industrial wastewater is discharged into the Mediterranean Sea
or inland rivers and streams without treatment, sometimes through pipes
owned by the company, or through ordinary sewage pipes. Contaminated
groundwater is the result. Some industries dispose of their wastewater
through deep bore holes, risking contamination of underground waters
and springs in other locations. Solid industrial waste is dumped in the
sanitary landfill at Naameh, at other dump sites, or in the wild. These
wastes, some of which are toxic, are generally mixed with municipal
refuse without any safety measures.
   Cement production, cement pipes with asbestos, and chemical indus-
tries in Chekka and Selaata are a major source of marine, soil, and air
pollution in the Kura, North Lebanon. Sample tests carried out by the
Greenpeace research laboratory at Exeter University showed that ground-
water in Chekka is polluted by a wide range of toxic chemicals, while
emissions from the cement factories pollute the air and the Mediterranean
Sea.6 A petrocoke sample from the Cimenterie Nationale (CN) showed a
wide range of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAH) and dibenzothio-
furans. PAHs cause cancer. CN and the Societ6 du Ciment Libanais (SCL)
discharge their toxic effluents directly onto beaches or near beaches where
people swim.7
   Lebanese authorities are not only allowing but promoting the use of the
deadly fiber asbestos in the production of cement pipes and roof tiles. This
is in stark contrast to other countries, where increasing public concern,
objections by workers, government regulations, and mounting liabilities
have resulted in a precipitous decline in asbestos use. In the United States,
asbestos use peaked at around 780,000 metric tons in 1974 and declined
steadily to around 21,000 metric tons in 1997. World asbestos production
(and consumption) declined from an estimated 4.2 to 4.8 million metric
tons in 1986 to 2.07 million metric tons in 1997. The U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency (EPA), the World Health Organization, and the British
Health and Safety Commission (HSC) have all advised against using as-





180 | Fouad Hamdan


bestos, suggesting that there is evidence of a strong causal relationship
between asbestos exposure and cancers in the esophagus, larynx, oral cav-
ity, stomach, colon, and kidneys.8
   In Lebanon, Greenpeace has campaigned for a ban on the use of asbes-
tos in all applications, including sewage pipes, roof panels, and braking
pads. A major stumbling block in banning asbestos in Lebanon is an
agreement signed between the Ministry of Environment and the asbestos
producer Eternit in March 1997, which allows the company to use asbes-
tos forever. The protocol gives the illusion that asbestos can be dealt with
in a safe way, and authorities in Lebanon plan to use asbestos cement pipes
in many areas as part of the country's reconstruction program.
   The CDR and the Ministry for Water and Electricity Resources com-
pleted the installation of asbestos cement pipes for drinking water in the
Tripoli district of Damm wa Farez, near al-Salam Hospital, in March
1998. The installation of sewage systems with asbestos cement pipes be-
gan in the northern town of Miniah in Akkar in June 1998. The CDR and
the Ministry of Environment have refused to inform the public about the
kind of pipe that will be used in new drinking water systems in the south-
ern towns of Nabatieh and Tyre.
   Despite these setbacks, the campaign against asbestos use in Lebanon
has had some successes. In June 1998, the CDR and the Ministry of Hy-
draulics and Electricity chose to use asbestos-free pipes (iron pipes, GRP
or fiberglass pipes, and polyethylene plastic pipes) on the Kesrowan coast
and in the town of Batrun. The Kesrowan project was financed by the
Overseas Economic Cooperation Fund (OECF) of Japan, which refused to
fund any project that included asbestos pipes. This raises the question of
a double standard in politics. Why did CDR insist on using asbestos ce-
ment pipes in sewage projects in al-Miniah in Akkar, in Jiyyeh, south of
Beirut, and in the Damm wa Farez district in Tripoli, when it has opted for
safer alternatives in other areas?
   Lebanon must introduce laws requiring industries to shift toward in-
vesting in clean production technologies. This can be done with the help of
such incentives as tax reduction, customs tax reduction for imported raw
materials, and soft loans. For example, producers of PVC plastics should
switch to acceptable plastics like polyethylene (PET) or polypropylene
(PP). Paints should be free of toxic solvents, and tanneries should phase
out the use of the toxic heavy metal chromium.
   In all industrial sectors, management should implement "sustainable
development," defined as progress that meets the needs of the present
without undermining the well-being of future generations. The essential





                                      The Ecological Crisis in Lebanon | 181

elements of sustainable development are to avoid emissions of pollutants
into the air, soil, and water and to control the use of raw materials and
energy. The aim is zero toxic-waste production. Sustainable development
means that industry must consider the environmental effects of its opera-
tions during all stages of production: manufacture, consumption, and dis-
posal.
   Industry must make environmental protection a priority out of concern
for future generations, not just because of legal regulations or pressure
from environmental groups. If industry does not change its methods,
sooner or later the capacity of the Lebanese ecosystem to absorb pollut-
ants will break down completely.

The Fight against Imported Toxic Waste

Toxic waste imported from Italy in 1987 was noted among the waste at
the Beirut port dump that was moved illegally to Monteverde in 1998,
where it contaminated soil and water. The Beirut port scandal, however, is
just one example of problems caused for Lebanon by illegally imported
toxic waste. The Italian toxic waste came to Lebanon during the chaos of
the civil war, in a deal hammered out with a Lebanese firm and supervised
by members of the now-disbanded militia, the Lebanese Forces.9
   An Italian company shipped 2,411 tons of the waste in 15,800 barrels
and 20 containers in 1987. When the deal became known in 1988, public
outrage in Lebanon forced the Italian government to promise to return the
toxic material to Italy. But only 5,500 barrels were returned, loaded in
9,500 new barrels that left in four ships at Beirut Port in 1988-89. The
contents of more than 10,000 barrels and the twenty containers remained
in Lebanon. Some of the remaining waste was used as fertilizer, pesticide,
or raw material to produce paints or foam mattresses. Many barrels were
burned in the open air. Others were dumped in the Kesrowan Mountains
east of Beirut, endangering groundwater reservoirs. In some cases, barrels
were emptied and sold for storage of gasoline, water, or food.
   The shipment from Italy contained a deadly cocktail of toxic materials.
Among them were the explosive substance nitrocellulose, outdated adhe-
sives, organo-phosphoric pesticides, solvents, expired medications, oil
residues, and substances contaminated with highly toxic heavy metals
such as lead, mercury, and cadmium, as well as arsenic, chlorinated sub-
stances, and PCBs.
   In November 1994, samples were taken from barrels at the Beirut port
that had been brought there from the Kesrowan Mountains. Greenpeace





182 | Fouad Hamdan


test results showed that solid waste contained heavy metals, hydrocarbons
from oil residues, and chlorinated substances like HCBD, a highly toxic
chemical that causes neurological and kidney damage and is a suspected
carcinogen.
   After Greenpeace revealed that most of the Italian waste had remained
in Lebanon, months of confrontation between Lebanese authorities and
the Greenpeace representative followed. Government ministers tried to
cover up the issue, and there were open threats and two lengthy interroga-
tions of the local Greenpeace campaigner by the state prosecutor. Green-
peace, however, managed to convince the authorities to reopen the case.
As a result, seventy-seven tons of contaminated land and toxic waste were
returned to Europe in April 1996. Greenpeace is continuing to pursue the
issue until all of the waste that can be found is returned to Italy.
   Published documents show that there are at least five sites in Lebanon
contaminated by the toxic waste from Italy: Shnanir (near Jounieh),
Zelahmaya, Halat, Uyun al-Siman, and Tripoli. The Shnanir quarry was
used as a dump and burn site for most of the waste. The Lebanese environ-
ment minister had promised since 1996 that this waste site would be de-
contaminated, but nothing was done. In January 1998, the quarry was
reopened, with the potential to spread tons of contaminated soil all over
Lebanon. Greenpeace asked two of the three owners of the Shnanir quarry
not to touch the contaminated areas of the quarry, and they pledged to
keep their workers away from them.
   Italy is not the only country to have exported toxic waste to Lebanon.
Thirty-six containers of contaminated plastic waste were illegally im-
ported to Lebanon from Germany in August 1996. Greenpeace made this
illegal trade public and provided the authorities with official documenta-
tion. Thanks to the efforts of the Greenpeace Mediterranean office and
Greenpeace Germany, all thirty-six containers were returned to Germany
in two batches in May and June 1997.10 Two containers of Belgian plastic
waste were returned to the sender. The Belgian company that illegally
exported them to Lebanon in 1996 took them back.
   In December 1996, the Lebanese Ministry of Environment adopted a
regulation banning the import of all hazardous waste into Lebanon, even
under the guise of recycling. Greenpeace, which helped draft the strict
regulation, regards it as another success in the ongoing struggle against the
pollution of Lebanon.





                                       The Ecological Crisis in Lebanon | 183

Regional Antipollution Accords

Greenpeace's work in Lebanon is part of a regional campaign in the Medi-
terranean to pressure governments to ratify all protocols and amendments
related to the 1976 Barcelona Convention. These amendments ban indus-
trial and other toxic discharges along the coast and in rivers, waste dump-
ing at sea, toxic- and nuclear-waste trade, and oil pollution. They also
protect the biodiversity of the Mediterranean basin. Fish stocks in the
basin are threatened with extinction because of illegal drift netting. Oil
exploration and toxic pollution from industry and agriculture poison
marine life and the atmosphere. In addition, tourism and uncontrolled
coastal development are destroying ecosystems and the habitats of species.
   Land-based sources account for 85 percent of the pollution in the
Mediterranean. Most of the toxic pollution originates from Spain, France,
and Italy, although developing countries like Lebanon and Egypt are con-
tributing more and more to the problem. For the amendments to enter into
force, three-fourths of the Mediterranean states have to submit written
acceptance to the Convention Secretariat in Barcelona. In 1998, the only
states that have done so are Monaco and Tunisia.

Greenpeace's Philosophy and Role in Lebanon

Since its inception in 1971, Greenpeace has operated on the principle of
peaceful protest against environmental degradation and injustice. It fol-
lows the Christian Quaker tradition of "bearing witness," the nonviolent
civil disobedience of the American civil rights movement, and the nonvio-
lent direct action of the Indian leader Mahatma Gandhi. Bearing witness
means sailing or walking to the scene of the environmental crime. Docu-
mentation is done with photos and videos, and attempts are made to pre-
vent pollution with nonviolent actions. The images are then used to influ-
ence public opinion. The scene can be in the middle of the sea, where
Greenpeace samples industrial outflows or prevents nuclear testing and
toxic-waste dumping. It can be inland, where Greenpeace samples toxic-
waste dumps, the premises of a polluting company, or the toxic ash of a
waste incinerator.
   Many Lebanese officials, ministers, and industrialists have criticized
Greenpeace's actions as a media show. The truth is that no industrialists
would be willing to talk to Greenpeace in Lebanon or elsewhere were they
not certain that Greenpeace is in a position to damage their polluting
businesses and images. Greenpeace is effective not only because it docu-





184 | Fouad Hamdan


ments environmental abuses but also because it develops links with local
activists, community groups, government officials, and the media.
Greenpeace's allies in Lebanon provide important information on envi-
ronmental scandals and take an active role in campaigns for antipollution
laws and regulations.
   Greenpeace cooperated with the Popular Committee in Hay al-Sellom
in the southern suburbs of Beirut against the polluting Amrushieh waste
incinerator, as well as with seventeen local groups taking soil samples
along the Lebanese coast from Tyre to Akkar in October 1997. In May
1997, students in Monteverde informed Greenpeace that trucks were
dumping waste near their town in the Metn.
   Greenpeace's contact with people, directly or indirectly via the media,
has a democratic influence in a society where public debates involving
business people and politicians from influential families are a rarity. Al-
though Greenpeace was advised to give up its Western way of campaign-
ing in Lebanon by those who argued that a Middle Eastern society would
not accept naming and pressuring ecological culprits, the Greenpeace
style, with a Middle Eastern touch, proved to be successful.
   Greenpeace's openness about its work and finances is another part of
its success in Lebanon, where corruption has sullied political life. A pri-
vate financial company regularly audits the Greenpeace Mediterranean
outpost in Lebanon, and the financial statement is made public so that
everyone can know how Greenpeace spends money received from donors.
These nonviolent and democratic tools are models for social transforma-
tion in Lebanon, as well as essential to safeguarding the Lebanese environ-
ment and the health of its citizens.

An Environmental Plan for Lebanon in the Twenty-first Century

In the twenty-first century, Lebanese activists will continue to struggle to
get the Lebanese government to implement nationwide environmental
policies, in the face of increasing pollution from all sources. A safe envi-
ronment is necessary not only for public health but for the health of the
Lebanese economy as well. Squandering the natural resources and beauty
of Lebanon affects its agriculture and tourism, among other industries.
   According to a 1996 report issued by the World Bank, the estimated
annual cost of environmental and natural resource degradation in Leba-
non is over $315 million in U.S. dollars. The cost breaks down as follows:
safe water, sanitation, and hygiene, $130 million; air pollution and over-
crowding, $100 million; degradation of farming terraces, $55 million; and





                                       The Ecological Crisis in Lebanon | 185

soil erosion with degraded rangeland, $30 million. Since this report was
based on 1992 figures, it can be assumed that these costs have increased.
   After the civil war, the Lebanese government focused on rebuilding
Lebanon's infrastructure. Funds have been spent almost entirely on repair-
ing the electricity, road network, telecommunication, and water systems
and restaffing an overinflated, corrupt, and inefficient public sector. Pro-
tecting the environment is not a priority. The Ministry of Environment,
established after the war, is small and badly equipped, without an effective
professional staff. Since 1996, however, the Ministry of Environment has
taken a role in issues such as the banning of toxic-waste imports. It has
helped to establish national reserves in parts of Lebanon and has been
increasingly outspoken on environmental issues. These small projects
must grow into large government and industry initiatives.
   Lebanese authorities and businesses can invest in propaganda claiming
that Lebanon has regained its prewar beauty. They can use Internet web-
sites and television shows to spread the image that Lebanon is again the
"Switzerland of the Orient" and Beirut the "Paris of the Orient." Leba-
nese expatriates and Gulf Arabs will want to believe this, but one trip back
will rip the mask from Lebanon's polluted and ravaged face. In order to
make "Green Lebanon" truly rise from the ashes of war, the government,
the Lebanese Industry Association (LIA), and others in the private sector
must agree to channel funds and human resources to end and repair envi-
ronmental damage.
   In developing an effective environmental policy, Lebanese authorities
can count on the support of nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) such
as Greenpeace. Before this can happen, however, the Ministry of Environ-
ment and CDR must stop interfering in the internal affairs of NGOs and
start providing them with government reports and other vital information
on environmental issues. They also must stop trying to neutralize local
NGOs through the corrupt distribution of financial aid and lucrative, UN-
funded jobs. International organizations such as the World Bank and
UNDP, as well as many Western nations, would increase their financial
support to save Lebanon's environment if the government were willing to
involve NGOs in the decision-making process and to end large-scale cor-
ruption in public projects.
   In 1998, Lebanon jumped from 4 to 10 on the corruption scale of the
International Country Risk Guide, putting it on a par with Colombia and
ahead of Indonesia (8), Morocco (5.8), and Jordan (4). World Bank
economist Daniel Kaufmann stated that corruption in Lebanon was rising
faster than anywhere else in the world. The World Bank has approved





186 | Fouad Hamdan


$667 million in U.S. dollars for development projects in Lebanon, but
only 28 per cent of that money was actually spent by June 1998.11 About
$55 million earmarked for the waste-management sector is still waiting to
be spent, pending development of sound environmental practices.
   Lebanon is not dealing with unmanageable problems. Arguments for
clean industrial practices and effective waste management are not uto-
pian, but realistic. The Lebanese industrial sector is relatively small, and
often a few small factories are responsible for polluting large areas of the
coastline and river systems. In the absence of primary manufacturing in-
dustries such as smelting, chlorine manufacture, and pulp bleaching,
Lebanon's industrial waste can be managed appropriately and effectively.
Government and industry must start the process by taking the following
steps:

   - Expand the powers and increase the budget of the Ministry of
     Environment so that it can play an active role in cooperation with
     other institutions, such as the CDR and the ministries of industry,
     tourism, and education. Reshape this ministry into a Ministry of
     Environment and Technology. This new body would formulate
     environmental plans and coordinate and supervise their imple-
     mentation. It must have a right of veto over private development.
   - Establish an overall waste-management program focusing on
     waste prevention, separation at source, reuse, recycling, and
     composting. New laws and tax incentives should encourage in-
     dustry to invest in clean production methods.
   - Enforce the use of catalytic filters and lead-free gasoline in auto-
     mobiles. Encourage Lebanese to purchase small and energy-effi-
     cient cars, and structure import taxes to favor small cars, not large
     ones that use excessive fuel. Expand and modernize public trans-
     port to make it attractive to people from all walks of life.
   - Phase out the use of fossil fuels in power plants. Introduce energy-
     saving programs and shift to renewable energies like solar, wind,
     and biomass.
   - Restrict quarries to areas where no ecological damage could oc-
     cur, and regulate their operations according to stiff laws.
   - Start to implement a long-term environmental strategy. The
     United Nations and the World Bank have set forth sustainable-
     development strategies in papers that can serve as guides for Leba-
     non.





                                        The Ecological Crisis in Lebanon | 187

   The time has come for Lebanese authorities to use their historic oppor-
tunities to rebuild Lebanon on a sound environmental basis. They must
acknowledge environmental problems, set sound environmental strate-
gies, and work with NGOs and Lebanese citizens to ensure the country's
health and prosperity in the new century.


Notes

   1. Greenpeace report, "Waste Management Alternatives in the Mediterranean:
A Case Study for the Spanish Island of Mallorca" (English) and a summary (in
Arabic and English), 1997.
   2. Greenpeace briefing paper, "The Hospital Waste Crisis in Lebanon," August
1998.
   3. Information given at a presentation by Dr. Rita Karam, Medical Waste
Management Workshop, Beirut, October 1997.
   4. "The Hospital Waste Crisis in Lebanon."
   5. Report by the Mediterranean Environmental Technical Assistance Program
(METAP), "Lebanon: Assessment of the State of the Environment," 1995.
   6. Greenpeace report, "Heavy Metal and Organic Screen Analysis of Environ-
mental and Waste Samples Associated with Industrial Activities in Lebanon"
(Exeter: Greenpeace International Laboratory, University of Exeter, July 1998).
   7. Greenpeace report, "Organic Screen Analyses of Waste and Environmental
Samples Associated with the Cement and Chemical Industry in Lebanon" (Exeter:
Greenpeace International Laboratory, University of Exeter, May 1995).
   8. "EPA Background Information for Promulgated Asbestos, NESHAP Revi-
sions" (Washington, D.C.: Environmental Protection Agency, Emissions Stan-
dards Division, Office of Air and Radiation, Office of Air Quality Planning and
Standards, October 1990).
   9. Greenpeace report, "Toxic Attack against Lebanon, Case One: Toxic Waste
from Italy," May 1995.
   10. Greenpeace report, "Toxic Attack Against Lebanon, Case Three: Plastic
Waste from Germany," October 1996.
   11. Daily Star (Beirut), 8 September 1998.












The Lebanese Economy in the Twenty-first Century

   Wassim N. Shahin






Predicting the long-term behavior of a country's economy is difficult be-
cause of the speed at which systems and performances change in today's
global environment. Political considerations also affect economic behav-
ior, and it remains an open question whether the Lebanese economy, what-
ever its individual performance, can achieve a soft landing on the bumpy
regional runway of the Middle East.
   This chapter offers an analysis of Lebanon's current economic perfor-
mance that eschews political considerations. Section 1 compares the ac-
tual performance of the Lebanese economy to predictions made by the
government after Lebanon's civil war ended and the massive reconstruc-
tion of the country's infrastructure began. Section 2 outlines the mechan-
ics behind Lebanon's current economic situation. Section 3 recommends a
macroeconomic plan for Lebanon to achieve growth and stability in the
new century. Section 4 is a proposal for an Arab Economic and Monetary
Union (AEMU) based on that of the European Community (EC), taking
into consideration both the benefits of and obstacles to such a plan.

Lebanon's Economy in the Post-Civil War Era: Anticipated
and Actual Performance

When the first Hariri government came to power at the end of 1992, many
observers believed that Lebanon had begun its return to economic devel-
opment, growth, and stability. The reconstruction plan for Beirut and the
suburbs, along with the peace dividend from domestic (and potentially
regional) detente, were expected to attract a major flow of capital into
long-term investments. In order to encourage foreign direct investments
and motivate domestic business, the government reformed its tax laws,




The Lebanese Economy | 189


making Lebanon a tax haven for domestic and foreign enterprises. By the
end of 1992, Lebanese currency had improved its standing against the U.S.
dollar, from $1 = 2,420 LL (Lebanese lira) to $1 = 1,838 LL. This trend
continued into 1993 ($1 = 1,713.18 LL) and mid-1994 ($1 = 1,670 LL).
   In the second half of 1994, Lebanese government officials and eco-
nomic advisors developed a optimistic plan to project the major macro-
economic variables in the Lebanese economy from 1995 to 2007. This
plan, unofficially known as Horizon 2000 (see table 11.1) predicted a
continuous growth rate for real gross domestic product (GDP). Growth
was projected at 9 percent per year until 1998, 8 percent for 1999-2002,
7 percent for 2003-2005, and 6 percent for 2006-2007. This ambitious
growth rate was to be accompanied by an inflation rate of 4 percent annu-
ally from 1998 to 2007. The standing of the Lebanese lira against the U.S.
dollar was expected to remain stable, while interest rates were to reach
single digits by 1999.
   The ratio of internal debt to GDP was projected in the area of 50 per-
cent, with the ratio of total debt to GDP reaching 90 percent by the end of
the century. The government expected a high ratio of external debt to GDP
because it planned to market its debt abroad and in foreign currency, at
lower interest rates. Total interest payments on debt were to reach two
trillion LL by the end of the century, a figure that represented 28 percent
of Lebanon's current expenditures and 27 percent of its current revenue.
   A comparison between actual indicators and Horizon 2000 plan as-
sumptions (see table 11.2) shows that the plan's predictions were far from
accurate. The most erroneous predictions were for the growth rate in real
GDP, debt and deficit figures, and interest payments on debt, especially as
percent of revenue and expenditure. The growth rate in GDP was 4 per-
cent in 1996 and 1997 instead of the expected 9 percent. The ratio of
internal debt to GDP reached 88.81 percent in 1997, instead of the ex-
pected 54.7 percent, while the ratio of external debt to GDP was half its
projected amount. Total debt to GDP exceeded its projected amount by
100 percent in 1996 and 1997. The total deficit reached 5.203 trillion LL
in 1997, much higher than the projected deficit of 3.63 trillion LL.
   Even more worrisome were the total interest payments on debt, which
in 1997 were 3.384 trillion LL, more than double the projected figure of
1.545 trillion LL. The real danger was reflected in the ratio of total interest
payments on debt to current expenditures (44.5) and to total revenue
(90.97). Horizon 2000 estimated the ratio of interest on debt to total
revenue in 1997 at only 34.2. What made this figure alarming is that the







Table 11.1. Lebanon's Horizon 2000 plan: Underlying assumptions
                               1994    1995    1996    1997    1998     1999

Real growth in GDP (%)           -      9.00    9.00   9.00    9.00     8.00
Growth in CPI (%)                -      6.00    5.00   4.50    4.00     4.00
LL/$ rate                     1,685    1,660   1,660  1,660   1,660    1,660
Domestic interest rate (%)       -      15.3   13.50  11.50   10.50     9.00
Government expenses/GDP (%)      -     41.6    38.90  37.20   35.20    33.70
Government revenues/GDP (%)      -     18.80   19.60  20.60   21.60    23.00
Internal debt/GDP (%)            -    52.30    52.60  54.70   52.70    50.20
External debt/GDP (%)            -     19.10   28.00  32.00   37.20    40.70
Total debt/GDP (%)               -    71.40    80.70  86.70   89.90    91.00
Government current expenditures  -  4,296  4,708  5,267   5,929   6,461
(current prices, bill LL)
Government current revenues      -    3,151    3,773  4,517   5,379    6,404
(current prices, bill LL)
Government capital expenditures  -  2,695  2,797  2,909   2,838   2,952
(current prices, bill LL)
Total deficit                    -    -3,481  -3,732 -3,660   -3,388   -3,010
(current prices, bill LL)
Total debt                       -   11,987   15,553 19,046  22,368   25,377
(current prices, bill LL)
Gross internal debt           8,484   8,778   10,150 12,024  13,121   14,011
(current prices, bill LL)
Gross external debt              -    3,209    5,403  7,023   9,247   11,366
(current prices, bill LL)
Total interest payments          -    1,396    1,410  1,545   1,754    1,828
(current prices, bill LL)
Interest payments/current        -    32.50    29.95  29.33   29.58    28.29
expenditures (%)
Payment interests/current        -    44.30    37.30  34.20   32.60    28.50
revenue (%)

Source: Government of Lebanon Ministry of Finance.


  2000    2001    2002     2003

  8.00     8.00    8.00     7.00
  4.00    4.00     4.00     4.00
  1,660  1,660  1,660   1,660
  9.00     9.00    9.00     9.00
  32.20  31.20  29.50   28.50
  24.10  25.20  25.60   26.10
  47.00  43.90  41.40   39.90
  42.20  41.50  38.50   34.40
  89.20  85.40  79.90   74.30
  7,199  7,963  8,761   9,534

  7,533   8,878  10,083   11,455

  2,868  2,983  2,883     2,999

-2,534   -2,068  -1,561   -1,078

27,911 29,979 31,540  32,618

14,717 15,415  16,341  17,503

13,194  14,564   15,199   15,115

2,057  2,248  2,407   2,535

28.57  28.23  27.47   26.59

27.30  25.30  23.87   22.13


  2004     2005   2006

  7.00     7.00    6.00
  4.00     4.00    4.00
  1,660   1,660   1,660
  8.00     8.00    8.00
  26.70   25.20  23.90
  26.30   26.50  26.80
  38.70   36.40   33.00
  28.50   22.60   17.60
  67.20   59.00   50.70
10,164 10,974 11,701

12,854 14,432 16,045

2,882     2,752  2,607

  -193      706   1,737

32,811 32,105 30,368

18,894 19,786 19,803

13,917 12,319 10,565

2,458     2,486  2,445

24.18     22.65   20.90

19.10     17.22   15.20


  2007

  6.00
  4.00
  1,660
  8.00
  22.90
  27.00
  28.70
  13.20
  41.90
12,415

17,839

2,711

2,713

27,654

18,952

8,703

2,324

18.72

13.02





Table 11.2. A comparison between Lebanon's actual indicators and Horizon 2000 plan assumptions


1994      1994a       1995


1995a


1996       1996a       1997


1997a


Real growth in GDP (%)
Growth in CPI (%)
LL/$ rate
Domestic interest rateb (%)
Government expenses/GDP (%)
Government revenues/GDP (%)
Internal debt/GDP (%)
External debt/GDP (%)
Total debt/GDP (%)
Government current expenditures
(current prices, bill LL)
Government current revenues
(current prices, bill LL)
Government capital expenditures
(current prices, bill LL)
Total deficit
(current prices, bill LL)
Total debt
(current prices, bill LL)
Gross internal debt
(current prices, bill LL)
Gross external debt
(current prices, bill LL)
Total interest payments
(current prices, bill LL)
Interest payments/current
expenditures (%)


   -        8.00       9.00
   -       11.80       6.00
1,685      1,647      1,660
   -       13.05      15.30
   -       34.71      41.60
   -       14.94      18.80
   -       62.35      52.30
   -        8.48      19.10
   -       70.83      71.40
   -       3,954      4,296

   -       2,240      3,151

   -       1,250      2,695

   -      -2,912     -3,481

   -      10,619     11,987

8,484      9,348      8,778

   -       1,271      3,209

   -       1,488      1,396

   -       37.63      32.50


6.50
11.30
1,596
15.40
33.15
17.17
67.92
11.79
79.71
4,640

3,033

1,216


9.00
5.00
1,660
13.50
38.90
19.60
52.60
28.00
80.70
4,708


  4.00       9.00
  8.87       4.50
  1,552     1,660
  13.80     11.50
  36.24     37.20
  17.72     20.60
  86.42     54.70
  14.25     32.00
100.67      86.70
6,002       5,267


3,773       3,532      4,517

2,797       1,223      2,909


  4.00
  7.75
  1,527
  12.68
  41.12
  17.19
  88.81
  16.68
105.35
7,605

3,830

1,557

-5,204

23,470

19,787

3,717

3,384

44.50


-2,706       -3,732      -3,756     -3,630

14,079       15,553     20,070     19,046

11,997       10,150     17,229     12,024


2,082

1,875

40.41


5,403       2,841      7,023

1,410       2,653      1,545

29.95       44.20      29.33


a. These four columns represent actual indicator.
b. Domestic interest rate is taken as nominal rate on 3-month treasury bills, end of period.
Source: Government of Lebanon Ministry of Finance, World Bank, Consultation and Research Institute, Association of Banks in Lebanon (ABL) Estimation.





192 I Wassim N. Shahin

government spent over 90 percent of every lira raised in revenue (which
includes taxes, fees, and fines) to service government debt.
   Every other major macroeconomic indicator pointed to a troubled
economy, as shown in table 11.3. The debt-to-export ratio increased from
1,250 in 1994 to 2,262 in 1997. The external debt-to-export ratio also
worsened, from 147 in 1994 to 366 in 1997, along with the ratio of inter-
est payments on debt to exports, from 172 in 1994 to 341 in 1997.
   The ratio of private loans to public loans was more or less constant
starting in 1994 at 112 and ending 1997 at 116. In the same period pri-
vate-sector construction permits showed a major decline. Although the
net foreign-currency reserves of Lebanon's Central Bank (defined as gross
revenues minus bank deposits) increased in 1995 and 1996, they dropped
drastically in 1997, after major interventions in the foreign-exchange
market to support the national currency. This means that the current ratio
of money supply to net foreign-exchange reserves held by the Central
Bank increased, from 2.33 in 1994 to 5.43 in 1997. The ability of the
Central Bank to defend the local currency weakened, since net foreign-
exchange reserves represented only 20 percent of the local-currency liquid
assets in the hands of the nonbanking public, as opposed to 45 percent in
1994. (The money supply, M2, includes domestic currency in circulation
and all bank deposits in domestic currency, plus treasury bills held by the
public.) Whereas the total money supply, M3 (defined to include M2 plus
all foreign-currency deposits), experienced a high rate of growth, this
growth was not transmitted to the real sector, because the M3 velocity of
circulation declined by 11 percent in 1996 and 7 percent in 1997.

The Mechanics behind Lebanon's Economic Situation

This section analyzes the mechanics behind Lebanon's economic situation
at the end of 1997, using a model of causality that links government in-
struments to factors that affected the stated policy goals of output and
employment growth. In 1993, at the start of the detente period, the gov-
ernment issued treasury bills (T-bills) at high interest rates. (As table 11.4
shows, these interest rates were around 22 percent for T-bills that matured
in a year, and 26 percent for T-bills that matured in two years.) The high
interest rates were intended to encourage the marketing of government
debt in local currency and to prevent the Lebanese lira from depreciating.
This strategy took effect at a time when the Lebanese public was beginning
to have more confidence in the economy and Lebanese currency had
started gaining in value. Expectations were that the government would





The Lebanese Economy | 193


Table 11.3. Other major economic indicators in Lebanon
                                  1994         1995       1996       1997

Deficit/GDP (%)                    19.4         15.3       18.8      23.3
Interest debt payments/GDP (%)     9.92        10.61      13.30     15.10
Debt/exports (%)                  1,250        1,312      1,751     2,262
External debt/exports (%)           147         198        255        366
Interest debt                       172         173        230        341
payments/exports (%)
BDL foreign-currency              3,840       4,487       5,886     5,932
reserves (gross)a
BDL foreign-currency              2,732        3,030      4,079     2,463
reserves (net)a
M2 + TBs held by                   2.33         2.69       2.92      5.43
public/BDL net FX reserves
Bank claims private/public (%)      112         129         105       116
Construction permitsb         8,567,953    6,325,999  3,337,619  2,122,40
(in square meters)
Rate of growth of M3 (%)             -          16.4       27.7       19.3

a. In million U.S.$.
b. Measured by first quarter per year and fourth quarter for 1994.
Source: Figures computed by author based on data from Association of Banks in Lebanon
and Quarterly Bulletin, Banque du Liban.


gradually lower interest rates as public confidence in the economy grew.
By the end of 1994, this prediction was justified, and interest rates fell to
less than 15 percent.
   In the third quarter of 1995, however, the government jacked up inter-
est rates to support the Lebanese currency, spurred by the fear that the
coming presidential election would cause political instability. T-bill rates
escalated to levels unprecedented in the history of the two Hariri govern-
ments. The interest rate on twelve-month T-bills reached 37.85 percent;
on three-month T-bills, 25.3 percent; on six-month T-bills, 27.9 percent,
and on twenty-four-month T-bills, 29 percent. High interest rates caused
major increases in the interest payments on debt, from 1.875 trillion LL in
1995 to 2.653 trillion LL in 1996 to 3.384 trillion LL in 1997. The result
was a major increase in the ratios of debt service to revenue and debt
service to expenditure.
   High interest rates also meant high lending rates for private-sector
loans made in Lebanese currency. As table 11.4 shows, the lending rate
remained above 20 percent from 1993 through 1996 (29 percent in 1993,
22 percent in 1994, 29 percent in 1995, and 25 percent throughout 1996).
These rates were extremely high, given that during the same period the





194 I Wassim N. Shahin

value of Lebanese currency was increasing and the much lower inflation
rate was dropping (11.8 percent in 1994, 11.5 percent in 1995, and 8.87
percent in 1996). Banks had no choice but to charge high rates for loans,
however, as they were paying such high returns on T-bills and were re-
quired to hold a significant percentage of their stock of Lebanese currency
in T-bills (60 percent up to 1994 and 40 percent between 1994 and the first
quarter of 1997).
   Many banks held far more than the required percentage of Lebanese
currency in T-bills, paying deposit rates up to two percentage points below
the T-bill rates and investing the proceeds in T-bills. This policy, combined
with high loan rates, stifled private-sector investment (see table 11.3) in a
period of economic recovery. The ratio of private to public loans remained
stagnant, and the number of private construction permits declined be-
cause many Lebanese were unable to finance housing loans at the inflated
rates. The housing sector became characterized by excess supply, with
many newly built units standing empty.
   High interest rates on T-bills encouraged short-term investments rather
than the long-term investments in fixed capital needed for economic
growth. Short-term financial investments do not filter into GDP growth
unless they become permanent funds loaned to the government and spent
in productive ways, or unless they become permanent bank deposits chan-
neled to private-sector loans. It is long-term investments in fixed capital
that foster growth in production and employment.
   Lebanon's debt and deficit figures also escalated as a result of a decrease
in government revenues. In order to create a tax haven that would attract
capital, motivate business, and encourage compliance, the government
embarked on a tax reform policy that became effective in 1994. This
policy reduced the top personal income tax rate from 32 percent to 10
percent. Financial companies were charged a flat rate of 10 percent on
their profit, with a special discounted rate of 5 percent applying to those
involved in building and selling residential buildings. Commercial and
industrial companies were subjected to a 3-10 percent progressive tax on
profits.
   These tax rates are low compared to those of other countries that
implemented tax reforms in the same period (see table 11.6, p. 199). A
1998 study by Dah, Dibeh, and Shahin found that moving to a progressive
tax system, similar to that implemented by some of the countries repre-
sented in table 11.6, is not only more equitable but generates more rev-
enue as well.1 Low tax rates, coupled with the inability of the government
to levy additional indirect taxes at a time when wages are being held down





The Lebanese Economy | 195


Table 11.4. Weighted average yield on treasury bills and lending rates, Lebanon,
1992-1997 (in percentage)
                          Treasury bill rates

           3 months     6 months   12 months  24 months   Lending rates


1992(1)
1992(2)
1992(3)
1992(4)
1993(1)
1993(2)
1993(3)
1993(4)
1994(1)
1994(2)
1994(3)
1994(4)
1995(1)
1995(2)
1995(3)
1995(4)
1996(1)
1996(2)
1996(3)
1996(4)
1997(1)
1997(2)
1997(3)


23.84
23.84
34.18
13.00
21.01
18.48
18.06
17.22
16.33
15.30
14.47
13.49
16.55
19.94
25.30
16.01
15.81
15.56
14.61
14.29
13.75
13.40
13.09


25.34
24.34
35.28
15.00
22.01
20.08
19.85
19.65
18.04
17.47
17.21
14.83
18.00
21.70
27.91
17.21
17.16
16.99
16.92
16.15
14.49
14.21
13.97


29.01
29.01
34.20
20.99
22.01
22.01
21.00
21.07
19.92
19.31
19.04
14.73
19.66
26.45
37.85
18.26
18.15
17.96
17.80
17.02
15.20
15.20
15.20


30.50
30.50
33.59
26.00
26.00
26.00
24.99
23.99
20.34
20.07
18.53
15.84
18.81
24.06
29.05
23.39
23.25
23.08
22.83
20.54
16.73
16.73
16.73


44.20
45.81
51.13
27.45
27.04
28.74
29.25
29.29
27.35
23.09
22.01
21.28
21.32
22.76
27.63
28.99
25.95
24.99
24.43
24.68
20.47
19.86
19.36


Sources: Government of Lebanon Ministry of Finance, 1998 Budget Report, 12; Banque
du Liban, Quarterly Bulletin.



to reduce expenditures, result in inadequate government revenue. In turn,
they inhibit the growth of GDP and increase deficit and debt, particularly
when they are coupled with high government expenditure and waste, as in
Lebanon. The growth of Lebanon's GDP was also stalled by allocating
financial resources to projects that did not result in increased business
productivity, as well as by the practice of legal and illegal transfer pay-
ments.
   Political instability was a major factor in the disappointing perfor-
mance of the Lebanese economy. This instability was both regional and
domestic, encompassing the continuing Arab-Israeli conflict, the 1996 Is-
raeli attack on Lebanon that destroyed infrastructure, and the turmoil
surrounding Lebanese elections (the presidential elections of 1995, as














Table 11.5. Business polls in Lebanon: Industry and commerce
                               1995          1996                                1997                               1998

                             Quarter 4     Quarter 4      Quarter 1     Quarter 2    Quarter 3     Quarter 4      Quarter 1


Industry
Evolution of opinion polls in relation to the previous quarter
Production                       14           -17            -23           -23           -10           -8            -25
Demand (total)                   -1           -31            -37           -35           -19          -16            -31
Demand (foreign)                 -8           -18            -16           -14          -10            -9            -18
Number of employees               4           -10            -15           -13           -11          -10            -19
Volume of investments            41            6             -1            -6             1            1             -17

Commerce
Evolution of opinion polls in relation to the previous quarter
Volume of sales                  4            -17            -22           -22            1            -3            -29
Number of employees              19            8              8             4            3             -3            -3

The opinion poll reflects the difference between the proportion of enterprises estimating that there is progress and those estimating a deterioration.
Source: Banque du Liban, Quarterly Bulletin, 1st quarter 1998.




The Lebanese Economy | 197


mentioned, motivated hikes in T-bill rates, and the municipal elections of
1997 were postponed). A lower-than-expected peace dividend as a result
of these conflicts was mirrored by lower-than-expected long-term capital
flows in fixed investments and a decline in regional demand for industrial
products, an indicator of low confidence in business.
   Table 11.5 shows the results of opinion polls of Lebanese industry and
commerce from the fourth quarter of 1995 to the first quarter of 1998.
The polls demonstrate that during this period, the confidence of business
people in Lebanon's economic progress declined steeply. Political instabil-
ity, the inefficient allocation of government resources, the inability of the
government to develop and implement a plan for salary increases, the
weak inflow of long-term fixed investments, high interest rates, and poor
macroeconomic figures all contributed to this decline.
   There are a few encouraging features in Lebanon's economic landscape.
Monetary policy has promoted stability in prices and exchange rates. The
Central Bank has been able to maintain the necessary amount of liquidity,
subject to a declining M3 velocity. The inflation rate is under control,
reaching single-digit figures in the late 1990s.

A Macroeconomic Plan for Lebanon's Twenty-first Century

This section outlines a macroeconomic plan designed to put twenty-first-
century Lebanon on the path of growth, equity, and stability. It includes
specific recommendations on fiscal policy, monetary and financial mar-
kets policy, and the development of new technology.

Fiscal Policy
Lebanon's high level of debt and deficit may result in future economic
instability. To avoid falling into more debt traps, Lebanon should make
major structural reforms in its tax system, as well as improve its tax ad-
ministration personnel and methods. Special emphasis should be placed
on reducing the enormous waste in government expenditure. The need for
continued expenditure to repair and rebuild Lebanon's infrastructure will
make it difficult to achieve a balanced budget, but steps can be taken to
move Lebanon in that direction. The six policy points necessary for
Lebanon's fiscal health in the new century are outlined below.
   Achieving an Acceptable Level of Deficit. Lebanon can reduce its ratio
of debt (D) to gross domestic product (GDP) to acceptable levels without
losing its ability to finance reconstruction projects. Given a growth rate of
GDP of 4 percent for 1996 and 1997 and a debt figure of 23.47 billion LL





198 I Wassim N. Shahin

for 1997, the allowable deficit that would keep the ratio constant is 0.93
billion LL, compared to the actual deficit of 5.2 billion LL. The Lebanese
government should bring its deficit down to less than 1 billion LL and
gradually move in the direction of a balanced budget.
   The equation is as follows: Starting from a position of equality between
the rate of growth in debt (XD/D) and the rate of growth in GDP (XGDP/
GDP), where X = change, the change in debt XD that keeps the ratio
constant is equal to (XGDP/GDP).D. Since XD is equal to the annual
deficit, this figure stands for the maximum allowed deficit that keeps the
ratio constant.
   Issuing Debt to Finance Debt Service. If the real output growth of the
Lebanese economy equals or exceeds real interest rates, the government
can issue debt to finance debt service without a negative impact on the
ratio of debt to GDP. In 1997, given a nominal interest rate on twelve-
month T-bills of 15.20 percent and an inflation rate of 7.75 percent, the
real interest rate was 7.45 percent, while the GDP growth rate was 4
percent. These two figures should be equalized before additional debt is
issued.
   Reducing Debt Service. Lebanon can reduce the money it spends on
debt service either by reducing the debt or by reducing the interest rates at
which the government borrows on debt. (Recommendations for debt re-
duction will be addressed in the section on tax and expenditure reforms.)
Reducing the rate of borrowing on debt will require either a change in
monetary policy or a reallocation of debt from high-interest-rate to low-
interest-rate instruments.
   The Lebanese government has been floating Euro Bonds in U.S. cur-
rency at a risk premium of 280 basis points above U.S. T-bill rates, and 6
to 7 percentage points below Lebanese borrowing rates. There is a tight
market demand for these securities, which increases the amount of interest
Lebanon must pay to foreign governments and decreases domestic wealth.
The government should reallocate debt-to-dollar-indexed government
bonds, whose advantages are discussed in Shahin and Dah.2 Use of dollar-
indexed bonds would keep interest payments in the country, provide in-
vestors with security against exchange rate risk, and minimize interest
payments on internal debt.
   Reforming the Tax System. The study by Dah, Dibeh, and Shahin on
the income distributional impact of the Lebanese tax system found both
direct and indirect taxes to be regressive. To generate additional revenue
and provide a more equitable tax system, the study recommends raising
Lebanon's marginal personal income tax rates to 20 percent and its mar-





The Lebanese Economy | 199


Table 11.6. Pre- and post-reform marginal income tax rates in OECD member
countries, 1990

                Top tax rate   Reduction                        Reduction
                after reform  from reform      Top tax rate    from reform
                (Percent)     (Percentage      after reform    (Percentage
Country      (Personal income)  points)      (Percent) (Profit)  points)

Australia          47             10               39               10
Austria            50             12               30              n.a
Belgium            55             17               41                2
Canada             29              5               25               21
Denmark            40              5               40               10
Finland            43              8               33                0
France             57              8               37               13
Germany            53              3               50                6
Greece             50             13               46              n.a
Iceland            33              5               50              n.a
Ireland            53              5               43                7
Italy              50             12               36               10
Japan              50             20             37.5              5.5
Luxembourg         56              1               34                2
Netherlands        60             12               35                7
New Zealand        33             24               28               20
Norway             20             20             27.8                0
Portugal             -             -             36.5              1.5
Spain              56             10               35                0
Sweden             20             30               40               12
Switzerland        13              0          3.6-9.8                0
Turkey             50              0               46                0
United Kingdom     40             20               35               15

Source: Yolanda Kodrzycki, "Tax Reform in Newly Emerging Market Economies," New
England Economic Review (November/December 1993): 7.


ginal profit tax rates to 25 percent. Table 11.6 shows the income tax rates
for other countries that have recently conducted major tax reforms. For
most of these countries, the top marginal income tax rate remains around
50 percent and the top marginal profit tax rate over 40 percent. Even with
the recommended hike in tax rates, Lebanon will still enjoy a tax advan-
tage over these countries.
   Other tax reform measures include halting the increase in indirect taxes
and fees and providing revenue through a progressive value-added tax
system, a capital gains tax, and taxes on interest income from bank depos-
its and government bonds. Lebanon should not, however, levy Tobin-type





200 I Wassim N. Shahin

financial transaction taxes that may hinder the development of secondary
financial markets.
   Abolishing Waste and Prioritizing Expenditures. The Lebanese govern-
ment needs to develop a plan to combat waste in spending. Expenditures
that do not contribute directly to the formation of capital should be
avoided. Improvements in government efficiency and the reallocation of
funds and priorities will spur both capital formation and productivity.
   Reforming Tax System Administration. A more efficient tax system
administration would improve taxpayer compliance, reduce cases of tax
fraud and evasion, and shorten time lags in the receipt of tax payments. It
would also increase tax revenue. The Lebanese government should com-
mit itself to policies that improve tax administration personnel and meth-
ods and tax collection techniques.

Monetary and Financial Markets Policy
Lebanon's monetary and financial markets policy should have as its goal
a low and stable rate of inflation. Although the Lebanese government has
been successful in keeping inflation down, its challenge is to establish price
stability in the face of continual fluctuations in supply and demand.
   It is difficult to target monetary aggregates or assign predetermined
growth rates for money in a country as "dollarized" as Lebanon. This is
the result of several factors, including the decline and erratic behavior of
M3 velocity, the impossibility of computing the amount of U.S. dollars in
circulation in Lebanon's open market, the common practice of moving
Lebanese bank deposits to other countries in times of political instability,
and the fact that the Central Bank has tied price stability to exchange rate
stability and the vagaries of foreign-exchange markets. Therefore, the
government should adopt a policy of discipline, projecting money supply
growth using short-term interest rates.
   At the same time, the government must allow interest rates to move
gradually toward market equilibrium levels. In the long run, this will en-
sure exchange rate stability and reverse dollarization. A study conducted
by Shahin and Freiha (1998) showed that Lebanese investment portfolios
remain dollar-heavy because the public is skeptical about the validity of
current interest rates.3 Forced interest rate stabilization by the government
may be contributing to this situation.
   Lebanese financial markets are still characterized by lack of depth,
breadth, and resiliency. There are too few orders for financial securities,
and most orders come from a narrow investment pool that does not in-
clude the middle-class public. New orders do not pour promptly into the





The Lebanese Economy | 201


market in volume to take advantages of fluctuations in prices, due to rigid
primary markets and sluggish secondary markets. Lebanon should speed
the development of secondary markets for various financial instruments
and liberalize the financial sector to broaden and increase the ownership
of securities.
   Lebanon can no longer rely on the financial strategies that brought it
success in the 1950s and 1960s. At the time, the Lebanese banking indus-
try prospered due to secrecy laws, the lack of financial development in
neighboring Arab countries, and the relative political stability of Lebanon.
The Middle East is now very different, and many neighboring countries
have stock markets, bond markets, and booming banks. In order to regain
its competitive edge, Lebanon must increase and modernize its electronic
banking facilities, create new financial instruments such as derivative se-
curities, and offer incentives for Lebanese businesses to become publicly
held corporations that issue stock to investors.

Development of New Technology
In order for its GDP to grow, Lebanon must develop new technologies. A
country as small as Lebanon will not make major technological break-
throughs, but it can greatly improve existing processes and techniques.
Automation is the key to increased efficiency and productivity in all sec-
tors. The financial-service industry would benefit greatly from improved
automation, as the current system of partial automation is frustrating for
both consumers and institutions. Better management of labor and mate-
rial is also crucial to Lebanon's economy, especially in the industrial sector.
Quality control should be a priority. Research and development should be
encouraged because of its potential social benefits, and the government
should offer tax exemptions for research and development expenditures.

An Arab Economic and Monetary Union (AEMU) and Lebanon

Although this chapter does not predict the development of an Arab Eco-
nomic and Monetary Union (AEMU) similar to that of the European
Community (EC), it sets up conditions for the development of such a
union based on the European model. It also uses a theoretical model to
demonstrate the difficulties that would face the hypothetical AEMU.
   An economic and monetary union implies that the member countries
pursue agreed-upon macroeconomic policy changes, through mechanisms
designed to achieve collective goals. The implementation of policies lead-
ing to economic integration has three stages.4





202 I Wassim N. Shahin

   In stage one, member nations must agree on the type of changes to
undertake. Given that the Arab countries have different economic systems
and different macroeconomic and financial policies, union would require
major structural changes. Economic reforms to bring about free enterprise
systems in all Arab countries would be essential. This would entail reduc-
ing the role of government in economic activity, privatizing public enter-
prises, abolishing restrictions on trade and markets, creating a single Arab
internal market, allowing unconditional movement of capital across
member countries, developing efficient financial markets and institutions,
agreeing on exchange rates, and linking all national currencies to the new
system.
   In stage two, member nations would develop an Arab monetary insti-
tute to administer the monetary system and prepare the ground for an
Arab central bank. This institute would be in charge of coordinating na-
tional monetary policies by creating relevant instruments and procedures.
During this stage, member nations would negotiate the distribution of the
gains from the union by agreeing on economic indicators.
   In stage three, member nations would develop agreements to ensure
compliance by all member states on economic policy. To help them coor-
dinate policy, they would have to develop convergence criteria similar to
those adopted by the European Community.5
   There are five broad criteria for convergence, designed to ensure eco-
nomic stability in all member states.

   - For at least two consecutive years, each country's exchange rates
     against currencies of other member countries must remain within
     boundaries defined by a common exchange rate mechanism.
   - A country's inflation rate must not exceed the average of the coun-
     tries with the three lowest inflation rates by more than 1.5 per-
     centage points.
   - The long-term interest rate of any member state must not exceed
     the average interest rates of the three member countries with the
     best inflation performance by more than two percentage points.
   - Member states must keep the ratio of budget deficit to GDP at no
     more than 3 percent.
   - Member states must keep the ratio of total public debt to GDP at
     a maximum of 60 percent.

   The remainder of this section will assume that the Arab nations have
achieved stage one and will discuss their readiness to create an AEMU by
analyzing convergence criteria, based on data from Arab countries. There-





The Lebanese Economy | 203


Table 11.7. Convergence criteria for a possible Arab Economic and Monetary
Union (AEMU)
           Deficit/GDP Debt/GDP      Growth     Inflation rate  Exchange rate
                                    in liquidity

Lebanon     -18.80       79.71        27.78         8.87         11.10
Jordan        1.47      119.60         0.30         6.50          0.82
UAE           -4.31           -        6.86         3.30            0
Bahrain       -2.73           -        2.89         1.20            0
Tunisia       -2.02      55.85         4.97         5.00          1.03
Algeria       3.02      127.05        11.81        15.10        24.27
Saudi Arabia  -3.73           -        7.69         1.00            0
Sudan         -2.02      287.5        65.18        85.00       139.65
Syria         -4.74     131.13         9.10         8.00            0
Oman          -3.31      22.58         8.06         2.00            0
Qatar       -10.10            -        5.56         3.00            0
Kuwait        -7.04           -       -0.60         0.90          0.70
Libya         0.25            -        2.68         7.00         4.98
Egypt         -1.31      56.43        12.24         7.20          0.86
Morocco       -4.57      67.25         6.49         3.00          0.02
Yemen        -2.72      138.25        10.61        29.00        38.32

Figures are for 1996 except for Debt/GDP, which are for 1995.
Sources: IMF, Arab Economic Report, 1997 International Financial Statistics 1997, Global
Development Finance, 1997.


after, a theoretical model will be used to discuss the obstacles to an AEMU,
even given the readiness of Arab countries to enter into such a union.

Convergence Criteria for an Arab Economic and Monetary Union

Assuming that the institutional reforms required for the completion of
stage one are achieved, the most important question is the ability of Leba-
non and other Arab nations to meet the convergence criteria for the
AEMU. Table 11.7 analyzes the degree of readiness of each Arab nation
based on figures published in 1997 on deficit/GDP ratio, debt/GDP ratio,
growth in liquidity, inflation rate, and exchange rate.
   Exchange rates are extremely dissimilar, as exchange rate policies are
pegged to different currencies and indicators by each country. The average
change in exchange rates between 1991 and 1996 also varies greatly, reg-
istering little or no change in most Arab countries (Lebanon, Algeria,
Sudan, and Yemen are the exceptions).
   The differences in the figures on growth in liquidity also indicate major
differences in financial-policy objectives. (No data on interest rates are
provided because many countries do not have enough instruments with





204 I Wassim N. Shahin

market-determined rates. Some countries report only the discount rate,
others the money market rate, some the treasury bill rate, and a few the
loan rate.) Inflation rates are mostly in the single digits, reflecting price
control measures across various Arab nations. The average inflation rate
for the lowest three countries is about 1 percent. Using the convergence
criteria, however, means that only countries with rates of less than 2.5
percent (four countries) could join the union.
   Deficit-to-GDP ratios are under 5 percent for most countries, and
around 3 percent or less for nine countries. In contrast, debt-to-GDP ra-
tios, when available, are wildly erratic, with very few countries meeting
the convergence criteria.
   This analysis reveals that most Arab nations must develop foreign-ex-
change and interest rate policies before they can establish convergence
criteria. This can be achieved only through major economic reforms, de-
regulation, the introduction of financial markets and instruments, and the
pursuit of free market economies. Lebanon is one of the few Arab coun-
tries succeeding in this endeavor. The objectives and goals of Lebanon may
differ from other potential AEMU members with respect to macroeco-
nomic and financial policies. Given the structural divergence in economic
systems and in exchange rate and interest rate policies and arrangements,
it appears that the costs of union may outweigh the benefits.6

Conclusion

Predicting the path of any economy over the course of the new century
requires careful attention to its current performance, potential, and the
willingness of its policymakers to pursue macroeconomic reforms and
stabilization plans that will lead to growth and security. Lebanon's future
depends on its willingness to consider and adopt the recommendations
made in this chapter.
   At the same time, analysis shows that it is not to Lebanon's advantage
to join an Arab economic and monetary union. Lebanon must establish
independent objectives and policies. It can cooperate with its Arab and
Mediterranean neighbors by sharing information about global issues, re-
gional shocks and disturbances, and economic policy in a manner consis-
tent with long-term Lebanese interests.





The Lebanese Economy | 205


Notes

   1. Abdullah Dah, Ghassan Dibeh, and Wassim Shahin, "The Distributional
Impacts of Taxation in Lebanon" (Oxford: Lebanese Center for Policy Studies,
1998, mimeographed).
   2. Wassim Shahin and Abdullah Dah, "Managing Public Debt with Foreign
Currency Linked Bonds: A Lebanese Application" (working paper, 1998).
   3. Wassim Shahin and Fadi Freiha, "Hysteresis in Currency Substitution: The
Middle East and North-Africa" (working paper, 1998).
   4. A discussion of the three stages of international policy coordination is found
in Jeffery Frankel, "Obstacles to International Macroeconomic Policy Coordina-
tion," Princeton Studies in International Finance, no. 64 (December 1988): 2-5.
   5. The stages of implementation and the rules of the convergence criteria are
discussed in Michele Fratianni, Jurgen Von Hagen, and Christopher Waller Chris-
topher, "The Maastricht Way to EMU," in Essays in International Finance
(Princeton, N.J.), no. 187 (June 1992).
   6. See the appendix, p. 223, "A Mathematical Model Explaining the Obstacles
to AEMU." The models used in both studies slightly differ but could be extended
to many countries, targets, and instruments. The results reached are very similar.
See Frankel, "Obstacles," and Owen Humpage, "A Hitchhiker's Guide to Interna-
tional Macroeconomic Policy Coordination," Economic Review (Federal Reserve
Bank of Cleveland), quarter 1, 1990, 2-14.











Epilogue

   Kail C. Ellis






In the late 1980s, the term Lebanonization entered the political lexicon to
describe political, social, and economic situations whose resolution
seemed intractable. At the same time, the name Beirut became popular
shorthand for chaos and destruction, much like Berlin after World War II.
More recently, bloody conflicts in the former Yugoslavia, Rwanda, and
East Timor, and in cities such as Sarajevo and Srebrenica, have expanded
the political and popular vocabulary of destruction far beyond Leban-
onization and Beirut. As Lebanon continues to recover from its fifteen-
year civil war (1975-90), it has emerged as a nation in the midst of a
cautious revival.
   The authors in this volume evaluate Lebanon's prospects for the
twenty-first century. Given its regional position-sandwiched between
two powerful neighbors, Syria and Israel-and the strained political, eco-
nomic, and social resources at its disposal, Lebanon faces enormous ob-
stacles in its quest for prosperity and stability. Prominent among these are
the divisive internal controversy over the withdrawal of Syrian troops and
the deteriorating Middle East peace process. Integral to the resolution of
both issues is the regularization of the status of the 400,000 Palestinian
refugees who reside in Lebanon. As long as Lebanon's Palestinians remain
in desperate circumstances, crowded into refugee camps and barred from
full participation in Lebanese society, their presence will continue to un-
dermine Lebanon's political stability and security.
   Lebanon must deal with the shifting political alliances among its eigh-
teen religious communities, whose most powerful and prominent factions
are the Maronite Christian, Shi'a, and Druze communities, whose compli-
cated mutual histories encompass periods of harmony as well as periods of
hostility. Sectarian relationships have also been affected by the displace-
ment (and ongoing resettlement) of thousands of internal refugees from
the Lebanese civil war. Another legacy of this war is Lebanon's "brain





Epilogue | 207


drain." The nation continues to struggle to slow the emigration of its
educated young people and to lure back expatriates who have the means
to invest in the country's economic development. This epilogue is devoted
to an analysis of these salient issues.

Lebanon's Internal Refugees

According to a study by Boutros Labaki, the forced displacement of Leba-
nese citizens from their homes and villages during the civil war affected 25
percent of the population (827,000 people). Muslims accounted for ap-
proximately 20 percent (157,500) of this total, while 80 percent (670,000)
were Christians.1 This displacement resulted in huge losses of property,
places of employment, educational institutions, and public infrastructure
and seriously damaged the Lebanese model of Muslim-Christian coexist-
ence. Villages that were once comprised of mixed sects, primarily Maron-
ites, Orthodox, and Druze (other religious sects for the most part did not
intermingle), suddenly became homogenous, further distancing the reli-
gious communities from one another.
   At the end of the civil war, refugees began to return to their places of
origin. The process became acrimonious, however, when Christian claims
on property in the Shouf mountains sparked conflict with the Druzes. The
Druzes feared that the return of Christians to the Shouf would undermine
their dominant position in the area, while Maronite families angrily al-
leged that monies from the Lebanese government's National Fund for the
Displaced were going primarily to Druze families who were illegally occu-
pying Maronite homes. The situation was further complicated by the fact
that some refugees refused to return to their places of origin because of
concerns for personal safety, while others had successfully integrated into
new Lebanese communities or had emigrated to other countries.2
   The pragmatic Druze leader, Walid Jumblat, moved to resolve the stale-
mate when he realized that Palestinian refugees or the Shi'a population
would spill over into the underpopulated Shouf. Deciding that Druze in-
terests would be better served by improved relations with his traditional
neighbors, Jumblat began to cooperate with the government in bringing
displaced Christians from the Shouf back to their homes.3 Consequently,
the resettlement of Christians begun in 1991 in the regions of Saida and
Jazzine was gradually extended to the Shouf as well as to Aley, Baabda and
the Metn, Baalbek, and Akkar.4
   Jumblat's overtures to the Christians were viewed with suspicion by the
leaders (both religious and lay people) of other religious communities,




208 | Kail C. Ellis


because they heralded the reemergence of the old Druze-Maronite alliance
that under the rule of the Ottoman Empire had established Mount Leba-
non as a political entity. The renewed alliance posed a challenge to the
political base of other religious groups and that of their patron, Syria. It
also strengthened the position of organizations calling for the withdrawal
of Syrian troops from Lebanon and for the reassessment of Lebanon's
relationship with Syria.
   The Druze-Maronite rapprochement officially began at the "Beited-
dine Conference" in July 1998.5 By the time Jumblat invited the Maronite
patriarch, Nasrallah Butros Sfeir, to visit the Shouf in first part of August
2001 (the region had seen some of the bloodiest sectarian conflict during
the civil war), its momentum had increased. By the end of August, how-
ever, Lebanon was in the midst of a constitutional crisis sparked by the
arrest of some 200 supporters of the banned Lebanese Forces and the Free
Patriotic Movement, who had called publicly for the withdrawal of Syrian
troops, and by the harsh treatment of these detainees at the hands of
plainclothes police loyal to the pro-Syrian government. Opposition forces,
both Christians and Druze, clamored for the establishment of an indepen-
dent Lebanese judiciary and for the repeal of laws that restricted freedom
of speech and political activity. They asserted that without such measures,
both Lebanese democracy and Lebanese economic prosperity were in
jeopardy.

Emigration and the Brain Drain

Lebanon's communal balance and economic well-being have been gravely
affected by emigration. Over a million Lebanese have left the country since
the civil war began in 1975. Approximately 15,000 citizens-mostly edu-
cated young people-depart Lebanon every month. According to Labaki,
the majority of those who emigrated between 1975 and 1990 were Chris-
tians (75 percent in 1975, 65 percent in 1981, and 50 percent in 198 9-90).
Emigration has had devastating effects on Lebanon's economic capacity
and has resulted in the loss of skilled managers, capital, and labor. Be-
tween 1974 and 1990, per capita income in Lebanon was reduced by more
than two-thirds, or about half what it was before the civil war.6 Emigra-
tion affected the Muslim community as well: since 1980, there has been a
significant increase in the emigration of Muslim Lebanese to other Arab
countries, the United States, and Australia.7
   The emigration of young Christians is of major concern to the Maron-
ites and to Christian leaders throughout the Middle East. Speaking at an





Epilogue | 209


ecumenical conference of Christian leaders in November 2000, Patriarch
Sfeir asked, "How can we stop this drain in which our sons leave for
countries beyond the Middle East?"8 The patriarch's solution to the cri-
sis-an improved economy and improved political stability-has so far
proved unattainable.
   Key to Lebanon's political and economic health is the return of the
6migres with their ability to invest in Lebanon. Lebanon currently labors
under a $25 billion debt burden, one of the highest in the world. Unem-
ployment is at 25 percent, a situation complicated by the presence of an
estimated one million Syrian "guest workers" who labor for below the
minimum wage. Massive reconstruction projects undertaken by the gov-
ernment after the civil war require a constant infusion of outside cash.
Bank deposits of nonresidents currently account for only 12.9 percent of
the total bank deposits in Lebanon, a figure that must increase substan-
tially if Lebanon is to climb out of its economic crisis.9
   In order to attract investment, the government must convince the expa-
triate community and other potential investors that Lebanon is a safe and
congenial society. Christian expatriates, in particular, must be given spe-
cial and explicit reassurances by the Lebanese government. Prime Minister
Rafik al-Hariri took a step in this direction in March 1998, when he met
with Patriarch Sfeir and the Maronite bishops for a frank dialogue on
Christian concerns. The patriarch handed Hariri a twelve-page memoran-
dum titled "The Truth about the Crisis." In effect a Maronite position
paper (although claiming to speak for all Lebanese), the memorandum
cited the government's fiscal and economic shortcomings, the deficiencies
of the Lebanese judiciary, and Lebanon's rampant political corruption and
social ills. It made pointed reference to Maronite concerns about Maronite
political marginalization and the unequal relationship between Lebanon
and Syria, calling for strong governmental reforms.10
   The Maronite community's disaffection stems from the terrible eco-
nomic and political losses it suffered during the Lebanese civil war-al-
though ironically, some of these losses were caused by the bloody inter-
necine battles between opposing Christian factions. After the adaptation
of the Ta'if Agreement in 1989 (which officially ended the civil war and
gave greater power to the Muslim community), Maronite parties were
either outlawed or weakened, Maronite participation in political life de-
creased, and Christian emigration accelerated. Maronite political leader-
ship is now divided into nationalist groups (some of whom are in exile or
in prison) whose commitment to Christian domination of Lebanon and
alliance with Israel led the country into civil war, politicians who curry





210 | Kail C. Ellis


favor with Syria, and moderates who seek Lebanon's independence and
sovereignty but within the context of appropriate relations with Syria.
   The meeting with Hariri and "The Truth about the Crisis" solidified
Patriarch Sfeir's role as a populist political leader. In assuming this role the
patriarch walks a fine line. He risks being perceived as a parochial leader
and defender of the Maronite community rather than as a prophetic voice
who articulates the future of the entire country. Given the fragmentation
of the Maronite community, however, the patriarch's voice is crucial. He
has become its de facto political spokesman and source of hope for Mus-
lims and Christians alike."
   The patriarch's prominence has as much to do with geography as with
political circumstances. He is the only leader of a major Christian commu-
nity who resides in Lebanon, and, as such, he can speak independently and
without government restraint. Although his authority and outspokenness
have generally been applauded, some would like to see his role confined to
convincing the Maronites to return to full political and social participa-
tion in Lebanese affairs with a view to reforming the system, not to direct-
ing governmental reform personally. An editorial in a Beirut newspaper
exhorted the patriarch to concentrate on "convinc[ing] his co-religionists
that if they truly want to participate in national life on a scale that befits
their importance to the country's long-term being, they must produce a
viable alternative to the existing system. "12

Lebanon's Relations with Syria

Patriarch Sfeir and other Christians have repeatedly called for the with-
drawal of Syrian troops from Lebanon, criticizing the government's posi-
tion that these 35,000-40,000 soldiers are necessary to preserve Leban-
on's security. To the patriarch and his followers, the troops are a painful
reminder of Syria's dominant role in Lebanon's political, social, and eco-
nomic life. After Israel ended its twenty-two-year occupation of south
Lebanon in May 2000, Christians argued that there was no longer any
justification for a Syrian military counterpresence and increased demands
for Syrian withdrawal. The death soon afterward of long-time Syrian
leader Hafiz al-Asad and the ascension to power of his son Bashar, who
was initially perceived as being more moderate than his father, fueled hope
for a Syrian withdrawal. In September 2000, the Council of Maronite
Bishops characterized a Syrian withdrawal as necessary to "cementing the
best possible relations of brotherhood" between Syria and Lebanon.
   Members of the Lebanese Parliament took up the call, with Walid





Epilogue | 211


Jumblat, Nassib Lahoud, and other parliamentarians urging the govern-
ment to "embark seriously on adjusting" Lebanese-Syrian relations.13
Politicians, including Nabih Berri, speaker of the Parliament, traveled to
Bkerki, the patriarchical seat, for meetings with Patriarch Sfeir. After his
conversation with the patriarch, Berri gave the opposition hope by reiter-
ating that "the redeployment of Syrian troops in the country would be
completed 'in the near future' in compliance with the Ta'if Agreement and
according to a timetable agreed upon by Beirut and Damascus.""
   Although Berri's words were little more than a restatement of provi-
sions set out in the Ta'if Agreement, Prime Minister Hariri felt compelled
to counter them. In an interview with Vatican radio and television in April
2001, Hariri made it clear that Lebanon's national interest required keep-
ing Syrian troops in Lebanon. Reminding his audience that Ta'if did not
call for immediate Syrian withdrawal, Hariri added a cautionary note to
the patriarch: "No one other than the Beirut government is entitled to
make any decision on this."15
   Patriarch Sfeir agreed with Hariri that the church should not be in-
volved in negotiations with a foreign government. The patriarch reserved
the right, however, to remind Lebanese that both Lebanon and Syria are
sovereign governments and to continue to call for the normalization of
Lebanon's ties with Syria. At the same time, he was careful to stress that
"this call stems from feelings of friendship, which we would like to pre-
serve between the two countries." In the patriarch's view, "normaliza-
tion" would include formal diplomatic ties with Syria, which were not
established when the two countries gained independence, and assurances
that Lebanon, like other "sovereign and independent countries," was
"free to make its own decisions"-including the withdrawal of Syrian
troops from its soil. Only after normalization, the patriarch insisted,
would claims such as "Lebanon does not exist in history or geography,"
"Lebanon's borders were fabricated by the French mandate," "the Syrian
and Lebanese people are one people in two countries," and "the presence
of Syrian troops is part of national security and guarantees balance in the
country" be put to rest.16
   When he pointedly refused to accompany Pope John Paul II on his
historic visit to Syria in May 2001, the Patriarch Sfeir underscored his role
as the most prominent critic of Lebanese government policies. In an inter-
view in La Croix magazine explaining his decision not to go to Damascus,
the patriarch said, "I can already hear their comments. 'Look, the patri-
arch came. There are no problems.' But I insist there is a problem: the
Syrian occupation. "17





212 | Kail C. Ellis


   By August 2001, the Syrian presence in Lebanon had become a political
flash point. The accelerating conflict between Israel and the Palestinians
once again threatened Lebanese security. Israeli jets regularly violated
Lebanese airspace. Border areas such as the Shab'a Farms, characterized
as Syrian rather than Lebanese territory by Israel, and the Alawite Muslim
village of Ghajar became the sites of numerous confrontations between
Israel and Hizballah. The Lebanese government reacted to these tensions
by taking an even firmer pro-Syrian position regarding the deployment of
Syrian troops in Lebanon. It ordered the arrest of some 200 supporters of
the banned Lebanese Forces and the Free Patriotic Movement after a
crowd at a reception for the patriarch, who had just returned from his visit
to south Lebanon, rang with shouts of "Syria out!" (Although the patri-
arch sternly rebuked the crowd, warning that confrontational rhetoric
was not the way to solve political issues, that was not enough to prevent
the government from taking strong retaliatory action.)18 The situation was
further inflamed when plainclothes police who made the arrests assaulted
a number of dissidents.
   The public prosecutor in the case justified the arrests by asserting that
the accused were serving the interests of Israel. "The state will show no
leniency," he stated, "toward anyone who threatens national security or
seeks to undermine Lebanon's relations with a sisterly state (Syria)."19 On
the opposing side, the arrests were condemned by the Christian parties as
a ploy to isolate Christians further by unfairly characterizing them as Is-
raeli lackeys.20 The patriarch dismissed the arrests as deplorable and the
charges as not credible, a view seconded by the Beirut's Orthodox Chris-
tian bishop Elias Aoude. In the Muslim community, however, most nota-
bly among the Shi'a leaders, suspicions remained that Israel was behind
the calls for Syrian withdrawal and that the arrested were traitors. The
merest suggestion of collaboration with Israel was sufficient to revive
Muslim suspicions of Christian "betrayal." Shi'a clerics condemned the
undermining of national unity and warned that they would oppose all
"suspicious calls" for the "full recovery of sovereignty" that targeted
Lebanon's relationships with Arab countries, especially Syria.21
   The arrests and subsequent religious polarization represented a serious
setback for Lebanese moderates of all faiths who were struggling to
achieve national reconciliation. Loss of hope for reconciliation threatened
Lebanon's broader agenda of political stability and economic recovery,
and it damaged efforts to stem the tide of emigration of educated young
Lebanese and lure prosperous 6migres back to assist in the economic re-
covery. Hopes for the peaceful resolution of Lebanon's border conflicts





Epilogue | 213


with Israel also faded. With two Christian journalists standing accused of
being directly sponsored by Israel in their campaign to "pacify" the border
and charged with treason-a capital offense-it was difficult to envision
Hizballah joining the newly founded Druze-Maronites alliance in any ef-
fort to pacify Lebanon's border with Israel.

Lebanon and the Middle East Peace Process

When Israel ended its twenty-two-year occupation of south Lebanon on
24 May 2000, Hizballah assumed an orderly control of the region. De-
spite the creation of several thousand new refugees when the families of
members of the South Lebanon Army (SLA) fled into Israel because they
feared retribution by Hizballah, there was a remarkable absence of vio-
lence and retaliation. In the words of Hizballah's secretary-general,
Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, the end of the occupation represented "a true
victory for all the Lebanese."22
   In the initial euphoria that followed the Israeli withdrawal and certifi-
cation by the United Nations that the withdrawal was in accord with UN
Resolution 425, most observers assumed that the Lebanese army would
move quickly into south Lebanon to secure the Israeli-Lebanese border.
This hope was dashed when Lebanon refused to accept the UN certifica-
tion, contending that the Israelis continued to occupy the Shab'a Farms,
considered by Israel to be Syrian territory captured during the 1967 Arab-
Israeli war.
   Lebanon's claim to the Shab'a Farms surprised many observers. In the
words of Staffan de Mistura, the UN secretary-general's personal repre-
sentative to south Lebanon, the area was an "unusual, previously unheard
of flashpoint."23 The United Nations regarded Lebanon's claim as dubi-
ous: Following the 1973 Arab-Israeli war, Syria had sent maps to the
United Nations that showed the Shab'a Farms as lying inside Syrian terri-
tory. The UN Disengagement Observers Force had monitored the area as
part of the cease-fire lines on the Golan Heights, while UNiFiL, estab-
lished in 1978 to oversee an Israeli withdrawal from Lebanese territory,
had never operated there.24 Although Syria's foreign minister, Farouk al-
Sharaa, sent a letter to UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan in May 2000,
supporting Lebanon's claim to at least part of the Shab'a Farms, the UN
Security Council decreed that Israel did not have to withdraw from the
area in order to satisfy UN Resolution 425.
   Hizballah launched a campaign to liberate Shab'a Farms in October
2000. In the first ten months of the campaign, Hizballah conducted seven





214 | Kail C. Ellis


operations against Israel, killing three Israeli solders, wounding thirteen,
and capturing three. In response, Israeli planes destroyed two Syrian army
radar stations in Lebanon and launched attacks in which fifteen civilians
were wounded and one Hizballah fighter killed. These acts of violence, in
tandem with heightened conflict on the West Bank and in Israel, threat-
ened once again to embroil Lebanon in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
Because Israel holds Syria responsible for Lebanese security and has al-
ready retaliated against Syrian military installations in Lebanon, the odds
for a military confrontation between Israel and Syria have increased-
both in Lebanon and in Syria. It is also likely that Israel will wreak fresh
destruction on Lebanon's newly rebuilt infrastructure.
   Palestinian refugee camps in south Lebanon may once again become
centers of active resistance against Israel, further jeopardizing Lebanon's
fragile security. Although there is no evidence that Hizballah is directly
involved in the Palestinian intifada, it has been accused by Israeli sources
of underwriting the rebellion. Hizballah's television station, al-Manar,
continually airs programs about the plight of the Palestinians and advo-
cates the liberation of Jerusalem, complete with images of the Dome of the
Rock and resistance fighters going into battle. In its greeting to Pope John
Paul II during his visit to Lebanon in May 1997, Hizballah reminded the
pope that in the case of the Palestinians, "a whole nation has been deposed
from their land under the pretext of establishing a safe homeland for an-
other people."25
   Sources within Hizballah have more than hinted that the organization
is ready to join in the Palestinian struggle. In an address to a group of
Palestinians in Jabal Amel on 13 August 2001, Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah
warned that "with the development of events inside Palestine, we are get-
ting closer to the challenge.... We have to be prepared ... so we can take
up our legitimate jihad [holy war] and responsibility beside our people in
Palestine in order for them to continue in this battle which will be decisive
for the fate of the entire region. "26 Ze'ev Schiff, military correspondent for
the Israeli daily Ha'aretz, views such activities as evidence of Hizballah's
sponsorship of the Palestinians, warning that "Hizballah is expected to
continue its direct involvement in the Palestinian confrontation . . . and
may even act within the Green Line. This gives current events a dangerous
regional twist, since Iran stands behind Hizballah. Israel will have to face
some difficult decisions. "27
   At the same time, moderates in Lebanon and the Arab world were
baffled that the United States was not doing more to stem the violence
between Israel and the Palestinians. Most Arab political observers be-





Epilogue | 215


lieved that only the United States had the power to end the conflict. They
were puzzled and alarmed by the Bush administration's passivity as the
United States-in the phrase of Secretary of State Colin Powell-contin-
ued to "assist but not insist," that is, not impose a solution.
   The national security advisor to President Hosni Mubarak of Egypt,
Osama el-Baz, expressed the feelings of most Arab states when in August
2001 he predicted that the Bush administration risked damaging its influ-
ence in the Middle East, even more than its prestige, if it failed to take a
more active role in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. American inaction, el-
Baz warned, might bring Islamic extremists to power in moderate Arab
countries. "In all the Gulf countries you should take a look at what is
being said about the United States in the mosques." He continued,
"[American inaction will encourage the] growth of fundamentalist trends
in the region. If this happens, it will seriously hurt United States inter-
ests. "28
   The stunning terrorists attacks on New York and Washington on 11
September 2001 refocused American attention on the Middle East. In re-
sponse to the attacks, Secretary Powell quickly set about creating an anti-
terrorism coalition that sought to include the United Nations, NATO, the
European Union, the Organization of American States, and the Organiza-
tion of the Islamic Conference. The weak link in this plan was the Orga-
nization of the Islamic Conference, whose "Arab street" might perceive
the coalition to be directed against Muslims rather than against terrorism,
a judgment influenced by the widespread belief that the United States was
not an objective broker in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
   In Lebanon, there was worry that a U.S.-led war on terrorism waged
against Muslims could lead to a conflict between Muslims and Christians.
Religious leaders tried to head off potential conflict by stressing religious
unity. Sayyed Mohammad Hussein Fadlallah, a leading Shi'a cleric, reas-
sured Lebanese Christians that they need not fear a backlash against them
in retaliation for an imminent war on Islamic extremists. "I tell every
Christian among our citizens and every Christian in the Middle East re-
gion that we are one people. We are the product of one womb. We have
lived together for 14 centuries as Muslims, Christians, and Jews."29 How-
ever, while strongly deploring the attacks of 11 September, Fadlallah also
issued a fatwa (ruling) stating that "it is not permissible for any Islamic
state, ruler or political organization to extend any assistance to the United
States in its war against a Muslim country or group."30 On the Christian
side, Patriarch Sfeir appealed to the United States to solve the political,
security, territorial, and economic problems that gave rise to terrorism.





216 | Kail C. Ellis


Addressing an issue he normally avoids, the patriarch stated, "At the fore-
front of these problems is the Palestinian cause, and specifically, Jerusa-
lem."31
   Secretary Powell and American policymakers anticipated the linking of
the war on terrorism with the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and attempted to
break the connection. In a press briefing on 13 September, Powell stated
that he had been in contact with "Prime Minister Sharon and Chairman
Arafat and with Foreign Minister Shimon Peres of Israel trying to move
forward the process of a cease-fire in the region, trying to begin those
meetings that we have been talking about, which would lead to implemen-
tation of the Mitchell Plan. I am still hopeful that something can be done
in the next several days to have that first meeting, and we will be in close
touch with the leaders as the next days unfold."32
   On 2 October 2001, in another attempt to reassure the Palestinians and
the Muslim world of his objectivity, President George Bush stated that he
has always supported the vision of a Palestinian state, "so long as the right
of Israel to exist is respected."33 On 19 November, in a major policy ad-
dress at the University of Louisville, Secretary Powell asserted that just as
the United States had liberated Kuwait from Iraqi occupation and paved
the way for the Madrid Conference, which began the Israeli-Palestinian
peace negotiations that led to the 1993 Oslo Accords, it would now "cap-
ture the spirit of Madrid and create a renewed sense of hope and common
purpose for the peoples in the Middle East."34 He envisioned a Middle
East where "two states-Israel and Palestine-live side by side within se-
cure and recognized borders." To accomplish this goal, Powell said, Pales-
tinians must stop terrorism and violence against Israelis so that innocent
people can "live their lives free from terror as well as war," and "Israel
must be willing to end its occupation, consistent with the principles em-
bodied in Security Resolutions 242 and 338, and accept a viable Palestin-
ian State in which Palestinians can determine their own future on their
own land and live in dignity and security."35 Powell attempted to resume
the Middle East peace process by sending retired Marine Corp General
Anthony Zinni to negotiate a cease-fire between the Israelis and Palestin-
ians. General Zinni's two trips to the region (late November 2001 and
early January 2002) were severely hampered by the continuing violence
between the two parties.
   At the same time, Hizballah was being identified as a target in the new
war on terrorism. On 22 October 2001, Hizballah-pledging that the war
on terrorism would not stop its resistance to continuing Israeli occupation
of the Shab'a Farms-launched a wide-scale attack on Israeli forces there.





Epilogue | 217


The raid provoked Israeli retaliation, but no casualties were sustained on
either side. After the attack, a U.S. Embassy adviser reportedly told Leba-
nese officials that the operation "did not help achieve stability, was un-
called for, and was particularly grave under the present international con-
ditions."36 On 2 November the U.S. State Department announced that it
was adding Hizballah (along with the Popular Front for the Liberation of
Palestine, Hamas, the Palestinian Islamic Jihad, and the Popular Front for
the Liberation of Palestine-General Command) to the list of Al-Qaeda
terrorist organizations. Israel complained that Hizballah and Hamas were
not on the original list of twenty-two organizations and sixty-six "terror-
ist" groups, issued on 24 September. Hizballah's secretary-general Sayyed
Hassan Nasrallah then accused the United States of reacting to the wishes
of Israel.37
   Although Hizballah had already been identified by the U.S. State De-
partment as a terrorist organization because of its role during the Leba-
nese civil war in the U.S. Embassy and Marine barracks bombings and the
kidnapping of U.S. citizens, its inclusion in the Al-Qaeda list represented
a significant change. It meant that the United States could not only freeze
any assets Hizballah had in American banks but could exclude from the
United States all foreign banks that did not do the same.
   The government of Lebanon thus found itself in a difficult position. If
it complied with the demand to freeze Hizballah's assets, it risked alienat-
ing a powerful military and political constituency and causing political
instability. Throughout the Arab world, Hizballah, which was instrumen-
tal in the Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon, is renowned as the first Arab
force to achieve a victory over the Israeli military. Since the Lebanese civil
war, Hizballah had also attained respectability as a national political
movement. Freezing its assets, Hizballah secretary-general Nasrallah
warned, "would lead the country to a civil war."38 If Lebanon refused to
comply, however, it risked political and economic retaliation from the
United States and the antiterrorism alliance.
   Prime Minister Hariri decided that the lesser of the two risks was inter-
national retaliation and so rejected the U.S. demand to freeze Hizballah's
assets.39 Hariri held out hope that he could convince the United States and
the coalition against terrorism that Hizballah was a Lebanese resistance
movement, not a terrorist organization, a position that was shared by
most Lebanese politicians, Christian and Muslim alike.4"
   As this epilogue is being written, the definition of Hizballah continues
to cause conflict between the United States and Lebanon. In meeting with
Lebanon's president Emile Lahoud and Foreign Minister Mahmoud





218 | Kail C. Ellis


Hammoud on 15 December 2001, Assistant Secretary of State for Near
East Affairs William Burns acknowledged that "Hizballah has a number
of different dimensions, as a political party, as a social welfare organiza-
tion, but the United States continues to be concerned about terrorist activi-
ties that go well beyond ... the borders of this country."41 Secretary Powell
reiterated this position in an interview on 9 January 2002, stating that "all
parties in the region will be well advised to control organizations such as
Hizballah and all the others who have not yet renounced terror and vio-
lence against civilians as a means to a political objective."42 The fact that
Hizballah's secretary-general Nasrallah challenged Muslim clerics who
have decried the suicide bombings in Israel as sacrilege, and called for
more such attacks, reinforces the perception that it is terrorist organiza-
tion. "These suicide attacks are the weapon that God gave to this nation,
and no one can take it away," Nasrallah declared. "Do not listen to those
who say these types of attacks go against Muslim Sharia [law]."43
   The new war on terrorism has placed Lebanon in the crosshairs of
international conflict. As it has for the past twenty-five years, Lebanon
will continue to suffer the consequences of a failed peace among Israel, the
Palestinians, and Syria.

Conclusion

Although "Lebanonization" has faded from the political lexicon, Leba-
non still faces challenges in the twenty-first century that cannot be met
with its material and spiritual resources alone. As the authors in this vol-
ume have demonstrated, global and regional politics and internal conflicts
continue to shape the Lebanon's political structures and political dis-
course. In order to fulfill the dreams of a future revival, Lebanon needs the
assistance of all those who support the rule of law, human rights, and a
just peace in the Middle East.

Notes

   1. Boutros Labaki, "The Christian Communities and Economic and Social
Situation in Lebanon," in Christian Communities in the Arab Middle East: The
Challenge of the Future, ed. Andrea Pacini (Oxford: Clarendon Press, 1998),
223-46.
   2. Carole H. Dagher, Bring Down the Walls: Lebanon's Postwar Challenge
(New York: St. Martin's Press, 2000), 88.
   3. Ibid., 86.
   4. Labaki, 255.





Epilogue | 219


   5. Dagher, 149.
   6. Labaki, 242-46.
   7. Ibid., 228-30.
   8. Abdo Matta, "Sfeir Sounds Alarm for Region's Christians," Daily Star
(Beirut), 21 November 2000.
   9. Dagher, 149.
   10. Ibid.
   11. See Labaki, 232, on the appeals made by Shi'a merchants and Sunni politi-
cians to the patriarch for a redress of their grievances against the government.
   12. "Sfeir's Opportunity," Daily Star (Beirut), 13 August 2001.
   13. See Mona Ziade, "Bkerki Has Ruffled Lots of Feathers," Daily Star
(Beirut), 23 September 2000; Abdo Matta, "Sfeir Scoffs at Syrian Claims of Hav-
ing Averted 'Genocide,"' Daily Star (Beirut), 2 October 2000; and Abdo Matta,
"MP Lahoud Calls for 'Serious Discussion' of Ties with Syria," Daily Star (Beirut)
12 November 2000.
   14. Abdo Matta, "Calls for Action to Follow Berri's Move at Bkerki," Daily
Star (Beirut), 30 November 2000.
   15. Nafez Kawas, "Premier Spells Out Stance on Syria to Vatican," Daily Star
(Beirut), 24 April 2001.
   16. Abdo Matta, "Patriarch Urges Diplomatic Ties with Damascus," Daily Star
(Beirut), 14 November 2000.
   17. Quoted in "Where's Sfeir?" Middle East International, 18 May 2001, 13.
   18. Mona Ziade, "State Cracks Down on Aounists, LF in Security Sweep,"
Daily Star (Beirut), 8 August 2001.
   19. Ibid.
   20. "Christians 'Are Not Israeli Allies': Politicians Say Stereotype Is Becoming
Lame as Criticism of Crackdown Continues," Daily Star (Beirut), 17 August
2001.
   21. "Sfeir Dismisses Accusations of Plot to Partition Country," Daily Star
(Beirut), 13 August 2001.
   22. Ranwa Yehia, "Nasrallah Reaches Out to Christians," Daily Star (Beirut),
27 May 2000.
   23. Nicholas Blanford, "Post-Liberation South Still a 'Sad Story,' De Mistura
Says Beirut Has Neglected Its Duties to the Region," Daily Star (Beirut), 20 August
2001.
   24. Ibid.
   25. "Greetings to the Honorable Supreme Pontiff Pope John Paul the Second"
(http://almashiq.hiof.no/lebanon/30 ... 324.2/hizballah/hizballah-baba.html).
   26. "Hizballah Close to 'Joining Battle,"' Daily Star (Beirut), 13 August 2001.
   27. Cited in Michael Jensen, "Implicating Hizballah," Middle East Interna-
tional, 23 February 2001.
   28. Jane Perlez, "U.S. 'Inaction' Weakens Arab Moderates, Egypt Aide Warns,"
New York Times, 16 August 2001.





220 | Kail C. Ellis


   29. Mona Ziade, "Christians Told: 'You are Safe,"' Daily Star (Beirut), 22
September 2001.
   30. Maurice Kaldawy, "Fadlallah Issues Coalition Fatwa," Daily Star (Beirut),
19 September 2001.
   31. Mona Ziade, "Religious Leaders Close Ranks in Face of New War: Sfeir,
Fadlallah Say 'Christians and Muslims Are One People,"' Daily Star (Beirut), 21
September 2001.
   32. U.S. Department of State (International Information Programs) "On-The-
Record Briefing (1300 hrs) Secretary Colin L. Powell Remarks to the Press Wash-
ington, DC 13 September 2001" (http://www.state.gov/secretary/rm/2001/index.
cfm?docid=4910). The Mitchell Report of May 2001 (based on UN Resolutions
242 and 338, "Land for Peace") called on Israel and the Palestinian Authority to
act swiftly and decisively to halt the violence, rebuild confidence, and resume
negotiations "in the spirit of the Sharm el-Sheikh agreements and understandings
of 1999 and 2000." See U.S. Department of State (International Information
Programs), "Sharm El-Sheikh Fact-Finding Committee, 30 April 2001" (http://
usinfo.state.gov/regional/nea/mitchell.htm).
   33. U.S. Department of State (International Information Programs) "Bush
Confirms U.S. Support for Palestinian State as Part of Settlement, 2 October
2001" (http://usinfo.state.gov/regional/nea/summit/1002bush.htm).
   34. U.S. Department of State (International Information Programs), "Secretary
Colin L. Powell, 'United States Position on Terrorists and Peace in the Middle
East,' Remarks at the McConnell Center for Political Leadership, University of
Louisville, Kentucky, 19 November 2001" (http://www.state.gov/secretary/rm/2001
/index.cfm?docid=6219). This vision of U.S. policy was also restated by Assistant
Secretary of State for the Near East William Burns on 12 December; he stated
that "the realization of the vision of a Palestinian state existing alongside Israel in
peace and security will be difficult but possible to achieve." U.S. Department of
State (International Information Programs), "Vision of Palestinian State at Peace
with Israel Is Possible, 12 December 2001" (http://usinfo.state.gov/regional/nea/
summit/1212brns.htm).
   35. Powell, "Remarks."
   36. Elie Hourani, "Lahoud Denies U.S. Envoy Issued Warning," Daily Star
(Beirut), 25 October 2001.
   37. Nicholas Blanford, "Hizballah Unshaken by U.S. Order to Freeze Its
Funds," Daily Star (Beirut), 5 November 2001.
   38. Cilina Nasser, "Nassrallah: Accepting U.S. Demands Could Lead to Civil
War," Daily Star (Beirut), 12 November 2001.
   39. Nafez Kawas and Khalil Fleihan, "Hariri Presses Diplomatic Offensive,"
Daily Star (Beirut), 12 November 2001.
   40. Elie Hourani, "Politicians Refuse to Back U.S. Stance on Hizballah," Daily
Star (Beirut), 7 November 2001.





                                                             Epilogue | 221

   41. Khalil Fleihan, "Burns Thanks Beirut for Help in War on Terror," Daily
Star (Beirut), 15 December 2001.
   42. U.S. Department of State (International Information Programs), "Interview
on Middle East Broadcasting Centre by Hisham Melham, Secretary Colin L.
Powell, Washington, D.C., 9 January 2002" (http://www.state.gov/secretary/rm/
2002/index.cfm?docid=7148).
   43. Nicholas Blanford and Cilina Nasser, "Nasrallah Encourages More Suicide
Attacks," Daily Star (Beirut), 15 December 2001.













Appendix


Mathematical Model Explaining the Obstacles to an AEMU




The following mathematical model has three components. First, it assesses
the initial position of Lebanon relative to the target variables of a potential
AEMU. Second, it puts the correct weight on these variables. Third, it
measures the effect of each unit change in Lebanon's or the AEMU's mac-
roeconomic policy instruments on the target variables. Models developed
by Frankel (1988) and Humpage (1990) provide the base for the model
used in chapter 11. (See p. 205, notes to chapter 11.)
   Let there be a function of two target variables for Lebanon specified in
(1) and a similar one for an Arab country K in (2).

     (1) XL = 1/2wY2 + 1/2 wU2

     (2) XK = 1/2 w' ,Y'2 + 1/2 w'uU'2

where X represents a quadratic loss to be minimized, L stands for Lebanon
and K for country K, Y is Lebanese output expressed relative to its opti-
mum, U is the current account expressed as a percentage of GDP and
relative to its optimum, w, is the relative welfare weight placed on output
and wu is the relative welfare weight placed on the current account, and a
(') denoting the analogous variable for country K. Y and U represent two
target variables, although the specification could include more.
   The following equations use only one policy instrument (even though
the model allows for many): g for Lebanon (and g' for K), standing for
government expenditure as a percentage of GDP and approximating the
criterion for fiscal policy convergence or the budget-deficit-to-GDP ratio.
The marginal welfare effects of changes in these policy variables are
shown by:

     (3) dXL/dg = wy(Y)Yg + wu(U)Ug


(4) dXL/dg'= wy(Y)Yg, + wu(U)U,





224 | Appendix


     (5) dXK/dg = w'y,(Y')Y'g + W'u,(U')U'g

     (6) dXK/dg'= w' ,(Y')Y',, + W'u,(U')U'g,

   The policy multiplier effect of government expenditure on output is
given by Yg and of government expenditure on the current account bal-
ance by Ug, etc. The model could be solved by setting the derivatives equal
to zero with the target variables Y and U first expressed as linear functions
of the policy variables g and g', etc.
   If Lebanon and country K take the policies of each other as given,
which is currently the case in a noncoordination situation (Nash noncoop-
erative equilibrium), one needs only equations (3) and (6). Equations (4)
and (5) do not apply, as each country ignores the effects that its policies
have on the other country. Cross-country effects enter only in the coordi-
nated solution, which is the standard reason why the noncoordinated
equilibrium is suboptimal.
   If policies were to be coordinated, the above system of equations would
illustrate the uncertainties or the main obstacles preventing a successful
international policy coordination deal: uncertainty regarding the initial
position of the target variables Y, Y', U, U'; the welfare weights w,, w' ,
wu, w',; and the government expenditure policy multipliers Yg, Yg,, Ug,
U,, etc.
   The results of Frankel (1988) and Humpage (1990) show that uncer-
tainties are so large that the signs of the crosseffects in equations (4) and
(5) cannot be determined with confidence. This implies that, for example,
Lebanon cannot be sure whether it should ask country K to expand or
contract its government spending (variable g') to increase Lebanon's own
welfare. These uncertainties represent serious obstacles to policy coordi-
nation.
   Theoretical literature specifies that all countries need to start discussion
on where to move their targets. In the case of an AEMU, additional delib-
erations would have to be conducted regarding the structural economic
differences of member nations. Lebanon would need to study the costs
and benefits of each move. Lebanon would also need to determine the
initial position of its and other Arab countries' target variables, the appro-
priate weights of the targets, and the policy multipliers in order to prevent
coordination from reducing benefits. If different countries were to place
different weights on different variables, the benefits of a potential union
could be jeopardized.












Contributors


Michael F. Davie is a professor of geography and a researcher at the Center
for Urbanization in the Arab World, University of Tours, France.

Kail C. Ellis is the founder and former director of the Center for Arab and
Islamic Studies at Villanova University, where he is an associate professor
of political science and dean of the College of Liberal Arts and Sciences.

Nabeel F. Haidar is a professor of chemistry and vice-president for aca-
demic affairs at the Lebanese American University, Beirut.

Fouad Hamdan was Lebanon campaigner and media coordinator for the
Greenpeace Mediterranean office in 1995-99. He is currently communi-
cations director of Greenpeace Germany, based in Hamburg.

Mona Chemali Khalaf is the director of the Institute for Women's Studies
in the Arab World, the Lebanese American University, Beirut.

Hafeez Malik is a professor of political science at Villanova University and
editor of the Journal of South Asian and Middle Eastern Studies.

Julie Peteet is chair and associate professor of anthropology at the Univer-
sity of Louisville.

Mohammad Sammak is secretary-general of the Islamic-Christian Com-
mittee for National Dialogue, Beirut, Lebanon.

Paul Nabil Sayah is the Maronite archbishop of Haifa and the Holy Land
and associate general secretary of the Middle East Council of Churches.

Kirsten E. Schulze is a lecturer in international history at the London
School of Economics.

Wassim N. Shahin is professor and dean of the School of Business, Leba-
nese American University, Byblos, Lebanon.
















Index


Note: Page numbers in italics indicate tables.


Abbas, Ibn al-, 137
Abourezk, James, 102
ADC. See American-Arab Anti-Discrimi-
  nation Committee (ADC)
Aflak, Michael, 123
agricultural labor, 151-52
Ain al-Helwah camp, 78, 83
Ain al-Rummaneh, 32
Ajaltoun, 166
al-Aqsa intifada, 52, 73, 101
al-balad macheh slogan, 159
Albright, Madeleine, 105, 106, 107-8
Alexandria Protocol of 1944, 26
al-Manar television station, 214
Al-Qaeda terrorist organizations, 217
Amal movement, 34, 35-36, 120
American-Arab Anti-Discrimination Com-
  mittee (ADC), 102
Americans for a Free Lebanon, 103, 104
American Task Force for Lebanon (ATFL),
  103, 104-5
American University of Beirut, 104, 105,
  143
Amin, Abdallah al-, 66
Annan, Kofi, 45, 213
antipollution accords, regional, 183
Aoude, Elias, 212
Aoun, Michel, 1, 36, 37-38, 97-98, 104
Arab, Muslim identification as, 118
Arab American Institute, 102
Arab Deterrent Force. See Syrian peace-
  keepers
Arab Economic and Monetary Union
   (AEMU) proposal, 201-4, 223-24


Arab-Israeli conflict, 26-27, 93, 98-99
Arab League, 28, 37, 40, 98
Arab League Pact, 26
Arab nationalism, 20, 92, 119, 121, 123
Arab Renaissance, 124
Arab world and U.S. policy, 91, 94-95
Arafat, Yasir: extremists and, 60; Palestin-
  ians and, 81; peace process and, 73;
  PLO and, 36, 95; Powell and, 216
Arida, Antun, 53, 56
Army of Free Lebanon, 33
Arzt, Donna, 67
Asad, Bashar al-, 73, 210
Asad, Hafiz al-: Barak and, 100; Clinton
  and, 44, 72; concessions to peace, 65;
  death of, 46, 73, 109, 210; sha'b wahid
  fi baladayn reference, 26
asbestos, 179-80
ATFL. See American Task Force for Leba-
  non (ATFL)
automation, need for, 201

Baghdad Pact, 92
Bank of Targets (Israel), 100-101
Barak, Ehud: Asad and, 72, 100-101;
  defeat of, 46; election of, 71, 109;
  negotiations of, 43; Sharaa and, 107;
  withdrawal of troops by, 39, 42,
  44, 45
Barcelona Convention (1976), 183
Bashir al-Shihabi II, 17
Bayt al-Din, palace at, 17
Baz, Osama el-, 215
Begin, Menachem, 54






228 | Index


Beirut: airport, 21, 28-29, 96-97; Aoun
  and shelling of, 36; bombing of electric
  plants near, 38, 100; bombing of U.S.
  embassy in, 96; civil war and, 165-67;
  economy of, 69-70, 168, 169-71, 172;
  future of, 171-73; Hamra district, 163-
  64, 166; Israeli raid on, 9, 31, 49n.8; Is-
  raeli siege of, 22, 34-35, 95-96, 166;
  Lebanese republic and, 160-62; Otto-
  man Empire and, 160; PLO move to,
  54; port of, 163-64, 165, 170, 176-77,
  181; post-WWII era, 163-65; redevelop-
  ment of after civil war, 2, 84-85, 159-
  60, 167-69; Solidaire and, 168, 169;
  Wadi Abou-Jmil district, 170-71
Beirut, 206
Beirut-Damascus highway, 18, 160
Beirut-Damascus railroad, 18
Beirut International Airport, 21, 28-29,
  96-97
Beiteddine Conference, 208
Ben-Gurion, David, 53, 54
Beqaa Valley, 19, 34, 35-36, 162
Berri, Nabih, 101, 211
Beyhum, Mohammad Jamil, 148
bilingual education, 141-42
biodiversity, compromise of, 175
Bourj al-Barajneh camp, 84-85, 169
brain drain, 147, 206-7, 208-10
Britain, 17-18, 19
Burns, William, 217-18
Bush, George, and Bush administration,
  215, 216
Buwayz, Fares, 39, 47, 66

Cairo Agreement (1969), 29-30, 31, 57
Caritas Liban, 126
Catholic Patriarchs of the Orient, letters
  of, 123-25, 129
CDR (Conseil du Developpement et de la
  Reconstruction). See Lebanese Council
  of Development and Reconstruction
  (CDR)
Chamoun, Camille, 20, 31, 54, 92
Chamoun, Dory, 108
Chehab, Fouad, 20
Chekka, 179


Christian Mardaites, 14
Christian Party of the Lebanese Forces,
  127-28
Christian Phalangists, 22. See also Kata'ib
  party
Christians: civil war between, 37-38;
  Druzes and, 17-18; emigration of, 208-
  10; as internal refugees, 207; Israel and,
  56; Jumblat and, 207-8; minority status
  of, 26; Muslims and, 29, 123-29; PLO
  and, 28; Syrian troops and, 210; Ta'if
  Agreement and, 118, 127-28; World
  Lebanese Organization and, 103. See
  also Greek Orthodox; Maronites
Christians' Israel Public Action Campaign,
  104
chromium, 177
Cimenterie Nationale, 179
citizenship, 164-65
civil society, 135
civil war (1845), 17-18
civil war (1958), 91-93, 164
civil war (1975-90): blame for, 2, 80;
  demographic balance after, 127; ecologi-
  cal crisis and, 175; education and, 140,
  143; effects of, 21-22; family life and,
  147-48; feminization of poverty and,
  151-52; ignition of, 20, 32; internal
  refugees of, 126, 207-8; Israel and, 32-
  33; Maronites and, 209-10; Orthodox
  and, 123; Palestinians and, 80-81; pre-
  lude to, 30-31; religious diversity and,
  134-35; status of women and, 146-47;
  Syria and, 32; U.S. and, 93-97; urban
  landscape and, 159-60, 165-67; women
  in labor force and, 148-51
civil war (1990), 37-38
Clinton, Bill, 43, 44, 72, 107
Clinton, Hilary Rodham, 146
Clinton administration, 109
coastal dumps, 176
Cohen, William, 108
cold war era, 91-93
confessional political system: description
  of, 1, 117; development of, 161; dura-
  bility of, 12; global economy and, 174;
  reconstruction of Beirut and, 168, 169,






Index   229


   172; relations with Israel and, 55; Ta'if
   Agreement and, 37
constitution (1926), 19
Constitution (1990), 152-53
Constitutional Council, 127
constitutional crisis (1988), 97-98
coping mechanisms, 2, 80-81
Corm, Georges, 118
corruption, 161, 170, 184, 185-86
Council of Lebanese American Organiza-
  tions, 103, 104
crimes of honor, 153-54
Crusades, 14-15
cultural relativism, 133

Daher, Michail, 97
Daley, William M., 105
Damascus Road, 18, 160
Dayan, Moshe, 54
debt: economic decline and, 2-3; interest
  payments on, 189, 192; policy to re-
  duce, 197-98; ratio of to exports, 193;
  ratio of to revenue and expenditures,
  193
denial as coping mechanism, 2. See also
  historical amnesia
dialogue between religious communities,
  need for, 128-30, 137-39
Dirani, Mustafa, 46
discrimination against women, 152-54
displacement of citizens by civil war, 126,
  207-8
Document of National Reconciliation
   (1989), 1, 37. See also Ta'if Agreement
domestic (U.S.) organizations and foreign
  policy, 101-6
drift netting, illegal, 183
Druzes: community of, 121-22; Crusades
   and, 15; history of, 16; Maronites and,
   17-18, 208; in mutasarrifiyyah, 18;
   Shouf mountains and, 207
Duwayhi, Istifan al-, 17

East Beirut, 166
ecological crisis: environmental plan, 184-
   87; Greenpeace and, 183-84; hospital
   waste, 177-78; imported toxic waste,


   181-82; industrial waste, 178-81; over-
   view of, 175; regional antipollution ac-
   cords, 183; waste disposal, 175-77
economic relations: between Israel and
  Lebanon, 69-71; between Syria and
  Lebanon, 40-41
economy: Arab Economic and Monetary
  Union proposal, 201-4, 223-24; of
  Beirut, 69-70, 168, 169-71, 172; en-
  couraging features in, 197; fiscal policy
  plan, 197-200; global, 168, 169-71,
  172, 174; Hizballah and, 2-3; mechan-
  ics behind, 192-97, 199; monetary and
  financial markets policy, 200-201; per-
  formance of in post-civil war era, 188-
  92, 193; political instability and, 195,
  196, 197; poverty, 151-52; sustainable
  development, 180-81; technology, de-
  velopment of new, 201; World Bank
  and, 185-86. See also economic rela-
  tions; employment
Edd6, Emile, 53, 54, 56, 103, 112n.38
Edd6, Pierre, 54
education: level of and employment status,
   149-50, 150; schools, 140-42, 150; uni-
   versities, 143-44, 150
Egypt, 21, 34
Eisenhower, Dwight, 91-92
Eisenhower Doctrine, 20, 27, 92
elections, 127, 195, 197
Elisar, 84, 169
emigration, 147, 206-7, 208-10. See also
  expatriates, investment by
employment: of Palestinians in Lebanon,
   82; of Syrians in Lebanon, 40-41, 126;
   of women, 148-51
England. See Britain
environmental issues: regional cooperation
   on, 71. See also ecological crisis
equality of sexes, 152-53
Eshkol, Levi, 29
Eternit, 180
exogenous states, power of, 14
expatriates, investment by, 2-3, 70, 209

Fadlallah, Mohammad Hussein, 120, 215
Fairhurst International, 176






230 | Index


Fakhouri, Shawki, 66
family life and civil war, 147-48
feminization of poverty, 151-52
fertility rate, 148
fiscal policy, 197-200
Forbes, Mike, 103
Foreign Operations Appropriations bill
   (2000), 105
formative phases of modern Lebanese
  state: failure of New Balance and Syr-
  ian irredentism, 19-21; intersectar-
  ianism and modernism, 16; Maronite
  and Druze equilibrium, 17-18; muta-
  sarrifiyyah, 18-19; overview of, 15-16
France, 17-18, 19, 160-62
Franjieh, Suleiman, 56
freedom of expression in schools and uni-
  versities, 142, 143-44
Free Patriotic Movement, 212
Friedan, Betty, 154, 155
future: of Beirut, 171-73; of Lebanon, 2,
   12-13, 47-48; of Palestinians, 87-89; of
   relations with Israel, 73-74; of relations
   with U.S., 107-9

Gemayel, Amin, 36, 56, 97-98, 119
Gemayel, Bashir, 34, 56, 58, 119, 122
Gemayel, Pierre, 30, 32, 54, 56
Gendzier, Irene, 92-93
Germany, toxic waste from, 182
Ghajar, 212
Glaspie, April, 97
"glass ceiling," 150-51
global economy: confessional political sys-
  tem and, 174; reconstruction plan and,
  168, 169-71, 172
Golan Heights: Israel withdrawal from, 21,
  43, 60, 101, 107; Netanyahu proposal
  and, 42
Gold, Dore, 59-60
Greater Lebanon, 25-26, 161
Greek Catholics in mutasarrifiyyah, 18
Greek Orthodox: community of, 122-23;
  in mutasarrifiyyah, 18; position toward
  Israel, 56
Greenpeace, 176, 177, 178, 182, 183-84
Gulf states, 170
Gulf War, 66, 99


Habib, Philip, 95-96
Haddad, Gregoire, 9
Haddad, Saad, militia of, 32, 33, 94
Haig, Alexander, 94-95
Hammoud, Mahmoud, 217-18
Hamra district of Beirut, 163-64, 166
Hanifah, Abu, 136
Hariri, Rafik al-: election of, 188; Hiz-
  ballah and, 217; on Israeli withdrawal,
  60; Maronite church and, 127, 131n.11,
  209; Syrian troops and, 211
Hazim, Ignatius IV, 124
Heads of Churches in the Middle East,
  pastoral letter, 123-25, 128, 130-
  31n.10
heavy metals, dumping of, 177
Higher Council, 39, 40, 50n.25
Hijaz, 19
historical amnesia, 2, 80-81, 135
Hizballah: al-Manar TV station, 214;
  Aoun removal and, 38; Bank of Targets
  and, 100-101; birth of, 35; economy
  and, 2-3; Ghajar and, 212; hostages of,
  97; intifada and, 73; Israel and, 58, 62,
  63; Operation Accountability and, 99-
  100; Operation Grapes of Wrath and,
  38, 100; peace process and, 43; punish-
  ment for support of, 42; Shab'a Farms
  and, 46, 213; Shia Muslims and, 120;
  South Lebanon Army and, 21, 43; Syria
  and, 36, 38-39; takeover of south
  Lebanon, 45; war on terrorism and,
  216-18
Horizon 2000, 189, 190, 191
hospital waste, 177-78
Hoss, Salim al-, 36, 42, 47, 98, 108
Hrawi, Elias, 37, 41, 154
human capital, 70
human rights abuses, 88-89
Hussein, Abu, 137
Hussein, Saddam, 98, 99

ijtahad, 137
incineration of waste, 177-78
industrial waste, 178-81
infectious waste, 178
inflation, 200, 204
interest rates for T-bills, 192-93, 194, 195






Index   231


internal refugees, 126, 207-8
investment in Lebanon: American,
   105-6; corruption and, 185-86; envi-
   ronmental policy and, 185; expatriate,
   2-3, 70, 209; obstacles to, 172-73,
   174, 194; peace process and, 170; re-
   built national unity and, 135-36; taxes
   and, 188-89
Iran, 35
Iraq, 19, 38
Islam and Christianity, 136-39
Islamic-Christian Committee for National
  Dialogue, 129-30, 137-38
Islamic revival, 133-34
Israel: air raids on Lebanon, 42, 43-44;
  Bank of Targets, 100-101; Cairo Agree-
  ment and, 30; civil war in Lebanon and,
  32-33, 94-97; conflict with Arabs, 26-
  27, 93, 98-99; deterrence policy of, 61;
  Ghajar and, 212; Hizballah and, 2-3,
  58, 62, 63; instability of border with, 1;
  invasion of Lebanon, 34-35, 45, 57-58,
  94-95; invasion of south Lebanon, 33,
  125-26; Jezzine First proposal, 64;
  Lebanon First proposals, 55, 59, 60;
  Likud government of, 32, 57-58, 71;
  Maronites and, 26, 53-55, 56-57, 122;
  Operation Accountability, 59, 99-100;
  Operation Grapes of Wrath, 38-39, 59,
  69-70, 100, 106, 113-14n.56; Opera-
  tion Litani, 57-58; peace accords, 34,
  41, 52, 61; raid on Beirut, 9, 31, 49n.8;
  retaliation policy of, 28-29; security is-
  sues, 20-21, 57-61, 62-65, 131n.19;
  South Lebanon Army and, 21, 58, 62,
  63-64, 94; Syria and, 34, 35-36, 55,
  60-61, 64-65; UN Security Council
  Resolution 425 and, 108; U.S. aid to,
  21; U.S. policy and, 91, 94-97, 107,
  108; withdrawal from southern Leba-
  non, 42, 45, 62-64, 71-72, 213. See
  also normalization of relations with Is-
  rael
Israel Defense Forces, 62
Israel-Lebanon Monitoring Group, 107,
   113-14n.56
Israel-PLO Declaration of Principles, 99
Italy, toxic waste from, 181-82


John Paul II (Pope), 106-7, 211, 214
Jordan, 21, 30, 79, 170
Jordanian-Israeli peace treaty, 52
Jordan river, 68
Jounieh, 162, 166
Jumblat, Kamal, 121
Jumblat, Walid, 207-8, 210-11

Kahalani, Avigdor, 100
Karami, Rashid, 29
Kata'ib party, 22, 30, 31, 34, 54
Kaufmann, Daniel, 185
Kesrowan, 177, 180, 181
Khaled, Hassan, 119
Khalid, Um, 87
Khoury, Bashara al-, 56
Kissinger, Henry, 31, 93, 94
Kuwait, 38, 98, 154-55

labor force, participation of women in,
   148-51
la ghalib wa la maghlub, 14
Lahad, Antoine, 63
Lahoud, Emile, 217-18
Lahoud, Nassib, 210-11
Landau, Uzi, 100
landfills, 176, 178, 181-82
land transactions, 151-52
language instruction in schools, 141-42
leachate, 176
Leadership Committee For a Free Middle
   East, 103
Lebanese American University, ix, 104,
   105, 143, 144
Lebanese Council of Development and
   Reconstruction (CDR), 168, 176, 177-
   78, 180, 185
Lebanese Forces, 34, 181, 212
Lebanese identity: Christians and, 118;
   educational system and, 142, 144;
   Maronites and, 14-15; Palestinians and,
   46-47; view of selves, 25
Lebanese Industry Association, 185
"Lebanese miracle," 164
Lebanese National Library, 144
Lebanese University, 143
Lebanonization, 206, 218
lending rate, 193-94, 195






232 | Index


Levy, David, 43
Libya, 46
Likud government of Israel, 32, 57-58, 71
Linord project, 169
Litani River, 67-69
lobbying by domestic groups (U.S.), 105-6
Louis XIV (King), 17

majlis, 160
Malik, Charles, 27, 103, 112n.38, 123
Mani, Fakhr al-Din I al-, 16
Mani, Fakhr al-Din II al-, 16
Manis, 15, 16
Mansur (emir), 16
marital status and participation in labor
  force, 149
Maron, Saint, 14
Maronites: community of, 122; dhimmi
  status and, 56; disaffection of, 209-10;
  Druzes and, 17-18, 121, 208; identity
  of as "Lebanese," 14-15; Israel and,
  26, 53-55, 56-57, 122; Muslims and,
  118; in mutasarrifiyyah, 18-19; Na-
  tional Pact of 1943 and, 20; "The
  Truth about the Crisis," 123-25, 126,
  131n.11, 209
marriage rate, 147
maternity leave, 153
Mawla, Seoud al-, 120
Medicis of Florence, 16
Mediterranean Environmental Technical
  Assistance Program, 178-79
mercury, 177
Middle East: foreign intervention in, 134;
  oil and U.S. policy, 91; war (1967), 93
Middle East Council of Churches, 126
migration of population, 161-62. See also
  emigration
militias: of Haddad, 32, 33, 94; Lebanese
  Forces, 34, 181, 212; urban, 166, 167
millet rule, 15, 16, 121
Ministry for Water and Electricity Re-
  sources, 180
Ministry of Environment, 177, 180, 182,
   185, 186
Mistura, Staffan de, 213
Mitchell Report of May 2001, 220n.32


Moawad, Ren6, 37
monetary and financial markets policy,
  200-201, 203-4
Monteverde dump site, 176-77, 181, 184
Mount Lebanon, 15, 18-19, 161, 167,
  178-79
Mu'awiyah, 14
Mubarak, Hosni, 215
Mubarak, Ignatius: Israel and, 54, 56; rep-
  rimand of, 48-49n.4; UN and, 26, 53,
  112n.38; World Lebanese Organization
  and, 103
Muhammad, 136
multicultural interdependence, Lebanon as
  experiment in, 14-22
Multinational Force: PLO and, 34; re-
  moval of, 36; suicide bombing of U.S.
  Marines in, 21, 96-97
Munir, Abu, 79-80
Murphy, Richard, 97
Muslims: Arab nationalism and, 20;
  Christians and, 29, 136-39; identity
  of as Arabs, 118; as internal refugees,
  207; Maronites and, 118; PLO and,
  28; Sunni, 18, 84, 118, 119-20; Ta'if
  Agreement and, 118, 127-28. See also
  Shia Muslims
mutasarrifiyyah, 18-19

NAAA-ADC, 102
Naameh Valley, 176, 179
Nasrallah, Hassan, 213, 214, 217, 218
Nasser, Gamal Abdel, 20, 27, 92, 119
National Alliance of Lebanese Americans,
   103, 104
National Association of Arab Americans
   (NAAA), 101-2
National Council of Catholic Bishops, 106
National Pact of 1943: independence and,
  26; Kissinger and, 93; Maronites and,
  122; Orthodox and, 123; overview of,
  19-20; Palestinians and, 27; Shia Mus-
  lims and, 120; Sunni Muslims and, 119;
  Ta'if Agreement compared to, 1
national unity, rebuilding of, 135-36
naturalization of refugees, 51n.46, 83-84,
   110, 127






Index   233


Netanyahu, Benjamin: Bank of Targets
   and, 100; defeat of, 42, 71; election of,
   67; Lebanon First proposals, 59; Syria
   and, 64, 65; on UN Security Council
   Resolution 425, 108
nickel, 177
nongovernmental organizations, 185. See
  also Greenpeace
normalization of relations with Israel: eco-
  nomic development and, 69-71; Israeli
  perspective on Lebanon, 53-55; Leba-
  nese perspective on, 55-57; overview of,
  52; Palestinians and, 65-67; peace pro-
  cess and, 61; prospects for future, 73-
  74; security concerns and, 57-61, 62-
  65; water rights and, 67-69
normalization of relations with Syria,
  210-13

Obeid, Abd al-Karim, 46
oil: Lebanon and, 163-64; U.S. policy
   and, 91
Operation Accountability (Israel), 59, 99-
   100
Operation Desert Storm (U.S.), 99. See also
   Gulf War
Operation Grapes of Wrath (Israel): de-
   scription of, 38-39, 100; investment in
   Lebanon and, 69-70; Maronite church
   and, 106; results of, 59, 113-14n.56
Operation Litani (Israel), 57-58
Organization of the Islamic Conference,
   215
Orthodox. See Greek Orthodox
Oslo Accords (1993): hopes and, 52, 64;
   Palestinians and, 46, 66, 81-82; Powell
   on, 216
"othering" Palestinians, 80
Ottoman Turks, 15, 17-18, 160. See also
   millet rule
Overseas Economic Cooperation Fund of
  Japan, 180

Palestine, as mandate to Britain, 19
Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO):
   Cairo Agreement and, 57; civil war and,
   20; Israel and, 60; Israel-PLO Declara-


  tion of Principles, 99; Kissinger and, 93-
  94; in Lebanon, 28, 30, 31, 33-34, 54;
  Likud government and, 57-58; Palestin-
  ians and, 83; Sunni Muslims and, 119;
  Syria and, 36; withdrawal from Beirut,
  34, 95-96
Palestinian refugees: Arab-Israeli war of
   1948 and, 27-28; Beirut and, 84-85,
   163; Cairo Agreement and, 29-30; civil
   war and, 20, 79-84; fourth generation
   of, 78-79, 89; future of, 87-89; natural-
   ization of, 51n.46, 110; number of, 2;
   relations with Israel and, 65-67; reli-
   gious coexistence and, 125-26; resolu-
   tion to crisis, need for, 206; in southern
   Lebanon, 214; as unifying element, 46-
   47; U.S. policy and, 108. See also refu-
   gee camps
pan-Arabism, 27
pay, equality of, 153
peace process: in 1991, 52, 61; complica-
  tions of, 109-10; Israel and, 34, 41, 52,
  61; Israeli withdrawal from southern
  Lebanon and, 213-14; Palestinians and,
  81-82; survival of Lebanon and, 2, 47-
  48; Syria and Israel, 42-46; Syrian
  troops and, 64; U.S. and, 96-97, 109,
  214-15. See also Oslo Accords (1993)
penal code, 153-54
Peres, Shimon, 216
personal status laws, 152-54
Pilla, Anthony, 106
Pinther, Milos, 46
PLO. See Palestine Liberation Organiza-
  tion (PLO)
politics: disenchantment with, 173;
   economy and, 195, 196, 197; religion
   and, 117-18, 133-34, 145, 212-13; Syr-
   ian troops and, 212. See also confes-
   sional political system; Kata'ib party
polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, 179
polyvinyl chloride (PVC), 177, 178, 180
Popular Committee in Hay al-Sellom, 184
port of Beirut, 163-64, 165, 170, 176-77,
   181
Post Synodal Apostolic Exhortation, 123-
   25, 128, 130n.9






234 | Index


poverty, feminization of, 151-52
Powell, Colin, 215, 216, 218
press, free, 144
printing industry, 144
PVC. See polyvinyl chloride (PVC)

Quran, Holy, 136-37, 138-39

Rababi, Elias, 54, 56
Rabin, Yitzhak, 44, 64, 65
radioactive waste, 178
radio stations, 144
Reagan peace plan, 96-97
reconciliation, 80-81, 135
refugee camps: Ain al-Helwah, 78, 83;
  Bourj al-Barajneh, 84-85, 169; Hiz-
  ballah and, 214; Sabra, 34, 81, 163,
  169; Shatila, 34, 80, 81, 84, 85-87,
  169; urban landscape and, 163, 164,
  166, 169, 172; Women's Humanitarian
  Organization, 88
Refugee Working Group, 66-67, 89
regional peace and survival of Lebanon, 2,
  47-48
Reglement et protocole, relatifs a la
  riorganisation du Mont Liban, 18-19
religion: education and, 140-42, 144-45;
  personal status laws and, 153-54; poli-
  tics and, 117-18, 133-34, 145, 212-13;
  relationships among communities, 118,
  125-30, 137-39. See also confessional
  political system; specific religions
Resolution 425. See UN Security Council
  Resolution 425
Russia, 17-18

Saade, Antoun, 123
Sabra camp, 34, 81, 163, 169
Sadr, Musa al-, 34, 120
Sahat al Burj, 160
Salibi, Kamal, 12, 25
Salim (sultan), 16
Saudi Arabia, 21, 37, 98, 170
Schiff, Ze'ev, 59, 214
school system. See education
sea, dumping of waste into, 175, 179, 183


security issues: between Israel and Leba-
  non, 20-21, 57-61, 62-65; between
  Syria and Lebanon, 40
Selaata, 177-78, 179
Sfeir, Najib, 53
Sfeir, Nasrallah (Patriarch): arrests and,
  212; emigration and, 208-9; Grapes
  of Wrath and, 106; Hariri and, 210;
  Jumblat and, 208; political meetings
  with, 211; terrorism and, 215-16
Shab'a Farms, 45-46, 58, 212, 213-14,
  216
Sharaa, Farouk al-, 43, 65, 107, 109, 213
Sharon, Ariel: al-Aqsa intifada and, 101;
  election of, 46, 73; as Housing Minister,
  65; invasion of Lebanon and, 45; peace
  process and, 109; Powell and, 216; road
  plans of, 85; withdrawal from Lebanon
  and, 100
Shatila camp: borders of, 80; Elisar and,
   169; history of, 85-87; massacre in, 34,
   81; Sports City complex and, 84
Shia Muslims: community of, 120-21;
  identification with Iran or Iraq, 118,
  120; in mutasarrifiyyah, 18; naturaliza-
  tion of, 84; PLO and, 34; Shatila camp
  and, 85-87. See also Hizballah
Shihabis, 15, 16-17
Shnanir quarry, 182
Shouf mountains, 121, 167, 207
Shultz, George, 95, 96, 97
Sidon: coastal dump, 176; expansion of,
   162, 166, 167, 172; modernization of,
   164
silk industry, 148
Sinai, Israeli withdrawal from, 34
SLA. See South Lebanon Army (SLA)
Slim, Moshen, 129
social justice, 2
Societ6 du Ciment Libanais, 179
Solidaire, 84, 168, 169, 170, 171
southern Lebanon: Israeli withdrawal
  from, 42, 45, 62-64, 71-72, 213; Pales-
  tinians in, 214. See also Hizballah;
  South Lebanon Army (SLA)
South Lebanon Army (SLA): collapse of,






Index   235


  45, 213; Hizballah and, 43; Israel and,
  21, 58, 62, 63-64, 94; withdrawal of,
  71-72
Soviet Communism (cold war era), 91-93
statue in Martyrs' Square, 2
"strangulation" policy, 82
Suez crisis (1956), 92, 165
Sunni Muslims: community of, 119-20;
  identification with Egypt or Syria, 118;
  in mutasarrifiyyah, 18; naturalization
  of, 84
Supreme Islamic Shia Council, 120
sustainable development, 180-81
"Switzerland of the Middle East, the,"
  2,70
Synod for Lebanon, 128-29
Syria: abductions by, 88; Aoun and, 38;
  Arab-Israeli conflict and, 98-99;
  Hizballah and, 36, 38-39; Israel and,
  34, 35-36, 55, 60-61, 64-65; as key to
  relations between Israel and Lebanon,
  73; Kissinger and, 94; as mandate to
  France, 19; Orthodox community and,
  123; Palestinians in, 79; peace process
  and, 64; port of, 170; relations with
  Lebanon, 25-26, 32, 41, 210-13; secu-
  rity issues, 40; Ta'if Agreement and, 39-
  40, 64, 98. See also Asad, Hafiz al-;
  Golan Heights; Syrian peacekeepers;
  Treaty of Brotherhood, Cooperation,
  and Coordination
Syrian peacekeepers, 1, 20, 32, 125-26,
  210-11

Ta'if Agreement: Christians, Muslims, and,
   118, 127-28; constitution of Lebanon
   and, 19; Document of National Recon-
   ciliation, 1, 37; Hoss on, 47; implica-
   tions of, 39-40, 57, 61; overview of,
   131n.23; Palestinians and, 65-66; reli-
   gious diversity and, 135; Sunni Muslims
   and, 119-20; Syria and, 39-40, 64, 98;
   U.S. and, 98
Tamari, Salim, 67
Tauran, Jean-Louis, 106, 107
taxes, 188-89, 194-95, 196, 198-200, 199


Tayyar al-Almani (Movement for Secular-
  ism), 9
technology, development of new, 201
television stations, 144, 214
terrorist attacks on U.S., 215-16
textile industry, 148-49
Tlass, Mustafa, 39
Tocqueville, Alexis de, 135
tourism, 70-71, 162
toxic substances in landfills, 176, 178,
   181-82
Transjordan, 19
Treaty for Arab Defense and Economic
   Cooperation, 40
Treaty of Brotherhood, Cooperation, and
   Coordination, 39, 40-41, 57, 61
Treaty of Friendship (1936), 53
Tripoli: coastal dump, 176; expansion of,
   162, 171-72; modernization of, 164;
   PLO and, 36; Syria and, 19; toxic waste
   in, 182
"Truth about the Crisis, The" (Maronite
  position paper), 123-25, 126, 131n.11,
  209
Tunis, 96

Umar Pasha, 17
UN Interim Force in Lebanon (UNiFiL),
   33, 38-39, 68, 213
United Nations: Charter of, 146; confer-
  ences on women, 146; General Assem-
  bly Resolution 194, 47, 89; Mubarak
  and, 26, 53, 112n.38; Resolutions 242
  and 338, 220n.32. See also UN Security
  Council
United Nations Relief and Works Agency
   (UNRWA), 79, 82-83
United Nations Security Council: Resolu-
  tion 520, 131n.19; Shab'a Farms and,
  46. See also UN Interim Force in Leba-
  non (UNiFiL); UN Security Council
  Resolution 425
United Nations Security Council Resolu-
  tion 425: description of, 33, 94,
  131n.19; Israel and, 59-60, 108, 213;
  violation of, 35, 39






236 | Index


United States: civil war (1958) and, 91-93,
   164; civil war (1975) and, 93-97; diplo-
   matic role of, 97-98; Eisenhower Doc-
   trine and, 20, 27, 92; embassy bomb-
   ings, 96; foreign policy of, 21; Gulf War,
   98-99; Israel and, 21, 91, 94-97, 107,
   108; Marine barracks bombing, 21, 96-
   97; peace process and, 214-15; policy
   toward Lebanon, 91, 101-7, 109-10; as
   regional and global power, 3; relations
   with Lebanon, 107-9; Ta'if Agreement
   and, 98; terrorist attacks on, 215-16;
   withdrawal from Lebanon, 97
U.S. Committee for a Free Lebanon, 103,
   104
universities: American University of Beirut,
   104, 105, 143; overview of, 143-44. See
   also Lebanese American University
University of Saint Joseph, 143
urban landscape: civil war and, 165-67;
  future of, 171-73; Lebanese republic
  and, 160-62; Ottoman Empire and,
  160; overview of, 173-74; post-civil
  war era, 167-69; post-WWII era, 163-
  65
urban sprawl, 162, 164


Valognes, Jean-Pierre, 117, 119
Vatican, 15, 106-7. See also John Paul II
   (Pope)
Villanova University, ix
"violence of the law," 82

Wadi Abou-Jmil district, 170-71
waste disposal crisis, 175-77
water rights on Litani River, 67-69
Weizmann, Chaim, 68
West Beirut, 166
women: discrimination against, 152-54;
  education of, 149-51; employment of,
  148-51; family life and, 147-48; pov-
  erty and, 151-52; "second stage" and,
  154-55; status of, 146-47
Women's Humanitarian Organization, 88
World Bank, 185-86
World Lebanese Organization (WLO),
   103-4

Yishuv, 53

Zalzal, Marie Rose, 9
Zinni, Anthony, 216
Zionists, 53, 122